Nuggets try to snap 14-game skid in Detroit
DENVER NUGGETS (26-18)
at DETROIT PISTONS (17-28)
Tip-off: Wednesday, 7:30 p.m. EDT
Line: Denver -3, Total: 203
The Nuggets travel to Detroit on Wednesday to take on a Pistons team trying for their 15th straight victory over Denver at the Palace of Auburn Hills.
Detroit has struggled all season, but it has shown signs of picking up the pace of late. The Pistons enter Wednesday winners of two straight and five of their past seven games. They have been one of the best teams in the NBA ATS this season posting a 26-19 overall record and a 13-8 home mark, including ATS wins in six of their past eight home games. Detroit’s impressive list of wins recently includes defeating the Magic on the road and a home victory against the Mavericks. After posting just two 20-point performances on the season, Tracy McGrady netted 20 points in the Pistons 103-96 win at Orlando Monday. After not reaching double-figures for six straight games, Austin Daye has recorded consecutive double-figure scoring games, including a career-high 20 points at Orlando. Tayshaun Prince has been outstanding over his past six games, averaging 17.7 PPG on 52.8 percent shooting from the field.
The Nuggets have been playing much better recently and seem to be handling to constant rumors of Carmelo Anthony’s future very well. They enter with wins in six of their past eight both overall and ATS. They have struggled this season ATS posting a 19-23 record, which includes an 8-11 road record. Carmelo Anthony scored 23 points on Tuesday’s 12-109 win at Washington, and is averaging 29.3 PPG over his past four games. Anthony enjoyed playing against the Pistons last season, averaging 32.0 PPG in their two meetings. Nene has been excellent for the Nuggets over his past seven games, averaging 16.7 PPG and shooting an amazing 72.6% FG (45-for-62).
Detroit has not lost to the Nuggets at the Palace of Auburn Hills since March 1995 when Jalen Rose led Denver with 20 points in a 99-88 win over the Pistons. The Nuggets aren’t sure what their future holds, but right now they are playing some of the best basketball in the NBA. As long as Anthony is playing and the others are content with the situation, Denver is very dangerous. I like the Nuggets minus the points.
These two FoxSheets trends also support Denver as the pick on Wednesday:
Play Against - Any team (DETROIT) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. (37-12 since 1996.) (75.5%, +23.8 units. Rating = 3*).
DETROIT is 6-20 ATS (23.1%, -16.0 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was DETROIT 92.9, OPPONENT 97.6 - (Rating = 2*).
The FoxSheets also show a trend for both teams siding with the Under.
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER, DETROIT) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (>=36.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game). (194-110 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.8%, +73 units. Rating = 3*).
DENVER NUGGETS (26-18)
at DETROIT PISTONS (17-28)
Tip-off: Wednesday, 7:30 p.m. EDT
Line: Denver -3, Total: 203
The Nuggets travel to Detroit on Wednesday to take on a Pistons team trying for their 15th straight victory over Denver at the Palace of Auburn Hills.
Detroit has struggled all season, but it has shown signs of picking up the pace of late. The Pistons enter Wednesday winners of two straight and five of their past seven games. They have been one of the best teams in the NBA ATS this season posting a 26-19 overall record and a 13-8 home mark, including ATS wins in six of their past eight home games. Detroit’s impressive list of wins recently includes defeating the Magic on the road and a home victory against the Mavericks. After posting just two 20-point performances on the season, Tracy McGrady netted 20 points in the Pistons 103-96 win at Orlando Monday. After not reaching double-figures for six straight games, Austin Daye has recorded consecutive double-figure scoring games, including a career-high 20 points at Orlando. Tayshaun Prince has been outstanding over his past six games, averaging 17.7 PPG on 52.8 percent shooting from the field.
The Nuggets have been playing much better recently and seem to be handling to constant rumors of Carmelo Anthony’s future very well. They enter with wins in six of their past eight both overall and ATS. They have struggled this season ATS posting a 19-23 record, which includes an 8-11 road record. Carmelo Anthony scored 23 points on Tuesday’s 12-109 win at Washington, and is averaging 29.3 PPG over his past four games. Anthony enjoyed playing against the Pistons last season, averaging 32.0 PPG in their two meetings. Nene has been excellent for the Nuggets over his past seven games, averaging 16.7 PPG and shooting an amazing 72.6% FG (45-for-62).
Detroit has not lost to the Nuggets at the Palace of Auburn Hills since March 1995 when Jalen Rose led Denver with 20 points in a 99-88 win over the Pistons. The Nuggets aren’t sure what their future holds, but right now they are playing some of the best basketball in the NBA. As long as Anthony is playing and the others are content with the situation, Denver is very dangerous. I like the Nuggets minus the points.
These two FoxSheets trends also support Denver as the pick on Wednesday:
Play Against - Any team (DETROIT) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. (37-12 since 1996.) (75.5%, +23.8 units. Rating = 3*).
DETROIT is 6-20 ATS (23.1%, -16.0 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was DETROIT 92.9, OPPONENT 97.6 - (Rating = 2*).
The FoxSheets also show a trend for both teams siding with the Under.
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER, DETROIT) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (>=36.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game). (194-110 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.8%, +73 units. Rating = 3*).
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