Announcement

**Udog** · 12-01-2010, 09:45 AM

College football opening line report: Week 14

The Auburn Tigers sure did throw everyone for a loop last week, didn’t they? For a half vs. Alabama, they made the oddsmakers look like geniuses, the stars out in Las Vegas who made this undefeated, second-ranked club an underdog.

Auburn couldn’t do a thing right and it appeared as if the Crimson Tide would cruise.

But, then a funny thing happened along the way to a season in ruin. The Tigers woke up. They stood up. They realized the opportunity they had in front of them. And with their fierce rally that eventually broke down the mighty Crimson Tide in Tuscaloosa, Ala., they maintained their position in the fight for the BCS national title game.

Wouldn’t you know it: In just a span of a few hours on Friday, the whole BCS picture became just a little more clear. Boise State was gone. But Auburn remained.

“Our whole team has an opportunity and a great challenge to improve,” Auburn coach Gene Chizik said. “That's going to be a great challenge for our whole team."

Well, so far, so good. But here comes the hard part, the next level. Here comes the primary reason why so many critics of the non-BCS schools fall back on the traditional powers when it comes to deciding just who belongs and who doesn’t in college football’s most elite class. Here you have a Top Two team, that just defeated its biggest rival, and just completed a perfect regular season in what many people believe is the nation’s toughest conference.

And what do you have to do for an encore? Oh, not much, just beat South Carolina in the SEC title game in Atlanta.

“If we're lucky enough to win the SEC Championship,” Chizik said, “then we'll be playing for (the national championship).”

Simple in words, sure. Difficult, oh so difficult, in reality.

So, knowing that, and understanding what Auburn just accomplished last week – not to mention digesting the Cam Newton Controversy along the way – just what do those Las Vegas oddsmakers think this week? What do they make of the Tigers now that they are still unbeaten, still in the mix for the title game, and still on the national radar?

“We sent out Auburn -5 vs. South Carolina," said Pete Korner of the Sports Club in Las Vegas. "They were very impressive last week."

But, keep in mind, because of the SEC title game's marquee power, there figures to be a lot of action on both sides. As strong as Auburn looked in the second half vs. Alabama, there will still be some doubters.

“It's always a big game down in Atlanta," Korner said. "We'll see what happens."

And with that, let’s take a look at some other essential Week 14 games, and the opening opinion being generated out in Las Vegas:

Oregon (-17) at Oregon State

"This is a tough one," Korner said. "We had to go high, just look at what Oregon's done lately. So, we set it at 17. That said, we expect it to drop lower as the week goes on."

Arizona State (+3) at Arizona

This is an underrated rivalry, to begin with, but one that has a little more juice this year, as the Sun Devils are still in the hunt for bowl eligibility. But the Wildcats, at home, will be more than hungry to make up for last week's disaster at Oregon.

UConn (+2) at South Florida

Just goes to show you what Las Vegas thinks of the Huskies, who are one win away from securing the Big East title and a BCS berth. All that may be well and good for UConn, but the books still like the athletic Bulls, who are coming off an upset at Miami.

Rutgers (+20) at West Virginia

Name your score here, as the Scarlet Knights -- please see Friday's no-show vs. Louisville -- have thrown in the towel on the season. The Mountaineers can still steal the Big East title, so expect West Virginia to be more than pumped for this season finale.

Nevada (-15) at Louisiana Tech

Hangover city? Perhaps, but Nevada will have to get the benefit of the doubt … for the time being. There has to be a letdown of some sort, but one would think there is enough offense on this team to overcome the rust by game's end.

Utah State (+45) at Boise State

The Boise Bounceback? Well, the BCS may be gone, and the national publicity, as well, but the Broncos still have one last chance to make bettors happy. This one is at home, on Senior Day, and it could get real ugly, real fast.

Florida State (+6) vs. Virginia Tech

The Hokies are expected to be here, and are playing their best football of the season. The Seminoles, thanks to Maryland upsetting N.C. State, are a bit fortunate to be here, and may be hungover after whipping Florida. Interesting little tilt nonetheless, as giving a near-touchdown to a team as athletic as the Seminoles might be risky.

Oklahoma (-4) vs. Nebraska

The Sooners are hot, and really gained some confidence the past two weeks, defeating Baylor and Oklahoma State. It's not really a surprise that Oklahoma's here, but one has to think that the tough trail to make it here -- considering their midseason slump -- may have taken too much out of the Sooners. We'll see if the Cornhuskers can take advantage.

**Udog** · 12-01-2010, 09:48 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Arizona State at Arizona
The Sun Devils look to take advantage of an Arizona team that is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games as a home favorite from 3 1/2 to 10 points. Arizona State is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by only 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (+6). Here are all of this week's lined games.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 2

Game 303-304: Arizona State at Arizona (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 96.614; Arizona 100.243
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 3 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Arizona by 6; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (+6); Over

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 3

Game 305-306: Illinois at Fresno State (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 93.742; Fresno State 84.996
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 9; 52
Vegas Line: Illinois by 5; 57
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-5); Under

Game 307-308: Miami (OH) vs. Northern Illinois (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 71.984; Northern Illinois 97.904
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 26; 51
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 17; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-17); Under

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 4

Game 309-310: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 90.648; Cincinnati 94.248
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-2); Over

Game 311-312: Rutgers at West Virginia (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 74.344; West Virginia 98.027
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 23 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 20; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-20); Under

Game 313-314: Connecticut at South Florida (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 94.760; South Florida 92.275
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 2 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: South Florida by 1 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+1 1/2); Over

Game 315-316: Utah State at Boise State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 75.649; Boise State 112.313
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 36 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Boise State by 39 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+39 1/2); Under

Game 317-318: Nevada at Louisiana Tech (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 98.203; Louisiana Tech 83.554
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 14 1/2; 76
Vegas Line: Nevada by 10; 69 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-10); Over

Game 319-320: USC at UCLA (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 95.778; UCLA 86.213
Dunkel Line: USC by 9 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: USC by 6 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: USC (-6 1/2); Over

Game 321-322: Washington at Washington State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 90.651; Washington State 88.894
Dunkel Line: Washington by 2; 50
Vegas Line: Washington by 6 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+6 1/2); Under

