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**BettorsChat** · 09-01-2010, 12:09 PM

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**StarDust Bum** · 09-01-2010, 06:32 PM

Latos, Oswalt, Lincecum all in action Wednesday

Wednesday brings some National League series to a close with a few aces up the sleeves of the teams trying to solidify their postseason positions and also for those desperate to gain ground. The Padres will be trying to avoid their second consecutive sweep as they send Mat Latos to the mound, while the Phillies and Giants will try to win their respective series with Roy Oswalt and Tim Lincecum.
With apologies to AL aces in action today – Jon Lester, David Price and Francisco Liriano – we will focus on the premier NL matchups today.

Philadelphia (74-58) at Los Angeles Dodgers (68-65), 3:10 p.m. EDT Sports.com Line: Philadelphia -105, Los Angeles -105 Total: 6.5
The Phillies continue their seven-road trip as they close outtheir series with the Dodgers. The Phillies have won four of their last five games despite their offense batting just .163 over that span. The Dodgers have lost three of their last four games as they finish the season without Manny Ramirez who joined the White Sox.

Philadelphia enters play a game-and-a-half ahead of the Giants for the NL Wild Card and three games behind the Braves in the NL East. The Dodgers are six-and-a-half games behind the Phillies in the NL Wild Card standings.

Roy Oswalt (9-13, 3.12 ERA) will take the mound for the Phillies. Oswalt has been exceptional since joining the Phillies. After losing his first start in Washington, Oswalt has gone 3-0 with a 1.53 ERA in his last five starts (Phillies have won all five games). Oswalt has also fared well in his last five starts against the Dodgers, going 4-0 with a 1.75 ERA.

Clayton Kershaw (11-8, 3.01 ERA) will start for the Dodgers. Kershaw has just one win in his last six starts, but has pitched well over that span (3.18 ERA), allowing 2 ER or fewer in four of those six starts.

And with the turning of the calendar, this is the month where Oswalt makes his money. He is 22-5 with a 2.68 ERA in September since 2003. That’s reason enough to pick Philly, but FoxSheets also backs Oswalt and the Phils.

OSWALT is 26-6 (+19.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record). The average score was OSWALT 5.4, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 2*).

San Diego (76-55) at Arizona (54-79), 6:10 p.m. EDT Sports.com Line: San Diego -139, Arizona +129 Total: 8
The Padres will try and snap their six-game losing streak when they send Cy Young candidate Mat Latos (13-5, 2.28 ERA) to the mound in Arizona. Latos has set a Padres single-season record by not allowing more than two earned runs in his last 13 starts. Latos is 8-1 with a 1.51 ERA in those 13 starts (Padres are 10-3). San Diego enters play with a four-game lead on the Giants in the NL West.

The Diamondbacks with throw rookie Barry Enright (5-2, 2.44 ERA) who has been terrific for Arizona this season. Enright has allowed not allowed more than three runs in any of his 11 starts. In his last eight starts Enright is 4-0 with a 2.13 ERA.

The D’backs bats have been sizzling as of late. Arizona has averaged 8.2 runs per game in its last six contests, tallying six or more runs in each game. This FoxSheets trend shows that Arizona is about to cool off.

Play Against - Home teams (ARIZONA) - allowing 4.8 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 6 runs or more 5 straight games. (37-11 since 1997.) (77.1%, +29.1 units. Rating = 4*).

With Latos on an amazing roll, take the Padres.

Colorado (69-62) at San Francisco (73-60), 10:15 p.m. EDT Sports.com Line: Colorado -113, San Francisco +103 Total: 6.5
The Giants host the Rockies in the final game of their three-game series at AT&T Park. The Giants enter play four games behind the Padres in the NL West and a game-and-a-half behind the Phillies in the NL Wild Card.

The Giants will send Tim Lincecum (11-9, 3.80 ERA) to the mound. The two-time defending Cy Young Award winner is going through the worst stretch of his career. In his last five outings he is 0-5 with a 7.82 ERA. Lincecum has also struggled in his two starts against the Rockies this season, going 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA.

The Rockies will counter with Ubaldo Jimenez (17-5, 2.71 ERA) who is going through a drought of his own. Since winning his 17th game on August 4th against the Giants, Jimenez is 0-3 in his last four starts despite turning in quality starts in all four.

It’s hard to imagine Lincecum’s poor stretch continuing much longer so it appears that Jimenez will have to wait one more start before becoming the Rockies all-time leader in single-season wins.

FoxSheets says: Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a winning record on the season, in September games. (72-37 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.1%, +46.9 units. Rating = 4*).

