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CFB (Week 1)
CFB Plays will be Rated in a 2*-5* System. I will try to give a little insight with each pick but when I am pressed for time, I will have to skip the write-up. I will add games as I cap them throughout the weekend and spreads will be at time of posting and wagering. They are subject to change by the time you may see them. I will remove write-ups the day after games to shorten up the post!
Thursday (2-1) +4.80
4* "OVER" (47) Marshall/Ohio St (7:30 PM)
2* Southern Miss +14 (7:35 PM)
3* Minnesota -1 (7:35 PM)
4* Utah -3 (8:35 PM)
Friday
Pass
Saturday
5* "10 PT." Teaser = Mich St (-13.5) - Mizzou (-2) - LSU (Pk) ---> -120
These games kickoff at 12, 12:30 & 8 PM. They are 3 teams that i just love on a 10 pointer today. Michigan St has a ton of talent coming back including QB Cousins. You have 9 starters back on both sides of the ball and that includes All American LB Greg Jones. W. Michigan will be trying to replace their record setting QB Hiller and it won't come easy. The Spartans are (8-2) Ats when favored by 20 or more at home against the MAC and the Broncs are (2-7) Ats in their last 9 on the road and (0-4) Ats in their last 4 openers. Look for State to rebound from their dismal multiple suspended player Bowl game with a statement here. Even with Hiller last year, the Broncs trailed 35-0 at the half at State and it could be similiar this season with another cupcake in Florida Atlantic on deck for the Spartans. Look for them to be focused here. Missouri returns almost double digit starters on both sides of the ball and that includes a very good QB in Gabbert. RB Washington is suspended for this one but with all their weapons on offense and a experienced defense,, the Tigers should pull away from a Illini team that only returns 5 on offense. They lost their starting QB and their top WR Benn to the draft. Illinois is in a rebuilding mode (again) and they are (0-5) SU & Ats versus Mizzou coach Gary Pinkel. Game 3 is LSU. I was going to play them straight but the line has jumped to an absurd 10 points now when they were a dog just a few days ago. There are a ton of suspensions for UNC and i just can't see them winning this game now. I'm not willing to lay DD but a Pk? ... Sure. One suspension or two and maybe UNC overcomes it but 9? 10?? I just don't see it with such limited time for the replacements to get up to speed!
3* Purdue +11 (3:35 PM)
There is a ton of hype surrounding new HC Brian Kelly at Notre Dame. I'm just not sure how much he can get done with the players he has right now. I think the line is inflated due to the Kelly factor and the public buying in to the Kelly hype right now. The Irish have 1st year starter QB Dayne Crist under center and he is trying to learn a new system while also recovering from ACL surgery. The Irish went (1-8) Ats last season as a favorite and this Senior class is (16-21) over the last 3 seasons. No matter how good Kellly is, does he have the talent right now to work with? Purdue starts a new QB this year too and i really like him. A transfer from Miami, QB Robert Marve has played on the big stage before and he brings experience with him to this game. He is a very mobile QB with a strong arm and he should do just enough with a solid group of WR's returning to frustrate the Irish all day. This one could go right down to the wire. Notre Dame 27 Purdue 26
3* Connecticut +3 (3:35 PM)
The Huskies return a ton of talent and they are truly a Dog that bites often. They were (6-0) Ats on the road last season and (5-0) Ats as a Dog away from home. Coach Edsall is (7-0) Ats in Game One and (24-11) Ats away versus non-Big Easters (including 17-6 the past eight years). The Huskies lost 5 games last year and not one by more than 4 points (15 points combined in 5 losses). The Wolverines are only (2-6) Ats when favored by less than 20 the week before the Notre Dame game and Michigan’s only covers as home favorites during the Rodriguez’ tenure (2 Years) have been against Eastern Michigan and Western Michigan of the MAC. Until the Wolverines show me something, they have shown me nothing! Connecticut 27 Michigan 23
More To Come ....................
