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**Udog** · 04-08-2010, 12:36 AM

Daily Sports Roundup: April 8

Today in the Daily Sports Roundup: The Angels play host to the Twins, while the Cavaliers take on the Bulls, and the PGA Tour begins its first major of the season.

Tipping off on the hardwood . . .

The NBA has three games on tap for Thursday, with the Clippers at Sacramento, the Lakers at Denver, and Cleveland at Chicago. LeBron James and the Cavaliers rolled to a 113-101 home win over the Raptors on Tuesday night, with James picking up 19 points and 13 assists in the contest. James could decide to sit out Thursday's game to rest, which would be good news for the Bulls as they try to run down the Raptors for the final Eastern Conference playoff berth. Chicago lost 79-74 at home to the Bucks in their last game on Tuesday night. Luol Deng scored 16 points and grabbed 10 rebounds for the Bulls in that contest.

Meeting up on the diamond . . .

The American League's schedule for Thursday has Toronto at Texas, Detroit at Kansas City, Seattle at Oakland, Baltimore at Tampa Bay, Cleveland at the White Sox, and Minnesota at the Angels. The Twins will go with Kevin Slowey in their road game on Thursday night; righthander Slowey went 10-3 for Minnesota last season, posting a 4.86 ERA and fanning 75 batters over 90.2 innings. The Angels will counter Slowey with Joel Pineiro; righthander Pineiro was 15-12 for St. Louis in '09 with a 3.49 ERA and 105 strikeouts over his 214 innings pitched.

Meanwhile, there are five games on the National League slate for Thursday, with the Dodgers at Pittsburgh, St. Louis at Cincinnati, Philadelphia at Washington, the Cubs at Atlanta, and Florida at the Mets. Nate Robertson is slated to get the ball for the Marlins on Thursday night; lefthander Robertson was 2-3 for Detroit last season with a 5.44 ERA and 35 strikeouts in his 49.2 innings pitched. The Mets will go with Jon Niese on Thursday; lefthander Niese went 1-1 in five starts for New York in 2009, boasting a 4.21 ERA and fanning 18 over his 25.2 innings.

Taking a trip around the rink . . .

The National Hockey League offers up nine games on Thursday, with Montreal at Carolina, the Islanders at Pittsburgh, Ottawa at Tampa Bay, New Jersey at Florida, Anaheim at Dallas, Minnesota at Calgary, Phoenix at Los Angeles, Vancouver at San Jose, and Buffalo at Boston. The Sabres clinched the Northeast Division title with a 5-2 home win over the Rangers on Tuesday night; Ryan Miller made 30 saves in the victory. The Bruins are still trying to lock down a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. Boston is coming off a 3-2 overtime loss to the Capitals on Monday night, but they're 3-2 against the Sabres this year.

Rounding out the Roundup . . .

Finally, the PGA Tour grabs the sporting spotlight on Thursday as Tiger Woods returns to the fold at The Masters at Augusta National. Woods is pegged as the 9/2 Vegas favorite to grab the Green Jacket this week in his first tournament of the season. Phil Mickelson sits behind Woods on the odds list at 5/1, with Padraig Harrington next at 12/1, and both Steve Stricker and Lee Westwood pegged at 14/1. Sergio Garcia is back at 28/1 to win the tournament, with Ernie Els at 30/1, and defending champion Angel Cabrera farther behind at 50/1 odds.

**Udog** · 04-08-2010, 12:37 AM

Bettor's best friend: Thursday's wagering tips

Lines off the board

Cleveland Cavaliers at Chicago Bulls – Delonte West (back) missed the team’s last game and is questionable. There has been speculation that LeBron James, Mo Williams and Antawn Jamison could be rested at some point during the Cavs last handful of games.

Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins – Zdeno Chara (face) broke his nose during Monday’s game but is probable.

New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins – Evgeni Malkin (illness) is questionable. Blake Comeau (foot) left Tuesday’s game and is questionable.

Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames – Owen Nolan (leg) missed Monday’s game and is questionable. Marek Zidlicky (arm) was out for the team’s last game and is questionable.

Phoenix Coyotes at Los Angeles Kings – Robert Lang (lower body) has missed the last three weeks and is questionable for Thursday.

Lines to keep an eye on

Most sportsbooks are offering the total for the Cardinals-Reds game at 8.5 after opening at 8. The last two games in this series have gone over.

The Rays opened as -210 favorites versus Baltimore but that number can be found as low as -173 in some markets.

The opening moneyline for the Angels-Twins game in Anaheim had the home team favored at -155 but now that number is available as low as -127 on some boards.

Weather report

There is a 30 percent chance of rain during the Indians-White Sox game in Chicago on Thursday but the wind is projected to be blowing out to right field at 17 mph. The wind chill is expected to be a brisk 33 degrees.

Wind is going to be blowing in from left field at 14 mph during the Tigers-Royals afternoon game.

The Rangers and Blue Jays might be hitting some long balls on Thursday with a 10 mph wind blowing straight out to center field.

Who’s hot

Ottawa is 7-1 in its last seven games.

The Royals have won five of the last seven games versus Detroit.

Philadelphia has won four straight versus the Nationals.

Who’s not

The Nuggets are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games.

Florida is 3-7 SU in its last 10 outings.

Cleveland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games.

Key stat

3 – Number of golfers to win back-to-back Masters titles. Tiger Woods was the last to do it in 2002 while Jack Nicklaus and Nick Faldo both did it in their careers. Angel Cabrera will look to become the fourth player to achieve the feat. Cabrera is +6050 to win the Masters.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Raptors center Chris Bosh suffered a fracture to the right side of his face during Tuesday’s game against Cleveland. Bosh was bleeding from the mouth and nose before being taken to an area hospital for further evaluation. The timetable for his return is unknown. Bosh is averaging 24.3 points and 11.0 rebounds and the Raptors went 3-4 SU and 1-6 ATS earlier this season with their big man sidelined. This is the worst time for Toronto’s best player to go down, leading the Bulls by a half game for the East’s last playoff spot.

