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**Udog** · 06-24-2010, 10:46 PM

Bettor's best friend: Friday's wagering tips

Lines to keep an eye on

Cubs at White Sox – The red-hot home squad opened as -150 favorites but that moneyline can now be found as low as -134. The total for the game has dropped to 8.5 at some shops after opening at 9.

Tigers at Braves – Atlanta opened as a -175 favorite but most boards are now offering -160.

Astros at Rangers – Texas surfaced as a hefty -320 favorite but that number is available as low as -297.

New York Liberty at Tulsa Shock – The home squad was released as a 1-point underdog but sharp money has moved that spread to 2.5. The total opened at 163 but that number has been bet up to 166.5.

Weather report
(Forecasts are extracted from Weather.com the night before the game.)

Astros at Rangers – A 40-50 percent chance of precipitation in is the forecast with wind blowing at 10 mph from first to third.

Cubs at White Sox – A 13 mph wind is projected to blow from left-center field.

Padres at Marlins – The National Weather Service forecast projects a strong, 19 mph wind to blow in from center field. There is also a 40 percent chance of rain throughout the game.

Tigers at Braves – There is a 30-40 percent chance of rain.

Who’s hot

Phoenix (WNBA) is 4-1 SU and ATS in its last five meetings versus Connecticut.

The White Sox have won nine straight games.

The Phillies have won three in a row and 7-of-10.

Who’s not

The BattleWings (AFL) have dropped eight of their last nine games.

Cleveland has dropped five straight and are 1-9 in its last 10 games.

The A’s had dropped three consecutive games and 7-of-10 going into Thursday.

Key stat

5-0 – Giants record while wearing their “Orange Friday” home jerseys. San Francisco has outscored its opposition 28-7 in those games.

Injuries that shouldn’t be overlooked

Brazil is will be without two key players for its final Group G match against Portugal on Friday. Kaka is suspended and will be replaced by Julio Baptista while Elano has an injured right ankle and Dani Alves will take his stop in the lineup. For Portugal, midfielder Deco will miss the game with a right hip injury.

Notable quotable

"I would love to go beat the Saints. I know I can still play at a high level. Last year was a great year, but it could have been better [winning the NFC Championship]."

-- Quarterback Brett Favre said, further indicating that he will make a return to the Minnesota Vikings in 2010. The Vikes play New Orleans in the NFL season’s opening game on Sept. 9. The Saints are listed as 4.5-point home favorites with a total of 51.

Tips and notes

- John Isner battled through an 11-hour, 5-minute tennis match over three days to defeat Nicolas Mahut in the second round of Wimbledon. The fifth set alone lasted eight hours and 11 minutes so there is no question Isner will be mentally and physically drained heading into Friday’s early 6 a.m. match with Thiemo de Bakker. Isner did have 24 hours to recover but the toll from the match, as well as the media storm this epic invoked, has to be factored into the odds. Oddsmakers have posted Isner as a +150 underdog versus Mahut (-200).

- In early May it was announced that the interleague series between the Phillies and Blue Jays would be moved from Canada to Philly because of security concerns at the G20 Summit which will be held in Toronto. Bettors need to be reminded that this changes some key factors for the series. Because of the move, the Jays will be the home team at Citizens Bank Park, batting last, and the designated hitter will be in effect. A ninth hitter in the lineup could equate to more OVERS. Also, instead of traveling to Canada the Phils get to relax at home after finishing a three-game sweep of the Indians Wednesday afternoon.

- The Cubs and Mariners ended a three-game set with an extra-inning affair that trickled into Thursday evening on the West Coast. Chicago used six relief pitchers in the 13-inning game and closer Carlos Marmol threw 28 pitches in 1.1 innings. The Cubs had to travel back to the Windy City later than expected for a 3 p.m. start against the red-hot White Sox on Friday. Internal clocks could be out of whack for Cubs players transitioning from the Pacific Time Zone back to the Central Time Zone and the extra-inning game doesn’t help either. The South Siders are a -140 favorite with the resurgent Peavy on the mound.

**Udog** · 06-24-2010, 10:49 PM

MLB

Friday, June 25

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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets
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Houston Astros at Texas Rangers (-320, 9.5)

As we all are aware here in the Covers community, a little bet can go a long way.

For the Texas Rangers, a friendly hairstyle wager between Elvis Andrus and General Manager Jon Daniels sparked its longest winning streak since 1991. Daniels was giving his young shortstop grief about his blonde highlights on June 12 so Andrus asked his boss how many wins in a row it would take for him to dye his hair.

"I said 10, figuring the odds of that were pretty long," said Daniels. "Talk about putting one's foot in their mouth. I was hoping he'd forget, but no such luck. It's not going to be a good look."

