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  • The Bum's Wednesday's MLB Best Bets !

    Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
    06/15/10 15-15-0 50.00% -1090 Detail
    06/14/10 4-4-0 50.00% -325 Detail
    06/13/10 14-16-0 46.67% -790 Detail
    06/12/10 15-14-0 51.72% +25 Detail
    06/11/10 14-14-1 50.00% -80 Detail
    06/10/10 11-14-1 44.00% -2525 Detail
    06/09/10 12-13-1 48.00% -1375 Detail
    06/08/10 15-13-2 53.57% +405 Detail
    06/07/10 8-8-0 50.00% +105 Detail
    06/06/10 14-14-2 50.00% -440 Detail
    06/05/10 19-11-0 63.33% +3990 Detail
    06/04/10 13-16-1 44.83% -1330 Detail
    06/03/10 9-8-1 52.94% +535 Detail
    06/02/10 16-12-0 57.14% +1575 Detail
    06/01/10 15-14-1 51.72% +335 Detail
    Totals 194-186-10 51.05% -985

    Wednesday, June 16Game Score Status Pick Amount

    Baltimore - 3:45 PM ET San Francisco -245 500
    San Francisco - Over 6.5 500 *****

    Toronto - 6:35 PM ET Toronto -113 500
    San Diego - Over 7 500 *****

    Chi. White Sox - 7:05 PM ET Chi. White Sox -130 500
    Pittsburgh - Over 8 500

    NY Mets - 7:05 PM ET NY Mets -113 500
    Cleveland - Over 9 500

    Washington - 7:05 PM ET Washington +186 500 *****
    Detroit - Under 8 500 *****

    Milwaukee - 7:05 PM ET Milwaukee +145 500 *****
    LA Angels - Over 9.5 500

    Philadelphia - 7:05 PM ET NY Yankees -215 500
    NY Yankees - Over 10 500

    Arizona - 7:10 PM ET Boston -250 500
    Boston - Over 9 500 *****

    Tampa Bay - 7:10 PM ET Tampa Bay +126 500 *****
    Atlanta - Over 8 500

    Texas - 7:10 PM ET Florida -113 500
    Florida - Over 8.5 500

    LA Dodgers - 7:10 PM ET Cincinnati +104 500
    Cincinnati - Over 8 500 *****

    Oakland - 8:05 PM ET Oakland +121 500 *****
    Chi. Cubs -

    Houston - 8:10 PM ET Kansas City +106 500
    Kansas City - Under 8.5 500

    Colorado - 8:10 PM ET Colorado +141 500 *****
    Minnesota - Over 9 500

    Seattle - 8:15 PM ET St. Louis -195 500
    St. Louis - Under 7.5 500


    ----------------------------------------------------------

    Good Luck !
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    MLB Bullpen Betting Update

    It’s been awhile since we’ve checked in on the status of the bullpens in Major League Baseball. For anyone who has hung around ******* during the baseball months, surely you know our infatuation with bullpens and their relevance to betting success. With that in mind, this is a great time to check in on each team’s key bullpen stats to see if we may be missing out on some potential wagering opportunities. I prefer to analyze the WHIP and ERA stats as strength indicators for bullpens, as opposed to saves or number of saves blown, which I believe to be more fluky figures. This time around, we’ll look at some situational numbers too, overall, at home, on the road, and last seven games.

    Note: All stats as of games completed through 6/13.

    ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.807 (30), ERA: 7.33 (30), Record: 26-38 -11.35 Units (26)
    Home - WHIP: 1.559 (24), ERA: 6.33 (30), Record: 17-16 -0.45 Units (19)
    Road - WHIP: 2.059 (30), ERA: 8.36 (30), Record: 9-22 -10.9 Units (28)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 2.197 (30), ERA: 7.72 (30), Record: 4-3 1.3 Units (13)
    Analysis: Arizona’s bullpen has been awful all year long and one of the main reasons the D-Backs are buried at the bottom of the N.L. West. They’ve been slightly better at home than on the road, but aren’t trending well at all of late.

