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*** HOME/ROAD DICHOTOMY!***
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Just when you thought the Dolphins might get themselves back in the playoff hunt with last week’s road win at New York, an unfortunate scheduling nightmare is about to unfold – the Dolphins head back to South Florida for a two-game homestand. Unfortunate because Miami is 1-7 SU in its last eight home games and 1-8 ATS at home after allowing seven or less points. The Fish are also an inconceivable 1-21 ATS as December division favorites.
"That’s worth repeating: 1-21 ATS!" Series history also favors Buffalo, who will be looking to avenge a 15-10 season-opening loss, as the Bills are 4-1 SU and a perfect 5-0 ATS on the road in this series when the Dolphins arrive off a SU dog win. The bottom line is: "Thanks to HC Tony Sparano’s ridiculous home (7-16 ATS) / road (17-6 ATS) dichotomy – including 2-9 ATS as a home favorite – there’s really only one way to look this afternoon in Sun Life Stadium!"
Make Sure you have the Advantage you need to win this Season! Did you know that the Stat/Systems Report is the #1 rated sports betting publication in the country today. Offering complete analysis and predictions for every game on the board including game logs, betting trends, key injuries, vital statistics, lines and odds, and more the daily publication is everything that you need to win each and every day!
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••••• STAN THE MAN CONTINUES TO ROLL! •••••
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Stan 'The Man has Turned-Up the Heat on the Gridiron with his RED~HOT 65-22-4, (74.7%) ATS Run, along with his impressive 132-56-2 (70.2%) mark for the season, in MLB action! But most Importantly, Yours Truly has delivered the cash in Forty-One of the last Forty-Four, and in Seventy-Five of the last Seventy-Nine Weeks, Dating back to Last Season!
Fresh off a Spectacular 6-2, (75.0%) Performance Last Week Past, (and once again thanks to all that signed-up) Stan released to all that called, his *4-Star 'MNF Dynamite Super Situational Play' with New England (-2.5, 1rst Half), that was supported by an Amazing Winning Angle inside the game.
--PLAY ON - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line - an excellent offensive team (>=27 PPG) against a good defensive team (14-18 PPG) after 8+ games, after a win by 21 or more points. ATS W-L Record 24-5 (82.8% +18.5 units) Since 1983.
--Result: The New England Patriots made a statement Monday night, pummeling the New York Jets, 45-3, to seize control of the AFC East in impressive fashion. Both teams drove into field goal range on their opening drives. New England's Shayne Graham had enough leg for a 41-yarder through a bitter wind 4:03 in, while Nick Folk missed wildly on a 53-yard try a little later.
Folk scored the visitors' only points early in the second quarter on a 39-yard field goal, capping an eight-play, 46-yard drive. It stayed 24-3 at the break, and the Jets had a promising march thwarted when Brandon Spikes picked off Sanchez in the red zone early in the third.
After taking most of the week off, “The Man Continued to Sizzle with his 'ROCK~SOLID' Roll in NBA Action on Friday, dishing out yet another Huge Top *5-Star Winner (San Antonio -8.5) that was back by this ‘Incredible Super Situational System’ - PLAY ON: Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more against opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points. ATS W-L Record 25-4 (86.2%, +20.6 units) Since 1996.
--Result: Richard Jefferson scored 18 points and hit three straight three-point shots in a fourth-quarter display, leading the red-hot San Antonio Spurs to a 108-92 victory over the Atlanta Hawks. Jefferson went 6-of-8 from the field and 5-of-6 from long distance for the Spurs, who have won 18 of their last 20 games to improve to an NBA-best 19-3. With the win, it extended Stan's season record on the NBA hardwood to 20-3, (86.9%) with his last twenty-three top rated selections.
Wrapping up the week Sunday, which saw us here at Stat/Systems Sports go 4-1, (80.0%) overall, we got the ball rolling in Charlotte, NC with Atlanta (-4.5 1rst Half). Michael Turner ran for three touchdowns and the Atlanta Falcons continued their quest for the top seed in the NFC with a 31-10 victory over the lowly Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium.
Trailing 17-0 after Matt Bryant made a 39-yard field goal in the second frame, Carolina, which totaled only 33 yards and two first downs through the first half, reached the end zone on its opening possession of the third quarter. Goodson capped the five-play, 81-yard drive with a 13-yard dash.
Stan 'The Man didn't Stop There - As he came right back with another Huge Top *5-Star (Miami/NY Jets Under 19.5 1rst Half) 'Totally Incredible Situational' Winner, Improving his NFL mark to 26-9-2, (74.2%) on the 2010 season.
- PLAY UNDER: Any team where the first half total is between 18 and 21 - team outrushing opponents by 60+ YPG against an average rushing team (+/- 30 RY/G) after 8+ games, after gaining 150 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games. W-L Record 25-5 Since 1983, (83.3%, +19.5 units).
--Result: Chad Henne found Brandon Marshall for the game's only touchdown in the first quarter, and the Dolphins pulled out a gritty 10-6 win over the New York Jets in rainy conditions at New Meadowlands Stadium. The Dolphins were out gained in yards, 280-131, but took advantage of two Mark Sanchez turnovers in the opening quarter to come away with their third straight road win against their AFC East rival.