Game 323-324: Oregon at Oregon State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 115.216; Oregon State 97.117
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 18; 67
Vegas Line: Oregon by 16 1/2; 64
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-16 1/2); Over

Game 325-326: San Jose State at Idaho (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 63.707; Idaho 75.778
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 12; 52
Vegas Line: Idaho by 14; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+14); Under

Game 327-328: UNLV at Hawaii (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 70.170; Hawaii 100.253
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 30; 60
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 34 1/2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+34 1/2); Under

Game 329-330: Troy at Florida Atlantic (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 71.337; Florida Atlantic 64.332
Dunkel Line: Troy by 7; 58
Vegas Line: Troy by 4 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-4 1/2); Over

Game 331-332: Middle Tennessee State at Florida International (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 77.172; Florida International 76.371
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 1; 59
Vegas Line: Florida International by 5; 54
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (+5); Over

Game 333-334: SMU at Central Florida (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 84.423; Central Florida 90.453
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 6; 51
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 9 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+9 1/2); Under

Game 335-336: Auburn vs. South Carolina (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 109.719; South Carolina 102.737
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 7; 57
Vegas Line: Auburn by 4 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-4 1/2); Under

Game 337-338: Florida State vs. Virginia Tech (7:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 103.227; Virginia Tech 105.625
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 2 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 4; 52
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (+4); Over

Game 339-340: Nebraska vs. Oklahoma (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 101.458; Oklahoma 108.465
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 7; 52
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 3 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-3 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 12-01-2010, 09:56 AM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 14

Thursday, December 2

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ARIZONA ST (5 - 6) at ARIZONA (7 - 4) - 12/2/2010, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 37-62 ATS (-31.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 61-86 ATS (-33.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, December 3

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ILLINOIS (6 - 5) at FRESNO ST (7 - 4) - 12/3/2010, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI OHIO (8 - 4) vs. N ILLINOIS (10 - 2) - 12/3/2010, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
N ILLINOIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
N ILLINOIS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
N ILLINOIS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
N ILLINOIS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
N ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
N ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
N ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
N ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 2-0 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, December 4

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PITTSBURGH (6 - 5) at CINCINNATI (4 - 7) - 12/4/2010, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RUTGERS (4 - 7) at W VIRGINIA (8 - 3) - 12/4/2010, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RUTGERS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
RUTGERS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
RUTGERS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CONNECTICUT (7 - 4) at S FLORIDA (7 - 4) - 12/4/2010, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 57-34 ATS (+19.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH ST (4 - 7) at BOISE ST (10 - 1) - 12/4/2010, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 40-21 ATS (+16.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 49-22 ATS (+24.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 49-22 ATS (+24.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.
BOISE ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 59-35 ATS (+20.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEVADA (11 - 1) at LOUISIANA TECH (5 - 6) - 12/4/2010, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 2-0 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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USC (7 - 5) at UCLA (4 - 7) - 12/4/2010, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (5 - 6) at WASHINGTON ST (2 - 9) - 12/4/2010, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 62-88 ATS (-34.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 56-88 ATS (-40.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OREGON (11 - 0) at OREGON ST (5 - 6) - 12/4/2010, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
OREGON ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
OREGON ST is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OREGON ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 86-53 ATS (+27.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
OREGON ST is 83-56 ATS (+21.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 2-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN JOSE ST (1 - 11) at IDAHO (5 - 7) - 12/4/2010, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
IDAHO is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
IDAHO is 30-51 ATS (-26.1 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
IDAHO is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
IDAHO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO is 1-1 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UNLV (2 - 10) at HAWAII (9 - 3) - 12/4/2010, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games this season.
UNLV is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road lined games this season.
UNLV is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday this season.
UNLV is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
HAWAII is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
HAWAII is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
HAWAII is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
HAWAII is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games this season.
HAWAII is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
HAWAII is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
HAWAII is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAWAII is 1-0 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 1-0 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TROY (6 - 5) at FLA ATLANTIC (4 - 7) - 12/4/2010, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
TROY is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
FLA ATLANTIC is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
FLA ATLANTIC is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 2-0 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIDDLE TENN ST (5 - 6) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (6 - 5) - 12/4/2010, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SMU (7 - 5) at UCF (9 - 3) - 12/4/2010, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AUBURN (12 - 0) vs. S CAROLINA (9 - 3) - 12/4/2010, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 1-0 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 1-0 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA ST (9 - 3) vs. VIRGINIA TECH (10 - 2) - 12/4/2010, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 35-14 ATS (+19.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 105-72 ATS (+25.8 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEBRASKA (10 - 2) vs. OKLAHOMA (10 - 2) - 12/4/2010, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 1-1 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 1-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-01-2010, 10:01 AM

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 14

Thursday, 12/2/2010

ARIZONA ST at ARIZONA, 8:00 PM ET ESPN
ARIZONA ST: 7-1 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
ARIZONA: 10-3 UNDER as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points

Friday, 12/3/2010

ILLINOIS at FRESNO ST, 10:15 PM ET ESPN2
ILLINOIS: 17-33 ATS if 60+ points were scored last game
FRESNO ST: 6-0 ATS after outrushing last opponent by 125+ yards

MAC Championship Game - Ford Field - Detroit, MI
MIAMI OHIO vs. N ILLINOIS, 7:00 PM ET ESPN2
MIAMI OHIO: 3-12 ATS Away off a home win by 17+ points
N ILLINOIS: 7-0 ATS against conference opponents

Saturday, 12/4/2010

PITTSBURGH at CINCINNATI, 12:00 PM ET ESPN2
PITTSBURGH: 4-17 ATS off a home loss by 14+ points
CINCINNATI: 8-2 ATS off a conference loss by 21+ points

RUTGERS at W VIRGINIA, 12:00 PM ET ABC
RUTGERS: 2-9 ATS this season
W VIRGINIA: 7-1 Under as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points

CONNECTICUT at S FLORIDA, 8:00 PM ET (TC)| ESPN2
CONNECTICUT: 10-2 ATS as an underdog
S FLORIDA: 1-8 ATS at home off road game

UTAH ST at BOISE ST, 3:00 PM ET
UTAH ST: 0-8 ATS vs. Boise State
BOISE ST: 51-17 ATS after 2 straight conference games