    ATLANTA BRAVES
    Overall - WHIP: 1.28 (7), ERA: 3.27 (7), Record: 37-27 7.1 Units (4)
    Home - WHIP: 1.075 (3), ERA: 2.63 (4), Record: 19-6 10.25 Units (2)
    Road - WHIP: 1.422 (13), ERA: 3.72 (8), Record: 18-21 -3.15 Units (17)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.469 (16), ERA: 2.75 (7), Record: 4-3 1.3 Units (12)
    Analysis: Atlanta’s bullpen has really come around over the past month and is one of the contributing factors in the rise to the top of the N.L. East. They have been particularly effective at home and boast a 19-6 record, not a coincidence.

    BALTIMORE ORIOLES
    Overall - WHIP: 1.563 (25), ERA: 4.64 (23), Record: 17-46 -23.35 Units (30)
    Home - WHIP: 1.606 (28), ERA: 5.09 (27), Record: 11-21 -8.25 Units (28)
    Road - WHIP: 1.512 (16), ERA: 4.11 (15), Record: 6-25 -15.1 Units (30)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.5 (17), ERA: 5.06 (22), Record: 2-5 -1.95 Units (22)
    Analysis: Baltimore’s bullpen seems to be getting better as the season wears on, unfortunately the O’s have too many other problems, namely starting pitching, run production, and a brutal division schedule for it to matter.

    BOSTON RED SOX
    Overall - WHIP: 1.372 (12), ERA: 4.48 (20), Record: 37-28 0.27 Units (16)
    Home - WHIP: 1.246 (9), ERA: 3.66 (14), Record: 20-15 -0.25 Units (18)
    Road - WHIP: 1.553 (19), ERA: 5.66 (25), Record: 17-13 0.52 Units (8)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 2.124 (29), ERA: 6.75 (29), Record: 4-3 -0.7 Units (18)
    Analysis: Ask any fan in Boston and they’ll have very few good things to say about the Sox bullpen. However, here we are in June, and Boston remains in contention despite substandard relief pitching, particularly over the last week. Expect improvement.

    CHICAGO WHITE SOX
    Overall - WHIP: 1.422 (18), ERA: 4.04 (14), Record: 28-34 -9.4 Units (25)
    Home - WHIP: 1.531 (23), ERA: 4.9 (23), Record: 15-18 -8.3 Units (29)
    Road - WHIP: 1.284 (7), ERA: 2.95 (5), Record: 13-16 -1.1 Units (14)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.673 (24), ERA: 5.19 (23), Record: 5-2 3.2 Units (5)
    Analysis: Only four teams in the American League are scoring less runs than the White Sox, thus their disappointing bullpen stats at home have not helped the cause. The relief pitching has been more than reliable on the road however, presenting one of the biggest home/road disparities in the league to this point.

    CHICAGO CUBS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.418 (17), ERA: 4.24 (17), Record: 28-35 -16.45 Units (28)
    Home - WHIP: 1.276 (12), ERA: 3.52 (12), Record: 15-15 -7.35 Units (26)
    Road - WHIP: 1.566 (21), ERA: 4.99 (20), Record: 13-20 -9.1 Units (27)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.585 (20), ERA: 4.07 (14), Record: 3-4 -2 Units (23)
    Analysis: Unlike recent seasons where the Cubs were in playoff contention in June, Lou Pinella has not been able to turn to his bullpen and expect results. Just this past Sunday against the White Sox, the Cubs pen almost blew a near no-hit bid for Ted Lilly.

    CINCINNATI REDS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.585 (26), ERA: 4.74 (24), Record: 36-28 6.52 Units (6)
    Home - WHIP: 1.5 (22), ERA: 5.03 (25), Record: 22-15 4.45 Units (10)
    Road - WHIP: 1.706 (26), ERA: 4.32 (18), Record: 14-13 2.07 Units (6)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.682 (25), ERA: 4.09 (15), Record: 3-4 -1.9 Units (20)
    Analysis: Fortunately for Dusty Baker, the Reds are scoring enough runs (5.1, #1 in N.L.) to offset the bullpen problems they have had. They have as equally ineffective at home as on the road and aren’t trending well lately either. Mark these words…this deficiency will bite Cincy in the upcoming months.

