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  • #16
    Trouble in Beantown?

    Don’t go throwing away those Boston Red Sox futures tickets you may have dropped a few dollars on over the winter, but there’s certainly major cause for concern in Beantown following a one-sided four-game sweep at the hands of visiting Tampa Bay. It was the Rays’ first sweep ever of at least a three-game set in Fenway.

    At 4-9, the Red Sox are off to their worst start since opening 1996 at 2-11. The Sox were an incredible 0 for 30 with runners in scoring position during the series, in which they were outscored 24-9 and never led. Boston, which last got a hit with a guy on second or third base last Wednesday, is already six games behind the first-place Rays (and 5.5 behind the hated Yankees). The Red Sox have lost six consecutive games at home, their longest Fenway skid since a 12-game streak in the middle of the 1994 season. They had won six in a row on Patriots’ Day.

    It’s probably time to cut bait with David Ortiz, who is hitting .158 with two RBIs and 15 strikeouts. It was very telling that Boston manager Terry Francona didn’t play Ortiz in Sunday’s game against Rays right-handed starter Matt Garza. If the left-handed hitting Ortiz is sitting against righties, then the end might well be near. Red Sox fans are calling for Jeremy Hermida to be the lefty-hitting DH option. Shoot, Ortiz is having such a bad run of it that he was just sued by Jay-Z for allegedly poaching the name of Jay-Z’s 40/40 sports lounges for Ortiz’s establishment in the Dominican Republic.

    Really the news is bad everywhere on this team. Jon Lester (0-2, 8.44 ERA) was bombed Sunday, allowing seven runs in six innings. He is 2-5 with a 5.29 ERA in his career in April. He's the first Red Sox starter in 60 years to allow at least four earned runs and three walks in his first three starts of a season. Big free agent acquisition John Lackey had been pretty good but then allowed eight runs and nine hits in only 3 1/3 innings in Monday’s Patriots’ Day loss. Red Sox starters now have a cumulative 5.18 ERA.

    In four of the past five games, Boston has been down at least 4-0 by the fifth inning and often much earlier. J.D. Drew (.146, 17 Ks) is in a 2-for-24 slump, Kevin Youkilis is in a 1-for-19 hole, Mike Cameron might have another kidney stone and Jacoby Ellsbury remains out of the lineup with bruised ribs, although he should be back soon.

    "Nobody is going to feel sorry for us,'' Francona said. "We kind of dug our own hole, so we're going to have to dig ourselves out.”

    Is it actually possible that Francona could now be on the hot seat? Certainly someone will have to pay for this start if it doesn’t change soon. On the positive side, Dustin Pedroia is crushing the ball and Josh Beckett allowed just three earned runs in his last 14 innings while striking out 12. And the schedule is pretty manageable over the next few weeks, with home series vs. the Rangers and Orioles followed by visits to Toronto and Baltimore. But then Boston might have a make-or-break homestand with games against the Angels, Yankees and Blue Jays. If the Sox are still scuffling when the Yanks are in town, then Red Sox Nation will be going bonkers.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    • #17
      8) Oklahoma City Thunder (0-1) at (1) Los Angeles Lakers, (1-0), 10:30 p.m.

      (Sports Network) - The reigning NBA champion Los Angeles Lakers sent a message in Game 1 of their Western Conference quarterfinals set with the upstart Oklahoma City Thunder. Now, Phil Jackson's club hopes to take a commanding 2-0 series lead tonight at Staples Center.

      Kobe Bryant had 21 points and Pau Gasol chipped in 19 with a game-high 13 rebounds on Sunday, as the top-seeded Lakers kicked off their quest to repeat as NBA champions with a wire-to-wire 87-79 victory.

      Andrew Bynum, who missed the final 13 games of the regular season with a strained right Achilles' tendon, was back in the starting lineup and gave Los Angeles a big boost with 13 points, 12 boards and four blocks.

      Derek Fisher added 11 points and sank a big three-pointer late in the fourth with Oklahoma City threatening to make it a one-possession game.

      "We eeked the game out. Defensively, we played a good game all the way through. We know that we have to get easier baskets. We had energy in the first quarter. We have to sustain it all the way through the ball game," Jackson said.

      Ron Artest provided Los Angeles a strong defensive presence in guarding Kevin Durant, the youngest scoring champion in NBA history this season with 30.1 points per game.

      Durant accounted for 24 points, but shot 7-for-24 from the floor and got to the line for 9-of-11 free throws.

      "We supported each other very well today. They (OKC) played hard and we knew they were going to fight. We tried to eliminate Kevin's (Durant) easy opportunities. Ron did a solid job on him," Bryant said. "We could have played better. We gave up too many points in transition."

      Durant's noted ability to draw fouls was a much ballyhooed topic leading up to the series' first game and even led to a fine for Jackson, who essentially suggested Durant was receiving preferential treatment from referees.

      "It was a tough one for us today. We couldn't get it going. Defensively, we played hard. Ron (Artest) plays physical, he's a great defender," Durant said. "It was discouraging. I got some good looks, I just didn't make them. In Game 2, I hope to be able to knock down those shots."

      Russell Westbrook helped pick up the scoring slack with 23 points and eight assists for the eighth-seeded Thunder. Jeff Green, who averaged 15.1 points during the regular season, had 10 on 4-of-12 shooting.

