Poll: Fort Worth Bowl

[wayne1218]

December 23rd


Pick the Best Bet

[Lucky Leo]

I like Boise state big.

[frazer43]

Boise ST.

Boise and the over lately has been reel good to me. I would have to say that I like boise again!!!!!!!!!!!

[OSU-BUCKS]

I AGREE WITH YOU GUYS, HATE LAYING BIG NUMBERS, BUT I BET AGAINST BOISE ONCE, NEVER AGAIN, THEY WILL SCORE TILL THE CLOCK READS 0:00

[Lucky Leo]

TCU FINALLY GETS EXPOSED BIG TIME. THEY SHOULD HAVE WENT TO THE FIRST BOWL THEY WERE OFFERED.

[Homer]

Leo

I agree with you TCU's Defense is going to get killed against Boise State. I see Boise Scoring in the 50's .

[bigjimt]

Call me crazy but TCU at home, getting double digits against a team that for the 1st time in as long as I can remember is leaving the smurf turf behind for a bowl game.

It wouldn't surprize me if TCU kept it close.

[maxell]

bigjimt

You're not crazy. But, I learned the hard way on BSU. They travel well and play with a chip on their soulder. HC Hawkins loves to run up the score and he knows the point spread! TCU at home, this big a dog in a bowl game? Never happened before. Should be one interesting game. If TCU weathers the BSU onslaught in the first and early second quarters, we just mght have a ball game. However, like I said earlier, I learned the hard way on BSU and HC Hawkins knows the point spread.

[SweetLou]

BSU write-up

With all this in mind, why is an 11-1 TCU bunch a double digit dog on its home-field against a WAC opponent?

Perhaps it's because Boise State is that good. Note the Broncos come into this game on a solid 6-1 ATS run and have scored 45, 77, 50, 51, 31, 56 and 45 points in their last seven games.

Note also their respective margins of victory in those contests were 42, 63, 38, 30, 14, 53 and 17 points.

Many will argue that BSU is only good on the “blue carpet” and also that they have played a weak schedule. Well, they beat BYU in Provo 50-12, Fresno State at Bulldog Stadium by 14, and Hawaii at Aloha Stadium by 17 in their last three road games.

You can only beat who you play and the Broncos have not only done that, but have done so convincingly. The WAC champions bring to Texas with them an offense that scores 43.7 points per game, which is second in the nation to only Oklahoma. In addition, they are fifth in total offensive yards at 490 per game.

Leading their attack is Ryan Dinwiddie, the WAC offensive player of the year. He completed 63 percent of his passes for better than 4,000 yards with 28 touchdowns and just five interceptions this year.

The Broncos also have a 1,000-yard rusher in Mikell and a 1,000-yard receiver in Gilligan. Dinwiddie and Co. will be licking their chops matched up against a TCU passing defense that is among the most horrible in the country, ranking 92nd out of 117 teams.

And that is the part about Boise State nobody seems to pay attention to. Note that their defense yields just 16 points per game, which is ninth in the nation. Pretty impressive under any circumstances, but even more so, given how quickly their offense scores.

In other words, a defense is prone to wearing down when its offense does not stay on the field very long. Usually this is due to turnovers or excessive three and outs. In the case of BSU, you’d think the defense would wear down simply because the offense goes three and in for a TD.

As cited on numerous occasions; this Boise State bunch is one of the most accomplished pointspread teams in the history of sports. Among literally dozens of other incredible marks, BSU is 44-21 ATS over the past decade and 25-12 ATS the past three seasons.

Note also the Broncos are 32-15 ATS their last 47 as a favorite, a perfect 7-0 ATS their last seven priced at minus- 10 to minus-21, 6-1 ATS their last seven as a road chalk of minus-7 1/2 to minus-14 and 14-5 ATS their last 19 overall on the road

[MAL]

just pondering this...

first i like boise, but this total seems low for this game. vegas expects a 35-25 game according to the lines. with boise scoring 44 a game and tcu unable to stop anyone on defense, if you like tcu then you would have to kike the over also. to me the total under does not make any sense unless tcu gets shut out or tcu actually holds boise to 35, and i dont see that happening.