Announcement

**jt4545** · 11-10-2010, 07:57 PM

Gl bum and thanks

**StarDust Bum** · 11-11-2010, 07:09 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
11/10/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
11/09/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
11/06/10 18-28-0 39.13% -6400 Detail
11/05/10 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
11/04/10 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
11/03/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
11/02/10 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
Totals 27-35-0 43.55% -5750

Thursday, November 11Game Score Status Pick Amount

Pittsburgh - 7:30 PM ET Connecticut +6 500
Connecticut - Over 48 500

East Carolina - 8:00 PM ET Alabama-Birmingham -1.5 500
Alabama-Birmingham - Under 67 500

**StarDust Bum** · 11-11-2010, 08:57 PM

Alabama hosts streaking Mississippi State

Let's all jump in our time machines for a real quick trip back in time. Don't worry, we're not going far, just 10-11 weeks ago in the closing days of August. No need to pack or worry about having to go through your traumatic childhood again.

We're sitting at our favorite watering hole enjoying a libation or two and starting to get annoyed by the loudmouth a few chairs down who appears to know everything there is to know about the upcoming college football season. The tipsy patron rises from his stool and announces he'll take all comers at $100 a head, even-money that Mississippi State will have the same record as Alabama when the two matched up 70-odd days later on Nov. 13.

How fast would you have thrown a Benjamin down on that wager? Even if you thought the Crimson Tide would have two losses after nine games, there's not much chance you would've suspected the Bulldogs to have won seven of their first nine.

Mississippi St. does indeed arrive in Tuscaloosa at 7-2 for Saturday's matchup with 'Bama, also 7-2 following a defeat at LSU. The loss was the second in four games for the Tide who had only lost twice in 28 games entering this season. The Bulldogs, on the other hand, come in sky-high on a six-game winning streak.

Oddsmakers seem neither concerned with Alabama being down nor impressed by Mississippi State's run into this game. After opening the Crimson Tide as 14-point favorites, 5Dimes has shifted down a half-point to 13½. Saturday's total at the same shop has inched up a point from opening to a current 47½.

Dan Mullen's crew is coming out of its bye, always a dangerous thing for a team on a good roll. The Bulldogs last played Halloween weekend when they turned back Kentucky, 24-17, in Starkville as six-point home favorites. The big win during the present stretch was a 10-7 triumph at Florida in mid-October as 9½-point underdogs.

The six-game straight-up run includes a 4-1 spread record and followed the two early losses to Auburn and at LSU which account for two ATS defeats in Mississippi State's 5-3 record at the college football betting window.

Nick Saban is in a tough spot here trying to keep the team focused off the LSU loss with two games coming up in a span of six days. Working in his favor is the team not having to travel the rest of the season with three games left, including the season finale against Auburn. Though they're out of the SEC title hunt, an at-large bid to a BCS bowl still looms if the Tide can win out.

Both teams feature balanced running attacks and solid defenses; if there's a big difference anywhere–besides reputation–it's the edge Greg McElroy gives the tide at quarterback over the Bulldogs' Chris Relf. But in what works out on paper to be more of a ground game and defensive minded, is McElroy worth two touchdowns?

Alabama easily covered 10½- and 21-point favorite spreads the past two seasons, but those were different times. Mississippi State covered six of the previous eight with four of the last five staying on the low-side of the total.

Early weather reports look ok for Saturday's early-evening kickoff (4:15 p.m. PT, ESPN2). There's a 20 percent chance currently for wet stuff in Tuscaloosa, which bears watching as forecasts get a little more reliable. Upper-60s on the thermometer at the start and dropping into the mid-50s during the game.

'Bama will have a short week after this one to prepare for its next opponent. That shouldn't be much trouble for the Tide who host Georgia State in a Thursday night ESPN clash (Nov. 18, 4:30 p.m. PT). Mississippi State will be home the following Saturday for an ESPN prime-time telecast against Arkansas (Nov. 20, 4 p.m. PT).

