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**BettorsChat** · 05-24-2010, 06:30 PM

gl Stardust

**StarDust Bum** · 05-24-2010, 07:08 PM

These Celtics are far from done

Talk about anti-climatic; this is exactly the situation the online sports betting world is facing in tonight’s Orlando and Boston Game 4 matchup. Only four times in the history of major sports has a team comeback from a 3-0 deficit (the city of Boston teams has been involved in half of them, one good one bad) and it has never happened on the hardwood.

The Celtics are headed to the NBA Finals whether it be tonight or later this week, but how did the veteran team come so far so fast after playing .500 basketball for 3 ½ months and being a near calamity for backers against the spread?

In hindsight, Boston had variables that were not present to the naked eye, but were just below the surface.

The Celtics have several players that had been thru every imaginable NBA condition. Two years ago they were able to finally taste a championship and thou they failed a year ago, Boston had far less expectations placed on them this season.

While many ranted (including the person that wrote this article) this was just an old team that needed to start refocusing with a different cast, their coach Doc Rivers saw something else.

“This being an older group, it’s probably easier for me to get their focus in the playoffs,” Rivers said. “The goal is right in front of them.”

Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Ray Allen might not be able to bring an outstanding performance night after night like in the past, but as their confidence grew in the postseason, each has had spurts of greatness and played true team basketball, with Boston 11-3 SU and ATS in the playoffs.

Boston has been constructed in way that promotes team play and that has the ability to stifle opponents that are not mentally strong.

Beyond Dwayne Wade, Miami lacked the physical and mental toughness to compete with Boston and fell 4-1. Cleveland was believed to be on their way to being crowned the kings of the NBA, instead they still lacked the scoring power beyond LeBron James, with outside shooters that could drain shots all day against inferior competition, but not under pressure by a defensive team that gave no quarter.

Orlando, the defending Eastern champions, had marched thru the first two rounds of the playoffs like Heidi Montag adding car miles to plastic surgeon.

The Magic thwarted the Celtics a year ago in the East semis, but Garnett wasn’t there. The 2010 version of Rajon Rondo is superior to the one Orlando faced a year ago and Kendrick Perkins, Tony Allen and Glen Davis are all better players one season later, as witnessed by their complete thrashing of the blue-clad squad 94-71. Boston is 20-7 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more since the “Big 3” and others were assembled.

This reporter admits to picking Orlando to win the series, but one nagging question was still out there. With Hedo Turkoglu and to a lesser degree Courtney Lee no longer part of Magic contingent, who was going to make big shots at crunch time?

Vince Carter has long been known for being less than clutch in the final five minutes of a contest. Dwight Howard needs to be setup to score and let’s be totally frank, Jameer Nelson, Rashard Lewis, Matt Barnes and others would never be accused of blood doping, since it would have to go thru their hearts, which they have not shown in this series to date. Orlando might be 17-4 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more, however they look much closer to the team that is 0-4 as visiting underdogs.

Sportsbook.com has Boston as seven-point favorite with total of 187.

When Celtics players were asked about their hockey counterparts blowing 3-0 playoff lead this spring and if outside influences could make them less mentally strong, Paul Pierce said this.

“This team is not complacent,” Pierce said. “We’re too close to our goals. You’ve got a team that’s won the championship so we understand what it takes. We understand the mental toughness that you’ve got to have at this point in the season. So I don’t see any slippage from us and, hopefully, we can close this thing out on Monday.”

The total is at a series low and Boston is 12-2 UNDER after allowing 35 points or less in the first half last game (second time in the series), while Orlando is 11-3 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games.

Game 4 is set for 8:30 Eastern on ESPN.

**StarDust Bum** · 05-24-2010, 07:09 PM

Philadelphia to test Montreal’s mettle again

Going into Monday’s potential Eastern Finals clincher, the Philadelphia Flyers know a couple of different things. The first is with a win, they will be playing for the Stanley Cup championship and second, who their opponent will be, the Chicago Blackhawks.

However, before thinking too far ahead, Philadelphia has to take down the peskiest team in the tournament, Montreal.

“With each series, it obviously gets harder and harder, but I don’t think you can look past that next game and that next win,” Philadelphia defenseman Chris Pronger said. “You’ve got to focus on closing out a team and being closers. We’ve got a team now down 3-1. We’ve got to get that fourth win.