Stan and the staff here at Stat/Systems Sports would like to take the time to thank every one for your kind and wonderful E-Mails: •I've been a Stat/Systems Sports member for close to 3 months now and I just wanted to comment on how tremendous your service has been... Keep up the great work you all have been doing, your daily report is incredibly helpful. Continued success, ~ Mike - Greenwich, CT
•I have been a subscriber for less than a month, but I am totally impressed with your Stat/Systems Report. The total amount of information is incredible. I have been focusing on your *5-Star Super Situational Systems which I have found to be exceptional on totals. I will be a subscriber as long as I am playing. ~ Fred Ravo, Baltimore, MD
As always, the best way to take advantage of Stan 'The Man's Sharp Information found each and every day right here in his Stat/Systems Report is to join for a Week or Month, so that you get every single one of his plays, including all of his Late Information releases. “Do it now and Save Big, subscribe today! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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***** SUNDAY, DECEMBER 19TH NFL INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• 2-MINUTE DRILL
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--Kansas City SERIES: 4-0 L4/3-0 L3 A... 8-1 non div RD's off DD SU loss (1-0 this year)... 1-6 non conf RF's (1-0 this year)... 2-5 aft Chargers (1-0 this year)... HALEY: 8-3 A vs opp off SU loss... 7-1 O/U Game Fourteen
--ST. LOUIS 5-0 vs opp off SUATS loss... 5-1 off SU loss... 2-7 H off DD SU loss vs opp off SUATS loss (1-0 this year)... 2-7 Game Fourteen
--Houston SERIES: 3-1 L4/1-3 L4 A... 2-9 1st BB RG's (0-1 this year)... 0-3 O/U Game Fourteen
--TENNESSEE 1-4 aft Colts... 6-1 O/U Game Fourteen
--Jacksonville SERIES: 5-1 L6 A... 7-0 .500 > vs .500 > opp off BB ATS losses... 1-7 dogs off BB SU wins vs opp w/rev (1-0 this year)... 1-12 A off SU win vs div opp off div... DEC: 1-8 A vs opp off div w/rev... 2-12 vs opp w/rev off SU win (1-1 this year)... 2-7 aft scoring 35 > pts vs div opp (1-1 this year)... 3-1 O/U Game Fourteen
--INDIANAPOLIS 7-1 SU Game Fourteen... 2-10 div HF's w/rev (1-0 this year)... CALDWELL: 9-2-1 vs opp off SUATS win
--Arizona SERIES: 4-1 L5 A... 0-5 Game Fourteen... 2-9 vs NFC South (1-2 this year)... 3-9 A after scoring 35 > pts (1-0 this year)
--CAROLINA 9-0 H off SUATS loss & BB dog roles vs < .500 opp... 6-0 favs off DD ATS loss... 4-0 favs < 5 pts vs opp off SU dog win... 5-1 H off DD SU loss vs opp off SU dog win (0-1 this year)... 5-1 Game Fourteen
--Cleveland SERIES: 4-1 L5... 8-0 A vs .250 < opp... 7-0 A off SU loss vs opp off 3 SU losses... 4-1 Game Fourteen... DEC: 0-7 vs < .500 div opp... 1-10 off non div vs div opp w/rev... (0-1 this year)... 1-6 A vs div opp w/rev (0-1 this year)
--CINCINNATI 0-8-1 favs off DD SU loss... 1-9 aft Steelers (1-0 this year)... 3-16 H vs div opp off SU loss (0-1 this year)... 1-3 SU Game Fourteen
--Buffalo 10-2 < .500 vs div opp off SU dog win (0-1 this year)... 6-2 Game Fourteen
--MIAMI SERIES: 4-1 L5... 0-5 vs .250 < div opp... 0-4 aft allowing 7 < pts... DEC: 1-21 div favs... DEC: 1-9 H off SU dog win... 1-8 vs < .500 opp off SU win (0-1 this year)... 1-7 off SU dog win vs div opp off SUATS win... 2-9 H off SU dog win (1-2 this year)
--Philadelphia SERIES: 5-0 L5/3-0 L3 A... 8-0 SU Game Fourteen... 0-4 L4 turf... 1-5 L6 dog... 6-3 O/U after Cowboys
--NY GIANTS 0-5 L5 H fav 0.5/3.0... 8-2 O/U L10 vs. NFC East… 8-2 O/U Game Fourteen... 4-1 O/U off Monday gm
--Washington SERIES: 8-3 L11/3-0 L3 A... DEC: 10-2 dogs off SU loss vs opp w/rev (1-0 this year)... DEC: 13-3 < .500 A off SU loss (0-1 this year)... SHANAHAN: 10-0 < .500 dog vs opp off SU loss (1-0 this year)... 1-3 O/U Game Fourteen
--DALLAS DEC: 9-0 H vs div opp off non div (1-0 this year)... 9-1 < .500 H vs div opp off dog role... 0-3 O/U Game Fourteen
--Detroit SERIES: 6-1 L7/7-2 L9 A... 0-14 SU Game Fourteen... 0-8 dogs < 9 pts off DD ATS win... 0-6 off SU dog win vs conf opp... 0-6 dogs 7 < pts off SU dog win
--TAMPA BAY 4-0 Game Fourteen... 1-9 vs non div opp off SUATS win (1-2 this year)
--New Orleans 6-0 non div dogs vs .500 > opp... DEC: 1-8 off DD & BB SU wins... 1-8-1 1st BB RG's... 1-5 SU Game Fourteen... PAYTON: 7-1 dog w/rev vs .500 > opp
--BALTIMORE SERIES: 4-1 L5/3-1 L4 H... 1-7 off Monday (0-1 this year)
--Atlanta SERIES: 3-1 L4 A... 8-2 aft Panthers... 1-10 Game Fourteen... 1-6 off BB SU wins vs opp off SU div loss (1-0 this year)... 3-8 off SU win 21 > pts (1-0 this year)
--SEATTLE DEC: 11-1 H vs .500 > non div opp... DEC: 8-1 < .500 dogs < 7 pts... 1-9 vs non div opp off 3 + SU wins (0-1 this year)... 1-5 Game Fourteen
--NY Jets SERIES: 3-1 L4/1-4 L5 A... 5-0 RD's 8 < pts vs non div opp w/rev off SUATS win... DEC: 12-3 dogs vs opp w/rev (0-1 this year)... 3-10 aft Dolphins (1-0 this year)... 1-3 O/U Game Fourteen
--PITTSBURGH 10-1 2nd BB HG's vs non div opp (1-0 this year)... 5-1 favs < 9 pts off div HG (0-1 this year)... 5-1 SU Game Fourteen
--Denver 5-0 RD's 7 < pts off BB SU losses vs div opp... 0-3 Game Fourteen
--OAKLAND SERIES: 7-2 L9/2-5 L7 H... 1-13 1st BB HG's vs < .500 opp... 1-13 L14 favs (1- 2 this year)... 2-11 < .500 H vs div opp w/rev (1-0 this year)... 1-11 H vs opp off BB SU losses... 1-4 SU Game Fourteen... 3-9 vs div opp w/rev (2-0 this year)
--Green Bay SERIES: 4-1 L5/3-0 L3 A... 5-0 dogs 13 < pts off SU fav loss... 3-1 Game Fourteen... 1-5 aft scoring < 10 pts vs non div opp (1-0 this year)... 1-7 aft Lions... 7-0 O/U L7 road
--NEW ENGLAND 12-0 H vs opp off SU fav loss... 10-2 HF's > 3 pts vs .600 > opp (1-1 this year)... 9-2 vs .666 > non conf opp (1-0 this year)... 3-1 Game Fourteen... 2-8 H aft allowing 10 < pts... BELICHICK: 19-2 H vs opp off SU div loss (1-0 this year)... 6-0 O/U L6 off a SU win
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Stan Knows Football and Basketball! Check out the huge winning run “The Man is enjoying and prepare to get all of his football and basketball selections with a discounted monthly or seasonal package.” Do it now and Save Big! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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*** SUNDAY'S QUICK HITS ***
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• #303 CHIEFS (8-5) @ #304 RAMS (6-7) - Who would’ve thought this would be battle of first place teams? Big question is whether Cassel (appendix) is well enough to play, and if so, can he play well? Chiefs won last four games in seldom-played intrastate series, but got crushed in San Diego last week (TY 426-67), as backup QB Croyle is now 0-10 as NFL starter. First-place Rams won four of last five home games, are home for first time in four weeks after 2-1 road trip. Rams didn’t score first half TD in last two games; they’ve got to get better in red zone (39 net points on last 13 RZ drives). AFC West road teams are 7-11 vs spread in non-division games. NFC West home teams are 9-7. Four of last five Chief road games went over the total.
• #305 TEXANS (5-8) @ #306 TITANS (5-8) - Houston is first team in NFL history to lose four games in same season where they rallied to tie/take lead after trailing by 14+ points; they blanked Rusty Smith-led Titans 20-0 at home three weeks ago, holding crippled visitors to 162 yards, nine first downs- that was only game this year that Texans held foe under 20 points. Tennessee won eight of last ten series games, winning six of last eight played here, but they’ve lost last six games overall (1-5 vs. spread), scoring four TDs on last 38 drives. Five of last six Houston games went over total. Titans did four more days to prepare than Houston did, thanks to primetime dates for both last week. AFC South home teams are 6-2 in divisional play.
