Announcement

**Udog** · 09-20-2010, 10:59 AM

NCAA football opening line report: Week 4

With Boise State on the schedule this Saturday, you’ll hear a lot about Oregon State this week. And much of it will be negative.

You’ll hear about the fact that they lost their final two games last season. You’ll hear about the fact that on a national stage they opened this season with a 30-21 loss to TCU. You’ll hear a lot about the notion that the Beavers don’t even deserve the No. 24 ranking they currently own.

And all of those points are valid. All of them are accurate. But the oddsmakers like a different notion. The oddsmakers are more interested in what happened last week. You should be, too.

On Saturday, Oregon State, as a 21-point favorite at home against hapless Louisville, sputtered to a 35-28 win. It was as ho-hum as they come.

“I actually think that at the end, it’s good to be in games like that,” Oregon State coach Mike Riley said. “Those experiences should help you the next time.”

The gentlemen, who make the lines in the desert disagree, Mike.

“We’re not impressed with Oregon State at all,” said Pete Korner, of Las Vegas Sports Consultants. “For a Pac-10 team that had some expectations, there’s not much there.”

Give credit to the Beavers for scheduling these non-BCS conference power teams early on in the year. After all, this is still a team that could right itself, and go and win the Pac-10. But what matters right now, is the fact that they’re allowing 29 points per game. And the No. 3 Broncos are anxious to pounce.

“Boise State got by that first game vs. Virginia Tech and that was their test,” Korner said. “Obviously, Virginia Tech isn’t what many people thought, but that game is past Boise State now, one way or the other. And from here on in, they just want to pile it on.”

Which is why Korner opened the game with the host Broncos as 17-point favorites.

“And even with that, we might get a ton of Boise State money, which is what we don’t want,” Korner said. “But I expect to move it as the week goes. It could go, perhaps, as high as 21.”

Not exactly a bold statement for the Beavers.

“It’s the moment you have been waiting for,” Oregon State running back Jacquizz Rodgers said. “We will try to study Boise State, in order to find ways to make the plays against them.”

As heavy, heavy underdogs, the key might just be the other way around, Jacquizz. Forget making plays against them, just keep the Broncos from making a ton of their own.

And with that, let’s take a look at some other Week 4 games, and the opening opinions coming out of Las Vegas.

Miami (-2.5) at Pitt

“We’re going with a road favorite,” Korner said. “It’s still early, we’ll see where it goes from here. The jury’s still out on Pitt, but it’s a marquee game, and there’s no guarantee Miami’s going to win. Pitt can easily get it done, and change the public opinion on them for the rest of the season.”

TCU (-19) at Southern Methodist

“We don’t want to be low on this one,” Korner said. “TCU’s going to have to keep up with Boise State every week now, so we know we’re going to have to be high.”

Stanford (-3) at Notre Dame

“Good opportunity for Stanford to show us all just who they are,” Korner said. “They can put a few notches in their belt with a road win at Notre Dame, so we’re gonna say Stanford -3. Personally, I don’t think Notre Dame can keep up with them.”

Temple (+16) at Penn State

“Temple has not played too badly,” Korner said. “They are right there, and my ratings are good on them. I wouldn’t be surprised to see them hang around here. It could come down to a cheap score at the end.”

UCLA (+19) at Texas

“I was real surprised at the UCLA score from Saturday (a 31-13 win over Houston),” Korner said. “We stuck it at 19 and we’ll see what happens. I think UCLA has no chance. They will be out of their element. Texas is the play and leave it alone.”

Alabama (-7.5) at Arkansas

“That might be a little too high for Alabama, but we’ll see what they do with that line during the week,” Korner said. “Arkansas can play, and they will be at home, but (running back) Mark Ingram is back for Alabama, and they are clicking on all cylinders.”

Oklahoma (-16) at Cincinnati (Paul Brown Stadium)

“Not a true home field for Cincinnati, so that doesn’t help,” Korner said. “We’ve been really disappointed in Cincinnati. They’ve looked lifeless and because of that, the play is on Oklahoma.”

South Carolina (+2.5) at Auburn

“Good game, and it could be decided by one play late,” Korner said. “Auburn gets the small nod, because they’re at home. Both teams are equal. This could go either way.”

West Virginia (+8) at LSU

“This has two quality teams, but with the SEC being at home, I wanted to put it at more than a touchdown,” Korner said. “But West Virginia can play a little. They could surprise a few people in this spot.”

Cal (+6) at Arizona

“First of all, Nevada is tough, so Cal’s (52-31) loss to Nevada last week is not a huge upset,” Korner said. “I think they can bounce back from that. They have the talent to do it. I really think Cal can pull the upset here.”

**Udog** · 09-20-2010, 11:00 AM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 4

Thursday, September 23

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MIAMI (1 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 1) - 9/23/2010, 7:45 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Friday, September 24

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TCU (3 - 0) at SMU (2 - 1) - 9/24/2010, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, September 25

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C MICHIGAN (2 - 1) at NORTHWESTERN (3 - 0) - 9/25/2010, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TOLEDO (2 - 1) at PURDUE (2 - 1) - 9/25/2010, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 1-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOWLING GREEN (1 - 2) at MICHIGAN (3 - 0) - 9/25/2010, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 72-98 ATS (-35.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALL ST (1 - 2) at IOWA (2 - 1) - 9/25/2010, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
BALL ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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E MICHIGAN (0 - 3) at OHIO ST (3 - 0) - 9/25/2010, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 109-76 ATS (+25.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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VIRGINIA TECH (1 - 2) at BOSTON COLLEGE (2 - 0) - 9/25/2010, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 78-52 ATS (+20.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-1 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-1 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEMPLE (3 - 0) at PENN ST (2 - 1) - 9/25/2010, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
TEMPLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NC STATE (3 - 0) at GEORGIA TECH (2 - 1) - 9/25/2010, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WAKE FOREST (2 - 1) at FLORIDA ST (2 - 1) - 9/25/2010, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 1-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARMY (2 - 1) at DUKE (1 - 2) - 9/25/2010, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARMY is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 1-0 against the spread versus ARMY over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 1-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (1 - 2) at CONNECTICUT (1 - 2) - 9/25/2010, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against Big East conference opponents since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA (1 - 2) at MISSISSIPPI ST (1 - 2) - 9/25/2010, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FRESNO ST (2 - 0) at OLE MISS (1 - 2) - 9/25/2010, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIAMI OHIO (2 - 1) at MISSOURI (3 - 0) - 9/25/2010, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
MISSOURI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AIR FORCE (2 - 1) at WYOMING (1 - 2) - 9/25/2010, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 1-1 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 2-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UCF (2 - 1) at KANSAS ST (3 - 0) - 9/25/2010, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
UCF is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULANE (1 - 1) at HOUSTON (2 - 1) - 9/25/2010, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA (3 - 0) at CINCINNATI (1 - 2) - 9/25/2010, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ALABAMA (3 - 0) at ARKANSAS (3 - 0) - 9/25/2010, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON ST (1 - 1) at BOISE ST (2 - 0) - 9/25/2010, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in road games in September games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 56-29 ATS (+24.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 55-32 ATS (+19.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 46-20 ATS (+24.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 46-20 ATS (+24.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OREGON ST is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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STANFORD (3 - 0) at NOTRE DAME (1 - 2) - 9/25/2010, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 2-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-1 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALIFORNIA (2 - 1) at ARIZONA (3 - 0) - 9/25/2010, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ARIZONA is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-1 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-1 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UCLA (1 - 2) at TEXAS (3 - 0) - 9/25/2010, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
TEXAS is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
UCLA is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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IDAHO (2 - 1) at COLORADO ST (0 - 3) - 9/25/2010, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO is 1-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO is 1-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEVADA (3 - 0) at BYU (1 - 2) - 9/25/2010, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEVADA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
BYU is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BYU is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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USC (3 - 0) at WASHINGTON ST (1 - 2) - 9/25/2010, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW MEXICO ST (0 - 2) at KANSAS (1 - 2) - 9/25/2010, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENTUCKY (3 - 0) at FLORIDA (3 - 0) - 9/25/2010, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SOUTHERN MISS (2 - 1) at LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 2) - 9/25/2010, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UAB (1 - 2) at TENNESSEE (1 - 2) - 9/25/2010, 12:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UAB is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AKRON (1 - 2) at INDIANA (2 - 0) - 9/25/2010, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AKRON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 1-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO U (1 - 2) at MARSHALL (0 - 3) - 9/25/2010, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 1-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 1-0 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S CAROLINA (3 - 0) at AUBURN (3 - 0) - 9/25/2010, 7:45 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE ST (1 - 2) at UTAH (3 - 0) - 9/25/2010, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 97-71 ATS (+18.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH ST (1 - 2) at SAN DIEGO ST (2 - 1) - 9/25/2010, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W VIRGINIA (3 - 0) at LSU (3 - 0) - 9/25/2010, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
LSU is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
LSU is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LSU is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
LSU is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
LSU is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BAYLOR (2 - 1) at RICE (1 - 2) - 9/25/2010, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N CAROLINA (0 - 2) at RUTGERS (2 - 0) - 9/25/2010, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N ILLINOIS (1 - 2) at MINNESOTA (1 - 2) - 9/25/2010, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (1 - 2) at UTEP (2 - 1) - 9/25/2010, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UTEP is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 1-0 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 1-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO (0 - 3) at UNLV (0 - 3) - 9/25/2010, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 50-79 ATS (-36.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
UNLV is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UNLV is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON (3 - 0) at ARIZONA ST (2 - 1) - 9/25/2010, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS ST (1 - 2) at TROY (1 - 2) - 9/25/2010, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 2) at LA LAFAYETTE (1 - 1) - 9/25/2010, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORTH TEXAS (0 - 3) at FLA ATLANTIC (1 - 1) - 9/25/2010, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W KENTUCKY (0 - 3) at S FLORIDA (1 - 1) - 9/25/2010, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 2) at MARYLAND (2 - 1) - 9/25/2010, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 09-20-2010, 11:02 AM

