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**Udog** · 07-27-2010, 11:41 PM

Bettors' best friend: Wednesday's wagering tips

Lines to keep an eye on

Red Sox at Angels – This game opened with a total of 9 runs, but it has since dropped to 8.5 with many books.

Cubs at Astros – The total for this game opened at either 7.5 or 8 with many books, but has since jumped up to 8.5 in many markets.

Pittsburgh at Colorado – The home team opened as -205 chalk but that moneyline has moved to as low as -215 with some books.

Weather report
(Forecasts are extracted from Weather.com the night before the game.)

Athletics at Rangers – There is a 40 percent chance of precipitation, but just a 9 mph wind expected to blow across the diamond from third to first.

Pirates at Rockies – An 8 mph wind is expected to blow across the diamond from first toward third with a 30 percent chance of precipitation.

Marlins at Giants– A 12 mph wind is expected to blow from behind home plate toward the outfield.

Diamondbacks at Philles– A 13 mph wind is expected to blow from behind home plate toward right center field.

Dodgers at Padres – A 12 mph wind is expected to blow in from left center field toward home plate with a 20 percent chance of precipitation.

Yankees at Indians – A 13 mph wind is expected to blow in from right center field toward home plate with a 30 percent chance of precipitation.

Mariners at White Sox – A 13 mph wind is expected to blow from home plate toward left center field with a 60 percent chance of precipitation.

Cardinals at Mets – A 16 mph wind is expected to blow from behind home plate toward center field.

Who’s hot

The Marlins have won eight of their past 10 games, but wager on them for all nine innings – four of those wins have come in their final at-bat.

The Phillies are finally playing up to their potential – the team has won five straight and 12 of 14 home games, including going 7-1 in the team’s past eight as a favorite.

It’s going to take a special pitcher to slow down a white-hot Yankees lineup. The Bronx Bombers have topped the total regularly and are 8-2-1 against the number in their past 11.

Who’s not

The Mariners couldn’t hit their way out of a paper bag: the team has fallen short of the total in seven of the team’s past 10 games and is averaging a measly 3.3 runs per game this year.

The Tigers need a miracle to pull out of their tailspin. Detroit is 3-10 in its past 13 games and has scored three or fewer runs nine times over that span.

The Astros have crash landed hard the past two weeks. Houston is a pitiful 3-7 over its past 10, with bad pitching leading to the over cashing in for six of those games.

Key stat

15 – Home runs allowed this year by Yankees pitcher Phil Hughes. This number seems a little high but nothing crazy until you think about this – all of them have been hit at Yankee Stadium. He’s the first pitcher since Gaylord Perry in 1982 to give up his first 15 home runs of the year at his home ball park. Sounds like someone has become a road-only play.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Everyone thought that Jason Bay would miss some time when he crashed into a wall in Los Angeles as he made a play on the ball in the outfield. But he seemed fine. He looked fine. He’s not. Bay, who is hitting .259 with six home runs and 47 RBI, missed Tuesday’s game against the Cardinals with concussion-like symptoms. He has 48 hours to be evaluated before the team could opt to put him on the disabled list. With Carlos Beltran just returning to the lineup and a slew of other players on the DL already, this could further shake-up a batting order that has been unable to develop any consistency this year. The Mets are going to have problems scoring runs if Bay misses a significant stretch of games. "I didn't really have a headache until we got on the flight on the way home," Bay told MLB.com. "Over the last couple days, it's just some dull headaches. Given everything that happened, we'll try to be cautious."

Game of the day
St.Louis Cardinals at New York Mets

Notable quotable

“Whether he was mentally checked out or just wasn’t quite into it down the stretch, he wasn’t the same guy. I think everybody saw that, but no one wanted to acknowledge it.”
--Toronto Raptors President and General Manager Jerry Colangelo to the Toronto Sun on Chris Bosh’s last season north of the border.

Tips and notes

- A few days ago we said jump all over the MLS All-Stars because of their fantastic, 5-0-1 record against European powers in the current format. A win over Manchester United still is very likely. However, pay close attention to who coach Bruce Arena puts into his starting XI. Not only is he the coach of the All-Stars, but he also is coach of the L.A. Galaxy, who have Landon Donovan, Edson Buddle, Omar Gonzalez and Donovan Ricketts elected to the exhibition. To complicate things even further, the Galaxy play in the CONCACAF Champions League on Tuesday night, putting the fitness of those stars in doubt, along with Toronto standout Dwayne De Rosario. The MLS side, especially listed at +1 (-140) still is a solid value. Just watch the lineup.

- If the Rockies didn’t have enough problems, things just got much worse. Closer Huston Street, who missed a majority of the season with an inflamed right shoulder, is in bad shape after getting hit in the pelvis by a line drive during batting practice on Tuesday. Street reportedly lost consciousness several times and was taken by ambulance to an area hospital. The closer has converted six-of-seven save opportunities since coming off the disabled list late last month and is a huge part of a Colorado bullpen that has a 3.83 ERA and already has eaten up more than 296 innings.

- Keep a very close eye on the Red Sox and their outfield. Jacoby Ellsbury, a fantastic defensive player who is a base-stealing demon, has played just nine games this year for Boston because of fractured ribs. However, Ellsbury looked really strong in a minor league rehab assignment last night, running down a fly ball and going 2-for-3 with a stolen base and run scored. The Red Sox are second in the league with 521 runs scored, but the team has swiped a Major League-low 33 bases and is far too reliant on extra-base hits to start rallies. With Jeremy Hermida batting a terrible .215 in left field, Ellsbury can’t get to Boston soon enough.

