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NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 10 (11/11 - 11/15)

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  • #16
    NFL


    Monday, November 15

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    Tips and Trends
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    Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins [ESPN | 8:30 PM ET]

    EAGLES: (-3, O/U 41.5) Philadelphia has to be feeling good about themselves after last week's win over Peyton Manning and the Colts. The Eagles have played a tough schedule, yet are a solid 5-3 SU on the year. QB Michael Vick continues to prove his worth, as the Eagles seem to be invigorated when led on the field by Vick. The Eagles are 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS on the road this season. Philadelphia has revenge fresh on their minds after losing to the Redskins SU earlier this season. The Eagles are averaging nearly 25 PPG this season, 8th best in the NFL. A big reason for their success is the play of gamebreaking WR's DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin. Both have more than 500 receiving yards this season, including a combined 10 TD's on the year. RB LeSean McCoy has rushed for 572 YDS and 5 TD's this season. Defensively, the Eagles are allowing 22.5 PPG for the season. The Eagles defense is a high risk defense, as they are 4th in the NFL in INT's and 5th in the NFL in sacks overall this year. The Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Philadelphia is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. The Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against the NFC. The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in November.

    Eagles are 6-1 ATS last 7 Monday games.
    Over is 4-0 last 4 games played on grass.

    Key Injuries - DB Ellis Hobbs (hip) is out.

    Projected Score: 27 (SIDE of the Day)

    REDSKINS: Washington is coming off a much needed bye, as they were coming off not only a SU loss but also some conflict. QB Donovan McNabb and Coach Shanahan were able to get on the same page, a necessity moving forward. Washington is 4-4 SU and 4-3-1 ATS overall this season. The Redskins are 2-2 SU at home this year, with each game being decided by 6 PTS or fewer. In fact, Washington has yet to be the listed favorite in a home game this entire year. The Redskins are averaging 19.4 PPG this season, 10th fewest in the NFL. McNabb has thrown for 1970 YDS this season with 7 TD's. Unfortunately for Washington, McNabb has thrown 8 INT's and is completing less than 58% of his passes. Injuries have ravished the Washington RB's corps, yet they are still pushing forward with RB Ryan Torain. Defensively, Washington is allowing 21.3 PPG. In order for the Redskins to make a playoff push, they will have to improve their pass defense. The Redskins are allowing nearly 281 YPG through the air, the 2nd most in the NFL. The Redskins are 3-0-1 ATS against a team with a winning record. Washington is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog between 3.5 and 10 points. The Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.

    Redskins are 5-12-1 ATS last 18 home games.
    Under is 7-3-1 last 11 Monday games.

    Key Injuries - LB Brian Orakpo (back) is probable.

    Projected Score: 17


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