It sounds as if the Rangers’ clubhouse and management are having fun this season, and the team’s success reflects that. Texas has won 10 straight (+11.1 units) and 17 of its last 21 games.

Colby Lewis recorded nine strikeouts in a one-run complete game effort last Saturday against the Astros. The ace of the Texas staff is 3-0 in his last three starts and bettors should expect another shutdown performance Friday.

The Strangers were underdogs in the first five games of their win streak but were listed as no less than -135 chalk in the second handful of wins. While this game’s moneyline is too pricy for most bettors, Texas has only failed to cover the runline in three of its last 17 victories and should have no problem doing so here.

Pick: Rangers runline (-160)

San Diego Padres at Florida Marlins (-120, 8.5)

Every bettor knows it but a change of scenery, or management, can produce profitable results.

Florida fired manager Fredi Gonzalez Wednesday morning and replaced him with Triple-A coach Edwin Rodriguez. In his managerial debut, Rodriguez led the Marlins to a 7-5 comeback win over the Orioles.

"A win tonight was big, especially for Edwin because it was his first game,” said outfielder Chris Coghlan. “There were a lot of mixed emotions."

Likely the only emotion exuded by Hanley Ramirez was ecstasy. The All-Star shortstop was benched by Gonzalez earlier this year and the two never saw eye-to-eye in the former manager’s three-and-a-half seasons with the club. Ramirez went 1-for-4 with a run scored Wednesday.

After his first big league victory, Rodriguez was presented with the game ball, lineup card and a bottle of champagne to commemorate the occasion. The Fins have won three straight and should stay focused under the regime of their new skipper.

Pick: Marlins

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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers
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Streaking

Colby Lewis, Texas Rangers (7-4, 3.07 ERA)

The Rangers righty has won three straight starts heading into Friday’s outing with the Houston Astros. Lewis has allowed only four runs on nine hits in 24.0 innings of work. National League teams are hitting just .187 against him including Houston, which fell 5-1 to Texas last Saturday. Lewis pitched 9.0 innings, allowing only one run on two hits.

C.C. Sabathia, New York Yankees (8-3, 3.68 ERA)

The Yankees hefty lefty is heating up, winning four straight starts heading into Friday’s contest with the Los Angeles Dodgers. Sabathia has given up eight runs on 21 hits over 29 innings in that span. In his most recent appearance, he went 8.0 innings, allowing just four hits in a 4-0 shutout against the Mets.

Debuting

Aaron Laffey (0-1, 5.61 ERA)

The Tribe are throwing Laffey into the rotation with David Huff heading to Triple-A. The left-hander has been honing his skills as a starter in Triple-A Columbus while working out of Cleveland’s bullpen for the majority of the MLB season. Laffey hasn’t been overly sharp in 2010, allowing six runs in just 1.1 innings against the Yankees in his last relief outing on May 29. He made 19 starts in 2009, posting a 7-9 record and ERA of 4.44.

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This Day in Baseball
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On June 25 in Baseball History...

1903 - Boston Beaneater Wiley Piatt becomes the only 20th-century pitcher to lose two complete games in one day, falling to Pittsburgh 1-0 and 5-3.

1968 - San Francisco rookie Bobby Bonds becomes the second player to debut with a grand slam as teammate Ray Sadecki blanks the Dodgers 9-0. Bonds does it on his third at-bat. The only other player to hit a grand slam in his first major-league game was William Duggelby of the Philadelphia Nationals in 1898.

1976 - Ranger Toby Harrah becomes the first shortstop in major-league history to go through an entire doubleheader without a fielding chance. At the plate, Harrah makes up for the inactivity, collecting six hits, including a grand slam in the opener and another round-tripper in the nightcap. The Rangers beat the White Sox in the first game 8-4, but lose the nightcap 14-9.

1986 - The Phillies give 41-year-old Steve Carlton his unconditional release and call up Bruce Ruffin to take his place in the starting rotation.

1988 - Cal Ripken, Jr. plays in his 1,000th consecutive game, a 10-3 loss to Boston. Ripken's streak is the sixth-longest in major-league history.

1989 - The Mets' defense does not record a single assist in a 5-1 win over Philadelphia, tying the major-league record set by the Indians in 1945. New York pitchers retire the Phillies on 13 strikeouts, 12 fly outs, and two ground balls to first base.

1995 - Rockies first baseman Andres Galarraga becomes the fourth player to homer in three consecutive innings in an 11-3 win over the Padres. Galarraga, who had seven RBI in the game, went deep in the sixth, seventh and eighth innings and was on deck when the Rockies were retired in the ninth.

1997 - The Brewers scarcely even sniff a hit before Jose Valentin cues Mike Mussina's first offering of the eighth inning off the end of the bat into short right field for a single in Baltimore's 9-1 win. It marks the second time in less than a month that the Orioles ace righthander flirts with a no-hitter deep into a game. Mussina retired the first 25 Cleveland hitters at Camden Yards on May 30 before Sandy Alomar's one-out single in the ninth.