Games of the Day

Cleveland Cavaliers at Chicago Bulls

Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets (-2, 203.5)

Notable quotable

"Half the teams are sucking wind, and half the teams are playing well. The Lakers are getting torched at home worse than we've been the last few games. Oklahoma City has been playing well, but they haven't had an injury yet. Utah is playing well, but not as well with [Andrei] Kirilenko out. Denver is struggling. San Antonio is playing well most of the time, when Manu [Ginobili] scores 40.

"You look down the list, and nobody's afraid of anybody. Nobody looks at us and says, 'We're afraid of them.' Look, if we dial in, we know we can kill anybody. It's just a question of focus."

-- Mavericks owner Mark Cuban said while previewing the playoff picture for the wild Western Conference.

Tips and notes

- The Masters Par 3 Contest carries a jinx somewhat akin to the Madden cover in the NFL. No golfer has ever won the Par 3 Contest and the Masters in the same year. Raymond Floyd and Chip Beck were the closest after finishing second in the Masters but nobody has won both. Louis Oosthuizen took home 2010 Par 3 championship and said, “There’s always a first time to break the curse.”

- Chauncey Billups recently said “It’s tough playing without your head coach.” The Nuggets have been without George Karl for 14 games this season as he battles neck and throat cancer and he is expected to miss the first round of the playoffs as well. Denver has been struggling recently (5-5 SU and 1-8-1 ATS L10) but a trip to see its head coach could have been what the team needed to refocus. Billups said it was “uplifting to see and talk to him” while Nene said “he made me feel better.”

- Lee Westwood is a trendy pick to win this week’s Masters at +2050. Westwood has been solid in majors during over the last two years, finishing third in three of the last eight. But before you throw down on the Englishman, consider his front nine Round 3 performance last weekend at the Houston Open. In the span of four holes he shot 6-over par. Westwood rebounded to shoot 1-under on Sunday but looked like a lost golfer during his third round debacle and sometimes that’s tough for a golfer to shake mentally.

**Udog** · 04-08-2010, 12:39 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 8

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CLEVELAND (61 - 17) at CHICAGO (37 - 40) - 4/8/2010, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-5 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 6-5 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (27 - 50) at SACRAMENTO (24 - 54) - 4/8/2010, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 32-43 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 24-33 ATS (-12.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 20-29 ATS (-11.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 28-43 ATS (-19.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
SACRAMENTO is 32-46 ATS (-18.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-5 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 6-5 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (55 - 22) at DENVER (50 - 27) - 4/8/2010, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 32-43 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAKERS are 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
DENVER is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 54-39 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 33-12 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 24-34 ATS (-13.4 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 12-8 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 15-5 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
14 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 04-08-2010, 12:40 AM

NBA

Thursday, April 8

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NBA on TNT doubleheader
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Cleveland Cavaliers at Chicago Bulls

Rest for the weary?

With four games remaining, the Cavaliers (61-17, 37-40-1 ATS) have clinched home-court advantage throughout the playoffs, including the NBA Finals if they make it that far. This is good news for a team that is slightly banged up coming down the stretch.

Anderson Varejao had missed four games with a sore left hamstring, but he returned in a 113-101 home win over Toronto Tuesday night, recording 10 points and four rebounds.

“(Tuesday’s game) wasn't really part of my plan for the playoffs,” coach Mike Brown told the Cleveland Plain Dealer. “There will be some games guys sit out. But it will be different times for different guys. I look at these games as a high-level practice. Obviously, if we don't win, it really doesn't matter.”

Delonte West missed Tuesday’s contest with back spasms and he is listed as questionable for Thursday. Shaquille O’Neal has been sidelined for five weeks with a thumb injury and is not expected to return until the playoffs.

Daniel Gibson has missed five games with a foot problem and is also listed as questionable.

Healthy but not wealthy

The Bulls (37-40, 39-36-2 ATS) are in the exact opposite situation. They are fighting for their playoff lives and they finally have a clean bill of health for the postseason push.

Chicago trailed the Raptors by one game for the eighth spot in the Eastern Conference as of Wednesday afternoon, prior to Toronto’s home game against Boston.

“I think we're very focused,” Joakim Noah told the Chicago Tribune. “We understand we have to be on edge. If not, we're going to lose. We have to fight every night. If we don't come with that mindset, we can lose by 40. We have proven that this year.”

Noah, who missed nine games in March nursing an injured foot, has appeared in nine straight contests and has reached double-figure marks in scoring and rebounding in three of his past four outings.

Luol Deng (calf) was sidelined for 11 consecutive games in March, but he is coming off a 16-point, 10-rebound performance in a 79-74 loss to Milwaukee Tuesday in what was his third game back from injury.

Prior engagements

The Cavs and Bulls have faced each other three times this season, with Cleveland leading the head-to-head series 2-1. As an 11.5-point road underdog on November 5, Chicago pulled off a surprising 86-85 victory. On December 4, Cleveland got revenge at home 101-87, just barely covering a 12.5-point spread.

Their most recent encounter came in Chicago on March 19. The Cavaliers, 10-point road favorites, prevailed 92-85 behind 29 points from LeBron James and they out-rebounded the Bulls 53-41. Chicago was playing without Noah and point guard Derrick Rose.

Trending topics

The Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last five road games and 1-5 ATS in their last six overall.

The Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last five against the Eastern Conference and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 overall.