NCAAF

Week 4

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, September 23

7:30 PM
MIAMI vs. PITTSBURGH
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Miami is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Pittsburgh is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
Pittsburgh is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

Friday, September 24

8:00 PM
TCU vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
TCU is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Southern Methodist
TCU is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing TCU
Southern Methodist is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against TCU

Saturday, September 25

12:00 PM
AUSTIN PEAY vs. WISCONSIN
Austin Peay is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Austin Peay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Wisconsin is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

12:00 PM
N. COLORADO vs. MICHIGAN STATE
No trends available
Michigan State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Michigan State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

12:00 PM
TOLEDO vs. PURDUE
Toledo is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Purdue is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Purdue is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

12:00 PM
BALL STATE vs. IOWA
Ball State is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games
Ball State is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Iowa is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games
Iowa is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

12:00 PM
CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. NORTHWESTERN
Central Michigan is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Central Michigan is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Northwestern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Northwestern is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

12:00 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. MICHIGAN
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Bowling Green's last 12 games on the road
Bowling Green is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Michigan is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

12:00 PM
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. MARYLAND
Florida International is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Florida International is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Maryland is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
Maryland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

12:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. CONNECTICUT
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
Buffalo is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Connecticut is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo

12:21 PM
UAB vs. TENNESSEE
UAB is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
UAB is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Tennessee is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home

12:30 PM
CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. KANSAS STATE
Central Florida is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Kansas State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Kansas State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

1:30 PM
VMI vs. VIRGINIA
VMI is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
VMI is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Virginia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Virginia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

2:00 PM
AIR FORCE vs. WYOMING
Air Force is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Wyoming
Air Force is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wyoming
Wyoming is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Air Force
Wyoming is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Air Force

2:00 PM
MIAMI (OHIO) vs. MISSOURI
Miami (Ohio) is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Miami (Ohio) is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Missouri is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Missouri is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

3:00 PM
SOUTHERN CAL vs. WASHINGTON STATE
Southern Cal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Southern Cal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington State
Washington State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Cal
Washington State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Southern Cal

3:00 PM
ARMY vs. DUKE
Army is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Army is 4-19 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Duke is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Duke is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games at home

3:30 PM
TEMPLE vs. PENN STATE
Temple is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Temple is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Penn State
Penn State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Temple

3:30 PM
TULANE vs. HOUSTON
Tulane is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Tulane's last 13 games on the road
Houston is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tulane

3:30 PM
ALABAMA vs. ARKANSAS
Alabama is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arkansas
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arkansas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Alabama
Arkansas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Alabama

3:30 PM
COLGATE vs. SYRACUSE
Colgate is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
Colgate is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Syracuse is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games

3:30 PM
EASTERN MICHIGAN vs. OHIO STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 7 games on the road
Eastern Michigan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:30 PM
STANFORD vs. NOTRE DAME
Stanford is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Notre Dame
Stanford is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Stanford
Notre Dame is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Stanford

3:30 PM
ARKANSAS STATE vs. TROY
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Arkansas State's last 17 games on the road
Arkansas State is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Troy's last 5 games at home
Troy is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games

TBA
NORTH CAROLINA vs. RUTGERS
North Carolina is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
North Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Rutgers is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games
Rutgers is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home

TBA
UCLA vs. TEXAS
UCLA is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of UCLA's last 10 games on the road
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games at home

TBA
OKLAHOMA vs. CINCINNATI
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

TBA
OREGON STATE vs. BOISE STATE
Oregon State is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
Oregon State is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

TBA
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. GEORGIA TECH
North Carolina State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Georgia Tech
North Carolina State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against North Carolina State
Georgia Tech is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

TBA
VIRGINIA TECH vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
Virginia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston College
Boston College is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Virginia Tech
Boston College is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

TBA
WAKE FOREST vs. FLORIDA STATE
Wake Forest is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing Florida State
Wake Forest is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Florida State
Florida State is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Wake Forest
Florida State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Wake Forest

4:00 PM
IDAHO vs. COLORADO STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Idaho's last 5 games on the road
Idaho is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Colorado State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State's last 6 games at home

6:00 PM
NEVADA vs. BYU
Nevada is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada's last 5 games on the road
BYU is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
BYU is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home

7:00 PM
GEORGIA vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
Georgia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Georgia's last 24 games on the road
Mississippi State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Mississippi State is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

7:00 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
Middle Tennessee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Louisiana-Lafayette
Middle Tennessee is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 5 games at home
Louisiana-Lafayette is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

7:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. KANSAS
New Mexico State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New Mexico State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
Kansas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
KENTUCKY vs. FLORIDA
Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kentucky
Florida is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kentucky

7:00 PM
CENTRAL ARKANSAS vs. TULSA
Central Arkansas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Central Arkansas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Tulsa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Tulsa is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games

7:00 PM
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE vs. NEBRASKA
No trends available
Nebraska is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Nebraska is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
Southeastern Louisiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Southeastern Louisiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
AKRON vs. INDIANA
Akron is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Akron is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
Indiana is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games

7:00 PM
NORTH TEXAS vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
North Texas is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic
North Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Florida Atlantic is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
SOUTHERN MISS vs. LOUISIANA TECH
Southern Miss is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Southern Miss is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Louisiana Tech is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Louisiana Tech is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home

7:00 PM
NORTHERN IOWA vs. IOWA STATE
Northern Iowa is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Northern Iowa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Iowa State
Iowa State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Iowa State is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games

7:00 PM
OHIO vs. MARSHALL
Ohio is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Marshall
Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ohio
Marshall is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ohio

7:05 PM
WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Western Kentucky's last 8 games on the road
South Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
FRESNO STATE vs. MISSISSIPPI
Fresno State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Fresno State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Mississippi is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
Mississippi is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games

7:45 PM
SOUTH CAROLINA vs. AUBURN
The total has gone OVER in 6 of South Carolina's last 9 games on the road
South Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Auburn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Auburn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
UTAH STATE vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah State's last 6 games on the road
Utah State is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
San Diego State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

8:00 PM
BAYLOR vs. RICE
Baylor is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Baylor is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Rice is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
Rice is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games

8:00 PM
SAN JOSE STATE vs. UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose State's last 5 games on the road
San Jose State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games at home
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:30 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. MINNESOTA
Northern Illinois is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Northern Illinois is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. LSU
West Virginia is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games on the road
West Virginia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
LSU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:05 PM
MEMPHIS vs. TEXAS EL PASO
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
Texas El Paso is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

10:00 PM
CALIFORNIA vs. ARIZONA
California is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California's last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing California

10:00 PM
NEW MEXICO vs. UNLV
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico's last 6 games on the road
New Mexico is 1-18 SU in its last 19 games
UNLV is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Mexico
UNLV is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

10:30 PM
OREGON vs. ARIZONA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon's last 5 games on the road
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona State
Arizona State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oregon
Arizona State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oregon

11:30 PM
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN vs. HAWAII
Charleston Southern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Charleston Southern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hawaii's last 7 games at home
Hawaii is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 09-20-2010, 06:51 PM

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 4

Thursday, 9/23/2010

MIAMI at PITTSBURGH, 7:45 PM ET ESPN
MIAMI: 7-17 ATS off a game where they forced no turnovers
PITTSBURGH: 7-3 OVER off 1 or more consecutive ATS losses

Friday, 9/24/2010

TCU at SMU, 8:00 PM ET ESPN
TCU: 7-1 ATS in the first month of the season
SMU: 23-10 OVER off 1 or more consecutive ATS losses

Saturday, 9/25/2010

C MICHIGAN at NORTHWESTERN, 12:00 PM ET BIG10
C MICHIGAN: 6-0 ATS in September games
NORTHWESTERN: 13-26 ATS as a home favorite

TOLEDO at PURDUE, 12:00 PM ET BIG10
TOLEDO: 2-10 ATS off 2 consecutive games where they forced 3 or more turnovers
PURDUE: 16-6 ATS in home games after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards

BOWLING GREEN at MICHIGAN, 12:00 PM ET ESPN2
BOWLING GREEN: 13-2 ATS in road games
MICHIGAN: 3-12 ATS off a home game

BALL ST at IOWA, 12:00 PM ET BIG10
BALL ST: 7-0 ATS as a road underdog
IOWA: 8-2 UNDER in September games

