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NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 2 (9/19 - 9/20)

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  • NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 2 (9/19 - 9/20)





    NFL Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, September 19 - Monday, September 20

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    NFL
    Long Sheet



    Week 2

    This report seems incomplete, especially in the "top trends" sections. If they update, I'll add the info.

    Sunday, September 19

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    KANSAS CITY (0 - 0) at CLEVELAND (0 - 0) - 9/19/2010, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    BUFFALO (0 - 0) at GREEN BAY (0 - 0) - 9/19/2010, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GREEN BAY is 126-94 ATS (+22.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    BALTIMORE (0 - 0) at CINCINNATI (0 - 0) - 9/19/2010, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CINCINNATI is 2-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
    CINCINNATI is 2-2 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    PITTSBURGH (0 - 0) at TENNESSEE (0 - 0) - 9/19/2010, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PITTSBURGH is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
    TENNESSEE is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TENNESSEE is 2-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
    TENNESSEE is 1-1 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    PHILADELPHIA (0 - 0) at DETROIT (0 - 0) - 9/19/2010, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 136-95 ATS (+31.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
    PHILADELPHIA is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) against NFC North division opponents since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    CHICAGO (0 - 0) at DALLAS (0 - 0) - 9/19/2010, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
    DALLAS is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games against NFC North division opponents since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    TAMPA BAY (0 - 0) at CAROLINA (0 - 0) - 9/19/2010, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CAROLINA is 3-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    ARIZONA (0 - 0) at ATLANTA (0 - 0) - 9/19/2010, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MIAMI (0 - 0) at MINNESOTA (0 - 0) - 9/19/2010, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    ST LOUIS (0 - 0) at OAKLAND (0 - 0) - 9/19/2010, 4:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ST LOUIS is 105-140 ATS (-49.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
    ST LOUIS is 105-140 ATS (-49.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    ST LOUIS is 49-74 ATS (-32.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
    ST LOUIS is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
    ST LOUIS is 82-111 ATS (-40.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    ST LOUIS is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
    ST LOUIS is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in September games since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    SEATTLE (0 - 0) at DENVER (0 - 0) - 9/19/2010, 4:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SEATTLE is 46-72 ATS (-33.2 Units) off a division game since 1992.
    SEATTLE is 18-38 ATS (-23.8 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
    DENVER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    HOUSTON (0 - 0) at WASHINGTON (0 - 0) - 9/19/2010, 4:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    JACKSONVILLE (0 - 0) at SAN DIEGO (0 - 0) - 9/19/2010, 4:15 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    NEW ENGLAND (0 - 0) at NY JETS (0 - 0) - 9/19/2010, 4:15 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY JETS is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
    NY JETS is 2-2 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NY GIANTS (0 - 0) at INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 0) - 9/19/2010, 8:20 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    Monday, September 20

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    NEW ORLEANS (0 - 0) at SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 0) - 9/20/2010, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing on Monday night since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
    0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Comment


    • #3
      NFL
      Short Sheet



      Week 2

      Sunday, 9/19/2010

      KANSAS CITY at CLEVELAND, 1:00 PM ET

      KANSAS CITY: n/a
      CLEVELAND: 8-0 Under off a non-conference game

      BUFFALO at GREEN BAY, 1:00 PM ET
      BUFFALO: 6-0 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points
      GREEN BAY: 30-15 Over as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points

      BALTIMORE at CINCINNATI, 1:00 PM ET
      BALTIMORE: n/a
      CINCINNATI: 2-9 ATS if trailed last game by 21+ pts at the half

      PITTSBURGH at TENNESSEE, 1:00 PM ET
      PITTSBURGH: 57-37 ATS as an underdog
      TENNESSEE: 12-25 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points

      PHILADELPHIA at DETROIT, 1:00 PM ET
      PHILADELPHIA: 13-3 Over off an Under
      DETROIT: 3-11 ATS off road loss

      CHICAGO at DALLAS, 1:00 PM ET
      CHICAGO: 1-5 ATS off division win
      DALLAS: 35-18 ATS after scoring 3 pts or less in the first half last game

      TAMPA BAY at CAROLINA, 1:00 PM ET
      TAMPA BAY: 28-8 Under 1st 2 wks of season
      CAROLINA: 8-2 Under at home vs. Tampa Bay

      ARIZONA at ATLANTA, 1:00 PM ET
      ARIZONA: 12-6 Over as an underdog
      ATLANTA: 10-2 ATS off SU loss

      MIAMI at MINNESOTA, 1:00 PM ET
      MIAMI: 9-1 ATS Away off SU win
      MINNESOTA: 13-3 Under at home 1st 2 wks of season

      ST. LOUIS at OAKLAND, 4:05 PM ET
      ST LOUIS: 1-8 ATS 1st month of season
      OAKLAND: 6-1 ATS after allowing 30+ points

      SEATTLE at DENVER, 4:05 PM ET
      SEATTLE: 1-13 ATS off division win by 21+ points
      DENVER: 1-10 ATS as home favorite

      HOUSTON at WASHINGTON, 4:15 PM ET
      HOUSTON: 2-10 ATS off SU win as home dog
      WASHINGTON: 6-0 Under off win by 6pts or less

