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**BettorsChat** · 07-16-2010, 06:27 PM

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**StarDust Bum** · 07-16-2010, 07:57 PM

Friday Tips

The Friday baseball card is loaded with plenty of matchups for bettors to wager on, as several potential playoff squads meet up to kick off the second half. Cincinnati looks to slow down surging Colorado, while the Marlins try to make a run through the NL East against the Nationals. We'll start in the Bronx with the top two teams in the American League renewing acquaintances.

Rays at Yankees - 7:05 PM EST

The three clubs that own the best records the AL all reside in the Eastern Division, with New York hoping to bolster its two-game lead over Tampa Bay. The Rays swept the Yankees in a two-game set in mid-May, scoring 18 runs in the sweep.

CC Sabathia (12-3, 3.09 ERA) didn't pitch in Tuesday's All-Star Game after beating the Mariners on Sunday, tying for the AL lead in wins with Tampa Bay's David Price. The former Cy Young Award winner is rolling with eight straight victories, while allowing one earned run or less in each of his last five starts. The last time Sabathia saw the Rays, the lefty nearly threw a no-hitter at Tropicana Field in April. The southpaw allowed his only hit in the eighth inning of a 10-0 blowout, going 7.2 innings for just his second victory in five starts against Tampa Bay as a member of the Yankees.

The Rays send out James Shields (7-9, 4.87 ERA), who has won just once in his previous nine outings. Shields lost as nearly a $2.00 home favorite against the Indians his last time out, giving up four earned runs in 6.1 innings of a 9-3 setback. The righty has allowed at least four earned runs in each of his last four starts, but his last two victories have come at Minnesota and New York. When Shields beat the Yankees in May, the 28-year old scattered eight hits and four runs in 7.1 innings of an 8-6 win, only the second victory for him against New York in 11 tries.

The road team is 4-1 in this season's series, while the 'over' has hit in each of the five matchups. Despite dropping the two home games earlier this season, the Yankees are 6-2 the last eight meetings in the Bronx.

Rockies at Reds - 7:10 PM EST

These two clubs meet for the first time this season as Colorado looks to cut a two-game deficit inside the NL West. The Reds' lead in the NL Central is just one game over the Cardinals entering Thursday's action as Cincinnati opens up a seven-game homestand.

Bronson Arroyo (9-4, 4.04 ERA) is coming off a road win over the Mets in his last start, yielding seven hits and one earned run in eight innings of work for his second consecutive victory. Arroyo is 4-1 in his last five starts, but the righty dropped his previous home outing against Cleveland, losing a $1.70 'chalk' by a 5-3 count. The veteran pitched well in a pair of no-decisions last season against the Rockies, but the Reds lost each game.

The Rockies have been nearly automatic when Jason Hammel (7-3, 4.08 ERA) takes the mound, as Colorado is 8-1 in his last nine starts. Six of those victories came at Coors Field, but the two road wins came against San Diego and San Francisco, both teams in Cincinnati's class. Hammel received a no-decision in a 4-3 win over Arroyo and the Reds last season, as the Colorado righty scattered three hits and two earned runs in 7.1 innings.

Colorado has owned this series over the last few seasons, going 14-1 the last 15 meetings since June 2007. The Rockies won all seven meetings last season, while going 6-0 the previous six matchups at the Great American Ballpark.

Nationals at Marlins - 7:10 PM EST

The bottom two teams in the NL East look to start the second half with a bang as Stephen Strasburg takes the mound at Sun Life Stadium for the first time. The Marlins return home for their first game in South Florida since June 27, as the Fish have played in Puerto Rico, Atlanta, Los Angeles, and Arizona over the last two weeks.

Strasburg (3-2, 2.32 ERA) has won only one of his last five starts despite putting together a quality effort in each of those outings. The Nats' rookie allowed three hits and one earned run in six innings of an 8-1 blowout of the Giants his last time out, while striking out at least eight batters for the fifth time this season. Strasburg will remain on a tight pitch count, as the standout hasn't eclipsed the 100-pitch mark yet in seven big league starts.

Ricky Nolasco (9-6, 4.55 ERA) is finally figuring things out following a slow start, going 4-0 in his last four outings. The Marlins' right-hander has tossed seven innings in each of those starts, while striking out 34 in this span. Nolasco's numbers have been substantially stronger on the road than at home, as the righty owns an ERA of 5.09 at Sun Life Stadium. Washington halted a five-game losing skid against Nolasco with a 7-1 blowout of Florida on April 30, touching up the righty for five earned runs in just four innings of work.

The two clubs have split six meetings this season as the Marlins are 2-1 at home. Following the 7-1 setback in the series opener, the Fish claimed the final two games by a combined 16-4 score. The Nats avenged those losses by taking two of three in D.C. less than a week later, including a pair of one-run triumphs in the final two games of the series.

**StarDust Bum** · 07-16-2010, 07:57 PM

Diamond Trends - Friday

Mariners at Angels - The Mariners are 0-9 since May 06, 2009 as a road dog after a loss in which they allowed 12+ hits for a net profit of $900 when playing against.

Brewers at Braves - The Brewers are 0-8 since April 24, 2010 when they are off a loss in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $915 when playing against. The Braves are 8-0 since May 31, 2010 at home when they won the last two games their starter started for a net profit of $810.

Dodgers at Cardinals - The Cardinals are 0-5 since June 24, 2010 after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits for a net profit of $630 when playing against.

Phillies at Cubs - The Cubs are 0-6 since August 27, 2009 as a home favorite after a 5+ run win and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1095 when playing against.