E MICHIGAN at OHIO ST, 3:30 PM ET ABC
E MICHIGAN: 9-26 ATS in non-conf. games
OHIO ST: 13-3 ATS in all games

VIRGINIA TECH at BOSTON COLLEGE, 12:00 PM ET
VIRGINIA TECH: 17-4 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
BOSTON COLLEGE: 8-1 OVER off 2 or more consecutive SU wins

TEMPLE at PENN ST, 3:30 PM ET BIG10
TEMPLE: 10-2 ATS off a home game
PENN ST: 8-2 UNDER after shutting out their last opponent

NC STATE at GEORGIA TECH, 12:00 PM ET ESPN
NC STATE: 6-0 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders
GEORGIA TECH: 2-11 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs

WAKE FOREST at FLORIDA ST, 12:00 PM ET ABC
WAKE FOREST: 7-4 UNDER in road games
FLORIDA ST: 3-11 ATS off a SU win

ARMY at DUKE, 3:00 PM ET
ARMY: 14-28 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
DUKE: 7-0 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive overs

BUFFALO at CONNECTICUT, 12:00 PM ET
BUFFALO: 0-6 ATS after playing a non-conf. game
CONNECTICUT: 8-1 ATS off 1 or more consecutive ATS losses

GEORGIA at MISSISSIPPI ST, 7:00 PM ET FSN
GEORGIA: 13-1 ATS off 2 or more consecutive SU losses
MISSISSIPPI ST: 6-20 ATS off a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse

FRESNO ST at OLE MISS, 7:30 PM ET
FRESNO ST: 2-12 off a road game
OLE MISS: 5-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival

MIAMI OHIO at MISSOURI, 2:00 PM ET
MIAMI OHIO: 26-12 ATS in road games in games played on a grass field
MISSOURI: 1-9 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points

AIR FORCE at WYOMING, 2:00 PM ET MTN
AIR FORCE: 8-1 ATS off a non-conf. game
WYOMING: 21-38 ATS after scoring 14 points or less

UCF at KANSAS ST, 12:30 PM ET FSN
UCF: 6-0 ATS in road games
KANSAS ST: 7-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points

TULANE at HOUSTON, 3:30 PM ET CBSC
TULANE: 4-12 ATS against conference opponents
HOUSTON: 9-1 ATS in home games

OKLAHOMA at CINCINNATI, 3:30 PM ET ESPN2
OKLAHOMA: 5-1 UNDER off 2 straight non-conf. games
CINCINNATI: 29-14 UNDER in non-conf. games

ALABAMA at ARKANSAS, 3:30 PM ET CBS
ALABAMA: 7-1 ATS as a road favorite
ARKANSAS: 1-5 ATS in the first month of the season

OREGON ST at BOISE ST, 3:30 PM ET ABC
OREGON ST: 6-22 ATS in road games in the first month of the season
BOISE ST: 10-2 ATS when playing on a Saturday

STANFORD at NOTRE DAME, 3:30 PM ET NBC
STANFORD: 6-0 ATS off a non-conf. game
NOTRE DAME: 5-15 ATS at home off a road loss

CALIFORNIA at ARIZONA, 10:00 PM ET FCS
CALIFORNIA: 0-6 ATS off a road game
ARIZONA: 12-2 ATS at home

UCLA at TEXAS, 3:30 PM ET ABC
UCLA: 18-33 ATS in road games off a home win
TEXAS: 31-14 ATS off a road win against a conf. rival

IDAHO at COLORADO ST, 4:00 PM ET
IDAHO: 8-0 ATS in non-conf. games
COLORADO ST: 0-6 ATS off 3 or more consecutive SU losses

NEVADA at BYU, 6:00 PM ET MTN
NEVADA: 11-3 ATS after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game
BYU: 5-22 ATS off a 2 game road trip

USC at WASHINGTON ST, 3:00 PM ET FSN
USC: 10-2 UNDER after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game
WASHINGTON ST: 4-11 ATS in the first half of the season

NEW MEXICO ST at KANSAS, 7:00 PM ET FCS
NEW MEXICO ST: 6-16 ATS after allowing 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games
KANSAS: 24-11 ATS off 2 straight non-conf. games

KENTUCKY at FLORIDA, 7:00 PM ET ESPNU
KENTUCKY: 8-2 ATS in road games
FLORIDA: 19-8 OVER off a double digit road win

SOUTHERN MISS at LOUISIANA TECH, 7:00 PM ET
SOUTHERN MISS: 26-12 UNDER off non-conf. game
LOUISIANA TECH: 8-2 ATS in home games

UAB at TENNESSEE, 12:20 PM ET
UAB: 0-6 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points
TENNESSEE: 26-12 ATS off 2 or more consecutive ATS losses

AKRON at INDIANA, 7:00 PM ET BIG10
AKRON: 8-1 OVER off 2 straight non-conf. games
INDIANA: 6-1 ATS in the first month of the season

OHIO U at MARSHALL, 7:00 PM ET
OHIO U: 8-1 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
MARSHALL: 4-17 ATS off playing 2 straight non-conference games

S CAROLINA at AUBURN, 7:45 PM ET ESPN
S CAROLINA: 7-4 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive ATS losses
AUBURN: 1-9 ATS off an Over

SAN JOSE ST at UTAH, 8:00 PM ET
SAN JOSE ST: 2-9 ATS as an underdog
UTAH: 20-6 ATS off a game where 70 points or more were scored

UTAH ST at SAN DIEGO ST, 8:00 PM ET CBSC
UTAH ST: 6-0 ATS as a road underdog
SAN DIEGO ST: 9-23 ATS off 2 or more consecutive ATS wins

W VIRGINIA at LSU, 9:00 PM ET ESPN2
W VIRGINIA: 16-6 UNDER off a cover as a double digit favorite
LSU: 4-10 ATS at home

BAYLOR at RICE, 8:00 PM ET CBSC
BAYLOR: 6-0 UNDER off a loss by 35 or more points
RICE: 32-14 ATS as a home underdog

N CAROLINA at RUTGERS, 8:00 PM ET ESPNU
N CAROLINA: 8-2 UNDER after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games
RUTGERS: 8-2 UNDER in non-conf. games

N ILLINOIS at MINNESOTA, 8:30 PM ET BIG10
N ILLINOIS: 2-8 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
MINNESOTA: 7-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive ATS losses

MEMPHIS at UTEP, 9:00 PM ET
MEMPHIS: 1-6 off non-conf. game
UTEP: 10-3 OVER off a win by 17 or more points

NEW MEXICO at UNLV, 10:00 PM ET MTN
NEW MEXICO: 6-1 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive ATS losses
UNLV: 8-2 UNDER off a loss by 17 or more points

OREGON at ARIZONA ST, 10:30 PM ET FSN
OREGON: 44-24 ATS off a win by 17 or more points
ARIZONA ST: 11-3 UNDER as an underdog

ARKANSAS ST at TROY, 3:30 PM ET
ARKANSAS ST: 3-13 ATS in road games
TROY: 11-3 ATS off 1 or more straight overs

MIDDLE TENN ST at LA LAFAYETTE, 7:00 PM ET
MIDDLE TENN ST: 9-1 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest
LA LAFAYETTE: 4-13 ATS at home after committing 1 or less turnovers

NORTH TEXAS at FLA ATLANTIC, 7:00 PM ET
NORTH TEXAS: 10-3 OVER after a loss by 21 or more points
FLA ATLANTIC: 8-2 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

W KENTUCKY at S FLORIDA, 7:00 PM ET
W KENTUCKY: 8-1 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders
S FLORIDA: 7-4 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs

FLA INTERNATIONAL at MARYLAND, 12:00 PM ET ESPNU
FLA INTERNATIONAL: 3-11 ATS after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games
MARYLAND: 8-1 UNDER after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 09-21-2010, 10:16 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 4

Miami (FL) at Pittsburgh
The Panthers look to take advantage of a Miami team that is coming off a loss to Ohio State and is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games following a SU defeat. Pittsburgh is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Panthers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3). Here are all of this week's lined games.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 23

Game 301-302: Miami (FL) at Pittsburgh (7:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 97.510; Pittsburgh 99.057
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 3; 51
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3); Over

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 24

Game 303-304: TCU at SMU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 107.193; SMU 89.135
Dunkel Line: TCU by 18; 50
Vegas Line: TCU by 17; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-17); Under

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 25

Game 305-306: Central Michigan at Northwestern (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 86.949; Northwestern 92.042
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 5; 44
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 7 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+7 1/2); Under

Game 307-308: Toledo at Purdue (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 70.728; Purdue 88.409
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 17 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Purdue by 12 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-12 1/2); Over

Game 309-310: Bowling Green at Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 80.544; Michigan 97.565
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 17; 64
Vegas Line: Michigan by 26; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+26); Over

Game 311-312: Ball State at Iowa (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 68.110; Iowa 102.028
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 34; 42
Vegas Line: Iowa by 28; 46
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-28); Under

Game 313-314: Eastern Michigan at Ohio State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 58.423; Ohio State 111.492
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 53; 53
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 42 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-42 1/2); Under