      JACKSONVILLE at SAN DIEGO, 4:15 PM ET
      JACKSONVILLE: 1-8 ATS off ATS win
      SAN DIEGO: 14-3 ATS vs. AFC South

      NEW ENGLAND at NY JETS, 4:15 PM ET
      NEW ENGLAND: n/a
      NY JETS: n/a

      NY GIANTS at INDIANAPOLIS, 8:30 PM ET NBC
      NY GIANTS: 12-4 Over in all games
      INDIANAPOLIS: 30-13 Over off SU loss as favorite

      Monday, 9/20/2010

      NEW ORLEANS at SAN FRANCISCO, 8:30 PM ET ESPN

      NEW ORLEANS: 82-55 Over off home game
      SAN FRANCISCO: 22-9 ATS on Monday night

      ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

      Comment


      • #4
        NFL


        Week 2

        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Sunday, September 19

        1:00 PM
        TAMPA BAY vs. CAROLINA
        Tampa Bay is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Carolina
        Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Carolina
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
        Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

        1:00 PM
        PITTSBURGH vs. TENNESSEE
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
        Pittsburgh is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games at home

        1:00 PM
        ARIZONA vs. ATLANTA
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
        Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games

        1:00 PM
        MIAMI vs. MINNESOTA
        The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 14 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
        Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

        1:00 PM
        PHILADELPHIA vs. DETROIT
        Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
        Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
        Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
        Detroit is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games at home

        1:00 PM
        BUFFALO vs. GREEN BAY
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
        Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 14 of Green Bay's last 21 games at home

        1:00 PM
        BALTIMORE vs. CINCINNATI
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
        Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
        Cincinnati is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
        Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

        1:00 PM
        KANSAS CITY vs. CLEVELAND
        Kansas City is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games
        Kansas City is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games on the road
        Cleveland is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home

        1:00 PM
        CHICAGO vs. DALLAS
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games
        Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
        Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
        Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago

        4:05 PM
        ST. LOUIS vs. OAKLAND
        St. Louis is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
        St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
        Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Oakland is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home

        4:05 PM
        SEATTLE vs. DENVER
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
        Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Denver's last 14 games at home
        Denver is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Seattle

        4:15 PM
        NEW ENGLAND vs. NY JETS
        New England is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        New England is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games on the road
        NY Jets are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against New England
        NY Jets are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games at home

        4:15 PM
        JACKSONVILLE vs. SAN DIEGO
        Jacksonville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 8 games
        San Diego is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
        San Diego is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games

        4:15 PM
        HOUSTON vs. WASHINGTON
        Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
        Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games

        8:20 PM
        NY GIANTS vs. INDIANAPOLIS
        NY Giants are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Giants last 5 games
        Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 8 games


        Monday, September 20

        8:30 PM
        NEW ORLEANS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
        New Orleans is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
        San Francisco is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
        San Francisco is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NFL
          Write-Up



          NFL Week 2 analysis

          Chiefs (1-0) @ Browns (0-1)-- Former Cleveland coach Crennel returns here as DC of KC team that stunned San Diego late Monday night; Browns are 1-10 in first home game of year, losing last five (four losses by 14+ points). Chiefs are 1-7-1 in last nine visits here, with only win 40-39 in '02. Browns led 14-3 in Tampa last week, but Delhomme threw lame INT and Cleveland didn't get close to scoring again in tough 17-14 loss. Browns are 12-7 as home favorite since '04. Chiefs are 14-9 as road dogs since '07. Under is 4-1 in last five Chief road openers, 7-3 in Browns' last ten home openers.

          Bills (0-1) @ Packers (1-0)-- Green Bay better not peak ahead to Monday nighter at division rival Bears next week; they've won last three home openers, but by just 3-5-6 points. Packers are 3-6 vs spread last nine times they were favored in home opener. Pack is 5-1 as double digit favorite since '02; Bills are 5-6 as double digit dog since '01. Buffalo held Miami to 4.4 yards/pass in home loss last week, but had only 9 first downs. Bills are 20-17 as a road dog since '04, but 8-12 as road dog in non-division games since '05. Packers are 12-9-1 as home fave since '06. Five of last six Buffalo road openers stayed under.

          Ravens (1-0) @ Bengals (0-1)-- Short week for Baltimore after tough 10-9 win Monday night; Ravens are 3-8 in last 11 series games, losing four of last five visits here. Average total in last five series games, 29.4. Baltimore won 70% of 3rd down plays in Swamp Monday, holding Jets to 6 first downs. Ravens are 7-10 as single digit favorite since '07. Cincy is 10-2-1 vs spread as dog of 3 or less points since '05. There were 11 TD drives of 80+ yards in Week 11 and Bengals gave up two of them, allowing 7.4 yards/pass attempt. Under is 5-2 in Bengals' last seven home openers.

          Steelers (0-1) @ Titans (1-0)-- Road start for 3rd-string QB Dixon; Steelers are 1-7 in last eight road openers that weren't in Week 1. Pitt lost seven of its last eight visits here, allowing 31.7 ppg in losing last three, in series where home side won five of last six, with nine of last 11 totals 41+. Titans are 8-5 as home favorite last two years; Steelers are 13-5 as road underdog since '04, 5-1 last two years. Tennessee is 3-7 vs spread last 10 times they were favored in home opener. Titans ran ball for 205 yards last week; Steelers held Atlanta to only 58 rushing yards in OT, where only TD scored came in OT. Four of Pitt's last five road openers stayed under total (scored 0-14-10 last three).

