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**Kaptain** · 11-03-2010, 07:34 PM

GET EM bum

**StarDust Bum** · 11-03-2010, 08:06 PM

Dallas has big height advantage at Denver

DALLAS MAVERICKS (2-1)

at DENVER NUGGETS (2-1)

Tip-off: Wednesday, 9:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Denver -3, Total: 206

Dallas posted big numbers against the L.A. Clippers in winning by 16 points last Sunday in its first of two road games. Following a one-point loss to Memphis at home two days prior, the Mavs shot 46.8% from the field and went 7-of-16 (43.8%) from behind the arc against Los Angeles. Dallas held the Clippers to 83 points on 34.1 FG Pct, and leads the NBA in FG Pct. defense at 37.4%. Brendan Haywood had an impressive performance in his 28 minutes, scoring 10 points on five-of-six from the field, grabbing six boards, and blocking three shots. Dallas will look to its three seven-footers, Dirk Nowitzki, Tyson Chandler and Haywood, to take advantage in the paint with Denver still missing two key injured big men Chris Andersen and Kenyon Martin who are both sitting out with knee injuries.

The Nuggets head back home after going 1-1 on the road. After a six-point loss at New Orleans, Denver redeemed itself in Houston with a 107-94 victory. Despite the win, Denver only shot 37.8% from the field, including shooting 10-of-27 (37.0%) from the three-point line. The Nuggets are coming off three days of rest and will need to post better numbers in both of these areas if they want to compete with the Mavs, especially since they’ll be lacking height in the paint. Al Harrington shot well in his 28 minutes against Houston, going three-of-four from downtown and scoring 28 points. Shelden Williams, who is averaging 12.3 boards for the year, and Nené, who snagged 12 rebounds against Houston, will both need to play strong inside the paint to contend with Dallas’ three seven-footers.

Dallas posted solid numbers on the road last year finishing 26-17-1 (60.5%) ATS, while Denver almost broke even going 21-22-1 (48.8%) ATS at home. Denver has won 10 of the past 13 meetings SU and is 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings in Denver. But last year in the teams’ three meetings, Dallas was 2-1 both SU and ATS. The FoxSheets expect Dallas to win again based on these trends:

Dallas head coach Rick Carlisle is 84-40 ATS (67.7%, +40.0 Units) when playing with 2 days rest in all games he has coached since 1996. The average score was Carlisle 96.5, OPPONENT 90.8 - (Rating = 2*).

DENVER is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.The average score was DENVER 98.0, OPPONENT 104.2 - (Rating = 2*).

Look for this game to be a high-scoring affair as both teams averaged over 100.0 PPG overall last season. The FoxSheets agree with the Over bet.

Play Over - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DALLAS, DENVER) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season. (60-34 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.8%, +22.6 units. Rating = 1*).

**StarDust Bum** · 11-03-2010, 08:13 PM

Sabres host Bruins in Wednesday hockey betting

Tim Thomas is off to an a fast 6-0 start with a 0.50 GAA for the Bruins.
The Boston Bruins eliminated the Buffalo Sabres during last season’s grueling seven-game Eastern Conference quarterfinal series. The Sabres will get a chance to avenge that setback Wednesday night when they host a Boston squad that boasts the league’s hottest goaltender.

Boston was favored in all seven of those playoff games, with four matchups decided by just one goal. In fact, three of last season’s four regular season meetings were also decided by one goal.

It’s always important to check the starting netminder before making a wager, but it will be of paramount importance in this spot. That’s especially true where the Bruins are concerned.

Boston’s Tim Thomas has been the league’s best goaltender by far through the first month of the season. The 36-year-old veteran is not only a perfect 6-0, but his miniscule 0.50 GAA, sparkling .984 save percentage and three shutouts are also tops in the league.

Thomas made 29 saves for his second straight shutout Saturday night en route to leading the Bruins past the Ottawa Senators, 4-0. The Bruins closed as 120 road favorites, with the combined four goals dipping ‘under’ the five-goal closing total.

The ‘under’ has now cashed in Boston’s last five games, and is 6-1-1 in the club’s first eight overall outings.