    CLEVELAND INDIANS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.698 (29), ERA: 5.2 (28), Record: 25-37 -4.6 Units (21)
    Home - WHIP: 1.647 (30), ERA: 4.48 (21), Record: 12-17 -3.7 Units (21)
    Road - WHIP: 1.742 (29), ERA: 5.81 (29), Record: 13-20 -0.9 Units (12)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.438 (15), ERA: 3.38 (12), Record: 4-3 2.45 Units (7)
    Analysis: Cleveland is 12-games under .500 and buried at the bottom of the Central Division but in truth, it could be much worse. Fortunately, their starting staff has been competent enough to make the Indians at least competitive.

    COLORADO ROCKIES
    Overall - WHIP: 1.186 (4), ERA: 3.2 (4), Record: 33-30 -2.95 Units (19)
    Home - WHIP: 1.09 (4), ERA: 3.2 (9), Record: 19-12 1.35 Units (15)
    Road - WHIP: 1.284 (8), ERA: 3.19 (7), Record: 14-18 -4.3 Units (21)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.263 (8), ERA: 4.97 (20), Record: 4-3 -1.9 Units (21)
    Analysis: It’s a sign of the times when the Rockies no longer rely on their offense, even in Coors Field, to stay in games. Now it is actually the pitching staff, notably the bullpen, that has the Rockies in contention in the N.L. West. Overall, this relief staff is ranked 4th best in the league in both WHIP and ERA.

    DETROIT TIGERS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.262 (6), ERA: 2.98 (3), Record: 33-29 2.9 Units (12)
    Home - WHIP: 1.263 (11), ERA: 3.22 (10), Record: 20-10 8.25 Units (5)
    Road - WHIP: 1.261 (5), ERA: 2.74 (2), Record: 13-19 -5.35 Units (22)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.278 (10), ERA: 4.5 (18), Record: 4-3 0.85 Units (16)
    Analysis: Detroit has really been an enigma this season as far as bullpen betting is concerned. The Tigers have gotten strong relief pitching on the road, yet are 6-games under .500 away right now. They haven’t been nearly as effective at home, but are 10-games over-.500. Watch this trend closely in the coming weeks, as the Tigers could be ready to reverse their road woes.

    FLORIDA MARLINS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.455 (21), ERA: 4.48 (21), Record: 31-32 -1.5 Units (18)
    Home - WHIP: 1.566 (25), ERA: 4.94 (24), Record: 17-15 -0.5 Units (20)
    Road - WHIP: 1.319 (9), ERA: 3.92 (14), Record: 14-17 -1 Units (13)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.615 (21), ERA: 4.57 (19), Record: 3-4 1 Units (14)
    Analysis: Florida’s bullpen has been up & down, much like the rest of the team this entire season. Unfortunately, overall, the Marlins have blown 10 saves, games that would have made a big difference in closing the gap between them and the Braves.

    HOUSTON ASTROS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.517 (24), ERA: 4.88 (27), Record: 25-39 -5.95 Units (22)
    Home - WHIP: 1.453 (21), ERA: 4.61 (22), Record: 14-20 -6.7 Units (25)
    Road - WHIP: 1.609 (23), ERA: 5.28 (22), Record: 11-19 0.75 Units (7)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.435 (14), ERA: 5.28 (24), Record: 3-4 1.5 Units (11)
    Analysis: Houston’s bullpen hasn’t had a whole lot of chances to blow games since with the offense scoring just 3.4 runs per game, they are rarely leading. Even so, when called upon, they haven’t produced either.

    KANSAS CITY ROYALS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.508 (23), ERA: 4.38 (19), Record: 27-37 -1.4 Units (17)
    Home - WHIP: 1.619 (29), ERA: 5.04 (26), Record: 12-18 -5.9 Units (24)
    Road - WHIP: 1.399 (12), ERA: 3.74 (11), Record: 15-19 4.5 Units (5)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.306 (12), ERA: 2.61 (6), Record: 4-3 2.3 Units (8)
    Analysis: Kansas City has a real nice young starting pitching staff, and their closer has great stuff. The overall numbers for wins & losses don’t exactly show it, but the Royals’ relief staff has been very effective on the road and of late.

