Tuesday's Trends and Indexes - 2/15 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[Udog]

NHL


Tuesday, February 15

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. BOSTON
Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

7:30 PM
BUFFALO vs. MONTREAL
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Montreal is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Buffalo

7:30 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. OTTAWA
NY Islanders are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
NY Islanders are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games
Ottawa is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing NY Islanders

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. TAMPA BAY
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 12 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games

8:00 PM
SAN JOSE vs. NASHVILLE
San Jose is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Jose is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing San Jose

8:00 PM
VANCOUVER vs. MINNESOTA
Vancouver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver

9:00 PM
DALLAS vs. EDMONTON
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games at home
Edmonton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home


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[Udog]

NBA & NCAAB


Tuesday, February 15

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Pick 'n' roll: Today's best basketball bets
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NBA

Philadelphia 76ers at Memphis Grizzlies (-3.5, 190.5)

The 76ers bandwagon is getting crowded. Thanks to coach Doug Collins, the team is in the midst of one of the biggest turnarounds in the NBA. Philadelphia is 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS in its past 12 games, including victories over San Antonio, Atlanta and Denver.

The calling card for the team during that streak has been defense. In the nine wins, the 76ers are giving up a mere 89.3 points per game – in the three defeats, the team is coughing up an average of 105. And when the 76ers hold an opponent to below 40 percent shooting, the team is 9-1 SU.

“I think guys know that our identity, if we want to win, has to be on the defensive end, because we don’t have explosive enough scoring,” said Collins. “We’re not going to have nights we put 120 up on the board. If we have any chance, we have to keep teams under 45 percent shooting and defend the three.”

With Collins having guards Jrue Holiday and Andre Igoudala pressuring the ball, the interior defenders simply have to work on their rotations and stand their ground in the paint. This is allowing the team to force not only tough jumpers but more turnovers, which enables the team to get out in transition and rack up easy baskets.

Also, Memphis will struggle scoring enough on its own. Guard Rudy Gay is nursing a sore toe and forward Zach Randolph is hobbled with a sprained ankle. Both should be monitored closely before tip.

Pick: Philadelphia


NCAA

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Missouri Tigers (-17, 159.5)

It wouldn’t matter if this game was played on the moon, but the Red Raiders are especially bad in opposing gyms. Texas Tech is a horrid 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in true road games this year, posting their only win at mediocre Iowa State. But that is by far the team’s brightest road spot this year as the team has struggled to be even competitive on the road.

“We’ll probably put together a tape of just bad plays or dumb plays,” Texas Tech coach Pat Knight said. “You had blockouts, missed layups, missed free throws, bad passes. It adds up. You just kill yourself.”

And there should be enough for several plays when they travel to Columbia. The Tigers are a perfect 15-0 at home this year and a strong 7-3 ATS in lined games. Overall, the team is a 27-11 ATS in its past 38 home games.

Missouri also has owned the Red Raiders in recent meetings, posting a 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS record in the team’s past five clashes.

Keep a close eye on the injury report for Texas Tech as well. The team’s up-tempo attack could take a big hit if Mike Singletary is unable to go. The senior guard is averaging 13.2 points per game and dropped a stunning 33 points in the team’s only road win, but was limited to just four minutes in the team’s most recent game and is expected to be a game-time decision.

Pick: Missouri


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[Udog]

NHL


Tuesday, February 15

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Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets
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Dallas Stars at Edmonton Oilers (+125, 5.5)

It will be an interesting flight to Edmonton for the Stars. Dallas coach Marc Crawford must find a way to revamp his entire offense as star forward Brad Richards will be out of the lineup for at least this game during the team’s road trip due to an undisclosed injury.

Richards leads the team in goals (24), assists (39) and points (63) and has 10 more points than any other player on the roster. He also has nearly 60 shots more than any other player on the roster while topping the team’s forwards in average ice time per game.

To this point, he had played in every game this season.

"There's never a good time for injuries but because the games are so demanding right now, the games are going to be intense. Injuries are part of the game," Crawford said. "From that standpoint, we know we have to play a dig in type of game. We're going to have to get good performances from players that get great opportunities to play.

The Oilers, meantime, have lost three straight, and are really struggling in their own end again. Over those games the team has coughed up 13 goals. Against a Dallas team that is without Richards and forced to shake up its lines, Edmonton should have a chance to shut down the Stars.

