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Friday's Trends and Indexes 11/5 (NBA, NHL, CFL, Misc.)

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  • #16
    NHL


    Friday, November 5

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    Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets
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    Montreal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres

    Buffalo Sabres fans heard two words they were dreading this week: Patrick Lalime

    When Olympic star Ryan Miller went down with a back injury, Lalime was forced into a starting role. The status of Miller has forced many books to not set an early line for the game. However, it’s not like Miller was a brick wall this year. The former Michigan State standout was 3-5-2 with a mediocre 2.71 goals-against average and a pedestrian .903 save percentage.

    But it’s still better than Lalime. The former Penguins standout has been a sieve, going 0-2 with a 3.41 GAA and a .880 save percentage.

    Meantime, Montreal has made the most of a modest offense, nothing just 29 goals but touting 11 players with at least three points through the team’s first 12 games. The balance has made the Canadiens consistent.

    Something the Sabres can only dream of.

    Pick: Canadiens


    Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild (-120, 5)


    The Flames couldn’t be much more ice cold. Calgary has dropped three straight games because of a defense that has floundered against good offensive clubs.

    Calgary was tagged for six and seven goals respectively against Colorado and Washington, before giving up 33 shots and a pair of second-period goals in a 2-1 loss to Detroit. Overall, the Flames are allowing an average of 3.0 goals per game and yielding nearly 29 shots per night.

    "It doesn't seem like we're learning our lesson," Calgary defenseman Robyn Regehr said. "For us, we have to take pride in playing the way we do at the start of the game and just continue on. It's a hard way to play but that's the way we have to do it. When we get away from that, we're no good and we lose games."

    The key for the Wild to exploit the Calgary defense will be getting on the power play. Minnesota is converting 26.9 percent of its chances with the man advantage, the second-highest average in the league.

    And the Flames? Average nearly 15 penalty minutes per game, the 13th-highest mark in the league.

    Pick: Wild


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    Comment


    • #17
      NHL
      Dunkel



      Boston at Washington
      The Capitals look to build on their 5-2 record against the Bruins in the last 7 meetings in DC. Washington is the pick (-145) according to Dunkel, which has the Capitals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-145). Here are all of today's picks.

      FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 5

      Game 1-2: NY Rangers at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST
      )
      Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 12.187; New Jersey 10.955
      Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 4 1/2
      Vegas Line & Total: No Line
      Dunkel Pick: N/A

      Game 3-4: Boston at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.726; Washington 13.041
      Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
      Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-145); 5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Washington (-145); Over

      Game 5-6: Montreal at Buffalo (7:30 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 9.625; Buffalo 11.276
      Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
      Vegas Line & Total: No Line
      Dunkel Pick: N/A

      Game 7-8: Carolina at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 12.458; Florida 11.360
      Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 6
      Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-135); 5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+115); Over

      Game 9-10: Calgary at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.717; Minnesota 10.760
      Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 4
      Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-130); 5
      Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+110); Under

      Game 11-12: Phoenix at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.102; Dallas 12.034
      Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 6 1/2
      Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-145); 5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-145); Over

      Game 13-14: Detroit at Edmonton (9:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 10.693; Edmonton 11.894
      Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 5
      Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-155); 5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+135); Under

      Game 15-16: Pittsburgh at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.344; Anaheim 11.360
      Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 6
      Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-125); 5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-125); Over

      Comment


      • #18
        NBA
        Long Sheet



        Friday, November 5

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        MILWAUKEE (1 - 4) at INDIANA (2 - 2) - 11/5/2010, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MILWAUKEE is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        MILWAUKEE is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
        MILWAUKEE is 30-8 ATS (+21.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MILWAUKEE is 5-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
        MILWAUKEE is 6-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        NEW JERSEY (2 - 2) at ORLANDO (2 - 1) - 11/5/2010, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NEW JERSEY is 34-51 ATS (-22.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW JERSEY is 32-46 ATS (-18.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW JERSEY is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
        ORLANDO is 55-39 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        ORLANDO is 50-32 ATS (+14.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ORLANDO is 3-3 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
        ORLANDO is 5-1 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        CLEVELAND (1 - 3) at PHILADELPHIA (1 - 4) - 11/5/2010, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PHILADELPHIA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 61-87 ATS (-34.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
        PHILADELPHIA is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 44-69 ATS (-31.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points since 1996.
        PHILADELPHIA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CLEVELAND is 5-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
        CLEVELAND is 6-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        WASHINGTON (1 - 2) at NEW YORK (2 - 2) - 11/5/2010, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        WASHINGTON is 68-95 ATS (-36.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        NEW YORK is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 205 and 209.5 points over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NEW YORK is 6-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        NEW YORK is 6-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        CHARLOTTE (1 - 3) at DETROIT (0 - 5) - 11/5/2010, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CHARLOTTE is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) after allowing 85 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
        CHARLOTTE is 59-33 ATS (+22.7 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
        CHARLOTTE is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
        DETROIT is 71-99 ATS (-37.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        DETROIT is 30-54 ATS (-29.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
        DETROIT is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
        DETROIT is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DETROIT is 5-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
        DETROIT is 4-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        ATLANTA (5 - 0) at MINNESOTA (1 - 4) - 11/5/2010, 8:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        ATLANTA is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        MIAMI (4 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (4 - 0) - 11/5/2010, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NEW ORLEANS is 65-97 ATS (-41.7 Units) after a division game since 1996.
        NEW ORLEANS is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NEW ORLEANS is 4-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
        NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        MEMPHIS (2 - 3) at PHOENIX (1 - 3) - 11/5/2010, 10:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PHOENIX is 59-41 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 35-15 ATS (+18.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        PHOENIX is 4-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
        PHOENIX is 5-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        LA CLIPPERS (1 - 4) at DENVER (2 - 2) - 11/5/2010, 10:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DENVER is 4-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
        DENVER is 6-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #19
          NHL
          Short Sheet



