Announcement

**Udog** · 12-01-2010, 12:34 PM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 13

Houston at Philadelphia
The Eagles look to build on their 11-2 ATS record in their last 13 games in Week 13. Philadelphia is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Eagles favored by 12 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-8). Here are all of the this week's picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 2

Game 301-302: Houston at Philadelphia (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 128.238; Philadelphia 140.887
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 12 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 8; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-8); Under

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 5

Game 341-342: Buffalo at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 132.189; Minnesota 129.938
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 2; 47
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 6; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+6); Over

Game 343-344: Cleveland at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 130.569; Miami 137.321
Dunkel Line: Miami by 7; 39
Vegas Line: Miami by 4; 43
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-4); Under

Game 345-346: Jacksonville at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 130.507; Tennessee 128.103
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 2 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+3); N/A

Game 347-348: Denver at Kansas City (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 121.117; Kansas City 133.550
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 12 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 7 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-7 1/2); Under

Game 349-350; Washington at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 128.142; NY Giants 132.479
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 4 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 7; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+7); Over

Game 351-352: Chicago at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 137.500; Detroit 128.879
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 8 1/2; 30
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3); Under

Game 353-354: San Francisco at Green Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 129.445; Green Bay 136.255
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 7; 47
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 10; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+10); Over

Game 355-356: New Orleans at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 137.538; Cincinnati 125.320
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 12; 43
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 6 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-6 1/2); Under

Game 357-358: Atlanta at Tampa Bay (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 135.598; Tampa Bay 136.634
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 47
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+3); Over

Game 359-360: Oakland at San Diego (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 125.144; San Diego 139.732;
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 14 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: San Diego by 12 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-12 1/2); Over

Game 361-362: Carolina at Seattle (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 120.652; Seattle 124.715
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 4; 35
Vegas Line: Seattle by 6; 40
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+6); Under

Game 363-364: Dallas at Indianapolis (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 132.376; Indianapolis 135.243
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 3; 45
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 5 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+5 1/2); Under

Game 365-366: St. Louis at Arizona (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 126.490; Arizona 120.277
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 6; 49
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 3; 43
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-3); Over

Game 367-368: Pittsburgh at Baltimore (8:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 135.286; Baltimore 136.364
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 44
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3; 40
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3); Over

MONDAY, DECEMBER 6

Game 369-370: NY Jets at New England (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 134.974; New England 139.488
Dunkel Line: New England by 4 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: New England by 3; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-3); Over

**Udog** · 12-01-2010, 12:35 PM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 13

Thursday, December 2

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HOUSTON (5 - 6) at PHILADELPHIA (7 - 4) - 12/2/2010, 8:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Sunday, December 5

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BUFFALO (2 - 9) at MINNESOTA (4 - 7) - 12/5/2010, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CLEVELAND (4 - 7) at MIAMI (6 - 5) - 12/5/2010, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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JACKSONVILLE (6 - 5) at TENNESSEE (5 - 6) - 12/5/2010, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 4-1 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 4-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (3 - 8) at KANSAS CITY (7 - 4) - 12/5/2010, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
DENVER is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (5 - 6) at NY GIANTS (7 - 4) - 12/5/2010, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 4-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 4-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (8 - 3) at DETROIT (2 - 9) - 12/5/2010, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 7-26 ATS (-21.6 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
DETROIT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 7) at GREEN BAY (7 - 4) - 12/5/2010, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 130-98 ATS (+22.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 0-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (8 - 3) at CINCINNATI (2 - 9) - 12/5/2010, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ATLANTA (9 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (7 - 4) - 12/5/2010, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OAKLAND (5 - 6) at SAN DIEGO (6 - 5) - 12/5/2010, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 21-42 ATS (-25.2 Units) in December games since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 4-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (1 - 10) at SEATTLE (5 - 6) - 12/5/2010, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 83-59 ATS (+18.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 41-20 ATS (+19.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 57-33 ATS (+20.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
SEATTLE is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DALLAS (3 - 8) at INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 5) - 12/5/2010, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ST LOUIS (5 - 6) at ARIZONA (3 - 8) - 12/5/2010, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 81-111 ATS (-41.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ARIZONA is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-1 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 5-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (8 - 3) at BALTIMORE (8 - 3) - 12/5/2010, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home games in December games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-2 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, December 6

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NY JETS (9 - 2) at NEW ENGLAND (9 - 2) - 12/6/2010, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 84-60 ATS (+18.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 58-36 ATS (+18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
NY JETS are 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY JETS are 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 3-2 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-01-2010, 12:36 PM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 13

Thursday, 12/2/2010

HOUSTON at PHILADELPHIA, 8:20 PM ET NFL
HOUSTON: 7-20 ATS off a home win
PHILADELPHIA: 6-0 ATS off road game where both teams scored 24+ points

Sunday, 12/5/2010

BUFFALO at MINNESOTA, 1:00 PM ET
BUFFALO: 22-10 OVER after 3+ ATS wins
MINNESOTA: 20-8 ATS at home off win by 6pts or less

CLEVELAND at MIAMI, 1:00 PM ET
CLEVELAND: 9-2 ATS off a non-conference game
MIAMI: 0-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points

JACKSONVILLE at TENNESSEE, 1:00 PM ET
JACKSONVILLE: 6-0 OVER off 5 or more consecutive overs
TENNESSEE: 1-6 ATS off 2 straight losses

DENVER at KANSAS CITY, 1:00 PM ET
DENVER: 2-10 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points
KANSAS CITY: 11-2 ATS at home after gaining 200+ rushing yards

WASHINGTON at NY GIANTS, 1:00 PM ET
WASHINGTON: 32-14 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
NY GIANTS: 0-6 ATS at home off an Over

CHICAGO at DETROIT, 1:00 PM ET
CHICAGO: 7-26 ATS in December road games
DETROIT: 14-4 ATS off a home loss by 21+ points

SAN FRANCISCO at GREEN BAY, 1:00 PM ET
SAN FRANCISCO: 7-1 UNDER in December
GREEN BAY: 6-3 ATS in weeks 10 through 13

NEW ORLEANS at CINCINNATI, 1:00 PM ET
NEW ORLEANS: 6-0 OVER Away if the total is between 45.5 and 49 points
CINCINNATI: 19-6 OVER after 6+ SU losses

ATLANTA at TAMPA BAY, 4:15 PM ET
ATLANTA: 18-9 ATS in all games
TAMPA BAY: 2-9 ATS in home games

OAKLAND at SAN DIEGO, 4:05 PM ET
OAKLAND: 21-42 ATS in December games
SAN DIEGO: 26-5 ATS off 4+ ATS wins