Mets at Giants - The Mets are 0-9 since July 22, 2009 as a road dog after a loss in which they were shut out in the last 6 innings for a net profit of $900 when playing against. The Giants are 0-5 since April 16, 2009 when Barry Zito starts after he had a WHIP of at least 2 his last start on the road for a net profit of $575 when playing against.

Tigers at Indians - The Indians are 0-8 since June 19, 2009 as a dog after a one run loss and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $800 when playing against.

Nationals at Marlins - The Nationals are 5-0 since June 29, 2010 when they are off a loss in which they never led for a net profit of $590.

Blue Jays at Orioles - The Blue Jays are 5-0 since June 05, 2009 when Ricky Romero starts after he had a WHIP of at least 2 his last start at home for a net profit of $590. The Orioles are 4-0 since June 19, 2010 as a 140+ dog when they lost the last two games their starter started for a net profit of $880.

Diamondbacks at Padres - The Diamondbacks are 0-8 since May 02, 2010 on the road when they scored two or fewer runs for their starter in his last start for a net profit of $800 when playing against. The Padres are 0-7 since May 08, 2009 after a win in which they allowed 5+ walks and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $755 when playing against.

Astros at Pirates - The Astros are 0-6 since May 16, 2010 when Brett Myers starts on the road for a net profit of $600 when playing against. The Pirates are 0-9 since August 05, 2009 at home within 20 cents of pickem when they lost the last time they faced this starting pitcher for a net profit of $900 when playing against.

Rangers at Red Sox - The Red Sox are 0-9 since May 14, 2009 as a dog after a loss in which their opponent left 18+ men on base and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $900 when playing against. The Red Sox are 0-6 since September 29, 2009 at home when they are off a loss in which they never led and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $800 when playing against.

Rockies at Reds - The Rockies are 0-7 since August 28, 2009 on the road after a loss in which their opponent left 18+ men on base and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $740 when playing against.

Athletics at Royals - The Athletics are 5-0 since July 05, 2009 when Gio Gonzalez starts after facing 25 or fewer hitters at home for a net profit of $805. The Royals are 0-5 since June 17, 2009 when Zack Greinke starts at home after going at least 6 innings and giving up no home runs on the road for a net profit of $605 when playing against. The Royals are 0-9 since May 14, 2009 at home after a 5+ run loss and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $930 when playing against.

White Sox at Twins - The White Sox are 10-0 since June 10, 2010 after scoring 6+ runs win for a net profit of $1045. The White Sox are 5-0 since June 18, 2010 when Gavin Floyd starts for a net profit of $570. The Twins are 0-5 since July 09, 2009 when Francisco Liriano starts in July for a net profit of $535 when playing against.

Rays at Yankees - The Rays are 0-7 since April 23, 2009 when James Shields starts after giving up 2 or more home runs at home for a net profit of $1005 when playing against. The Yankees are 9-0 since April 10, 2009 after a 5+ run win and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $915.

**StarDust Bum** · 07-16-2010, 08:00 PM

CFL Week 3 Betting Breakdown

Friday, 7/16/2010
(413) WINNIPEG at (414) HAMILTON 7:00 PM
Line: Hamilton by 3.5, Total: 54
Winnipeg is averaging a scintillating 41.5 PPG and 507.5 YPG on offense in its first two contests but unfortunately has just one win to show for it. New quarterback Buck Pierce has been everything head coach Paul LaPolice could ask for in his first two games with the team. Still, the Blue Bombers are stinging from the late loss to Toronto last week, a game in which they were favored by 10-1/2 points. In this divisional tilt, that upset loss leads to a powerful FoxSheets system for Friday’s tilt:

Play On - Any team (WINNIPEG) - versus division opponents, off an upset loss as a home favorite. (28-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.8%, +19.2 units. Rating = 2*)

Hamilton is one of two teams still in search of a first win and has to be concerned that it gave up 502 yards of offense to Pierce and Winnipeg in the season opener. This sets up a nice revenge spot of the Ti-Cats, perhaps negating the earlier system:

HAMILTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 38 or more points over the last 2 seasons. The average score was HAMILTON 28.2, OPPONENT 23.5 - (Rating = 1*)

Including the 49-29 win two weeks ago at home, Winnipeg is on a 5-2 SU & ATS run in the head-to-head series with Hamilton and the last three games have sailed over the posted total. The ******* Power Line indicates that Hamilton should be favored by 6 points in this one.

(415) MONTREAL at (416) BRITISH COLUMBIA 10:00 PM
Line: TBD
Montreal and British Columbia hook up for a battle of 1-1 teams Friday night in Vancouver. The Alouettes are expected to be a small favorite when the line gets released. Oddsmakers are awaiting the status of Lions’ QB Casey Printers, who left last Saturday’s loss to Saskatchewan with an injury. He is listed as questionable so there’s a good chance he will be able to go.

This will be the first time these teams have met since Montreal hammered B.C. 56-19 in the West Division Final last November. Still, that rout aside, this has been a very close series over the years. In fact, for as good as Montreal was in 2009, the Lions handed the Alouettes one of their three regular season losses last year and swept both meetings against the pointspread.

B.C.’s rushing attack has been the best in the CFL thus far this season in terms of average gain, 8.3 yards per attempt. At the same time, Montreal is allowing a league worst 7.8 yards per rush. In fact, the Alouettes are the league’s worst defense in several categories, including points allowed, yards passing and yards per pass attempt. That is a scary proposition for a team expected to be playing as a road favorite.

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