**StarDust Bum** · 11-11-2010, 08:58 PM

Utah favored to extend Notre Dame's woes

Knute Rockne. The Four Horsemen. Eleven national championships. Touchdown Jesus. Seven Heisman Trophy winners.

And, now, a loss to Tulsa.

It has been a tough year for Notre Dame. The Fighting Irish’s great tradition has taken a hit under first-year head coach Brian Kelly. The 4-5 Irish try to get back to winning Saturday when they host 15th-ranked Utah at 11:30 a.m. PT (NBC).

5Dimes is listing visiting Utah as a 5½-point favorite in South Bend with the total set at 54.

The Utes are 8-1, but their one loss occurred last week in a disastrous 47-7 home loss to TCU. That was the biggest game in Mountain West Conference history.

Utah could have cracked the top-five with a win, but instead the Utes suffered their worst defeat in Salt Lake City since 1989. The loss ended a 21-game Utah home winning streak. The Utes were plus 4 ½ and the combined 54 points went ‘over’ the 51 ½-point total.

Utes quarterback Jordan Wynn struggled going 16-for-35 for 148 yards and committing three turnovers against the nation’s No. 1 defense.

“We’ve still got a good national reputation,” Utah coach Kyle Whittingham was quoted as saying in a published report. “We’re 8-1 and you are who your record says you are and so we’ve had a good season to this point.”

The highly-touted Kelly so far hasn’t helped Notre Dame’s sagging prestige. The Irish were idle last week, but they lost to Tulsa, 28-27, as 9 ½-point home favorites in their last game. The combined 55 points dipped ‘under’ the 62-point total.

Freshman quarterback Tommy Rees threw an interception in the end zone on a second-and-8 from the Tulsa 19 yard line with 36 seconds left when Kelly could have run a play to set up a game-winning field goal attempt. David Ruffer is 13-for-13 in field goals this season for Notre Dame.

It was Tulsa’s first victory against a BCS school since 1998. Notre Dame had lost 35-17 to Navy at the Meadowlands in its previous game falling as 6 ½-point favorites.

Notre Dame’s senior class has 26 losses now, the most in a four-year span at the school since 1900.

Adding to the team's problems was the tragic death of a 20-year-old student videographer during a Notre Dame practice three days before the Irish were defeated by the Golden Hurricane. Declan Sullivan died when the lift he was in fell over on an extremely windy day.

The Irish are 16-36-2 ATS during their past 54 home games. They are missing a number of key offensive players due to injuries – quarterback Dayne Crist (knee), leading rusher Armando Allen (hip) and star tight end Kyle Rudolph (hamstring). They are all out for the year.

Thanks to Crist, the Irish rank 17th in passing averaging 288.6 yards per game, but are 100th in rushing averaging 113.4 yards. Notre Dame is averaging 26 points per contest, which is 72nd in the country.

Notre Dame ranks 62nd in scoring defense allowing 24.9 points per contest.

Utah is averaging 41 points per game, which ranks ninth-best. The Utes are fourth-best in scoring defense yielding 17.8 points a game.

This is Utah’s first meeting with Notre Dame. The Utes are 8-1-1 ATS the past 10 times they’ve been ‘chalk.’ They are 15-5-1 ATS the last 21 times they’ve played a team under .500.

Notre Dame is 5-11-2 ATS in its last 18 non-conference matchups. The Irish are 5-16 ATS at home when facing a team with a winning road mark.

The ‘over’ is 13-2-1 in Utah’s last 16 non-league games. The ‘under’ has cashed in five of Notre Dame’s last six games in South Bend.

There’s a 50 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the 40s with a southwest wind blowing at nine mph.