“We’ve got to understand what it’s going to take, because they’re obviously a team that’s had their backs against the wall throughout the course of this playoff, through Washington and Pittsburgh, and they’ve been able to rally and come back. We obviously want to stymie that and make sure we’re putting our foot on the throat.”

The Flyers have won 21 of their last 28 home games and can advance to the Cups Finals for the first time in 13 years with a fourth and deciding victory over the Canadiens. Philadelphia is well aware the danger Montreal presents, having seen them come from behind against the Capitals and Penguins to win series and their 5-0 record in elimination games.

“We have to be careful,” Flyers forward Danny Briere said. “If there’s a team that would know that, it’s us, with what we were able to do in the previous round to the Bruins, and also what Montreal did to Washington and Pittsburgh. We’re definitely not going to take them for granted. There’s still one big win.

“We always say the fourth one or the last one is always the toughest to get against a team. We expect them to come out with a lot of desperation in Game 5, but at the same time, yes, we know we’re getting closer.” The Flyers know a thing or two about desperation, having trailed 3-0 to Boston before winning the next four.

Philadelphia has now won seven of last eight and shutout Montreal three times in the series with domineering defense and the fine goaltending of Michael Leighton, who only had to face 17 shots in last contest (one in the second period).

“One of our main goals was to play better defensively and I don't know how many times they came down the wing trying to fire pucks at me, and we had our 'D' men who stuck their stick out and it went up in the crowds," Leighton said. "We talked right before the game and said we want to block as many shots and stop them charging the net and we did. We definitely showed up to play."

For the Habs, the situation certainly appears bleak, but it is far from over as far as they are concerned, with their 9-4 record off a home loss by three or more goals. “We put ourselves in this hole and it is what it is.

We’ve got to go and win a game,” Montreal defenseman Hal Gill said.

Sportsbook.com has Philly as a -180 money line favorite with total Ov5 and they are 20-7 as home ice favorites. They will arrive at Game Five 10-4 UNDER in home games after a win by two goals or more this season. Montreal will try and manufacture one more miracle and is 11-5 after being defeated by three or more goals and is 10-3 UNDER on the road after scoring one goal or less this campaign.

The East Final has a 7:00 Eastern start on VERSUS and CBC and if Philadelphia does emerge victorious, one person who deserves a lot of credit is Flyers head coach Peter Laviolette.

It took him until the last few weeks of the regular season to convince this team how good it can be and he never let them get down on themselves in the Bruins series. After tonight, Philadelphia might be thinking about bringing home first Stanley Cup title since 1975.

**StarDust Bum** · 05-24-2010, 07:10 PM

Monday Night Baseball Betting Outlook

The Boston Red Sox have had their share of problems at Tropicana Field the last two years. The Tampa Bay Rays haven’t had too much trouble this season against Boston - or the rest of the powerful AL East. The surging Rays return home Monday night and look to improve to 5-0 in the season series against the Red Sox when the division rivals begin a three-game set.

Tampa Bay (32-12, +13.3 units) owns the best record in baseball, aided by a 14-4 mark against AL East opponents. That includes a four-game sweep at Fenway Park from April 16-19, when the Rays outscored the Red Sox 24-9 despite batting .204 and striking out 33 times. Helping Tampa Bay in that series, 16 of its 29 hits went for extra bases. Evan Longoria went 5 for 15 and scored five runs.

The Rays’ success isn’t surprising to the Red Sox, who are 4-14 at Tampa Bay in the regular season since the start of 2008.

“I think coming into this year - and I don’t need to speak for Joe Maddon or anyone on their team - but it looked like they expected to be good,” manager Terry Francona told the Red Sox’s official website. “We saw enough of them this spring where we were thinking they were gonna be good.”

Longoria has tormented Boston (24-21, -2.2), with a .309 batting average and 10 homers and 36 RBIs in 37 career games. The slugger hit .385 with five homers and 16 RBIs to help the Rays win six of nine at home from the Red Sox in 2009.

The Rays are looking for a fifth straight home win after completing a 4-1 road trip with Sunday’s 10-6 win at Houston. Ben Zobrist continues to rebound after hitting .241 in April, homered and had three hits to raise his average this month to .387 with 13 RBIs. “Zobrist doing what he does almost gives them an extra player,” Francona said. “He’s a switch-hitter who can play multiple positions.”

John Jaso and Hank Blalock also homered Sunday as Tampa Bay amassed 15 hits to rally from an early 4-0 deficit.