**Udog** · 07-27-2010, 11:42 PM

MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, July 28

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CHICAGO CUBS (46 - 54) at HOUSTON (40 - 59) - 2:05 PM
RANDY WELLS (R) vs. BUD NORRIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 46-54 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 15-21 (-12.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 19-28 (-20.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 600-593 (-111.5 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 46-54 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 29-37 (-14.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 20-32 (-24.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 12-3 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season.
HOUSTON is 23-20 (+10.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
HOUSTON is 16-28 (-15.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-4 (+4.4 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.3 Units)

RANDY WELLS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
WELLS is 2-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 1.346.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.0 units)

BUD NORRIS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

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CINCINNATI (55 - 46) at MILWAUKEE (48 - 53) - 2:10 PM
TRAVIS WOOD (L) vs. CHRIS NARVESON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 34-20 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CINCINNATI is 149-131 (+30.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 55-46 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 62-67 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 27-17 (+10.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CINCINNATI is 55-46 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 8-19 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 64-67 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 14-23 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 64-67 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

TRAVIS WOOD vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

CHRIS NARVESON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

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ATLANTA (57 - 41) at WASHINGTON (42 - 57) - 7:05 PM
TIM HUDSON (R) vs. LIVAN HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 36-49 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-14 (+15.0 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.
HERNANDEZ is 17-7 (+16.3 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 9-2 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 43-31 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 12-6 (+9.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 9-2 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 7-0 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 57-41 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 110-69 (+26.8 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997.
ATLANTA is 57-41 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 40-25 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 101-160 (-31.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 23-49 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 65-112 (-29.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 41-86 (-25.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-3 (+1.1 Units) against ATLANTA this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

TIM HUDSON vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HUDSON is 9-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.51 and a WHIP of 0.991.
His team's record is 10-5 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-10. (-6.0 units)

LIVAN HERNANDEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 8-15 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.97 and a WHIP of 1.482.
His team's record is 10-20 (-6.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 15-13. (+0.8 units)

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FLORIDA (50 - 49) at SAN FRANCISCO (56 - 44) - 7:05 PM
ALEX SANABIA (R) vs. JONATHAN SANCHEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 144-118 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 37-15 (+16.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 80-48 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-7 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 143-116 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 94-77 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 106-84 (+18.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 48-38 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 70-54 (+20.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 75-72 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 31-20 (+18.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 137-124 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 66-59 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 42-30 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 65-61 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off since 1997.
FLORIDA is 62-57 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 (+1.9 Units) against FLORIDA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

ALEX SANABIA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

JONATHAN SANCHEZ vs. FLORIDA since 1997
SANCHEZ is 0-1 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 9.64 and a WHIP of 2.141.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

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ARIZONA (37 - 62) at PHILADELPHIA (53 - 46) - 7:05 PM
EDWIN JACKSON (R) vs. ROY HALLADAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 37-62 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 13-33 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ARIZONA is 35-61 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 81-105 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 10-26 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 77-121 (-40.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-5 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-14 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-1 (+1.5 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

ROY HALLADAY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
HALLADAY is 2-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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ST LOUIS (55 - 44) at NY METS (50 - 49) - 7:10 PM
JAIME GARCIA (L) vs. JOHAN SANTANA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 21-28 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ST LOUIS is 19-27 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 12-19 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 7-16 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY METS are 30-16 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 30-16 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 21-10 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
NY METS are 6-15 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in July games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

JAIME GARCIA vs. NY METS since 1997
GARCIA is 0-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.429.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JOHAN SANTANA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
SANTANA is 2-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.03 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.0 units)

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PITTSBURGH (34 - 64) at COLORADO (51 - 48) - 8:40 PM
ROSS OHLENDORF (R) vs. AARON COOK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 96-162 (-36.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 26-54 (-22.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 11-38 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 10-39 (-24.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 3-19 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 11-38 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 7-28 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 20-47 (-18.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PITTSBURGH is 10-30 (-13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 79-187 (-60.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ROSS OHLENDORF vs. COLORADO since 1997
OHLENDORF is 1-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 1.545.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

AARON COOK vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
COOK is 2-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 6.11 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.5 units)

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LA DODGERS (53 - 46) at SAN DIEGO (58 - 39) - 10:05 PM
HIROKI KURODA (R) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 25-19 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN DIEGO is 58-39 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 72-58 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 56-38 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 39-27 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 39-29 (+11.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
RICHARD is 13-6 (+9.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
RICHARD is 20-10 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 24-8 (+16.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 4-1 (+3.1 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

HIROKI KURODA vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
KURODA is 4-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.418.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
RICHARD is 1-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 0.971.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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MINNESOTA (54 - 46) at KANSAS CITY (42 - 57) - 2:10 PM
BRIAN DUENSING (L) vs. BRIAN BANNISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 28-29 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
BANNISTER is 19-12 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 45-38 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 71-42 (+18.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 107-154 (-26.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 53-74 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 205-306 (-87.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 5-16 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 53-74 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 7-3 (+2.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.1 Units)

BRIAN DUENSING vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
DUENSING is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

BRIAN BANNISTER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BANNISTER is 4-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.294.
His team's record is 6-5 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-7. (-4.5 units)

