Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 11/14 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, CFL, Misc.)

[Udog]

NHL


Sunday, November 14

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Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets
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Anaheim Ducks at Chicago Blackhawks (-154,5.5)

The Ducks started the season 0-3, allowing at least 40 shots in each of those three losses. Since then, they are 10-4-1 and have won six straight following Friday night’s 4-2 win over Dallas.

A big reason for that is a revamped penalty-killing unit, coached up by new assistant Mike Foligno. After a dismal start to the year, Anaheim’s penalty-killing percentage is up to 83.5 percent, good for a respectable 16th in the NHL.

The Ducks have enjoyed 14 consecutive kills and they are 20 for 22 during their six-game surge.

"The players have done a better job of controlling the pucks on their clears (down the ice)," said head coach Randy Carlyle said. "We made some adjustments. We changed some things which we were doing historically. Right now it's been one of the areas that over the last three or four games has helped us get points."

Pick: Ducks


Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning (-154, 5.5)

Neither team is playing well at the moment. Tampa Bay is 1-5 in its last six overall and Minnesota is 1-4 in its last five games against the Eastern Conference, 1-9 against Southeast Division opponents.

But things are especially bad for the Lightning. Forwards Vincent Lecavalier (fractured knuckle), Simon Gagne (neck), and Steve Downie (neck) are all injured. On Friday the team had to call up Marc-Antoine Pouliot and Johan Harju from the AHL in order to compensate.

"The problem isn't we're missing guys in terms of numbers," lamented head coach Guy Boucher. "The problem is you're asking guys to play above what they normally can. It's okay for the short term, but after a while what's happening is we're going to have the same guys on the power play and penalty kill. We're going to drain everybody."

Based on recent results, it’s safe to say that has already happened.

Pick: Wild


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[Udog]

CFL
Dunkel


BC at Saskatchewan
The Lions look to build on their 20-6-1 ATS record in their last 27 games as an underdog from 3 1/2 to 10 points. BC is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: BC (+5). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 14

Game 281-282: Toronto at Hamilton (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 105.873; Hamilton 116.915
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 11; 52
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 6 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-6 1/2); Over

Game 283-284: BC at Saskatchewan (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 112.516; Saskatchewan 112.402
Dunkel Line: Even; 47
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 5; 52
Dunkel Pick: BC (+5); Under




CFL
Long Sheet


Sunday, November 14

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TORONTO (9 - 9) at HAMILTON (9 - 9) - 11/14/2010, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 7-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 7-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (8 - 10) at SASKATCHEWAN (10 - 8) - 11/14/2010, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 147-113 ATS (+22.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 147-113 ATS (+22.7 Units) in all lined games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 134-101 ATS (+22.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 84-52 ATS (+26.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-5 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-5 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL


Sunday, November 14

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
Hamilton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games

4:30 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. SASKATCHEWAN
British Columbia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
British Columbia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Saskatchewan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games


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[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Sunday, 11/14/2010

MINNESOTA at ATLANTA, 2:00 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 25-14 Over when the total is 200 to 209.5
ATLANTA: 34-17 Over of BB home losses

DETROIT at SACRAMENTO, 6:00 PM ET
DETROIT: 31-13 ATS Away if underdog L3 games
SACRAMENTO: 1-9 ATS off division loss

SAN ANTONIO at OKLAHOMA CITY, 7:00 PM ET
SAN ANTONIO: 4-16 ATS off 4 straight wins
OKLAHOMA CITY: 6-0 Over if favored last game

HOUSTON at NEW YORK, 7:30 PM ET NBA TV
HOUSTON: 5-15 ATS Away off ATS win
NEW YORK: 23-11 Over after allowing 110+ points

PHOENIX at LA LAKERS, 9:30 PM ET
PHOENIX: 12-0 Over off double digit division win
LA LAKERS: 9-21 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Sunday, 11/14/2010

CORNELL at SETON HALL, 12:00 PM ET
CORNELL: 34-16 ATS as DD road underdog
SETON HALL: 8-19 ATS in all games