**StarDust Bum** · 09-01-2010, 06:34 PM

Diamond Trends - Wednesday

Cardinals at Astros – The Astros are 7-0 since July 31, 2010 vs a team that has lost at least their last three games for a net profit of $815.

Mets at Braves – The Mets are 6-0 since July 11, 2010 when their starter went at least eight innings in his last start after a loss for a net profit of $635. The Mets are 5-0 since June 16, 2009 when Michael Pelfrey starts on the road vs a team that has won at least their last two games for a net profit of $690. The Braves are 11-0 since May 28, 2010 as a home 140+ favorite after scoring 6+ runs win for a net profit of $1100.

Pirates at Cubs – The Cubs are 0-6 since May 04, 2010 as a 140+ favorite after scoring 6+ runs for a net profit of $990 when playing against.

Padres at Diamondbacks – The Padres are 7-0 since June 10, 2010 on the road after a loss and it is the last game of the series for a net profit of $840. The Padres are 7-0 since May 29, 2010 when Mat Latos starts as a 140+ favorite for a net profit of $700.

Phillies at Dodgers – The Phillies are 11-0 since July 23, 2010 after a win in which they left 18+ men on base for a net profit of $1190. The Dodgers are 10-0 since April 15, 2010 at home after a loss in which they allowed 5+ walks and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1010

Rockies at Giants – The Rockies are 6-0 since April 11, 2010 after a loss in which they allowed 5+ walks and it is the last game of a series for a net profit of $730. The Giants are 7-0 since May 29, 2010 at home after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits for a net profit of $700. The Giants are 0-5 since August 05, 2010 when Tim Lincecum starts for a net profit of $705 when playing against.

White Sox at Indians – The White Sox are 8-0 since June 15, 2010 vs a team that has lost at least their last three games for a net profit of $890. The Indians are 0-7 since May 04, 2010 as a dog after a loss in which they were shut out in the first 6 innings and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $700 when playing against.

Nationals at Marlins – The Nationals are 0-6 since May 27, 2010 on the road after playing as a dog and it is the last game of a three game series when they split the first two for a net profit of $600 when playing against. The Marlins are 6-0 since May 02, 2010 at home after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $610.

Red Sox at Orioles – The Red Sox are 7-0 since April 29, 2009 when Jon Lester starts as a road favorite when he is off a start in which he needed more than 4 pitches per batter for a net profit of $700. The Red Sox are 6-0 since July 31, 2010 when they are off a loss in which they never led for a net profit of $640.

Blue Jays at Rays – The Blue Jays are 0-7 since May 25, 2010 on the road after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits for a net profit of $700 when playing against. The Rays are 10-0 since June 28, 2009 when David Price starts after his team scored a total of fewer than three runs in his last start for a net profit of $1000. The Rays are 7-0 since June 12, 2010 as a favorite after a loss in which they drew 5+ walks and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $700.

Brewers at Reds – The Reds are 8-0 since July 24, 2010 after a win in which their opponent left 18+ men on base for a net profit of $815.

Rangers at Royals – The Rangers are 8-0 since July 25, 2010 as a 140+ favorite when they won the last two games their starter started for a net profit of $800. The Rangers are 7-0 since July 27, 2009 when Tommy Hunter starts as a favorite vs a team that lost their starters last two starts for a net profit of $700. The Royals are 0-8 since July 20, 2010 as a dog after a one run win for a net profit of $800 when playing against.

Tigers at Twins – The Twins are 6-0 since July 17, 2010 at home when they are off a win in which they scored in at most two separate innings for a net profit of $600.

Athletics at Yankees – The Athletics are 0-7 since May 30, 2010 as a road dog when they lost the last two games their starter started for a net profit of $700 when playing against. The Athletics are 6-0 since May 20, 2009 when Brett Anderson starts as a road dog after facing 25 or fewer hitters for a net profit of $825.

**StarDust Bum** · 09-01-2010, 06:35 PM

Wednesday Tips

September is here and even though much of the focus will turn to football, the pennant races around Major League baseball are heating up. There is action from noon to late night for gamblers, as we'll focus on three night contests. The Rockies and Giants each throw out their aces by the Bay, while the Twins look to open up their lead in the AL Central against the Tigers. Let's start at Tropicana Field as Tampa Bay tries to grab the upper-hand in the contested AL East race.

Blue Jays at Rays - 7:10 PM EST

Toronto has definitely overachieved this season, turning into one of the most powerful offenses in all of baseball. The Jays have suffered when they travel down south to battle the Rays, losing 10 of the last 12 meetings at the Trop. Things don't get easier for Toronto as its faces one of the frontrunners for the AL Cy Young Award winner.