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BOSTON (56 - 44) at LA ANGELS (52 - 50) - 3:35 PM
JOSH BECKETT (R) vs. JOEL PINEIRO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 22-24 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 8-16 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
BOSTON is 16-28 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BECKETT is 7-14 (-14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 124-102 (+19.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 154-119 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 23-12 (+12.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 46-27 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 55-29 (+27.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 144-111 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 100-81 (+13.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PINEIRO is 12-3 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-0 (+5.2 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

JOSH BECKETT vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BECKETT is 3-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.219.
His team's record is 4-7 (-6.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.7 units)

JOEL PINEIRO vs. BOSTON since 1997
PINEIRO is 3-6 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.94 and a WHIP of 1.712.
His team's record is 4-7 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-5. (-0.4 units)

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NY YANKEES (63 - 35) at CLEVELAND (41 - 58) - 7:05 PM
A.J. BURNETT (R) vs. FAUSTO CARMONA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BURNETT is 58-83 (-29.8 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 44-67 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 90-43 (+26.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 20-3 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 116-62 (+27.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 106-155 (-36.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-28 (-16.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 98-139 (-30.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 409-369 (-72.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 77-114 (-30.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 4-1 (+0.8 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
BURNETT is 2-4 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.68 and a WHIP of 1.579.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)

FAUSTO CARMONA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
CARMONA is 1-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.60 and a WHIP of 1.465.
His team's record is 3-4 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.5 units)

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BALTIMORE (31 - 68) at TORONTO (51 - 49) - 7:07 PM
JEREMY GUTHRIE (R) vs. SHAUN MARCUM (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 10-0 (+10.9 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.5 Units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. TORONTO since 1997
GUTHRIE is 2-5 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.56 and a WHIP of 1.139.
His team's record is 4-9 (-5.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-7. (-1.2 units)

SHAUN MARCUM vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MARCUM is 3-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.62 and a WHIP of 1.492.
His team's record is 6-5 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-3. (+5.0 units)

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DETROIT (51 - 47) at TAMPA BAY (60 - 38) - 7:10 PM
EDDIE BONINE (R) vs. JEFF NIEMANN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 11-24 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 211-212 (-31.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 16-30 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 2-14 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 3-12 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 9-20 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 141-76 (+27.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 97-48 (+24.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
NIEMANN is 29-12 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 58-64 (-17.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 21-31 (-14.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

EDDIE BONINE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

JEFF NIEMANN vs. DETROIT since 1997
NIEMANN is 0-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.84 and a WHIP of 0.886.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

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OAKLAND (50 - 48) at TEXAS (58 - 41) - 8:05 PM
TREVOR CAHILL (R) vs. COLBY LEWIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 26-38 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 145-116 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 178-152 (+33.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997.
TEXAS is 142-107 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 109-82 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 98-75 (+14.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 44-42 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 33-32 (+14.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 49-43 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 93-91 (+14.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CAHILL is 12-5 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
CAHILL is 12-4 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
CAHILL is 19-11 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-3 (+0.6 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

TREVOR CAHILL vs. TEXAS since 1997
CAHILL is 4-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.23 and a WHIP of 1.101.
His team's record is 5-1 (+5.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.1 units)

COLBY LEWIS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
LEWIS is 2-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.680.
His team's record is 3-3 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.3 units)

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SEATTLE (39 - 61) at CHI WHITE SOX (54 - 44) - 8:10 PM
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. MARK BUEHRLE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 38-58 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 39-60 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 9-23 (-13.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SEATTLE is 15-33 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 53-44 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 17-3 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 110-65 (+31.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 209-169 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BUEHRLE is 113-58 (+33.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 42-18 (+21.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 113-58 (+33.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 25-15 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 6-1 (+5.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

JASON VARGAS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
VARGAS is 0-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.049.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. SEATTLE since 1997
BUEHRLE is 7-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.76 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 9-5 (+4.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-7. (-0.9 units)

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**Udog** · 07-27-2010, 11:44 PM

MLB

Wednesday, July 28

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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets
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Florida Marlins at San Francisco Giants (-137, 8)

The Giants must get a big smile whenever they see a team from the National League East on their schedule. San Francisco is a sparkling 15-8 against teams from the opposite coast this year, winning six of seven series against those teams.

And the team’s play against the Marlins has backed up those numbers. San Francisco is 3-1 against the Marlins this year and has gone 10-6 against the fish the past three seasons combined. Overall, the Giants have won seven of their past 10 games.

"We have a very talented club that, if we play up to what we're capable of doing, what our potential is, we're going to be fine," Giants manager Bruce Bochy told MLB.com. "This club has been playing like we think we're capable of playing."

Meantime the Marlins are just 13-16 against teams from the NL West.

Pick: Giants

Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies (-215, 9.5)

Don’t expect to see many fireworks between these two sides.

Pittsburgh starter Ross Ohlender is a horrid 1-9 this year, but the over has hit in just three of 14 starts. For the Rockies, Aaron Cook also is an unspectacular 4-6, but the Rockies have topped the number in just eight of his 19 starts.

The Pirates also are the worst hitting road team in the Majors, have a league-low 11 away victories and have seen the under go 7-1-3 in their past 11 away games. Meantime, the Rockies haven’t been much better, floundering to a 2-8 mark in their past 10 because the team isn’t hitting. Colorado is averaging just 3.3 runs per game over that span.