ARK-LITTLE ROCK at ST BONAVENTURE, 2:00 PM ET
ARK-LITTLE ROCK: 1-8 ATS playing with one or less days rest
ST BONAVENTURE: 59-83 ATS in home games

TOLEDO at TEMPLE, 3:00 PM ET
TOLEDO: 18-35 ATS Away off road loss
TEMPLE: 33-18 ATS as home favorite

CBE Classic
PRINCETON at DUKE, 5:00 PM ET ESPNU
PRINCETON: 12-4 ATS in road games
DUKE: 84-54 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points

WRIGHT ST at INDIANA, 7:00 PM ET ESPNU
WRIGHT ST: 3-12 ATS in road games
INDIANA: 2-10 ATS off home win

World Vision Classic - Wolstein Center - Cleveland, OH
BRYANT vs. IONA, 3:00 PM ET
BRYANT: n/a
IONA: 22-40 ATS if underdog L2 games

KENT ST at CLEVELAND ST, 6:00 PM ET
KENT ST: 5-16 ATS off BB non-conf games
CLEVELAND ST: 3-0 ATS vs. MAC

Loyola Classic - Gentile Center - Chicago, IL
E KENTUCKY vs. INDIANA ST, 4:00 PM ET
E KENTUCKY: 1-5 ATS after scoring 55 points or less
INDIANA ST: 10-0 ATS off double digit road loss

TX-PAN AM at LOYOLA-IL, 6:30 PM ET
TX-PAN AM: 9-4 ATS playing with one or less days rest
LOYOLA-IL: 2-10 ATS off consecutive home games

BCI Invitational - McArthur Court - Eugene, OR
N DAKOTA ST vs. DENVER, 6:30 PM ET (TC)
N DAKOTA ST: 8-0 ATS off non-conf game
DENVER: 0-6 ATS after a game where they were called for 27+ fouls

UC-SANTA BARBARA at OREGON, 9:00 PM ET (TC)
UC-SANTA BARBARA: 44-24 Under off SU loss
OREGON: 1-6 ATS off 2 straight home wins

Athletes In Action Classic - Chiles Center - Portland, OR
WI-MILWAUKEE vs. CAL DAVIS, 6:00 PM ET
WI-MILWAUKEE: 5-1 Under off SU loss as favorite
CAL DAVIS: 9-1 ATS after a loss by 15+ points

FLA ATLANTIC at PORTLAND, 8:30 PM ET
FLA ATLANTIC: 16-6 ATS off 2 straight wins
PORTLAND: 23-47 ATS off 2 straight home games

Added Games

N ARIZONA at CREIGHTON, 2:05 PM ET
N ARIZONA: 2-14 ATS after a loss by 15 points
CREIGHTON: 6-0 Under after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent

IDAHO ST at ARIZONA, 5:00 PM ET (TC)
IDAHO ST: 17-40 ATS after a combined score of 155+ points last game
ARIZONA: 17-12 ATS as a favorite

CANISIUS at SYRACUSE, 3:00 PM ET
CANISIUS: 9-5 ATS as double digit underdog
SYRACUSE: 0-7 ATS at home after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds

E ILLINOIS at BALL ST, 3:00 PM ET
E ILLINOIS: 26-45 ATS in non-conf games
BALL ST: 42-63 ATS in non-conf games

FLORIDA ST at UNC-GREENSBORO, 3:30 PM ET
FLORIDA ST: 2-11 ATS off home game
UNC-GREENSBORO: 4-13 ATS vs. ACC

S DAKOTA ST at IOWA, 3:05 PM ET
S DAKOTA ST: 1-7 ATS in all games
IOWA: 8-12 ATS vs. non-conference

IUPUI at GONZAGA, 3:00 PM ET
IUPUI: n/a
GONZAGA: 12-4 Under after scoring 95+ points

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


Sunday, 11/14/2010

EDMONTON at NY RANGERS, 12:30 PM ET
EDMONTON: 3-22 SU Away off away loss
NY RANGERS: 3-16 SU at home playing only their 2nd game in 5 days