CAROLINA at SEATTLE, 4:15 PM ET
CAROLINA: 1-8 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
SEATTLE: 6-0 ATS after allowing 25+ pts BB games

DALLAS at INDIANAPOLIS, 4:15 PM ET
DALLAS: 7-0 Over on turf
INDIANAPOLIS: 6-1 OVER after a game with a turnover margin of -4 or worse

ST LOUIS at ARIZONA, 4:15 PM ET
ST LOUIS: 1-7 ATS revenging a same season loss
ARIZONA: N/A

PITTSBURGH at BALTIMORE, 8:20 PM ET NBC
PITTSBURGH: 15-4 OVER after having won 2 out of their last 3 games
BALTIMORE: 34-19 ATS off a non-conference game

Monday, 12/6/2010

NY JETS at NEW ENGLAND, 8:30 PM ET ESPN
NY JETS: 7-0 ATS as road underdog of 7 pts or less
NEW ENGLAND: 7-1 Over as a favorite

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 12-01-2010, 12:38 PM

NFL

Week 13

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Trend Report
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Thursday, December 2

8:20 PM
HOUSTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Sunday, December 5

1:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NY GIANTS
Washington is 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games when playing NY Giants
Washington is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
NY Giants are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games
NY Giants are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

1:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. MINNESOTA
Buffalo is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

1:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago

1:00 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. GREEN BAY
San Francisco is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Green Bay's last 11 games

1:00 PM
DENVER vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games
Kansas City is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver

1:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. CINCINNATI
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing New Orleans

1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
Miami is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games at home

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. TENNESSEE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

4:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Oakland is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing Oakland

4:15 PM
DALLAS vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing Dallas

4:15 PM
ATLANTA vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta

4:15 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. ARIZONA
St. Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing St. Louis

4:15 PM
CAROLINA vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games
Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

8:20 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. BALTIMORE
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
Baltimore is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

Monday, December 6

8:30 PM
NY JETS vs. NEW ENGLAND
NY Jets are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Jets last 5 games on the road
New England is 12-4 SU in their last 16 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing NY Jets

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**Udog** · 12-02-2010, 09:16 AM

NFL
Write-Up

Week 13

Texans (5-6) @ Eagles (7-4)—Long travel, short week for Houston squad that snapped 4-game skid with 20-0 win over turmoil-riddled Titans Sunday; Texans lost last three road games, by 13-7-3 points, allowing average of 30.3 ppg (allowed nine TDs/30 drives). Houston is 1-6 when it scores less than 30 points, 1-2 as road underdog. Eagles are 5-2 in last seven games, but gave up 31 points in loss to Bears last week; Philly won last three home games by 14-2-10 points; they’re 2-2 as a home favorite. NFC East non-divisional home favorites are 4-8 vs. spread; AFC South home dogs are 8-3. Over is 3-1 in last four Houston games, 6-1 in last seven Eagle games.

Bills (2-9) @ Vikings (4-7)—Buffalo is 2-4 since its bye, but all four losses were by exactly 3 points, as improving Bills showing improvement on offense (46 for last 94 (48.9%) on 3rd down in last six games); Bills covered their last four games as road underdog. Minnesota is 3-2 at home (2-2 as home favorite) with two of three wins by exactly 3 points. Buffalo was outscored 44-14 in first half of last two games, but showed heart in second half (outscored foes 51-6), winning one, losing other in OT. AFC East non-divisional road underdogs are 9-2 vs spread; NFC North home favorites are 6-5. Four of last five Buffalo games stayed under total; over is 5-2-1 in last eight Viking games.

Redskins (5-6) @ Giants (7-4)—Six of last eight Washington games were decided by 5 or less points, so little things figure to decide this one. Redskins lost three of last four games, are 3-2 on road (3-1 as road dog), despite scoring 20+ once in the five games; they’re 0-4 if they don’t win turnover battle, a red flag for me. Giants were outscored 49-15 in first half of last three games; they’re 1-4 vs. spread in last five home games. Big Blue allowed 148-207 rushing yards in last two games, so Skins (13 carries 29 yards on ground) have chance to run it better this week. Home teams, favorites are 2-4 vs spread in NFC East divisional games this year. Three of last four Redskin road games stayed under total.

Browns (4-7) @ Dolphins (6-5)—Don’t think much of QB Delhomme; if they say McCoy is back starting, then I like Browns’ chances lot better here. Odd Miami team is 1-4 at home, 5-1 on road- they’re 1-3 as favorite, with all three losses SU. After starting 1-5, Browns are 3-2 in last five games, with losses by 6ot-4 points; they’re 2-2-1 as home favorite. Dolphins haven’t led at half in any of last seven games, but in their last three wins, they outscored foes 49-10 after halftime. AFC East non-divisional home favorites are 4-7-1 vs spread; AFC North road underdogs are 4-6-2. Four of five Miami home games went over total, as did last six Cleveland games.

Jaguars (6-5) @ Titans (5-6)—Tennessee (-3) won first matchup 30-3 in happier days seven weeks ago, before Vince Young got hurt/cursed out his coach, before Coach Heimendinger knew he had cancer. This will be first home start for 3rd-string rookie QB Smith, who generated 162 total yards, 9 first downs in 20-0 loss last week to Houston team that hadn’t held anyone under 20 points all year. Titans lost last four games, allowing 25.3 ppg. Jaguars won three of last four games; they’re -7 in turnovers last two weeks, have only two takeaways in three games since their bye. Home teams are 5-1 vs. spread in AFC South divisional games. Six of last eight Jaguar games went over the total.

Broncos (3-8) @ Chiefs (7-4)—Denver (+1) raced out to 28-0 first quarter lead, crushed Chiefs 49-29 in first meeting three weeks ago, outrushing Chiefs 153-51, but Broncos allowed 71 points (nine TDs on 22 drives) in losing two games since then, by 21-3 points. Denver is 1-4 as road underdog, losing away games by 7-14-8-21 points, and now they can’t film opposing walkthroughs anymore, which had to give them at least some edge, or they wouldn’t have done it. Chiefs scored 73 points in winning last two games; they’re 4-1 as a home favorite this year. Home teams are 5-1 vs. spread in AFC West divisional games. Over is 6-1 in last seven Chief games, 6-2 in last eight Denver games.

Bears (8-3) @ Lions (2-9)—Detroit saw Opening Day win slip away in Chicago when apparent game-winning TD catch by Johnson was reversed by instant replay; Bears outrushed Detroit 101-20 in that Opening Day 19-14 win (-6.5) but also had 100 penalty yards (Lions had 40). Chicago is 4-0 since its bye (3-0-1 vs. spread), running ball for 130-135-131 yards in last three games; balanced offense makes Cutler a better QB. Detroit lost last four games, allowing 80 points in last two (10 TDs on 20 drives). Will extra three days off after Thanksgiving help Detroit? League-wide, home underdogs in divisional games are 14-8-1 vs. spread. Seven of last eight Detroit games went over total.