• #307 JAGUARS (8-5) @ #308 COLTS (7-6) - Jags (+6.5) upset Indy 31-28 at home in Week 4, outrushing Colts 174-58; expect them to try more of same here. Jax won five of last six games (6-0 vs. spread-- lost 24-20 @ Giants), running ball for 207-258-234 yards- they converted 21 of last 43 3rd down plays. Jags are 5-4 vs. spread as underdog, 4-2 on road. Colts lost three of last four games, allowing 158.8 rushing ypg; only once in last eight games has Indy won by more than six points. Indy was +2 in turnovers last week, after being -12 in three previous games- they did have three extra days to prepare for this after holding off Titans last week, 30-28. Home teams are 6-2 vs. spread in AFC South divisional games. Five of last seven Jaguar games went over total.
• # 309 CARDINALS (3-10) @ #310 PANTHERS (1-12) - Our Gamblers’ Anonymous Game of the Week; if you invest in this game, get professional help. That said, Panthers are 7-3 in series, but all three losses were here at home, as visitor won four of last five in series. Rookie QB Skelton was just 15-38/146 in his first NFL start last week (it was Arizona’s first win in last eight games); his first road start will be played in front of thousands of empty seats. Redbirds are 2-3 as road underdog this year; Panthers are 0-2 as favorite. Carolina lost its last seven games; when was last time a team on 7-game losing skid was favored? Over is 8-3 in last 11 Arizona games, 4-1 in last five Carolina tilts. Average total in last three series games was 50.3, but Warner was playing QB for Cardinals in those games.
• #311 BROWNS (5-8) @ #312 BENGALS (2-11) - Cleveland allowed one offensive TD in each of last three games, but has only one TD itself on offense the last two weeks. Cincy is 9-3 in last 12 series games, but lost 23-20 (-2) back in Week 4, game that started Bengals on current 10-game tailspin. Cincy outgained Browns 413-295 that day, but turned ball over twice and lost field position by average of 8 yards. Three of last four Bengal losses were by 16+ points. Cleveland is on road for third week in row, most always a bad spot (see Rams last week); they’re 2-5 on road, 3-3-1 as road dog. Underdogs are 5-3 vs spread in AFC North divisional games. Browns lost five of last six visits here, with average total in last three played here 29.3. Wouldn’t risk your money on Delhomme.
• #313 BILLS (3-10) @ #314 DOLPHINS (7-6) - Buffalo is 3-2 in last five games after 0-8 start, as they foul up their draft position. Miami is 6-1 on road, 1-5 at home, with only home win 29-17 (+1) in Week 10 vs. Tennessee; Dolphins (-3) won season opener 15-10 in Buffalo, outrushing Bills 132-50, their fourth win in last five series games. Bills lost here last two years, 25-16/38-10. Buffalo is 5-2-1 vs. spread in last eight games; they’re 4-2 as true road underdog this year, with only one loss (38-14 @ Minnesota) in last eight games by more than three points. Home teams are 2-6 vs spread in AFC East divisional games, 1-4 if home favorite. Fish scored 10 or less points in four of last six games (five TDs on last 49 drives). Five of last seven games for both teams stayed under total.
• #315 EAGLES (9-4) @ #316 GIANTS (9-4) - Since 1988, Eagles are 10-1 in second game of season against Giants if they won the first meeting. Don’t think unexpected short work week will be detriment to Giants after uplifting performance Monday night, but Philly won last five series games, beating Big Blue 27-17 (-3) four weeks ago, outrushing Giants 148-61 (TY 392-208). Reid won four of last five series games in Swamp. Over last six games, Giants outsacked opponents 16-1; they’re +6 in turnovers last three games and only allowed one TD on 25 drives in last two games, albeit vs non-contenders. Eagles are 5-1 since their bye, scoring average of 34.7 ppg; Last four Giant games stayed under total; eight of last nine Eagle games went over.
• #317 REDSKINS (5-8) @ #318 COWBOYS (4-9) - Pokes (-3.5) lost season opener 13-7 at Washington, despite outgaining Skins by 130 yards (Dallas has 12 penalties, two empty red zone trips); Redskins lost five of last six games overall- eight of their 13 games were decided by 5 or less points (underdogs are 7-3-3 vs spread in their ’10 games). Skins lost 12 of last 14 visits here; rumors were flying they almost benched McNabb again late in Tampa game, so tensions have to be high there, plus they cut punter who muffed snap on game-losing missed PAT. Dallas is 5-0 vs spread since Garrett took over, 1-0 as favorite; their last three games were all decided by 3 points. Last ten Cowboy games went over total. Teams are 4-8 week after playing Bucs, despite being favored in eight of the 12 games.
• #319 LIONS (3-10) @ #320 BUCCANEERS (8-5) - Tampa Bay is 8-0 vs losing teams, 0-5 vs winning teams; five of its eight wins are by 3 or less points. Lions are 0-6 on road, 4-2 as road dogs, losing by 5-14-2-8-2-16 points- they’re 8-3 overall as a dog this year. Bucs still in thick of playoff hunt, need this game and Seattle home game next week, since they finish at Superdome. Tampa is 1-1-2 as favorite this year. Bucs won seven of last nine games in what used to be divisional rivalry; Lions lost three of last four visits here, losing by 7-3-4 points. NFC South home favorites are 7-5-1 vs spread in non-divisional games; NFC North road dogs are also 7-5-1. Eight of last ten Detroit games went over total. Dogs are 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight Buccaneer games.
• #321 SAINTS (10-3) @ #322 RAVENS (9-4) - Red-hot defending champs won last six games, scoring 30+ points in last five; they’re underdog for first time this year, against Raven squad playing on short week after dramatic OT win late Monday night. Only red flag on Saint win streak is that last five victims all have losing records. Ravens are 5-1 at home, but ran ball for just 92-43-63 yards in last three games- they were +2 in turnovers Monday, had 18-yard edge in field position, still needed defensive score to win in OT. Keep in mind that in Saints’ three losses, they were -2/-3/-4 in turnovers. Underdogs are 5-2 vs spread week after playing the Rams. AFC North home favorites are just 3-9 vs spread in non-divisional games. Lot of urgency on both sides, since neither team leads their division.
• #323 FALCONS (11-2) @ #324 SEAHAWKS (6-7) - Atlanta won last seven games, covered last five; they’re 4-1 as road favorite this year, but this is their third straight road game, historically a tough spot. All seven Seahawk losses are by 15+ points; they’re 4-2 at home, 2-2 as home dogs, with home losses 41-7 to Giants, 42-24 to Chiefs. Seattle is 8-3 in series, winning four of last five, with three wins by 3 or less points, or in OT; average total in last four series games, 58.0. Falcons lost four of five visits here. Teams are 2-7 week after playing the 49ers; favorites are 1-4 vs. spread week after playing Carolina. NFC South road favorites are 2-5-1 vs spread in non-divisional games; NFC West home underdogs are 6-3. Over is 6-0 in last six Seattle games, 6-2 in Falcons’ last eight games.