“You have to do all those different things in order to win as many games as we have,” Maddon said. “The offense definitely picked us up.” Tampa Bay comes into this three-game AL East series 7-1 against teams with winning records.

Boston has won five of six, including an 8-3 win over Roy Halladay in Philadelphia on Sunday, doing their usual damage in interleague play, taking record to 40-21 since 2007.

Kevin Youkilis homered and scored three runs. He’s 8 for 19 with three homers and six RBIs in his last six contests. “He’s a good hitter who doesn’t give at-bats away,” Francona said. “He’s been terrific.”

The Red Sox will start Clay Buchholz (5-3, 3.26 ERA, 1.429 WHIP), who’s posted a 1.88 ERA while winning his last two outings. He yielded two runs in eight innings Wednesday in a 3-2 home victory over Minnesota.

Buchholz gave up four unearned runs over five innings to fall 6-5 to the Rays on April 17, dropping to 2-2 with a 2.01 ERA in five starts against them. However, the Red Sox have won last seven roads starts by Buchholz and Longoria is 2 for 12 versus the right-hander.

Rookie Wade Davis (4-3, 3.35, 1.379) will counter for Tampa Bay after giving up two runs over 5 2/3 innings in Wednesday’s 10-6 road win over the New York Yankees - his first victory in three starts. The right-hander has had one good start and one poor outing against Boston, both at Fenway Park. He surrendered eight runs in 2 2/3 innings of a 9-1 loss Sept. 12, but allowed one run over five innings April 16 in a game the Rays won 3-1 in 12.

Sportsbook.com has listed the Rays as -130 money line betting choice for those that follow sports betting closely, with the total Ov9. Tampa Bay is 14-3 when the money line is -100 to -150 this season and is 8-0 UNDER recently at Tropicana Field. Boston is unseemly 8-23 in the role of underdog and is 5-0 OVER in previous Monday night assignments.
This encounter is on ESPN2 beginning at 7:00 Eastern and the Rays are12-1 vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better this season.

**StarDust Bum** · 05-24-2010, 07:11 PM

Sports Betting Beat

Will this be the year the National League finally ends the American League’s six year reign of terror? Though just 42 of the 252 official interleague games have been played in 2010, the numbers are evenly divided at 21-21.

Some of the usual suspects performed up to their high standards (see article), as Boston and Minnesota both won series over the National League. However, even traditionally dreadful clubs like San Diego and the Los Angeles Dodgers came thru and won two of three.

Get out the cell phone to take a picture of this.

Tampa Bay is the first team to get 20 games over .500 and they are the best bet in baseball at +13.3 units, think about that being possible after the 2007 season.

Next is two very unlikely candidates, San Diego (+10.1) and Washington (+10.1).

The Padres are still in first place in the NL West despite a batting order that does not raise the blood pressure of opposing pitchers, but they have pitching staff that leads the National League in ERA at 2.98. While some will say this is a by-product of playing at cavernous Petco Park, San Diego is 14-9 on the road and their ERA is third in the big leagues at 3.8.

Washington being over .500 at 23-22 at this stage of the season is remarkable for them. The reason the Nationals have been successful to this point is improved defense and pitching. Instead of ranking in the lower 25 percent of virtually every category, they are now average, which has them as more competitive club.

At the beginning of the year Seattle was considered a serious threat to knock the L.A. Angels off the throne as AL West champs. The question was why?

Last year Seattle was 85-77 after a hideous 61-101 2008 campaign. Because they lacked offensive firepower, the Mariners front office built the team around pitching and defensive in particular. The move paid off with surprising season.

In the offseason, Seattle added Chone Figgins trying to get another player on base for the middle of the lineup and thought Milton Bradley would find the Puget Sound a more calming area than Chicago. Seattle was 28th last season in runs scored and without changing the main part of the heart of the order, the M’s remain 28th in scoring at 3.5 runs per game, lacking any offensive punch.

With every team placing a greater emphasis on defense, the Mariners edge is negated and Felix Hernandez and Cliff Lee can’t pitch shutouts on every start, which helps explain why Seattle is 16-28, -13.9 units.
Sharp sports bettors knew this before the season started. The 2009 Mariners were the 13th team since 1900 to post a winning record after losing 100 or more games. The very next year these teams have a .487 win percentage or roughly 79 wins. (From Bill James 2010 Gold Mine)

What does the home court mean in the NBA Playoffs?