Cleveland (37-38-3 O/U) has not been a good over/under play this season, but the under has definitely been the way to go with Chicago (32-44-1 O/U). The under is 6-1 in the Bulls’ last seven home games and 8-2 in their last 10 overall.

Head-to-head, the under is 4-0 in the last four meetings and Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last five at home against Cleveland.

Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets (-2, 203.5)

Something to play for?

Having all but wrapped up home-court advantage throughout the West Conference playoffs, Los Angeles—like Cleveland—has little for which to play.

But don’t tell that to the Lakers (55-22, 32-42-3 ATS), who have lost three of four (1-3 ATS) and four of six (2-4 ATS) and are coming off a 100-81 blowout loss to San Antonio at home Sunday.

“We really want to go in and play them and play hard,” coach Phil Jackson told the Los Angeles Times of his team’s remaining games. “Maybe not show our whole hand, but still have that kind of game that we want to play."

Added Pau Gasol: “If we're able to finish on a high note, feeling good about what we're doing and how things are going, I think it'll be a plus for the playoffs.”

By George

The Nuggets (50-27, 32-39-6 ATS) have been struggling on the court, losing five of eight games (1-6-1 ATS), but their spirits got a boost from a Monday visit to George Karl.

“It was uplifting to see him and talk to him,” Chauncey Billups told the Denver Post of his head coach, who is undergoing treatment for throat cancer. “I told him I hope he hasn't been watching too many of our games lately.”

“When I saw him with a high sense of humor I felt better,” explained Nene. “He made me feel better.”

If Denver wants to start feeling better on the court, the team needs to get healthy. Kenyon Martin is out until mid-April with a knee injury and Chris Anderson missed Saturday’s win over the Clippers with a minor ankle problem.

Prior engagements

The Lakers and Nuggets have gone head-to-head three times this season, with Denver leading the series 2-1. As 4-point home favorites on November 13, the Nuggets cruised to a 105-79 victory. As an 8-point road underdog on February 5, Denver went into L.A. and pulled out a 126-113 win.

Los Angeles exacted revenge at home on February 8, hitting the 6-point spread on the mark with a 95-89 victory. Kobe Bryant scored just 14 points while going a dismal 3-for-17 from the floor, but the Lakers limited Denver to 35.9 percent shooting and forced the visitors into 20 turnovers.

Trending topics

The Lakers are 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 games overall.

The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last five home outings and 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 overall.

Los Angeles (33-43-1 O/U) has been a stellar under play this season while the under has also been the way to go with Denver (36-41 O/U), though to a lesser extent. The under is 7-3 in the Lakers’ last 10 overall and 8-2 in the Nuggets’ last 10 overall.

Head-to-head, the under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings between the two teams.

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**Udog** · 04-08-2010, 12:41 AM

NBA

Thursday, April 8

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Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets
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Los Angeles Clippers at Sacramento Kings (-5.5, 199.5)

There’s a reason this game isn’t part of the TNT doubleheader. You’d have to pay even a diehard NBA fan to watch this game. The Clippers and Kings have both checked out.

The Los Angeles Times reported a funny side note on the Clippers. Apparently a reporter was asking a Clipper player about the remainder of the season and said there was something like two weeks left in the season but was interrupted by the Clipper.

“Ten days,” he said correcting his interviewer.

Wow. There’s no denying the Clips are counting the days before summer vacation starts for them.

They lost over the weekend at home to the Knicks. After the game interim coach Kim Hughes admitted seldom used Knick reserve Earl Barron gave his team fits.

"Part-time player and hasn't played in forever. He really hurt us," Hughes told the L.A. Times.

Sacramento is just as bad. All the good feelings about the first month of the season now seem like a distant memory. The Kings are 0-8 and 2-5-1 against the spread over their last eight games.

The under has been paying out for both sides recently but when you get two sides this uninterested in playing defense, you’ve got to grab the over.

Pick: Over

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**Udog** · 04-08-2010, 12:42 AM

NBA

Thursday, April 8

Handicapping the NBA's Final Week

Over the last five months of NBA basketball, all 30 teams have developed tendencies in all kinds of varied situations. If you’ve been betting these tendencies night in and night out, you are well versed with when each team tends to perform and when it doesn’t. For those who haven’t been following so closely, I’m here to take a look at each clubs strengths and weaknesses from a situational standpoint to see if we can’t take advantage in the last week of the regular season, and hopefully into the playoffs

ATLANTA
* On 3+ Days Rest: 4-1 (80.0%), +2.9 Units
* as Home Favorites: 24-14 (63.2%), +8.6 Units
* vs. Division: 5-9 (35.7%), -4.9 Units
Atlanta has done a lot of things well and should be ready for the early portion of the postseason due to its record when well-rested and as a home favorite. As for this last week of the season, the Hawks are in just sure spot where they’ll play as home favorites (4/9 vs. Toronto), but face two divisional games yet (4/6 at Charlotte, 4/10 at Washington).

BOSTON
* vs. Western Conference: 9-19 (32.1%), -11.9 Units
* as Home Favorites: 11-24 (31.4%), -15.4 Units
Boston has punished its backers all season –long with negative returns in almost every scheduling situation imaginable. Two of the worst have been as Home Favorites and against the West. Unfortunately, the schedule vs. the West has concluded, but the Celtics will host Washington on 4/9 and Milwaukee on 4/14, testing the home chalk mark, assuming of course, they are playing for something in the latter as opposed to resting starters.

CHARLOTTE
* on Zero Days Rest: 14-5 (73.7%), +8.5 Units
* vs. Division: 10-4 (71.4%), +5.6 Units
* as Home Underdogs: 7-3 (70.0%), +3.7 Units
Charlotte has thrived against the number this season in a variety of situational aspects. Some of the most profitable angles for the Bobcats have come against Division Opponents, as Home Underdogs, or when playing on the second of back-to-back days. Charlotte doesn’t figure to be a home dog any longer this season but does face division foe Atlanta on 4/6, and will be on zero days rest on both 4/7 (at New Orleans) and 4/10 (vs. Detroit).