NEVADA at LOUISIANA TECH, 3:00 PM ET
NEVADA: 1-5 ATS off outright conf win as home dog
LOUISIANA TECH: 6-l ATS as home dog

USC at UCLA, 10:30 PM ET (TC) | FSN
USC: 6-15 ATS as a favorite
UCLA: 23-9 ATS as a home underdog

WASHINGTON at WASHINGTON ST, 7:00 PM ET (TC) | VERSUS
WASHINGTON: 4-14 ATS after a win by 3 or less points
WASHINGTON ST: 6-0 ATS after a game where they forced 3+ turnovers

OREGON at OREGON ST, 3:30 PM ET ABC
OREGON: 46-28 ATS after a win by 17+ points
OREGON ST: 10-2 ATS as an underdog

SAN JOSE ST at IDAHO, 5:00 PM ET
SAN JOSE ST: 2-9 ATS as a road underdog
IDAHO: 3-15 ATS in home games off a conference road loss

UNLV at HAWAII, 10:30 PM ET
UNLV: 0-6 ATS as a road underdog
HAWAII: 6-0 ATS as a favorite

Added Games

TROY at FLA ATLANTIC, 2:00 PM ET ESPNU
TROY: 1-7 ATS as a favorite
FLA ATLANTIC: 1-7 ATS after the first month of the season

MIDDLE TENN ST at FLA INTERNATIONAL, 6:00 PM ET (TC)
MIDDLE TENN ST: 12-2 ATS playing with 6 or less days rest
FLA INTERNATIONAL: 4-12 ATS off BB unders

Conference USA Championship Game
SMU at UCF, 12:00 PM ET ESPN2
SMU: 35-56 ATS off ATS win
UCF: 12-4 ATS as a favorite

SEC Championship Game - Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
AUBURN vs. S CAROLINA, 4:00 PM ET CBS
AUBURN: 7-1 ATS against conference opponents
S CAROLINA: 0-9 ATS after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games

ACC Championship Game - Bank Of America Stadium - Charlotte, NC
FLORIDA ST vs. at VIRGINIA TECH, 7:45 PM ET ESPN
FLORIDA ST: 12-27 ATS Away after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games
VIRGINIA TECH: 35-14 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

Big 12 Championship Game - Cowboys Stadium - Arlington, TX
NEBRASKA vs. at OKLAHOMA, 8:00 PM ET ABC
NEBRASKA: 18-6 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games
OKLAHOMA: 10-3 ATS after playing their last game on the road

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 12-01-2010, 10:07 AM

NCAAF

Week 14

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Trend Report
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Thursday, December 2

8:00 PM
ARIZONA STATE vs. ARIZONA
Arizona State is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Arizona State's last 21 games on the road
Arizona is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games

Friday, December 3

7:00 PM
MIAMI (OHIO) vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Miami (Ohio) is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Miami (Ohio) is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Northern Illinois's last 10 games
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

10:15 PM
ILLINOIS vs. FRESNO STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois's last 5 games
Fresno State is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
Fresno State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

Saturday, December 4

12:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 2-2-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

12:00 PM
SOUTHERN METHODIST vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
Southern Methodist is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
Central Florida is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Central Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

12:00 PM
RUTGERS vs. WEST VIRGINIA
Rutgers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Rutgers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against West Virginia
West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Rutgers
West Virginia is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home

2:00 PM
TROY vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Troy's last 9 games on the road
Troy is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Florida Atlantic is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Florida Atlantic is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games

3:00 PM
UTAH STATE vs. BOISE STATE
Utah State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boise State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah State's last 5 games when playing Boise State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah State
Boise State is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games

3:00 PM
NEVADA vs. LOUISIANA TECH
Nevada is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Nevada is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana Tech is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Nevada
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Louisiana Tech's last 9 games when playing Nevada

3:30 PM
OREGON vs. OREGON STATE
Oregon is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oregon's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon State's last 5 games when playing Oregon
Oregon State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

4:00 PM
AUBURN vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 6 of South Carolina's last 9 games
South Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

5:00 PM
SAN JOSE STATE vs. IDAHO
San Jose State is 2-11-1 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose State's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Idaho's last 6 games
Idaho is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. WASHINGTON STATE
Washington is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Washington is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Washington State is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games
Washington State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Washington

7:00 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Middle Tennessee's last 9 games
Middle Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Florida International is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Florida International is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home

7:45 PM
FLORIDA STATE vs. VIRGINIA TECH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 6 games
Florida State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Virginia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games
Virginia Tech is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida State

8:00 PM
NEBRASKA vs. OKLAHOMA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nebraska's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma
Nebraska is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Oklahoma is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nebraska

8:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
Connecticut is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Connecticut is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Florida's last 5 games at home
South Florida is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
UNLV vs. HAWAII
UNLV is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
UNLV is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hawaii
Hawaii is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Hawaii is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
SOUTHERN CAL vs. UCLA
Southern Cal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against UCLA
Southern Cal is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing UCLA
UCLA is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UCLA's last 6 games when playing Southern Cal

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**Udog** · 12-02-2010, 09:22 AM

NCAAF
Write-Up

Week 14

Thursday's game
Underdogs are 4-1-1 vs spread in last six ASU-Arizona games; ASU won three of last five visits to Tucson (dogs 4-2 vs spread in last six played here). Wildcats lost last three games, giving up 38 ppg- they covered one of last six tries as a favorite, and lost two of last three at home SU. ASU covered six of last seven games, scoring 33+ points in three of their last four; Sun Devils are 5-1-1 vs spread as underdog this year. ASU is +2 in turnovers in last four games, after being -9 in first seven. Four of last five Arizona games went over the total.

Friday's games
Fresno State (+2) went to Champaign and upset Illinois 53-52 LY, even though they were outgained by 132 yards; Bulldogs are -5 in turnovers last four games; they're 2-2 as underdog this year, 1-0 at home. Bulldogs had Fresno by the throat here three weeks ago, but lost 35-34, game that looks a lot better now that Wolf Pack upset Boise. Illinois had bye last week, after crushing Northwestern at Wrigley Field; average total in last five Illini games is 77.8 (helped by an OT game). Illinois is 3-2 as a fave this season, but lost three of four on road, winning only at Penn State. Last five Illinois games all went over the total.