Game 315-316: Virginia Tech at Boston College (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 95.072; Boston College 95.024
Dunkel Line: Even; 51
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 4 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+4 1/2); Over

Game 317-318: Temple at Penn State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 87.364; Penn State 103.385
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 16; 41
Vegas Line: Penn State by 15; 43
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-15); Under

Game 319-320: NC State at Georgia Tech (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 90.487; Georgia Tech 95.774
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 5 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 8 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+8 1/2); Over

Game 321-322: Wake Forest at Florida State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 86.856; Florida State 99.893
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 13; 68
Vegas Line: Florida State by 18 1/2; 64
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+18 1/2); Over

Game 323-324: Army at Duke (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Army 69.209; Duke 85.914
Dunkel Line: Duke by 16 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Duke by 6; 59
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-6); Under

Game 325-326: Buffalo at Connecticut (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 73.816; Connecticut 92.948
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 19; 50
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 17 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-17 1/2); Over

Game 327-328: Georgia at Mississippi State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 94.959; Mississippi State 94.599
Dunkel Line: Even; 44
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 1 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (+1 1/2); Under

Game 329-330: Fresno State at Mississippi (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 94.185; Mississippi 90.520
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 3 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 3; 54
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+3); Under

Game 331-332: Miami (OH) at Missouri (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 72.542; Missouri 99.344
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 27; 56
Vegas Line: Missouri by 18; 52
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-18); Over

Game 333-334: Air Force at Wyoming (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 89.451; Wyoming 80.308
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 9; 46
Vegas Line: Air Force by 13; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+13); Under

Game 335-336: Central Florida at Kansas State (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 83.421; Kansas State 93.756
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 10 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 6 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-6 1/2); Over

Game 337-338: Tulane at Houston (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 64.321; Houston 96.902
Dunkel Line: Houston by 32 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Houston by 19 1/2; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-19 1/2); Over

Game 339-340: Oklahoma at Cincinnati (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 105.609; Cincinnati 91.271
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 14 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 15 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+15 1/2); Under

Game 341-342: Alabama at Arkansas (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 113.338; Arkansas 99.323
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 14; 50
Vegas Line: Alabama by 7; 54
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-7); Under

Game 343-344: Oregon State at Boise State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 97.088; Boise State 109.654
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 12 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Boise State by 17 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+17 1/2); Over

Game 345-346: Stanford at Notre Dame (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 103.337; Notre Dame 96.277
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 7; 51
Vegas Line: Stanford by 4 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-4 1/2); Under

Game 347-348: California at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 97.823; Arizona 102.572
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 4 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Arizona by 7; 55
Dunkel Pick: California (+7); Over

Game 349-350: UCLA at Texas (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 86.995; Texas 108.935
Dunkel Line: Texas by 22; 49
Vegas Line: Texas by 15 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-15 1/2); Over

Game 351-352: Idaho at Colorado State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 81.752; Colorado State 75.107
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 6 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Idaho by 7 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+7 1/2); Under

Game 353-354: Nevada at BYU (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 92.844; BYU 96.095
Dunkel Line: BYU by 3; 60
Vegas Line: Nevada by 5 1/2; 62
Dunkel Pick: BYU (+5 1/2); Under

Game 355-356: USC at Washington State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 96.312; Washington State 67.555
Dunkel Line: USC by 29; 59
Vegas Line: USC by 21 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC (-21 1/2); Over

Game 357-358: New Mexico State at Kansas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 59.394; Kansas 83.435
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 24; 44
Vegas Line: Kansas by 21; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-21); Under

Game 359-360: Kentucky at Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 90.767; Florida 110.664
Dunkel Line: Florida by 20; 55
Vegas Line: Florida by 13; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-13); Over

Game 361-362: Southern Mississippi at Louisiana Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 80.600; Louisiana Tech 80.988
Dunkel Line: Even; 48
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 5 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+5 1/2); Under

Game 363-364: UAB at Tennessee (12:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 76.982; Tennessee 95.005
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 18; 57
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 14; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-14); Over

Game 365-366: Akron at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 61.589; Indiana 82.797
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 21; 61
Vegas Line: Indiana by 22 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+22 1/2); Over

Game 367-368: Ohio at Marshall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 75.051; Marshall 82.060
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 7; 43
Vegas Line: Marshall by 5; 46
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-5); Under

Game 369-370: South Carolina at Auburn (7:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 91.993; Auburn 96.805
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 5; 49
Vegas Line: Auburn by 2 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-2 1/2); Over

Game 371-372: San Jose State at Utah (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 73.595; Utah 101.392
Dunkel Line: Utah by 28; 50
Vegas Line: Utah by 34; 51
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+34); Under

Game 373-374: Utah State at San Diego State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 79.670; San Diego State 79.870
Dunkel Line: Even; 63
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 8; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+8); Over

Game 375-376: West Virginia at LSU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 91.585; LSU 104.599
Dunkel Line: LSU by 13; 41
Vegas Line: LSU by 7 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-7 1/2); Under

Game 377-378: Baylor at Rice (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 87.243; Rice 75.100
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 12; 61
Vegas Line: Baylor by 7; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-7); Over

Game 379-380: North Carolina at Rutgers (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 93.434; Rutgers 90.174
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 3 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Pick; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina; Under

Game 381-382: Northern Illinois at Minnesota (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 77.586; Minnesota 80.267
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+4 1/2); Under

Game 383-384: Memphis at UTEP (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 65.748; UTEP 78.448
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 12 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: UTEP by 10; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-10); Over

Game 385-386: New Mexico at UNLV (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 63.072; UNLV 78.527
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 15 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: UNLV by 8 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-8 1/2); Over

Game 387-388: Oregon at Arizona State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 104.456; Arizona State 94.881
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 9 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Oregon by 11; 53
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (+11); Under

Game 389-390: Arkansas State at Troy (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 67.839; Troy 88.923
Dunkel Line: Troy by 21; 68
Vegas Line: Troy by 11 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-11 1/2); Over

Game 391-392: Middle Tennessee State at UL-Lafayette (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 79.480; UL-Lafayette 71.090
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 8 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 1 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-1 1/2); Under

Game 393-394: North Texas at Florida Atlantic (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 67.666; Florida Atlantic 75.029
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 7 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 10; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+10); Over

Game 395-396: Western Kentucky at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 61.993; South Florida 94.312
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 32 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: South Florida by 26 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-26 1/2); Under

Game 397-398: Florida International at Maryland (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 71.179; Maryland 90.072
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 19; 43
Vegas Line: Maryland by 10 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-10 1/2); Under

OTHER MAJOR GAMES:

Game 441-442: VMI at Virginia (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: VMI 46.095; Virginia 88.292
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 42
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 443-444: Northern Colorado at Michigan State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 58.865; Michigan State 94.640
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 36
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 445-446: Austin Peay at Wisconsin (12:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 50.625; Wisconsin 99.459
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 49
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 447-448: South Dakota State at Nebraska (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 69.147; Nebraska 104.708
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 35 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 449-450: Colgate at Syracuse (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colgate 56.861; Syracuse 85.693
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 29
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 451-452: Northern Iowa at Iowa State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 76.924; Iowa State 87.383
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 453-454: Central Arkansas at Tulsa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Arkansas 68.767; Tulsa 91.658
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 23
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 455-456: SE Louisiana at UL-Monroe (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Louisiana 58.329; UL-Monroe 74.763
Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 457-458: Charleston Southern at Hawaii (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charleston Southern 53.101; Hawaii 79.701
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 26 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

**Udog** · 09-22-2010, 10:07 PM

NCAAF

Thursday, September 23

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What Bettors Need to Know: Miami at Pittsburgh
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Miami Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Panthers (+3.5, 50)

Talent-wise, Miami wasn’t overwhelmed by Ohio State in a 36-24 loss to the Buckeyes on Sept. 11. Pitt doesn’t have Buckeye-talent.

The Hurricanes (1-1) head to Heinz Field as 3.5-point favorites over the banged-up Panthers (1-1), who will be without their best player, defensive end Greg Romeus, Thursday night.

But Miami’s talent advantage won’t matter, if the ’Canes continue to turn the ball over. Quarterback Jacory Harris threw four picks against Ohio State. Miami is ranked 118th in the nation in turnover margin. The Panthers’ defense has created four turnovers this season.

Pittsburgh sophomore quarterback Tino Sunseri has been solid, but also has thrown an interception in each of his first two starts. The offensive line hasn’t afforded him much time in the pocket, a major concern against an aggressive Miami defense.

HOW THEY ENTER

Both of these teams were picked as favorites to win their conferences. But both have suffered deflating early losses. The Panthers opened the season with a 27-24 overtime defeat on the road at what looks like a good Utah squad.

Overall, these are two similar programs trying to take the next step into national prominence. Miami has been a popular public team for decades. So, if anything, the line may be a little inflated, if you’re getting it a -3.5. The Hurricanes certainly have the talent advantage to cover the number, but can they limit their mistakes in a hostile environment? Randy Shannon’s team hasn’t proved that, yet.

THE LINE

Miami opened at -3.5. The number hadn’t move significantly as of Wednesday. Pittsburgh is on a 7-3 ATS run at home.