"We're not playing worth a darn right now," Rockies manager Jim Tracy told the Associated Press, "but there's two months to go and we know how to fix it."

But it’ll take more than a series against the Pirates to fix the Rockies’ problems.

Pick: Under

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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers
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Streaking

Fausto Carmona, Cleveland Indians (10-7, 3.51 ERA)

There haven’t been many bright spots for the Tribe in 2010. However, Carmona could have something going in Cleveland after winning three straight starts. The Indians right hander has been steady over his last eight outings, boasting a 6-2 record and 3.53 ERA. Carmona went five shutout innings in his last start, leading Cleveland to a 3-1 win over the Tampa Bay Rays.

Slumping

Edwin Jackson, Arizona Diamondbacks (6-9, 5.01 ERA)

The D-backs’ hurler has dropped three starts in a row heading into Wednesday. Jackson has given up 13 runs on 23 hits in that span, including allowing four earned runs – six total – in a 7-4 loss to the San Francisco Giants Friday. He had two throwing errors leading to three runs in that defeat.

Debuting

Eddie Bonine, Detroit Tigers (4-0, 2.72 ERA)

A doubleheader over the weekend has the Tigers digging in their bullpen for Wednesday’s starter. Bonine gets the call for his first start since September 2009. He went 1-1 in three starts last year, giving up five total runs in just under 17 innings of work. He has made 31 appearances out of the Detroit bullpen this season, taking the bump for 1 1-3 innings in a 6-5 win over the Toronto Blue Jays Sunday.

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This Day in Baseball
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On July 28 in Baseball History...

1875 - Philadelphia's Joe Borden, also known by the name Josephs, pitches the first no-hitter in Major League history, beating the Chicago White Stockings 4-0. The game takes one hour and 35 minutes to play.

1931 - Bob Fothergill of Chicago hit a home run and a triple in an 11-run eighth inning as the White Sox beat the New York Yankees 14-12.

1952 - Rogers Hornsby, after being fired by the St. Louis Browns, replaces another former Brownies manager, Luke Sewell, as manager of the Cincinnati Reds.

1971 - Sixteen-time Gold Glove winner Brooks Robinson committed three errors in the sixth inning against the Oakland A's. Frank Robinson's three-run homer in the ninth won the game for the Orioles.

1976 - Blue Moon Odom (five innings) and Francisco Barrios (four innings) combined on a no-hitter as the Chicago White Sox beat Oakland 2-1.

1979 - Dave Kingman of the Chicago Cubs hit three home runs in a game for the second time in the season and became the sixth player in Major League history to accomplish the feat. Kingman's homers weren't enough as the Cubs lost to the New York Mets 6-4.

1983 - American League president Lee McPhail ruled George Brett's "pine tar" home run against New York on July 24 should count. The umpires had disallowed the homer because the pine tar on Brett's bat exceeded the 18-inch limit. The remainder of the game was played on Aug. 18 with the Kansas City Royals beating the Yankees, 5-4.

1985 - Lou Brock, Enos Slaughter, Arky Vaughan, and Hoyt Wilhelm are inducted into the National Baseball Hall of Fame in a ceremony in Cooperstown, New York.

1989 - Vince Coleman is caught stealing by Nelson Santovenia in the Cardinals' 2-0 win over Montreal, ending his Major League record streak of fifty consecutive stolen bases.

1990 - Shawon Dunston tied a Major League record with three triples and led the Chicago Cubs to a 10-7 win over the Montreal Expos.

1991 - Dennis Martinez pitched a perfect game as the Montreal Expos beat Los Angeles 2-0 at Dodger Stadium.

1993 - Ken Griffey, Jr. tied a Major League record by homering in his eighth consecutive game, but it wasn't enough for the Seattle Mariners in a 5-1 loss to Minnesota.

1993 - Anthony Young's Major League record 27-game losing streak finally ends. The Mets come from behind for a 4-3 win against the Marlins after Young's error allows Florida to take the lead.

1994 - On the night the baseball players set an Aug. 12 strike date, Kenny Rogers of the Texas Rangers pitched a perfect game for a 4-0 victory over California.

1997 - Milwaukee's Steve Woodard allows one hit and one walk with twelve strikeouts in eight innings in his Major League debut to blank the Toronto Blue Jays, 1-0, in the first game of a doubleheader. He sets down the final seventeen batters to defeat Roger Clemens, the leading winner in the Major Leagues. In the second game, the Brewers turn their first triple play in more than eighteen years in a 9-3 triumph.

1999 - For the first time in twelve years, the U.S. baseball team beat the world champion Cubans, scoring five runs in the ninth inning for a 10-5 victory at the Pan American Games. Marcus Jensen's three-run homer broke a 5-5 tie.

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**Udog** · 07-28-2010, 08:48 AM

Daily Sports Roundup: July 28

Today in the Daily Sports Roundup: The Yankees play on the road against the Indians in Cleveland, and the Phillies send their ace to the mound at home against the D-Backs.

Meeting up on the diamond . . .