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**Udog** · 06-24-2010, 10:50 PM

WNBA

Friday, June 25

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Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets
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Phoenix Mercury at Connecticut Sun (-4.5, 186.5)

The defending WNBA champs will be out for revenge when they visit the Connecticut Sun Friday. The Mercury lost 96-94 to the Sun in their most recent outing Sunday, failing to cover as 5-point favorites.

Phoenix battled back from being 21 points down in that game, scoring 27 points in the fourth quarter. The loss dropped the Mercury to 5-7 with a 4-8 mark against the spread on the year.

"We lost because we didn't come out hard in the first half and third quarter," head coach Corey Gaines told reporters. "It's funny, I think it was just getting the rebounds and going. Just straight solid defense. Get the stop, get the rebound and go instead of them getting a put-back after the first stop."

Phoenix has lost back-to-back games and has watched their defense slip to 12th in the WNBA. The Sun, on the other hand, are one of the best defensive teams in the league and have been solid inside Mohegan Sun Arena.

Pick: Connecticut

Indiana Fever at Seattle Storm (-6, 143)

The Seattle Storm haven’t lost in seven games inside Key Arena, picking up win No. 7 over the San Antonio Silver Stars Sunday night.

However, they welcome the Fever to the Emerald City Friday – a team that handed the Storm just their second loss of the season a little over a week ago.

"Their defense is good and I think we started off the game great, but then they kind of turned it up a little bit and it kind of frustrated us and put us back on our heels," Seattle guard Sue Bird told the Seattle Post Intelligencer. "Whenever you're playing tentatively, you're going to have turnovers because you're not aggressive and that's what happened."

Bird was back at practice this week after injuring her knee Sunday. Bird is averaging 12 points and six assists this season. She and her teammates are set on revenge Friday night.

Pick: Seattle

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**Udog** · 06-24-2010, 10:51 PM

NOTE:
For the initial posting of trends and indexes, we have provided information available up to the time of posting.
Additional updates for today’s games will be posted ASAP.

**Udog** · 06-25-2010, 07:33 AM

Daily Sports Roundup: June 25

Today in the Daily Sports Roundup: Group play concludes at the World Cup in South Africa, while the Cubs take on the White Sox, and the Phillies get a visit from the Jays.

Chasing the World Cup . . .

The World Cup wraps up group play with four games for Friday: Portugal vs. Brazil, North Korea vs. Ivory Coast, Switzerland vs. Honduras, and Chile vs. Spain. Portugal (four points) and Brazil (six points) will be battling for first place in Group G, with the Brazilians the +120 favorites over the Portuguese (+250) and the draw odds at +200. Ivory Coast is a -285 favorite against North Korea (+750) in the game between the lower Group G teams, with draw odds of +370. Chile (six points) has the Group H lead over both Spain and Switzerland (three points apiece), but they're +550 underdogs against the Spaniards (-220), with draw odds of +330. Switzerland is then pegged as the -220 favorite against also-ran Honduras (+600), with those draw odds set at +300.

Meeting up on the diamond . . .

It's Carlos Zambrano (3-5, 5.10 ERA) vs. Jake Peavy (6-5, 5.07 ERA) on Friday afternoon as the Cubs begin their interleague road series against the White Sox. Righthander Zambrano has been effective over his last three starts, surrendering a combined six earned runs over his last 18 innings of work against the Angels, Athletics, and Brewers. Righthander Peavy dominated the Nationals in his last trip to the mound, holding Washington batters scoreless on three hits over a full nine innings. Peavy beat the Cubs on June 11, giving up only two runs over seven innings.

Also on the MLB slate for Friday: San Diego at Florida, Washington at Baltimore, Arizona at Tampa Bay, Minnesota at the Mets, Cleveland at Cincinnati, Detroit at Atlanta, Houston at Texas, Seattle at Milwaukee, St. Louis at Kansas City, Colorado at the Angels, Pittsburgh at Oakland, the Yankees at the Dodgers, Boston at San Francisco, and Toronto at Philadelphia. The Jays/Phillies series (originally scheduled for Toronto but moved due to the G20 Summit) will have former Jays ace Roy Halladay (8-6, 2.43 ERA) taking on Jesse Litsch (0-1, 6.75 ERA). Righthander Halladay has lost three straight outings, surrendering 11 runs over his past 22 innings.

Rounding out the Roundup . . .