• #325 JETS (9-4) @ #326 STEELERS (10-3) - Jets have never won in Steel City, losing all seven tries, with five of last six losses there by 11+ points. Jets also haven’t scored TD in last two games (or in any of their four losses)- they’ve been outscored 41-9 in first half of last three games. Jury is out on whether Sanchez can play in bad weather, and also on whether Brunell is still capable backup (or is he just playing because his finances went bad?). Steelers won last four games, but stumbled through last three, scoring two TDs on last 29 drives- their defense scored or directly set up (9-yard game-winning drive in Baltimore) their last three TDs. Last four Pittsburgh games stayed under total. Jets only have two INTs in last eight games, while Sanchez has thrown 12 in those same eight games.
• #327 BRONCOS (4-9) @ #328 RAIDERS (6-7) - Oakland led 38-7 at half of 59-14 (+7.5) trouncing of Denver at Invesco back in Week 7; Raiders had 328 rushing yards in that game, were+3 in turnovers, averaged 8.2 ypa. Hard to imagine anything different this time; Broncos lost four in row, eight of last nine games- they gave up 185-211 rushing yards in last two games (@ Chiefs/@ Cardinals), classic sign of team in tank (they gave up 43 points last week to team starting its #3 QB for first time), and this is Denver’s third straight week on road, historically a soft spot for anyone. Raiders are 4-2 at home (2-2 as HF), with wins by 2-8-30-3 points. Home favorites are just 16-22 vs spread in divisional games this year, 3-3 in AFC West. Four of last five Oakland home games went over total.
• #329 PACKERS (8-5) @ #330 PATRIOTS (11-2) - Fourth road game in five weeks for Packer squad that hasn’t lost a game all year by more than 4 points; they’re 1-1 as underdog, and had scored 14 TDs in 37 drives before last week’s debacle in Detroit. Patriots won last five games, covered last three, winning last two weeks by combined 81-10 against pair of division leaders (Jets/Bears)- they’re 3-2-1 as home favorite, winning in Foxboro by 14-8-3-10-3-42 points. In his last three games, Brady averaged 12.1/9.5/8.2 ypa. Patriots are +12 in turnovers in last four games. Under is 9-4 in Green Bay games this year; last seven Patriot games went over total. Expect Rodgers to play here, meaning if he doesn’t play, no reason to read analysis like this, just bet against Flynn.
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Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
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• AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK
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The troubled Jets find themselves traveling via Route 666 this afternoon as they look to get back on the winning track at the expense of a battered and bruised Big Ben and his cast of Steelers. The Flyboys also landed nicely in the Steel City as our 'AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK' - PLAY ON: Any .666 > NFL road underdog of more than four points during the final four games of the season versus a .666 > opponent off a SU and ATS win. ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 15-3, 83.0%.
Good news for New York fans is head coach Rex Ryan’s sterling 6-1 SU and ATS log as dog of less than 7 points. While Pittsburgh has been winning the stats by an average 105 YPG over the 2nd half of the season, the fact is Mike Tomlin is only 9-9 SU and 5-13 ATS in games in which he is favored by 7 or less points when playing off a SU and ATS win. “Look for the Jets to improve to 4-1 ATS in this series as the points become the play in this playoff preview!”
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• NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK
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Christmas has come one week early as the Bengals, losers of 10 straight encounters have been given the label this afternoon as a home favorite. (Carolina and Cincinnati were both favored in the same week only once this season – Oct. 10th – and both lost outright). Cleveland’s loss last week at Buffalo may have you a little gun shy about backing the Brownies this week but don’t be, as they check in as our 'NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK' which tells us to: PLAY AGAINST - Any NFL Game Fourteen division home favorite off a loss of more than 10 points. ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 11-3, 78.6%.
According to our always trust worthy data base we find the Browns are 8-1-1 ATS on the road versus .250 or less opposition and 7-1-1 ATS away off a loss versus an opponent off three or more losses. Meanwhile, the Bengals are 1-9 ATS in their last ten scuffles when laying points and 1-9 ATS after battling the Steelers. Our Stat/Sheets also remind us that Cincinnati is 1-8 ‘ITS’ over the last nine games and has been losing the stats battle by an average of 90 YPG over the second half of the season!
Even our NFL Coaches League has a say in the matter as Marvin Lewis is 4-8-1 ATS at home in the final four games of the season while Eric Mangini is a perfect 5-0 ATS as a road dog in the final quarter of the season. "The Bengals 5-14 SU and 3-16 ATS mark at home versus a division opponent off a loss, including 1-11 ATS when both teams are off a loss, clinches it!"
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• INCREDIBLE STATS OF THE WEEK
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We’ll stay in the AFC this week where a Jacksonville win would give the Jags their first-ever AFC South title. In reality, it’s all or nothing for both of these squads this afternoon in Peyton’s Place as an Indy win would put the Colts in control of all division tie-breakers with just Oakland and Tennessee left on the slate. Jacksonville is riding a 6-game ATS win streak and their current 5-1 ATS series run in this building is a cause for concern. But our Rock-Solid database reminds us that the Jaguars are just 4-11 SU and 1-11-2 ATS on the division road versus a foe off a division confrontation.
We should also point out that Indianapolis HC Jim Caldwell is 9-2-1 ATS versus an opponent off a SU and ATS win. If the post-season started today, the Jets and Ravens would be the AFC Wild Card entrants while the Colts and Bolts would be with us watching the playoffs. It does not. The demise of Peyton Manning has been greatly exaggerated. If you disagree, check out his 'INCREDIBLE STATS' - 20-0 SU and 17-3 ATS mark in his last 20 tussles when playing with revenge off a win. "In what amounts to a one and done, we know who we want buttering our bread!"
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• AMAZING SITUATIONAL TRENDS
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The hottest team in the NFC, the Falcons, take a seven-game win streak into Starbucks city where Seattle looks to serve up a steamed concoction of their own in this battle of division leaders. Atlanta takes to the road in its third-straight away game with sour numbers: 2-8 SU and 1-9 ATS off BB SU and ATS wins in non-division games, and just 1-10 ATS in Game Fourteens. Next to Seattle’s 'AMAZING' 11-1 ATS mark at home in December in games against .500 or greater non-division foes, expect the Falcons to come flatter than a day old cup of coffee.
The clincher is the Falcons are caught dead in the middle of a classic NFL division sandwich: off back-to-back division games with back-to-back division encounters on deck. Teams in this role are 13-41 ATS when playing off an ATS victory against an opponent off a loss. "With the Seahawks tied with Rams atop the NFC West and the 49ers lurking one game back, we can taste it now!"
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As always, the best way to take advantage of Stan 'The Man's Sharp Information found each and every day right here in his Stat/Systems Report is to join for a Week or Month, so that you get every single one of his plays, including all of his Late Information releases. “Do it now and Save Big, subscribe today! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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*** KANSAS CITY @ ST LOUIS (-3, O/U 42) ***
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GAME BREAKDOWN: These two division leaders find themselves in a must-win game. Both were blown out on the road in Week 14, though the Chiefs could point to the absence of QB Matt Cassel, who will likely be questionable this weekend after an appendectomy. K.C. has not looked good on the road lately, losing four of five SU and two of three ATS, but their strong running game matches up well against a Rams D that’s allowing 5.1 yards per carry over their past four games. St. Louis has been good at home, winning four of five SU and ATS. Series History – Last 5 seasons: St Louis is 0-1 ATS (0-1 SU) vs. Kansas City (0-1 ATS, 0-1 SU at home.)