Favored home teams thus far in the postseason are 36-13, 31-17-1 ATS when playing in their own building.

**StarDust Bum** · 05-24-2010, 07:12 PM

Game 4, Orlando at Boston

If you weren’t playing close attention to Saturday night’s Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals, you might’ve mistaken the Orlando Magic for the Atlanta Hawks. In other words, like Mike Woodson’s (former) team in the East semifinals against the Magic, Orlando brought no fight, no intensity, no heart and no competitive fire to a must-win game against the Celtics.

The result was a 94-71 shellacking that was nowhere near as close as the final score indicated. Other results could follow. Translation: Like Woodson, Stan Van Gundy is now on a boiling hot seat and that might also apply to General Manager Otis Smith. To his credit, SVG stepped up at the post-game press conference, pointing all of the blame at himself for his club’s atrocious performance.

Dwight Howard should thank his head coach for taking the bullet of blame. He went 3-for-10 from the field and 1-of-4 at the charity stripe, finishing with only seven points and seven rebounds in 39-plus minutes of playing time. His plus-minus rating was a team-worst -29.

Rashard Lewis should also thank Van Gundy for taking one for the team (or him). Talk about non-existent in a series! Lewis, who owns a $118 million contract, has been a complete no-show. In Game 3, he had just as many points (four) as he had turnovers.

But that’s enough about the Magic. At this point, it’s time to offer props galore to the Celtics.

Boston (61-35 straight up, 44-50- against the spread) now has a shocking and commanding 3-0 series lead and will attempt to deal out broom treatment at home Monday night. Most betting shops have installed the Celtics as seven-point favorites to do just that in Monday’s Game 4.

The total was 188 as of late Sunday afternoon, but was down to 187 as of 3:25 p.m. Eastern today. Bettors can take Orlando (67-26 SU, 53-38-2 ATS) to win outright for a plus-280 payout (risk $100 to win $280).

Glen ‘Big Baby’ Davis came off the bench to score a game-high 17 points in Game 3, while Rajon Rondo finished with 11 points, 12 assists and four steals. Paul Pierce added 15 points and nine rebounds, while Ray Allen had 14 points, six assists and six boards.

The C’s raced out to a 27-12 lead at the end of the first quarter and the Magic never threatened to make it a game the rest of the way. By halftime, you knew the game and the series was over. Orlando’s body language said it all, as the team looked bloodied and beaten.

Now Van Gundy’s bunch is looking at its most generous underdog spot of the season. The Magic have been a six-point underdog three times this year, going 1-1-1 ATS in games at Boston, at the Lakers and at Cleveland. They won 83-78 at Boston way back on Nov. 20, lost 98-92 to L.A. on Jan. 18 and lost 115-106 to the Cavs on Feb. 11.

Doc Rivers’s squad has now won six in a row both SU and ATS since losing Game 3 at home to the Cavs in the East semifinals.

The ‘under’ has cashed in five consecutive Orlando games. The ‘under’ is 55-36-2 overall for Orlando, 30-16 in its road assignments. Meanwhile, the Celtics have watched the ‘under’ go 48-47-1 overall, but the ‘over’ is 24-23-1 in their home games.

Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Rashard Lewis had six points in Game 1, five in Game 2 and four in Game 3. His shooting performances from the field have looked like this: 2-for-10, 2-for-6 and 2-for-8. By my math, that’s 6-for-24 from the field for a pathetic 25-percent clip. Lewis averaged 14.1 points per game and shot 43.5-percent from the floor during the regular season. Obviously, that’s not the postseason production you want out of a player whose contract is for more than $100 million.

--Mike Bianchi of the Orlando Sentinel issued Sweep Dreams to the Magic’s season after the Game 3 debacle.

--Ira Winderman, who is the Miami Heat’s long-time beat writer for the South Florida Sun-Sentinel, thinks Udonis Haslem might be that toughness piece the Magic could use next season.

--VI's Mark Franco and his clients continue to punish the books with winners galore. Franco is on an 11-1 run and has produced more than 35 units of profit for the season. Bettors should check out his pick pack for tonight.

**StarDust Bum** · 05-24-2010, 07:15 PM

Monday's Tip Sheet

Chicago White Sox (18-25, -1,118) at Cleveland (16-26, -760)

Monday’s meeting between the White Sox and Indians will be the seventh encounter between the two this season. Cleveland has taken five of the first six meetings, which includes a three-game sweep at Jacobs Field in mid-April. The ‘under’ went 4-1-1 during this span, as the White Sox’s offense only managed to average 3.3 runs in the first six. The total for this total is listed at 8, which is considered low for an AL contest with average to below average pitchers.