    LOS ANGELES ANGELS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.655 (28), ERA: 4.79 (25), Record: 36-30 6.25 Units (7)
    Home - WHIP: 1.57 (27), ERA: 4.19 (18), Record: 16-13 0.45 Units (16)
    Road - WHIP: 1.737 (27), ERA: 5.38 (24), Record: 20-17 5.8 Units (3)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.5 (18), ERA: 4.29 (17), Record: 5-2 3.7 Units (3)
    Analysis: Relief pitching has been one of the bigger problems for the Angels this year as they’ve blown half of their save opportunities at home. However, as the 8-5 bullpen record shows, they’ve been rescued on numerous occasions by late offensive heroics.

    LOS ANGELES DODGERS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.282 (8), ERA: 3.8 (13), Record: 36-27 1.65 Units (14)
    Home - WHIP: 1.298 (15), ERA: 3.85 (15), Record: 23-13 3.8 Units (11)
    Road - WHIP: 1.257 (4), ERA: 3.73 (9), Record: 13-14 -2.15 Units (15)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.05 (5), ERA: 2.03 (5), Record: 4-3 0.05 Units (17)
    Analysis: Speaking of late offensive heroics, team “walk-off”, the Dodgers have been kept in games by their bullpen, and the 13-6 record for their relief staff shows it. This isn’t typically a reliable variable to consider in your handicapping though.

    MILWAUKEE BREWERS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.633 (27), ERA: 5.86 (29), Record: 26-37 -12.4 Units (27)
    Home - WHIP: 1.567 (26), ERA: 6.02 (29), Record: 11-19 -11.65 Units (30)
    Road - WHIP: 1.695 (25), ERA: 5.71 (28), Record: 15-18 -0.75 Units (11)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.304 (11), ERA: 3.13 (11), Record: 4-3 1.65 Units (10)
    Analysis: Milwaukee has gone from having one of the worst bullpens in the league to one of the best back to one of the worst in the span of just a few years. Trevor Hoffman’s struggles have been well-documented but that is just one part of the story. However, this pen is trending well of late, making Milwaukee a team to possibly keep an eye on in the coming weeks.

    MINNESOTA TWINS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.173 (3), ERA: 2.94 (2), Record: 36-27 1.85 Units (13)
    Home - WHIP: 1.152 (7), ERA: 2.7 (5), Record: 21-12 1.75 Units (14)
    Road - WHIP: 1.193 (3), ERA: 3.17 (6), Record: 15-15 0.1 Units (10)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.424 (13), ERA: 1.83 (3), Record: 3-4 -2.35 Units (24)
    Analysis: Not surprisingly, Ron Gardenhire again has one of the more reliable relief crews in baseball, much of the reason the Twins currently own a 2.5-game lead in the Central. The best part is this bullpen is just as reliable on the road as at home. Your money is in good hands in late games with Minnesota.

    NEW YORK METS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.454 (20), ERA: 3.73 (12), Record: 35-28 6.75 Units (5)
    Home - WHIP: 1.277 (13), ERA: 2.26 (2), Record: 24-10 12.35 Units (1)
    Road - WHIP: 1.633 (24), ERA: 5.22 (21), Record: 11-18 -5.6 Units (23)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.067 (6), ERA: 1.2 (1), Record: 6-1 4.65 Units (1)
    Analysis: The Mets are another team whose bullpen hasn’t been anywhere near as effective on the road as at home, a huge reason they are 7-games under .500 away. However, they’ve been very effective lately and could have a chance to turn it around on a 6-game trip starting Tuesday.

    NEW YORK YANKEES
    Overall - WHIP: 1.316 (9), ERA: 4.06 (15), Record: 40-23 6.2 Units (8)
    Home - WHIP: 1.371 (18), ERA: 5.5 (28), Record: 22-7 9.5 Units (3)
    Road - WHIP: 1.267 (6), ERA: 2.8 (4), Record: 18-16 -3.3 Units (18)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 0.978 (4), ERA: 2.94 (8), Record: 6-1 4 Units (2)
    Analysis: New York scores enough runs (5.6, most in MLB) that the bullpen struggles this season have flown under the radar. However, if the Yankees continue to stay neck & neck with the Rays and Red Sox all season, this area of weakness could become a much bigger problem.