Northern Illinois won its last nine games (8-1 vs spread); they're 3-1 as road favorite this year, winning away games by 11-36-7-38-68 points. NIU scored 195 points in its last three games. Huskies didn't face Miami this year, but they won 27-22 (-11.5) in Oxford LY, running punt back for TD, which offset Miami's 75-yard edge in total yardage. Red Hawks won last four games, allowing 11.8 ppg; they're 3-3 as underdog so far this year. Keep in mind Miami held Florida Gators to 212 total yards in season opener, so they have some ability, but Northern Illinois has been killing people. Under is 6-0-1 in Miami's last seven games.

**Udog** · 12-02-2010, 09:24 AM

NCAAF

Thursday, December 2

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What Bettors Need to Know
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Arizona State at Arizona (-5.5, 55)

QB SHUFFLE

When a concussion sidelined Arizona State quarterback Steven Threet early in last week’s game, things didn’t look good for the Sun Devils.

Then, backup Brock Osweiler took the field.

Osweiler and the Sun Devils travel to Arizona to renew their rivalry Thursday night. Osweiler will look to build on his remarkable relief appearance against UCLA last week.

About the only one who wasn’t shocked with Osweiler’s performance on Friday was the sophomore quarterback himself. He threw for 380 yards and four touchdowns, hitting 27 of 36 attempts as Arizona State stomped UCLA 55-34 at Tempe, Ariz.

While Threet, who suffered a minor concussion, may be cleared to play during the week, he is expected to serve as the backup.

Osweiler is a specimen. At 6-8, 242 pounds, Osweiler was one of the nation’s top recruits coming out of high school at Montana. He also ran the ball six times for 35 yards and a 15-yard touchdown. Threet had been solid during the season passing for 2,545 yards with 18 touchdowns against 16 interceptions.

Osweiler was expected to get the call before the season started but Threet won the job in the preseason. Last year Osweiler started a game against Oregon but had to leave after throwing just 14 passes with a shoulder injury.

BOWL A NO-GO?

Despite Arizona State’s win last week, the Sun Devils were eliminated from the bowl picture. While the Pac-10 has six slots in bowl games reserved heading into the final weekend, only three teams have qualified.

Even though Arizona State (5-6, 3-5) could get to six wins with a victory over Arizona on Saturday, it has two wins against FCS schools. The Sun Devils could have still received a bowl berth with a win if it received a waiver from the NCAA but when Georgia knocked off Georgia Tech on Saturday night the Bulldogs became the 70th team to become bowl eligible.

That left Arizona State out of the picture. Although the Arizona Republic is reporting ASU has submitted a request to the NCAA Legislative Relief committee to try to gain postseason eligibility. The Pac-10, of course, is backing the Sun Devils’ request.

The Wildcats are looking at a possible Alamo Bowl or Holiday Bowl berth against a Big 12 team in the postseason. They’re also looking to snap a three-game losing skid.

BAD AGAINST THE BEST

The Wildcats have faced the iron of the Pac-10 recently and lost games at Oregon and Stanford and were upset at home by USC.

Arizona couldn’t keep up with the top-ranked Ducks in last week’s 48-29 setback. Arizona led throughout much of the first half but when Oregon got its high-powered offense rolling the game was over. Nick Foles threw for 448 yards in the loss and three touchdowns, but the Wildcats got little from its running game which totaled just 58 yards.

"We had 500 yards of total offense," Arizona tailback Nic Grigsby said, "but we can't play against the refs and them, too."

After losing three straight in the series, Arizona has won the past two games, including a 31-10 win at home two years ago.

Arizona is ranked 32nd in the nation in scoring defense, but that number has dropped steadily since entering the most difficult part of its schedule. Foles has the Wildcats’ passing game ranked ninth in the nation.

TRENDS

The under is 15-5 in Arizona State’s last 20 road games and Arizona is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 home games.

The Sun Devils are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games against winning teams while the Wildcats are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

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**Udog** · 12-02-2010, 09:28 AM

NCAAF

Thursday, December 2

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Tips and Trends
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Arizona Sun Devils at Arizona Wildcats [ESPN | 8:00 PM ET]

SUN DEVILS: Arizona St. has improved as the season progressed, and are coming off a dominating win over UCLA last week. The Sun Devils are 5-6 SU and 7-2-2 ATS overall this year. The Sun Devils would love to beat Arizona here and earn some revenge, as they've lost the past 2 meetings SU. Arizona St. has been the listed underdog 7 times this season, and have only lost once ATS. The head injury to Steven Threet is important, because he's been the offensive leader of this team. Threet has thrown for more than 2,500 YDS this season, including 18 TD's. The Sun Devils are averaging 32.5 PPG this season, 32nd in the nation. Arizona St. has struggled most on defense, which was expected to be the strong point of this team coming into this season. For the year, Arizona St. is allowing 24.6 PPG, 54th in the nation. The Sun Devils are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 conference games. Arizona St. is 4-0-1 ATS against a team with a winning record. The Sun Devils are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on grass. Arizona St. is 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. The Sun Devils are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 road games against a team with a winning home record. Arizona St. is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played in December.

Sun Devils are 10-4 ATS last 14 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 14-6 last 20 conference games.

Key Injuries - QB Steven Threet (head) is questionable.

Projected Score: 27 (SIDE of the Day)

WILDCATS: (-6, O/U 54.5) Arizona is looking to close out their season with a win, after losing their past 3 games SU. The Wildcats are 7-4 SU and 6-5 ATS overall this season. Less than a month ago, Arizona was considered one of the 10 best teams in the nation. Now they are simply trying to improve their bowl positioning. Arizona is 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS in home games this year. Despite interchanging QB's, the Wildcats are averaging 314 YPG through the air, 9th best in the nation. WR Juron Criner has been the most consistent WR, as he has 67 receptions for nearly 1,100 YDS and 8 TD's this year. The Wildcats are allowing 20.8 PPG this year, 32nd in the nation. The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played in December. Arizona is 15-7 ATS in their last 22 home games overall. The Wildcats are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 home games against a team with a losing road record.

Wildcats are 4-0 ATS last 4 Thursday games.
Over is 4-1 last 5 conference games.

Key Injuries - QB Matt Scott (wrist) is questionable.