          Friday, 11/5/2010

          NY RANGERS at NEW JERSEY, 7:00 PM ET
          NY RANGERS: N/A
          NEW JERSEY: N/A

          BOSTON at WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET
          BOSTON: 10-2 SU after 2 consecutive division games
          WASHINGTON: 0-2 SU revenging 2 straight losses where team scored 1 goal or less

          MONTREAL at BUFFALO, 7:30 PM ET
          MONTREAL: N/A
          BUFFALO: N/A

          CAROLINA at FLORIDA, 7:30 PM ET
          CAROLINA: 20-14 SU after having lost 2 of their last 3
          FLORIDA: 1-8 SU at home off a 1 goal home loss

          CALGARY at MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET
          CALGARY: 2-9 SU off a home loss by 1 goal
          MINNESOTA: 9-3 SU after playing 3 consecutive home games

          PHOENIX at DALLAS, 8:30 PM ET
          PHOENIX: 22-12 SU when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days
          DALLAS: 0-6 SU off 2+ consecutive home wins

          DETROIT at EDMONTON, 9:00 PM ET
          DETROIT: 9-15 SU off a road win
          EDMONTON: 41-18 SU off a division loss by 1 goal

          PITTSBURGH at ANAHEIM, 10:00 PM ET
          PITTSBURGH: 23-6 SU after a loss by 3+ goals in their previous game
          ANAHEIM: 8-13 SU at home in non-conference games

          ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

          Comment


          • #20
            NBA
            Short Sheet



            Friday, 11/5/2010

            MILWAUKEE at INDIANA, 7:00 PM ET
            MILWAUKEE: 18-8 ATS after a combined score of 205+ points
            INDIANA: 4-1 ATS at home the total is between 190 and 194.5 points

            NEW JERSEY at ORLANDO, 7:00 PM ET
            NEW JERSEY: 6-16 ATS after scoring 85 points or less
            ORLANDO: 18-8 ATS as a DD favorite

            CLEVELAND at PHILADELPHIA, 7:00 PM ET
            CLEVELAND: 11-4 OVER Away when the total is between 185 and 189.5 points
            PHILADELPHIA: 8-18 ATS as a favorite

            WASHINGTON at NEW YORK, 7:30 PM ET
            WASHINGTON: 29-49 ATS after playing a home game
            NEW YORK: 19-6 ATS at home when the total is between 205 and 209.5

            CHARLOTTE at DETROIT, 7:30 PM ET
            CHARLOTTE: 20-5 ATS after allowing 85 points or less
            DETROIT: 2-12 ATS at home after 5+ consecutive losses

            CHICAGO at BOSTON, 8:00 PM ET ESPN
            CHICAGO: 10-1 UNDER after 2+ consecutive overs
            BOSTON: 19-34 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12

            ATLANTA at MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET
            ATLANTA: 12-7 ATS against Northwest division
            MINNESOTA: 12-25 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games

            MIAMI at NEW ORLEANS, 8:00 PM ET
            MIAMI: 2-12 ATS after 3+ straight ATS wins
            NEW ORLEANS: 15-4 UNDER at home after an ATS win

            MEMPHIS at PHOENIX, 10:00 PM ET
            MEMPHIS: 6-18 ATS off a road loss
            PHOENIX: 18-7 ATS after 2+ consecutive overs

            LA CLIPPERS at DENVER, 10:30 PM ET ESPN
            LA CLIPPERS 21-44 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3
            DENVER: 6-0 OVER after 4+ consecutive unders

            UTAH at GOLDEN STATE, 10:30 PM ET
            UTAH: 13-4 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
            GOLDEN STATE: 21-10 UNDER after covering 2 of their last 3

            TORONTO at LA LAKERS, 10:30 PM ET
            TORONTO: 9-22 ATS Away in non-conference games
            LA LAKERS: 10-1 ATS at home off a DD division win

            ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

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