          Eagles (0-1) @ Lions (0-1)-- Detroit starts backup QB Hill (9-19/88 last week in Chicago); not sure if Kolb/Vick gets start for Eagles, but either is better than Hill. Lions were outgained 463-168 by Bears, but forced 4 turnovers and still almost won, despite losing field position battle by 17 yards- they held Bears to two FGs on four drives Chicago moved into Detroit's red zone. Philly won last five series games by average score of 38-19; Eagles are 15-7 vs spread in last 22 road openers, 7-3 the last 10 times they were favored. Under is 5-2 in Eagles' last seven road openers, 4-1 in Lions' last five.

          Bears (1-0) @ Cowboys (0-1)-- Chicago lost last three visits here by 13-24-14 points; last win here was '86. Bears racked up 463 yards last week, averaged a league-high 9.3 yards/pass attempt, but in typical Martz fashion, turned ball over four times and needed sketchy replay reversal to beat lowly Lions. Dallas outgained Washington by 130 yards but lost after giving up defensive TD on last play of first half and having winning TD on last play of game negated by a penalty. Chicago's last six road openers stayed under total, with Bears givimg up 14 or less points in five of the six games. Last three Dallas home openers went over the total, with Pokes scoring 45-41-31 points.

          Bucs (1-0) @ Panthers (0-1)-- Not sure if Moore/Clausen gets not at QB for Carolina squad that is 1-5 in last six home openers (0-6 vs spread); Panthers are 3-10 in last 13 home openers, with wins by 3-1-3 points- they're 0-9 as a favorite in home openers. Tampa Bay is 3-11 in last 14 series games, losing last three by average score of 27-17; Bucs lost five of last seven visits here, with last four losses here all by 10+ points. Tampa Bay is 16-21-1 as dog on road since '04. Carolina is 7-4-2 in last 13 games as home fave. Under is 13-4 in Bucs' last 17 road openers, 10-3-1 in Carolina's last 14 home openers.

          Cardinals (1-0) @ Falcons (0-1)-- Arizona snuck by Rams last week despite losing four of seven fumbles in sloppy effort, where Fitzgerald caught only 3 of 15 passes thrown his way. Home team won eight of last nine series games, with Redbirds losing four of last five visits here (won here in '08 playoffs). Falcons won five of last six home openers; they were outrushed 143-58 last week, not scoring a TD. Atlanta is 10-3-1 as home favorite since '07. Arizona is 12-24-1 as non-divisional road dog since 2002. Cardinal coach Whisenhunt went to college here, at Georgia Tech.

          Dolphins (1-0) @ Vikings (0-1)-- Home team won last six series games, with Fish losing last three visits here by 3-6-3 points. Vikings have three extra days to prep here after losing Thursday night opener; they were 6-2 as home dog in Favre's first year in purple- they're 20-15 as single digit fave since '05. Miami is 10-3 as road underdog last two years; they're 21-10-1 as non-divisional road dog since '02. Vikes are 5-2 in last seven home openers, with three of last four decided by 3 or less points- they're 3-6 vs spread last nine times they were a fave in home opener. 14 of last 20 Minnesota home openers stayed under.

          Rams (0-1) @ Raiders (0-1)-- St Louis lost last eight road openers, is 0-10 vs spread in last 10 road openers, getting outscored 90-6 in last three; Oakland is 0-10 vs spread as home fave since '06; they lost last five home openers, so not much to choose from here. Raiders gave up 205 rushing yards in 38-13 loss at Tennessee, giving up five TDs on 11 drives. Raiders' last three home openers went over total- they gave up 30.2 ppg in last five. Rams lost opener despite four takeaways last week; rookie QB Bradford showed promise in NFL debut, but still not sure OL can protect him enough for WRs to run longer routes.

          Seahawks (1-0) @ Broncos (0-1)-- Denver won last 10 home openers (7-2-1 vs spread), but Broncos are pathetic 4-19-1 as home fave since '06, 10-17-1 vs spread in games vs NFC teams since '03. Seattle is 8-19-1 as a road dog since '04, but under new coach Carroll, spanked favored 49ers last week, winning 19 of 26 third down plays, holding Niners to 49 rushing yards, 4.6 ypp. Denver is 11-3 in last 14 series games, with six of last seven totals 40+; Seahawks lost six of last seven visits here. Since '98, Seattle is 0-5 as an underdog in its road opener; 15 of its last 18 road openers stayed under the total.

          Texans (1-0) @ Redskins (1-0)-- In its franchise history, Houston is 1-4 as a road favorite, but after gashing Indy defense for 257 rushing yards in 34-24 win last week, they're favored on road to beat Redskin squad whose only TD was scored on fluke play by defense on last play of half. Redskins are 6-16-2 vs spread when playing AFC teams since '04. Texans are 6-9-2 vs spread in last 17 games as a favorite. Young Kyle Shanahan coordinated Houston offense for last four years before coming to DC to work for his dad. Six of Houston's last seven road openers went over the total.

          Jaguars (1-0) @ Chargers (0-1)-- Slow-starting Bolts (were 2-3 in four of last five years) lost rainy road opener Monday; Chargers are 2-5 in their last seven home openers, winning by 33-11 points (last four losses in home openers by 4-6-2-5 pts). Home side won all three series games, with Jags losing 34-21 in only visit here in '04; they're 5-8 as road underdog last two years, 2-6 in non-divisional games. Since '04, Chargers are 17-8-3 vs spread in game following a loss. Six of San Diego's last seven home openers went over total; five of Jags' last six road openers stayed under the total.