ATLANTA at WASHINGTON, 5:00 PM ET
ATLANTA: 0-7 SU off home game
WASHINGTON: 7-0 SU at home vs. Atlanta

MINNESOTA at TAMPA BAY, 5:00 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 14-31 SU off road game
TAMPA BAY: 8-4 SU off BB road losses

ANAHEIM at CHICAGO, 7:00 PM ET
ANAHEIM: 10-0 Under Away off BB home games
CHICAGO: 1-6 SU off road game

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NBA
Write-Up


Sunday, November 14

Hot Teams-
- Minnesota won last two games, covered last three.
-- Pistons won three of last four games, covered four of last five.
-- Spurs won last six games; they're 3-0 vs spread on road. Oklahoma City won three of last four games.
-- Lakers won eight of first nine games; they're 3-3 as home favorite. Suns won three of last four games; they're 2-2 as road underdog.

Cold Teams
-- Hawks lost their last four games, scoring 96 ppg.
-- Kings lost last four games, are 0-5 vs spread in last five.
-- Knicks lost last four games, giving up 111.8 ppg. Rockets are just 2-6, but did win two of last three games.

Back-to-Back
-- Spurs are playing on consecutive days for first time this year.

Totals
-- Over is 4-2-1 in last seven Minnesota games.
-- Three of last four Detroit road games stayed under total.
-- Seven of eight Thunder games went over the total.
-- Three of four New York games stayed under total.
-- Over is 6-3 in Lakers' first nine games.

[Udog]

NHL
Write-Up


Sunday, November 14

Hot Teams
-- Washington won six of its last seven games.
-- Anaheim won last six games, allowing 12 goals.

Cold Teams
-- Edmonton lost 11 of its last 13 games. Rangers lost four of their last six home games.
-- Thrashers lost four of their last five games.
-- Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games. Minnesota lost three of its last four road games.
-- Chicago lost five of its last six games.

Totals
-- Over is 10-3 in last 13 Edmonton games. Six of last seven Ranger games stayed under.
-- Over is 11-2-1 in last fourteen Atlanta games.
-- Under is 7-1 in Minnesota's last eight games.
-- Three of last four Anaheim road games went over total.

Back-to-Back
-- Thrashers are 1-4 if they played the night before.

Series Records
-- Rangers/Edmonton split their last four games.
-- Washington won nine of last ten against the Thrashers.
-- Minnesota won three of last four against the Lightning.
-- Ducks won three of last four games against Chicago.

[Udog]

CFL
Write-Up


Sunday, November 14

First round CFL playoffs
Toronto (9-9) @ Hamilton (9-9)-- TiCats swept all three games against Toronto this season, winning 16-12 (+2.5) on road in Week 8, 28-13 at home (-4.5) in Week 10, then 30-3 (-1.5) in Rogers Centre four weeks ago. Hamilton is 4-6 vs the spread when favored this year, 3-4 at home. Argonauts won last week, haven't won consecutive games since back in Weeks 6-7; they're 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Toronto went 9-9 this year despite being favored only twice all season long.

BCLions (8-10) @ Saskatchewan (10-8)-- Lions were 1-7 at one point this year, but won last three games to sneak in here; their last four games were all decided by six or less points. Roughriders won two of three vs BC this season, winning 37-18 (+2.5) on road in Week 2, 37-13 (-8.5) in Regina in Week 7 before losing 23-17 (+3) on road two weeks ago. Lions won four of last five road games. Saskatchewan lost four of its last five games, covering one of its last seven as a favorite, with last three games going over the total.