Finally, there are four games on the WNBA schedule for Friday, with Phoenix at Connecticut, New York at Tulsa, Washington at Chicago, and Indiana at Seattle. The Fever (8-4 straight-up, 6-6 against-the-spread) knocked off Atlanta 94-91 at home in their last game, with Katie Douglas and Tamika Catchings each scoring 17 points. The Storm (11-2 SU, 9-4 ATS) bounced San Antonio 82-61 last time out, as Swin Cash scored 22 points. Seattle guard Sue Bird is day-to-day for Friday with a strained knee.

**Udog** · 06-25-2010, 07:34 AM

Friday's six-pack

Some NFL salary knowledge, pertinent to last season........knowledge is from espn.

-- Bills only spent $3,460,790 on QBs last year. It showed.

-- Rams spent NFL-low $3,270,931 on WRs and didn't get their money worth either, but part of it was their horrendous QB/OL play.

-- Jaguars spent an NFL-high $18,188,450 on running backs.

-- Miami spent $41,649,735 on their OL; no one else in the league spent more than $27.7M. Is their offensive line that good?

-- Giants spent $33,973,330 on their defensive line; the defense wasn't good enough, so coordinator Sheridan got canned. Was it his fault, or were the players who got all that money overrated to begin with?

-- Redskins spent only $3,764,805 on LBs; its just weird to see them not spending a lot in any aingle area. They'll be an interesting team to follow now that Bruce Allen and Mike Shanahan are running things.

************************************************

Friday's List of 13: Odds and ends on NBA Draft night.........

13) What kind of way is this to run a business? Portland fired their GM Kevin Pritchard hours before their NBA Draft, but had him run the draft before the door hit his butt on the way out. Has to be an interesting story behind all that. Always thought Pritchard did a good job in Portland.

12) Kentucky had five guys drafted in the first 29 picks, which raises lot of questions, such as.............
-- Why did John Calipari call it a great night for the university? It might be a great night for him, but certainly not for the school.
-- Why was a guy who scored 3.4 ppg in 13 minutes a game drafted in the first round? Daniel Orton didn't start one game last year!!!!
-- At what point will Kentucky have some players who stay in school for more than a year?
-- If UK was so talented last year, how come they didn't win the national title? They didn't even get to the Final Four.

11) The capologist ESPN had on the draft claims that Miami has cleared so much cap room that they'll be able to sign three maximum free agents this summer. Heat could have as much as $46M in cap room to spend.

10) Best moment of the night for me was Da'Sean Butler getting taken in the second round by Miami. Kid's knee is still being rehabbed after being operated on this spring, but its a good investment in future for Miami.

9) Darren Rovell of espn.com quoted a figure of $16,590,240 for what John Wall will earn on his rookie contract- thats three years.

8) If FOX pushes Stephen Strasburg for the All-Star Game and he makes the team, then RA Dickey better make it, too. Dickey is pitching better than the kid, and Strasburg has started out great.

7) Total attendance for Cardinals' three-game series in Toronto: 43,301, another red flag for baseball in Ontario. Albert Pujols isn't a draw?

6) G8 Summit is in Toronto this week, so Blue Jays moved their series to Philadelphia this weekend. Jays will bat last, will be the "home team" and will draw more fans than they would've in Toronto, but Blue Jay fans also lose out on seeing Roy Halladay return to the Rogers Centre. Too bad.

5) Once had a point guard named Milos Vujanic on my NBA fantasy club for two full years; Knicks drafted him 35th in 2002 Draft, later traded him to the Suns. One small problem: apparently, he is the only really good basketball player who didn't want to play in NBA. Never made it here, as in, never came to play in this country. Supposedly, he was very good.

4) Kid from Florida State named Ryan Reid was drafted 57th by Indiana; Chad Ford had him ranked 114th, Jay Bilas said, "I didn't have him in my top 90; he got drafted 57th. Good for him." Mr Reid is already 23 years old; he scored 6.8 ppg in 22.7 mpg for FSU, grabbing four rebounds per game. Maybe he's a great defender. We'll see. Semioles were 22-10, so at least he's been part of a winning nucleus. As always, time will tell.

Reid got traded to Oklahoma City after the draft.

3) Dustin Pedroia went 5-5 with three HRs Thursday, winning the game with an 11th-inning tater, as Boston won 13-11 in Denver. Papelbon is in a funk, blowing two saves in 24 hours, allowing six runs on 24 pitches.

2) Two starting pitchers in the Dodger-Angel game combined to throw 195 pitches. In eight tortuous half-innings; thats 8.13 pitches per out.

1) Rangers have won 11 straight games, the White Sox nine; what do the two streaks have in common? They both played the Pirates during their winning streak. Now my A's host Pittsburgh this weekend. Pressure on Bob Geren's club to right their sinking ship. Its now or never.

**Udog** · 06-25-2010, 07:37 AM

MLB
Write-Up

Friday, June 25

Please keep in mind when investing in totals that games in NL parks do not use the DH-- games in AL ballparks use the DH.