49ers (4-7) @ Packers (7-4)—Don’t want to say 4-7 49ers have played easy schedule, but this is only third time in 12 games SF is underdog this year; long travel, short week for Niner squad that won Monday night but hardly looked sharp in doing so (11-23 passing, only one TD drive longer than 42 yards). 49ers are 4-2 in last six games after 0-5 start. Packers had 4-game win streak snapped at gun by 9-2 Atlanta last week; Packers are 3-2 as home favorite in ’10, winning at Lambeau by 27-2-4-38 points (lost at home to Miami, in OT). Under is 5-2 in last seven Green Bay games, 3-1 in Niners’ last four games. NFC North home favorites are 6-5 in non-divisional games. NFC West road underdogs are 6-7.

Saints (8-3) @ Bengals (2-9)— Saints are 8-0 if their turnover ratio is better than -2. Defending champs won last four games, by 10-31-15-3 points; after starting season 0-4-1 vs spread, they covered four of last six games (two of last three on road). Bengals lost last eight games (1-7 vs spread); they’re 1-4 at home, losing by 3-8-6-18 points (2-4 as underdog, 1-1 at home). In their last two games, Cincy was outscored 58-3 in second half- they’re -8 in turnovers the last three games. AFC North underdogs are 6-8-2 vs spread, 2-2 at home. NFC South favorites are 8-8-2, 2-4 on road. Both sides had three extra days to rest/prepare, after playing Thanksgiving Day. Three of last four Bengal home games went over total.

Falcons (9-2) @ Buccaneers (7-4)—Bucs (+8.5) lost 27-21 in Georgia Dome four weeks ago, getting KR for TD in game where Freeman averaged 7.9 ypa (#rd best of year). Tampa covered its last five games; they’re 3-2 at home (lost 38-13 to Steelers, 31-6 to Saints), 6-2 as underdog, 0-2 as home dog. Atlanta won its last five games, covered its last three; they’re 3-2 on road, losing in OT at Pitt, 31-17 in Philly- they scored 9-17 points in losses, are 8-0 scoring more than 17. Bucs held last three opponents to 17 or less points (six of 11 on year). Tampa hasn’t allowed a second half TD in last three games, outscoring foes 31-6 in second half. Home teams are 1-6 vs spread in NFC South divisional games; home dogs are 0-2. Five of last six Falcon games went over total.

Raiders (6-5) @ Chargers (6-5)—Oakland blocked two punts in first 5:00 of 35-27 home win (+7) over San Diego in Week 5; they also scored defensive TD in holding off Rivers, who passed for 415 yards. Raiders are 0-2 since their bye, giving up 68 points (8 TDs on 25 drives); they’ve run ball total of only 28 times for 77 yards in last two games, after averaging 33.3 runs in first nine games. Chargers won/covered last four games, scoring 33.3 ppg (14 TDs on 40 drives); defense had two TDs in Indy last week, while offense settled for one TD/five FGs. Bolts are 4-1 as home favorite this year, winning by 25-31-8-21 points (lost to Patriots at home). Home teams are 5-1 vs spread in AFC West divisional games. Over is 6-3 in Raiders’ last nine games.

Panthers (1-10) @ Seahawks (5-6)—Woeful Carolina lost last five games (1-4 vs. spread); they’re 2-3 as road dog this year, losing by 13-2-10-15-1 point on foreign soil. Panthers passed for 303 yards in their only win (Week 7 vs 49ers); haven’t passed for more than 182 in any other game this year. Seattle lost four of last five games; they’ve been outscored 83-31 in losing last two home games, after starting season 3-0 at home. Carolina ran ball for 151 yards last week, will try to do same vs. Seattle defense that gave up 270 rushing yards in home loss to Chiefs last week. NFC West favorites are 3-6 vs spread in non-divisional games, 2-4 at home; NFC South road underdogs are 5-3. Last four Seattle games, last three Carolina tilts all went over the total.

Cowboys (3-8) @ Colts (6-5)—Indy lost three of last four games, allowing 67 points (5 TDs on 17 drives) in last two; Colts are -8 in turnovers last two games, as Manning threw seven INTs, two of which were brought back for TDs by San Diego last week. In last four games, Indy averaging just 58.3 rushing ypg, after averaging 96.6 in first seven games. Dallas is 3-0 vs spread since changing coaches, scoring 33-35-27 points (10 TDs on 33 drives), running ball for 134-144 yards last two weeks (1st/3rd-best totals this year). Cowboys are 2-3 on road, 3-2 as underdog, 2-2 on road. Colts are 3-2 as a home favorite this season. NFC East road underdogs are 5-6 vs spread in non-division games. AFC South home favorites are 6-7. Last eight Dallas games went over the total.

Rams (5-6) @ Cardinals (3-8)—Arizona (-4) won 17-13 at St Louis in season opener, in game where both teams had four turnovers; teams have gone in opposite directions since, with Redbirds 0-6 since their bye (1-5 vs spread) while Rams are 5-5 since (8-2 vs spread). Bradford got first road win last week; he is first rookie QB ever to throw for 300+ yards with 3+ TD passes and no INTs in a road win. Short week for Cardinals after dismal 27-6 loss Monday night; Arizona scored 18-13-6 points in last three games, scoring four offensive TDs on last 45 drives. St Louis is hurting at WR; they’re just 9 for last 40 on 3rd down. Over is 7-2 in Cardinals’ last nine games, 3-0 in Rams’ last three. Underdogs are 5-1-1 vs. spread in NFC West divisional games this season.

Steelers (8-3) @ Ravens (8-3)—Baltimore (+1) pulled out 17-14 win at Heinz Field in Week 4, last game of Big Ben’s suspension; Steelers had 210 total yards, 88 penalty yards in that game. Pitt is 5-2 since Roethlisberger came back, but in last two games, they’ve had 24 penalties for 270 yards, which is hard to overcome (they had 84 more penalty yards than Bills last week). Steelers dodged bullet last week when Bills’ WR Johnson dropped easy TD pass in OT. Ravens won four of last five games, allowing two TDs on 25 drives in last two games; they’re 5-0 at home, 2-3 as home favorite (non-covers were as faves of 10.5/13/7.5 points). Underdogs are 4-2 vs spread in AFC North games this season. Winner here takes over first place in division with four games left.