          Patriots (1-0) @ Jets (0-1)-- Patriots were 1-3-1 as road fave LY, after going 21-8 when giving points on the road five years before that. This is fifth year in row Pats' road opener is here; LY's 16-9 Jet win was their first in Patriots' last nine visits to Swamp. Short week for Jets about Monday debacle (1-11 on 3rd down, 6 first downs, 2.6 ypa); they're 4-9 vs spread in game following their last 13 regular season losses. Teams split last four meetings, after Patriots had been on 10-1 series run. There were 11 drives of 80+ yards in NFL last week and New England had two of them- they also had kick return for a TD.

          Giants (1-0) @ Colts (0-1)-- Manning Bowl II finds Indy scuffling after 34-24 loss in Houston, where they gave up 257 rushing yards and ran ball 10 times the whole game themselves (Peyton was 40-57/419 passing). Giants survived four turnovers by picking Moore off three times in end zone; they're 9-6 as a road dog since '06, 19-11 off a win since '07. Colts are just 5-10 as home fave last two years, but they've won six of last seven home openers. Giants scored an average of 34.8 ppg in winning three of last four road openers. Over is 9-1 in their last 10 road openers, with last six such games going over the total.

          Saints (1-0) @ 49ers (0-1)-- Major trap game for defending champs, who had extra three days to prep, while host Niners are smarting after 31-6 drilling by Seahawks in opener. Saints won last five games in series that used to be NFC West rivalry, but they're 3-9 in last 12 visits here (only one since '01). 49ers got inside Seattle 10-yard line on first three drives Sunday, kicked two FGs, then never came close to scoring again, converting 1-15 on 3rd down, gaining just 4.6 ypa. Saints are 10-5 as road favorite since '06; Niners are 5-7 as home underdog since '07. 49ers won four of their last five home openers.

          Comment


          • #6
            sweet cheers for the info

            Comment


            • #7
              Thanks, jimbob!

              I thought the Dunkel Index would be up by now. I just checked again and it's still showing last week.

              Good luck this week!

              Comment


              • #8
                NFL


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                NFL Total Bias: Week 2 over/under picks
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                You can scoff at your lady’s addiction to The Bachelor or anything that comes on that godforsaken Life Network. You can dismiss her TMZ obsession as trivial and embarrassing. You can even cut her up for trying to reason that a cozy evening on the couch with Dancing with the Stars makes for a great date night because, hey, there is dancing and athletes – perfect combo!

                But know this, gentlemen – we’re no better.

                Like it or not, we are all slaves to our own addiction, the vice that is the National Football League soap opera. From the Red Zone channel to each of your six fantasy leagues, it’s surprising you get anything done with your work week.

                Guy No. 1: So, did you hear that Randy Moss feels “underappreciated” again?

                Guy No. 2: Shut. Up. He is such a drama queen. You know he’s just jealous because Tom Brady likes Wes Welker better.

                Guy No. 1: Obvy! Oh, and Darrelle Revis called him a “slouch” too, so it’s no wonder he’s fussy.

                Guy No. 2: A what? Blammo!

                Guy No. 1: I know, right? He said it on TV and everything.

                Guy No. 2: Well, that’s it. This is just going to be the best week ever in the NFL.

                Guy No. 1: Yeah! Eli against Peyton on Sunday night, too! The Manning Bowl!

                Guy No. 2: Power rank me five stellar excuses to get me out of my grandmother’s 100th birthday. There’s no time to waste!

                Not that we’re at all to blame for this. The NFL has to have the best marketing team on the planet, making it impossible for us to get away from it. And bully for them. We embrace it, they get rich.

                Now, if only we could get those guys to lend a few brain cells to the rule-makers so we wouldn’t still be talking about Calvin Johnson’s catch/non-catch against the Bears last week.

                Ah, the drama. Drink it in, fellows. Before you know it we’ll all be crying through a mid-July Nats-Pirates matchup.

                Philadelphia Eagles at Detroit Lions (+6, 41.5)

                What do you get when you put two teams starting their backup quarterbacks? Hopefully an under, but it probably won’t be as simple as that when Mike Vick is the guy taking the snaps for the Eagles. He’ll give the Lions a lot to game plan for, though Detroit’s defensive line should be able to get in the backfield to make things interesting.

                Last week the Bears did everything they could to give the game away to Detroit after they knocked Matthew Stafford to the sidelines with a separated shoulder. Shaun Hill had two turnovers and went three-and-out five times after that.

                Pick: Under


                New England Patriots at New York Jets (+3, 38)


                Even if Darrelle Revis does have his way with Randy Moss on Sunday, I still don’t think that’s going to slow down Tom Brady. The Patriots completely picked apart the Cincinnati Bengals last week, and while the Bengals’ defense has nothing on New York’s, the Jets are going to feel the loss of Kris Jenkins on the line.

                New York’s secondary wasn’t challenged by the Ravens like it will against the Pats. Brady will get his one way or another, even if Revis is shutting off one side of the field. Meanwhile, the Pats have some issues on defense and the Jets’ attack can’t possibly be worse than it was last week.