Projected Score: 28

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**Udog** · 12-03-2010, 09:58 AM

NCAAF

Friday, December 3

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What Bettors Need to Know
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Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Miami (Ohio) Redhawks (+17.5, 55)

Friday Night football comes to a conclusion with the MAC Championship game at Ford Field in Detroit. MAC West Champ, Northern Illinois, is listed as a 17.5-point favorite over MAC East Champ, Miami (Ohio).

Before placing a wager on either team, here is some info that bettors need to know.

Why Northern Illinois will cover

The Huskies finished up MAC play with a perfect 8-0 record and they did so by blowing out the opposition by an average of 35.6 points. Northern Illinois also kept backers happy by posting a 7-0-1 ATS record during conference play.

The offense has been explosive, averaging 39.2 points per game this season and an incredible 65 points per game in their last three. All of this is aided by their star running back Chad Spann, who has rushed for 1239 yards and 20 touchdowns this year.

However, what is key for bettors is the Huskies’ defense. They rank 16th in that nation in points allowed at 18.5 per game and will be going up against a less-than-impressive offense that ranks 85th. Add that to the fact that freshman Austin Boucher will be the Redhawks’ quarterback and this game will only be his third career start.

The No. 23 ranked Huskies are another level compared to the rest of the MAC this season. They will put up points and prevent the Redhawks from getting them. Riding on the momentum from their Top-25 ranking and nine-game winning streak, head coach Jerry Kill will look for the “Kill”, before heading towards Northern Illinois’s third straight bowl game.

Why Miami (Ohio) will cover

If there was an NCAA comeback of the year award, the Redhawks would definitely win it after going a brutal 1-11 record in 2009.

This year, the Redhawks’ wins haven’t been pretty, but the fact remains that they have been winning. The MAC East Champs posted a decent 7-1 conference record and should put in a decent fight against Northern Illinois.

Since starting QB Zac Dysert got injured, Miami (Ohio) has been playing the possession game, averaging 35 minutes to 25 with new QB Austin Boucher at the helm. They have been utilizing running back Thomas Merriweather, who rushed for 323 total yards in those two games. Keep in mind that he has only 736 yards this season, so the change in emphasis is obvious.

This is good news for Miami (Ohio) backers. Northern Illinois will have to contend with the clock, making an 18-point victory or higher very difficult.

History also favors the Redhawks in spite of the fact that they haven’t beat Northern Illinois since 1998. Miami (Ohio) was an underdog in the last three contest, but it covered in all three, losing by just an average of four points. In last year’s matchup, Miami (Ohio) came back from a 17-point deficit and nearly pulled off an upset in a 27-22 loss.

The total and line movement

The total opened as low as 51.5 points at most books but has now moved up to 55. Miami has been one of the best under bets this year going 2-10 over/under while Northern Illinois games have gone over the number eight times out of 12.

Last year’s matchup between these two had a pretty accurate total, with the game going over by just four points.

The spread has actually seen significant movement, already moving 2.5 point from its opening line of 15.

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**Udog** · 12-03-2010, 10:13 AM

NCAAF

Friday, December 3

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Tips and Trends
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Miami Of Ohio Redhawks at Northern Illinois Huskies [Game Channel | 00:00 PM ET]

REDHAWKS: Miami of Ohio has easily been the most improved team in the country from last year. After winning only 1 game SU last year, the Redhawks come into tonight's contest at 8-4 SU. 3 of their 4 losses this season have come against teams that were ranked at some point this season. Miami of Ohio is 8-4 SU and 7-5 ATS overall this year. The Redhawks are 4-3 ATS as the listed underdog this year. Miami of Ohio comes into tonight with plenty of revenge on their minds, as they've lost the past 5 meetings to the Huskies. To have 8 wins despite averaging only 20.1 PPG is amazing. Miami of Ohio has held 3 of their past 4 opponents to 14 PTS or fewer. They will have to play their best defensive game of the year to have any chance of beating Northern Illinois tonight. The Redhawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Miami of Ohio is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on fieldturf. The Redhawks are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win. Miami of Ohio is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Redhawks are 1-6 ATS last 7 games following an ATS win.
Under is 7-0 last 7 games overall.

Key Injuries - QB Zac Dysert (stomach) is out.

Projected Score: 13

HUSKIES: (-17.5, O/U 54) Northern Illinois has been one the best stories of this entire CFB season. The Huskies have won their past 9 games, and are 1 win away from a MAC championship. Northern Illinois is one of the very best teams in a non BCS conference this year. The Huskies are 10-2 SU and 9-2-1 ATS overall this season. The Huskies are a perfect 8-0 SU in conference play this year, with hardly any resistance from anyone. The Huskies have scored at least 59 PTS in each of their past 3 games. For the entire season, Northern Illinois is averaging 39.3 PPG, 11th in the country. QB Chandler Harnish is an exciting and effective duel threat QB, who has 2,700 total YDS and 22 TD's. RB Chad Spann has rushed for nearly 1,250 YDS and 20 TD's this year. Defensively, the Huskies are only allowing 18.5 PPG this year, 16th best in the nation. The Huskies are Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Northern Illinois is 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win. The Huskies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of more than 10 PTS. The Huskies are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Northern Illinois is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games overall. The Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.

Huskies are 7-0-1 ATS last 8 conference games.
Under is 13-3 last 16 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Key Injuries - OL Matt Krempel (undisclosed) is questionable.

Projected Score: 44 (SIDE of the Day)

Illinois Fighting Illini at Fresno St. Bulldogs [10:15 PM ET]

ILLINI: (-5.5, O/U 57) Illinois is looking for revenge tonight, as they lost to the Bulldogs last year at home 52-53 SU. The Illini have had their moments this year, and would love to finish the season with a winning record. Illinois is 6-5 SU and 8-3 ATS overall this season. The Fighting Illini are 4-0 ATS against a team with a winning record. The Illini have only played 3 true road games this season, going 1-2 SU and 2-1 ATS. Illinois has an outstanding rushing attack, as they are averaging 235.5 YPG, 13th in the nation. RB Mikel Leshoure for 1,371 YDS and 13 TD's this season. The Illini have scored at least 43 PTS in 4 of their past 5 games overall. Illinois has struggled on defense of late, but are still giving up just 24.2 PPG this season. Illinois is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. The Fighting Illini are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games played on grass. Illinois is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games played as a favorite. The Fighting Illini are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games.

