Squirrel drunken banter

[pizza squirrel]

Squirrel is drunk, so take this with grain of salt.

Having tracked the Heat last 2 weeks, it seems that we might be watching a team that is loaded with scorer, but does not have rebounders and 3-point shooters. Which means, they will most likely win 48-52 games. That would mean they should lose any where between 30-34 games. As dogs vs. Heat has been getting moneyline of +250 to +400 on most lines, only need to win 31% to break even... so would it be crazy to bet against the Heats?

Should I give it a shot, or am I just a crazy drunk?

26-Oct At Celtics 105 W
27-Oct At 76ers 310 L
29-Oct Magics 140 L
31-Oct At Nets 415 L
2-Nov Timberwolves 1850 L
5-Nov At Hornets 230 W
6-Nov Nets 2000 L
9-Nov Jazz 450 W
11-Nov Celtics 260 W
13-Nov Raptors 1900 L
17-Nov Suns 325 L
19-Nov Bobcats 650 L
20-Nov At Grizzlies 200 W
22-Nov Pacers 400 W

assuming +1000 and above is no play, it currently shows a nice healthy profit of 104%

Public obviously loves Heat, because of LeBron and D-Wade, but the team is fundamentally flawed.
What do you guys think?

Is this a drunken rant from Squirrel, or is he into something?

[jt4545]

good luck Drunk

[Jimmy The Greek]

GoodLuck Heat = Choke Artists . . . Cry Babies , I Play To Much , Shut Up LBJ , Never Cried when Cavs Played Ya A Lot , Ohhhhh Thats Cuz You Won 70 Games Now huh ? Heat 5th or 6th Seed . . .

[pizza squirrel]

Exactly Jimmy, that's my point. Heats are overrated, but public doesn't think so. I think the public will continue to pour money to Heats. I think if we just avoid the total crap teams like Nets and 76ers, winning 40-43% is not out of realm, and given a nice juicy 175+ moneyline on dogs against Heat, it'll show a nice profit. I'll go for it. And will track this.

[DAREALDEAL]

drunk rant......lol

they'll be evening out as the season progresses and then you keep betting that way and lose your ass.....this team is unpredictable, and id rather stay away