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Just when you thought the Dolphins might get themselves back in the playoff hunt with last week’s road win at New York, an unfortunate scheduling nightmare is about to unfold – the Dolphins head back to South Florida for a two-game homestand. Unfortunate because Miami is 1-7 SU in its last eight home games and 1-8 ATS at home after allowing seven or less points. The Fish are also an inconceivable 1-21 ATS as December division favorites.
"That’s worth repeating: 1-21 ATS!" Series history also favors Buffalo, who will be looking to avenge a 15-10 season-opening loss, as the Bills are 4-1 SU and a perfect 5-0 ATS on the road in this series when the Dolphins arrive off a SU dog win. The bottom line is: "Thanks to HC Tony Sparano’s ridiculous home (7-16 ATS) / road (17-6 ATS) dichotomy – including 2-9 ATS as a home favorite – there’s really only one way to look this afternoon in Sun Life Stadium!"
Make Sure you have the Advantage you need to win this Season! Did you know that the Stat/Systems Report is the #1 rated sports betting publication in the country today. Offering complete analysis and predictions for every game on the board including game logs, betting trends, key injuries, vital statistics, lines and odds, and more the daily publication is everything that you need to win each and every day!
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••••• STAN THE MAN CONTINUES TO ROLL! •••••
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Stan 'The Man has Turned-Up the Heat on the Gridiron with his RED~HOT 65-22-4, (74.7%) ATS Run, along with his impressive 132-56-2 (70.2%) mark for the season, in MLB action! But most Importantly, Yours Truly has delivered the cash in Forty-One of the last Forty-Four, and in Seventy-Five of the last Seventy-Nine Weeks, Dating back to Last Season!
Fresh off a Spectacular 6-2, (75.0%) Performance Last Week Past, (and once again thanks to all that signed-up) Stan released to all that called, his *4-Star 'MNF Dynamite Super Situational Play' with New England (-2.5, 1rst Half), that was supported by an Amazing Winning Angle inside the game.
--PLAY ON - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line - an excellent offensive team (>=27 PPG) against a good defensive team (14-18 PPG) after 8+ games, after a win by 21 or more points. ATS W-L Record 24-5 (82.8% +18.5 units) Since 1983.
--Result: The New England Patriots made a statement Monday night, pummeling the New York Jets, 45-3, to seize control of the AFC East in impressive fashion. Both teams drove into field goal range on their opening drives. New England's Shayne Graham had enough leg for a 41-yarder through a bitter wind 4:03 in, while Nick Folk missed wildly on a 53-yard try a little later.
Folk scored the visitors' only points early in the second quarter on a 39-yard field goal, capping an eight-play, 46-yard drive. It stayed 24-3 at the break, and the Jets had a promising march thwarted when Brandon Spikes picked off Sanchez in the red zone early in the third.
After taking most of the week off, “The Man Continued to Sizzle with his 'ROCK~SOLID' Roll in NBA Action on Friday, dishing out yet another Huge Top *5-Star Winner (San Antonio -8.5) that was back by this ‘Incredible Super Situational System’ - PLAY ON: Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more against opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points. ATS W-L Record 25-4 (86.2%, +20.6 units) Since 1996.
--Result: Richard Jefferson scored 18 points and hit three straight three-point shots in a fourth-quarter display, leading the red-hot San Antonio Spurs to a 108-92 victory over the Atlanta Hawks. Jefferson went 6-of-8 from the field and 5-of-6 from long distance for the Spurs, who have won 18 of their last 20 games to improve to an NBA-best 19-3. With the win, it extended Stan's season record on the NBA hardwood to 20-3, (86.9%) with his last twenty-three top rated selections.
Wrapping up the week Sunday, which saw us here at Stat/Systems Sports go 4-1, (80.0%) overall, we got the ball rolling in Charlotte, NC with Atlanta (-4.5 1rst Half). Michael Turner ran for three touchdowns and the Atlanta Falcons continued their quest for the top seed in the NFC with a 31-10 victory over the lowly Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium.
Trailing 17-0 after Matt Bryant made a 39-yard field goal in the second frame, Carolina, which totaled only 33 yards and two first downs through the first half, reached the end zone on its opening possession of the third quarter. Goodson capped the five-play, 81-yard drive with a 13-yard dash.
Stan 'The Man didn't Stop There - As he came right back with another Huge Top *5-Star (Miami/NY Jets Under 19.5 1rst Half) 'Totally Incredible Situational' Winner, Improving his NFL mark to 26-9-2, (74.2%) on the 2010 season.
- PLAY UNDER: Any team where the first half total is between 18 and 21 - team outrushing opponents by 60+ YPG against an average rushing team (+/- 30 RY/G) after 8+ games, after gaining 150 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games. W-L Record 25-5 Since 1983, (83.3%, +19.5 units).
--Result: Chad Henne found Brandon Marshall for the game's only touchdown in the first quarter, and the Dolphins pulled out a gritty 10-6 win over the New York Jets in rainy conditions at New Meadowlands Stadium. The Dolphins were out gained in yards, 280-131, but took advantage of two Mark Sanchez turnovers in the opening quarter to come away with their third straight road win against their AFC East rival.
