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NCAAF
Write-Up
Saturday's games
Highlighted games
Pitt is 7-1 in last eight games vs Syracuse, winning last five, with four wins by 10+ points, but they're just 1-3 vs I-A opponents this season, beating FIU 44-17. This is Syracuse's first home game against a I-A foe; they played two I-AA teams here. Panthers are 7-3 as road favorite since '06; Orangemen are 5-11 as home dog since '07, 5-5 the last two years.
Michigan State won eight of last nine games vs Illinois, covering seven of last eight; Spartans are off 3rd straight win vs rival Michigan, but they've won last two years after beating Wolverines. Illini covered their last five road games, winning easily at Penn State last week- they're 3-0 as a dog this year. Four of Spartans' five I-A wins are by 10+ points.
South Carolina won last 10 games vs Kentucky, winning last five visits here, all by 7 or less points, but after shocking #1 Alabama last week, do Gamecocks have what it takes to win a tough road game? Kentucky lost wild 37-34 game to Auburn last week, after being down 31-14; they are 9-7 as home dog since 2006. Last five Kentucky games went over total.
Home team won four of last five Mississippi State-Florida games, with Bulldogs losing last two visits here, 35-9/52-0, but these Bulldogs are lot better than those Bulldogs, converting 30 of last 54 on 3rd down. Mullen was Meyer's OC, so he knows Gators inside/out, and Florida has been struggling, losing last two games, running ball 64 times for just 172 yards while allowing 64 points in those two games.
USC won last six games vs California, covering four of last five; Cal lost last four visits here, by 14-14-6-2 points, but didn't score TD vs USC in last two meetings. Trojans scored 31-35 points last two weeks, but lost both games, giving up 419 rushing yards- they're very thin on defensive side of ball. Cal is 0-2 on road, losing 52-31 at Nevada, 10-9 at Arizona.
Nebraska lost tense 13-12 Big 12 title game to Texas LY, when McCoy killed clock with 0:01 left, setting up winning FG; underdogs are 6-1 vs spread in this series, with Longhorns winning all seven, taking 22-20 and 27-24 decisions in last two visits here. Texas lost last two games, giving up 62 points. All four Nebraska games this season went over total.
Dogs are 6-1-2 vs spread in last nine Iowa-Michigan games; Hawkeyes lost three of last four visits to Big House, losing 20-6/30-17 in last two. Iowa outscored last three opponents 51-7 in second half; faves are 4-0 vs spread in their '10 games. Hawkeyes lost 34-27 at Arizona in only other road game so far. Michigan allowed 1,104 total yards in last two games.
Oregon State won, covered last six games vs Washington, winning four in a row in Seattle, all by 8+ points. OSU's last two games were decided by total of five points- they're +8 in turnovers. Beavers allowed 27+ points in all five games, but U-Dub QB Locker has quad issue, didn't practice Wednesday. All five Oregon State games went over the total.
Home side won last eight Oklahoma State-Texas Tech games; Cowboys lost last six visits here (1-5 vs spread); Tech scored 44.8 ppg in last five played here, but also allowed 90 points in last two games, vs Iowa State/ Baylor; they're 1-1 at home, beating SMU 35-27, losing 24-14 to Texas, which is last game Longhorns won. Over is 5-0 in Oklahoma St. games.
Ohio State won, covered last three games vs Wisconsin, winning by 18-3-21 points; Buckeyes won three of last four visits here, winning by 3-5-16 points, with average total of 31.8. Badgers outgained Ohio State in LY's game 368-184 but lost 31-13. Home team is 6-0 vs spread in OSU games this season. Buckeyes won only road games, 24-13 at Illinois.
Underdogs are 7-2 SU in last nine Arkansas-Auburn games; Razorbacks won last two visits here, 25-22/27-10. Hogs ran ball for 188-221 yards in last two meetings- they won both road games in '10, 31-24 at Georgia, 24-17 over Texas A&M in Dallas. Auburn scored 124 points last three games, with nine takeaways (+5). Hogs didn't score second half TD in either of their last two games. Former Arkansas OC Malzahn is now in same capacity for Auburn.