      "Our effort was good. Offensively we didn't have anything going. Credit the Lakers, they're a good defensive team," said Thunder coach Scott Brooks. "We didn't play well, but I'm encouraged that we competed. We just didn't hit shots and it had nothing to do with nerves."

      Sunday marked Oklahoma City's return to the playoffs for the first time since the then-Seattle SuperSonics won the Northwest Division back in the 2004-05 campaign.

      Since the NBA changed its playoff format in 1984, there have only been three occasions when a No. 8 seed has shocked a No. 1. The last time an eight topped a No. 1 was in 2007 when Golden State upended Dallas.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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      • #18
        NBA ZIG ZAGS… Going Up In Smoke?

        Long before the GOLD SHEET first called out the premise, Zig Zags have been the most popular rolling paper for those who enjoy their smoke of choice.

        In NBA handicapping circles, Zig Zags are trendy applications that have been profitable moneymakers during the playoffs. The play is simple: Play On a team off a playoff loss in its very next game.

        The theory is that in a short series, involving imminent elimination, a team in more inclined to bounce back with a good effort off a losing performance than it is to continue its losing ways.

        How have these plays held up of late? You might be surprised.

        Here are pointspread results of NBA Playoff Zig Zags from 1991 through 2009.

        Game on

        Overall: 611-532-27
        Game Two: 149-125-12
        Game Three: 163-118-14
        Game Four: 127-124-4
        Game Five: 93-95-5
        Game Six: 57-50
        Game Seven: 22-20

        The strength of NBA Zig Zags appears to be in Game Three. That’s generally where lower seeds return home after opening the series as a visitor. They tend to step up the pace when doing so off a loss.

        Round ‘em up

        Round One: 283-246-12
        Round Two: 191-163-7
        Round Three: 93-83-6
        Round Four: 44-40-2

        2nd Round games have been more profitable than others while championship rounds are a virtual toss-up.

        Planting the seed

        No. 1 Seeds: 85-74-4
        No. 2 Seeds: 81-60-2
        No. 3 Seeds: 66-58-8
        No. 4 Seeds: 57-55-1
        No. 5 Seeds: 48-42
        No. 6 Seeds: 43-40-1
        No. 7 Seeds: 32-40-3
        No. 8 Seeds: 38-36-3

        Note these results are since the 1996 season, when our database first began charting seeds. Living up to it’s billing, No. 2 tries harder.

        Burn baby burn

        Like all things that are popular, they eventually burn out and revert back to the norm.

        A combination of the ‘law of averages’ and an over-adjustment by the oddsmakers has seen the NBA Zig Zags start to go up in smoke this decade.

        That’s confirmed by the fact that these plays are 330-308-19 overall since 2000, including 34-38-1 when on the road off back-to-back losses and 19-24-2 in championship games.

        Higher than a kite

        So then where is it then we can still expect to catch the best buzz with these NBA Zig Zags, you ask?

        Twist these two up for size and remember, no bogarting: 1) Double Digit Dogs are 38-19-1 -and- 2) teams off a loss of 20 or more points are 101-59-2.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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        • #19
          The Stanley Cup hockey playoffs are as exciting as ever with end to end tense action. In watching or following the games, it struck me that scoring seemed to be up and had to do some quick research to determine if what seemed to be true actually was.

          While the oddsmakers are enjoying a 9-9-5 record on totals, this is up substantially from last year’s 11-6-5 UNDER record for the same amount of dates played in the tournament.

          Betting baseball is an acquired taste for me to start the season, however just surveying totals; once again it appeared some was different.

          Despite last year being a lousy spring weather-wise in most of the country, totals this season are down compared to a year with 15 days of baseball been played.

          Game totals at 8.5 or less 2009 – 88
          Game totals at 8.5 or less 2010- 103
          That’s almost a 15 percent change.

          Game totals at 10 or higher 2009 – 26
          Game totals at 10 or higher 2010 – 14

          That’s a tremendous difference at 46.2 percent down.

          I emailed James Patrick of JamesPatrickSports.com and he lent this information.

          “I think that after the first weeks of action the oddsmakers adjusted to lower scoring as a knee jerk reaction to what was going on in MLB. Pitching usually seems to dominate early April action, as the pitchers’ has always been felt to have the advantage. I think that bullpens are as or more important to consider in wagering in baseball now as the starters are usually (7/8) innings and that is the cream of the crop. When the game is on the line normally the bullpen is the determining factor and a strong bullpen in my opinion is starting to out-way a strong starting pitcher that is very overpriced.”

          I worked with the ******* gold-mining team to see if there were any secrets to be found.

          Areas like runs per game, on-base percentage and home runs were dug into. In addition, starting pitcher runs allowing, length of starts, plus WHIP’s and ERA’s of starters and bullpen pitchers revealed nothing out of the ordinary over the previous five years.

          What was the most fascinating aspect discovered was the average closing totals line has decreased each of the last five seasons for this time period.

          2006 - 8.98
          2007 - 8.97
          2008 – 8.92
          2009 – 8.80
          2010 – 8.59

          Other industry sources were contacted and nobody had an answer as to why, thus it is strictly a random event or an unsolved mystery.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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