AL leads NL 110-100 in interleague play, after AL went 7-4 in games on Thursday; as far as totals go, over is 99-89-7-- 58-41-3 in the NL parks, 40-47-4 in AL stadiums.

Toronto-Philly series has been moved to Philadelphia; Blue Jays will be the home team, but because of security issues dealing with G8 Summit in Toronto, they decided it was better to move the series out of Canada.

Hot pitchers
-- Richard is 4-2, 2.77 in his last ten starts.
-- Peavy is 2-1, 1.57 in his last three starts.
-- Former Blue Jay Halladay is 0-3, 4.50 in his last three starts.
-- Pelfrey is 5-1, 2.31 in his last seven starts.
-- Reds won three of last four Harang home starts.
-- Tampa Bay is 8-1 in Niemann's last nine starts. Former Ray Jackson has a 1.99 RA in his last four road starts.
-- Braves won last five Medlen starts (3-0, 4.68).
-- Lewis is 3-0, 1.50 in his last three starts.
-- Weaver is 3-1, 2.73 in his last five starts.
-- Sabathia is 4-0, 2.48 in his last four starts.
-- JSanchez is 4-2, 1.88 in his last six home starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Marlins are 1-4 at home with Volstad if they score less than 7 runs; he has a 6.46 RA in his last three starts.
-- Zambrano is 2-3, 7.23 in five road starts this season.
-- Litsch is 0-1, 6.75 in two starts this season.
-- Washington is 0-4 in Martin starts (0-3, 5.33). Arrieta has 5.63 RA in his first three starts.
-- Slowey is 0-1, 18.48 in his last couple starts.
-- Laffey is 16-19, 4.49 in 44 big league starts; he was 0-1, 3.98 starts in his four starts at AAA Columbus.
-- Oliver was 6-4, 3.61 in 14 starts at AA Erie; he allowed 28 hits in his last 23.1 IP in Eastern League.
-- Moehler is 0-3, 6.93 in five starts this season.
-- Greinke is 1-4, 6.44 in his last six starts. Suppan lasted total of just 8.2 IP in his first two St Louis starts, with a 0-0, 3.87 record.
-- Bush is 0-3, 6.68 in six home starts this year. Rowland-Smith is 0-4, 10.05 in seven road starts this season.
-- Sheets is 0-4, 6.12 in his last four starts. Lincoln is 0-1, 6.50 in three starts this season.
-- Francis is 1-2, 5.17 in his last five starts.
-- Padilla is 1-1, 7.33 in five starts this season.
-- Wakefield is 1-3, 7.34 in his last five starts.

Totals
-- Eight of last ten Padre road games stayed under the total. Seven of last eight Florida games went over the total.
-- Five of last six White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Halladay starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 10-5 in last fifteen Washington road games.
-- Nine of last twelve games at Citi Field stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Arizona games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Atlanta home games.
-- Three of last four Texas home games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Cardinal games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 10-4-1 in last fifteen Oakland home games.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Colorado road games.
-- Seven of last nine Dodger home games went over the total.
-- Five of last six San Francisco home games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Marlins won three of their last four games. Padres are 16-8 in their last 24 road games.
-- White Sox won their last nine games, allowing total of 22 runs.
-- Cardinals won six of their last nine games.
-- Phillies won six of their last eight games, scoring 21 runs in last three.
-- Mets won 12 of their last 14 home games.
-- Reds won their last three games, allowing six runs.
-- Rangers won 13 of their last 14 games.
-- Brewers are 9-4 in their last tjirteen games at Miller Park.
-- Boston won nine of its last 12 games.
-- Angels won 15 of their last 21 games.
-- Mariners won six of their last seven games.
-- Bronx won five of its last seven games.
-- Giants won six of their last seven home games.

Cold teams
-- Cubs are 8-14 in their last twenty-two games.
-- Astros lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Blue Jays are 3-8 in last 11 games away from Toronto.
-- Tigers lost 10 of their last 14 road games. Braves lost last three games scoring total of eight runs, but they're 13-1 in last 14 home games.
-- Orioles lost 11 of their last 14 games at Camden Yards. Nationals lost eight of their last nine road games.
-- Indians lost nine of their last ten games.
-- Arizona is 1-15 in its last 16 road games. Rays are 6-10 in their last sixteen home games.
-- Twins are 9-16 in their last 25 road games.
-- Royals lost five of their last six games.
-- Oakland lost seven of last eight games overall. Pirates lost their last 14 road games.
-- Rockies lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last seven games.