    OAKLAND ATHLETICS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.41 (16), ERA: 4.23 (16), Record: 32-33 0.5 Units (15)
    Home - WHIP: 1.092 (5), ERA: 2.83 (7), Record: 21-13 7.8 Units (6)
    Road - WHIP: 1.739 (28), ERA: 5.67 (27), Record: 11-20 -7.3 Units (24)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 0.944 (3), ERA: 3 (9), Record: 2-5 -3.15 Units (25)
    Analysis: Very good at home. Very bad on the road. That’s basically what we’ve come to expect from Oakland early. Their bullpen stats mirror this trend identically.

    PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
    Overall - WHIP: 1.368 (11), ERA: 3.64 (10), Record: 32-29 -8.05 Units (24)
    Home - WHIP: 1.14 (6), ERA: 3.51 (11), Record: 16-13 -5.25 Units (23)
    Road - WHIP: 1.552 (18), ERA: 3.75 (12), Record: 16-16 -2.8 Units (16)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.583 (19), ERA: 4.13 (16), Record: 2-5 -4.85 Units (28)
    Analysis: Shaky, that’s about all you can say about Philadelphia’s bullpen to date. Even when saves have been converted, they haven’t been easy. The numbers overall are decent, but Philly fans have come to expect much more and this, along with the offensive woes of course, are contributing factors in the third place standing right now.

    PITTSBURGH PIRATES
    Overall - WHIP: 1.403 (14), ERA: 4.53 (22), Record: 23-40 -4.03 Units (20)
    Home - WHIP: 1.41 (19), ERA: 4.29 (19), Record: 14-15 3.3 Units (12)
    Road - WHIP: 1.397 (11), ERA: 4.76 (19), Record: 9-25 -7.33 Units (25)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.667 (23), ERA: 5 (21), Record: 0-7 -7 Units (30)
    Analysis: Pittsburgh scores the fewest runs in baseball at 3.2. They are struggling offensively, no doubt about it. Their bullpen has really had little to do with their overall woes, and until something changes in the lineup, it won’t.

    SAN DIEGO PADRES
    Overall - WHIP: 1.019 (1), ERA: 2.62 (1), Record: 37-26 14.75 Units (1)
    Home - WHIP: 0.94 (1), ERA: 2.5 (3), Record: 20-13 6.7 Units (9)
    Road - WHIP: 1.113 (2), ERA: 2.77 (3), Record: 17-13 8.05 Units (2)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 0.778 (2), ERA: 2 (4), Record: 4-3 2.1 Units (9)
    Analysis: Best bullpen in the league. THE major reason why this team has won many games late and owns the best record in the majors. Hopefully you’ve been able to take advantage. If not, it’s not too late.

    SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.437 (19), ERA: 3.63 (9), Record: 35-27 3.5 Units (10)
    Home - WHIP: 1.294 (14), ERA: 2.01 (1), Record: 22-11 6.9 Units (8)
    Road - WHIP: 1.586 (22), ERA: 5.31 (23), Record: 13-16 -3.4 Units (19)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.962 (28), ERA: 6.23 (27), Record: 5-2 3.3 Units (4)
    Analysis: The bend, don’t break bullpen. This team has gotten into plenty of jams this season, yet has converted 22 of 30 saves and has a top 10 ERA bullpen ranking. Still, they need to improve on the road to keep up with San Diego, Los Angeles, and Colorado.

    SEATTLE MARINERS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.476 (22), ERA: 4.81 (26), Record: 24-39 -17.35 Units (29)
    Home - WHIP: 1.441 (20), ERA: 4.01 (17), Record: 15-17 -4.3 Units (22)
    Road - WHIP: 1.513 (17), ERA: 5.67 (26), Record: 9-22 -13.05 Units (29)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.637 (22), ERA: 6.14 (26), Record: 2-5 -3.3 Units (26)
    Analysis: Seattle is another team with decent arms in the bullpen but it hasn’t mattered because the offense simply can’t score runs. Unfortunately the pitching has had to be nearly perfect to give the team a chance to win games. That will continue till the runs start coming.