GOOD LUCK!
CFB Plays will be Rated in a 2*-5* System. I will try to give a little insight with each pick but when I am pressed for time, I will have to skip the write-up. I will add games as I cap them throughout the weekend and spreads will be at time of posting and wagering. They are subject to change by the time you may see them. I will remove write-ups the day after games to shorten up the post!
Thursday (2-1) +4.80
4* "OVER" (47) Marshall/Ohio St (7:30 PM)
2* Southern Miss +14 (7:35 PM)
3* Minnesota -1 (7:35 PM)
4* Utah -3 (8:35 PM)
Friday
Pass
Saturday
5* "10 PT." Teaser = Mich St (-13.5) - Mizzou (-2) - LSU (Pk) ---> -120
These games kickoff at 12, 12:30 & 8 PM. They are 3 teams that i just love on a 10 pointer today. Michigan St has a ton of talent coming back including QB Cousins. You have 9 starters back on both sides of the ball and that includes All American LB Greg Jones. W. Michigan will be trying to replace their record setting QB Hiller and it won't come easy. The Spartans are (8-2) Ats when favored by 20 or more at home against the MAC and the Broncs are (2-7) Ats in their last 9 on the road and (0-4) Ats in their last 4 openers. Look for State to rebound from their dismal multiple suspended player Bowl game with a statement here. Even with Hiller last year, the Broncs trailed 35-0 at the half at State and it could be similiar this season with another cupcake in Florida Atlantic on deck for the Spartans. Look for them to be focused here. Missouri returns almost double digit starters on both sides of the ball and that includes a very good QB in Gabbert. RB Washington is suspended for this one but with all their weapons on offense and a experienced defense,, the Tigers should pull away from a Illini team that only returns 5 on offense. They lost their starting QB and their top WR Benn to the draft. Illinois is in a rebuilding mode (again) and they are (0-5) SU & Ats versus Mizzou coach Gary Pinkel. Game 3 is LSU. I was going to play them straight but the line has jumped to an absurd 10 points now when they were a dog just a few days ago. There are a ton of suspensions for UNC and i just can't see them winning this game now. I'm not willing to lay DD but a Pk? ... Sure. One suspension or two and maybe UNC overcomes it but 9? 10?? I just don't see it with such limited time for the replacements to get up to speed!
3* Purdue +11 (3:35 PM)
There is a ton of hype surrounding new HC Brian Kelly at Notre Dame. I'm just not sure how much he can get done with the players he has right now. I think the line is inflated due to the Kelly factor and the public buying in to the Kelly hype right now. The Irish have 1st year starter QB Dayne Crist under center and he is trying to learn a new system while also recovering from ACL surgery. The Irish went (1-8) Ats last season as a favorite and this Senior class is (16-21) over the last 3 seasons. No matter how good Kellly is, does he have the talent right now to work with? Purdue starts a new QB this year too and i really like him. A transfer from Miami, QB Robert Marve has played on the big stage before and he brings experience with him to this game. He is a very mobile QB with a strong arm and he should do just enough with a solid group of WR's returning to frustrate the Irish all day. This one could go right down to the wire. Notre Dame 27 Purdue 26
3* Connecticut +3 (3:35 PM)
The Huskies return a ton of talent and they are truly a Dog that bites often. They were (6-0) Ats on the road last season and (5-0) Ats as a Dog away from home. Coach Edsall is (7-0) Ats in Game One and (24-11) Ats away versus non-Big Easters (including 17-6 the past eight years). The Huskies lost 5 games last year and not one by more than 4 points (15 points combined in 5 losses). The Wolverines are only (2-6) Ats when favored by less than 20 the week before the Notre Dame game and Michigan’s only covers as home favorites during the Rodriguez’ tenure (2 Years) have been against Eastern Michigan and Western Michigan of the MAC. Until the Wolverines show me something, they have shown me nothing! Connecticut 27 Michigan 23
More To Come ....................
GOOD LUCK!
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