**Udog** · 06-25-2010, 07:42 AM

MLB

Friday, June 25

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Trend Report
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4:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chi Cubs's last 14 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi Cubs are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home
Chi White Sox are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

7:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Washington

7:07 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. TORONTO
Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

7:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. FLORIDA
San Diego is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games on the road
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. CINCINNATI
Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
NY Mets are 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Mets's last 9 games when playing Minnesota

7:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. TAMPA BAY
Arizona is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
Arizona is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Tampa Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Arizona

7:35 PM
DETROIT vs. ATLANTA
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

8:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Texas
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

8:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. MILWAUKEE
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Seattle is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. KANSAS CITY
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing at home against St. Louis

10:05 PM
COLORADO vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels18-6-1 SU in their last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado

10:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. OAKLAND
Pittsburgh is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Oakland's last 15 games at home
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 0-4-1 SU in their last 5 games ,
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games at home

10:15 PM
BOSTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home

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**Udog** · 06-25-2010, 07:49 AM

WNBA

Friday, June 25

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. CONNECTICUT
Phoenix is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Phoenix is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Connecticut is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Connecticut's last 7 games when playing at home against Phoenix

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. TULSA
New York is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Tulsa
New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tulsa
Tulsa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Tulsa is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home

8:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CHICAGO
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Washington is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Chicago is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

10:00 PM
INDIANA vs. SEATTLE
Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Indiana's last 16 games
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Indiana
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana

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**Udog** · 06-25-2010, 09:03 AM

MLB

Friday, June 25

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Tips and Trends
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Minnesota Twins at New York Mets [7:10 PM ET]

Twins: Minnesota limps into New York after being swept by the Milwaukee Brewers. In fact, the Twins have lost 5 of their past 7 games overall. Despite their recent struggles, the Twins still lead the American League Central division. Minnesota is 40-32 SU overall this year, including 17-19 SU on the road this year. The Twins are +1.84 and -5.22 units both SU and on the RL this year. Minnesota has struggled of late with their pitching, as they have allowed 6 of their past 7 opponents to score at least 5 runs. The Twins are 44-17 in their last 61 interleague games against a right-handed starter. The Twins are 35-16 in their last 51 interleague road games against a right-handed starter. Minnesota is 4-11 in their last 15 games as a road underdog. Minnesota is 1-6 in their last 7 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.

Twins are 12-4 last 16 interleague games as an underdog.
Over is 6-1 last 7 during game 1 of a series.

Key Injuries - SS J.J. Hardy (wrist) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

Mets (-145, O/U 8.5): The climb to the top has been a long one, but the Mets have made it. New York is tied for the National League East lead, and they have the 2nd best record overall in the National League. New York is 41-30 SU, including 26-10 SU at home. The Mets are +12.21 and +23.58 units both SU and on the RL this season. New York keeps cashing tickets whether listed as the favorite or the underdog this season. P Michael Pelfrey will take the mound tonight, as the Mets will try to win their 12th game in 16 starts by Pelfrey this season. Pelfrey is 9-2 with an ERA of 2.69 and a WHIP of 1.24 this year. The Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the American League Central. The Mets are 4-0 in Pelfrey's last 4 starts during game 1 of a series. New York is 4-0 in Pelfrey's last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Mets are 8-2 in Pelfrey's last 10 home starts against a team with a winning record. New York is 20-6 in Pelfrey's last 26 home starts with the total set between 7 and 8.5 runs.

Mets are 10-1 last 11 home games against a team with a winning record.
Under is 17-4 last 21 during game 1 of a series.

Key Injuries - LF Angel Pagan (upper body) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (Side of the Day)

New York Yankees at Los Angeles Dodgers [10:10 PM ET]

Yankees (-190, O/U 8.5): New York has the best record in baseball, by a full 2 games. The Yankees are 45-27 SU this year, with a winning record in just about every scenario you can find. New York has been very consistent all season long, proof of experience and professionalism. The Yankees are +3.72 and +9.52 units both SU and on the RL respectively this year. Even though their offense has struggled a bit of late, the Yankees are still the class of the majors this year. Ace P C.C. Sabathia will take the ball tonight, as he is 8-3 with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.18 this season. The Yankees are 2-5 in their last 7 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200. The Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day. New York is 12-3 in Sabathia's last 15 starts during game 1 of a series. New York is 20-6 in Sabathia's last 26 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Yankees are 11-4 in Sabathia's last 15 starts as a road favorite.

Yankees are 10-4 last 14 interleague road games.
Under is 9-1 last 10 road games against a team with a winning record.

Key Injuries - LF Marcus Thames (hamstring) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (OVER - Total of the Day)

Dodgers: What in the world happened to Los Angeles? The Dodgers have lost 6 consecutive games after briefly leading the National League West standings. 5 of the 6 losses for the Dodgers have come as the listed underdog. Los Angeles has struggled offensively of late, scoring only 3 runs in their past 4 games combined. The Dodgers are 38-33 SU this year, including 23-13 SU at home. Los Angeles is -2.08 and -5.08 units respectively both SU and on the RL this year. The Dodgers are happy to be back in their own stadium, as they've played each of the last 9 games on the road. The Dodgers are 13-3 in their last 16 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. The Dodgers are 4-11 in their last 15 interleague home games against a left-handed starter. Los Angeles is 6-21 in their last 27 interleague games against a left-handed starter.