                Pick: Over


                New York Giants at Indianapolis Colts (-5, 48)


                After Arian Foster came out of nowhere to gash the Colts for 231 yards on the ground, they got more bad news this week about safety Bob Sanders. The defense’s general will be out indefinitely after undergoing surgery on his right bicep. That means Peyton Manning is going to have to dial it up for the next little while or the Colts are going to get behind the eight-ball in a hurry.

                Eli had the Giants moving the ball against Carolina last week and ended up with three touchdowns and 263 yards to go along with three picks.

                No big brother likes losing to the baby of the family. This one’s going to be a slugfest.

                Pick: Over

                Last week: 1-2
                Season: 1-2



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                Comment


                • #9
                  NFL
                  Dunkel


                  Week 2


                  NY Giants at Indianapolis
                  The Colts look to bounce back from their loss in Week 1 and build on their 5-1-1 ATS record in their last 7 games versus teams with a winning record. Indianapolis is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Colts favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-4 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

                  SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 19

                  Game 207-208: Kansas City at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)

                  Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 125.301; Cleveland 130.260
                  Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 5; 41
                  Vegas Line: Cleveland by 2; 38 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-2); Over

                  Game 209-210: Buffalo at Green Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 127.497; Green Bay 138.190
                  Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 10 1/2; 40
                  Vegas Line: Green Bay by 13 1/2; 43
                  Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+13 1/2); Under

                  Game 211-212: Baltimore at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 136.687; Cincinnati 130.637
                  Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 6; 44
                  Vegas Line: Baltimore by 2; 40
                  Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-2); Over

                  Game 213-214: Pittsburgh at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 134.164; Tennessee 136.371
                  Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 2; 35
                  Vegas Line: Tennessee by 5 1/2; 37
                  Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+5 1/2); Under

                  Game 215-216: Philadelphia at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 129.449; Detroit 124.721
                  Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 4 1/2; 46
                  Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 7; 41 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+7); Over

                  Game 217-218: Chicago at Dallas (1:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 129.464; Dallas 136.542
                  Dunkel Line: Dallas by 7; 38
                  Vegas Line: Dallas by 8; 40 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+8); Under

                  Game 219-220: Tampa Bay at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 128.054; Carolina 130.959
                  Dunkel Line: Carolina by 3; 41
                  Vegas Line: Carolina by 3 1/2; 39
                  Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+3 1/2); Over

                  Game 221-222: Arizona at Atlanta (1:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 129.668; Atlanta 137.989
                  Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 8 1/2; 40
                  Vegas Line: Atlanta by 6 1/2; 43
                  Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-6 1/2); Under

                  Game 223-224: Miami at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Miami 132.811; Minnesota 141.101
                  Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 8 1/2; 36
                  Vegas Line: Minnesota by 5 1/2; 39
                  Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-5 1/2); Under

                  Game 225-226: St. Louis at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 119.248; Oakland 124.880
                  Dunkel Line: Oakland by 5 1/2; 42
                  Vegas Line: Oakland by 3; 37 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-3); Over

                  Game 227-228: Seattle at Denver (4:05 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 124.336; Denver 127.343
                  Dunkel Line: Denver by 3; 42
                  Vegas Line: Denver by 3 1/2; 40
                  Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+3 1/2); Over

                  Game 229-230: Houston at Washington (4:15 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Houston 137.885; Washington 131.681
                  Dunkel Line: Houston by 6; 41
                  Vegas Line: Houston by 3; 43 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: Houston (-3); Under

                  Game 231-232: Jacksonville at San Diego (4:15 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 129.696; San Diego 135.964
                  Dunkel Line: San Diego by 6 1/2; 49
                  Vegas Line: San Diego by 8; 45 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+8); Over

                  Game 233-234: New England at NY Jets (4:15 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: New England 139.333; NY Jets 135.044
                  Dunkel Line: New England by 4 1/2; 35
                  Vegas Line: New England by 3; 38 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: New England (-3); Under

                  Game 235-236: NY Giants at Indianapolis (8:20 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 134.515; Indianapolis 141.804
                  Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 7 1/2; 51
                  Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 4 1/2; 48
                  Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-4 1/2); Over


                  MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 20

                  Game 237-238: New Orleans at San Francisco (8:30 p.m. EST)

                  Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 141.546; San Francisco 133.730
                  Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 7; 41
                  Vegas Line: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 44
                  Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-5 1/2); Under

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    NFL


                    Sunday, September 19


                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    What Bettors Need to Know: Giants at Colts
                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    New York Giants at Indianapolis Colts (-5, 48.5)

                    The second installment of the Manning Bowl is set for primetime; the Giants and Colts will square off for the first time in four years on Sunday night.

                    Peyton got the best of Eli in September of 2006 and Indianapolis went on to win the Super Bowl that season. The Colts are looking for similar good fortune to regain some momentum following a 34-24 loss at Houston in Week 1. The Giants are bidding for a 2-0 start following a 31-18 home victory over Carolina.

                    LINE MOVEMENT

                    The line opened with the Colts as 5.5-point favorites at most betting sites and it has stayed consistent within a one-point range between 4.5 and 5.5 over the past week. The total opened at 47.5 and has slowly made its way up to 48.5.

                    INJURY REPORT

                    It’s early in the season but injuries could be major factor on Sunday night. The Giants are listing both defensive end Osi Umenyiora and wide receiver Hakeem Nicks as questionable. Umenyiora has had some minor knee swelling and Nicks, who caught three touchdowns last week, is dealing with an ankle problem. Coach Tom Coughlin says both players will be game-time decisions.