The American League schedule for Wednesday offers up Minnesota at Kansas City, Boston at the Angels, Baltimore at Toronto, Detroit at Tampa Bay, Oakland at Texas, Seattle at the White Sox, and the Yankees at Cleveland. New York will go with A.J. Burnett (8-8, 4.77 ERA) on Wednesday, while the Indians counter with Fausto Carmona (10-7, 3.51 ERA). Righthander Burnett blanked the Royals over five innings last time out, and he beat the Tribe back on May 30 (one earned run over eight innings). Righthander Carmona has won three straight starts, holding the Rays to one unearned run on one hit over five innings in his last trip to the mound. Carmona faced the Yankees back on May 28, losing after surrendering four runs in his six innings of work.

Over in the National League on Wednesday it'll be the Cubs at Houston, Cincinnati at Milwaukee, Florida at San Francisco, Atlanta at Washington, St. Louis at the Mets, Pittsburgh at Colorado, the Dodgers at San Diego, and Arizona at Philadelphia. Edwin Jackson (6-9, 5.01 ERA) gets the ball for the Diamondbacks in that last contest, while Roy Halladay (11-8, 2.28 ERA) takes the mound for the Phillies. Righthander Jackson has lost three straight starts, giving up six runs (four earned) on eight hits over six innings against the Giants last time out. Righthander Halladay dominated the Rockies in his most recent start, tossing eight scoreless innings while giving up just five hits. Halladay has fanned 140 batters while walking just 20 over 162 innings so far this year.

**Udog** · 07-28-2010, 08:49 AM

Wednesday's six-pack

-- Cliff Lee got 36 called strikes from hideous home plate ump Danley, who called Jack Cust out three times, then ejected him. Thats the most called strikes for any pitcher in any game this season.

-- 10 of the 14 American League teams are over .500.

-- Royals just lost pair of home games to Twins 19-1/11-2. Terrific.

-- Not too often a lineup has three OFs batting 7-8-9, but Red Sox had it last night. Its usually not a good sign.

-- Must have been lot of unhappy patrons in Washington last night as star rookie Strasburg was scratched just before gametime (arm). Not like 40,000 people came out to see Miguel Batista pitch.

-- So, of course, Batista and three relievers blanked first-place Atlanta on Tuesday night 3-0, sending 40,003 fans home a little less annoyed.

************************************************** **

Wednesday's List of 13 (+1): Our weekly look at American League

This week, something a little different; I'm listing with each team the one player that most comes to my mind when I think of that team. It won't be the best player necessarily, just my subjective opinion.......

14) Orioles-- Met Brooks Robinson once at a function; really nice man, but he denied wearing a shorter brim on his batting helmet than the other players did. Look at pictures; he definitely wore a shorter brim. When I was growing up, my friend's brother Bobby idolized Brooks, which why to me, he's the most memorable Oriole. .

13) Indians-- When Manny Ramirez came up with the Tribe, he hit two or three home runs in the Bronx, where he is from, and there were 100 or so people just going nuts down in the leftfield cormer.

12) Mariners-- For some reason, I remember Billy Swift getting drilled in the head by a line drive, and the ball going all the way down the leftfield line at the Kingdome. Thats my most memorable Mariner moment, other than the Mariner Moose falling off a skateboard and breaking his ankle.

11) Royals-- Kids now have no idea, but 30 years ago, the Royals were a really good team, and George Brett was by far their best player. For his career, Brett hit .305, twice hitting 45 doubles in a season-- those seasons were 12 years apart. He was an All-Star 13 straight seasons.

10) Blue Jays-- Dave Stieb pitched 265+ innings four years in a row, and had an excellent career, going 176-137 in 16 seasons. His book had one of the great titles, referring to a few close calls with no-hitters: "Tomorrow I'll Be Perfect". He really was a good pitcher.

9) Tigers-- I'm old enough that I remember the last of the guys who didn't wear batting helmets; Bob Montgomery, backup catcher for the Red Sox and Norm Cash, who hit .271 with 377 career HRs, winning the batting title for Detroit when he was only 26, in his second full season.

8) A's-- Jim (Catfish) Hunter became my favorite player when I was five years old; his name is misspelled on his rookie baseball card. Somehow I noticed that, and adopted him as my favorite, even though Kansas City A's were rarely if ever on TV then. Pretty good decision for 5-year old.

7) Angels-- They used to have hats with the halo on it, right where a halo would be; they also used to play some 5:00 local starts for national TV on ABC, and when Nolan Ryan pitched in one of those games, a no-hitter seemed almost inevitable. He is my most memorable Angel.

6) Twins-- Kirby Puckett looked like a ballplayer, but a beer league type, not a major leaguer. But boy could he play, helping the Twins to a couple world championships. I might be the only person who misses the dome.

5) White Sox-- Wilbur Wood was a lefty knuckleballer who once started in both ends of a doubleheader and went 24-17/24-20 in 1972-73; after that, he went 20-19/16-20 the next two years. He won 106 games over a five-year stretch for a team that wasn't that good. Can you remember any other lefty knuckleballers? I'm having trouble......

4) Red Sox-- All the games I've watched A's play Boston, the guy who put the most fear in my heart was Jim Rice. He hit 124 homers in 3-year stretch from 1977-79; seemed like half of them were against my A's, who were in serious decline after a great run earlier in the decade.

3) Rangers-- Pudge Rodriguez caught for 12.5 years in Texas heat; he is a .298 career hitter with 306 homers. He is 39 and still playing. Could be he is the most underrated player of the last 20 years, winning two titles.

2) Rays-- Carl Crawford is the best player in Tampa history, but when he walks as a free agent this winter, Rays will fall into a small market abyss that has engulfed lot of other teams. New York fans say there's nothing wrong with the sport. Shows how much they know.