Dodgers are 0-4 last 4 interleague home games against a team with a winning record.
Over is 7-1-1 last 9 games a home underdog of +151 to +200.

Key Injuries - C Brad Ausmus (back) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

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**StarDust Bum** · 06-25-2010, 11:35 AM

Today's MLB Picks

Boston at San Francisco
The Giants look to build on their 7-1 record in Jonathan Sanchez' last 8 starts as a favorite from -110 to -150. San Francisco is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-125). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JUNE 25
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: San Diego at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Richard) 15.398; Florida (Volstad) 15.216
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Florida (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Under

Game 953-954: Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Zambrano) 15.980; White Sox (Peavy) 15.279
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+120); Under

Game 955-956: Philadelphia at Toronto (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Halladay) 15.371; Toronto (Litsch) 14.999
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-240); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-240); Under

Game 957-958: Washington at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Martin) 13.957; Baltimore (Arrieta) 14.801
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-105); Under

Game 959-960: Minnesota at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Slowey) 15.272; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 15.875
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-145); Over

Game 961-962: Cleveland at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Laffey) 14.464; Cincinnati (Harang) 14.074
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-180); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+160); Over

Game 963-964: Arizona at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Jackson) 14.481; Tampa Bay (Niemann) 14.751
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-200); Over

Game 965-966: Detroit at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Oliver) 14.954; Atlanta (Medlen) 15.538
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-165); Over

Game 967-968: Houston at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Moehler) 15.080; Texas (Lewis) 16.839
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Texas (-320); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-320); Over

Game 969-970: St. Louis at Kansas City (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Suppan) 15.081; Kansas City (Greinke) 14.571
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+130); Under

Game 971-972: Seattle at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Rowland-Smith) 16.449; Milwaukee (Bush) 15.992
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+140); Under

Game 973-974: Pittsburgh at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Lincoln) 13.924; Oakland (Sheets) 14.991
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Oakland (-180); 8
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-180); Under

Game 975-976: Colorado at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Francis) 15.870; LA Angels (Weaver) 15.479
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+140); Under

Game 977-978: NY Yankees at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.739; LA Dodgers (Padilla) 16.093
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-190); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-190); Over

Game 979-980: Boston at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Wakefield) 15.195; San Francisco (Sanchez) 15.724
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-125); Over

**StarDust Bum** · 06-25-2010, 11:38 AM

WNBA Basketball Picks

Phoenix at Connecticut
The Sun look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 home games. Connecticut is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sun favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JUNE 25
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 601-602: Phoenix at Connecticut (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 109.519; Connecticut 117.285
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 8; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 4 1/2; 186
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-4 1/2); Over

Game 603-604: New York at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 112.947; Tulsa 104.100
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 9; 171
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 2 1/2; 167
Dunkel Pick: New York (-2 1/2); Over

Game 605-606: Washington at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 108.689; Chicago 114.567
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 6; 144
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 4; 150
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-4); Under

Game 607-608: Indiana at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 115.875; Seattle 118.071
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 2; 141
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 6; 144 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+6); Under

**StarDust Bum** · 06-25-2010, 11:41 AM

Final Interleague Weekend Power Trends 6/24-6/26

This weekend offers the last of the interleague matchups for the season as the National League and American League teams won’t square off again until the Fall Classic, that is of course, if you don’t count the All-Star Game in a couple weeks. Unless the N.L. enjoys a huge weekend, it looks like another year where the A.L. gets the edge, as they go in with a 110-96 advantage. The best chances the Senior Circuit has to gain ground over the next few days figure to come in Philadelphia, where strangely, the Phillies VISIT the Jays, in Cincinnati, where the Reds host the Ohio battle with Cleveland, and in Kansas City, where the Cardinals visit the Royals in the heartland series. Let’s take a look at all the top action going on and reveal this weekend’s list of Top ******* Power Trends to consider in your wagering.

The Windy City rivalry resumes on Friday with the White Sox hosting the Cubs on the South side. Ozzie Guillen’s team has gotten the best of its N.L. counterparts of late at U.S. Cellular Field, taking five of the last six games. They also took two of three from the Cubs at Wrigley a couple weeks back, holding the Cubs to just seven runs. The Sox figure to have the edge here too, as they have gotten red-hot and come into the series on a 9-game winning streak.

