KAPTAINS Friday 10-15 CFB

[Kaptain]

strictly based on the fact, who have these teams beaten....

Cinn
Ind St 40-7....weak team
Mia Ohio 45-3....weak team
Lost to
Fresno St 14-28....respectfuyl
NC St 19-30....not a bad team at all
Ok 29-31........Rated team

Louis
E Ky 23-13.....real bad team
Ark St 34-24......terrible team
Memphis 56-0....probably the worst team in Div I...for sure one of em
Lost to
Oreg St 28-35....so so team....they did score 28 though
Ky 16-23.....decent team....untested though....played em tough

Using Sagarin strength of Sched....
Cinn played a schedule rating of 72....(#29)
Louis ....................................61.....(low low low #138)

By my own Power rating system I show
Ciin SOS in the range of 12 pts better.....

Cinn -3 Line.....+3 for Louisville being home....that puts it even IMO....but----SOS gives me, by my method.....5-6 pts to spare, in Cinn Favor......

thus....I see it 35-24 favor of Cinn.......Making the total 2 close to 2 call, and the spread diff, IMO, by my methods, about one posession difference......

Rendering the Play as

CINN -3..........................................1*

Lean...

7 pt teaser -130 ties push
Cinn +4/over 51

gl to all....lock and load....

[bryce]

Good luck kaptain!

[Letswinalot]

Only problem I got with this is that you called Oregon State a so so team. Yet, losing by 14 at Fresno is respectful, NCSU as "not a bad team at all". Oregon State is tough especcially at home, they have just lost to 2 top 5 teams. and covered against both.
Cincy/OK was not as close as score, Cincy scored with like 40 seconds left.

Cincy was pitiful vs. Fresno and NCSU, not respectful as I lost on Cincy in both those.

[Dat Boi E]

good luck tonight, Kapt'n!

[BigWeiner]

Good luck Kapt

[KazDog]

Good luck Kapt. I watched Cincy play from the field and they were awful against what's turning out to be a bad Fresno St team this year. I don't know what it was, but Fresno looked like National champs against them. Hopefully they'll be better against Louisville.

KAZ

[Kaptain]

Winalot

Only problem I got with this is that you called Oregon State a so so team. Yet, losing by 14 at Fresno is respectful, NCSU as "not a bad team at all". Oregon State is tough especcially at home, they have just lost to 2 top 5 teams. and covered against both.
Cincy/OK was not as close as score, Cincy scored with like 40 seconds left.

Cincy was pitiful vs. Fresno and NCSU, not respectful as I lost on Cincy in both those.

as I stated in my POST....those are IMO's, based opn my power rating and OPINIONs......I think by seasons end, Oreg St will be no more than a so so team....

didn't say losing by 14 to Fresno state was respectful, said lost by 14 to a RESPECTFUL Fresno team,,,,IMO when seasons over, they have been respectful...

So CVinn?ok game was closer than appears, to you....Cinn scored with about 40 seconds left......good....cut a lead from 9 down to 2......what was the spread.....pretty healthy if I remember....

IMO....It's a battle of 2 BAD teams....of which, IMO, I find Cinn better.......It's only a 1* play, not a 5*....

I gave my opinion, you gave me yours.....Thanks for the reply....

I should have just shown the play, and not give reasons as to why.....Makes it simpler.....

here's what I said in your thread...

we're opposite tonight, but gl to ya.... .............

a simple statement like this would have suffficed, or did it in some kind of way offend you....

GL tonight....

[***THA FIX***]

Good Luck Kapt!!! On another note, how bad is Auburn going to get pounded tomorrow!!!

[kbsooner21]

Best of luck Kapt!

[Kaptain]

Kaz

Good luck Kapt. I watched Cincy play from the field and they were awful against what's turning out to be a bad Fresno St team this year. I don't know what it was, but Fresno looked like National champs against them. Hopefully they'll be better against Louisville.

KAZ

Like I said above....2 bad teams, of which I think Cinn is better........Fresno will wind up being respectful by seasons end IMO.......

Hard to cap 2 bad teAMS imo, THIS (write up), is the way I cap.......

and yes, and thanks....I hope (Think) they'll play better tonight against Louis as they did against Fresno....

[Kaptain]

Fix

Good Luck Kapt!!! On another note, how bad is Auburn going to get pounded tomorrow!!!

FIX----I actualy think Aub wins in a real close game.....31-28 or around that IMO......might even be an OT game

[Letswinalot]

as I stated in my POST....those are IMO's, based opn my power rating and OPINIONs......I think by seasons end, Oreg St will be no more than a so so team....

didn't say losing by 14 to Fresno state was respectful, said lost by 14 to a RESPECTFUL Fresno team,,,,IMO when seasons over, they have been respectful...

So CVinn?ok game was closer than appears, to you....Cinn scored with about 40 seconds left......good....cut a lead from 9 down to 2......what was the spread.....pretty healthy if I remember....

IMO....It's a battle of 2 BAD teams....of which, IMO, I find Cinn better.......It's only a 1* play, not a 5*....

I gave my opinion, you gave me yours.....Thanks for the reply....

I should have just shown the play, and not give reasons as to why.....Makes it simpler.....

here's what I said in your thread...

we're opposite tonight, but gl to ya.... .............

a simple statement like this would have suffficed, or did it in some kind of way offend you....

GL tonight....

LOL ok, sorry I didnt mean to hurt your feelings.

GL

[***THA FIX***]

FIX----I actualy think Aub wins in a real close game.....31-28 or around that IMO......might even be an OT game

I sure as hell hope your right. I'm getting that nervous now every week, just like 04'. Every game they play is their season.

[Letswinalot]

I sure as hell hope your right. I'm getting that nervous now every week, just like 04'. Every game they play is their season.

I think AUB could win the game, but +3.5 looks good to me on arky... GL.

[mooshroma]

If Cinn is -3 and Louie get +3 for home field, wouldn't that make Cinn 6 points better and not even? Just asking.