Illini are 7-1 ATS last 8 road games overall.
Over is 4-0 last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Key Injuries - DB Evan Frierson (suspension) is questionable.

Projected Score: 38 (OVER-Total of the Day)

BULLDOGS: Fresno St. has lost 2 of their last 3 games, albeit to Nevada and Boise St. The Bulldogs are 7-4 SU this season, and they will be bowling yet again this year. Fresno St. is 4-2 SU and 2-3 ATS in home games this season. The Bulldogs are 2-2 ATS as the listed underdog this year, with tonight marking only the 2nd time this year they will be the listed home underdog. RB Robbie Rouse is the most explosive offensive player for Fresno St, as he has rushed for more nearly 1,100 YDS and 8 TD's this year. The Bulldogs are averaging 30.5 PPG this year, 44th in the nation. Fresno St. has really struggled offensively this year, as they are allowing 29.7 PPG. With Illinois playing great offensively right now, the Bulldogs will have to focus on their defensive intensity from the opening whistle. The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. The Bulldogs are 8-17 ATS against a team with a winning record. Fresno St. is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played in December. The Bulldogs are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 Friday games overall.

Bulldogs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
Over is 8-0 last 8 games following a SU win.

Key Injuries - OL Matt Hunt (hamstring) is questionable.

Projected Score: 27

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**Udog** · 12-03-2010, 10:58 PM

NCAAF

Saturday, December 4

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What Bettors Need to Know
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Auburn Tigers vs. South Carolina Gamecocks (+5.5, 61)

The 19th renewal of the SEC Football Championship game kicks off when No. 1 ranked Auburn takes on No. 18 South Carolina at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta Saturday afternoon.

Free at last

He's the best player in the game today. And he'll be a deserving Heisman winner, too.

Best of all, he will be taking snaps under center Saturday.

After a month of intensive investigation by the NCAA, Auburn QB Cam Newton was cleared to play in Saturday’s SEC title game, but not without sour grapes from other top college football dignitaries around the country.

"I was always told the parent is the child," USC AD Pat Haden said. "That's what we've been telling our kids. If the parent does something inappropriate, the child suffers the consequences."

Home away from home

Auburn is only 100 miles up Interstate 85 from Atlanta.

The Atlanta area is a drawing card for students, alumni and potential football players. And its position as the capital of the football-crazy South means Auburn coaches make frequent trips to Atlanta and its suburbs to hunt and recruit players.

"Atlanta is so close," Auburn coach Gene Chizik told reporters. "Being able to get to Atlanta is every team's goal in this league every year. It's a huge recruiting base. It's a huge inspiration for our guys who are from that area to be able to go back."

Among the dozen scholarship players from greater Atlanta, several have starring roles on this year's team.

Newton comes from College Park, running back Mario Fannin is from Hampton and receiver Darvin Adams finished high school in Kennesaw.

On the line, Byron Isom is from Jonesboro and tight end Philip Lutzenkirchen, who caught the winning pass in the Iron Bowl, comes from Marietta. Starting defensive back Neiko Thorpe is from Tucker.

Second to one

While South Carolina's offense has become more and more dangerous this year with freshman running back Marcus Lattimore and wide receiver Alshon Jeffery, JR QB Stephen Garcia has provided the arm and legs to put defenses on their heels.

Garcia has come a long way since being pulled in the fourth quarter in Jordan-Hare Stadium when the Gamecocks folded like cheap tent in a 35-27 loss to the Tigers earlier this season.

After leading the Tigers 20-7 in the first half, and 27-21 to start the fourth quarter, the Gamecocks' fourth quarter went: Fumble, fumble, interception, interception. Game over.

In Garcia's next game, against then-No. 1 Alabama, he played the game of his life as South Carolina upset the Crimson Tide.

It marked the first time in 108 years SC defeated a No. 1 ranked opponent.

Garcia is expected to play despite a tender shoulder.

Do it to me one more time

Auburn's 334 rushing yards against South Carolina on September 25 accounted for nearly 30 percent of the rushing yards given up by the Gamecocks during the regular season.

South Carolina held nine of its other 11 opponents to fewer than 100 rushing yards.

Auburn leads the SEC in rushing offense at 291.2 yards per game. South Carolina leads the SEC in rushing defense at 93.2 yards per game.

SEC rematches

“It’s hard to beat the same teams twice in the same season”, remains a popular axiom.

There's not much historical precedent for same-season rematches.

Four of the five SEC title game rematches have led to sweeps: Alabama over Florida in 1999, Florida over Auburn in 2000, LSU over Georgia in 2003 and Auburn over Tennessee in 2004. The only split was between Tennessee and LSU in 2001.

Tigers coach Chizik understands the rematch scenario from the perspective of the 2004 season, when he was defensive coordinator and Auburn needed to beat Tennessee for a second time to preserve its unbeaten season.

Though Auburn won by 24 points in Knoxville, it had a hard-fought, 10-point win in Atlanta.

South Carolina boss Steve Spurrier has had more a little experience with rematches.

"I've had some games where, well, back in 2000 we were actually able to beat Auburn a couple of times. In '99, Alabama beat us a couple of times," Spurrier recalled. "And then we were lucky to get a rematch with FSU in the national championship there in '96 and were able to beat them the second time after losing the first. I think it can go either way. You can win both of them or split."

Spurrier went on to extol the virtues of Auburn’s undefeated season saying, "They've been - I wouldn't say the surprise team - but they've been one of the best teams in the country, if not the best team, through the course of the first 12 games.”

Chew on this

• South Carolina's only victory over Auburn was a 16-14 win in Birmingham on Dec. 2, 1933.

• Auburn is the only SEC opponent that South Carolina has not beaten since joining the conference in 1992.

• Auburn has won six SEC championships -- 1957, 1983, 1987, 1988 (shared with LSU), 1989 (shared with Alabama and Tennessee) and 2004. In each of those seasons, Auburn defeated Alabama, Georgia and Mississippi State.

• South Carolina is the third team to reach the SEC Championship Game with three league losses, joining LSU in 2001 and Arkansas in 2002.

• The higher-ranked team in the AP poll has won 12 of the 18 SEC championship games.