1) Bronx-- Tim Leary and I share a birthday; he was 9-19 for Bombers in 1990, when Bronx went 0-12 against the A's, when Mr Walter Haas was alive-- Oakland's owner had significant resources. That was fun, having a level playing field to compete on.

**Udog** · 07-28-2010, 08:50 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Atlanta at Washington
The Braves look to bounce back from yesterday's loss to the Nats and build on their 8-1 record in Tim Hudson's last 9 starts as a favorite between -110 and -150. Atlanta is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Braves favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-140). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, JULY 28

Game 951-952: Chicago Cubs at Houston (2:05 p.m. EST)
Ratings: Cubs (Wells) 15.167; Houston (Norris) 14.889
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-145); Over

Game 953-954: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Wood) 15.231; Milwaukee (Narveson) 14.292
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-130); Over

Game 955-956: Atlanta at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hudson) 15.098; Washington (Hernandez) 14.411
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-140); Under

Game 957-958: Florida at San Francisco (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Sanabia) 15.248; San Francisco (Sanchez) 16.118
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-140); Under

Game 959-960: Arizona at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Jackson) 13.830; Philadelphia (Halladay) 15.766
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-270); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-270); Over

Game 961-962: St. Louis at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Garcia) 16.104; NY Mets (Santana) 15.303
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 6
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+100); Under

Game 963-964: Pittsburgh at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 13.104; Colorado (Cook) 14.644
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-220); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-220); Over

Game 965-966: LA Dodgers at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 15.202; San Diego (Richard) 16.189
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-120); Under

Game 967-968: Minnesota at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Duensing) 15.291; Kansas City (Bannister) 15.390
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+120); Over

Game 969-970: Boston at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 14.871; LA Angels (Pineiro) 14.272
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-115); Under

Game 971-972: NY Yankees at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Burnett) 16.871; Cleveland (Carmona) 16.040
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-150); Over

Game 973-974: Baltimore at Toronto (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 14.593; Toronto (Mills) 14.386
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 975-976: Detroit at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Bonine) 14.572; Tampa Bay (Niemann) 16.683
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-235); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-235); Under

Game 977-978: Oakland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 15.941; Texas (Lewis) 15.189
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+135); Over

Game 979-980: Seattle at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Vargas) 15.629; White Sox (Buehrle) 15.405
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+140); Under

**Udog** · 07-28-2010, 08:51 AM

MLB
Write-Up

Wednesday, July 28

Hot pitchers
-- Wells is 2-1, 1.30 in his last five starts.
-- Wood has a 2.14 RA in his last three starts.
-- Hudson is 3-2, 2.27 in his last five starts. LHernandez is 1-1, 1.80 in his last two outings.
-- Florida is 3-0 in Sanabia starts (1-0, 0.69). Giants are 8-3 in Sanchez' last eleven starts.
-- Halladay is 3-2, 2.11 in his last six starts.
-- JSantana is 3-0, 0.71 in his last five starts. JGarcia is 2-0, 2.78 in his last four outings.
-- Ohlendorf has 2.95 RA in his last four starts.
-- Kuroda has 2.14 RA in his last three starts, but Dodgers scored total of two runs in those three games.

-- Pineiro is 5-0, 2.04 in his last five home starts.
-- Carmona is 3-0, 2.89 in his last three starts.
-- Guthrie is 1-0, 1.98 in his last couple starts. Marcum is 3-1, 4.35 in his last four starts.
-- Niemann has 2.40 RA in his last six home starts.
-- Oakland won Cahill's last six road starts.
-- Buehrle is 3-1, 2.03 in his last four starts. Vargas gas 1.66 RA in his last three starts, but no wins.

Cold pitchers
-- Norris is 0-3, 7.26 in his last seven starts.
-- Narveson is 1-2, 9.30 in his last four starts.
-- EJackson is 1-3, 7.66 in four starts since his no-hitter.
-- Cook is 2-2, 4.99 in his last five starts.
-- Richard is 1-1, 7.50 in his last four starts.

-- Bannister is 0-4, 7.07 in his last five starts. Duensing allowed one run in five IP in his first start, a 3-2 loss at Baltimore.
-- Beckett is 0-1, 7.49 in his last seven starts.
-- Burnett is 1-4, 8.44 in his last five road starts.
-- Lewis is 1-1, 5.82 in his last three home starts.

Totals
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Arizona road games.
-- Over is 8-3 in last eleven Atlanta games.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Mets' last seven games.
-- Five of last six Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Narveson starts went over the total.
-- Over is 9-4 in last thirteen games at Coors Field.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in Dodgers' last six home games.
-- Five of last seven Florida road games stayed under the total.

-- Under is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Baltimore games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Cleveland games.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Detroit games.
-- Six of last nine Oakland games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Kansas City home games.
-- Five of last six Buehrle starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in Boston's last eleven games.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won last five games, outscoring foes 31-10.
-- Brewers won seven of their last eight games at Miller Park.
-- Padres won eight of their last eleven games. Dodgers won five of their last six games.
-- Marlins won eight of their last eleven games. Giants won 16 of their last 20 games.

-- Blue Jays are 8-3 since the All-Star break.
-- Rays won eight of their last nine home games.
-- Twins won six of their last seven games.
-- A's, Rangers both won nine of their last twelve games.
-- White Sox are 16-1 in their last seventeen home games.
-- Bronx won 15 of its last 20 games.