CHICAGO
* On 3+ Days Rest: 4-1 (80.0%), +2.9 Units
* vs. Division: 10-3 (76.9%), +6.7 Units
* on Zero Days Rest: 9-11 (45.0%), -3.1 Units
Chicago, for all its disappointment this year in terms of the playoff picture, has done well for its betting supporters, particularly when well rested or against divisional foes. At this time of year, rest periods of 3+ days are unheard of, meaning the divisional games versus Milwaukee on 4/6 & Cleveland on 4/8 will be the spots in which to watch the Bulls. On the other hand, Chicago’s struggles in the back-to-back makes it a potential fade on 4/9 (at New Jersey) and 4/14 (at Charlotte).

CLEVELAND
* as Underdogs: 7-3 (70.0%), +3.7 Units
* on the Road: 21-16 (56.8%), +3.4 Units
* on Zero Days Rest: 6-11 (35.3%), -6.1 Units
Surprisingly, Cleveland has struggled to cover the number in games on zero days rest, i.e. the second of back-to-back games. There is only one spot left to fade the Cavs as such this season, 4/9 at home vs. Indiana. On the opposite side of the coin, Cleveland will be in Chicago on 4/8 and at Atlanta on 4/14, two chances to ride their road prowess, with the potential of being an underdog in the Hawks game.

DALLAS
* as Road Favorites: 13-6 (68.4%), +6.4 Units
* as Home Favorites: 8-27 (22.9%), -21.7 Units
Dallas has been a crazy, but rather easy team to handicap all season long. Essentially, riding the Mavs as road favorites and fading them as home favorites has been as profitable of a recipe as you can ask for in the NBA. To close out the regular season, Dallas should be favored on the road at Sacramento on 4/10 and the Clippers on 4/12, and favored at home on 4/7 vs. Memphis and 4/14 vs. San Antonio.

DENVER
* as Underdogs: 9-5 (64.3%), +3.5 Units
* on Zero Days Rest: 6-12 (33.3%), -7.2 Units
* as Road Favorites: 7-15 (31.8%), -9.5 Units
Denver is one of two teams that does not play on the season’s final day, meaning the Nuggets will squeeze five games into a 7-day span between 4/7 & 4/13. On 4/8 (vs. LA Lakers) and 4/13 (at Phoenix) they will be in fade spots in the second of back-to-back games. Denver doesn’t figure to be a road favorite the rest of the way, but should be an underdog on 4/7 at Oklahoma City and 4/13 at Phoenix.

DETROIT
* vs. Eastern Conference: 16-27 (37.2%), -13.7 Units
* as Road Underdogs: 11-22 (33.3%), -13.2 Units
* on Zero Days Rest: 4-15 (21.1%), -12.5 Units
* vs. Division: 3-12 (20.0%), -10.2 Units
In this first playoff-less season in many years in Detroit, the Pistons performance against the spread has been downright awful. It doesn’t figure to change in the last week of the campaign. For the strongest fade possibilities, look to go against the Pistons at home vs. Atlanta on 4/7 and at Charlotte on 4/10. Both games meet the criteria of being on zero days rest and vs. Eastern Conference foes.

GOLDEN STATE
* vs. Division: 11-4 (73.3%), +6.6 Units
* on Two Days Rest: 10-5 (66.7%), +4.5 Units
* as Underdogs: 33-24 (57.9%), +6.6 Units
Golden State squeezes six games into the season’s final nine days and the only one on two days rest will be at the Clippers on 4/10. That also is the Warriors only remaining divisional game. If you’d like to keep riding the, as underdogs the rest of the way, there should be a handful of opportunities, most notably on the final two days of the season vs. Utah and at Portland.

HOUSTON
* On 3+ Days Rest: 4-1 (80.0%), +2.9 Units
* vs. Eastern Conference: 9-18 (33.3%), -10.8 Units
* on Zero Days Rest: 5-15 (25.0%), -11.5 Units
* on Two Days Rest: 3-10 (23.1%), -8 Units
Houston has been a strange Jekyll & Hyde team this year in terms of trying to handicap. Most of the success angles or lack thereof stem from the Rockets’ amount of rest heading into a game. Note that for the rest of the season, they will be playing on either a single day’s rest or zero day’s rest. Considering the struggles in the latter, look to fade Houston on 4/7 vs. Utah and 4/12 at Sacramento. The game vs. Charlotte on 4/9 is the only remaining contest vs. the East.

INDIANA
* as Favorites: 12-7 (63.2%), +4.3 Units
* as Road Underdogs: 16-21 (43.2%), -7.1 Units
The Pacers have come on of late, unfortunately too late, but they have produced major profits for bettors down the stretch. Indiana has just five games remaining and figures to be favored on 4/7 (vs. New York), 4/10 (vs. New Jersey), and 4/14 (at Washington). They will be in the fade-able road underdog role on 4/9 at Cleveland.

LA CLIPPERS
* vs. Eastern Conference: 17-11 (60.7%), +4.9 Units
* on the Road: 14-24 (36.8%), -12.4 Units
* vs. Western Conference: 14-31 (31.1%), -20.1 Units
With as bad as the Clippers have been in the second half of the season, there really isn’t any reason to think that they will give more than the minimum effort the rest of the way. However, if you’re looking for the single best fade according to their tendencies, it would be at Sacramento on 4/8, as the Clippers will be both on the road and taking on a Western Conference team.