Jets (9-2) @ Patriots (9-2)—Gang Green (+3) outscored New England 18-0 in second half of 28-14 win in Swamp back in Week 2; Jets were +3 in turnovers, outrushed Pats 136-52- their win is only cover this season by home team in AFC East divisional game (1-5 vs. spread). Jets won last four games (three Ws by 3 or less pts or in OT), Pats won last three, scoring 39-31-45 points (10 TDs on 31 drives)- they haven’t turned ball over since 34-14 loss in Cleveland (+6). Five of last nine Patriot TDs came on drives of 79+ yards, even though they’ve won field position struggle by 11-9-5 yards in last three games. Jets allowed 10-9 points in their losses, have only lost field position battle once this year (-14 vs. Packers). Over is 9-2 in New England games this season, 8-2 in last ten Jet games.

**Udog** · 12-02-2010, 09:19 AM

NFL

Thursday, December 2

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What Bettors Need to Know
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Houston Texans at Philadelphia Eagles (-9, 50.5)

Philadelphia has struggled recently to live up to expectations after a straight-up loss. The Eagles are just 1-4 against the spread after a defeat.
They’ll try to buck that trend Thursday night, when the up-and-down Houston Texans visit Lincoln Financial Field.

Philadelphia (7-4, 7-4 ATS) saw its three-game win streak snapped in a 31-26 loss at Chicago Sunday. Michael Vick passed for 333 yards with two touchdowns, but also threw a costly interception in the end zone, fumbled four times and was sacked four times. It was the first loss of the season for the Eagles in a game that Vick started and finished.

The Texans (5-6, 5-6 ATS) are coming off a 20-0 pummeling of the fading Tennessee Titans. The win snapped a four-game slide for Houston and featured a brawl between Texans’ star receiver Andre Johnson and Titans’ corner Cortland Finnegan. Surprisingly, neither player was suspended, meaning Johnson will be on the field Thursday against a banged-up Eagle secondary that was lit up by Jay Cutler Sunday.

Philadelphia’s top corner Asante Samuel, the NFL’s interception leader, missed the Bears game with a knee sprain and is questionable to play Thursday. If Samuel can’t go, that leaves corners Dimitri Patterson, Joselio Hanson and rookie Trevard Lindley to matchup with Johnson. Needless to say, advantage Texans.

Still, the Eagles are unquestionably the stronger team. The 9-point spread is the most they’ve been favored by all season. It’s also the biggest underdog situation the Texans have faced this year.

THE LINE

The Eagles opened as 8-point favorites, but were giving as many as 9 at most outlets as of Wednesday afternoon.

The Texans are 3-2 ATS on the road, covering against the Jets, Raiders and Redskins and failing to cover in a pair of AFC South games at Indianapolis and Jacksonville.

The Eagles have a habit of playing their best football in early December. They are 11-2 ATS in Week 13 and 4-1 ATS in their five December games.

THE TOTAL

It opened at 50.5 and had seen very little movement as of Wednesday.

Statistically, that number is spot on. The Eagles are averaging 28.2 and allowing 23.4 points per game. The Texans are scoring 24 and surrendering 26.1 point per game.

After getting soaked by rain early in the week, clear skies with temperatures in the 30s and light winds are forecast for Thursday night.

The Over has hit in six of the last seven Eagles games. The Over is also 10-2 in the Eagles’ last 12 games following a straight-up loss.

The Over is 20-6 in the Texans’ last 26 games against at a team with a winning record.

The teams combined for 34 points in their last meeting, a 24-10 Eagles’ win in 2005.

INJURIES

Samuel practiced this week, but in a limited capacity. The short week certainly doesn’t help his cause. Bettors will want to pay close attention to his status.
In addition to Samuel, wide receiver Riley Cooper is questionable. The No. 4 receiver missed practice Monday and Tuesday.

Defensive end Juqua Parker has been ruled out. Rookie Brandon Graham will make his second straight start for the Eagles.

Running back LeSean McCoy (shoulder) was a full participant in practice and will play.

For the Texans, tight end Own Daniels missed practice on Monday and Tuesday and is questionable. Defensive end Mario Williams, linebacker Brian Cushing and receiver Kevin Walter were limited in practice but are expected to play.

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**Udog** · 12-02-2010, 09:31 AM

NFL

Thursday, December 2

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Tips and Trends
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Houston Texans at Philadelphia Eagles [NFL NETWORK | 8:30 PM ET]

TEXANS: Houston is the most talented losing team in the NFL this year. Houston is 5-6 SU this year, despite coming off perhaps their strongest win of the season last week. The Texans beat the Titans 20-0 SU last week, with a very rare strong performance from the Houston defense. Houston is 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS on the road this season. The Texans are also 2-3 ATS as the listed underdog this season, with today marking the first time this season they have been more than a TD underdog. RB Arian Foster has been dominant this season, as he's rushed for an NFL high 1,147 YDS. Houston is averaging 24 PPG this year, 10th best in the NFL. WR Andre Johnson was able to avoid a suspension for his role in a fight last week. Johnson has 65 receptions for 869 YDS and 5 TD's this season. The Texans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Houston is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played in December. The Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on grass. Houston is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.

Texans are 8-3 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog.
Over is 20-6 last 26 against a team with a winning record.

Key Injuries - TE Owen Daniels (hamstring) is questionable.

Projected Score: 24

EAGLES: (-8.5, O/U 51) Philadelphia is coming off a rare SU loss to Chicago. The Eagles are back home off a short week, and they've yet to lose back to back games SU this season. The Eagles are 7-4 SU and 5-6 ATS overall this year. As an elite team, Philadelphia should be better than 3-2 SU at home this season. Tonight's game represents the most the Eagles have been favored by in any game this year. QB Michael Vick continues to be the most dynamic offensive player in the game, as he has led his team to score at least 26 PTS in each of their past 4 games. The Eagles are averaging 28.2 PPG this year, trailing only the Patriots in the entire NFL. RB LeSean McCoy has rushed for nearly 800 YDS this season, including 6 TD's. WR's Jeremy Maclin and DeSean Jackson have combined for 13 TD's in leading a lethal WR corps. Philadelphia is still working on their defense, as they have been involved in some shootouts of late. The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played in December. Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record. The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss. Philadelphia is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Eagles are 6-2 ATS last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 10-2 last 12 games following a SU loss.

Key Injuries - CB Asante Samuel (knee) is questionable.

Projected Score: 38 (OVER-Total of the Day)

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**Udog** · 12-03-2010, 09:55 AM

NFL

Week 13

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NFL poolies' cheat sheet: Week 13
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Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (N/A)

Why Jaguars cover: Tennessee has serious problems at quarterback. Vince Young is out, Rusty Smith is overmatched and Kerry Collins is 38 and coming off a leg injury.

Why Titans cover: The Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings and 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings in Tennessee.

Total (N/A): Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

Washington Redskins at New York Giants (-7)

Why Redskins cover: Donovan McNabb has won four consecutive games straight up against the Giants. Their defense has held opponents to 33 points in the last two weeks.