Unfortunately for the Tribe, they haven’t been able to duplicate their success against Chicago when they meet other clubs. Cleveland avoided a three-game sweep to intrastate rival Cincinnati over the weekend with a 4-3 win on Sunday. Despite that victory, the Indians have gone 3-8 in their last 11 games, which includes a 1-4 record at home.

Chicago has been a great interleague wager over the past couple seasons and they proved it again this year by taking two of three from Florida over the weekend. The White Sox gave up 1 run in the two wins, but 13 in Sunday’s blowout loss.

The White Sox have dropped three straight games with John Danks (3-3, 2.26 ERA) on the hill but it hasn’t been his fault. He’s pitched seven-plus innings in the three starts and has only given up seven earned runs while the offense has produced just four runs over this span. Danks owns a 2-5 career mark versus the White Sox in 10 starts. Justin Masterson (0-4, 5.65 ERA) is still looking for his first win as an Indian this year and it won’t happen tonight if his current form stays the same. In his last three outings, he’s given up 18 hits and 12 walks, which has translated into 11 earned runs.

Boston (24-21, -375) at Tampa Bay (32-12, +1,387)

The Red Sox will be looking to earn their first win against the Rays this season when they open up a three-game set at Tropicana Field. Tampa captured a four-game sweep at Fenway Park from Apr. 16-19, outscoring the Red Sox 24-9 over that span. The total went 2-2.

Boston seems to be finding its groove finally, winning five of its last six, including two of three at Philadelphia over the weekend. The offense should have some confidence too, after chasing Roy Halladay on Sunday with an impressive 8-3 win. Clay Bucholz (5-3, 3.26 ERA) has arguably been Boston’s best pitcher this season, and he’s coming off two straight wins (1.88 ERA). He’s gone 3-0 on the road this season, but lost his only decision to Tampa (5-4) back in April. Bucholz is 2-2 over his career against T-Bay.

After taking two from the Yankees last week, the Rays were stifled 2-1 on Friday as heavy road favorites (-170) by the Astros. Tampa did bounce back with a pair of wins (4-2, 10-6) over the weekend to win the series. The Rays still own the best record in the majors (32-12) but seven of their losses came at home. Tampa’s offense hasn’t been as powerful at home lately, and that’s translated into eight straight ‘under’ tickets at the Trop.

Pittsburgh (19-25, +388) at Cincinnati (25-19, +700)

The lone NL matchup on Monday features the Pirates and Reds opening up a three-game series from Great American Ball Park. Pittsburgh and Cincinnati have already squared off six times this season, all of them played inWestern Pennsylvania. The Pirates took the first three in April, completing the sweep by a combined four runs. The Reds countered back in early May with three straight victories, outscoring the Bucs 16-1. This will be first game played in Ohio this season, where Cincinnati won eight of the last 10 meetings against Pittsburgh.

The Reds have been quite a surprise this season and they haven’t fallen off the radar yet. The club took two of three from Cleveland over the weekend and is 6-4 in the last 10. Tonight, Cincinnati has been installed as a healthy favorite, as Aaron Harang (2-5, 6.02 ERA) takes the hill. Harang owns a 12-5 mark against Pitt in his career but he’s easily been the worst starter for the Reds this season and he’s just 1-3 (5.34 ERA) in five starts at home. The Pirates counter with Brian Burres (2-1, 4.91 EAR) who is a lefty and more of a spot starter out of the bullpen. Make a note that Cincinnati has posted a nice mark against lefties at home this season, going 6-2.

The total on this game opened at 9 ½ runs, which could be a tad high considering the Pirates’ offense has been limited to eight runs in their last four games, all ‘under’ winners. However, the Reds are on a 6-2 ‘over’ run, which has been helped by an offense averaging 5.9 RPG during this stretch.

Toronto (26-20, +913) at Los Angeles (21-25, -423)

A battle of southpaws highlights Monday’s final game, as Toronto sends Brett Cecil (3-2, 4.98 ERA) up against Joe Saunders (3-5, 4.42 ERA) of Los Angeles. The Blue Jays (3-6) and Angels (6-9) both have losing records against lefties this season, which could attribute to the tight number (-115/+105) on the late-night battle. Cecil has performed better on the road (3-1, 3.42 ERA) this season and Saunders (1-4, 5.53 ERA) has struggled in Anaheim.