**StarDust Bum** · 11-11-2010, 08:59 PM

Boise State looks to increase BCS odds

The Boise State Broncos have to feel like they're stuck between a rock and a hard place as they head into Friday's matchup with the Idaho Vandals at the Kibbie Dome. They're sitting at No. 4 in the current BCS Rankings and are so far behind the Oregon Ducks, Auburn Tigers and TCU Horned Frogs that they really don't stand a chance of catching any of the three without those teams losing.

To make matters worse, all of the one-loss teams behind Boise State, including the LSU Tigers, Wisconsin Badgers, Stanford Cardinal and Ohio State Buckeyes, have a great chance of surpassing the Broncos as well.

That said, stranger things have happened than to see a whole bunch of Top 10 teams lose in the final few weekends of the year, and a spot in a BCS bowl game would still be a fantastic consolation prize even if mayhem didn't break out. Boise State can only control itself and has to really take care of business in Moscow in the nationally televised NCAA football betting clash.

The Vandals were doing a great job this year at home...until the Nevada Wolf Pack came to town last week. It's not the 63 points that is so concerning, but the fact that Idaho allowed a whopping 844 yards of offense. It was easily the most yards put up against anyone in the country, including FCS teams.

Despite the embarrassing loss, Idaho still has a chance at a bowl game, even if this week's game is lost. However, a victory of this type of mammoth proportion would send shockwaves throughout the college football world to the point that someone would have to put the Vandals in a bowl assuming that they found a way to win the minimum six FBS games.

The man charged with the job of getting past the stout Boise State defense is QB Nathan Enderle. The senior has had a great career in Moscow and is putting together a fine final season as well. Enderle has completed 56.9 percent of his passes for 2,484 yards with 17 scores against 12 picks, and he is leading the nation's No. 4 ranked passing attack.

However, when push comes to shove, Boise State is probably going to come out of the blocks firing on all cylinders in search of yet another dominating victory. The Broncos really haven't done anything wrong all season long. Ever since they beat the Virginia Tech Hokies by just three points to open the season, they haven't been challenged. The Broncos have only had one other team stick within even four touchdowns and have averaged smacking WAC foes by 42.8 PPG.

Quarterback Kellen Moore is still trying to make a case to be the Heisman Trophy winner, and he certainly helped his case last week by throwing for over 500 yards in the dominating win over the Hawaii Warriors.

Moore now has 2,372 yards through the air and has thrown for 21 TDs against only four picks.

The defense is what really makes the Broncos go, though. This unit ranks No. 2 in the country in total defense (231.4 YPG), rush defense (71.6 YPG), and scoring (12.6 PPG).

Without Enderle in the lineup last year, the Vandals went to the Smurf Turf and got whacked, 63-25. Boise State has won all 10 meetings against its instate rivals since 2000, winning by the average score of 52-19.

There's a reason that this is the ninth straight year in which the Broncos are favored by at least three TDs in this series. Bodog features them as 34 ½-point 'chalks' in this ESPN2 Friday telecast that kicks off at 6 p.m. PT, while the 'total' chimes in at 63.

**StarDust Bum** · 11-11-2010, 09:00 PM

Buckeyes 17-point favorites vs Penn St

The Ohio State Buckeyes need to impress the college voters in a big way when they host the Penn State Nittany Lions on Saturday afternoon.

Bookmaker.com has the Buckeyes as 17-point home ‘chalk’ with a total of 49 ½-points. They’re coming off a bye-week.

Ohio State (8-1 straight-up, 7-2 against the spread) has crawled up to No. 9 in the BCS, but has a big hill to climb to win the Big Ten, especially with Wisconsin ranked No. 7.

The Big Ten has Ohio State, Michigan State, Iowa and Wisconsin all tied at the top with one loss. The Buckeyes play at Iowa next week, which could eliminate the Hawkeyes. The situation with Wisconsin is much trickier.