Why Giants cover: The Redskins are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four meetings and 1-4-1 ATS in their last six meetings in New York. The favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in their last four meetings.

Total (43.5): Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in New York.

Cleveland Browns at Miami Dolphins (-4.5)

Why Browns cover: They haven't lost by more than six points since Week 6, largely due to Peyton Hillis (1319 total yards, 13 TDs), who has single handedly been keeping them in games.

Why Dolphins cover: Jake Delhomme (1 TD, 6 INTs) has been terrible and will start at quarterback again for Cleveland with Colt McCoy out.

Total (42.5): Over is 4-0 in the Browns' last four road games and 10-2-1 in the Dolphins' last 13 home games.

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (+3.5)

Why Bears cover: The road team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings. Detroit will start Drew Henson at quarterback due to injuries to both Matthew Stafford and Shaun Hill.

Why Lions cover: They covered against Chicago in Week 1 as 6.5-point underdogs and would have won straight up if not for Calvin Johnson's controversial last-second drop in the end zone.

Total (44.5): Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings and 3-1-1 in the last five meetings in Detroit.

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5)

Why Broncos cover: Kyle Orton, who is having a career season and finished November with eight touchdowns and only one interception, will test a Chief's defense that struggles to defend the pass.

Why Chiefs cover: The home team is 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 meetings. The Broncos are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Kansas City.

Total (48.5): Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings and 8-1 in the last nine meetings in Kansas City.

San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers (-9.5)

Why 49ers cover: They have the NFL's eighth-best run defense and should have no problem stopping a Green Bay rush attack that ranks in the bottom third of the league.

Why Packers cover: The 49ers are 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings and 1-4-1 ATS in their last six meetings in Green Bay. San Francisco RB Frank Gore is out for the season with a fractured hip.

Total (41.5): Under is 5-2-1 in the 49ers' last eight road games and 8-3 in the Packers' last 11 games overall.

Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings (-5.5)

Why Bills cover: Minnesota could be without leading rusher Adrian Peterson, Pro Bowl guard Steve Hutchinson and defensive end Ray Edwards due to injuries.

Why Vikings cover: Buffalo allows an NFL-worst 167.4 rushing yards per contest.

Total (45): Under is 8-3 in the Vikings' last 11 home games and 4-1 in the Bills' last five games overall.

New Orleans Saints at Cincinnati Bengals (+6.5)

Why Saints cover: They get to face a Bengals team that is reeling. Cincinnati has lost eight straight games and has only covered the spread once during that span.

Why Bengals cover: New Orleans tends to play down to its opponent’s level. Two of its three losses came against Cleveland and Arizona, games in which the Saints were favored by double-digits.

Total (46.5): The Bengals allow over 26 points per game and the Saints have one of the league's best offenses.

Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (-13)

Why Raiders cover: Jason Campbell will start at quarterback with Bruce Gradkowski injured again. Campbell came in relief of Gradkowski in Week 5 to help Oakland put up 35 points and cover against San Diego as a 7-point underdog.

Why Chargers cover: The Raiders are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 meetings and 2-5 ATS in their last seven meetings in San Diego. The favorite is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings.

Total (45.5): Under is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings in San Diego.

Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks (-6)

Why Panthers cover: Seattle's running game is non-existent and their defense struggles to stop opposing team's rushing attack. Jonathan Stewart and Mike Goodson could keep the Seahawks on their toes.

Why Seahawks cover: The Panthers only muster 157.8 passing yards per game largely due to a team quarterback rating of 52.4 percent.

Total (39.5): Over is 4-0 in the Seahawks' last four games.

Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts (-5)

Why Cowboys cover: They are 3-0 ATS since Wade Phillips was fired. Injuries have decimated the Colts receiving corps and as a result, Peyton Manning has thrown nine interceptions in his last four games, three of them losses.

Why Colts cover: They love to throw the ball and Dallas allows opposing quarterbacks to post a 99.5 quarterback rating.

Total (47.5): Over is 8-0 in the Cowboys last eight games.

St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals (+3.5)

Why Rams cover: Arizona's offense has sputtered all season and now quarterback Derek Anderson's character has come under scrutiny. Meanwhile, Sam Bradford is playing some of his best football in recent weeks.

Why Cardinals cover: The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings and 2-5 ATS in their last seven meetings in Arizona. The home team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.

Total (43): Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings and 5-1 in the last six meetings in Arizona.

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2)

Why Falcons cover: The Buccaneers have trouble stopping the run and their offense isn't strong enough to play catch up if Atlanta jumps out to an early lead.

Why Buccaneers cover: The Falcons are 1-6 ATS in their last seven meetings including a matchup in Week 8 this season in which Tampa Bay cover as a 10-point underdog.

Total (44.5): Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (-3)

Why Steelers cover: They're 3-1-1 ATS in their last five meetings. The road team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last six meetings. The underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.

Why Ravens cover: They are riding an eight-game home winning streak. Ben Roethlisberger is expected to play with a sprained foot.

Total (40): Over is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings.

New York Jets at New England Patriots (-3.5)

Why Jets cover: They're 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 meetings in New England. The road team is 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 meetings.

Why Patriots cover: They have won 25 straight home games with Tom Brady as the starting quarterback. Mark Sanchez continues to battle inconsistency.

Total (46): Over is 6-0 in the Jets' last six road games and 5-1 in the Patriots' last six home games.

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**Udog** · 12-03-2010, 11:05 PM

NFL

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NFL total bias: Week 13 over/under picks
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Will you still watch football if the No Fun League becomes the National Touch League?

Not me. I may even go back to my roots and start cheering for the Toronto Argos again. The NFL’s stance on illegal hits is just taking a lot of fun out of the game for both its players and its bettors – er, viewers.

"The league doesn't care about us anyway," Pittsburgh Steelers veteran wideout, Hines Ward, told reporters this week when questioned about all the fines being handed out for illegal hits these days. "They don't care about the safety of the game. If the league was so concerned about the safety, why are you adding two more games on? You talk about you don't want players to drink ... and all you see is beer commercials. You don't want us to gamble, but then there are (NFL-endorsed lottery scratch-off games)."

It’s not often you get that sort of honest, insightful commentary on the state of the game from today’s players.

We all know Hines is a throwback. A couple weeks ago he took one of those headshots against the Pats when he was sandwiched by Patrick Chung and James Sanders and was more upset that his own team wouldn’t let him back in the game than he was at the guys who delivered the hit.

I understand the league needs to protect its players and especially its marquee superstars, but Ward is bang-on that there’s another agenda going on here too: the 18-game schedule and the marketing of the league’s offensive superstars.