THE TOTAL

Bettors, likely sharp, pounced when the total opened up at 54 online. It’s all the way down to 50.5 at most books.

Miami is averaging 34.5 points per game, but scored only one offensive touchdown against Ohio State. The Hurricanes are 16th in the nation in total defense. Pittsburgh is averaging 32.5 points per game, but its offense hasn’t been consistent. The Panthers are surrendering an average of just less than 22 points per game.

Recently against ACC competition, The Panthers lost a 38-31 to North Carolina State last year and won a defensive battle, 19-7, against North Carolina in the Meinke Car Care Bowl.

Recently against the Big East, Miami went on the road and hammered South Florida 31-10 last season.

The under is 7-0 in the Hurricanes’ last seven vs. Big East and 37-16 in last 53 non-conference games. The under is 10-4 in the Panthers’ last 14 home games.

Weather isn’t expected to impact the game.

INJURY REPORT

Pittsburgh is a banged-up football team that will be without its best player in Romeus. The 2009 Big East of Defensive Player of the Year, Romeus had surgery on his back and is expected to miss the majority of the season. That leaves the Panthers with a patchwork defensive front.

In addition, starting linebacker Dan Mason has been demoted due to an off-the-field incident that caused three reserves to be suspended for Thursday’s game.

The ’Canes’ most significant injury concern is starting defensive tackle Marcus Robinson, who is questionable with an ankle injury he suffered against Ohio State.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Miami has potent kick returners in Lamar Miller and Travis Benjamin. Both scored touchdowns on returns against Ohio State. The Hurricanes lead the nation in punt returns at 27.5 yards.

Pittsburgh counters with the nation’s second-best punting unit, led by punter Dan Hutchins, who is averaging 48 points per kick.

LINE OF SCRIMMAGE BATTLE

Pittsburgh entered the season with major questions on the offensive line. Those questions have yet to be answered. That’s not a good sign against a Miami defense that leads the nation in tackles for loss and is second in sacks.

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**Udog** · 09-23-2010, 07:07 AM

NCAAF

Thursday, September 23

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Tips and Trends
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Miami Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Panthers [ESPN | 7:45 PM ET]

HURRICANES: (-4, O/U 50) Miami has nobody to blame but themselves for their loss last week to Ohio St. The Hurricanes had 4 turnovers compared to 0 for Ohio St. That right there was the ballgame, as the Hurricanes lost SU and ATS 24-36. Miami still has plenty to play for, as they are still the 19th ranked team in the nation. Prized QB Jacory Harris needs to put the Ohio St. 4 INT game behind him, as he needs to focus on the rest of the season. The Hurricanes have the 38th best passing offense in the nation at 241 YPG. Harris will need to throw the ball early and often against a Pittsburgh team that is quite stout against the run. Defensively, the Hurricanes are 34th in the nation in scoring defense at 18 PPG. Coach Shannon gave his team quite the motivational speech this week, so one would expect to see an emotional Hurricanes team tonight. Miami has played to the under in 10 of their past 14 games played on Thursday night. Miami is in the middle of 3 consecutive road games.

Hurricanes are 3-13 ATS last 16 games following a bye week.
Under is 7-0 last 7 vs. Big East.

Key Injuries - DL Marcus Robinson (ankle) is questionable.

Projected Score: 24

PANTHERS: Pittsburgh is already off to a disappointing start, and that was after the first game of the season. The popular pick to win the Big East Conference, as well as contend as a darkhorse for the National Championship is, is already unranked. Making matters worse is the simple fact that this team has yet to win a game ATS this season. After losing both SU and ATS to Utah, the Panthers beat New Hampshire 38-16 SU yet lost ATS as a 29.5 favorite. Coach Wannstedt is on the hot seat for not just his teams play on the field, but off it as well. How will the Panthers handle the distractions of 3 of their own and their problems with the law? RB Dion Lewis has underachieved so far this year, gaining only 102 YDS on 35 carries. Defenses are teeing off on the Pittsburgh rushing attack, because they don't respect the passing game of the Panthers. QB Tino Sunseri needs to develop faster as the QB and leader of this team. Defensively, Pittsburgh has allowed an average of 21.5 PPG this year, 61st in the nation. The Panthers are hoping for some help from the fans, as the team is playing in front of a national audience midweek against a ranked opponent.

Panthers are 6-1 ATS last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 11-5 last 16 games following a bye week.

Key Injuries - TE Brock DeCicco (hamstring) is probable.

Projected Score: 27 (SIDE of the Day)

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**Udog** · 09-23-2010, 07:44 PM

NCAAF
Write-Up

Week 4

Thursday's game
Neither Pitt or Miami has beaten a I-A team this year; Miami is 5-10 as a road favorite since 2005, 7-14 in game following a loss; they had two TDs in kicking game at Ohio State, but threw four picks in 36-24 loss. Pitt had 12 penalties, was outgained 405-266 in 27-24 loss at Utah in its opener. Panthers are 3-1 as home dog since '07, 17-10 in game after a win. ACC favorites are 3-2 vs spread in non-league games, 0-1 on road, Big East underdogs are 1-6 vs spread in non-league games, 0-1 at home.

Friday's game
TCU crushed local rival SMU in last two meetings, 48-7/39-14; Horned Frogs are 7-3 as road favorite since '08, but just 7-8 in non-league tilts. MWC favorites are 3-0 vs spread in non-league games. SMU is 10-7-1 as underdog under Jones, 4-2 at home- they were just 17-38 passing in LY's loss. Mustangs scored 30 ppg in 2-1 start, but are up in class facing this TCU team that was up 35-3 at half in last week's easy win vs Baylor.

Saturday's games
Highlighted games
Home team won four of last five Virginia Tech-Boston College games, as Hokies lost last two visits here, 22-3/28-23. Hokies are 13-7-1 as a road favorite since '04, are 36-21 vs spread in game following a win. Boston College is 7-3 as home dog since '00, 3-0 since '06. Interesting to see if Tech has momentum after pulling away from East Carolina late last week ater starting season 0-2, including a loss to I-AA James Madison.

NC State lost 10 of last 12 games vs Georgia Tech, with visitor winning last two; Wolfpack is 9-6 as road dog under O'Brien; they scored 29 ppg in beating UCF/Cincinnati last two games, holding both teams under 100 rushing yards, but they did have trouble vs. UCF's mobile QB Godfrey. Georgia Tech is 5-4 as fave at home under Johnson, 11-9 vs spread after a win. Both teams have very experienced QBs.

Georgia is 0-2 in SEC for first time under Richt; they've won last nine vs Mississippi State, winning five of six visits here (only loss in '51). State is 1-7 as home favorite since '05; they scored 14-7 points in losing first two SEC games. UGa is 9-5 as road dog under Richt, 2-3 since '08; hard to win on road in SEC with frosh QB. Favorites are 4-2 so far in league play, with road teams covering four of the six games.

Fresno State is 18-11 as road underdog since 2001; they outscored foes 38-7 in second half of first two games this year, including 41-24 win at Utah State site where they've historically struggled. Ole Miss got beat at home by Vanderbilt last week (allowed 227 rushing yards); they're 8-4 as home favorite under Nutt, 7-2 in non-SEC games. WAC teams are 10-6 vs spread out of conference, 3-4 as a road underdog.

Alabama crushed Arkansas 49-14/35-7 last two years; Crimson Tide is 7-1 in last eight games as road favorite, but does have Florida game next, better not look past vet QB Mallett, who passed for 380 yards last week in 31-24 win at Georgia. Razorbacks are 4-2 as home dog under Petrino. Bama faced rookie QBs last two weeks; this will be tougher test for Tide defense that lost nine starters from LY.

Since 2000, Boise State is 38-17 as home favorite on blue turf; Oregon State actually painted a practice field blue to prepare (44,000 gallons of blue paint!!!). Beavers covered eight of last nine as road dog, covering in last six games when they were getting 6+ points. Broncos covered nine of last 11 non-WAC games; they scored 84 points in first two '10 games. WAC favorites are 5-0 vs spread out of conference.

Notre Dame lost last two games vs total of seven points, now Stanford comes to South Bend; Cardinal (-10) beat Notre Dame 45-38 LY, ending 7-game series skid-- they lost last two visits here, 31-10/28-21. Irish are 2-0 as underdog this year, 9-7 in last 16 games overall as dog. Stanford just scored 103 points in dismissing UCLA/Wake Forest. Pac-10 faves are 7-5 vs spread in non-league games, 2-3 away from home.

Home team won last five Cal-Arizona games; Golden Bears lost last two visits to Tucson, 24-20/42-17 (were favored in both). Wildcats are 8-2 in last ten games as home favorite; they survived collapse vs Iowa, blowing 27-7 lead last week, but winning game in last minute. Cal is 16-11-1 as a road underdog, but are just 8-13 vs spread in game after last 21 losses. Bears gave up 316 rushing yards last week at Nevada; only nine of 64 Wolf Pack plays came on 3rd down.