Air Force won last three games by 6-8-22 points; their only loss was by FG at Oklahoma- they've won last three games vs San Diego State, by 12-25-32 points, with underdogs 4-1 vs spread in their last five visits here. Under is 4-1 in last five Air Force games, 3-0 in Aztecs' last three. San Diego State is 3-0 allowing 21 or less points, 0-2 if they allow more.
Nevada is 6-0, winning road games 27-13 at BYU, 44-26 at UNLV, but Wolf Pack lost last five visits to Hawai'i, with average total in their last four visits here, 77.8. Home team won nine of last ten series games, with dogs covering the last four. Nevada has 316+ rushing yards in four of its last five games. Hawai'i scored 90 points in last two games-- four of their last five games went over the total.
Rest of the Card
-- Miami won last five games va Duke, covering three of last four; they won last two visits here, 49-31/20-15. 'canes are 2-0 as road fave so far this year, winning 31-3 at Pitt, 30-21 at Clemson.
-- Rutgers covered last seven games vs Army, winning last six; average score in last five meetings is 35-8. Army lost last three visits here by 27-44-12 points. Cadets have +12 turnover ratio, are 3-0 on road in '10.
-- Miami OH lost last two road games 51-13/45-3; they got outscored in first half of its last three games, 87-16. Central Michigan is 1-4 vs I-A opponents. Chippewas' last four games went over the total.
-- Underdog is 5-1 vs spread in last six Maryland-Clemson games, with Terps' last three visits here all decided by 3 or less points. Tigers lost last three games, allowing 26 ppg. Under is 3-0-1 in their last four tilts.
-- Faves are 10-1 vs spread in last 11 Minnesota-Purdue games; Gophers allowed 235 rushing yards/game over last four games, but they're 3-0 as a dog this year. Minnesota's last three games went over the total.
-- Underdog won last three NC State-East Carolina games; Wolfpack is 2-0 on road this year, winning 28-21 at UCF, 45-28 at Ga Tech. ECU allowed 42+ points in four of five games, but won two of them.
-- Vanderbilt lost 12 of last 13 games vs Georgia, but covered three of last four; Vandy is 4-2 vs spread in last six visits here. Dawgs lost four of last five games, but scored 34 ppg in two games with WR Green.
-- Alabama won last six games vs Ole Miss, but only one of last five was by more than 4 points; Rebels lost last six visits here, but last two were tough 24-20/26-23 losses. Nutt is at his best when a big underdog.
-- Oklahoma won last six games vs Iowa State, covering four of last five; only one of Sooners' five wins this year was by more than eight points. Cyclones gave up 68 points at home to Utah last week- not good.
-- Bowling Green allowed 47.3 ppg in last three games; they lost two of last three visits to Temple, with losses by 17-14 points. Faves are 4-2 in series. Five of six Bowling Green games went over total.
-- Ball State is 8-2 in last 10 games vs Eastern Michigan, winning five in row, with three of last four by 18+ points. EMU lost its last four games overall by average score of 52-14. Dogs are 5-2 vs spread in series.
-- Akron is 0-6, but 2-1 as road underdog, losing away games by 37-15-11 points; they've had only one takeaway in last four games. Ohio has 451 rushing yards in last two games. Dogs are 6-4 vs spread in series.
-- Colorado has been scoreless at half in three of last four games; they're 2-0 at home, beating Hawai'i/Georgia. Baylor has 1,185 TY in last two games. Favorite is 5-0 vs spread in their games this season.
-- UNLV is 0-3 as road underdog, losing away games by 28-23-39 pts; Rebels lost last three visits to Colorado State by 13-21-35 points. Rams are favored for first time in '10. Last three UNLV games went over.
-- Notre Dame is 0-1-2 as home favorite this year, winning home games by 11-6 points (lost to Michigan/Stanford). Western Michigan is 1-2 as underdog this season. Five of last six Irish games stayed under total.
-- Northern Illinois won last three games, scoring 38.3 ppg; they've won last four games vs Buffalo (3-1 vs spread). Since 2006, Bulls are 17-9 as road underdog (1-2 in '10). Three of last four NIU games went over.
-- Virginia is 10-2 in last dozen games vs North Carolina, winning last six played here (6-0 vs spread); underdog won last three series meetings SU. Tar Heels won last three games overall, allowing only 15.3 ppg.