Plus, the whole disciplinary process in this league is way out of whack. Off-field incidents are met with suspensions all the time, while Andre Johnson can just about curb-stomp Courtland Finnegan in the middle of the field last week and gets off with a fine. All the while, James Harrison is writing checks to the league every time he makes a tackle.

It’s getting to the point that you’re almost afraid to be excited when a big play goes down on Sunday. You’re up out of your couch and chips are flying everywhere after a huge hit over the middle, only to see yet another flag ruin everything. With timeouts, two-minute warnings, booth reviews and TV timeouts, it’s getting pretty hard to sit through an entire game without getting an itchy clicker finger.

Luckily we have Steelers-Ravens this week, a matchup that promises to be a real football game full of hitting and screaming and trash talking. I like a nice offensive shootout as much as the next guy, but when it comes to this time of the year, I’d much rather see two teams beat the bejesus out of each other.

That’s exactly what Ward and Harrison are promising, fines be damned. And I for one, couldn’t be happier.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (-3, 40)

I was leaning toward the over in this matchup earlier in the week, but considering Big Ben is still limping around in a walking boot with what’s being reported as a broken foot, I’ve changed my mind.

Roethlisberger says he’s going to play regardless, but it’s not the sort of injury you want to go public with a game against the Ravens on tap. It’s his plant foot too, so he may have trouble stepping up in the pocket and getting a lot on his throws.

You know Baltimore is already targeting that foot. If he doesn’t make it through the game nobody should be surprised.

Pick: Under

Cleveland Browns at Miami Dolphins (-4.5, 43)

The Miami Dolphins have the same task ahead of them that every other Cleveland Browns opponent has had so far this season: Stop Peyton Hillis. I don’t think that’s going to happen.

Miami’s run defense looked great last week in limiting the Raiders to only 16 yards on the ground, but Oakland completely abandoned the running game after giving up a 14-10 lead in the second half. The Browns won’t do that even if they fall behind early, especially with Dolphins inside linebackers Channing Crowder and Karlos Dansby hurting.

If you haven’t been counting, Hillis now has four 100-yard rushing games and 11 touchdowns on the ground to go along with 414 receiving yards and two more majors.

Did I mention that the Browns have also played over in six straight?

Pick: Over

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (3.5, 44.5)

Detroit’s third-string quarterback Drew Stanton had to be shaking his head when he heard of Nate Burleson guaranteeing a win over the Bears Sunday.

Sure, Burleson meant well, but that’s a hell of a spot to put your quarterback in against a team that just shut down Mike Vick. Stanton has just one NFL start under his belt and threw three interceptions in that debut, dropping a 20-6 decision to the San Francisco 49ers last year.

I can’t see it ending any better for Detroit, especially with Burleson’s quotes posted in all of Chicago’s meeting rooms.

Pick: Under

Last week’s record: 1-2
Season record: 17-20

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**Udog** · 12-04-2010, 11:50 PM

NFL

Sunday, December 5

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NFL Week 13 weather report: Snow storm in Cincinnati
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The first weekend of December doesn’t disappoint cappers looking to the weather for that betting edge. Strong winds will impact passing and kicking, while rains are expected in a few games. Oh yeah, there is a snow sighting in Cincy when the Saints come marching in to Paul Brown Stadium.

Washington Redskins at New York Giants (-7, 43)

It’s a chilly Sunday in New Meadowlands Stadium. A big part of that is the wind, which will be blowing at speeds of up to 17 mph. Those breezes, blowing northwest from corner to corner, will make it feel like 28 degrees.

Cleveland Browns at Miami Dolphins (-5, 43)

It won’t be as cold in South Beach, but the winds will be whipping around Sun Life Stadium. Gusts of up to 15 mph are expected to blow west-northwest across the field. Game-time temperatures will be in the mid 70s.

San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers (-9, 41)

The white stuff is in the forecast for Green Bay but is expected to stop before kickoff Sunday. The winds, however, won’t let up. Gusts of up to 17 mph will be blowing northwest from corner to corner at Lambeau Field, dropping temps into the teens.

New Orleans at Cincinnati Bengals (+6.5, 45)

It’s beginning to look at lot like Christmas! The first snow day of the NFL season is expected in Cincy, where the forecast is calling for snow showers all day Sunday. Game-time temperatures will be in the 30s, however, 16-mph winds will make it feel a lot colder – especially for the Saints, who are used to the climate-control Superdome.

Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks (-4.5, 40)

The rain will start just after kickoff in Seattle. The forecast is calling for a 76 percent chance of showers, temperatures in the mid 40s and light winds in Qwest Field. That’s perfect weather for the soggy Seahawks at home.

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2, 44.5)

Wondering why this spread is so short? The Falcons not only have to prove they can win on the road but will also have to do so in some wet Florida weather. The forecast in Tampa Bay is calling for showers early in the afternoon, clearing during the game and northwest winds of up to 16 mph in Raymond James Stadium.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (-3, 39.5)

Strong winds of up to 20 mph are expected in Baltimore for this battle of AFC North foes. Game-time temps will dip into the high 20s Sunday night, but the skies should be clear for this primetime matchup.

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**Udog** · 12-04-2010, 11:53 PM

NFL

Sunday, December 5

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Sunday Night Football: Steelers at Ravens
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Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (-3, 39.5)

Pittsburgh Steelers linebacker James Harrison may eventually be forced to change his wrecking-ball style of play. Just don't expect it to happen this week.

One of the NFL's fiercest and most physical rivalries resumes when the Steelers pay a visit to the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday night in a showdown for first place in the AFC North.

Odds

Oddsmakers opened this AFC North war with the Ravens set as field-goal favorites and that line has remained steady with most books adjusting the juice. As for the total, the number was sent out at 39 points and has been bet up as high as 40 heading into Sunday’s action.

Ready the brooms?

The Steelers and Ravens again are among the best defenses in the AFC, ranking first and third in points allowed, and the stakes are higher Sunday with both squads sporting 8-3 records (Pittsburgh 6-5-0 ATS, Baltimore 5-5-1 ATS).

Baltimore won the earlier meeting at Pittsburgh in Week 4, getting an 18-yard touchdown pass from Joe Flacco to T.J. Houshmandzadeh with 32 seconds to play for a 17-14 victory as a 2-point road underdog.

A win by the Ravens on Sunday would give them their first season sweep of the Steelers since 2006 and essentially a two-game lead over Pittsburgh with four to play.

Baltimore is 5-0 at M&T Bank Stadium this season (2-3 ATS) and is seeking a franchise-record ninth consecutive win at home. The Steelers, though, are 5-1 on the road this season (3-3 ATS), with the only loss coming to the reigning Super Bowl champion New Orleans Saints.