    ST LOUIS CARDINALS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.22 (5), ERA: 3.27 (6), Record: 34-29 -7.5 Units (23)
    Home - WHIP: 1.059 (2), ERA: 2.81 (6), Record: 19-10 0.45 Units (17)
    Road - WHIP: 1.382 (10), ERA: 3.74 (10), Record: 15-19 -7.95 Units (26)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.727 (26), ERA: 5.73 (25), Record: 1-6 -6.7 Units (29)
    Analysis: St. Louis’ recent struggles have coincided with the inability to get hitters out late. This is a bullpen that is clearly trending the wrong way right now, but a big homestand could change that.

    TAMPA BAY DEVIL RAYS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.142 (2), ERA: 3.22 (5), Record: 40-23 4.3 Units (9)
    Home - WHIP: 1.259 (10), ERA: 3.87 (16), Record: 18-15 -8.25 Units (27)
    Road - WHIP: 0.981 (1), ERA: 2.34 (1), Record: 22-8 12.55 Units (1)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.082 (7), ERA: 3.1 (10), Record: 4-3 -1.15 Units (19)
    Analysis: Look no further than the performance that Joe Maddon has gotten from his bullpen on the road to see why the Rays still own the best record in baseball. However, it is puzzling why they aren’t producing at the same level at home. Expect the home/road numbers to come back to one another the rest of the way.

    TEXAS RANGERS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.357 (10), ERA: 3.72 (11), Record: 35-28 3.42 Units (11)
    Home - WHIP: 1.298 (16), ERA: 3.63 (13), Record: 23-11 7.65 Units (7)
    Road - WHIP: 1.435 (14), ERA: 3.84 (13), Record: 12-17 -4.23 Units (20)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 0.735 (1), ERA: 1.65 (2), Record: 5-2 3.15 Units (6)
    Analysis: A recent surge by the Rangers’ bullpen has their overall stat rankings rising as well as their won-lost mark. Texas’ 9-4 record to date in June could be a sign of things to come the rest of the way as they are getting good pitching and hitting.

    TORONTO BLUE JAYS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.408 (15), ERA: 4.35 (18), Record: 34-30 8.3 Units (3)
    Home - WHIP: 1.323 (17), ERA: 4.41 (20), Record: 17-14 3.15 Units (13)
    Road - WHIP: 1.484 (15), ERA: 4.3 (17), Record: 17-16 5.15 Units (4)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.762 (27), ERA: 6.43 (28), Record: 1-6 -4.75 Units (27)
    Analysis: Toronto is proof that home runs alone can’t win games at anywhere near the clip that they used to. With the bullpen imploding in the first six games of their current 9-game road swing, the Jays have fallen to 6.5-games back. Overall, this team has still produced good numbers for bettors, but the trend seems to indicate the best days could be in the rearview mirror.

    WASHINGTON NATIONALS
    Overall - WHIP: 1.396 (13), ERA: 3.61 (8), Record: 31-33 8.75 Units (2)
    Home - WHIP: 1.245 (8), ERA: 2.97 (8), Record: 18-12 8.5 Units (4)
    Road - WHIP: 1.554 (20), ERA: 4.28 (16), Record: 13-21 0.25 Units (9)
    Last 7 Games - WHIP: 1.272 (9), ERA: 3.66 (13), Record: 4-3 1 Units (15)
    Analysis: The Nationals’ bullpen is as good as it has been since they moved to Washington. Now, with Stephen Strasburg joining the staff, their starting pitching is as well. The fact that they rank 8th in the majors in bullpen ERA has a lot to do with producing nearly 9-units of profit for bettors this season.

    If you’re still not convinced how important bullpens are to success in baseball, and thus, success in betting baseball, San Diego should be all the proof you need. More than ever, there is a huge difference in the have’s and have-not’s in terms of reliable pitching this season, and rest assured, if you ride those “have’s” the rest of the way, you’re bankroll will be glad you did. Good luck.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Wednesday Tips

      Interleague play continues with a loaded Wednesday slate, including a rematch of last season's World Series in the Bronx. We'll also take a look at the showdown in the southeast between the Braves and Rays along with the Rangers continuing their trip in Florida. Let's begin with the struggling Phillies taking on the streaking Yankees.

      Phillies at Yankees - 7:05 PM EST

      The Bronx Bombers have cleaned up lately with wins in five of six games against the Orioles and Astros to reclaim first place in the AL East. The Phillies are not a fan of interleague play, owning a 2-5 mark against AL opponents this season following Tuesday's 8-3 loss to the Yankees..