Pick: Edmonton


Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning (-110, 5.5)

The Flyers might be the top road team in the NHL, but no team has their number like the Lightning. Tampa Bay is 3-0 against the Flyers this year, taking games by scores of 3-2, 8-7 and 4-0. In each game, the Flyers have struggled on the power play, going a combined 0-12 on the man advantage.

But the Flyers haven’t been doing much scoring of any type recently. The team hasn’t scored more than three goals in five games, going 3-2 during that stretch. Philadelphia also has totaled a mere eight goals during that streak. Things came to a head in a 1-0 loss to Los Angeles on Sunday when coach Peter Laviolette tried a few radical line shakeups.

Laviolette tried Claude Giroux, Richards, and Jeff Carter together. Then he put Andreas Nodl at center between Dan Carcillo and James van Riemsdyk.

"It wasn't a long-term plan," Laviolette said of the shake-up. "It was more just to give a different look, trying to attack more. It was tight out there again. I think we can expect that from here on out."

Sounds like a coach with more questions than answers.

Meantime, the Lightning have won eight of their past 10 games and are playing some of the best hockey of any team in the league. The Bolts have been sparked by the play of captain Vincent Lecavalier, who has notched eight points in the team's past seven games.

"The captain had his red cape and a 'S' on the back," Lightning coach Guy Boucher said. "Vinny, just incredible, just unreal, a horse out there from the first minute to the end. Right now, he’s inspired the team.”

Pick: Tampa Bay


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[Udog]

NCAAB


Tuesday, February 15

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Tips and Trends
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Mississippi St. Bulldogs at Kentucky Wildcats [ESPN | 7:00 PM ET]

BULLDOGS: Mississippi St. is hoping for another competitive game against Kentucky tonight, considering both meetings last season went to OT. The Bulldogs are starting to play better, but they aren't living up to the expectations placed on them before the season started. The Bulldogs are 13-11 SU and 5-13-2 ATS overall this year. The 5-13-2 ATS record shows you just how overrated this Mississippi St. team has been this year. The Bulldogs are 2-4 SU and 1-4-1 ATS in true road game this season. Mississippi St. is 2-7 ATS as the listed underdog this year. G Dee Bost has only played in 10 games for the Bulldogs this season, but he's averaging team highs of 17.7 PPG and 5.2 APG. G Ravern Johnson is averaging 17 PPG and 3.6 RPG this year for Mississippi St. The Bulldogs are 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 games overall. Mississippi St. is 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. The Bulldogs are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games. Mississippi St. is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS last 5 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600%.

Under is 4-1 last 5 games overall.

Key Injuries - F Taylor Luczak (flu) is questionable.

Projected Score: 65 (SIDE of the Day)

WILDCATS: (-18, O/U 140) Kentucky has lost 3 of their past 4 games overall, each of which came on the road. The Wildcats are a completely different team at home than anywhere else. The young Wildcats have yet to lose SU at home this year. Kentucky is 17-7 SU and 9-10 ATS overall this season. The Wildcats are currently ranked 22nd in the nation. Kentucky is 11-0 SU and 4-2 ATS in home games this season. Kentucky is 3-3 ATS as a double digit favorite this year. The Wildcats are 3-7 ATS against fellow SEC opponents this season. F Terrence Jones is one of the best freshmen in the country, as he's leading the Wildcats with 17.9 PPG and 9 RPG this season. G Brandon Knight is averaging 17.4 PPG and a team high 3.7 APG this year. The Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a road winning percentage less than .400%. Kentucky is 45-22 ATS in their last 67 games following an ATS loss. The Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Kentucky is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against the SEC.

Wildcats are 7-2 ATS last 9 games following a SU loss.
Under is 4-0 last 4 home games.

Key Injuries - None Reported.

Projected Score: 74



Michigan St. Spartans at Ohio St. Buckeyes [ESPN | 9:00 PM ET]

SPARTANS: Michigan St. has lost 5 of their past 7 games SU, as their nightmare season progressively gets worse. The Spartans have been the biggest disappointment in all of college basketball this year. Michigan St. is 14-10 SU and 7-16 ATS overall this season. The Spartans are 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in true road games this season. Michigan St. is 2-3 ATS as the listed underdog this season. Before winning their last game both SU and ATS, the Spartans had lost their 9 prior games ATS. Revenge is on the minds of Michigan St. tonight, as they have lost the past 2 meetings SU to the Buckeyes. F Draymond Green is averaging a team high 13.3 PPG, 8.5 RPG, and 4.2 APG this year. G Durrell Summers is averaging 13.2 PPG and 4.3 RPG this season for the Spartans. The Spartans are 15-35-2 ATS in their last 52 Tuesday games. Michigan St. is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win. The Spartans are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a winning SU record. The Spartans are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games against the Big Ten. Michigan St. is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600%. The Spartans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Spartans are 1-9 ATS last 10 games overall.
Under is 7-0 last 7 games following a SU win.