Coach Jim Tressel is still having nightmares about the Buckeyes’ 31-18 loss at Wisconsin on Oct. 16. It dropped them from the AP’s top ranking and also gives the Badgers the tie-breaker in a head-to-head scenario. Ohio State either needs Wisconsin to lose a game (not likely) or Michigan State to keep winning to create a three-way tie.

In the three-way scenario, the winner of the conference will be the highest ranked team in the BCS.

The bottom line: Ohio State needs to win big from here on out and impress the voters enough to move ahead of Wisconsin.

Ohio State has done its part since the Wisconsin game, beating Purdue 49-0 and Minnesota 52-10. OSU ‘covered’ both games and the ‘over’ went 2-0. Tressel didn’t purposely run up the score in either contest, but may have to think about this week if given the opportunity.

The Buckeyes are 6-0 ATS at home this year, with the ‘over’ going 5-1. They’re 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games overall.

Penn State (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS) is having a mixed season. Last week, coach Joe Paterno became the first major college coach to get his 400th win. However, this proud program should be in the conference hunt every year, and that is not the case this season.

The Nittany Lions are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last three games since losing to Iowa and Illinois. Last week, they spotted Northwestern 21 points before scoring 35 unanswered for a 35-21 home win. Quarterback Matt McGloin relieved freshman Robert Bolden early and threw for 225 yards and four touchdowns.

McGloin is listed as the starter this week ahead of Bolden. McGloin has seven TDs and one pick (154.8 quarterback rating) and the team has won all three games he’s played (one start). He needs help from running back Evan Royster (284 yards the last two weeks), but Ohio State’s run defense is fourth in the nation (84 YPG).

Penn State had trouble with Northwestern quarterback Dan Persa, who threw for 201 yards and ran for 109. OSU’s Terrelle Pryor doesn’t run much anymore, but is still effective when he wants to. Pryor has completed 77.3 percent of his passes (34-of-44) the last two weeks.

The Nittany Lions have only played three road games, going 1-2 SU and ATS. They lost at Iowa 24-3 on Oct. 2 as 7 ½-point ‘dogs. They did win and ‘cover’ at Minnesota in the other Big Ten road game on Oct. 23, 33-21 as 8 ½-point ‘chalk’.

Penn State has played just two ranked teams this year (Alabama, Iowa) and is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games as an underdog.

The ‘over’ is 4-0 in Penn State’s last four games. The defense has allowed 26.5 PPG and 415.5 YPG in that span.

Ohio State is 3-1 SU and ATS in the last three games against Penn State. However, the Nittany Lions did win at OSU in 2008, 13-6 as 1 ½-point favorites. Ohio State ‘covered’ the previous six home meetings. The ‘under’ is 5-1 in the last six games overall.

Ohio State linebacker Ross Homan is probable with a foot injury. Penn State defensive end Eric Latimore (wrist) is out.

ABC will have the kickoff from Columbus at 12:30 p.m. (PT). Weather should be clear and in the 50s.

Ohio State has the tough Iowa game next week as mentioned. Penn State will play a ‘road’ game versus Indiana at FedEx Field in Landover, Maryland. That venue is significantly closer to Penn State.

**StarDust Bum** · 11-12-2010, 07:40 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
11/11/10 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
11/10/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
11/09/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
11/06/10 18-28-0 39.13% -6400 Detail
11/05/10 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
11/04/10 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
11/03/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
11/02/10 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
Totals 29-37-0 43.94% -5850

Friday, November 12Game Score Status Pick Amount

Ball State 0 1st 3:00 Ball State +3 500
Buffalo 3 Over 47 500

Boise State - 9:00 PM ET Boise State -34.5 500
Idaho - Over 67 500

**StarDust Bum** · 11-13-2010, 09:30 AM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
11/12/10 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
11/11/10 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
11/10/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
11/09/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
11/06/10 18-28-0 39.13% -6400 Detail
11/05/10 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
11/04/10 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
11/03/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
11/02/10 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
Totals 31-39-0 44.29% -5950