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


Houston at New York
The Rockets look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Houston is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Houston (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 14

Game 701-702: Minnesota at Atlanta (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 111.257; Atlanta 120.308
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 9; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 11 1/2; 205
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+11 1/2); Under

Game 703-704: Detroit at Sacramento (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 111.127; Sacramento 118.217
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 7; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 4 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-4 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: San Antonio at Oklahoma City (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 117.217; Oklahoma City 122.112
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 2 1/2; 206
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-2 1/2); Over

Game 707-708: Houston at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 116.043; New York 116.072
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 209
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3; 214
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+3); Under

Game 709-710: Phoenix at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 120.598; LA Lakers 132.115
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 11 1/2; 213
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 9; 216
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-9); Under

[Udog]

NCAAB
Write-Up


Update

Sunday, November 14

Cornell lost eight seniors from their great team LY; their only returning starter is hurt (ankle), didn't play Friday, when Big Red won 65-61 at Albany. Seton Hall lost 62-56 at Temple, going 9:00 without hoop; they won 89-79 at Cornell LY, as part of their 8-0 start. Pirates have four starters back from LY, but have a new coach.

St Bonaventure lost couple returning players after off-campus fight in summer; they lost 80-70 (-4) at Canisius Friday night. Arkansas State (+15.5) lost 68-60 at Ole Miss Friday, after leading by 8 at half. Look at a map; find Mississippi, then find Olean, NY. No easy way to get from one to the other. Tough trip for ASU.

Princeton is picked to win Ivy League; they beat Rutgers 78-73 in OT Friday night (-7); they got total of only 29 minutes off the bench in that game, quick turnaround vs defending champ Duke that is more athletic than LY's national title team. Duke lost three starters from LY's team.

Wright State won 20+ games last four years, but lost three starters and its coach, losing 27.2 ppg in scoring; Raiders open season at an Indiana team that won its opener 88-60 vs Florida Gulf Coast Friday. Hoosiers have four starters back from LY as they rebuild from ground up.

Kent/Cleveland State are both playing for third day in row; Vikings won last meeting 67-41 two years ago. Kent beat Iona by a point Friday, then crushed Bryant 90-49 last night. Cleveland State won first two games, beating Bryant by 14, Iona by 10. Golden Flashes were 24-10 LY but lost three starters from that team.

Eastern Kentucky/Indiana State are also both playing for third day in a row; EKU lost first two games, to Loyola by 16, Pan American by 14, despite having three starters back from 20-13 team. Sycamores lost by 12 to Loyola last night, after hammering Pan Am by 23 Friday night.

North Dakota State lost in OT to Oregon Friday, then beat pretty good UCSB team last night, good omen for Summit League team. Denver lost its first two games, losing by 16 to UCSB Friday night then losing to the Ducks by 12 last night, after leading by 4 at the half. Denver runs lot of the Princeton stuff, hard to prepare for in 18 hours or so.

Wisc-Milwaukee lost by 20 at Portland Friday night, then got upset by Florida Atlantic by 9 last night. Cal-Davis lost by 7 to FAU on Friday, then lost by 15 at Portland last night, game they trailed by 21 at half, so pair of 0-2 teams are hungry to leave Oregon with a win.

Creighton won its opener for new coach McDermott (former Iowa State and Northern Iowa coach) 71-57 vs Alabama State; Bluejays have three starters back from 18-16/10-8 team from LY. Northern Arizona lost by 14 to Iowa State (team McDermott coached LY) Friday night; NAU has three starters back from a 25-8 team, but a 25-8 Big Sky team.

Arizona missed NCAA's for first time in 25 years LY, but they've got four starters back from LY, figure to get back this year. Wildcats won by 17 vs a Big Sky team (No Arizona) in LY's opener. Idaho State lost by 8 at Colorado Friday; Gilchrest had 39 points, was 6-8 from arc, but rest of team was 0-4 from arc for game.

Syracuse (-10.5) beat Northern Iowa 69-46 Friday, after leading by 3 at the half; they held UNI to 6-33 from arc, but starting guards for Orange made just 2-12 from floor for night. Looks like Syracuse is seven-deep. Canisius beat St Bonaventure by 10 Friday, good win for them, fourth time in a row they beat the Bonnies at home.

Eastern Illinois lost by 12 at home to South Dakota State Friday; they've got three starters back from 19-12 team that won its last seven regular season games LY, but got beat in first conference tourney game. Ball St. is playing season opener here; they've got four starters back from 15-15 team that went 8-8 in MAC last year