Key Injuries - F Delvon Roe (knee) is questionable.

Projected Score: 57

BUCKEYES: (-12.5, O/U 136.5) Ohio St. is no longer perfect, as they lost to Wisconsin in their last game. The young Buckeyes will have to bounce back quickly, as they have a hungry Michigan St. team to deal with tonight. The Buckeyes are 24-1 SU and 11-11 ATS overall this year. Ohio St. is no longer ranked #1 in the nation, as they come in at #3 this week. The Buckeyes are 16-0 SU and 6-7 ATS in home games this season. Ohio St. is 3-1 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 PTS or more this season. Freshman sensation F Jared Sullinger is averaging team highs of 18 PPG and 10.3 RPG this year. G William Buford is averaging 13.9 PPG this season, while shooting better than 43% from the 3 point line this year. F David Lighty is averaging 12.3 PPG and 3.4 APG while providing invaluable senior leadership. The Buckeyes are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 Tuesday games. Ohio St. is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. The Buckeyes are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games against a team with a road winning percentage less than .400%.

Buckeyes are 3-7 ATS last 10 games against a team with a winning SU record.
Over is 11-4 last 15 games against the Big Ten Conference.

Key Injuries - F J.D. Weatherspoon (eligibility) is out.

Projected Score: 70 (UNDER-Total of the Day)


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[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Tuesday, 2/15/2011

MIAMI at INDIANA, 7:00 PM ET NBA
MIAMI: 9-19 ATS off road loss
INDIANA: 13-4 Under off road win

PHILADELPHIA at MEMPHIS, 8:00 PM ET
PHILADELPHIA: 22-12 ATS as underdog
MEMPHIS: 24-12 Over off BB wins

SACRAMENTO at OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:00 PM ET
SACRAMENTO: 15-5 ATS playing with same season revenge
OKLAHOMA CITY: 19-7 Over at home

CHARLOTTE at CHICAGO, 8:00 PM ET
CHARLOTTE: 35-19 ATS off SU win as home dog
CHICAGO: 18-5 Under playing with revenge

UTAH at PHOENIX, 9:00 PM ET
UTAH: 0-3 ATS playing with 3+ days rest
PHOENIX: 6-0 Under if outrebounded by 15+ last game

NEW ORLEANS at GOLDEN STATE, 10:30 PM ET
NEW ORLEANS: 12-26 ATS off home loss
GOLDEN STATE: 10-0 Under after failing to cover 3 of their last 4

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Tuesday, 2/15/2011

WM & MARY at HOFSTRA, 7:00 PM ET
WM & MARY: 23-11 ATS as an underdog
HOFSTRA: 0-6 ATS at home off BB ATS wins

DELAWARE at NORTHEASTERN, 7:00 PM ET
DELAWARE: 8-1 ATS off BB ATS losses
NORTHEASTERN: 1-9 ATS at home off a road loss

JAMES MADISON at TOWSON ST, 7:00 PM ET
JAMES MADISON: 26-13 ATS in road games
TOWSON ST: 6-0 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 85+ points

DREXEL at UNC-WILMINGTON, 7:00 PM ET
DREXEL: 10-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
UNC-WILMINGTON: 2-10 ATS at home after BB games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers

GEORGE MASON at VA COMMONWEALTH, 7:00 PM ET ESPNU
GEORGE MASON: 17-3 ATS as a favorite
VA COMMONWEALTH: 21-8 ATS off a conference loss by 10+ points

AKRON at BOWLING GREEN, 7:00 PM ET
AKRON: 33-18 ATS off BB games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds
BOWLING GREEN: 4-12 ATS off BB games with 9 or less offensive rebounds

TOLEDO at BALL ST, 7:00 PM ET
TOLEDO: 7-0 ATS off a home loss
BALL ST: 7-18 ATS off BB road losses

OHIO U at BUFFALO, 7:30 PM ET (TC)
OHIO U: 8-1 ATS Away after scoring 80+ points
BUFFALO: 0-7 ATS off a conference loss by 10+ points

MISSISSIPPI ST at KENTUCKY, 7:00 PM ET ESPN
MISSISSIPPI ST: 1-8 ATS if favorite last game
KENTUCKY: 17-7 ATS off ATS loss