Saturday, November 13Game Score Status Pick Amount

Miami - 12:00 PM ET Georgia Tech +2.5 500
Georgia Tech -

Iowa - 12:00 PM ET Northwestern +9.5 500
Northwestern -

South Florida - 12:00 PM ET South Florida +2.5 500
Louisville -

Boston College - 12:00 PM ET Duke +3.5 500
Duke -

Indiana - 12:00 PM ET Wisconsin -21.5 500
Wisconsin -

Cincinnati - 12:00 PM ET West Virginia -4.5 500
West Virginia -

Minnesota - 12:00 PM ET Minnesota +21 500
Illinois -

Southern Mississippi - 12:00 PM ET Central Florida -10 500
Central Florida -

Mississippi - 12:00 PM ET Mississippi +2.5 500
Tennessee -

Vanderbilt - 12:20 PM ET Kentucky -14.5 500
Kentucky -

Kansas State - 12:30 PM ET Missouri -13 500
Missouri -

Iowa State - 1:30 PM ET Colorado +2.5 500
Colorado -

Wake Forest - 2:00 PM ET North Carolina State -18.5 500
North Carolina State -

Army - 2:00 PM ET Army +1 500
Kent State -

Eastern Michigan - 2:00 PM ET Western Michigan -19 500
Western Michigan -

Brigham Young - 2:00 PM ET Brigham Young -6.5 500
Colorado State -

Utah - 2:30 PM ET Notre Dame +5 500
Notre Dame -

Memphis - 3:00 PM ET Marshall -17 500
Marshall -

Western Kentucky - 3:00 PM ET Arkansas State -12.5 500
Arkansas State -

Georgia - 3:30 PM ET Georgia +7 500
Auburn -

Virginia Tech - 3:30 PM ET North Carolina +3.5 500 ( POD )
North Carolina -

Syracuse - 3:30 PM ET Rutgers +2.5 500
Rutgers -

Penn State - 3:30 PM ET Ohio State -18 500( BIG 10 POD )
Ohio State -

Texas Tech - 3:30 PM ET Oklahoma -14.5 500 ( BIG 8 POD )
Oklahoma -

Maryland - 3:30 PM ET Virginia +2.5 500
Virginia -

North Texas - 3:30 PM ET North Texas +10.5 500
Middle Tennessee St. -

Florida International - 3:30 PM ET Florida International +8 500
Troy -

Rice - 3:30 PM ET Rice +3.5 500
Tulane -

Central Michigan - 3:30 PM ET Navy -14 500
Navy -

Washington State - 4:00 PM ET Oregon State -23.5 500
Oregon State -

San Diego State - 4:00 PM ET Texas Christian -27.5 500 ( MT.WEST POD )
Texas Christian -

New Mexico - 6:00 PM ET New Mexico +33 500
Air Force -

Louisiana Tech - 6:00 PM ET Louisiana Tech -16 500
New Mexico State -

Texas El Paso - 7:00 PM ET Texas El Paso +28.5 500
Arkansas -

Kansas - 7:00 PM ET Nebraska -35 500
Nebraska -

Texas A&M - 7:00 PM ET Texas A&M -3 500
Baylor -

UL Lafayette - 7:00 PM ET UL Lafayette +10.5 500
Florida Atlantic -

UL Monroe - 7:00 PM ET Louisiana State -33.5 500
Louisiana State -

South Carolina - 7:15 PM ET Florida -6.5 500
Florida -

Mississippi State - 7:15 PM ET Mississippi State +13 500
Alabama -

Stanford - 7:30 PM ET Arizona State +4.5 500 ( PAC 10 DOG )
Arizona State -

Oregon - 7:30 PM ET California +19.5 500
California -

Clemson - 8:00 PM ET Florida State -6 500
Florida State -

Oklahoma State - 8:00 PM ET Oklahoma State -5 500
Texas -

Utah State - 8:00 PM ET Utah State -3.5 500
San Jose State -

Tulsa - 8:00 PM ET Tulsa +2.5 500
Houston -

Wyoming - 10:00 PM ET Wyoming -4.5 500
UNLV -

Nevada - 10:30 PM ET Nevada -8.5 500
Fresno State -

**Udog** · 11-13-2010, 09:40 AM

Good morning!