                    Maybe even more crucial to New York’s success—considering the prolific passing attack of its Week 2 opponent—is the availability of safety Aaron Ross, who missed the season opener with a foot injury. Ross, however, is listed as probable on the injury report and expected to play.

                    The news is not particularly good for the Colts. Safety Bob Sanders is out indefinitely with a bicep injury and wide receiver Anthony Gonzalez will miss Sunday’s game due to a high ankle sprain. Linebacker Gary Brackett (back) and defensive lineman Robert Mathis (ankle) are listed as questionable and sat out Friday’s practice, although they were able to practice earlier in the week.

                    NOT ON THE INJURY REPORT BUT....

                    SB Nation Indianapolis Colts blog Stampede Blue is reporting that a credible source tells them Peyton Manning’s neck is giving him some problems. The injury isn’t something that’s going to keep Manning off the field. He owns the longest consecutive start streak after Brett Favre, so you know the guy’s a gamer.

                    Manning isn’t on the injury report but he did have surgery on his neck this past offseason. We’re not in the habit of reporting rumors, but we’ve worked a bit with the operators of Stampede Blue and we thought it was worthwhile mentioning.

                    You can read the complete blog post on Manning’s injury here.

                    PRIOR ENGAGEMENTS

                    In Manning Bowl I on September 10, 2006, Peyton’s Colts went on the road and edged Eli’s Giants 26-21.

                    Eli finished with slightly more impressive stats (20-for-34, 247 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT), but his primary weapons back then—and in that game—were since-departed Tiki Barber, Plaxico Burress, and Jeremy Shockey.

                    Peyton went 25-for-41 for 276 yards with one touchdown and one interception. Indy’s rushing attack was non-existent in the game, but now-retired Marvin Harrison hauled in nine passes for 113 yards and Dallas Clark—still around—made the touchdown catch.

                    The Giants and Colts have met only twice in the last eight years and three times in the last 11 years. Interestingly, the road team is both 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in the past three meetings, which took place in 1999, 2002, and 2006.

                    GROUNDED

                    Something’s gotta give when an Indianapolis defense, that got torched by Arian Foster and the Texans, goes up against a New York rushing attack that failed to do much against Carolina.

                    Foster ran all over the Colts in Week 1, racking up 231 yards--the most ever against the Colts--and three touchdowns. For the Giants, Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs ran for a combined 120 yards, only eight of which came prior to a clock-eating second half. Take away two of those runs for a combined 61 yards and the numbers would have been ghastly.

                    “I think you'd have to certainly take that approach,” said Indianapolis coach Jim Caldwell when asked if he thought the Giants would try to exploit his team's run defense in the aftermath of Week 1. “If they look at the film they're certainly going to think, ‘We should be able to run the ball on these guys.’”

                    But New York knows that the Colts will be especially eager to get back on track. “After a week like that, we know they're going to concentrate more on the run than they probably ever did,” Jacobs explained. “You can't go out there sleeping on them and think that they're just going to lie down again and let you have your way with them.”

                    ALL IS FE-WELL ON DEFENSE

                    On the other side of the ball, the Giants were close to dominant last week against Carolina. They limited the Panthers to 89 rushing yards, forced three fumbles (recovering two), made three interceptions and knocked starting quarterback Matt Moore out of the game.

                    Not a bad debut for new defensive coordinator Perry Fewell.

                    “He's definitely an enthusiastic guy,” noted defensive end Mathias Kiwanuka. “A lot has been said about that. But his knowledge of the game, his love and his passion for it, it definitely bleeds into every part of this team, not just the defense.”

                    Fewell used aggressive packages when the Panthers were forced into passing situations, but New York will continue to emphasize stopping the run first.

                    “Everybody is hungry out there,” added tackle Barry Cofield. “We've got to stop the run and that's a sense of pride. Sacking the quarterback is like our dessert. It's like a treat.”

                    TRENDING TOPICS

                    Despite covering last week’s spread against the Panthers, New York is just 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games dating back to the 2009 season. Indianapolis 1-5 ATS in its last six games following an SU loss.

                    Both teams were solid on fieldturf last season. The Giants are 7-1 ATS in their past eight games on the surface and the Colts are 4-1-1 ATS in their past six.

                    The over is 6-0 in New York’s last six overall and 6-2 in Indianapolis’ last eight overall. The over is also 4-1-1 in New York’s last six road games.


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                    Comment


                    • #11
                      NFL


                      Sunday, September 19


                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      Tips and Trends
                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans [CBS | 1:00 PM ET]

                      STEELERS: Pittsburgh had a huge win in Week 1, arguably the most important win of any team in the NFL. The Steelers have stated how important it was for them to start the season no worse than 2-2 SU during the suspension of QB Ben Roethlisberger. The first step has been completed, as they beat the the Falcons at home 15-9 SU as the listed underdog. RB Rashard Mendenhall had the game winning TD, as he broke a few tackles and rushed 50 YDS to the promise land. Coach Mike Tomlin is likely to feature the running game even more in Tennessee, as QB Dennis Dixon will be making a tough road start. Unfortunately for the Steelers, the Titans have bottled up the their rushing game, limiting them to 109 YDS over their past 48 rushing attempts. Pittsburgh has also found the going tough in Tennessee, winning only once in their 7 games played in Tennessee. The Steelers are on the road again next week at Tampa Bay before heading home to face the Ravens before their Week 5 bye. Pittsburgh is 2-8-1 in their past 11 games played during Week 2 of the regular season.