GEORGIA ST at OLD DOMINION, 7:00 PM ET
GEORGIA ST: 2-10 ATS after playing BB home games
OLD DOMINION: 24-46 ATS off a road win

TEXAS TECH at MISSOURI, 7:00 PM ET ESPN2
TEXAS TECH: 11-24 ATS Away after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 ATS
MISSOURI: 9-1 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points

WAKE FOREST at N CAROLINA, 8:00 PM ET
WAKE FOREST: 18-8 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 ATS
N CAROLINA: 3-13 ATS after BB unders

MARYLAND at VIRGINIA TECH, 8:00 PM ET
MARYLAND: 6-0 ATS in road games off a road loss
VIRGINIA TECH: 9-1 ATS off a home conference win

VILLANOVA at SETON HALL, 8:00 PM ET
VILLANOVA: 16-5 ATS when playing only their 3rd game in a week
SETON HALL: 0-6 ATS after a win by 6 points or less

W MICHIGAN at N ILLINOIS, 8:00 PM ET
W MICHIGAN: 8-18 ATS after SU win
N ILLINOIS: 8-1 ATS after playing a home game

DRAKE at MISSOURI ST, 8:05 PM ET
DRAKE: 15-6 ATS after playing a road game
MISSOURI ST: 2-9 ATS after playing a game as a road favorite

WICHITA ST at EVANSVILLE, 8:05 PM ET
WICHITA ST: 8-2 ATS in road games
EVANSVILLE: 16-32 ATS after scoring 55 points or less

N IOWA at BRADLEY, 8:00 PM ET
N IOWA: 19-8 ATS Away after 3+ conference games
BRADLEY: 4-12 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite

BUTLER at WI-GREEN BAY, 8:00 PM ET
BUTLER: 17-8 ATS off an Unders
WI-GREEN BAY: 2-12 ATS after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15+

ST JOHNS at MARQUETTE, 9:00 PM ET ESPNU
ST JOHNS: 26-44 ATS after a win by 6 points or less
MARQUETTE: 22-11 ATS vs conference opponents

MICHIGAN ST at OHIO ST, 9:00 PM ET ESPN
MICHIGAN ST: 7-16 ATS off a home win
OHIO ST: 99-72 ATS after ATS lss

AIR FORCE at UNLV, 10:30 PM ET
AIR FORCE: 26-11 ATS after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15+
UNLV: 2-9 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite

MIAMI at UNC-GREENSBORO, 7:00 PM ET
MIAMI: 1-8 ATS after a conference game
UNC-GREENSBORO: 8-2 ATS after BB conference games

TENN-MARTIN at E ILLINOIS, 8:00 PM ET
TENN-MARTIN: 7-1 ATS after BB conference games
E ILLINOIS: 1-8 ATS in all home games

AUSTIN PEAY at JACKSONVILLE ST, 8:00 PM ET
AUSTIN PEAY: 6-0 ATS Away off a home win by 10+ points
JACKSONVILLE ST: 7-1 ATS after allowing 60 points or less

MONTANA ST at SAN JOSE ST, 10:00 PM ET
MONTANA ST: 32-17 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points
SAN JOSE ST: 0-6 ATS after a combined score of 155+ points

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


Tuesday, 2/15/2011

TORONTO at BOSTON, 7:00 PM ET
TORONTO: 10-22 SU playing w/ 2 days rest
BOSTON: 7-1 SU off BB losses

BUFFALO at MONTREAL, 7:30 PM ET VERSUS
BUFFALO: 1-9 SU after allowing 6+ goals
MONTREAL: 20-7 SU at home playing with 2 days rest

NY ISLANDERS at OTTAWA, 7:30 PM ET
NY ISLANDERS: 5-21 SU at Ottawa
OTTAWA: 5-12 SU at home with revenge

PHILADELPHIA at TAMPA BAY, 7:30 PM ET
PHILADELPHIA: 7-14 SU off home game where both teams scored 1 goal or less
TAMPA BAY: 11-4 SU playing with 2 days rest

VANCOUVER at MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET
VANCOUVER: 11-4 SU Away playing on BB days
MINNESOTA: 19-7 SU off an Under

SAN JOSE at NASHVILLE, 8:00 PM ET
SAN JOSE: 2-9 SU off 4+ unders
NASHVILLE: 5-0 SU off BB wins by 2+ goals

DALLAS at EDMONTON, 9:00 PM ET
DALLAS: 63-22 SU vs. Edmonton
EDMONTON: 13-36 SU as an underdog

** (TC) Denotes Time Change