I love that Kentucky pick. I can't believe what a giant step backward Vandy took this year.

Good luck today!

**StarDust Bum** · 11-13-2010, 09:54 AM

WAZZZZZZZZZZ UP DOG.......Yep i think the Wildcats blows them out.....not much of a defense there.......

**StarDust Bum** · 11-13-2010, 09:55 AM

NCAAF Odds: Cal hosts No. 1 Oregon

The Oregon Ducks know that they are just three wins away from a berth in the BCS Championship Game. However, standing in their way on Saturday night in one of the top NCAA football betting affairs of Week 11 will be the Cal Golden Bears.

Oregon is favored by a hefty 19 ½ points at BetOnline, while the 'total' has been posted at 58½.

The No. 1 team in the land runs an offense like none other, and there might not be a team in the country that can stop the Quack Attack. The Ducks are averaging an astounding 569.4 YPG and 54.7 PPG, both topping the charts. They have strung together three straight games scoring at least 53 points and have put at least 43 on every single foe this year.

Most of the Heisman Trophy odds are off the board right now due to the fact that the NCAA is investigating whether or not Auburn Tigers QB Cam Newton is playing even though he violated a rule. If found guilty, Newton could be suspended and take himself out of the race for college football's most prestigious individual honor.

Enter Oregon RB LaMichael James who is no stranger to trouble off the field himself this season. He was suspended for the first game after getting into some trouble during the spring. However, after doing his time James has come back and just looked fantastic.

He has rushed for 1,351 yards and 18 TDs this year, and there is a legitimate shot that he could be a 2,000-yard back at this pace by the time Oregon's bowl game is over. Right now, assuming that Oregon plays 13 games, the Ducks' hero is on a pace to rumble for 2,026 yards and 27 TDs, and if that doesn't win him the Heisman, we don't know what numbers will.

Don't forget about QB Darron Thomas either. The only reason he is calling the shots on this offense is because Jeremiah Masoli was booted off the team for off the field issues. Thomas has responded with numbers that might warrant some Heisman consideration as well, throwing for 2,052 yards and rushing for 400, accounting for a total of 26 TDs against six picks.

Have fun trying to keep up with this offense, Cal! Brock Mansion stepped into the starting QB role last week against the Washington State Cougars after QB Kevin Riley injured his knee that will cost him the rest of his season. Mansion only completed 12-of-24 passing, didn't throw a TD and was picked off twice against the worst team in the Pac-10.

If RB Shane Vereen doesn't run for at least 200 yards and probably at least four scores, the Golden Bears are likely to get trampled. Vereen does have the ability to pull off the big game, but even at 886 yards and 12 rushing scores, he just doesn't hold a candle to what James is offering the U of O.

At the beginning of last season, before anyone realized the juggernaut that Oregon was forming, the Ducks came out as 5 ½-point underdogs and stomped Cal, 42-3. The Ducks haven't won a game here in Berkeley since 2001, and the two teams have been split even at 3-3 on the college football odds since that point.

**StarDust Bum** · 11-13-2010, 09:56 AM

Wildcats, Trojans in Pac-10 prime time tilt

The Arizona Wildcats are looking for a bounce-back win as they host the USC Trojans Saturday in the desert.

Bookmaker.com has Arizona as 4 ½-point home ‘chalk’ with a big total of 59-points. USC is plus 160 to pull off the upset.

Arizona (7-2 straight-up, 5-4 against the spread) dropped to No. 18 in the BCS after a 42-17 loss at Stanford as 7 ½-point ‘dogs. That was a big blow to the Wildcats’ Rose Bowl chances. They’re the only team from the Pac-10 never to make it to Pasadena.