      A.J. Burnett (6-4, 3.86 ERA) is coming off consecutive road losses to the Blue Jays and Orioles, while allowing 14 hits and 10 earned runs in those defeats. Burnett's numbers at home have been strong as expected, with the Yankees winning four of five starts in the Bronx. In last season's World Series, the righty silenced the Philadelphia bats in Game 2 by scattering four hits in seven innings of a 3-1 win. The Phillies got to Burnett in Game 5 with six earned runs in two innings as Philadelphia held off New York, 8-6.

      Philadelphia counters with southpaw Jamie Moyer (6-6, 5.03 ERA), who should be well-rested after tossing just one inning in a 12-2 drubbing at Boston. The veteran gave up nine hits and nine earned runs in the shortest outing of his 24-year career, not being able to escape the second inning at Fenway Park. Moyer's road ERA climbed to 6.69 with the loss to the Sox, while the Phillies have scored two runs in his last three away starts.

      The Phillies have had many problems against the American League, winning just 10 of 31 meetings dating back to 2009. The Yankees are only 8-5 in interleague play since the start of last season, including five losses as favorites of least $1.60.

      Rays at Braves - 7:10 PM EST

      A pair of talented, young pitchers takes the hill at Turner Field as Tampa Bay and Atlanta continue its series. The Braves are 14-2 the previous 16 games at home dating back to late April, including four sweeps. The Rays own the top road mark in the league at 22-8, losing only two series on the highway.

      Tommy Hanson (6-3, 3.69 ERA) has allowed two earned runs or less in four straight starts, with Atlanta winning each game. The righty has pitched better on the road (4-1, 2.34 ERA) than at home (2-2, 5.40 ERA), while seeing the 'over' hit in eight straight outings. Atlanta's offense hasn't disappointed Hanson in this stretch, tallying at least seven runs in seven of his last eight starts, contributing to this incredible 'over' streak. Hanson won all three interleague starts in his short career, including home victories over the Red Sox and Yankees last season.

      The Rays hope that Wade Davis (5-6, 4.91 ERA) can find some consistency on the mound, putting together quality starts in five of his last ten outings. Davis fell behind early against the Jays, despite tossing seven innings and giving up three earned runs in a 3-2 setback. Tampa Bay is 2-5 in Davis' last seven starts, including losses at Texas and Oakland on the road.

      Each team owns a strong 15-6 mark in the second game of a series this season, while the Rays are 10-3 this season as an underdog. The Braves have drilled the 'over' in eight of their last 12 home games, as Atlanta is riding a 7-3 'over' run the previous ten games overall.

      Rangers at Marlins - 7:10 PM EST

      Texas and Los Angeles keep going back and forth atop the AL West, as the Rangers look to solidify their spot in the division against the Marlins. Florida has played better recently, but blew a ninth-inning lead in a 3-2 loss to Texas in the series opener last night.

      The Marlins have always been a strong team in interleague, coming off a 6-3 campaign in 2009 against the junior circuit. Florida sends out Anibal Sanchez (6-3, 3.36 ERA), who looks to rebound from a pair of shaky starts his last two times out. Sanchez picked up a victory at Tampa Bay last Friday, despite allowing seven hits and four earned runs in seven innings. The righty's home numbers are solid, winning three of four decisions, including victories over division rivals Philadelphia, New York, and Atlanta in this stretch.

      Tommy Hunter (2-0, 1.80 ERA) makes his first road start of the season for the Rangers, as the right-hander is coming off wins over the Mariners and Rays. Hunter delivered a complete-game victory against Tampa Bay in his season debut, scattering five hits and one run for a home underdog victory. Texas won four of Hunter's nine road starts last season, but went 0-4 as an away underdog.

      After dropping six of seven games to wrap up May, the Rangers have won 10 of 14, including five of seven on the road. The Marlins have been money as a home favorite, grabbing 10 of the last 13 as 'chalk' at Sun Life Stadium.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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      • #4
        Stardust thanks for the extra info. Why don't you put it up in the trends. I copied the bullpen info up in there.

        gl Stardust

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