Thomas now has 20 career NHL shutouts, including five against the Senators. He has allowed just three goals in his six victories, and no more than one in any game.

David Krejci, Tyler Seguin, Milan Lucic and Jordan Caron scored to help the Bruins raise their record to 6-2-0.

The Bruins were 1-for-4 with the man advantage, and have now scored at least one power play goal in each of their last four games. Overall, Boston is capitalizing on 21.9 percent of its power play chances, which ranks eighth in the league.

Claude Julien’s squad is averaging 3.0 goals per game (ranked 10th) and 32.9 shots on goal per outing (ranked 6th). Defensively, the Bruins have used Thomas’ hot goaltending to rank first in goals-against (1.4 GPG) and in penalty killing (93.1 percent success rate).

Boston is allowing the opposition an average of 31.5 shots on goal, which ranks 19th.

Buffalo returns home after going 1-3 on its recently completed four-game road swing through New Jersey, Philadelphia, Atlanta and Dallas. Three of those matches skipped ‘over’ the closing total.

The Sabres began the excursion by clobbering New Jersey, 6-1, but then lost successive games to the Flyers (6-3), Thrashers (4-3, OT) and Stars.

The most recent meeting against the Stars last Saturday was Buffalo’s poorest offensive showing, as they were blanked 4-0 as 105 road favorites. The combined four goals ducked ‘under’ the NHL odds closing total, snapping Buffalo’s string of four straight ‘over’ games.

Buffalo lost the game despite out-shooting the Stars, 41-34. However, Buffalo continued its poor penalty killing by allowing two more power play goals. The Sabres have now yielded nine power play markers in their last five games spanning 26 chances.

As a result, Buffalo ranks 27th in the league on the penalty kill with a 74.5 percent success rate. Lindy Ruff’s troops are allowing an average of 3.2 goals per game, which ranks 23rd.

Buffalo is getting enough shots on goal, but is having difficulty converting those chances into scoring plays. The club is averaging 31.5 shots on goal, which is fifth most in the league. However, Buffalo’s 2.5 goals per game ranks 22nd.

Right winger Jason Pominville is listed as “probable” for Wednesday’s game despite suffering a concussion, while center Nathan Gerbe is “questionable” with a jaw injury.

The Sabres will conclude their brief two-game homestand with a Friday game against Montreal before hitting the road for three games against the Maple Leafs, Devils and Rangers.

Boston will play back-to-back games, with a Friday road contest in Washington and a Saturday home outing versus St. Louis.

**The Boomaster** · 11-03-2010, 08:14 PM

gl bum

**StarDust Bum** · 11-03-2010, 08:22 PM

Hot Hornets visit reeling Houston Rockets

The New Orleans Hornets have a 3-0 NBA spread record in their three victories to start the season, with the ‘under’ also going 3-0. Monty Williams’ crew puts its streak on the line in Wednesday’s trip to meet the Houston Rockets, who are 1-2 ATS in their three defeats.

New Orleans’ latest win came in Saturday’s 99-90 triumph as a nine-point road dog against the San Antonio Spurs. The Hornets trailed early by as many as nine points before outscoring the Spurs in the third quarter, 33-18.

Hornets guard Chris Paul notched team-highs of 25 points and five assists. The three-time All-Star hit 8-of-15 field buckets while going 7-for-7 at the foul line.

New Orleans’ Marcus Thornton came off the bench to log season-highs of 17 points and seven rebounds. The two-year guard added three assists and two steals.

The combined 189 points ducked below the ‘total’ of 196 ½. The Hornets drained 7-of-11 from three-point land, while holding San Antonio to 38.8 percent shooting.

New Orleans is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games played on three days or more of rest. The ‘under’ is 3-1-1 in the most recent five contests of that span.

Houston suffered its latest setback in Saturday’s 107-94 loss as a 5 ½-point home favorite against the Denver Nuggets. The Rockets hit 45.7 percent of their shots from the field, with only 3-of-19 connecting from beyond the arc.