-- Navy won four of last five games vs SMU (38-35/34-7 last two years) Middies trailed at half in their last three games. Dogs are 5-1 vs spread in SMU's 2010 games; Mustangs scored 69 points in two road tilts (1-1)
-- Boston College won three of last four games vs Florida State, but they got killed last three weeks, losing by 19-18-27 points (outscored 36-7 in second half). Seminoles are 2-0 as home favorite, winning 34-10/31-0.
-- Wake Forest lost last four games, last two by combined total of five points (20-24/27-28); they lost last two games vs Virginia Tech, 27-6 in '06, 17-10 in '04. Hokies won, covered last four games after 0-2 start.
-- Idaho scored 30-34-36 points in last three games, converting 24-46 on third down; they're 2-1 as favorite this year, but are 2-3 in last five tilts with Louisiana Tech. Tech is 1-4 vs I-A teams (-6 in TOs last 5 games).
-- TCU is 2-0 as home favorite this year, winning 45-10/45-0; with BCS standings coming out Sunday, Frogs have to win by as much as they can to impress pollsters. They beat BYU 38-7/32-7 the last two seasons.
-- Underdogs won all three UTEP-UAB games, with average total, 60.7. Miners threw ball for 1,211 yards in those three games, winning 36-17 in only visit here. UAB was outscored 81-21 in first half last four games.
-- Arizona won last four games vs Washington State, last three by 52-18 average score; underdogs covered Arizona's last five visits to Pullman. Wazzu lost its three Pac-10 games by 34-14-20 points.
-- Utah won nine of last 10 games vs Wyoming, taking last three by total score of 112-17; Utes are 4-0-1 vs spread as favorite this year, winning road games 56-14 at New Mexico, 68-27 at Iowa State last week.
-- Kent State is 0-3 on road this year, losing by 13-24-6 points. Toledo is 0-2 at home, losing 41-2 to Arizona, 20-15 to Wyoming. Three of last four Kent State games stayed under the total.
-- Texas A&M allowed 62 points in losing last two games; they're -8 in turnovers last three games, coughing ball up 14 times. Underdogs are 3-1 in last four A&M-Missouri games, 3-0 in last three played here.
-- Memphis lost last two games by combined score of 104-7. giving up 533 rushing yards. Underdogs are 4-2 vs spread in last six series games, 3-1 in Southern Miss's last four visits to Liberty Bowl.
-- Houston won six of last eight games vs crosstown rival Rice, but 1-3 vs spread in last four; dogs covered Cougars' last three visits here. Keep in mind Houston is using its 3rd-string QB due to injuries.
-- Tulsa won, covered last five games vs Tulane, winning by average of 43-12; Hurricane has 971 rushing yards in last three series games. Green Wave lost last two visits to Tulsa, 56-7/38-3.
-- Boise State won last nine games vs New Mexico State, covering six of them; Broncos won last four visits here, by 17-3-7-37 points. Boise won its two road games this year, 51-6 at Wyoming, 59-0 at New Mexico St.
-- Fresno State won its last five games vs New Mexico State, but is 1-3 vs spread in last four; Aggies lost last two visits here, 24-17/23-18. In its last two games vs I-A opponents, Fresno allowed 55-49 points.
-- Arkansas State is 2-4, losing games by 26-7-7-10 pts. Indiana allowed 80 points in last two games-- three of their last four games stayed under total. Hoosiers are 1-1 as favorite this season, 0-1 at home.
-- Georgia Tech allowed 20+ in all five games vs I-A opponents; they're playing Clemson next. Middle Tennessee is 1-3 vs I-A teams, losing by 7-9-29 points- they're -9 in turnovers, coughing ball up 13 times.
-- UL-Monroe has been outscored 51-15 in second half last three weeks; ULM had 290 rushing yards LY in 21-18 win vs Western Kentucky, the only series meeting. WKU is 0-5, but covered their last two games.
-- Troy won, covered last four games vs UL-Lafayette, scoring exactly 48 points last three meetings (1,190 rushing yards). ULL was outscored 105-21 in second half of games- they're 5-0 vs spread after a loss.
-- Florida International won last three games vs North Texas, scoring an average of 38.3 ppg; they've been outscored 87-42 in second half of last four games. Four of last five UNT games were decided by 5 or less pts.