                      Steelers are 3-7 ATS last 10 road games.
                      Over is 4-1 last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record.

                      Key Injuries - NT Casey Hampton (hamstring) is doubtful.

                      Projected Score: 13

                      TITANS: (-5.5, O/U 38) Tennessee is very happy to start off 1-0 SU this year, after their horrible start to last season. Tennessee is a talented team flying under the radar a bit this year, as they are only a few years removed from being a dominant team. QB Vince Young and Offensive Player of the Year RB Chris Johnson still feel they are dominant, and they are out to prove to everyone that fact. Johnson rushed for 142 YDS last week against the Raiders, helping them ultimately win 38-13 SU. Coach Fisher is likely to have a great gameplan for the Steelers, as he's personally seen great success against the Steelers at home. Fisher will have to put the ball in Young's hands more often today, as the Steelers defense has only allowed 3 100 yard rushers since 2006. The Titans have a chance to get to 2-0 SU without having to face QB Ben Roethlisberger. The Titans really need to win this game SU because 3 of their next 4 contests are on the road. Tennessee is 3-7 ATS in their past 10 Week 2 games.

                      Titans are 10-2 ATS last 12 games in September.
                      Over is 4-0 last 4 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

                      Key Injuries - LB David Thornton (hip) is out.

                      Projected Score: 20 (UNDER-Total of the Day)



                      New York Giants at Indianapolis Colts [NBC | 8:20 PM ET]

                      GIANTS: It's Manning vs. Manning, and NBS is the clear cut winner. QB Eli Manning gets a second chance at beating his brother QB Peyton Manning. The Giants lost the first Manning Bowl, 21-26 on September 10, 2006. New York is coming off a convincing 21-18 SU win over Carolina as -5.5 favorites in Week 1. The Giants were able to outgain the Panters by 131 YDS in their opener, with Manning leading the way. Manning threw for 263 YDS in Week 1, and had 3 TD passes to WR Hakeem Nicks. Nicks only had 4 catches in total in the opener, with 3 of them coming as TD's. Defensively, the Giants were dominant against Carolina as they forced 5 turnovers. They had 3 INT's alone, and will be excited to face a likely pass happy Peyton Manning offense tonight. Conerback Terrell Thomas had a dynamite game, deflecting 4 passes and catching an INT. New York is 3-0-1 in their past 4 September games overall. The Giants are also 7-1 in their past 8 games played on Fieldturf. After tonight's game in Indianapolis, the Giants have 3 of their next 4 games at home.

                      Giants are 23-8 ATS last 31 road games.
                      Over is 6-0 last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

                      Key Injuries - WR Hakeem Nicks (ankle) is probable.

                      Projected Score: 27 (SIDE of the Day)

                      COLTS: (-5.5, O/U 48) For a team that is used to winning in the regular season, losing a season opener can be shocking. For Indianapolis, it's as if the sky is falling on this team. The Colts lost 24-34 SU to the Texans as the listed favorite. Indianpolis was dominated at the line of scrimmage, both offensively and defensively. The Colts offensive line is in shambles, and it showed with QB Peyton Manning being harassed constantly against Houston. Defensively, the Colts allowed the Texans to run for a franchise record 257 YDS. Making matters worse for the Colts was the injury to star safety Bob Sanders. Sanders is a physical playmaker who is the heart and soul of this Colts defense. It appears now more than ever that age has caught up to to Indianapolis. The Colts are still dangerous though with Manning at the helm, as he threw for 433 YDS despite the poor play around him in the opener. Indianapolis hasn't started off the season 0-2 SU since 1998, Manning's rookie season. The Colts are 5-1-1 in their past 7 games against a team with a winning record. Indianapolis is also 5-2 ATS in their past 7 Week 2 games.

                      Colts are 1-5 ATS last 6 games following a SU loss.
                      Over is 6-2 last 8 games overall.

                      Key Injuries - T Ryan Diem (neck) is questionable.

                      Projected Score: 24


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                      Comment


                      • #12
                        NFL
                        Short Sheet



                        Update

                        KANSAS CITY at CLEVELAND, 1:00 PM ET
                        KANSAS CITY: 26-9 Under 1st 2 weeks of season
                        CLEVELAND: 8-0 Under off a non-conference game

                        BALTIMORE at CINCINNATI, 1:00 PM ET
                        BALTIMORE: 7-0 ATS in September
                        CINCINNATI: 2-9 ATS if trailed last game by 21+ pts at the half

                        NEW ENGLAND at NY JETS, 4:15 PM ET
                        NEW ENGLAND: 9-4 Under off home win
                        NY JETS: 12-3 ATS off Monday Night Game

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          NFL


                          Monday, September 20


                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          What Bettors Need to Know: Saints at 49ers
                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          New Orleans Saints at San Francisco 49ers (-5.5 , 44)

                          ODDS AND OUTS

                          The oddsmakers opened the Saints as a 4.5-point road favorite and the early money quickly came in on the favorite, pushing the line to -5.5. There is a chance the line will push higher on Monday night because 73 percent of the public is backing the Saints according to the Covers.com’s Consensus numbers.

                          There has been very little movement on the total as some sportsbooks opened at 44.5, while most opened at 44. About 70 percent of the Covers Consensus is on the over, so this number could move up before kickoff.

