Friday's Trends and Indexes - 1/28 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[Udog]

NBA


Friday, January 28

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Tips and Trends
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Orlando Magic at Chicago Bulls [ESPN | 5:00 PM ET]

MAGIC: Orlando is in a close race with Miami for the best record in the Southeast Division. The Magic are 30-16 SU and 21-24-1 ATS overall this season. If the playoffs started today, Orlando would be the 4th seed in the Eastern Conference. The Magic are 13-10 SU and 9-13 ATS on the road this year. Orlando is 1-4 ATS this season when not listed as the betting favorite. The Magic are playing well offensively with their new stars in the fold, as they've scored more than 110 points in 3 of their last 4 games overall. The Magic are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games. Orlando is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games. The Magic are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win. Orlando is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 1 days rest. The Magic are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Orlando is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. The Magic are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games against the NBA Central.

Magic are 12-5-1 ATS last 18 games overall.
Over is 7-1 last 8 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%.

Key Injuries - F Malik Allen (ankle) is questionable.

Projected Score: 89

BULLS: (PK, O/U 187.5) Chicago has been playing great basketball of late, winning 8 of their last 10 games SU. As a result of their stellar play, Chicago has a commanding 13 game lead within the Central Division. The Bulls are 31-14 SU and 25-18-2 ATS overall this year. Despite their current success, their is a black cloud over the team. PG Derrick Rose, a a potential league MVP, was just diagnosed with stomach ulcers. Losing Rose would be catastrophic to Chicago. The Bulls are 21-4 SU and 14-10 ATS in home games this season. Chicago is 15-15 ATS as the listed favorite this season. The Bulls have revenge on their minds tonight, as they lost by 29 PTS at home earlier this season to the Magic. The Bulls are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. Chicago is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record. The Bulls are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 games against the NBA Southeast. Chicago is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win.

Bulls are 10-3 ATS last 13 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
Under is 5-0 last 5 games overall.

Key Injuries - G Derrick Rose (stomach) is questionable.

Projected Score: 91 (UNDER-Total of the Day)



Sacramento Kings at Los Angeles Lakers [10:30 PM ET]

KINGS: On the surface, it appears that Sacramento is one of the worst teams in the NBA. However, the Kings are far more competitive than their record indicates. Sacramento is 10-33 SU and 16-26-1 ATS overall this season. The Kings have already lost by double figures to the Lakers twice this season, so they are hopeful the 3rd meeting is the charm. Sacramento is 4-16 SU and 9-11 ATS in road games this year. The Kings are 14-19 ATS as the listed underdog this year. PG Tyreke Evans has been playing well of late, as he's looking to work past personal issues he's been dealing with this year. Evans is averaging team highs of 17.9 PPG and 5.5 APG this year. The Kings are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning SU record. The Kings are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss. Sacramento is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 11 PTS or more. The Kings are 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 games against the Western Conference. Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Friday games. The Kings are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 2 days rest.

Kings are 4-1 ATS last 5 games as a road underdog.
Under is 15-6 last 21 games playing on 2 days rest.

Key Injuries - G Francisco Garcia (calf) is out.

Projected Score: 96 (SIDE of the Day)

LAKERS: (-13, O/U 198) Playing Sacramento used to be quite the battle for Los Angeles. Times have changed however, as the Lakers have won the past 8 meetings SU against the Kings. The Lakers have been successful of late thanks to their defensive intensity. Los Angeles is 33-13 SU and 21-24-1 ATS overall this season. The Lakers have a dominating lead in the Pacific Division, but are attempting to catch San Antonio for the best record in the Western Conference. Los Angeles has held 8 of their last 10 opponents under 100 PTS. G Kobe Bryant leads the Lakers in scoring, averaging 24.9 PPG. Bryant has become a better overall fit in this Lakers offense, as he's not attempting to press the issue this year. The Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. The Lakers are 27-57 ATS in their last 84 games as a home favorite of 11 PTS or more. Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win. The Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. Los Angeles is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against the NBA Pacific.

Lakers are 4-11 ATS last 15 home games against a team with a road winning percentage less than .400%.
Over is 14-3 last 17 games against a team with a losing SU record.

Key Injuries - F Matt Barnes (knee) is out.

Projected Score: 102


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[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Friday, January 28

MEMPHIS at PHILADELPHIA, 7:00 PM ET
MEMPHIS: 8-0 ATS off SU Loss as favorite
PHILADELPHIA: 25-13 Under when the line is +3 to -3

MILWAUKEE at TORONTO, 7:00 PM ET
MILWAUKEE: 17-4 ATS vs. Atlantic Division
TORONTO: 12-26 ATS as home dog of 6pts or less

NEW JERSEY at INDIANA, 7:00 PM ET
NEW JERSEY: 25-42 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
INDIANA: 11-3 Under as favorite

DETROIT at MIAMI, 7:30 PM ET
DETROIT: 8-1 ATS off home loss
MIAMI: 4-13 ATS as favorite of 10 or more

NEW YORK at ATLANTA, 7:30 PM ET
NEW YORK: 16-4 ATS as road underdog
ATLANTA: 6-14 ATS as home favorite

DENVER at CLEVELAND, 7:30 PM ET
DENVER: 13-5 Over if total is 210+
CLEVELAND: 3-13 ATS vs. Western Conference

ORLANDO at CHICAGO, 8:00 PM ET
ORLANDO: 21-9 Under when the total is between 180 and 189.5
CHICAGO: 16-4 Under playing with revenge