LA LAKERS
* vs. Western Conference: 19-26 (42.2%), -9.6 Units
* as Road Underdogs: 4-8 (33.3%), -4.8 Units
In typical defending champion fashion, the Lakers have bled losses for their backers this season, struggling most notably in the road underdog role. They figure to be in that spot at Denver on 4/8. Also of note, all five of their remaining games are vs. West foes.

MEMPHIS
* vs. Eastern Conference: 16-11 (59.3%), +3.9 Units
* as Home Favorites: 10-14 (41.7%), -5.4 Units
Memphis has had a few decent runs of success this season, and they seemed to coincide with stretches f the schedule against Eastern Conference foes. The Grizzlies will face just one more such game this season, on 4/10 vs. Philadelphia. However, that game and the one of 4/6 vs. Houston both figure to be spots where they are playing as home favorites, a weak spot.

MIAMI
* on the Road: 21-16 (56.8%), +3.4 Units
* as Home Favorites: 13-17 (43.3%), -5.7 Units
Miami has seemingly done its best work this season on the road and could actually be embracing a back-to-back trip at New York and Philadelphia on 4/11 & 4/12 because of it. If you look at the Heat’s remaining games, the schedule is actually the easiest in all of the NBA. However, that could pose a problem considering their struggles as home chalk. They will be favored at home on 4/7 (vs. Philadelphia), 4/9 (vs. Detroit), & 4/14 (vs. New Jersey).

MILWAUKEE
* on Zero Days Rest: 15-3 (83.3%), +11.7 Units
* vs. Eastern Conference: 29-14 (67.4%), +13.6 Units
* on the Road: 24-12 (66.7%), +10.8 Units
* On 3+ Days Rest: 0-6 (0.0%), -6.6 Units
Milwaukee has thrived in a variety of different scheduling situations this season and will need to continue to do so if it hopes to hang on to a favorable playoff seeding. The Bucks schedule is tough the rest of the way, but games at Chicago on 4/7, Philadelphia on 4/9, and Boston on 4/14 combine multiple strong tendencies. The home games on 4/7 vs. New Jersey and 4/10 vs. Boston will be on zero days rest.

MINNESOTA
* On 3+ Days Rest: 4-0 (100.0%), +4 Units
* vs. Eastern Conference: 12-16 (42.9%), -5.6 Units
Although I personally wouldn’t be actively seeking out spots to back a team like Minnesota the rest of the way, it should be noted that the Timberwolves don’t have any 3+ days rest games remaining. The better spot to consider might be fading them in the season finale at home versus Detroit, the only remaining game vs. an East foe. However, that would be like guessing which is the worse of two evils.

NEW JERSEY
* on Two Days Rest: 8-4 (66.7%), +3.6 Units
* vs. Western Conference: 11-18 (37.9%), -8.8 Units
* at Home: 14-24 (36.8%), -12.4 Units
The effort has clearly picked up in New Jersey of late, and at one point in early March, the Nets actually covered six straight games. Still, the entire body of work is atrocious and it makes little sense to back this team in the last week. In fact, if anything, the more sensible approach would be to fade New Jersey in its remaining home games on 4/9 (vs. Chicago) and 4/12 (vs. Charlotte).

NEW ORLEANS
* on Zero Days Rest: 9-6 (60.0%), +2.4 Units
* vs. Western Conference: 20-28 (41.7%), -10.8 Units
* as Home Favorites: 7-15 (31.8%), -9.5 Units
New Orleans has had one of the most disappointing seasons in the NBA, but thankfully its almost over, with just four games left in the final 12 days. None of them are in the favorable back-to-back scenarios, and three of them are at home. The Hornets figure to be favored on 4/7 vs. Charlotte and 4/11 vs. Minnesota.

NEW YORK
* on Zero Days Rest: 6-10 (37.5%), -5 Units
* on Two Days Rest: 4-8 (33.3%), -4.8 Units
New York’s ATS performance this season has left a lot to be desired, so much that there isn’t even a favorable situation which to highlight at this point. Should you need any reason beyond the obvious to fade the Knicks the rest of the way, they will be on zero days rest on 4/7 at Indiana and on 4/12 at home vs. Washington.

OKLAHOMA CITY
* as Road Underdogs: 16-7 (69.6%), +8.3 Units
* vs. Eastern Conference: 20-10 (66.7%), +9 Units
* on Two Days Rest: 5-8 (38.5%), -3.8 Units
Being the third best spread covering team in all of the NBA, a host of situational strong spots have arisen for Oklahoma City in 2009-10. The Thunder were at their best against Eastern Conference foes, unfortunately, that part of the schedule has concluded. Instead, you might want to look to ride OKC at Utah on 4/6 and at Portland on 4/12, both road underdog opportunities.

ORLANDO
* vs. Eastern Conference: 26-20 (56.5%), +4 Units
Orlando’s inability to generate any consistently strong success in any particular angle this season when compared to last season and the year before has to be reason for concern in the Magic camp. In their run to the NBA Finals last season, they seemed to be playing with more purpose and it was evident in their ATS success. At least they have played well versus other East foes and their last five games are in-conference.

PHILADELPHIA
* as Road Underdogs: 19-14 (57.6%), +3.6 Units
* vs. Eastern Conference: 16-30 (34.8%), -17 Units
* at Home: 11-26 (29.7%), -17.6 Units
* as Home Underdogs: 4-13 (23.5%), -10.3 Units
Philadelphia has been one of the more defined teams in the NBA in 2009-10. Unfortunately for them, the bad has outweighed the good as yet another playoff-less season proves. In any case, the 76ers have been good as road dogs but poor at home and against Eastern Conference rivals. They will be road dogs at Miami (4/7), Memphis (4/10), and Orlando (4/14). The Memphis game is the only one not against the East. Fade opportunities arise on 4/9 (vs. Milwaukee) and 4/12 (vs. Miami).

