Scott's Bowl Picks

[ICD55]

BYU vs. UTEP

BYU started the season 2-5 and finished 4-1
UTEP started the season 5-1 and finished 1-5

Stats for the last 5 games of the season:

• BYU outscored their opponents 185 - 61 while UTEP was outscored 153-113.
• BYU rushed for 1040 yards and limited their opp. to 357.
• UTEP rushed for 729 and gave up 1083.
• BYU was +6 in Turnovers and UTEP was -7.
• BYU had 123 first downs and opp. had 78.
• UTEP had 97 firstdowns and opp. had 123.

I like BYU -12



Northern Illinois vs Fresno State

Fresno State got crushed by Boise and Hawaii.

Again, I looked at the season stats and the last 5 games. The last 5 games show a huge advantage to Northern Ill.

• Northern Ill out scored their opp. 244-101
• Fresno St was out scored 122-163
• Notherrn Ill out rushed their opp. 1462 yards to 599
• Fresno Stae -7 in Turnovers and Northern Ill +4

I like Northern Ill. -1



Ohio vs Troy

• Ohio rushed for 2026 and limited their opp. to 1380
• Troy rushed for 2008 while giving up 2223 yards

I like Ohio +2.5

[bryce]

I think you did pretty well last year!
Good luck with the plays!

[ICD55]

Winners

BYU -12
Northern Illinois -1

Losers

Ohio +2

Utah vs Boise State


The stats for the last 5 games of these 2 teams are staggering - even with the Boise loss to Nevada.

• Utah lost 2 of their last 4 games scoring only 3 and 7 points.
• The 3 of the last 5 games they won was by a total of 10 points!
• Meanwhile Boise outscored their opp. in the last 5 games by a margin of 226 to 69
• Boise had a pass/rush yardage advantage of 2693 to 1456
• Utah was negative in yardage compared to their opp in the last 5 games.
• Utah had 82 first downs compared to their opponents 96 in the last 5 games.
• Boise had 131 first downs compared to their opponents 80.

I like Boise State - 16

[ICD55]

Winners

BYU -12
Northern Illinois -1
Boise St -16

Losers

Ohio +2

San Diego State vs Navy


My analytic approach to handicapping these bowl games favors team that can run the ball, move the chains, control the clock and of course score points. So my pick in this game will be no surprise.

• Navy 3467 yards rushing for the season.
• San Diego State 1822 yards rushing and gave up 1704

I like Navy +3