Cold Teams
-- Arizona is 4-22 in its last 26 road games.
-- Nationals lost seven of their last ten games. Braves lost three of four.
-- Mets are 3-9 since the All-Star break. Cardinals are 4-9 in their last 13 road games.
-- Reds lost six of their last nine road games.
-- Cubs lost four of their last five road games. Astros are 1-5 in games folloing their last six wins.
-- Rockies lost 11 of their last 13 games. Pirates lost four of their last five games.

-- Indians lost three of their last four games.
-- Orioles lost ten of their last eleven games.
-- Tigers lost 11 of their last 14 games.
-- Royals lost 12 of their last 15 games.
-- Mariners lost 19 of their last 24 games.
-- Angels lost six of their last seven games. Red Sox are 10-13 in their last twenty-three road games.

Umpires
-- Chi-Hst-- Two of three Carapazza games went over the total.
-- Cin-Mil-- Favorite won last four Dimuro games.
-- Atl-Wsh-- Last seven Miller games stayed under the total.
-- Fla-SF-- Five of last six Estabrook games stayed under the total.
-- Az-Phil-- Eight of last ten Fletcher games stayed under the total.
-- StL-NY-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Cousins games.
-- Pitt-Col-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Nelson games.
-- LA-SD-- Favorites won last three Guccione games.

-- Minn-KC-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Kulpa games.
-- Bos-LA-- Underdog is 4-2 (+$413) in last six Tichenor games.
-- NY-Clev-- 10 of last 12 Scott games went over the total.
-- Blt-Tor-- Underdogs are 7-3 (+$329) in last ten Timmons games.
-- Det-TB-- Favorites won last four Foster games. with three of four going over the total.
-- A's-Tor-- Over is 10-1-2 in last thirteen Bucknor games.
-- Sea-Chi-- Favorites won six of last seven Runge games.

**Udog** · 07-28-2010, 08:52 AM

MLB

Wednesday, July 28

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Trend Report
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2:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Chi Cubs are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing Chi Cubs

2:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. MILWAUKEE
Cincinnati is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Cincinnati is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

2:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

3:35 PM
BOSTON vs. LA ANGELS
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games
LA Angels are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games

7:05 PM
FLORIDA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Florida is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Florida
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida

7:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington's last 13 games when playing at home against Atlanta

7:05 PM
ARIZONA vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Arizona is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. CLEVELAND
NY Yankees are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games on the road
NY Yankees are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Cleveland is 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing NY Yankees

7:07 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TORONTO
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Baltimore is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. NY METS
St. Louis is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
NY Mets are 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
NY Mets are 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home

7:10 PM
DETROIT vs. TAMPA BAY
Detroit is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games
Tampa Bay is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home

8:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. TEXAS
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oakland's last 13 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas's last 13 games when playing at home against Oakland
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games

8:40 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. COLORADO
Pittsburgh is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Pittsburgh is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Colorado's last 13 games at home

10:05 PM
LA DODGERS vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego's last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers
San Diego is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers

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**Udog** · 07-28-2010, 08:53 AM

MLB

Wednesday, July 28

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Tips and Trends
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Oakland Athletics at Texas Rangers [8:05 PM ET]

Athletics: Oakland looks to be the only team capable of making a run at the Rangers in the AL West, as the A's have won 8 of their last 10 games. Oakland is quite similar to the Rangers in that they have such a solid, young pitching staff. The biggest weakness of the Athletics is their inconsistent offense. Oakland is 50-48 SU this season, including 20-26 SU on the road. The Athletics are +3.05 and -3.05 units both SU and on the RL respectively this year. P Trevor Cahill will make the crucial road start tonight, as he is 9-4 with an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.04 this year. The Athletics are 4-0 in their last 4 road games. Oakland is 4-0 in their last 4 games against a right-handed starter. The Athletics are 14-40 in their last 54 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Oakland is 6-0 in Cahill's last 6 road starts overall. The Athletics are 5-1 in Cahill's last 6 road starts against a team with a winning record. Oakland is 13-3 in Cahill's last 16 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Athletics are 4-1 in Cahill's last 5 starts against the American League West. Oakland is 12-4 in Cahill's last 16 starts against a team with a winning record.

Athletics are 9-2 last 11 games on grass.
Over is 4-1 last 5 games against a team with a winning record.

Key Injuries - CF Rajai Davis (hamstring) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

Rangers (-152, O/U 8.5): Texas is running away with the American League West division, as they have a commanding 7.5 game lead. That 7.5 game lead just happens to be the biggest division lead in baseball. Texas is 58-41 SU this season, including 34-20 SU at home. The Rangers are +3.75 and -6.34 units both SU and on the RL overall this year. Texas continues to dominate opponents with their pitching staff, as only 2 opponents have scored more than 4 runs in their past 10 games. P Colby Lewis will take the mound tonight, as he is 9-6 with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.14 this season. The Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 Wednesday games. Texas is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Rangers are 20-6 in their last 26 games during game 2 of a series. The Rangers are 11-3 in Lewis' last 14 home starts. Texas is 6-2 in Lewis' last 8 home starts against a team with a winning record. The Rangers are 12-4 in Lewis' last 16 starts against the American League West. Texas is 1-5 in Lewis' last 6 starts against a team with a winning record.