Write-Up
Saturday's games
Highlighted games
Pitt is 7-1 in last eight games vs Syracuse, winning last five, with four wins by 10+ points, but they're just 1-3 vs I-A opponents this season, beating FIU 44-17. This is Syracuse's first home game against a I-A foe; they played two I-AA teams here. Panthers are 7-3 as road favorite since '06; Orangemen are 5-11 as home dog since '07, 5-5 the last two years.
Michigan State won eight of last nine games vs Illinois, covering seven of last eight; Spartans are off 3rd straight win vs rival Michigan, but they've won last two years after beating Wolverines. Illini covered their last five road games, winning easily at Penn State last week- they're 3-0 as a dog this year. Four of Spartans' five I-A wins are by 10+ points.
South Carolina won last 10 games vs Kentucky, winning last five visits here, all by 7 or less points, but after shocking #1 Alabama last week, do Gamecocks have what it takes to win a tough road game? Kentucky lost wild 37-34 game to Auburn last week, after being down 31-14; they are 9-7 as home dog since 2006. Last five Kentucky games went over total.
Home team won four of last five Mississippi State-Florida games, with Bulldogs losing last two visits here, 35-9/52-0, but these Bulldogs are lot better than those Bulldogs, converting 30 of last 54 on 3rd down. Mullen was Meyer's OC, so he knows Gators inside/out, and Florida has been struggling, losing last two games, running ball 64 times for just 172 yards while allowing 64 points in those two games.
USC won last six games vs California, covering four of last five; Cal lost last four visits here, by 14-14-6-2 points, but didn't score TD vs USC in last two meetings. Trojans scored 31-35 points last two weeks, but lost both games, giving up 419 rushing yards- they're very thin on defensive side of ball. Cal is 0-2 on road, losing 52-31 at Nevada, 10-9 at Arizona.
Nebraska lost tense 13-12 Big 12 title game to Texas LY, when McCoy killed clock with 0:01 left, setting up winning FG; underdogs are 6-1 vs spread in this series, with Longhorns winning all seven, taking 22-20 and 27-24 decisions in last two visits here. Texas lost last two games, giving up 62 points. All four Nebraska games this season went over total.
Dogs are 6-1-2 vs spread in last nine Iowa-Michigan games; Hawkeyes lost three of last four visits to Big House, losing 20-6/30-17 in last two. Iowa outscored last three opponents 51-7 in second half; faves are 4-0 vs spread in their '10 games. Hawkeyes lost 34-27 at Arizona in only other road game so far. Michigan allowed 1,104 total yards in last two games.
Oregon State won, covered last six games vs Washington, winning four in a row in Seattle, all by 8+ points. OSU's last two games were decided by total of five points- they're +8 in turnovers. Beavers allowed 27+ points in all five games, but U-Dub QB Locker has quad issue, didn't practice Wednesday. All five Oregon State games went over the total.
Home side won last eight Oklahoma State-Texas Tech games; Cowboys lost last six visits here (1-5 vs spread); Tech scored 44.8 ppg in last five played here, but also allowed 90 points in last two games, vs Iowa State/ Baylor; they're 1-1 at home, beating SMU 35-27, losing 24-14 to Texas, which is last game Longhorns won. Over is 5-0 in Oklahoma St. games.
Ohio State won, covered last three games vs Wisconsin, winning by 18-3-21 points; Buckeyes won three of last four visits here, winning by 3-5-16 points, with average total of 31.8. Badgers outgained Ohio State in LY's game 368-184 but lost 31-13. Home team is 6-0 vs spread in OSU games this season. Buckeyes won only road games, 24-13 at Illinois.
Underdogs are 7-2 SU in last nine Arkansas-Auburn games; Razorbacks won last two visits here, 25-22/27-10. Hogs ran ball for 188-221 yards in last two meetings- they won both road games in '10, 31-24 at Georgia, 24-17 over Texas A&M in Dallas. Auburn scored 124 points last three games, with nine takeaways (+5). Hogs didn't score second half TD in either of their last two games. Former Arkansas OC Malzahn is now in same capacity for Auburn.
