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Unders are my game, and I have found what I consider a perfect candidate in my search for smart under bets.
Cincinnati is a bad road team. Like look-overmatched-by-Seattle bad. They look especially bad when they play in spacious ballparks that do not easily accommodate 3 run HRs. While the Cinci lineup has posted decent AVGs so far this season, when you are sporting Votto, Rolen, Gomes, and Bruce in the heart of the order, you are not exactly a classic hit-and-run sort of team. They want to go deep.
Gio Gonzalez is very quietly having a very nice season for Oakland, particularly at home. His most impressive home stat: 40 innings pitched, ONE homer allowed. He knows how to keep the ball inside the Coliseum.
Mike Leake is a great young pitcher who may have a tough time later in the season facing some clubs for the 2nd or 3rd time, but Oakland has never seen him, and likely done little to prepare for him in a random interleague contest. He has sneaky stuff, and that should be enough to keep the A's at bay.
I really don't think runs are coming in this game, as two under-rated young pitchers should be able to minimize the long balls and keep the score low.
CINCI/OAK UNDER 7.5
BiG
Good luck all.
Cincinnati is a bad road team. Like look-overmatched-by-Seattle bad. They look especially bad when they play in spacious ballparks that do not easily accommodate 3 run HRs. While the Cinci lineup has posted decent AVGs so far this season, when you are sporting Votto, Rolen, Gomes, and Bruce in the heart of the order, you are not exactly a classic hit-and-run sort of team. They want to go deep.
Gio Gonzalez is very quietly having a very nice season for Oakland, particularly at home. His most impressive home stat: 40 innings pitched, ONE homer allowed. He knows how to keep the ball inside the Coliseum.
Mike Leake is a great young pitcher who may have a tough time later in the season facing some clubs for the 2nd or 3rd time, but Oakland has never seen him, and likely done little to prepare for him in a random interleague contest. He has sneaky stuff, and that should be enough to keep the A's at bay.
I really don't think runs are coming in this game, as two under-rated young pitchers should be able to minimize the long balls and keep the score low.
CINCI/OAK UNDER 7.5
BiG
Good luck all.
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