Toronto avoided a three-game sweep to Arizona on Sunday with a 12-4 road victory. Including yesterday’s win, Toronto is 2-3 in its last five on the road, but the club owns a solid 15-9 mark in games played outside of Canada this season. Los Angeles wrapped up a seven-game road trip on Sunday at St. Louis with an extra-inning loss (6-5). The Angels went 3-4 on the trip despite watching the offense put up 39 runs in the seven-game stretch. Unfortunately, the pitchers allowed 41 runs.

The Blue Jays haven’t had much success against the Angels recently. They were swept at home in mid-April, but they did manage to go 4-4 last season.

Interleague Recap

Even though the American League has owned interleague play over the National League since its inception, the NL finally earned some bragging rights over the weekend with a 23-19 record.
The ‘under’ posted a 22-20-2 record in the 42 interleague games this past weekend.
Oakland was the only team to earn a three-game sweep, doing so against Bay Area rival San Francisco. What’s more impressive about the wins is that the A’s did so against Barry Zito, Matt Cain and Jonathan Sanchez. Gamblers may want to be weary of the Giants, who have now dropped five in a row and the offense has been stifled to eight runs during this span.
Notable series wins (2-1) were the Mets over the Yankees, Red Sox over the Phillies and the Cubbies taking two of three on the road against the Rangers, both victories coming by one run too.
Speaking of the Yankees, their winning record on the run-line finally came to a close on Friday when they defeated the Mets 2-1. On the season, New York has won 25 of its 26 wins by more than two runs, which is pretty damn impressive, and golden to players limiting risk with run-line wagers.
If you’re a total player in baseball, then you should be aware of the Diamondbacks. They’ve been a clear-cut ‘over’ team (32-13) this season and that was evident this weekend as all three games against the Blue Jays easily eclipsed closing numbers of 9.5, 11 and 10. The pair combined for 43 runs (14, 13, 16) in the three-game set. Will the trend continue? This writer likes to believe that things balance out in the long run and you could get inflated numbers when the team begins a nine-game road trip against three teams with live arms, the Rockies, Giants and Dodgers.

**StarDust Bum** · 05-24-2010, 07:16 PM

Diamond Trends - Monday

Blue Jays at Angels – The Blue Jays are 0-6 since April 27, 2009 within 20 cents of pick ‘em when they are off a win in which they came back from a deficit and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $610 when playing against. The Angels are 10-1 since July 18, 2009 as a favorite when they are off a loss in which they held the lead for a net profit of $865.

White Sox at Indians – The White Sox are 0-6 since April 18, 2010 on the road when they lost the last two games their starter started for a net profit of $620 when playing against. The Indians are 0-7 since April 17, 2009 as a 140+ dog after a win in which they left 18+ men on base for a net profit of $700 when playing against. The Indians are 2-18 since September 01, 2009 as a dog and it is the first game of the series for a net profit of $1540 when playing against. The Indians are 0-7 since August 25, 2009 when Justin Masterson starts after throwing more than 100 pitches for a net profit of $720 when playing against.

Red Sox at Rays – The Red Sox are 0-7 since September 04, 2009 on the road after a win and it is the first game of the series for a net profit of $840 when playing against. The Red Sox are 0-7 since August 04, 2009 within 20 cents of pick ‘em after a 5+ run win for a net profit of $705 when playing against. The Red Sox are 7-0 since August 19, 2009 when Clay Buchholz starts on the road for a net profit of $750. The Rays are 7-0 since September 17, 2009 vs. a team that has won at least their last two games for a net profit of $700.

Pirates at Reds – The Pirates are 1-12 since April 28, 2009 on the road when they won the last two games their starter started for a net profit of $990 when playing against. The Pirates are 4-0 since April 29, 2010 when Brian Burres starts as a dog for a net profit of $690 The Reds are 1-6 since July 30, 2009 as a favorite after a loss in which they allowed 5+ walks for a net profit of $642 when playing against. The Reds are 0-5 since June 21, 2009 when Aaron Harang starts as a favorite vs a team that has hit more grounders than fly balls season-to-date for a net profit of $605 when playing against.

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The Bum's Monday's Best Bets MLB-NBA-NHL !

The Bum's Monday's Best Bets MLB-NBA-NHL !

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