PHOENIX
* as Favorites: 29-21 (58.0%), +5.9 Units
* on Zero Days Rest: 6-11 (35.3%), -6.1 Units
Phoenix is knee deep in a tight race for home court advantage in the first couple of rounds of the playoffs and the Suns should be favored in at least three of their final five games. The one spot which could prove most difficult is the season finale at Utah, not only because the Jazz are tough at home and figure to be favored, but because Phoenix will have played at home versus Denver the prior night.

PORTLAND
* on Zero Days Rest: 14-3 (82.4%), +10.7 Units
* as Road Favorites: 12-4 (75.0%), +7.6 Units
* on the Road: 23-12 (65.7%), +9.8 Units
* vs. Western Conference: 26-18 (59.1%), +6.2 Units
Portland’s rise up the standings in the last month or two has made its betting backers quite happy. It’s not over yet though, as there are still a few good opportunities in which the Blazers will be in spots where they’ve shown strong tendencies. Among them, they will be favored on the road at the Clippers on 4/7, will be on the road again in L.A. on 4/11, and they will be in a back-to-back at home vs. Oklahoma City on 4/12, and face West foes in all of their final five games.

SACRAMENTO
* as Home Favorites: 9-4 (69.2%), +4.6 Units
* as Road Underdogs: 21-13 (61.8%), +6.7 Units
* as Home Underdogs: 8-15 (34.8%), -8.5 Units
Sacramento has shown strong tendencies this season based entirely on where it has played and how oddsmakers have set up the pointspreads. As home favorites or road dogs, the Kings have been stellar. They will be in these spots on 4/8 (home vs. Clippers) and 4/13 (at Lakers). Sacramento has been very unreliable as home dogs though, and will be in that role on 4/6 (vs. San Antonio) and 4/10 (vs. Dallas).

TORONTO
* as Favorites: 17-13 (56.7%), +2.7 Units
* as Underdogs: 17-24 (41.5%), -9.4 Units
The biggest difference in Toronto’s performance this season against the pointspreads stems from whether or not it has been favored or the underdog. As chalk, the Raptors have been profitable. Look for them down the stretch in this role against Chicago on 4/11, at Detroit on 4/12, and New York on 4/14. Toronto hasn’t done nearly as well when catching the points, which they will be at Cleveland on 4/6 and at Atlanta on 4/9.

UTAH
* on Zero Days Rest: 12-4 (75.0%), +7.6 Units
* at Home: 26-11 (70.3%), +13.9 Units
* vs. Eastern Conference: 20-9 (69.0%), +10.1 Units
* as Favorites: 34-17 (66.7%), +15.3 Units
* On 3+ Days Rest: 1-4 (20.0%), -3.4 Units
As you can see from the list above, there has been only one rare spot where Utah has been a “play against team”, that being off 3+ days rest. Naturally, at this point in the season, there will be no more such games, at least until the playoffs. The Jazz will be on zero days rest on 4/7 at Houston and on 4/14 at home vs. Phoenix. Utah could be favored in all five of its remaining games, two of which are at home.

WASHINGTON
* on Two Days Rest: 7-2 (77.8%), +4.8 Units
* at Home: 13-23 (36.1%), -12.3 Units
* as Home Favorites: 4-11 (26.7%), -8.1 Units
Washington is another team playing out the string, with six games in the final nine days. Unfortunately with that packed of a schedule, none of the games will be on two days rest. More likely though, you’ll want to spot and fade the home games, there are three of those, 4/6 (vs. Golden State), 4/10 (vs. Atlanta), and 4/14 (vs. Indiana).

**Udog** · 04-08-2010, 12:43 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 8

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BUFFALO (44-26-0-9, 97 pts.) at BOSTON (36-30-0-13, 85 pts.) - 4/8/2010, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 10-9-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
12 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.3 Units)

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MONTREAL (39-32-0-9, 87 pts.) at CAROLINA (34-36-0-10, 78 pts.) - 4/8/2010, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 6-5 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 6-5-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.4 Units)

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OTTAWA (44-31-0-5, 93 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (31-36-0-12, 74 pts.) - 4/8/2010, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 60-63 ATS (-34.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 44-36 ATS (+4.1 Units) in all games this season.
OTTAWA is 23-16 ATS (+5.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
OTTAWA is 19-10 ATS (+29.4 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 55-104 ATS (-92.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 20-39 ATS (+74.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 7-4 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 7-4-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (34-36-0-9, 77 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (45-27-0-7, 97 pts.) - 4/8/2010, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 13-5 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 13-5-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (46-26-0-7, 99 pts.) at FLORIDA (31-36-0-12, 74 pts.) - 4/8/2010, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 18-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
NEW JERSEY is 11-14 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
FLORIDA is 43-40 ATS (+84.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 12-2 ATS (+9.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.
FLORIDA is 2-10 ATS (+13.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 5-14 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
FLORIDA is 2-12 ATS (+19.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 7-4 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 7-4-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.7 Units)

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ANAHEIM (38-32-0-9, 85 pts.) at DALLAS (35-31-0-14, 84 pts.) - 4/8/2010, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 1-10 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games vs. division opponents this season.
DALLAS is 20-10 ATS (+30.4 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
DALLAS is 15-9 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
ANAHEIM is 52-44 ATS (+1.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 30-46 ATS (-16.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 15-10 (+6.2 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 15-10-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
13 of 22 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.4 Units)

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MINNESOTA (37-36-0-7, 81 pts.) at CALGARY (40-31-0-9, 89 pts.) - 4/8/2010, 9:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 12-7 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 12-7-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.3 Units)

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PHOENIX (48-25-0-6, 102 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (45-27-0-7, 97 pts.) - 4/8/2010, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 12-7 (+4.6 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 12-7-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.0 Units, Under=-1.4 Units)

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VANCOUVER (48-27-0-5, 101 pts.) at SAN JOSE (49-20-0-11, 109 pts.) - 4/8/2010, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 25-12 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VANCOUVER is 25-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
VANCOUVER is 125-134 ATS (+297.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 50-40 ATS (-16.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 9-2 (+7.1 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 9-2-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

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**Udog** · 04-08-2010, 12:44 AM

NHL

Thursday, April 8

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Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets
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Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes

The Montreal Canadiens had the opportunity to clinch a playoff spot against the Islanders Tuesday night, but they let a 3-2 third-period lead disappear in the final minutes of the game to suffer a 4-3 shootout loss.