David Price (15-6, 3.01 ERA) allowed a pair of homers in his last start, a 3-1 home loss to the Red Sox as a $1.40 'chalk.' The Rays are a perfect 7-0 this season when Price starts following a defeat in his last outing, with all seven victories coming by at least two runs. The southpaw has been dynamic at home, owning a 7-2 mark at the Trop, while the Rays have cashed the 'under' in eight of his 12 home outings. Tampa Bay is 6-0 in Price's six career starts against Toronto, including three wins this season.

The Jays send out Shaun Marcum (11-7, 3.61 ERA), who is coming off a no-decision in his last start against the Tigers. Marcum tossed six innings of eight-hit ball, allowing one earned run in a 3-2 extra-innings victory over Detroit. Since giving up eight earned runs to the Red Sox on August 11, Marcum has yielded five earned runs combined in his last three outings. The Toronto right-hander has had little fortune against Tampa Bay this season, losing twice while giving up 20 hits and 11 earned runs in 12.1 innings.

The home team is 9-4 this season, including a 6-1 mark the last seven meetings. Tampa Bay has drilled the 'under' in six of its previous eight contests, while going 'under' in four straight at home.

Tigers at Twins - 8:10 PM EST

The two squads that played in Game 163 last October at the Metrodome for the AL Central title will probably not repeat that this time around. Detroit is currently sitting below .500, while trying to improve on its dismal 22-41 record away from the Motor City. Minnesota is riding an 11-2 run at Target Field, as the Twins trot out their talented southpaw in Game 2 of this series.

Francisco Liriano (12-7, 3.41 ERA) has been nearly unbeatable as of late, with the Twins winning seven of his last eight starts since the All-Star Break. In six of those outings, Liriano has allowed two earned runs or less, including three scoreless efforts. The 26-year old southpaw needs to improve his numbers against the Tigers, giving up 15 hits and 13 earned runs in his last 7.1 innings versus Detroit (0-2).

The Tigers counter with Max Scherzer (10-9, 3.60 ERA), who has been terrific in his previous three outings. The former Diamondback has scattered 12 hits and two earned runs in victories over the Yankees, Indians, and Blue Jays. Extending it back to July 31, Scherzer has delivered six straight quality outings, even though Detroit 3-3 in this stretch. Minnesota should be excited to see Scherzer, scoring 16 runs in two meetings against the right-hander this season.

The Twins are 5-1 against the Tigers at Target Field, as the home team is 9-3 in this season's series. Minnesota is 5-1 to the 'over' the last six at home, while Detroit owns a 6-1-1 mark to the 'over' the previous seven on the highway.

Rockies at Giants - 9:15 PM EST

A pair of aces that have combined for two wins in 10 August starts meet up with a clean slate in September as San Francisco tries to hold off a surging Colorado squad. The Rockies stole the series opener with two runs in the ninth inning of a 2-1 triumph, the seventh win in Colorado's last eight games. San Francisco is just 5-9 the past 14 contests, sitting five games behind San Diego in the NL West race.

Two-time reigning Cy Young Award winner Tim Lincecum (11-9, 3.80 ERA) finished the month of August with no victories in five starts, the longest winless stretch in his career. Lincecum has given up 19 earned runs in his last four trips to the mound, failing to register a quality start since a 3-2 defeat at Atlanta on August 5. Backing the former Washington Husky at home is a 50/50 proposition, with the Giants going 7-7 in his 14 home outings. Lincecum is 0-2 in two starts against the Rockies this season, including a 4-0 loss on May 31 at AT&T Park.

The winning pitcher in that game is Lincecum's opponent on Wednesday, Ubaldo Jimenez (17-5, 2.71 ERA). The Rockies' ace tossed a complete-game, four-hitter in that Memorial Day victory, finishing the first two months of the season with an ERA below 1.00. Jimenez's ERA has taken a hit since then, as he is in the thick of the NL Cy Young race alongside Adam Wainwright and Roy Halladay. The last time Jimenez won was at home against San Francisco on August 4, allowing four hits and one earned run in seven innings of a 6-1 victory.

After the Giants won the first two meetings this season, the Rockies are 8-3 the last 11 matchups. The 'under' has been the play at AT&T Park in this series, cashing in all seven meetings.

**Spark** · 09-01-2010, 07:16 PM

Good Luck bum

**StarDust Bum** · 09-01-2010, 10:54 PM

Thanks Sparks..lets hope Sept will be a better month.....

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