Pittsburgh also had another factor on its side: Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger has won his last five starts against the Ravens. He missed the earlier meeting this season while serving a four-game suspension for violating the league's personal-conduct policy.

Big Ben black and blue

Roethlisberger's health has been a subject of widespread speculation. He was wearing a walking boot throughout the week for what the team is calling a sprained right foot.

However, one Pittsburgh newspaper reported that Roethlisberger actually had a broken bone in his foot, prompting the Steelers to release a statement Thursday denying the report.

While Roethlisberger was limited in practice Thursday, he said he plans to start. He threw for 246 yards but was sacked five times in last week's 19-16 overtime win at Buffalo.

Fine and dandy

Another source of controversy in Pittsburgh has been Harrison, who was fined $25,000 by the NFL for a hit on Bills quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick.

It was the fourth time Harrison has been fined this season for a total of $125,000. Nonetheless, the 2008 NFL Defensive Player of the Year said he will not change his style and plans to appeal the hit on Fitzpatrick.

Harrison is tied for third in the league with 10.0 sacks and is the first Pittsburgh player to register double-digit sacks in three consecutive seasons.

No average Joe

The one area where the Steelers are vulnerable on defense is through the air. Pittsburgh gave up 265 yards passing to Buffalo and survived an upset bid only when Bills wideout Steve Johnson dropped a wide-open touchdown pass in the end zone in overtime.

Flacco has been superb at home this season, throwing for 10 touchdowns against one interception. He was 24 of 37 for 256 yards with one scoring pass and one pick in the win at Pittsburgh on Oct. 3.

Running back Ray Rice has just one 100-yard rushing game and three TDs, but he has become a bigger part of the passing game of late, snatching 23 receptions in the past four games.

Pittsburgh’s Rashard Mendenhall needs 38 yards to reach 1,000 for the season. He ran for 79 yards and a pair of scores vs. the Ravens in Week 4.

Trends

- Steelers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
- Over is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings.
- Road team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
- Underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.

Weather

The forecast in Baltimore is calling for clear skies Sunday night, however, strong winds of up to 20 mph will rip through M&T Bank Stadium (Northwest), cooling game-time temperatures into the high 20s.

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**Udog** · 12-05-2010, 09:35 AM

NFL

Sunday, December 5

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Tips and Trends
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Washington Redskins at New York Giants [FOX | 1:00 PM ET]

REDSKINS: Washington is seeing their season slip away from them, as their team has lost 3 of their last 4 games SU. The Redskins simply can't play a complete game, as they have been very inconsistent on both sides of the ball. Washington is 5-6 SU and 5-5-1 ATS overall this year. Washington has actually been better on the road than at home this year, as they are 3-2 both SU and ATS. Today will be only the 2nd time this year that the Redskins will be a TD or more underdog. The Redskins are averaging just 19.5 PPG this year, 8th fewest in the NFL. QB Donovan McNabb is struggling this year, as he's thrown more INT's than TD's this year and is only completing 57% of his passes for the year. Washington needs a gamebreaker offensively, and they simply don't have that on their roster. The Redskins are very inconsistent on defense, with the past 4 weeks proving just that. In the past 2 weeks Washington has allowed just 33 PTS. The 2 weeks prior to that, the Redskins gave up 96 PTS. The Redskins are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record. Washington is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. The Redskins are 6-15-5 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Washington is 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games played on fieldturf.

Redskins are 8-3-1 ATS last 12 games following a SU loss.
Over is 4-1 last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

Key Injuries - RB Ryan Torain (hamstring) is questionable.

Projected Score: 13

GIANTS: (-7, O/U 44) New York is coming off an important 24-20 SU win over Jacksonville, a win they needed to avoid a 3 game losing skid. The Giants are 7-4 SU and 5-6 ATS overall this season. New York is 1 game behind the Eagles in the NFC East standings. The Giants are 4-2 SU and 2-4 ATS overall at home this season. New York is 1-3 ATS as a favorite of a TD or more this season. The Giants have a well balanced offense, ranking in the top 10 in both rushing and passing stats. RB Ahmad Bradshaw has rushed for 916 YDS and 5 TD's this year. QB Eli Manning has thrown for 2,821 YDS and 23 TD's this season. New York is averaging 25.2 PPG this season, 6th best in the NFL. Defensively, the Giants have allowed 80 PTS combined to their past 3 opponents. The Giants are 22-10 ATS in their last 32 games following a SU win. New York is 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games overall. The Giants are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as the listed favorite. New York is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a losing road record.

Giants are 2-8 ATS last 10 games as a home favorite.
Over is 8-1 last 9 games against the NFC East.

Key Injuries - G Shawn Andrews (back) is questionable.

Projected Score: 31 (SIDE of the Day)

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens [NBC | 8:25 PM ET]

STEELERS: Pittsburgh rallied last week to beat the pesky Bills on the road in overtime. With that scare behind them, revenge takes center stage. Pittsburgh is tied with the Ravens in the AFC North, and this is all but a must win for the Steelers. Pittsburgh is 8-3 SU and 6-5 ATS overall this year. The Steelers are 5-1 SU and 3-3 ATS on the road this year. Pittsburgh is 2-1 ATS as the listed underdog this season. This will be the 2nd to last home game of the regulars season for Pittsburgh. QB Ben Roethlisberger has stepped in like he had never left, as he's completing better than 63% of his passes for a QB Rating of nearly 100. RB Rashard Mendenhall has rushed for more than 950 YDS and 9 TD's this year. When you think about the Steelers, you think about their defense. This year is no exception, as they are allowing just 16.5 PPG, 3rd fewest in the NFL. The Steelers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. Pittsburgh is 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog up to a field goal. The Steelers are 1-4 ATS against a team with a winning record. Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win. The Steelers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games played in December.

Steelers are 5-0 ATS last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record.
Under is 4-1 last 5 games as the listed underdog.

Key Injuries - DE Aaron Smith (arm) is questionable.

Projected Score: 13

RAVENS: (-3, O/U 40) Baltimore will have their hands full today, considering they've already beaten the Steelers this season. The Ravens beat the Steelers 17-14 SU about 2 months ago as a 2 point road underdog. Baltimore is 8-3 SU and 5-5-1 ATS overall this season. This game very likely decides the winner of the AFC North. The Ravens have won 4 of their past 5 games SU, with 3 of those games being won by at least a TD. Baltimore was expected to have a more dynamic offense this year, but they really haven't been that explosive this year. The Ravens are averaging 22.7 PPG this year, below the NFL team average. RB Ray Rice has rushed for 815 YDS this season, but only has 3 rushing TD's for the season. QB Joe Flacco has thrown for 2,700 YDS and 18 TD's this year. Defensively, Baltimore is allowing just 17.1 PPG, 5th fewest in the NFL. Baltimore has held 3 of their past 4 opponents to 13 PTS or fewer. The Ravens are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite up to a field goal. Baltimore is 3-7-1 ATS against a team with a winning record. The Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

Ravens are 6-1 ATS last 7 games following an ATS loss.
Under is 14-3 last 17 home games against a team with a winning road record.