Montreal needs to earn just one more point in the next two games in order to make it to the postseason. But it won’t come easy against the Hurricanes, who stunned the Habs a week ago, winning a 2-1 decision at the Bell Centre.

“Most people look at the standings and figure it’s going to be a cakewalk but these teams have pride and they’re not going to roll over and die,” defenseman Josh Gorges told the Montreal Gazette following Tuesday’s loss to the Islanders. “They have no pressure. They can go out there and make plays. When you play teams like that, you have to be disciplined and keep it simple. We didn’t have that good second effort.”

Whatever the outcome, expect this one to be a low-scoring affair. Jaroslav Halak has posted two shutouts in his last three games and the under has cashed in six of the last seven meetings between these two teams.

Pick: Under

Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins

Most of the Boston Bruins players got the day off Tuesday following a 3-2 overtime loss to the Capitals Monday night. Head coach Claude Julien hopes this will help rejuvenate his troops before Thursday’s crucial contest against the Buffalo Sabres.

“We’ve got some guys who have logged a lot of ice time, so we’re giving them the opportunity to get some rest”, Julien told the Boston Herald. “We’ve got three games in four days coming up, so we’ll try to get ourselves ready for that.”

Boston will play two of these last three games at the Garden, Thursday night against the Sabres and Saturday afternoon against the Hurricanes, before facing the Capitals in Washington Sunday. This schedule doesn’t benefit the B’s who are 20-13-7 on the road and a meager 16-17-6 at home this season.

The Sabres, on the other hand, have already clinched the Northeast Division title and don’t have much on the line in this game. They are still without top-line forwards Thomas Vanek and Tim Connolly, who should be back in time for the playoffs.

Expect the desperate Bruins to find a way to edge out the Sabres.

Pick: Bruins

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**Udog** · 04-08-2010, 12:45 AM

NHL

Thursday, April 8

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NHL betting news, notes and trends
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Second-Half Surges

Hockey writer Pierre LeBrun advocates looking at teams’ second-half records to best predict playoff performance. LeBrun (courtesy of the Elias Sports Bureau) provides a breakdown of the top teams in the second-half of the season, as well as the top teams since the Olympic break.

The top three second-half teams are the Washington Capitals (27-4-6), Vancouver Canucks (24-11-3), and Phoenix Coyotes (23-12-3).

The bottom three second-half teams occupying playoff spots are the Boston Bruins (15-17-5), New Jersey Devils (15-16-6), and Colorado Avalanche (19-17-1).

The top three teams post-Olympics are the Detroit Red Wings (13-3-2), Washington Capitals (10-2-4), and Phoenix Coyotes (11-4-1).

The bottom three teams post-Olympics: the Colorado Avalanche (7-9-1), Philadelphia Flyers (7-9-3), and Ottawa Senators (7-8-1).

Washington is +385 to win the Cup at 5Dimes, Vancouver is +1000, Detroit is +1100, and the surprising Phoenix Coyotes are +2000.

Olympic-Sized Scoring Droughts

Ken Campbell of the Hockey News observes that not only has scoring dropped since the Olympics, but the NHL could be without a 50 goal-scorer for the first time since the lockout.

Not including shootout goals, scoring has dropped from 5.50 goals per game before the Olympics, to 5.17 goals after the Olympics.

Campbell acknowledges that teams are tightening up for the playoffs, but says some of the league’s star players are wearing down because of the extra two weeks of hockey.

Alex Ovechkin has four goals since the Olympic break, Crosby has five and Patrick Marleau has six.

Huet? No Way!

There is no longer a goaltending controversy in Chicago. Antti Niemi will be Chicago’s starting goalie heading into the playoffs.

"(Niemi's) playing well," coach Joel Quenneville told reporters. "It was nice to show him some confidence (with back-to-back starts) and he responded with the game we were looking for."

Niemi has started seven of the Blackhawks’ last eight games. He has three shutouts and allowed one goal twice.

The Blackhawks rookie is 23-7-3 with a 2.16 goals against average and a .915 save percentage. Niemi is tied for third in the NHL with seven shutouts despite only starting 31 games.

Range-rs of Outcomes

The New York Rangers can finish anywhere between sixth and 11th place in the Eastern Conference.

The Rangers have gone 5-0-1 in their last six games and currently control their own destiny. The typically low-scoring Blueshirts have averaged four goals a game during that span.

In other positives for New York, Michael Obernauer of the New York Daily News points out that, on Saturday, the Rangers won for the first time this season when trailing after two periods (1-24-2), and that assistant captain Ryan Callahan could be ready to return from a knee injury sooner than expected.

The Rangers are the top team ATS this season according to cov.com statistics, with a 44-33 record netting backers +22.01 units.

On the Schedule

This week, I've identified the games potentially having the biggest playoff implications.

Fri. April 9, Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers, Sun. April 11, New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers

Currently in ninth, the Rangers can thank the schedule makers for still being able to control their own destiny. Sweeping the Flyers in the home-and-home series will likely mean a trip to the postseason.