• The winner of the SEC title game has gone on to win six of the 12 BCS national championship games, including the past four.

• Undefeated tams in SEC title games are 5-3 straight up and 3-5 against the spread.

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Oklahoma Sooners (-4.5, 53)

No. 13 Nebraska and No. 9 Oklahoma square off Saturday in a Big 12 Championship Game packed with story lines.

This will be last meeting between the longtime conference rivals, who have tangled in some of college football’s most storied games. Nebraska heads to the Big Ten next season and would love nothing more than to scoop up the Big 12’s lucrative BCS bowl bid before jumping ship.

Odds

The line opened at -3.5 in favor of OU and was bet up to as high as -6.5 before bettors took a discounted Huskers squad, bring the spread down to its current stand.

The total opened at 54 points and has dropped a points to 53 as of Friday afternoon.

Falling stars

The winner of Saturday’s game at Cowboys Stadium in Dallas also moves onto the short list of possible preseason No. 1 candidates for 2011.

Unfortunately for Cornhusker and Sooner fans, they're forced to worry about injuries to their star players.

Nebraska quarterback Taylor Martinez is a game-time decision due to turf toe on his left foot and a right ankle injury. The redshirt freshman practiced Wednesday, but was seen leaving the field with a boot on his right foot.

Martinez got off to an electric start this season, but slowed down the stretch. He missed two games due to injuries, including last week’s win over Colorado. Backups Cody Green and Zac Lee have seen time in Martinez’s absence and helped the Huskers (10-2, 6-2 Big 12) finish with their best regular-season mark in nine seasons. Green has emerged lately and is expected to start if Martinez can’t go.

Oklahoma could be without leading rusher DeMarco Murray, who injured his knee in last week’s win over Oklahoma State. Coach Bob Stoops told the media this week that Murray is improving, but his status is still questionable against Nebraska. Freshman Roy Finch and senior Mossis Madu will be asked to produce on the ground if Murray can’t go.

Even if Martinez and Murray are held out, there will still be plenty of talent on the field. The Cornhuskers have a pair of game-breakers at running back. Roy Helu (1,122 yards, 10 TDs) and Rex Burkhead (822 yards, 7 TDs) lead the nation’s eighth-ranked rushing attack.

Nebraska also boasts the nation’s fifth-best defense, led by cornerback Prince Amukara, one of the top NFL draft prospects at defensive back.

Flyin’ Ryan

Amukara will likely be matched up against Oklahoma’s prolific receiver Ryan Broyles, also an NFL prospect. The nation’s leader in receptions per game, Broyles is quarterback Landry Jones’ favorite target and averages 115 receiving yards. Jones passed for 466 yards and four touchdowns against Oklahoma State and spearheads the nation’s fourth-best passing attack.

Defensive end Jeremy Beal, the Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year, leads the Sooner defense, which has been inconsistent this season. Oklahoma is giving up 152 yards rushing per game. Starting cornerback Jonathan Nelson (concussion) was a full participant in practice for the Sooners and is expected to play.

The Sooners enter the game as touchdown favorites and are shooting for their fourth Big 12 title in the last five seasons. They’ll have to perform better than they did in last season’s ugly loss to the Cornhuskers.

Jones threw five interceptions in the 10-3 loss in Lincoln, Neb.

Trends

• Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
• Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
• Favorite is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Florida State Seminoles (+3.5, 51.5)

Since a surprising stumble in Week 2, few teams have been as impressive as Virginia Tech, which has reeled off 10 wins a row. An old nemesis, Florida State, aims to halt a Hokies streak – again.

Virginia Tech (10-2, 8-0 ACC) and the Seminoles (9-3, 6-2) meet on Saturday in the ACC Championship Game in Charlotte with an Orange Bowl berth at stake.

Odds

The line opened as high as -4.5 in favor of the Hokies, but has been bet down to its current stand. The total has climbed slightly, sitting as high as 52 at some books.

Rematch or outmatched?

The teams faced each other in the first ACC title game in 2005 and also met in the national title game in 2000, both won by Florida State. But in recent years, Virginia Tech has become more of a national power while Florida State, after a few mediocre years and a coaching change, is now the upstart. Still, the Seminoles beat Virginia Tech in their last meeting 30-20 two seasons ago.

The No. 11 Hokies are making their fourth trip to the conference championship game. After losing in 2005, they beat Boston College in 2007 and 2008. No. 20 Florida State is making its first return trip to the title game.

Virginia Tech, which lost to Boise State in the season opener and then dropped a stunner to James Madison, has been unbeatable since. The athletic Tyrod Taylor has refined his game to become a complete quarterback, evidenced by him becoming the all-time leading passer for the Hokies. Taylor directs an offense that is averaging nearly 35 points a game.

His counterpart, Christian Ponder, also is a mobile quarterback capable of making big plays. Both have thrown 20 touchdowns on the season and for more than 2,000 yards.

Florida State averages just shy of 32 points a game. Statistically, the teams are extremely close in a number of categories, including scoring, rushing and passing, and the game could down to turnovers, where the edge has to go to the Hokies.

Under coach Frank Beamer, Virginia Tech is known for big plays via special teams and turnovers. They rank second in the nation with 20 interceptions. Taylor has been picked off only four times while Florida State has turned the ball over 20 times, with Ponder throwing eight interceptions.

Devil you Nole

Though the Seminoles and rookie head coach Jimbo Fisher are underdogs, they have to be feeling good entering the game. Not only has Florida State won its last three games, including convincing wins over Miami and Maryland, the ’Noles have beaten up on Beamer, who is 1-8 all-time against them.

Virginia Tech’s biggest advantage may be in the running game, where it has a wealth of weapons. Darren Evans leads the team with 748 yards rushing and 10 touchdowns and Taylor isn’t far behind with 613 yards. Sophomore David Wilson is a dangerous threat out of the backfield and on returns.

But against ACC opponents, Florida State allowed just 3.5 yards per carry and the defense has given up an average of 12 points in the last three games. Offensively, Chris Thompson leads the Seminoles’ rushing attack with 687 yards and a gaudy 6.9 average.

Virginia Tech’s 10-game winning streak is its longest since 2000 when it won 12 straight. That streak was broken by Florida State in the Sugar Bowl. The Seminoles are 4-0 against the Hokies at neutral sites.