Air Force won last three games by 6-8-22 points; their only loss was by FG at Oklahoma- they've won last three games vs San Diego State, by 12-25-32 points, with underdogs 4-1 vs spread in their last five visits here. Under is 4-1 in last five Air Force games, 3-0 in Aztecs' last three. San Diego State is 3-0 allowing 21 or less points, 0-2 if they allow more.
Nevada is 6-0, winning road games 27-13 at BYU, 44-26 at UNLV, but Wolf Pack lost last five visits to Hawai'i, with average total in their last four visits here, 77.8. Home team won nine of last ten series games, with dogs covering the last four. Nevada has 316+ rushing yards in four of its last five games. Hawai'i scored 90 points in last two games-- four of their last five games went over the total.
Rest of the Card
-- Miami won last five games va Duke, covering three of last four; they won last two visits here, 49-31/20-15. 'canes are 2-0 as road fave so far this year, winning 31-3 at Pitt, 30-21 at Clemson.
-- Rutgers covered last seven games vs Army, winning last six; average score in last five meetings is 35-8. Army lost last three visits here by 27-44-12 points. Cadets have +12 turnover ratio, are 3-0 on road in '10.
-- Miami OH lost last two road games 51-13/45-3; they got outscored in first half of its last three games, 87-16. Central Michigan is 1-4 vs I-A opponents. Chippewas' last four games went over the total.
-- Underdog is 5-1 vs spread in last six Maryland-Clemson games, with Terps' last three visits here all decided by 3 or less points. Tigers lost last three games, allowing 26 ppg. Under is 3-0-1 in their last four tilts.
-- Faves are 10-1 vs spread in last 11 Minnesota-Purdue games; Gophers allowed 235 rushing yards/game over last four games, but they're 3-0 as a dog this year. Minnesota's last three games went over the total.
-- Underdog won last three NC State-East Carolina games; Wolfpack is 2-0 on road this year, winning 28-21 at UCF, 45-28 at Ga Tech. ECU allowed 42+ points in four of five games, but won two of them.
-- Vanderbilt lost 12 of last 13 games vs Georgia, but covered three of last four; Vandy is 4-2 vs spread in last six visits here. Dawgs lost four of last five games, but scored 34 ppg in two games with WR Green.
-- Alabama won last six games vs Ole Miss, but only one of last five was by more than 4 points; Rebels lost last six visits here, but last two were tough 24-20/26-23 losses. Nutt is at his best when a big underdog.
-- Oklahoma won last six games vs Iowa State, covering four of last five; only one of Sooners' five wins this year was by more than eight points. Cyclones gave up 68 points at home to Utah last week- not good.
-- Bowling Green allowed 47.3 ppg in last three games; they lost two of last three visits to Temple, with losses by 17-14 points. Faves are 4-2 in series. Five of six Bowling Green games went over total.
-- Ball State is 8-2 in last 10 games vs Eastern Michigan, winning five in row, with three of last four by 18+ points. EMU lost its last four games overall by average score of 52-14. Dogs are 5-2 vs spread in series.
-- Akron is 0-6, but 2-1 as road underdog, losing away games by 37-15-11 points; they've had only one takeaway in last four games. Ohio has 451 rushing yards in last two games. Dogs are 6-4 vs spread in series.
-- Colorado has been scoreless at half in three of last four games; they're 2-0 at home, beating Hawai'i/Georgia. Baylor has 1,185 TY in last two games. Favorite is 5-0 vs spread in their games this season.
-- UNLV is 0-3 as road underdog, losing away games by 28-23-39 pts; Rebels lost last three visits to Colorado State by 13-21-35 points. Rams are favored for first time in '10. Last three UNLV games went over.
-- Notre Dame is 0-1-2 as home favorite this year, winning home games by 11-6 points (lost to Michigan/Stanford). Western Michigan is 1-2 as underdog this season. Five of last six Irish games stayed under total.
-- Northern Illinois won last three games, scoring 38.3 ppg; they've won last four games vs Buffalo (3-1 vs spread). Since 2006, Bulls are 17-9 as road underdog (1-2 in '10). Three of last four NIU games went over.
-- Virginia is 10-2 in last dozen games vs North Carolina, winning last six played here (6-0 vs spread); underdog won last three series meetings SU. Tar Heels won last three games overall, allowing only 15.3 ppg.
