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NFL YTD 29-25 +0.45 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 2-0 +6.0 units
2* 4-5 -3.0 units
1* 23-19 +1.85 units
NFL/CFB Combined 66-54 +7.85 units
4* 1-2 -4.8 units
3* 2-0 +6.0 units
2* 11-9 +2.2 units
1* 52-43 +4.45 units
I hit my 3* last week on the Bears but lost a 1* on the Ravens.
Both of these plays were posted earlier (the Steelers play was an upgrade that's why the two different lines). You can easily get 3 1/2 on the Bears now.
ALL BUT ONE PLAYOFF GAME THIS YEAR HAS BEEN WON BY THE TEAM WITH THE BETTER DEFENSE (Seattle's win over New orl the exception). I'm playing the teams with the better defenses in both games here.
3* Bears +3 (+100)
1) This line is a tremendous overreaction to GB's performance in the dome last week. The Packers have no running game and are totally dependent on the pass. The conditions will be nowhere near as ideal as they were for Rodgers' brilliant performance last week.
2) The Bears have a great cold weather kicker while the Packers' Crosby has missed clutch kicks this year.
3) Chicago has the best kick return teams I've ever seen and GB's kick coverage is a disgrace (three long runbacks in the last five weeks; a lineman even ran one back against them).
4) Chicago is peaking. They were lucky in several wins early in the year but played very well in the loss at GB three weeks ago and were unstoppable against Seattle. They are a much better team now than earlier in the year.
5) Lovie Smith's decision to play his starters in the GB game the final week of the year was a case of losing the battle and winning the war. Chicago almost won on the road in a meaningless game and knows it can win at home for all the marbles.
6) GB RB Starks is a rookie who might cough it up.
3* Steelers -3 (2* at -120; 1* at -130)
1) Pittsburgh is the most complete team in the NFL right now. Their rally from way back last week against a great Ravens defense shows the strength of their offense. Their defense is the best in the league.
2) The Jets' attack is predicated on running the ball. Nobody runs well on the Steelers. This will force Sanchez to pass. That's a problem for New York.
3) The Jets have been driven to an emotional frenzy by Ryan who has gotten incredible performances out of them. Eventually, that takes a toll. The Jets have played three in a row on the road and may be drained.
4) Polamalu didn't play when the Jets won in Pittsbuergh earlier in the year. He's playing this week. Big difference.
5) Let's get to basics. Pittsburgh has a better offense, a better defense and is at home.
Opinions only:
Bears Moneyline +170
Packers-Bears UNDER
NOTE: I consider GB to be a dome team given its brilliant pass attack and speed on defense. If they overcome the conditions and win in Chicago, I believe they will be unstoppable in the Super Bowl in the Dallas dome.
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 2-0 +6.0 units
2* 4-5 -3.0 units
1* 23-19 +1.85 units
NFL/CFB Combined 66-54 +7.85 units
4* 1-2 -4.8 units
3* 2-0 +6.0 units
2* 11-9 +2.2 units
1* 52-43 +4.45 units
I hit my 3* last week on the Bears but lost a 1* on the Ravens.
Both of these plays were posted earlier (the Steelers play was an upgrade that's why the two different lines). You can easily get 3 1/2 on the Bears now.
ALL BUT ONE PLAYOFF GAME THIS YEAR HAS BEEN WON BY THE TEAM WITH THE BETTER DEFENSE (Seattle's win over New orl the exception). I'm playing the teams with the better defenses in both games here.
3* Bears +3 (+100)
1) This line is a tremendous overreaction to GB's performance in the dome last week. The Packers have no running game and are totally dependent on the pass. The conditions will be nowhere near as ideal as they were for Rodgers' brilliant performance last week.
2) The Bears have a great cold weather kicker while the Packers' Crosby has missed clutch kicks this year.
3) Chicago has the best kick return teams I've ever seen and GB's kick coverage is a disgrace (three long runbacks in the last five weeks; a lineman even ran one back against them).
4) Chicago is peaking. They were lucky in several wins early in the year but played very well in the loss at GB three weeks ago and were unstoppable against Seattle. They are a much better team now than earlier in the year.
5) Lovie Smith's decision to play his starters in the GB game the final week of the year was a case of losing the battle and winning the war. Chicago almost won on the road in a meaningless game and knows it can win at home for all the marbles.
6) GB RB Starks is a rookie who might cough it up.
3* Steelers -3 (2* at -120; 1* at -130)
1) Pittsburgh is the most complete team in the NFL right now. Their rally from way back last week against a great Ravens defense shows the strength of their offense. Their defense is the best in the league.
2) The Jets' attack is predicated on running the ball. Nobody runs well on the Steelers. This will force Sanchez to pass. That's a problem for New York.
3) The Jets have been driven to an emotional frenzy by Ryan who has gotten incredible performances out of them. Eventually, that takes a toll. The Jets have played three in a row on the road and may be drained.
4) Polamalu didn't play when the Jets won in Pittsbuergh earlier in the year. He's playing this week. Big difference.
5) Let's get to basics. Pittsburgh has a better offense, a better defense and is at home.
Opinions only:
Bears Moneyline +170
Packers-Bears UNDER
NOTE: I consider GB to be a dome team given its brilliant pass attack and speed on defense. If they overcome the conditions and win in Chicago, I believe they will be unstoppable in the Super Bowl in the Dallas dome.
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