Texas has Red River rivalry game with Oklahoma next week; they're 2-5 in last seven games as home favorite. Big 12 favorites are 11-9 vs spread in non-league games, 8-8 at home. UCLA knocked out two Houston QBs last week, getting first win in three games; Bruins are 3-7 as underdog on road under Neuheisel, who was 2-1 vs Texas in his other coaching stops. Pac-10teams are 11-9 in non-league games, 3-3 as a road underdog.

Nevada is 4-7 as road favorite since 2007, 15-21 vs spread on road under Ault. BYU is 0-5 vs spread as road dog since '05; more experienced QB Nelson is out for year, so its up to freshman Heaps now. Cougars gave up 69 points, 687 rushing yards in losing last two games, at Air Force and Florida State- they're 3-5 in last eight tries as home underdog. MWC underdogs are 3-9 against the spread in non-league games.

South Carolina community saddened this week by death of McKinney, Gamecocks' all-time leading WR (only 23 years old); Carolina is 11-6-1 as road dog under Spurrier, 6-2 in last eight games as dog overall. Auburn was down 17-0 to Clemson last week, rallied to win in OT; they're 3-3 as home fave under Chizik, 9-15 since '06. Tigers won last two games in series, 48-7/24-17, but last merting was back in 2006.

LSU is 12-17-1 as home favorite under Miles, 4-2-1 in last seven, but the Tigers are in Miss State/Tennessee SEC sandwich; LSU is 3-7 in last 10 non-league games. West Virginia is 4-8 vs spread in last dozen non-league games, 9-5 as road dog since '02. WVa gained 509 yards in 41-30 loss at Auburn of SEC LY (-5 TOs). Mountaineers' new QB Smith looks like real deal after big comeback win at Marshall two weeks ago.

Oregon is 15-10 as road favorite since '01, 3-2 under Kelly; they won last five games vs Arizona State by average score of 42-19, winning last three visits here by 31-17/48-13/54-20 scores. Ducks have showdown with Stanford next week. Sun Devils are 6-4-1 in last 11 games as home dog, but they gave Wisconsin fight to finish in 20-19 loss last week (had game-tying PAT blocked with 4:00 left).

Rest of the Card
-- Northwestern is 4-18 as home favorite since 2001, 2-9 since Fitzgerald has been coach; Central Michigan is 6-2 in last eight as road underdog.
-- Purdue won last two games vs Toledo, 52-31/52-24; Boilermakers are 7-14 as a home fave since '05. Toledo won last two weeks as underdog, after losing opener 41-2 at home to Arizona.
-- Bowling Green covered its last eight games as road dog, is 13-4 since 2006. Michigan is 3-7 in last ten games as home favorite; they open play in Big 11 next week.
-- Ball State covered its last seven games as road dog, is 14-3 in that role since 2006. Iowa is 8-3 vs spread after a loss; they're 8-12 as home fave, play Penn State in Big 11 next week.
-- Ohio State covered eight of last ten games as home favorite. Eastern Michigan is 9-12-1 as a road dog. Buckeyes start Big 11 play next week.

-- Temple is 14-6-1 vs spread as underdog since '07, 6-2 in last eight games as road dog, but they got squashed in last four games vs Penn State by average score of 38-2.
-- Road team won last three Wake Forest-Florida State games; Deacons are 3-2 in last five series games, losing by 17-13 points, but they lost at Stanford last week 68-24 (was 41-10 at the half).
-- Army is 18-14 as road underdog since 2003; they lost 35-19 at home to Duke LY, giving up two INTs for TD's (outgained Duke 395-236). Blue Devils are 2-1-1 as home favorite under Cutcliffe.
-- Buffalo is 16-8 vs spread in last 24 games as road dog. UConn is 2-4-1 as home favorite since '08, but since 2001, is 28-14-1 vs spread in game following a loss.
-- Miami OH held Florida to 212 total yards in season opener, then won next two games, not sure why they're getting 19 points from Missouri squad that snuck by San Diego State in last minute last week.

-- Air Force in classic sandwich (Oklahoma/Navy) but they're good, with 27-24 loss in Norman maybe more impressive than 35-14 win vs BYU. Wyoming is 2-6 in last eight games as a home underdog.
-- Central Florida is 8-3 in last 11 games as road underdog, but is 11-19 in last 30 non-league games; tough to win on road with frosh QB. Snyder covered five of his last six games as a home favorite.
-- Houston is down to #3 QB after first two went out for year last week with injuries; Cougars won last five games vs Tulane by average score of 40-12. Green Wave is 8-9 as road underdog under coach Toledo.
-- Oklahoma is 6-3 in last nine games as road favorite; they play Texas in rivalry game next week. Cincinnati is 12-5 as home dog since '00, but this game is at Bengals' stadium, not campus site.
-- Idaho is favored on road or just second time in last six years; they beat Colorado State 31-29 (+4) LY (outgained 436-403). Vandals are 2-7 as a road favorite since '99. Rams are 6-1 in last seven games as home dog.

-- USC is 3-11 vs spread in last 14 games as road favorite; they won last visit here 69-0, then beat Wazzu 27-6 at home LY. Coogs are 9-16 last 25 games as underdog, 4-8 as home dog under Wulff.
-- New Mexico State is 7-5-1 as road dog since 2008, but 2-9-1 in last 12 non-WAC games. Kansas is 17-8 in last 25 games as home favorite; they open Big 12 play next week, at Baylor.
-- Florida spanked Kentucky the last two years, 63-5/41-7; Gators are 14-6 in last 20 games as home favorite. Kentucky is 6-2 as road dog, and is only team in America that played three games with no turnovers.
-- Southern Miss is 19-14 vs spread as favorite since '06, 15-6 in last 21 games as road favorite. Louisiana Tech is 6-1 as home dog since '07, but got spanked in Ruston last week by Navy, giving up 297 YR.
-- Tennessee won its last two games vs UAB 17-10/35-3; Vols are 11-7 as home favorite since '07, but are 3-7 in last 10 non-SEC games. Vols in Florida/LSU sandwich here. UAB is 4-10 as road dog since 2008.

-- Indiana is 8-4 as home favorite since '04; they play Michigan next, as Big 11 play starts. Akron is 2-6 as road dog; they lost by 26-37 points bvs I-A teams this year, and also lost 39-38 to I-AA Gardner-Webb.
-- Marshall is 0-3 this year; their last win was 21-17 (+3) vs Ohio in the Little Caeser's Bowl LY. Herd is 7-10 as home favorite, 4-11-1 in last 16 non-league games. Bobcats are 10-6-1 as a road underdog.
-- San Jose State is 12-27-1 as road dog since '03; they lost 24-14 LY at home to Utah (game was tied in 4th quarter). Utah is 11-8-1 as a home favorite since 2006. QB Wynn expected to play for Utes.
-- Utah State is 20-10 vs spread in last 30 games as underdog, 15-5 as a road dog since '07. San Diego State is 8-6-1 as home fave since '02; they have stud RB in freshman Hillman (228 yards at Missouri last week).
-- Since 2000, Baylor is 4-0 as road favorite (just 2nd in role since 2006). Bears are 12-3 in last 15 series games, winning last four (42-17, -7 in last meeting, '07). Rice is 1-4-1 in last six games as home underdog.

-- Road team won last two North Carolina-Rutgers games; still not sure whos in and whos out for suspension-riddled Tar Heels. Since 2003, Rutgers is 21-11-1 vs spread in non-league games.
-- Northern Illinois is 6-3 as road dog under coach Kill; they lost 31-27 (+8) on this field in '08. Minnesota just lost to South Dakota State/USC last two weeks; they're 4-2 vs spread in game after last six losses.
-- If you're not reading this article on ***************.com. ask why; its uncool to rip off other people's work.
-- Memphis won last three games vs UTEP, despite being underdog in all three game, but Tigers are just 2-8 in last 10 games as road dog. UTEP is 6-12 in last 18 games as home favorite, but did cover at home last week.
-- New Mexico won three of last four games vs UNLV, but are 4-8 in its last 12 games as road dog. Rebels are 5-16 vs spread in last 21 games as a home favorite, are 8-22 in last 30 games overall when favored.

-- Troy won last three games vs Arkansas State (average score of 31-12); Trojans covered 10 of last 14 as home favorite. ASU is 3-8 as road dog, and since 2001, is 10-27-1 vs spread in game following a win.
-- This is Middle Tennessee's last game without suspended QB Dasher; MTSU is 14-7 in last 21 games as favorite, 8-3 as road fave since 2005. UL-Lafayette is 2-5 as home underdog since 2007.
-- North Texas lost last five games vs FAU, losing last two visits here, by 26-23/46-13 scores; since 2003, Mean Green is 14-26 as a road dog. Owls are just 3-10 as home favorite in their program's history.
-- South Florida is 8-5 in last 13 games as home favorite; they won 35-13 at Western Kentucky LY (-24), as each team ran ball for 200+ yards. Hilltoppers are 3-5 as road underdog since jumping to I-A.
-- Florida International was winning in 4th quarter at Texas A&M last week, lost 27-20; not sure how they get 11 points from Maryland squad that lost to West Virginia after throwing for just 11 yards vs Navy.