Arizona won’t be deserving of any bowl bid if it continues to play like last week. Stanford rolled up 510 total yards and dominated time of possession (37-23 minutes). Arizona’s defense is allowing only 312 YPG on the season (20th nationally) and 17.4 PPG (10th nationally), so that was a complete breakdown.

Quarterback Nick Foles returned last week after missing two games with a knee injury. He was decent at 28-of-48 (58.3 percent) for 248 yards, plus a touchdown and an interception. Foles is normally a very accurate passer, his 71.8 completion percentage ranks second in the country, but his 7.8 yards per attempt ranks just 33rd.

Foles can’t afford to get hurt this week as backup Matt Scott is out with a wrist injury. Scott played very good filling in as the starter in wins over Washington and UCLA. Running back Nic Grigsby (ankle) is also questionable. However, Keola Antolin has averaged over 100 rushing yards the last four weeks and is ready to carry the load again.

The Wildcats are 4-1 SU (3-2 ATS) at home this season. The loss was to Oregon State on Oct. 9, 29-27 as 8 ½-point favorites. Arizona is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 home games overall.

The Trojans (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS) are not eligible for a bowl due to NCAA sanctions, but they’ve fought hard all season under first-year coach Lane Kiffin and will continue to do so.

USC has played several close games and the latest was a 34-33 home win against Arizona State last week. The Trojans lost the lead after being up 29-14 late in the third quarter. A Joe Houston 29-yard field goal with 3:06 left was the game-winner.

Quarterback Matt Barkley has four touchdown passes and interceptions over the last two games. That’s a letdown after eight TDs and no picks in the prior three contests. He needs to be much more careful with the football this week.

Running Marc Tyler had 119 yards rushing last week and he’s probable with an ankle sprain. Freshman Dillon Baxter started against Arizona State and will get more carries if Tyler is limited.

USC is scoring 36.6 PPG (14th nationally) and allowing 28.4 PPG (76th nationally). The ‘over’ is 6-0 in its last six games with no total set below 54 points.

USC is 3-1 SU and ATS on the road. The SU loss was 37-35 at Stanford as 10-point ‘dogs. The Cardinal got a deciding field goal as time expired.

Arizona beat the Trojans 21-17 in Los Angeles last year, snapping a seven-game losing streak to them. Arizona is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings and the ‘under’ has gone 4-0 in the last four, not coming within 10 points of the total in any game.

ABC will have the kickoff from Arizona Stadium at 5 p.m. (PT). Weather should be clear and dip into the 50s.

USC has another tough road game next week at Oregon State. Arizona can’t afford to look past USC with a road game at No. 1 Oregon next on Nov. 26 (after a bye-week).

**StarDust Bum** · 11-13-2010, 09:58 AM

Gators, 'Cocks in key SEC betting battle

A trip to the SEC championship game is on the line Saturday night as Florida hosts South Carolina. The Gamecocks will try and do something they have never done and that is get a win at Florida. It won’t be easy as the Gators have recovered from a midseason slump and are playing their best football of the season.

Florida is a 6½-point favorite with a total of 51½ at *** Global.

South Carolina may have been looking ahead to this week as they were routed at home last week by Arkansas. Quarterback Stephen Garcia was benched in that game so it will be interesting to see how much confidence he has for this college football betting matchup on Saturday night. If the Gamecocks are to win they need Garcia to play smart and not turn the ball over. They also need Marcus Lattimore to run the ball well and take the pressure off of Garcia.

Florida has won two straight as they defeated Georgia two weeks ago and then routed Vanderbilt last week. The Gators offense has come alive the last two weeks with Chris Rainey leading the way. With Rainey in the lineup the Gators are dangerous. Quarterback John Brantley is still not great but Rainey gives him an explosive option.