Rockets forward Luis Scola piled in his third straight double-double with 28 points and 10 boards. The Argentina native added two assists and two blocks.

Houston’s Yao Ming notched a season-high 14 points and added six rebounds. The 30-year-old center helped the Rockets outscore Denver in the paint, 54-38.

The fourth quarter’s 60 combined points were not enough to lift the matchup above its ‘total’ of 216, ending a 2-0 ‘over’ streak in the Rockets’ prior two games. Houston committed 19 turnovers, while being outrebounded, 48-44.

The Rockets fell to 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home dates. The ‘under’ is 5-2 in Houston’s last seven games that followed a double-digit defeat at home.

Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games against the Hornets, with the ‘over’ going 3-2.

New Orleans won, 123-115, as a seven-point road dog in its most recent trip to Houston, last April. Thornton put up 20 points for the Hornets, sinking two of his club’s nine three-point shots. Scola hit 6-of-12 from the field for Houston, finishing with 15 points.

Wednesday’s tip is scheduled for 5:30 p.m. (PT). DonBest.com presently lists no injuries for either squad.

The Hornets will have one day off before Friday’s marquee home game against the Miami Heat. Houston will be idle for two days before visiting the San Antonio Spurs as part of Saturday’s league slate.

**StarDust Bum** · 11-03-2010, 08:24 PM

Spurs and Suns duel in NBA betting battle

On Wednesday night, NBA betting fans will get to dive right into another great clash in the Western Conference, as the Phoenix Suns will play host to the San Antonio Spurs in a rematch of a number of postseason series in recent years.

The Spurs are off to a decent start to the season at 2-1 SU and ATS, with their only real blunder coming in the form of a 99-90 loss at home to the New Orleans Hornets that proved to be a real shock. However, this is going to be the first real test of the season against a legitimate NBA playoff contender, as no one is confusing the Indiana Pacers, the Hornets or the Los Angeles Clippers as postseason players.

There seems to be a bit of a balancing act going on right now in terms of both minutes played and scoring for the Spurs, which is good news for head coach Gregg Popovich and crew. Four different players are averaging double digits in scoring, led by G Manu Ginobili. The Argentine is averaging 19.7 PPG this year.

The real man to keep watching is Richard Jefferson. He was supposed to come in last season and make a big difference as an offensive sparkplug, but it just never panned out. The former New Jersey Net averaged just 12.3 PPG, a career low. This season, Jefferson has been remarkably consistent, scoring between 16 and 18 points in all three of his games.

Guard George Hill is questionable after suffering back spasms during the win against the Clippers on Monday night, while F Matt Bonner is out with an ankle injury he suffered in the opening game of the season.

Whereas San Antonio started off this year with a bit of a cupcake schedule, the Suns want to hear no complaints! They've already had to deal with three of the best teams in the NBA: the Portland Trail Blazers, Utah Jazz and Los Angeles Lakers. The next four are all against postseason contenders as well, as the Spurs, Memphis Grizzlies (twice) and Atlanta Hawks are on deck.

Defensively, the Suns are really struggling once again, but this should be no surprise for anyone that has followed them in recent years. They run up and down the court and put a ton of shots up every single night, which often leads to offensive explosions on both sides. Phoenix is allowing teams to shoot just 46.0 percent from the field though, and though that ranks No. 19 in the NBA, we know that that shooting percentage isn't going to win against the Suns more often than not.

This Phoenix team might be missing F Amare Stoudemire, who was lost via free agency in the offseason, but if it can keep up this type of balanced attack, it will be a real player in the West once again. Five players are scoring in double figures per night, while two more are scoring at least nine PPG. Only F Josh Childress is averaging less than 6.3 PPG among the 10 regulars rotated into the lineup.

The Suns have dominated this series going back to last season. They went 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in seven games against San Antonio last year, including a four game sweep in the playoffs. Phoenix didn't score less than 107 points in any of those games, while the Spurs only reached the 105 point barrier once. Six of the seven games eclipsed the 'total' as well.

For all of the best NBA odds on the board on Wednesday night, keep it locked to BetUS.com.

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