Still, that streak by Chicago is not even the longest winning surge in baseball right now. That belongs to the Rangers, who have taken 11 in a row to grab control of the A.L. West Division, 4-1/2 games on top of the Angels. Texas figures to be a sizeable favorite in its first two games of the weekend series with the lowly Astros, who make up three games of the 11 won in a row after last weekend’s sweep. Overall, the Rangers are on a healthy 11-4 run versus Houston over the last three years.

The strangest series of all over the weekend will be in Philadelphia, where the Jays host the Phillies. No, you didn’t read that in error. Because of a conflict with Rogers Centre this weekend, the Jays-Phils series had to be moved and Philadelphia was the decided location. That means while the Phillies will sleep in their own beds over the next few nights, the Jays will dawn the home white uniforms and bat last. Oddsmakers haven’t fallen for MLB’s trick, as they have the Phillies and Roy Halladay as huge favorites in the series opener. Toronto though, has won six of the L9 games vs. Philadelphia. Something else to note, Toronto is 8-1 OVER the total on the “road” in interleague play this season.

Now, getting to the actual playoff contenders at this point, there is a series of hot and not in New York this weekend between the Mets and Twins. Minnesota comes off a 3-game sweep at the hands of the Brewers, who they have historically had their way with, while New York has used the last month of interleague play to thrive, going 11-4 for the N.L.’s best mark. That series matches the #1 team in the A.L. Central vs. the #2 team in the N.L. East. The shoes are reversed in Atlanta, where the leaders of the N.L. East, the Braves, take on the team closest to the Twins, the Tigers. Both divisions show ½ game margins at the top so all four teams will be keeping an eye on the scoreboard.

Finally, the rest of the quality action is out west, where the Rockies visit the Angels, the Dodgers host the Yankees, and the Giants welcome Boston to town. The LA-Colorado series is particularly interesting, since these are two of the better interleague clubs in baseball over the last few years. In fact, the Angels boast a 19-5 record in their L24 games vs. N.L. West foes. The Yankees-Dodgers matchup is sure to strike up feelings of past World Series’ and perhaps even days further of yesteryear when the teams used to be neighbors in Brooklyn and the Bronx. Speaking of teams strong in interleague play, the Red Sox have been outstanding in such games under manager Terry Francona, going 90-41 in his tenure.

Now, here’s a look at those Top ******* Power Trends certain to affect your wagering this weekend…

SAN DIEGO at FLORIDA

FLORIDA is 21-10 OVER (+10.9 Units) in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was FLORIDA 5.4, OPPONENT 5.3 - (Rating = 1*)

CHICAGO CUBS at CHI WHITE SOX

CHI WHITE SOX are 12-4 (+9.3 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 5.1, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 1*)

PHILADELPHIA vs. TORONTO

TORONTO is 9-0 OVER (+9.1 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was TORONTO 5.1, OPPONENT 5.6 - (Rating = 2*)

WASHINGTON at BALTIMORE

WASHINGTON is 19-6 UNDER (+12.2 Units) vs. a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was WASHINGTON 4.0, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 2*)

MINNESOTA at NY METS

NY METS are 17-9 (+11.3 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. The average score was NY METS 4.0, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 2*)

CLEVELAND at CINCINNATI

CLEVELAND is 11-29 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The average score was CLEVELAND 4.0, OPPONENT 5.8 - (Rating = 0*)

ARIZONA at TAMPA BAY

ARIZONA is 11-32 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game over the last 3 seasons. The average score was ARIZONA 3.8, OPPONENT 5.8 - (Rating = 0*)

DETROIT at ATLANTA

ATLANTA is 22-6 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. The average score was ATLANTA 5.3, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 2*)

HOUSTON at TEXAS

TEXAS is 12-1 (+10.8 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season. The average score was TEXAS 6.5, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)

ST LOUIS at KANSAS CITY

KANSAS CITY is 15-5 OVER (+9.9 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. The average score was KANSAS CITY 4.9, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 2*)

SEATTLE at MILWAUKEE

SEATTLE is 1-12 (-11.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season. The average score was SEATTLE 3.0, OPPONENT 5.3 - (Rating = 2*)

PITTSBURGH at OAKLAND

PITTSBURGH is 1-13 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in road games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. The average score was PITTSBURGH 2.8, OPPONENT 5.9 - (Rating = 1*)

COLORADO at LA ANGELS

COLORADO is 11-1 (+10.7 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was COLORADO 5.7, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 1*)

NY YANKEES at LA DODGERS

LA DODGERS are 40-22 (+15.4 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons. The average score was LA DODGERS 4.5, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)

BOSTON at SAN FRANCISCO

BOSTON is 7-21 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. The average score was BOSTON 3.3, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 2*)

**Udog** · 06-25-2010, 12:02 PM

Thanks, Bum!! Good luck today!

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Friday's Trends and Indexes 6/25 (MLB, WNBA, Misc.)

Friday's Trends and Indexes 6/25 (MLB, WNBA, Misc.)

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