Trends

• Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
• Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
• Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

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**Udog** · 12-04-2010, 09:55 AM

NCAAF
Write-Up

Saturday, December 4

Cincinnati beat Pitt last two years, 45-44/28-21; Panthers split their two visits here, with favorites covering both. Pitt is 6-0 if it allows 21 points or less, 0-5 if it allows more- they're 2-3 on road. Cincinnati lost four of last five games, allowing 36.4 ppg; they scored more than 17 points only once in their last four games.

West Virginia won last 13 games vs Rutgers, with four of last six won by 7 or less points; Scarlet Knights lost last six visits here, losing last two 24-17/41-39. Rutgers lost last five games, allowing 38.2 ppg- they gave up 108 points in last two games. Mountaineers won last three games by average score of 30-10, allowing 10 points in all three games.

UConn goes to BCS bowl if they beat their former coach Holtz; Huskies are 0-3 at South Florida (0-3 vs spread) losing by 4-22-19 points. Home team won last six series games. Bulls ran ball for 193 ypg in last four vs UConn. USF won four of last five games, with last three wins all by 3 or less points. UConn won last four, allowing 23 points in last two games.

Boise State had BCS bowl hopes dashed in Reno last week; they've won last nine games vs Utah State, covering eight. Aggies lost last five games on blue carpet (1-4 vs spread) by average score of 51-23. Boise averages 47.2 ppg at home- they're 3-2 as home fave this year. Utah State is 2-2 as road dog this year- they won two of last three games overall.

Trap game for Nevada squad that upset Boise last week; Wolf Pack won last five games vs Louisiana Tech by average score of 40-16, winning last two played here, 35-31/42-0. Favorite covered five of last six series tilts. Nevada is 4-1 on road, with three wins by 14+ points- they're 2-3 when road favorite. Bulldogs scored 86 points in last two games, but are 2-3 at home in '10, losing 37-23 to Navy, 13-12 to So Miss, 40-34 to Fresno.

Since 1982, home side covered 71% of USC-UCLA games; Trojans won 10 of last 11 meetings, winning four of last five in Pasadena, but Bruins covered last three played here. USC scored total of just 23 points in last two games, losing to Oregon State/Notre Dame (first time since 2001). UCLA lost five of last six games, with four losses by 17+ points.

Washington is bowl-eligible with win, but its last four visits to Pullman were all decided by exactly 3 points with dogs covering all four. The dog won Apple Cup game SU six of last nine years. State hasn't played since Nov 14; they covered six of last seven games, all as underdogs. Huskies won last two weeks to get to 5-6, allowing total of 20 points.

Oregon plays for national title with win over rival Oregon State, but the Ducks lost five of last six visits to Corvallis. Oregon is 7-2-1 as favorite this year; they scored 42+ points in every game but one (15-13 win at Cal). Erratic Beavers lost three of last four games, were probably worn down by too-difficult schedule; they're 5-1 vs spread as an underdog this season. Average total in last eight series games, 74.3.

San Jose State won four of last five games vs Idaho, winning last two in Moscow, 30-24/28-13; dogs are 3-2-1 vs spread in last six series games. Spartans are 0-10 vs I-A teams this year, but three of last four were lost by 7 or less points- they're 2-4 as road underdog this year. Idaho is 1-4 in last five games; they're 2-3 as favorite this year, but all five of their wins this year are by 20 or more points.

Hawai'i is 9-3 this year; covering eight of last nine games- they're 5-0 vs spread as favorite this year, winning home games by 20-6-35-34 points. UNLV is 2-10, allowed 83 points in last two games; they're 0-5 as road dog this year, losing away games by 28-23-29-33-48 points. Rebels are 3-7-1 against spread overall as an underdog this season.

Troy won five of last six games vs Florida Atlantic, winning last two on this field, 30-17/24-17, covering both (Trojans 5-1 vs spread in series). Only fourth home games for 4-7 Owls, who won last two at home, but gave up 89 points in losing last two games overall. Troy allowed 44.3 ppg in last three road games; they're 1-7 vs spread as fave, 0-3 on road.

Florida International won last four games, scoring 40.8 ppg; they're 3-3 as favorite this year, 1-2 at home. Home side won last five FIU-Middle Tennessee games; Blue Raiders lost last two visits to FIU, 31-21/35-31. Blue Raiders won last two games; they're 2-3 on road, 0-2 as underdog this year, losing 24-17 at home to Minnesota, 42-24 at Georgia Tech.

Central Florida covered seven of last nine games; they're 3-2 at home in 2010, losing to NC State/Southern Miss. Knights scored 35+ points in seven of last eight games. 7-5 SMU scored 76 points in winning last two games; they're 3-3 SU on road, 2-1 as road dog. This is first time SMU has been underdog since October 16. Mustangs (+14) lost 31-17 in last visits here in 2008, but they were 1-11 in '08. They're lot better now.

Auburn (-3) beat South Carolina 35-27 Sept 25, outrushing Gamecocks 334-79 in game Carolina led 20-14 at half, 27-21 early in fourth quarter. Unbeaten Tigers covered seven of last eight games, but how hard is it to play week after emotional Iron Bowl comeback (trailed 24-0 in second quarter)? Gamecocks beat their rival Clemson 29-7 last week, their third straight win by 22+ points. Carolina is 2-1 as underdog this year with only non-cover the Auburn game. Spurrier is 5-2 in SEC title games.

Virginia Tech started season 0-2, losing to I-AA James Madison; they're 10-0 since then (9-1 vs spread), with only one win by less than 16 pts. Hokies lost 13 of last 14 games vs Florida State, covering one of last five. Seminoles won last three games, allowing 12 ppg; they're 8-2 in last ten, losing by 2 at North Carolina, 4 to NC State. State is 1-1 as an underdog this year. Game is in Charlotte, meaning Tech will have edge in support.

Nebraska's last Big 12 football game is Big 12 title game vs Oklahoma, in what was premier national rivalry until Big 12 divisional setup crippled it. Huskers lost this game at gun LY, when clock stopped at 0:01 after a Texas incomplete pass, and Longhorns kicked FG. Oklahoma beat rival Okla State last week, gaining 588 yards on 107 plays (were amazing 16 for 27 on 3rd down!!!). 10-2 Huskers are dog for first time this season.

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