Rangers are 11-4 last 15 games against the American League West.
The Under is 12-2-2 in their last 16 games against a team with a winning record.

Key Injuries - C Matt Treanor (knee) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4 (UNDER - Total of the Day)

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres [10:05 PM ET]

Dodgers: Los Angeles is in a critical part of their season, where they face the cream of the crop in the National League West over the next week. The Dodgers have been dominant against NL West foes this year, going 24-8 SU. Los Angeles is 53-46 SU this year, including 21-25 SU away from home. The Dodgers are -1.49 and -8.58 units both SU and on the RL overall this season. P Hiroki Kuroda will make the road start tonight, as he is 8-8 with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.30 overall this season. The Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. The Dodgers are 6-2 in their last 8 Wednesday games overall. Los Angeles is 23-11 in their last 34 games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Los Angeles is 4-1 in Kuroda's last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. The Dodgers are 18-6 in Kuroda's last 24 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Dodgers are 1-4 in Kuroda's last 5 road starts against a team with a winning record.

Dodgers are 15-7 last 22 games during game 2 of a series.
Under is 4-1 last 5 games against a team with a winning record.

Key Injuries - LF Manny Ramirez (calf) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

Padres (-117, O/U 6.5): San Diego has the best record in the National League at 58-39 SU. The Padres are also starting to distance themselves from the rest of the National League West, as only 1 team is within 6 games of them. San Diego is +23.04 and +14.18 units both SU and on the RL this season. P Clayton Richard will make the home start tonight, as he is 7-5 with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.38 this season. The Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 home games against a right-handed starter. San Diego is 4-0 in their last 4 games against the National League West. The Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 home games overall. The Padres are 7-0 in Richard's last 7 home starts against a team with a winning record. San Diego is 5-0 in Richard's last 5 starts against the National League West. The Padres are 9-2 in Richard's last 11 starts against a team with a winning record. The Padres are 1-5 in Richard's last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Padres are 3-7 last 10 games against a team with a winning record.
Over is 9-3 last 12 home games against a team with a losing road record.

Key Injuries - 2B David Eckstein (calf) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (Side of the Day)

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**Udog** · 07-28-2010, 12:22 PM

MLB
Short Sheet

Wednesday, 7/28/2010

CHICAGO CUBS at HOUSTON, 2:05 PM ET
WELLS: CHICAGO CUBS 3-10 revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite
NORRIS: HOUSTON 12-3 when playing on Wednesday

CINCINNATI at MILWAUKEE, 2:10 PM ET
WOOD: CINCINNATI 12-4 after 2 straight games with no home runs
NARVESON: MILWAUKEE 1-8 in home games after a loss by 8 runs or more

ATLANTA at WASHINGTON, 7:05 PM ET
HUDSON: ATLANTA 18-9 after 4 or more consecutive road games
HERNANDEZ: WASHINGTON 6-21 after allowing 2 runs or less

FLORIDA at SAN FRANCISCO, 7:05 PM ET
SANABIA: FLORIDA 6-14 revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite
SANCHEZ: SAN FRANCISCO 17-7 in the second half of the season

ARIZONA at PHILADELPHIA, 7:05 PM ET
JACKSON: ARIZONA 5-20 on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5
HALLADAY: PHILADELPHIA 24-5 in home games in July games

ST LOUIS at NY METS, 7:10 PM ET
GARCIA: ST LOUIS 6-15 in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
SANTANA: NY METS 8-1 in home games after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span

PITTSBURGH at COLORADO, 8:40 PM ET
OHLENDORF: PITTSBURGH 14-51 in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
COOK: 15-5 TSR after 2 or more consecutive losses

LA DODGERS at SAN DIEGO, 10:05 PM ET
KURODA: LA DODGERS 2-10 after shutting out their opponent 2 straight games
RICHARD: SAN DIEGO 21-9 after scoring 2 runs or less

MINNESOTA at KANSAS CITY, 2:10 PM ET
DUENSING: MINNESOTA 8-0 after scoring 10 runs or more
BANNISTER: KANSAS CITY 5-17 in home games in July games

BOSTON at LA ANGELS, 3:35 PM ET
BECKETT: BOSTON 8-16 in day games
PINEIRO: 22-11 TSR after a loss

NY YANKEES at CLEVELAND, 7:05 PM ET
BURNETT: NY YANKEES 20-3 in road games when playing on Wednesday
CARMONA: CLEVELAND 3-15 after scoring 4 runs or less 6 straight games

BALTIMORE at TORONTO, 7:07 PM ET
GUTHRIE: BALTIMORE 2-13 when playing on Wednesday
MARCUM: TORONTO 9-2 UNDER after a win by 6 runs or more

DETROIT at TAMPA BAY, 7:10 PM ET
BONINE: DETROIT 11-25 in road games against right-handed starters
NIEMANN: TAMPA BAY 9-1 after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base

OAKLAND at TEXAS, 8:05 PM ET
CAHILL: 17-3 TSR when the total is 8 to 8.5
LEWIS: 1-6 TSR when working on 5 or 6 days rest

SEATTLE at CHI WHITE SOX, 8:10 PM ET
VARGAS: SEATTLE 4-21 revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more
BUEHRLE: CHI WHITE SOX 20-5 after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Announcement

Wednesday's Trends and Indexes 7/28 (MLB, Misc.)

Wednesday's Trends and Indexes 7/28 (MLB, Misc.)

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