The Gators also have Jordan Reed who is getting playing time along with Brantley at quarterback. The Gators should have a big day against a rotten South Carolina pass defense that is 109th in the nation.

Here are the football betting stats for Saturday’s game:

•The Gamecocks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
•The Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.
•The Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
•The Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings at Florida.
•The Gators are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games in November.
•The Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite.
•The Gators are 29-14 ATS in their last 43 games on grass.
•The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings in this series.
On the college football totals board, the 'over' is 6-1 in the Gamecocks' last seven games overall. The 'over' is 5-2 South Carolina's last seven November games and 9-4-1 in its last 14 road games.

The 'over' is 6-2 in the Gators' last eight games overall and 9-4 in Florida's last 13 November games.

**StarDust Bum** · 11-13-2010, 05:03 PM

High-flying Ducks favored heavily at Cal

OREGON DUCKS (9-0)

at CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS (5-4)

Kickoff: Saturday, 7:30 p.m. EDT, Line: Oregon -19.5, Total: 58.5

Oregon guns for its 10th win of the season against a Cal team undefeated at home. The Ducks continue to lead the nation in scoring (54.7 PPG), yardage (569 YPG) and scoring margin (37.0 PPG) led by LaMichael James’ nation-best 166 rush YPG. The Bears also have a great running back in Shane Vereen averaging 118 all-purpose yards with 15 touchdowns this year. Oregon won last year’s meeting 42-3, but has lost three straight at Cal. The Bears will once again start Brock Mansion at QB with Kevin Riley out with a knee injury.

Oregon also has a quarterback out with a knee injury. Backup Nate Costa will miss the rest of the season after injuring himself in last week’s game. That leaves freshman Bryan Bennett as the No. 2 QB behind Darron Thomas. Fortunately for Thomas, he receives great pass protection from his offensive line. Oregon ranks ninth in the nation for fewest sacks allowed (0.6 per game). The sophomore James continues to be a monster with five straight games of 120+ rushing yards and 2+ TD. He has 15 touchdowns in six Pac-10 games this year. He also rushed for 118 yards and a touchdown in last year’s blowout win over Cal.

Cal has demolished its opponents at home this year, outscoring them by an average of 47 to 9 and out-gaining them by an average of 408 to 175. However, Oregon is a huge step up from UC-Davis, Colorado, UCLA or Arizona State. The Bears barely beat conference doormat Washington State last week 20-13, but they did run the ball well, gaining 212 yards on 42 carries. That was quite an improvement from the 69 rushing YPG average in the previous three contests. However, Mansion did not play well in his first career start last week, completing just half his passes (12-for-24) for 171 yards and two interceptions. Considering Oregon has 15 interceptions this year and is tied for fifth in the nation in turnover margin (1.22 per game), it is imperative for Mansion to make smart decisions throwing the football. Vereen, who is averaging 98.4 rushing YPG this year, hasn’t done much in two career games against Oregon, rushing for just 89 yards on 27 carries (3.3 YPC).

Oregon is 10-5 (SU and ATS) in the past 15 series meetings, but this FoxSheets trend sides with California to keep this game closer than 20 points.

Play On - Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (CALIFORNIA) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games. (106-52 over the last 10 seasons.) (67.1%, +48.8 units. Rating = 3*).

Seven of the past eight series meetings have finished Under the Total, but these highly-rated FoxSheets trends expect the game to finish Over:

CALIFORNIA is 16-2 OVER (+13.8 Units) after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992. The average score was CALIFORNIA 25.6, OPPONENT 27.3 - (Rating = 4*).

OREGON is 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) after scoring 42 points or more last game over the last 2 seasons. The average score was OREGON 47.3, OPPONENT 22.7 - (Rating = 3*).

Announcement

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 11 (11/9-11/13 )+ College Football Best Bets !

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 11 (11/9-11/13 )+ College Football Best Bets !

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