-- Navy won four of last five games vs SMU (38-35/34-7 last two years) Middies trailed at half in their last three games. Dogs are 5-1 vs spread in SMU's 2010 games; Mustangs scored 69 points in two road tilts (1-1)
-- Boston College won three of last four games vs Florida State, but they got killed last three weeks, losing by 19-18-27 points (outscored 36-7 in second half). Seminoles are 2-0 as home favorite, winning 34-10/31-0.
-- Wake Forest lost last four games, last two by combined total of five points (20-24/27-28); they lost last two games vs Virginia Tech, 27-6 in '06, 17-10 in '04. Hokies won, covered last four games after 0-2 start.
-- Idaho scored 30-34-36 points in last three games, converting 24-46 on third down; they're 2-1 as favorite this year, but are 2-3 in last five tilts with Louisiana Tech. Tech is 1-4 vs I-A teams (-6 in TOs last 5 games).
-- TCU is 2-0 as home favorite this year, winning 45-10/45-0; with BCS standings coming out Sunday, Frogs have to win by as much as they can to impress pollsters. They beat BYU 38-7/32-7 the last two seasons.
-- Underdogs won all three UTEP-UAB games, with average total, 60.7. Miners threw ball for 1,211 yards in those three games, winning 36-17 in only visit here. UAB was outscored 81-21 in first half last four games.
-- Arizona won last four games vs Washington State, last three by 52-18 average score; underdogs covered Arizona's last five visits to Pullman. Wazzu lost its three Pac-10 games by 34-14-20 points.
-- Utah won nine of last 10 games vs Wyoming, taking last three by total score of 112-17; Utes are 4-0-1 vs spread as favorite this year, winning road games 56-14 at New Mexico, 68-27 at Iowa State last week.
-- Kent State is 0-3 on road this year, losing by 13-24-6 points. Toledo is 0-2 at home, losing 41-2 to Arizona, 20-15 to Wyoming. Three of last four Kent State games stayed under the total.
-- Texas A&M allowed 62 points in losing last two games; they're -8 in turnovers last three games, coughing ball up 14 times. Underdogs are 3-1 in last four A&M-Missouri games, 3-0 in last three played here.
-- Memphis lost last two games by combined score of 104-7. giving up 533 rushing yards. Underdogs are 4-2 vs spread in last six series games, 3-1 in Southern Miss's last four visits to Liberty Bowl.
-- Houston won six of last eight games vs crosstown rival Rice, but 1-3 vs spread in last four; dogs covered Cougars' last three visits here. Keep in mind Houston is using its 3rd-string QB due to injuries.
-- Tulsa won, covered last five games vs Tulane, winning by average of 43-12; Hurricane has 971 rushing yards in last three series games. Green Wave lost last two visits to Tulsa, 56-7/38-3.
-- Boise State won last nine games vs New Mexico State, covering six of them; Broncos won last four visits here, by 17-3-7-37 points. Boise won its two road games this year, 51-6 at Wyoming, 59-0 at New Mexico St.
-- Fresno State won its last five games vs New Mexico State, but is 1-3 vs spread in last four; Aggies lost last two visits here, 24-17/23-18. In its last two games vs I-A opponents, Fresno allowed 55-49 points.
-- Arkansas State is 2-4, losing games by 26-7-7-10 pts. Indiana allowed 80 points in last two games-- three of their last four games stayed under total. Hoosiers are 1-1 as favorite this season, 0-1 at home.
-- Georgia Tech allowed 20+ in all five games vs I-A opponents; they're playing Clemson next. Middle Tennessee is 1-3 vs I-A teams, losing by 7-9-29 points- they're -9 in turnovers, coughing ball up 13 times.
-- UL-Monroe has been outscored 51-15 in second half last three weeks; ULM had 290 rushing yards LY in 21-18 win vs Western Kentucky, the only series meeting. WKU is 0-5, but covered their last two games.
-- Troy won, covered last four games vs UL-Lafayette, scoring exactly 48 points last three meetings (1,190 rushing yards). ULL was outscored 105-21 in second half of games- they're 5-0 vs spread after a loss.
-- Florida International won last three games vs North Texas, scoring an average of 38.3 ppg; they've been outscored 87-42 in second half of last four games. Four of last five UNT games were decided by 5 or less pts.
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