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2* S.F. -3 over T.B.San Fran is catching stride at the right time.* When teams get hot late in the year, they usually stay hot.* Tampa's D is allowing an astounding 4.9 YPR (30th) and will allow the Niners to move the ball effectively.* When the Bucs have the ball they will not be able to run on a Niners D that allows only 3.6 YPR (6th).* There is a 76-38 ATS trend favoring the Niners*1* Houston +7 over N.Y. JetsHouston applies to a great trend that is 24-2 ATS based on their losing 5 straight ATS.* Houston's strong run game (2nd) and pass game (5th) will be able to move the ball effectively against the Jets D.* Houston's weak point is their pass D (31st), but the Jets are 23rd in pass offense so I am not too concerened.* The Jets are coming off 2 tough OT games and are due for a letdown.* This is a 2* play at +7.5 or greater and a 1* play at +6-7.*1* Minnesota over G.B.Minnesota's recent demise has made them a good play here.* Minne is averaging 4.5 YPR (7th) and will dominate a bad GB run D allowing 4.5 YPR (26th).* GB's strength of passing will be held in check versus a good Vikings pass D (9th).* Favre has been throwin INT's at an absurd rate, and though he is a bad QB at the point in his career, he is not this bad.* Minnesota is a 2* at 3.5 or greater and a 1* at +3.* I would get this one close to gametime because the public is going to hit the Pack hard and may drive the line up to 3.5.*St. Louis over AtlantaAtlanta is vastly overrated and I am going to take advantage while their is good line value playing against them.* On paper these two teams are nearly identical, so the line is based on public perception.* Atlanta doesn't crack the top 15 in running offense/defense of passing offense/defense.* There is a 48-28 ATS trend favoring the Rams.* Take the rams as a 1* at +3 or better.
2* S.F. -3 over T.B.San Fran is catching stride at the right time.* When teams get hot late in the year, they usually stay hot.* Tampa's D is allowing an astounding 4.9 YPR (30th) and will allow the Niners to move the ball effectively.* When the Bucs have the ball they will not be able to run on a Niners D that allows only 3.6 YPR (6th).* There is a 76-38 ATS trend favoring the Niners*1* Houston +7 over N.Y. JetsHouston applies to a great trend that is 24-2 ATS based on their losing 5 straight ATS.* Houston's strong run game (2nd) and pass game (5th) will be able to move the ball effectively against the Jets D.* Houston's weak point is their pass D (31st), but the Jets are 23rd in pass offense so I am not too concerened.* The Jets are coming off 2 tough OT games and are due for a letdown.* This is a 2* play at +7.5 or greater and a 1* play at +6-7.*1* Minnesota over G.B.Minnesota's recent demise has made them a good play here.* Minne is averaging 4.5 YPR (7th) and will dominate a bad GB run D allowing 4.5 YPR (26th).* GB's strength of passing will be held in check versus a good Vikings pass D (9th).* Favre has been throwin INT's at an absurd rate, and though he is a bad QB at the point in his career, he is not this bad.* Minnesota is a 2* at 3.5 or greater and a 1* at +3.* I would get this one close to gametime because the public is going to hit the Pack hard and may drive the line up to 3.5.*St. Louis over AtlantaAtlanta is vastly overrated and I am going to take advantage while their is good line value playing against them.* On paper these two teams are nearly identical, so the line is based on public perception.* Atlanta doesn't crack the top 15 in running offense/defense of passing offense/defense.* There is a 48-28 ATS trend favoring the Rams.* Take the rams as a 1* at +3 or better.
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