**Udog** · 09-24-2010, 07:09 AM

NCAAF

Friday, September 24

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What Bettors Need to Know: TCU at SMU
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TCU Horned Frogs at SMU Mustangs (+17.5, 55.5)

June Jones and the SMU Mustangs will be looking to pull off a huge upset against the fifth-ranked TCU Horned Frogs, in the Battle for the Iron Skillet. The Dallas-Fort Worth rivalry takes place on Friday night and TCU is listed as -17.5 favorites

Why TCU will cover

Expectations are the highest they have ever been at TCU and so far the Horned Frogs are living up to the hype. Their 3-0 record includes a tough win over Oregon State and huge blowout over a decent Baylor squad.

Gary Patterson's team ranks high in both offensive and defensive production which makes a three-touchdown victory a strong possibility Friday. The Horned Frogs are averaging 45.7 points a game and they rank fourth in yards allowed giving up just 222.7 per game. History is also on their side having won nine of the last 10 contests in this rivalry.

Southern Methodist’s sophomore QB Kyle Padron (a Southlake Carroll grad) has been decent so far this year but this is the first time he will be facing a defense of this caliber. Technically speaking, TCU's 4-2-5 is built to handle a June Jones-type offense. Padron will have a tough time finding mismatches which was key in SMU's victories over UAB and Washington State.

Patterson realizes that his team not only needs to win all their games, but they need to win big. Narrow margins of victory against Oregon State and Utah might be accepted by the voters, but a scare or two from the other teams on their schedule will prove costly.

Why SMU will cover

This is not the same SMU team that went 1-11 in 2008. June Jones brought over his Hawaii offense and managed to produce an 8-5 record and a bowl win in just his second year as head coach. While it is still a pass-heavy system, Jones has incorporated more of a rushing game to his offense. Jones had his first ever 1000 yard rusher last season.

The possession time will increase for SMU, whether or not they get into the end zone. Jones is aware of the 4-2-5 and realizes the importance of establishing the run as a legitimate threat.

Texas Christian will be in the Cover 2 and Cover 5 the majority of the time, which means that SMU will go to the ground more than they usually do. Their running back Zach Line is tailor made for slowing down the pace of the game. The converted linebacker is grinder and is more of a Tim Riggins type, than Smash Williams.

While an SMU win is unlikely, the slowed-down in pace should make a 17.5-point cover a difficult task for TCU.

Notes and trends

The line opened at 17.5 and it has seen slight half-point movements to -18 at some books. Consensus opinion is strong on TCU to cover at a 70/30 split. The Mustangs loss 39-14 last year but managed to cover the 28-point spread.

The total has been steadily moving up throughout the week and now sits at 55.5 at most books. Both teams are a combined 4-2 over/under this season. The line has been sharp in this rivalry with the 2008 contest going over the total of 53 by only two points and last year's game resulting in a push.

The weather in Dallas is expected to be cloudy and wet with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms Friday night.

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**Udog** · 09-24-2010, 07:12 AM

NCAAF

Friday, September 24

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Tips and Trends
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TCU Horned Frogs AT SMU Mustangs [ESPN | 8:00 PM ET]

HORNED FROGS: (-17.5, O/U 55.5) TCU is quite easily one of the best teams in all of college football. More importantly, this team has been on that elite level for longer than most people realize. Defense rules the day for this team, and this year is no exception. The Horned Frogs are only allowing 12.7 PPG, the 9th best in all of FBS. This stat is even more impressive when you consider this TCU team has played Baylor and Oregon St, 2 formidable teams. Tonight marks the first road game of the season for the Horned Frogs. QB Andy Dalton leads a very underrated offense that doesn't get nearly the publicity that the defense gets. All the Horned Frogs offense has done this year is average 45.7 PPG, the 6th most in the country. Dalton has 32 career victories to his credit, the most of any QB in FBS play. TCU has won the past 3 meetings SU with SMU, yet have only gone 1-2 ATS in those specific contests. TCU has the rare opportunity of playing in a standalone game in front of a national audience, so one would expected the Horned Frogs best effort tonight.

Horned Frogs are 8-2 ATS last 10 games following a SU win.
Under is 7-2 last 9 road games against a team with a winning home record.

Key Injuries - S Tyler Luttrell (hamstring) is probable.

Projected Score: 41 (OVER-Total of the Day)

MUSTANGS: The Iron Skillet will be on display tonight, as SMU looks to make a program defining statement in beat the 4th ranked team in the nation. SMU is a program on the rise, as this team has been making strides under Coach June Jones the past few seasons. The last time SMU beat a ranked opponent was 2005, when they beat a ranked TCU team. Prior to that, you have to go back to 1996 to see a Mustangs win over a ranked opponent. SMU is 2-1 both SU and ATS this season, with their lone loss coming against Texas Tech. QB Kyle Padron has the chance to be special under Coach Jones, and he's off to a fast start this year. Padron has throw for 8 TD's this year, against only 3 INT's. For SMU to take the next step with their program, the defense needs to continue to improve rapidly. The Mustangs have allowed TCU to average 43.5 PPG over their previous 2 meetings. SMU isn't used to having "big" games played in their stadium, so one could expect a true home field advantage tonight with the Iron Skillet ultimately at stake.

Mustangs are 4-1 ATS last 5 non-conference games.
Over is 17-5 last 22 games following a SU win.

Key Injuries - DB Sterling Moore (knee) is probable.

Projected Score: 24

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**Udog** · 09-25-2010, 09:08 AM

NCAAF

Saturday, September 25

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Tips and Trends
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Alabama Crimson Tide AT Arkansas Razorbacks [CBS | 3:30 PM ET]

CRIMSON TIDE: (-7.5, O/U 54) Alabama has proven that their hasn't been a dropoff from last year's departures. Instead, it is quite evident that Alabama simply reloads. Coach Saban has built a dynasty here at Alabama, and the Crimson Tide players aren't likely to let go of their lofty position amongst everyone else in the nation. Not only is Alabama undefeated this year, but they are also 3-0 ATS to boot. The Crimson Tide have easily covered all 3 games this year, and will be facing their 1st single digit spread since they faced LSU last November. Alabama has top 10 rankings in nearly every major team category, notably PPG and opposing PPG. This Crimson Tide offense is averaging 44.7 PPG, the 9th most in FBS this year. With reigning Heisman winner RB Mark Ingram fully healthy, this offense becomes that much more balanced. Defensively, Alabama is only allowing their opponents to average 6.3 PPG, the 2nd fewest in the nation. Alabama is likely to be facing one of their toughest tests of the season, as they will be playing in hostile territory.

Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS last 8 games as a road favorite.
Under is 11-4-1 last 16 conference games.

Key Injuries - None Reported.

Projected Score: 27

RAZORBACKS: Arkansas believes they are worthy of a top 10 ranking. They are about to find out if that ranking is justified, as they get the defending BCS champions today at home. The home crowd is likely to prove an electric atmosphere considering this is the first time two top 10 teams have met in Fayetteville since 1979. The Razorbacks are led by likely number 1 draft pick QB Ryan Mallet. Mallet directs the 3rd most prolific passing offense in the nation, averaging 367.7 YPG. Having Mallet at the helm gives Arkansas a true gamebreaker, who happens to direct this offense with every snap of the ball. Arkansas is only 1-2 ATS this year, and they were nearly beaten last week on the road against Georgia. Without question, this Razorbacks team was looking ahead to today. Last year, Arkansas was beaten 35-7 SU by Alabama. Defensively, the Razorbacks are going to have to be able to stop the Crimson Tide rushing attack. The Razorbacks are only allowing 11.3 PPG this season, the 5th fewest in the nation.

Razorbacks are 4-0 ATS last 4 games as a home underdog.
Over is 11-2 last 13 games in September.

Key Injuries - RB Dennis Johnson (lower body) is questionable.

Projected Score: 24 (SIDE of the Day)

Stanford Cardinal AT Notre Dame Fighting Irish [NBC | 3:30 PM ET]

CARDINAL: (-4.5, O/U 58.5) Stanford has been arguably one of the 5 most impressive teams in the nation this year. The Cardinal have dominated their opponents this year, averaging over 50 PPG so far this season. Stanford has plenty at stake today on the road against Notre Dame, as they look to win in Notre Dame for the first time in 18 years. Also at stake is the first 4-0 SU start to a year since 1986. Lastly, Stanford has never won back to back games against the Fighting Irish. This Cardinal team appears to be just the team to rewrite history, as they are extremely. Coach Harbaugh gets the most he possibly can out of his players, a perfect winning combination. QB Andrew Luck is one of the best quarterbacks in the country, and he leads an offense that is averaging 51.7 PPG, the 3rd most in the nation. Luck had 4 TD's in his last game, a 68-24 SU win over Wake Forest. The Cardinal defense has played well this season too, allowing only 13.7 PPG, the 16th fewest in all of FBS play. Stanford will be playing their final non-conference game today, as they have national powerhouse Oregon next up on their schedule.

Cardinal's are 7-3 ATS last 10 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Over is 4-0 last 4 non-conference games.

Key Injuries - DL Trent Murphy (leg) is questionable.

