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NFL
Monday, November 22
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Tips and Trends
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Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers [ESPN | 8:35 PM ET]
BRONCOS: Denver played their best game of the season last week, a 49-29 SU thrashing of Kansas City. The Broncos need every win they can get, as they are only 3-6 both SU and ATS this year. Similar to San Diego, the Broncos have had the exact same result both SU and ATS in each game this season. Tonight will represent the 2nd time this season that Denver has been an underdog more than a TD. QB Kyle Orton has had an amazing season in his own right, as he's 2nd in the NFL with 2,806 YDS passing this year. Orton is completing better than 62% of his passes this season, with 16 TD's against 5 INT's. The Broncos can only move the ball through the air this year, because they have the worst ground attack in the NFL this year. Denver must play their best game of the season defensively if they are to have any opportunity of stealing this road game tonight. For the season, the Broncos are allowing 28 PPG, 3rd worst in the league. The Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Denver is 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games against the AFC West. The Broncos are 6-19-1 ATS against a team with a losing record. Denver is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win.
Broncos are 2-5 ATS last 7 games as a road underdog.
Over is 10-1 last 11 games against the AFC.
Key Injuries - WR Eddie Royal (hamstring) is questionable.
Projected Score: 27
CHARGERS: (-9.5, O/U 50) San Diego is starting their usual trek up the standings as we get further into the season. The Chargers are only 4-5 SU on the year, but everyone in the NFL knows how talented this team is. San Diego is also 4-5 ATS this season, with every game having the same result both SU and ATS. San Diego is 2-2 ATS as a touchdown or more favorite this year. QB Philip Rivers has thrown for an NFL high 2,944 YDS this season, while completing 65% of his attempts. Rivers is the unquestioned leader of the Chargers, and is the biggest reason why San Diego is averaging 26.6 PPG this year. San Diego is the only team that is averaging more than 300 passing YPG this season. TE Antonio Gates is playing through pain this year, yet still has 40 receptions and 9 TD's this year. The Chargers defense will be tested tonight by the Broncos aerial attack. San Diego is only allowing 274.7 YPG this year, 2nd fewest in the NFL. The Chargers are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite of between 3.5 and 10 PTS. San Diego is 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The Chargers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. San Diego is 0-3-1 ATS against a team with a losing record.
Chargers are 5-0 ATS last 5 games played in November.
Over is 13-3 last 16 games following a ATS win.
Key Injuries - WR Malcolm Floyd (hamstring) is probable.
Projected Score: 34 (OVER-Total of the Day)
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Monday, November 22
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Tips and Trends
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Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers [ESPN | 8:35 PM ET]
BRONCOS: Denver played their best game of the season last week, a 49-29 SU thrashing of Kansas City. The Broncos need every win they can get, as they are only 3-6 both SU and ATS this year. Similar to San Diego, the Broncos have had the exact same result both SU and ATS in each game this season. Tonight will represent the 2nd time this season that Denver has been an underdog more than a TD. QB Kyle Orton has had an amazing season in his own right, as he's 2nd in the NFL with 2,806 YDS passing this year. Orton is completing better than 62% of his passes this season, with 16 TD's against 5 INT's. The Broncos can only move the ball through the air this year, because they have the worst ground attack in the NFL this year. Denver must play their best game of the season defensively if they are to have any opportunity of stealing this road game tonight. For the season, the Broncos are allowing 28 PPG, 3rd worst in the league. The Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Denver is 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games against the AFC West. The Broncos are 6-19-1 ATS against a team with a losing record. Denver is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win.
Broncos are 2-5 ATS last 7 games as a road underdog.
Over is 10-1 last 11 games against the AFC.
Key Injuries - WR Eddie Royal (hamstring) is questionable.
Projected Score: 27
CHARGERS: (-9.5, O/U 50) San Diego is starting their usual trek up the standings as we get further into the season. The Chargers are only 4-5 SU on the year, but everyone in the NFL knows how talented this team is. San Diego is also 4-5 ATS this season, with every game having the same result both SU and ATS. San Diego is 2-2 ATS as a touchdown or more favorite this year. QB Philip Rivers has thrown for an NFL high 2,944 YDS this season, while completing 65% of his attempts. Rivers is the unquestioned leader of the Chargers, and is the biggest reason why San Diego is averaging 26.6 PPG this year. San Diego is the only team that is averaging more than 300 passing YPG this season. TE Antonio Gates is playing through pain this year, yet still has 40 receptions and 9 TD's this year. The Chargers defense will be tested tonight by the Broncos aerial attack. San Diego is only allowing 274.7 YPG this year, 2nd fewest in the NFL. The Chargers are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite of between 3.5 and 10 PTS. San Diego is 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The Chargers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. San Diego is 0-3-1 ATS against a team with a losing record.
Chargers are 5-0 ATS last 5 games played in November.
Over is 13-3 last 16 games following a ATS win.
Key Injuries - WR Malcolm Floyd (hamstring) is probable.
Projected Score: 34 (OVER-Total of the Day)
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