Struggling Kansas State favored by 5 over Baylor
BAYLOR BEARS (13-5, 3-2 in Big 12)
at KANSAS STATE WILDCATS (13-7, 1-4 in Big 12)
Tip-off: Monday, 9:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Kansas State -5, Total: 136.5
Kansas State looks to rebound from another subpar offensive output when it hosts Baylor on Monday night.
Despite wearing the Big 12's favorite tag in the preseason, the Wildcats continue to disappoint after losing for the fourth time in five Big 12 contests. K-State dropped its second straight game, a 64-56 decision, at Texas A&M on Saturday. Jacob Pullen (18.0 PPG, 3.6 APG, 3.4 RPG) finished with 21 points, but shot just 7-of-19 from the field. In five Big 12 matchups, Pullen is shooting just 29-of-72 (40.3%). Curtis Kelly (10.3 PPG, 5.0 RPG) finished with 15 points, 11 rebounds and six blocks, but that wasn't enough as the Wildcats shot 40.0% from the floor (20-of-50) and had 17 turnovers and only seven assists. Second-leading scorer Rodney McGruder (11.2 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 40.2% three-pointers) contributed to Kansas State's struggling offense with a scoreless effort (0-for-4) and is now just 2-of-13 in his last two contests. The 56 points versus the Aggies marked the Wildcats' fourth sub-60 point game in the last 10 contests.
After losing by 20 versus Kansas in the previous game (85-65), Baylor rebounded for a 76-57 rout of Oklahoma State at home on Saturday. Freshman sensation Perry Jones III (14.1 PPG, 7.0 RPG, 57.5 FG%) finished with 24 points, while leading scorer LaceDarius Dunn (21.3 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 42.3% three-pointers) added 16 for his 15th straight double-figure scoring game of the season. The Bears shot a sizzling 60.0% (24-for-40) from the field and limited the Cowboys to just 39.2% shooting (20-of-51). Jones has been impressive in his first five Big 12 games, averaging 19.8 PPG and 5.6 RPG and shooting a conference-best 70.6% (36-of-51) from the floor. He's also hit double-digit scoring in all five league games, and has scored at least 20 points in four of those contests.
Kansas State leads the all-time series between the two schools, 12-10, but the Bears have won three of the past five games in Manhattan. In Baylor’s last trip to K-State on Jan. 21, 2009, Dunn scored 33 points and hit nine three-pointers. The Wildcats won both games in 2009-10, including a 76-74 victory in Waco, where Pullen scored 25 points and an 82-75 decision during the Big 12 Tournament semifinals in Kansas City behind Pullen's 26 points. Six of the past eight contests have decided by less than 10 points, including three by two points. Although neither of these teams have been a great bet this season (Baylor is 4-7 ATS, Kansas State is 4-10 ATS and 1-4 ATS in Big 12), the Bears are 5-1 ATS in their past six trips to Manhattan and these three FoxSheets trends also like Baylor to cover the spread on Monday night.
Play On - Road teams as an underdog or pick (BAYLOR) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (>=36.5%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their 3 point shots or better. (38-10 since 1997.) (79.2%, +27 units. Rating = 4*).
Scott Drew is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season after 15+games as the coach of BAYLOR. The average score was BAYLOR 77.3, OPPONENT 78.9 - (Rating = 2*).
KANSAS STATE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons. The average score was KANSAS STATE 69.7, OPPONENT 76.3 - (Rating = 2*).
This four-star FoxSheets trend expects the game to finish Under the total.
KANSAS STATE is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game this season. The average score was KANSAS STATE 65.0, OPPONENT 67.5 - (Rating = 4*).
BAYLOR BEARS (13-5, 3-2 in Big 12)
at KANSAS STATE WILDCATS (13-7, 1-4 in Big 12)
Tip-off: Monday, 9:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Kansas State -5, Total: 136.5
Kansas State looks to rebound from another subpar offensive output when it hosts Baylor on Monday night.
Despite wearing the Big 12's favorite tag in the preseason, the Wildcats continue to disappoint after losing for the fourth time in five Big 12 contests. K-State dropped its second straight game, a 64-56 decision, at Texas A&M on Saturday. Jacob Pullen (18.0 PPG, 3.6 APG, 3.4 RPG) finished with 21 points, but shot just 7-of-19 from the field. In five Big 12 matchups, Pullen is shooting just 29-of-72 (40.3%). Curtis Kelly (10.3 PPG, 5.0 RPG) finished with 15 points, 11 rebounds and six blocks, but that wasn't enough as the Wildcats shot 40.0% from the floor (20-of-50) and had 17 turnovers and only seven assists. Second-leading scorer Rodney McGruder (11.2 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 40.2% three-pointers) contributed to Kansas State's struggling offense with a scoreless effort (0-for-4) and is now just 2-of-13 in his last two contests. The 56 points versus the Aggies marked the Wildcats' fourth sub-60 point game in the last 10 contests.
After losing by 20 versus Kansas in the previous game (85-65), Baylor rebounded for a 76-57 rout of Oklahoma State at home on Saturday. Freshman sensation Perry Jones III (14.1 PPG, 7.0 RPG, 57.5 FG%) finished with 24 points, while leading scorer LaceDarius Dunn (21.3 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 42.3% three-pointers) added 16 for his 15th straight double-figure scoring game of the season. The Bears shot a sizzling 60.0% (24-for-40) from the field and limited the Cowboys to just 39.2% shooting (20-of-51). Jones has been impressive in his first five Big 12 games, averaging 19.8 PPG and 5.6 RPG and shooting a conference-best 70.6% (36-of-51) from the floor. He's also hit double-digit scoring in all five league games, and has scored at least 20 points in four of those contests.
Kansas State leads the all-time series between the two schools, 12-10, but the Bears have won three of the past five games in Manhattan. In Baylor’s last trip to K-State on Jan. 21, 2009, Dunn scored 33 points and hit nine three-pointers. The Wildcats won both games in 2009-10, including a 76-74 victory in Waco, where Pullen scored 25 points and an 82-75 decision during the Big 12 Tournament semifinals in Kansas City behind Pullen's 26 points. Six of the past eight contests have decided by less than 10 points, including three by two points. Although neither of these teams have been a great bet this season (Baylor is 4-7 ATS, Kansas State is 4-10 ATS and 1-4 ATS in Big 12), the Bears are 5-1 ATS in their past six trips to Manhattan and these three FoxSheets trends also like Baylor to cover the spread on Monday night.
Play On - Road teams as an underdog or pick (BAYLOR) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (>=36.5%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their 3 point shots or better. (38-10 since 1997.) (79.2%, +27 units. Rating = 4*).
Scott Drew is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season after 15+games as the coach of BAYLOR. The average score was BAYLOR 77.3, OPPONENT 78.9 - (Rating = 2*).
KANSAS STATE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons. The average score was KANSAS STATE 69.7, OPPONENT 76.3 - (Rating = 2*).
This four-star FoxSheets trend expects the game to finish Under the total.
KANSAS STATE is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game this season. The average score was KANSAS STATE 65.0, OPPONENT 67.5 - (Rating = 4*).
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