Projected Score: 34 (OVER-Total of the Day)

FIGHTING IRISH: Notre Dame is 1-2 both SU and on the RL respectively this season. The Fighting Irish have played 3 heart wrenching games, so Coach Kelly much be questioning why he came to Notre Dame in the first place. Clearly the Fighting Irish are better than they were last year, as this team is at least competitive game in and game out. Notre Dame has a very good passing offense, but don't do anything else particularly well. QB Dayne Crist is a very underrated QB, and he leads a passing game that is averaging 318.3 PPG, the 8th best in FBS play. Unfortunately, the Fighting Irish struggle to run the ball so inevitably they become too one dimensional. Notre Dame struggles the most on the defensive side of the ball, as they simply can't stop well balanced offenses. The Fighting Irish are allowing opponents to score 24.7 PPG, not nearly good enough for a team with the expectations that the Fighting Irish have. Against Stanford, Notre Dame is going to have to step up defensively and play their best game of the year.

Fighting Irish are 4-9 ATS last 13 non-conference games.
Over is 5-2 last 7 games following a S.U. loss.

Key Injuries - S Jamoris Slaughter (ankle) is probable.

Projected Score: 31

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**Udog** · 09-25-2010, 09:16 AM

NCAAF

Saturday, September 25

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What Bettors Need to Know: Oregon St. at Boise St.
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Oregon State Beavers at Boise State Broncos (-18.5, 56)

The No. 24 Beavers are 18.5-point underdogs in Saturday night’s game at No. 3 Boise State.

Move over DiMaggio

Boise State has a 56-game regular season winning streak intact at Bronco Stadium. The Broncos haven't lost at home since Washington State beat them, 42-20, on September 8, 2001.

In addition to its 56-game home streak, Boise State also brings a 27-game regular season win streak into Saturday’s fray.

Much like Jim Babgy Jr., the Cleveland Indians hurler who halted Joe DiMaggio’s 56-game hitting streak, OSU head coach Mike Riley was a streak-buster in his own right when his Beavers stopped USC in their tracks at Reser Stadium in 2006.

The Trojans had won 27 straight Pac-10 games and 38 straight regular season contests before Oregon State upended them, 33-31, as a 10.5-point underdog.

Duck dilemma

With Boise State at No. 3 and Oregon at No. 5 in the nation, and both teams without especially strong schedules to boost those rankings, one would think Ducks fans should root for Oregon State to beat the Broncos Saturday.

Or should they? Jerry Palm, longtime college basketball and football rankings guru, doesn’t think so.

“I don’t think the Broncos will finish ahead of any major undefeated team at the end of the season, regardless of where they are ranked currently,” Palm said. “If Oregon finishes 12-0, they’ll eventually jump Boise State. So Ducks fans need not be conflicted - root freely against the Beavers.”

Of course, Oregon (which must finish at least second in the BCS standings to reach the national title game) also must worry about the teams on its heels. But with six teams in the Top 25, the Southeastern Conference is “more likely than the others” to leapfrog the Ducks, Palm said.

Rain gauge

An economics professor has discovered an unlikely measure of a college football team: its rain gauge.

It seems Daniel Kuester, director of undergraduate studies in economics at Kansas State, grouped teams by climates that received more than 32 inches of precipitation per year (humid) and those that received less than that (arid). Kuester then analyzed seven years of results against the pointspread of games between the groups.

In most cases the home team covered the spread 49.8 percent to 50.7 percent of the time, just as one would predict. But when an arid-climate team hosted a humid-climate team, the arid team covered nearly 57 percent of the time.

That could mean trouble for both Oregon and Oregon State tonight. Both teams travel to the relatively dry climes of Boise State and bone-dry Arizona State, respectively.

So why do dry climate teams fare better at home than their wet weather foes?

"The idea might be that the hydration issues come into effect," Kuester said.

As for Saturday's games, Kuester said, "The data might suggest that Arizona State's a little undervalued. But just from what I've seen, I'm a little more impressed with Oregon."

Kuester is in the process of expanding his study from seven years to 20.

Do not adjust your television

Saturday's home opener has been designated as the Tri-Color Home Opener, with fans encouraged to wear an alternating mix of blue, orange and white depending on stadium sections.

In addition, the Broncos have installed a new blue turf this season.

Meanwhile, ESPN College GameDay will broadcast its show live from Boise.

ESPN says the attendance record for ESPN College GameDay is 15,800 at Nebraska, when the Huskers were played Notre Dame in 2001.

Boise State fans have been challenged to break it. Our bet is they smash it.

Practice like a winner

At least the OSU players won’t be shocked at the color of the turf when they walk into Bronco Stadium on Saturday. That’s because they will have seen it before.

According to Paul Buker of the Oregonian, Prothro Field, the Beavers’ practice facility, was painted blue in preparation for Saturday’s contest.

The question is will it help?

“I wish,” said Riley.

Boise State head coach Chris Petersen had another reaction.

"Perfect. We've got them right where we want them if they're painting their field,” he said.

Statwise

• At first glance a 17-point spread appears inordinate for a WAC team to be favored over a Pac-10 squad. And it is.

Since 1980 WAC teams stand 54-145-1 straight up against teams from the Pac-10, including 12-19 ATS when favored.

Of the 31 WAC teams that were installed as the favorite, 10 of them managed to win the game by 17 or more points.

The largest degree of WAC favoritism over the Pac-10 occurred during the final game of the 2008 season when Hawaii laid 28-points at home against hapless Washington State. The Warriors won, 24-10.

• Oregon State is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games as an underdog, but just 3-2 outside the conference.

• Boise State is 15-0 straight up and 14-1 ATS at home laying less than 23 points when playing off a straight-up and ATS win.

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**Udog** · 09-25-2010, 09:21 AM

NCAAF

Saturday, September 25

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Game of the day: Alabama at Arkansas
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Alabama Crimson Tide at Arkansas Razorbacks (+7, 56)

Undefeated Arkansas hosts top-ranked Alabama for the first Top-10 matchup in Fayetteville in more than 30 years. The winner will undoubtedly be in the driver’s seat to capture the SEC West division.

In the minds of many bettors, the Razorbacks have the luxury of being a substantial underdog at home. However, there are several reasons why Alabama has been one of the best in college football the past two-plus years, including having little trouble playing on the road.

Line movement

Alabama opened as a 7-point favorite. The spread momentarily jumped to 7.5 before settling back to 7, where it has remained for several days.

Expecting a shootout, two-thirds of the public has sided with the over and it certainly showed early on. The total opened at 49, quickly jumped all the way up to 55.5 and is currently at 56.

Significant injuries

Arkansas DT Zach Stadther is questionable for the game because of an undisclosed injury. After making 16 starts and 99 tackles in 2008 and 2009 combined, Stadther has yet to make an appearance for the Razorbacks this year.

Alabama has no significant injuries or suspensions.

Movin’ on up

If one thing stands out concerning Arkansas this season compared to the previous two, it’s the Hogs’ fundamentally sound defense.

In the first two seasons under head coach Bobby Petrino, the Razorbacks allowed an average of 28 points and 389 total yards per game. This year, Arkansas has held two of three opponents to a touchdown or less and under 200 total yards. Georgia might have gained nearly 400 yards on the Hogs, but the Bulldogs could only muster 24 points.

Last season against Alabama, the Razorbacks trailed just 14-7 several minutes into the third quarter. Then, their defense completely collapsed, allowing three consecutive touchdown drives in an eventual 35-7 pummeling.

Obscure but lethal

All of the attention surrounds running backs Mark Ingram and Trent Richardson but the most dangerous player on Alabama’s potent offense may very well be unsung quarterback Greg McElroy.

McElroy’s best game last season was against Arkansas when he completed more than 70 percent of his passes for almost 300 yards and three touchdowns.

"(McElroy) knows how to make big plays," said Petrino "He executes their offense exactly the way they want him to."

If Arkansas decides to primarily focus on the Tide’s rushing attack, although the Hogs’ defense has improved, McElroy could have his second banner day against Arkansas in as many games.

Key matchup

The two primary differences in Ryan Mallett this season compared to last are that he has significantly matured, as evident by his spectacular performance last week in Athens after a season of sub-par play on the road and he rarely gets pressured.

Mallett has been sacked only twice in three games while Alabama’s defense has registered just two sacks in three contests. Regardless, Mallet’s superb protection apparently won’t faze the Crimson Tide. In fact, they are looking forward to the challenge.

"Right now, we're licking our chops," Alabama linebacker Jerrell Harris told reporters. "We're ready to play and show the world what we can do…"

If the Crimson Tide cannot apply pressure to Mallett, armed with arguably the best receiving corps in college football, the Heisman candidate could pick apart a young and inexperienced Alabama secondary.

Trends

Since the start of the 2008 season, Alabama is 7-1 ATS as an away favorite.

In its last 4 games as a home dog, Arkansas is 4-0 ATS, including winning outright the last three - Tulsa and LSU in 2008, Auburn in 2009.

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**Udog** · 09-25-2010, 09:30 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel - Sat. POD

Alabama at Arkansas
The Crimson Tide look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games as a road favorite. Alabama is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Crimson Tide favored by 14. Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-7).

Announcement

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 4 (9/23 - 9/25)

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 4 (9/23 - 9/25)

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