                          The weather conditions will not be an issue at Candlestick Park as the forecast is calling for clear conditions with a 69 degree temperature at kickoff and winds only around nine mph.

                          INJURY REPORT

                          San Francisco’s leading tackler from last season, LB Patrick Willis was limited in practice Friday because of knee and thumb injuries, but he is expected to play.

                          Defensive coordinator Greg Manusky was asked if the thumb was broken and replied, “No, I don't think it is. That would be news to me. He’s fine. He’ll be ready to go on Monday.”

                          Center Eric Heitmann (fibula), wide receiver Ted Ginn Jr. (knee), cornerback Will James (ankle), and right guard Chilo Rachal (stinger) did not participate in practice and are all listed as doubtful to play this week.

                          The long stretch between games has been positive for the Saints’ injury report. Only three players are listed as doubtful this week; tailback Chris Ivory (knee), offensive tackle Zach Strief (knee), and linebacker Anthony Waters (hamstring).

                          Linebacker Stanley Arnoux (ankle) practiced fully and is expected to return after being injured early in training camp. New Orleans is still without two other linebackers, Jonathan Casillas and Clint Ingram, plus free safety Darren Sharper who are on the injured list.

                          PRIMETIME SAINTS

                          New Orleans is no stranger to playing under the primetime lights. Monday night’s game in San Francisco will be the Saints’ fifth consecutive primetime game dating back to last year’s playoff run. Being in the spotlight of the cameras is a situation the Saints have grown accustomed to according to head coach Sean Payton.

                          "When you start to have success, part of what comes with it are the Thursday nights, the Thanksgiving Days, the Monday nights, the Monday nights on the road," Payton said. “It's really where you want to be, and yet you understand that there's a challenge with that."

                          THE OFFENSIVE 49ERS

                          San Francisco’s offensive execution and production in their season opener at Seattle was atrocious. The 49ers scored just 6 points on a pair of Joe Nedney field goals. They actually led that game against the Seahawks 6-0 before getting out-scored by 31 points the rest of the way to lose 31-6.

                          Quarterback Alex Smith played a terrible game as he completed just 26 of his 45 passes for 225 yards and two interceptions. The 49ers had just 49 rushing yards and they converted on just six percent (1-15) of their third downs and they also went 0-3 inside the red zone.

                          CALL AN EXTERMINATOR

                          San Francisco was blasted in the media following the anemic offensive performance in Seattle, and head coach Mike Singletary went nuts after being questioned about a Yahoo! story that said there was dissention between the offensive coaches. Singletary said there is a “rat” and “coward” in the 49ers locker room as the online story quoted an unnamed source.

                          “One thing that I want to teach our guys is to be men. If there's something that you have to say, go say it, and say that you said it," Singletary said. “But don't go say a bunch of stuff (without attribution). To me, that's a rat, that's a coward. I don't want to spend my time trying to find a rat. In time, the smell will come."


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                          Comment


                          • #14
                            NFL


                            Monday, September 20


                            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            Tips and Trends
                            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            New Orleans Saints at San Francisco 49ers [ESPN | 8:35 PM ET]

                            SAINTS: (-4.5, O/U 44) New Orleans has had plenty of time to enjoy their season opening win against the Vikings, 14-9 SU. New Orleans won their Week 1 game on 9/9, 11 days ago. Will the Drew Brees offense come out rusty, or will the time off help this team get firing on all cylinders? New Orleans has never started off a season 2-0 SU, yet can do just that tonight with a win in front of a national audience. The time away has been good for the Saints according to Coach Payton, as they've been able to work on their offense. In their win opening win against the Vikings, the 14 PTS represents the fewest amount of PTS the Saints have had in victory under Payton. Brees connected on 75% of his passes in Week 1, the Saints simply struggled in the red zone. Brees has never lost to the 49ers, going 4-0 SU with 1,221 YDS and 10 TD's lifetime. Lost in their Super Bowl run was how great this Saints defense is. Time and time again the defense stepped up in the most opportunistic of times, and they only allowed the Vikings 9 PTS in Week 1. The Saints are only 3-9 ATS in their past 12 NFC games overall.

                            Saints are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
                            Over is 4-1 in Saints last 5 Monday games.

                            Key Injuries - S Darren Sharper (knee) is out.

                            Projected Score: 30 (OVER-Total of the Day)

                            49ERS: San Francisco went from the penthouse to the outhouse in 1 single game. The chic pick to due damage in the NFC this year, the 49ers are now trying to regroup after losing to Seattle 6-31 SU as a 3 point favorite. Making matters worse is the fact that there is reported turmoil in the San Francisco locker room. Coach Mike Singletary needs to rally his team quickly, as they now face the defending Super Bowl champion Saints tonight. San Francisco didn't have a single TD, and QB Alex Smith is again facing adversity. To beat the Saints tonight, San Francisco will have to run the ball well. In week 1, the 49ers only had 49 rushing yards. RB Frank Gore is going to have to rush for at least 100 YDS tonight and run the ball effectively to keep the high powered Saints offense off the field. As noted below, San Francisco has been dominant on Monday Night, going 16-5 ATS in their past 21 Monday Night games. The 49ers have only lost twice ATS in their past 12 games against a team with a winning record.

                            49ers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 Monday games.
                            Under is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 games following a S.U. loss.

                            Key Injuries - LB Manny Lawson (ribs) is probable.

                            Projected Score: 24


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