Stan and the staff here at Stat/Systems Sports would like to take the time to thank every one for your kind and wonderful E-Mails: •I've been a Stat/Systems Sports member for close to 3 months now and I just wanted to comment on how tremendous your service has been... Keep up the great work you all have been doing, your daily report is incredibly helpful. Continued success, ~ Mike - Greenwich, CT
•I have been a subscriber for less than a month, but I am totally impressed with your Stat/Systems Report. The total amount of information is incredible. I have been focusing on your *5-Star Super Situational Systems which I have found to be exceptional on totals. I will be a subscriber as long as I am playing. ~ Fred Ravo, Baltimore, MD
As always, the best way to take advantage of Stan 'The Man's Sharp Information found each and every day right here in his Stat/Systems Report is to join for a Week or Month, so that you get every single one of his plays, including all of his Late Information releases. “Do it now and Save Big, subscribe today! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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***** SUNDAY, DECEMBER 19TH NFL INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• 2-MINUTE DRILL
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--Kansas City SERIES: 4-0 L4/3-0 L3 A... 8-1 non div RD's off DD SU loss (1-0 this year)... 1-6 non conf RF's (1-0 this year)... 2-5 aft Chargers (1-0 this year)... HALEY: 8-3 A vs opp off SU loss... 7-1 O/U Game Fourteen
--ST. LOUIS 5-0 vs opp off SUATS loss... 5-1 off SU loss... 2-7 H off DD SU loss vs opp off SUATS loss (1-0 this year)... 2-7 Game Fourteen
--Houston SERIES: 3-1 L4/1-3 L4 A... 2-9 1st BB RG's (0-1 this year)... 0-3 O/U Game Fourteen
--TENNESSEE 1-4 aft Colts... 6-1 O/U Game Fourteen
--Jacksonville SERIES: 5-1 L6 A... 7-0 .500 > vs .500 > opp off BB ATS losses... 1-7 dogs off BB SU wins vs opp w/rev (1-0 this year)... 1-12 A off SU win vs div opp off div... DEC: 1-8 A vs opp off div w/rev... 2-12 vs opp w/rev off SU win (1-1 this year)... 2-7 aft scoring 35 > pts vs div opp (1-1 this year)... 3-1 O/U Game Fourteen
--INDIANAPOLIS 7-1 SU Game Fourteen... 2-10 div HF's w/rev (1-0 this year)... CALDWELL: 9-2-1 vs opp off SUATS win
--Arizona SERIES: 4-1 L5 A... 0-5 Game Fourteen... 2-9 vs NFC South (1-2 this year)... 3-9 A after scoring 35 > pts (1-0 this year)
--CAROLINA 9-0 H off SUATS loss & BB dog roles vs < .500 opp... 6-0 favs off DD ATS loss... 4-0 favs < 5 pts vs opp off SU dog win... 5-1 H off DD SU loss vs opp off SU dog win (0-1 this year)... 5-1 Game Fourteen
--Cleveland SERIES: 4-1 L5... 8-0 A vs .250 < opp... 7-0 A off SU loss vs opp off 3 SU losses... 4-1 Game Fourteen... DEC: 0-7 vs < .500 div opp... 1-10 off non div vs div opp w/rev... (0-1 this year)... 1-6 A vs div opp w/rev (0-1 this year)
--CINCINNATI 0-8-1 favs off DD SU loss... 1-9 aft Steelers (1-0 this year)... 3-16 H vs div opp off SU loss (0-1 this year)... 1-3 SU Game Fourteen
--Buffalo 10-2 < .500 vs div opp off SU dog win (0-1 this year)... 6-2 Game Fourteen
--MIAMI SERIES: 4-1 L5... 0-5 vs .250 < div opp... 0-4 aft allowing 7 < pts... DEC: 1-21 div favs... DEC: 1-9 H off SU dog win... 1-8 vs < .500 opp off SU win (0-1 this year)... 1-7 off SU dog win vs div opp off SUATS win... 2-9 H off SU dog win (1-2 this year)
--Philadelphia SERIES: 5-0 L5/3-0 L3 A... 8-0 SU Game Fourteen... 0-4 L4 turf... 1-5 L6 dog... 6-3 O/U after Cowboys
--NY GIANTS 0-5 L5 H fav 0.5/3.0... 8-2 O/U L10 vs. NFC East… 8-2 O/U Game Fourteen... 4-1 O/U off Monday gm
--Washington SERIES: 8-3 L11/3-0 L3 A... DEC: 10-2 dogs off SU loss vs opp w/rev (1-0 this year)... DEC: 13-3 < .500 A off SU loss (0-1 this year)... SHANAHAN: 10-0 < .500 dog vs opp off SU loss (1-0 this year)... 1-3 O/U Game Fourteen
--DALLAS DEC: 9-0 H vs div opp off non div (1-0 this year)... 9-1 < .500 H vs div opp off dog role... 0-3 O/U Game Fourteen
--Detroit SERIES: 6-1 L7/7-2 L9 A... 0-14 SU Game Fourteen... 0-8 dogs < 9 pts off DD ATS win... 0-6 off SU dog win vs conf opp... 0-6 dogs 7 < pts off SU dog win
--TAMPA BAY 4-0 Game Fourteen... 1-9 vs non div opp off SUATS win (1-2 this year)
--New Orleans 6-0 non div dogs vs .500 > opp... DEC: 1-8 off DD & BB SU wins... 1-8-1 1st BB RG's... 1-5 SU Game Fourteen... PAYTON: 7-1 dog w/rev vs .500 > opp
--BALTIMORE SERIES: 4-1 L5/3-1 L4 H... 1-7 off Monday (0-1 this year)
--Atlanta SERIES: 3-1 L4 A... 8-2 aft Panthers... 1-10 Game Fourteen... 1-6 off BB SU wins vs opp off SU div loss (1-0 this year)... 3-8 off SU win 21 > pts (1-0 this year)
--SEATTLE DEC: 11-1 H vs .500 > non div opp... DEC: 8-1 < .500 dogs < 7 pts... 1-9 vs non div opp off 3 + SU wins (0-1 this year)... 1-5 Game Fourteen
--NY Jets SERIES: 3-1 L4/1-4 L5 A... 5-0 RD's 8 < pts vs non div opp w/rev off SUATS win... DEC: 12-3 dogs vs opp w/rev (0-1 this year)... 3-10 aft Dolphins (1-0 this year)... 1-3 O/U Game Fourteen
--PITTSBURGH 10-1 2nd BB HG's vs non div opp (1-0 this year)... 5-1 favs < 9 pts off div HG (0-1 this year)... 5-1 SU Game Fourteen
--Denver 5-0 RD's 7 < pts off BB SU losses vs div opp... 0-3 Game Fourteen
--OAKLAND SERIES: 7-2 L9/2-5 L7 H... 1-13 1st BB HG's vs < .500 opp... 1-13 L14 favs (1- 2 this year)... 2-11 < .500 H vs div opp w/rev (1-0 this year)... 1-11 H vs opp off BB SU losses... 1-4 SU Game Fourteen... 3-9 vs div opp w/rev (2-0 this year)
--Green Bay SERIES: 4-1 L5/3-0 L3 A... 5-0 dogs 13 < pts off SU fav loss... 3-1 Game Fourteen... 1-5 aft scoring < 10 pts vs non div opp (1-0 this year)... 1-7 aft Lions... 7-0 O/U L7 road
--NEW ENGLAND 12-0 H vs opp off SU fav loss... 10-2 HF's > 3 pts vs .600 > opp (1-1 this year)... 9-2 vs .666 > non conf opp (1-0 this year)... 3-1 Game Fourteen... 2-8 H aft allowing 10 < pts... BELICHICK: 19-2 H vs opp off SU div loss (1-0 this year)... 6-0 O/U L6 off a SU win
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Stan Knows Football and Basketball! Check out the huge winning run “The Man is enjoying and prepare to get all of his football and basketball selections with a discounted monthly or seasonal package.” Do it now and Save Big! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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*** SUNDAY'S QUICK HITS ***
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• #303 CHIEFS (8-5) @ #304 RAMS (6-7) - Who would’ve thought this would be battle of first place teams? Big question is whether Cassel (appendix) is well enough to play, and if so, can he play well? Chiefs won last four games in seldom-played intrastate series, but got crushed in San Diego last week (TY 426-67), as backup QB Croyle is now 0-10 as NFL starter. First-place Rams won four of last five home games, are home for first time in four weeks after 2-1 road trip. Rams didn’t score first half TD in last two games; they’ve got to get better in red zone (39 net points on last 13 RZ drives). AFC West road teams are 7-11 vs spread in non-division games. NFC West home teams are 9-7. Four of last five Chief road games went over the total.
• #305 TEXANS (5-8) @ #306 TITANS (5-8) - Houston is first team in NFL history to lose four games in same season where they rallied to tie/take lead after trailing by 14+ points; they blanked Rusty Smith-led Titans 20-0 at home three weeks ago, holding crippled visitors to 162 yards, nine first downs- that was only game this year that Texans held foe under 20 points. Tennessee won eight of last ten series games, winning six of last eight played here, but they’ve lost last six games overall (1-5 vs. spread), scoring four TDs on last 38 drives. Five of last six Houston games went over total. Titans did four more days to prepare than Houston did, thanks to primetime dates for both last week. AFC South home teams are 6-2 in divisional play.