WASHINGTON at OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:00 PM ET
WASHINGTON: 5-16 ATS in road games
OKLAHOMA CITY: 37-19 ATS off ATS loss

MINNESOTA at UTAH, 9:00 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 8-1 Over vs. division
UTAH: 11-2 Over off BB ATS losses

SACRAMENTO at LA LAKERS, 10:30 PM ET
SACRAMENTO: 0-11 ATS off BB Unders
LA LAKERS: 9-1 Under as favorite of 10 or more

BOSTON at PHOENIX, 10:30 PM ET ESPN
BOSTON: 4-16 ATS off road win by 10+
PHOENIX: 1-8 ATS off home loss

CHARLOTTE at GOLDEN STATE, 10:30 PM ET
CHARLOTTE: 15-29 ATS w/ same season revenge
GOLDEN STATE: 7-0 Over at home off BB Overs

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Friday, January 28

YALE at PENNSYLVANIA, 7:00 PM ET
YALE: 14-4 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest
PENNSYLVANIA: 18-36 ATS in home games off a home win

BROWN at PRINCETON, 7:00 PM ET
BROWN: 0-7 ATS after a combined score of 115 points or less
PRINCETON: 13-5 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins

CORNELL at DARTMOUTH, 7:00 PM ET
CORNELL: 86-50 ATS in road games
DARTMOUTH: 7-16 ATS as an underdog

COLUMBIA at HARVARD, 7:00 PM ET
COLUMBIA: 19-8 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points
HARVARD: 4-14 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite

WRIGHT ST at WI-GREEN BAY, 8:00 PM ET
WRIGHT ST: 7-17 ATS in road games
WI-GREEN BAY: 9-2 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a week

DETROIT at WI-MILWAUKEE, 7:00 PM ET
DETROIT: 1-7 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a week
WI-MILWAUKEE: 21-9 ATS after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half

SIENA at LOYOLA-MD, 7:00 PM ET
SIENA: 25-10 ATS after scoring 60 points or less
LOYOLA-MD: 0-9 ATS in home games after having won 4 of their last 5 games

NIAGARA at CANISIUS, 7:00 PM ET
NIAGARA: 1-7 ATS as a road underdog of 10 or more points
CANISIUS: 8-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog

MANHATTAN at FAIRFIELD, 7:30 PM ET
MANHATTAN: 3-11 ATS after playing a game as an underdog
FAIRFIELD: 9-2 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

Senior Bowl: What bettors need to know

North vs. South (+1, 44.5)

THE SKINNY: Many of the nation’s top senior standouts will face off on teams from the North and South at the Senior Bowl, held in Mobile, Alabama Saturday.

It will be televised on the NFL Network starting with the **** at 4 p.m. ET.

With the stands full of NFL scouts, players can help or hurt their draft stock, so unlike the Pro Bowl, the Senior Bowl offers spirited play from the competitors.

THE COACHES: The North is coached by the staff of the Cincinnati Bengals, led by Marvin Lewis. The South will be coached by Chan Gailey and the Buffalo Bills’ staff.

The consensus is the coaches will prepare as they do for a preseason game. Cincy went 2-3 while Buffalo was 2-2 in this preseason, though the Bills hammered the Bengals 35-20 in a preseason game Aug. 28.

THIS YEAR’S ‘TEBOW’: Last year, the lightning rod player was Florida QB Tim Tebow, who wanted to prove he could play in a pro-style offense. But Tebow came into the week sick, played poorly and his draft stock suffered.

This year, the player will the most eyes on him will be Washington QB Jake Locker for the North. The top pro QB prospect going into the college football season, Locker struggled and didn’t put up the numbers many expected.

THE NORTH: Lewis has indicated Locker will start, followed by Iowa’s Ricky Stanzi and Nevada’s Colin Kaepernick.

The North features three offensive linemen with first-round talent (led by Outland Trophy winner Gabe Carimi of Wisconsin), will have the likes of Oklahoma’s DeMarco Murray and Nebraska’s Roy Helu, Jr. at RB and Boise State’s Titus Young at WR. North’s offense looks to be very explosive.

THE SOUTH: While the North’s offense looks superior on paper to the South, the South’s defense will be strong at each level. It is led by Texas A&M LB Von Miller, the Dick Butkus Award winner, with a stout defensive line led by Pernell McPhee of Mississippi State and Phil Taylor of Baylor.

South’s offense is led by players who just win. Alabama’s Greg McElroy is a steady pocket passer and TCU’s Andy Dalton has great scrambling ability, while Florida State’s Christian Ponder is likely the most NFL-ready. Gailey has not revealed his QB rotation, only saying that all three will receive equal playing time.

D.J. Williams, the nation’s top tight end from Arkansas, could be a key piece. Explosive RB Noel Devine of West Virginia will run behind an O-line led by TCU’s Jake Kirkpatrick.

INJURY REPORT: The North suffered a blow when Oregon State DL Stephen Paea, the Pac-10 Defensive Player of the Year, suffered a knee injury during practice and won’t play.

Von Miller did not practice for the South on Thursday due to illness, but still hopes to play. Florida OL Marcus Gilbert will not play for the South (foot injury).

BOWL HISTORY: In the last 10 games, each team has won five times. Michigan DL Brandon Graham was the MVP of last year’s game, a 31-13 rout by the North. The year before, West Virginia QB Pat White led the South to a 35-18 victory.

TRENDS: Since 2002 only one Senior Bowl game has been decided by single digits (South won 17-16 in 2008). … In that same span, the average margin of victory is 15.6 points per game. … Total points have exceeded 38 points in a game three times in the last eight years.