Key Injuries - S Tom Zbikowski (heel) is questionable.

Projected Score: 20 (UNDER-Total of the Day)

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**Udog** · 12-05-2010, 10:21 PM

NFL

Monday, December 6

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Jets at Pats: What bettors need to know
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New York Jets at New England Patriots (-3.5, 45)

Current Odds

The Patriots briefly opened as a -3 -120 favorite last week, but the majority of sportsbooks around the world opened the line at -3.5 where it currently stands. A few of the more “public” sportsbooks have risen to -4 as 62 percent of the public is favoring the Patriots according to the *********** consensus.

The over/under line opened at 47 total points but has since dropped down to 45 and 44.5 in most locations. Despite 58 percent of the public favoring the over on the *********** consensus, the total has dropped mainly due to weather concerns.

There is only a 20 percent chance of precipitation during the game on Monday night and 16 mph winds are expected during the game. The kickoff temperature will be a cold 30-degrees and it will feel like 20-degrees with the wind chill.

Injury Report

The Jets could be a bit thin in the secondary tonight as strong safety Jim Leonhard has been lost for the rest of the season due to a shin injury, while cornerbacks Dwight Lowery and Marquice Cole are both listed as questionable.

New England running back Fred Taylor is probable to return tonight after missing the past eight games due to a toe injury. Defensive tackles Myron Pryor and Mike Wright are both questionable, along with defensive back Jarrad Page.

Big Rivalry Game

New England has formed some heated rivalries over the last 10 years or so, but the biggest game for the Patriots has always been against the Jets. The Patroits have always viewed their games with the Jets as their biggest of the regular season. And former Patriots player Teddy Bruschi sheds some light as to just how important this game is to New England.

”Throughout my career, with all the rivalries -- Steelers, Colts, Jets -- I always felt it more coming from the coaches during Jets week,” former Patriot Teddy Bruschi said this week. “That’s all the way back to Bill Parcells’ years, when Al Groh was here, the whole drama of Belichick being the 'HC of the NYJ' for one day and when Eric Mangini was here. You could feel the tension and motivation that coaches had to win this game when it was against the Jets.

“This may go back to when the coaches had ties. They coached you harder. When they were in front of you in defensive meetings, there was urgency in their voices. Against the Jets, it was more of an organization versus another organization, and we really felt that.”

Trend Reversal

Bruschi’s comments appear to be spot on. The Patriots dominated the Jets prior to the last two seasons. New England had won 11 of 12 games against the Jets during one stretch. But that trend has revered itself as the Jets have won three of the last four meetings between these two teams, including a 28-14 victory back in Week 2 this season.

It’s no coincidence that the Jets started to beat the Patriots once Rex Ryan took over. If you remember his introductory press conference when he got the Jets job, Ryan made bold statements and comments about New England. Ryan said he wasn’t there to “kiss Bill Belichick’s rings.”

And Ryan was talking again this week.

“The Patriots can say whatever they want, come Monday night they are going to have to deal with us,” he said. “They can be sarcastic, they can be nonchalant, but we believe in each other, and we're prepared for what’s going to take place. We are the men for the job.”

Jet Down

The Jets lost their key cog in the secondary to a freak injury during practice on Friday. While cornerback Darrelle Revis gets all of the attention, Jim Leonhard is the defensive quarterback in charge of calling the plays and making sure everybody is aligned properly. He’s also the Jets leading punt returner.

His loss is a big one, and Ryan is doing his best to say his team will be fine without him on the field.

“We’re about the team. It’s not always about an individual,” Ryan said. “Guys will step up. We feel sorry for Jim, but we don't feel sorry for ourselves. We are ready to play.”

That is a lot of confidence from Ryan considering the Patriots have one of the best passing attacks in the league. Tom Brady has an incredible 23-4 TD to INT ratio this season, so we’ll see if the Jets will miss Leonhard or not on Monday night.

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**Udog** · 12-06-2010, 09:03 AM

NFL

Monday, December 6

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Tips and Trends
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New York Jets at New England Patriots [ESPN | 8:35 PM ET]

JETS: New York has won their past 4 games, and appear to be well on their way to a deep run in the playoffs. The Jets are 9-2 SU and 7-4 ATS overall this year. New York is 2-0 both SU and ATS this year as the listed underdog. Tonight represents the largest point spread the Jets have faced this year as the listed underdog. The Jets were a 3 point home underdog when they beat the Patriots earlier this year. New York is averaging 24 PPG this year, tied for 10th best in the NFL. QB Mark Sanchez has had a great season, as he's turned into the leader of this offense. Sanchez has thrown for nearly 2,500 YDS and 16 TD's this year. He's helped by the 2nd best rushing attack in the NFL, averaging 148 YPG. The Jets are giving up just 17 PPG, 4th best in the NFL. A huge part of their defensive success is their ability to stop the run. he Jets are allowing just 86.3 YPG, 4th fewest in the league. The Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against the AFC East. New York is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as the listed underdog. The Jets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win. New York is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. The Jets are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall. New York is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.

Jets are 9-2 ATS last 11 road games overall.
Under is 13-3 last 16 games played in December.

Key Injuries - T Damien Woody (knee) is questionable.

Projected Score: 17

PATRIOTS: (-3.5, O/U 44.5) New England is used to winning the big game, and this game can be considered exactly that. The Patriots are 9-2 SU, tied with their opponent tonight for the best record in the AFC. New England is 5-0 SU and 2-2-1 ATS at home this year. The Patriots have revenge on their minds, as they lost earlier this season to the Jets by double figures as a 3 point road favorite. New England has the highest scoring offense in the NFL, averaging 30.4 PPG. QB Tom Brady has done another masterful job leading a group of castoffs. Brady has thrown for more than 2,700 YDS and 23 TD's this year while completing better than 66% of his passes. RB Benjarvus Green-Ellis has been a star this year, with more than 650 YDS rushing and 9 TD's this year. New England is still struggling defensively, as they've allowed each of their past 4 opponents to score at least 24 PTS. The Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played in December. New England is 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games played in Week 13.

Patriots are 11-3 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite between 3.5 and 10 PTS.
Over is 4-0 last 4 games following a SU win.

Key Injuries - DB Jarrad Page (calf) is questionable.

Projected Score: 27 (SIDE of the Day)

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Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 13 (12/2 - 12/6)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 13 (12/2 - 12/6)

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