• #307 JAGUARS (8-5) @ #308 COLTS (7-6) - Jags (+6.5) upset Indy 31-28 at home in Week 4, outrushing Colts 174-58; expect them to try more of same here. Jax won five of last six games (6-0 vs. spread-- lost 24-20 @ Giants), running ball for 207-258-234 yards- they converted 21 of last 43 3rd down plays. Jags are 5-4 vs. spread as underdog, 4-2 on road. Colts lost three of last four games, allowing 158.8 rushing ypg; only once in last eight games has Indy won by more than six points. Indy was +2 in turnovers last week, after being -12 in three previous games- they did have three extra days to prepare for this after holding off Titans last week, 30-28. Home teams are 6-2 vs. spread in AFC South divisional games. Five of last seven Jaguar games went over total.
• # 309 CARDINALS (3-10) @ #310 PANTHERS (1-12) - Our Gamblers’ Anonymous Game of the Week; if you invest in this game, get professional help. That said, Panthers are 7-3 in series, but all three losses were here at home, as visitor won four of last five in series. Rookie QB Skelton was just 15-38/146 in his first NFL start last week (it was Arizona’s first win in last eight games); his first road start will be played in front of thousands of empty seats. Redbirds are 2-3 as road underdog this year; Panthers are 0-2 as favorite. Carolina lost its last seven games; when was last time a team on 7-game losing skid was favored? Over is 8-3 in last 11 Arizona games, 4-1 in last five Carolina tilts. Average total in last three series games was 50.3, but Warner was playing QB for Cardinals in those games.
• #311 BROWNS (5-8) @ #312 BENGALS (2-11) - Cleveland allowed one offensive TD in each of last three games, but has only one TD itself on offense the last two weeks. Cincy is 9-3 in last 12 series games, but lost 23-20 (-2) back in Week 4, game that started Bengals on current 10-game tailspin. Cincy outgained Browns 413-295 that day, but turned ball over twice and lost field position by average of 8 yards. Three of last four Bengal losses were by 16+ points. Cleveland is on road for third week in row, most always a bad spot (see Rams last week); they’re 2-5 on road, 3-3-1 as road dog. Underdogs are 5-3 vs spread in AFC North divisional games. Browns lost five of last six visits here, with average total in last three played here 29.3. Wouldn’t risk your money on Delhomme.
• #313 BILLS (3-10) @ #314 DOLPHINS (7-6) - Buffalo is 3-2 in last five games after 0-8 start, as they foul up their draft position. Miami is 6-1 on road, 1-5 at home, with only home win 29-17 (+1) in Week 10 vs. Tennessee; Dolphins (-3) won season opener 15-10 in Buffalo, outrushing Bills 132-50, their fourth win in last five series games. Bills lost here last two years, 25-16/38-10. Buffalo is 5-2-1 vs. spread in last eight games; they’re 4-2 as true road underdog this year, with only one loss (38-14 @ Minnesota) in last eight games by more than three points. Home teams are 2-6 vs spread in AFC East divisional games, 1-4 if home favorite. Fish scored 10 or less points in four of last six games (five TDs on last 49 drives). Five of last seven games for both teams stayed under total.
• #315 EAGLES (9-4) @ #316 GIANTS (9-4) - Since 1988, Eagles are 10-1 in second game of season against Giants if they won the first meeting. Don’t think unexpected short work week will be detriment to Giants after uplifting performance Monday night, but Philly won last five series games, beating Big Blue 27-17 (-3) four weeks ago, outrushing Giants 148-61 (TY 392-208). Reid won four of last five series games in Swamp. Over last six games, Giants outsacked opponents 16-1; they’re +6 in turnovers last three games and only allowed one TD on 25 drives in last two games, albeit vs non-contenders. Eagles are 5-1 since their bye, scoring average of 34.7 ppg; Last four Giant games stayed under total; eight of last nine Eagle games went over.
• #317 REDSKINS (5-8) @ #318 COWBOYS (4-9) - Pokes (-3.5) lost season opener 13-7 at Washington, despite outgaining Skins by 130 yards (Dallas has 12 penalties, two empty red zone trips); Redskins lost five of last six games overall- eight of their 13 games were decided by 5 or less points (underdogs are 7-3-3 vs spread in their ’10 games). Skins lost 12 of last 14 visits here; rumors were flying they almost benched McNabb again late in Tampa game, so tensions have to be high there, plus they cut punter who muffed snap on game-losing missed PAT. Dallas is 5-0 vs spread since Garrett took over, 1-0 as favorite; their last three games were all decided by 3 points. Last ten Cowboy games went over total. Teams are 4-8 week after playing Bucs, despite being favored in eight of the 12 games.
• #319 LIONS (3-10) @ #320 BUCCANEERS (8-5) - Tampa Bay is 8-0 vs losing teams, 0-5 vs winning teams; five of its eight wins are by 3 or less points. Lions are 0-6 on road, 4-2 as road dogs, losing by 5-14-2-8-2-16 points- they’re 8-3 overall as a dog this year. Bucs still in thick of playoff hunt, need this game and Seattle home game next week, since they finish at Superdome. Tampa is 1-1-2 as favorite this year. Bucs won seven of last nine games in what used to be divisional rivalry; Lions lost three of last four visits here, losing by 7-3-4 points. NFC South home favorites are 7-5-1 vs spread in non-divisional games; NFC North road dogs are also 7-5-1. Eight of last ten Detroit games went over total. Dogs are 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight Buccaneer games.
• #321 SAINTS (10-3) @ #322 RAVENS (9-4) - Red-hot defending champs won last six games, scoring 30+ points in last five; they’re underdog for first time this year, against Raven squad playing on short week after dramatic OT win late Monday night. Only red flag on Saint win streak is that last five victims all have losing records. Ravens are 5-1 at home, but ran ball for just 92-43-63 yards in last three games- they were +2 in turnovers Monday, had 18-yard edge in field position, still needed defensive score to win in OT. Keep in mind that in Saints’ three losses, they were -2/-3/-4 in turnovers. Underdogs are 5-2 vs spread week after playing the Rams. AFC North home favorites are just 3-9 vs spread in non-divisional games. Lot of urgency on both sides, since neither team leads their division.
• #323 FALCONS (11-2) @ #324 SEAHAWKS (6-7) - Atlanta won last seven games, covered last five; they’re 4-1 as road favorite this year, but this is their third straight road game, historically a tough spot. All seven Seahawk losses are by 15+ points; they’re 4-2 at home, 2-2 as home dogs, with home losses 41-7 to Giants, 42-24 to Chiefs. Seattle is 8-3 in series, winning four of last five, with three wins by 3 or less points, or in OT; average total in last four series games, 58.0. Falcons lost four of five visits here. Teams are 2-7 week after playing the 49ers; favorites are 1-4 vs. spread week after playing Carolina. NFC South road favorites are 2-5-1 vs spread in non-divisional games; NFC West home underdogs are 6-3. Over is 6-0 in last six Seattle games, 6-2 in Falcons’ last eight games.
• #325 JETS (9-4) @ #326 STEELERS (10-3) - Jets have never won in Steel City, losing all seven tries, with five of last six losses there by 11+ points. Jets also haven’t scored TD in last two games (or in any of their four losses)- they’ve been outscored 41-9 in first half of last three games. Jury is out on whether Sanchez can play in bad weather, and also on whether Brunell is still capable backup (or is he just playing because his finances went bad?). Steelers won last four games, but stumbled through last three, scoring two TDs on last 29 drives- their defense scored or directly set up (9-yard game-winning drive in Baltimore) their last three TDs. Last four Pittsburgh games stayed under total. Jets only have two INTs in last eight games, while Sanchez has thrown 12 in those same eight games.
• #327 BRONCOS (4-9) @ #328 RAIDERS (6-7) - Oakland led 38-7 at half of 59-14 (+7.5) trouncing of Denver at Invesco back in Week 7; Raiders had 328 rushing yards in that game, were+3 in turnovers, averaged 8.2 ypa. Hard to imagine anything different this time; Broncos lost four in row, eight of last nine games- they gave up 185-211 rushing yards in last two games (@ Chiefs/@ Cardinals), classic sign of team in tank (they gave up 43 points last week to team starting its #3 QB for first time), and this is Denver’s third straight week on road, historically a soft spot for anyone. Raiders are 4-2 at home (2-2 as HF), with wins by 2-8-30-3 points. Home favorites are just 16-22 vs spread in divisional games this year, 3-3 in AFC West. Four of last five Oakland home games went over total.
• #329 PACKERS (8-5) @ #330 PATRIOTS (11-2) - Fourth road game in five weeks for Packer squad that hasn’t lost a game all year by more than 4 points; they’re 1-1 as underdog, and had scored 14 TDs in 37 drives before last week’s debacle in Detroit. Patriots won last five games, covered last three, winning last two weeks by combined 81-10 against pair of division leaders (Jets/Bears)- they’re 3-2-1 as home favorite, winning in Foxboro by 14-8-3-10-3-42 points. In his last three games, Brady averaged 12.1/9.5/8.2 ypa. Patriots are +12 in turnovers in last four games. Under is 9-4 in Green Bay games this year; last seven Patriot games went over total. Expect Rodgers to play here, meaning if he doesn’t play, no reason to read analysis like this, just bet against Flynn.
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Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
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• AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK
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The troubled Jets find themselves traveling via Route 666 this afternoon as they look to get back on the winning track at the expense of a battered and bruised Big Ben and his cast of Steelers. The Flyboys also landed nicely in the Steel City as our 'AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK' - PLAY ON: Any .666 > NFL road underdog of more than four points during the final four games of the season versus a .666 > opponent off a SU and ATS win. ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 15-3, 83.0%.
Good news for New York fans is head coach Rex Ryan’s sterling 6-1 SU and ATS log as dog of less than 7 points. While Pittsburgh has been winning the stats by an average 105 YPG over the 2nd half of the season, the fact is Mike Tomlin is only 9-9 SU and 5-13 ATS in games in which he is favored by 7 or less points when playing off a SU and ATS win. “Look for the Jets to improve to 4-1 ATS in this series as the points become the play in this playoff preview!”
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• NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK
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Christmas has come one week early as the Bengals, losers of 10 straight encounters have been given the label this afternoon as a home favorite. (Carolina and Cincinnati were both favored in the same week only once this season – Oct. 10th – and both lost outright). Cleveland’s loss last week at Buffalo may have you a little gun shy about backing the Brownies this week but don’t be, as they check in as our 'NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK' which tells us to: PLAY AGAINST - Any NFL Game Fourteen division home favorite off a loss of more than 10 points. ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 11-3, 78.6%.
According to our always trust worthy data base we find the Browns are 8-1-1 ATS on the road versus .250 or less opposition and 7-1-1 ATS away off a loss versus an opponent off three or more losses. Meanwhile, the Bengals are 1-9 ATS in their last ten scuffles when laying points and 1-9 ATS after battling the Steelers. Our Stat/Sheets also remind us that Cincinnati is 1-8 ‘ITS’ over the last nine games and has been losing the stats battle by an average of 90 YPG over the second half of the season!
Even our NFL Coaches League has a say in the matter as Marvin Lewis is 4-8-1 ATS at home in the final four games of the season while Eric Mangini is a perfect 5-0 ATS as a road dog in the final quarter of the season. "The Bengals 5-14 SU and 3-16 ATS mark at home versus a division opponent off a loss, including 1-11 ATS when both teams are off a loss, clinches it!"
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• INCREDIBLE STATS OF THE WEEK
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We’ll stay in the AFC this week where a Jacksonville win would give the Jags their first-ever AFC South title. In reality, it’s all or nothing for both of these squads this afternoon in Peyton’s Place as an Indy win would put the Colts in control of all division tie-breakers with just Oakland and Tennessee left on the slate. Jacksonville is riding a 6-game ATS win streak and their current 5-1 ATS series run in this building is a cause for concern. But our Rock-Solid database reminds us that the Jaguars are just 4-11 SU and 1-11-2 ATS on the division road versus a foe off a division confrontation.
We should also point out that Indianapolis HC Jim Caldwell is 9-2-1 ATS versus an opponent off a SU and ATS win. If the post-season started today, the Jets and Ravens would be the AFC Wild Card entrants while the Colts and Bolts would be with us watching the playoffs. It does not. The demise of Peyton Manning has been greatly exaggerated. If you disagree, check out his 'INCREDIBLE STATS' - 20-0 SU and 17-3 ATS mark in his last 20 tussles when playing with revenge off a win. "In what amounts to a one and done, we know who we want buttering our bread!"
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• AMAZING SITUATIONAL TRENDS
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The hottest team in the NFC, the Falcons, take a seven-game win streak into Starbucks city where Seattle looks to serve up a steamed concoction of their own in this battle of division leaders. Atlanta takes to the road in its third-straight away game with sour numbers: 2-8 SU and 1-9 ATS off BB SU and ATS wins in non-division games, and just 1-10 ATS in Game Fourteens. Next to Seattle’s 'AMAZING' 11-1 ATS mark at home in December in games against .500 or greater non-division foes, expect the Falcons to come flatter than a day old cup of coffee.
The clincher is the Falcons are caught dead in the middle of a classic NFL division sandwich: off back-to-back division games with back-to-back division encounters on deck. Teams in this role are 13-41 ATS when playing off an ATS victory against an opponent off a loss. "With the Seahawks tied with Rams atop the NFC West and the 49ers lurking one game back, we can taste it now!"
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As always, the best way to take advantage of Stan 'The Man's Sharp Information found each and every day right here in his Stat/Systems Report is to join for a Week or Month, so that you get every single one of his plays, including all of his Late Information releases. “Do it now and Save Big, subscribe today! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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*** KANSAS CITY @ ST LOUIS (-3, O/U 42) ***
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GAME BREAKDOWN: These two division leaders find themselves in a must-win game. Both were blown out on the road in Week 14, though the Chiefs could point to the absence of QB Matt Cassel, who will likely be questionable this weekend after an appendectomy. K.C. has not looked good on the road lately, losing four of five SU and two of three ATS, but their strong running game matches up well against a Rams D that’s allowing 5.1 yards per carry over their past four games. St. Louis has been good at home, winning four of five SU and ATS. Series History – Last 5 seasons: St Louis is 0-1 ATS (0-1 SU) vs. Kansas City (0-1 ATS, 0-1 SU at home.)
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