Sat, April 10, Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks

Sorry Flames fans, but this one will probably be meaningless. Colorado needs two wins or two Calgary regulation losses to clinch a playoff spot. If the Flames can get by the Sharks and Wild, and the Avs slip up against the Canucks, Oilers and Blackhawks, the final regular season Hockey Night in Canada game could be a meaningful one.

Sun. April 11, Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils

New Jersey is in a fight with Pittsburgh for the Atlantic Division title, and Buffalo has a chance to finish second overall. Finishing second or third in the Eastern Conference guarantees that you won’t have to face the Washington Capitals until the conference finals (if at all).

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**Udog** · 04-08-2010, 12:46 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 8

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LA DODGERS (0 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 0) - 12:35 PM
CHAD BILLINGSLEY (R) vs. PAUL MAHOLM (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 33-36 (-19.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

CHAD BILLINGSLEY vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
BILLINGSLEY is 1-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 7.45 and a WHIP of 1.965.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
MAHOLM is 0-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.59 and a WHIP of 1.702.
His team's record is 1-5 (-4.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)

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ST LOUIS (1 - 0) at CINCINNATI (0 - 1) - 12:35 PM
BRAD PENNY (R) vs. BRONSON ARROYO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 46-35 (+17.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 35-18 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 62-46 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

BRAD PENNY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
PENNY is 7-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.36 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 9-3 (+5.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-4. (+3.6 units)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
ARROYO is 6-8 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.359.
His team's record is 7-13 (-6.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-12. (-6.5 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (1 - 0) at WASHINGTON (0 - 1) - 4:35 PM
KYLE KENDRICK (R) vs. CRAIG STAMMEN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 53-36 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 47-26 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 50-33 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 118-206 (-51.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

KYLE KENDRICK vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
KENDRICK is 1-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.406.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

CRAIG STAMMEN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

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CHICAGO CUBS (0 - 1) at ATLANTA (1 - 0) - 7:10 PM
RANDY WELLS (R) vs. TOMMY HANSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 83-79 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 83-79 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 772-806 (-141.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
ATLANTA is 159-166 (-33.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 41-41 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 25-29 (-19.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 41-41 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 111-116 (-26.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 25-30 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

RANDY WELLS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
WELLS is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 0.692.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

TOMMY HANSON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

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FLORIDA (0 - 1) at NY METS (1 - 0) - 7:10 PM
NATE ROBERTSON (L) vs. JON NIESE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ROBERTSON is 72-100 (-34.3 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ROBERTSON is 64-89 (-31.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
FLORIDA is 171-153 (+27.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 94-73 (+24.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 44-37 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 46-28 (+29.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 24-13 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 41-35 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 31-24 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 60-80 (-31.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 31-37 (-19.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 220-217 (-59.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
NY METS are 40-66 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against FLORIDA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

NATE ROBERTSON vs. NY METS since 1997
ROBERTSON is 0-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.35 and a WHIP of 0.652.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

JON NIESE vs. FLORIDA since 1997
No recent starts.

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TORONTO (0 - 1) at TEXAS (1 - 0) - 2:05 PM
RICKY ROMERO (L) vs. C.J. WILSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 88-75 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 85-69 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against TORONTO this season
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

RICKY ROMERO vs. TEXAS since 1997
ROMERO is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 1.106.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

C.J. WILSON vs. TORONTO since 1997
WILSON is 0-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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DETROIT (1 - 0) at KANSAS CITY (0 - 1) - 2:10 PM
DONTRELLE WILLIS (L) vs. BRIAN BANNISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 161-165 (-31.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 92-147 (-44.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 67-79 (-28.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 106-123 (-37.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BANNISTER is 23-10 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 65-98 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 33-49 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 191-296 (-93.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 59-85 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

DONTRELLE WILLIS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

BRIAN BANNISTER vs. DETROIT since 1997
BANNISTER is 4-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.09 and a WHIP of 1.164.
His team's record is 4-2 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

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SEATTLE (1 - 1) at OAKLAND (1 - 1) - 3:35 PM
DOUG FISTER (R) vs. BRETT ANDERSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 86-78 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 88-67 (+28.9 Units) against the money line in road games in April games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 81-70 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

DOUG FISTER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
FISTER is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

BRETT ANDERSON vs. SEATTLE since 1997
ANDERSON is 2-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.41 and a WHIP of 1.448.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.7 units)

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BALTIMORE (0 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 0) - 7:10 PM
BRIAN MATUSZ (L) vs. JEFF NIEMANN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 46-99 (-36.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 115-56 (+37.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 54-23 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 116-59 (+34.4 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 126-67 (+37.1 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

BRIAN MATUSZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
MATUSZ is 1-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 1-0 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JEFF NIEMANN vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
NIEMANN is 3-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.75 and a WHIP of 1.852.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.0 units)

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CLEVELAND (0 - 1) at CHI WHITE SOX (1 - 0) - 8:10 PM
JUSTIN MASTERSON (R) vs. GAVIN FLOYD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 65-98 (-33.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 58-87 (-30.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 40-63 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 48-74 (-27.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 161-129 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
FLOYD is 24-7 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLOYD is 24-7 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JUSTIN MASTERSON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
MASTERSON is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 1.38 and a WHIP of 0.846.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

GAVIN FLOYD vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
FLOYD is 4-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.30 and a WHIP of 1.354.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

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MINNESOTA (1 - 1) at LA ANGELS (1 - 1) - 10:05 PM
KEVIN SLOWEY (R) vs. JOEL PINEIRO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 103-70 (+23.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 92-55 (+23.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 24-9 (+14.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 96-62 (+23.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-12 (+14.5 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 122-97 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

KEVIN SLOWEY vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
SLOWEY is 2-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.57 and a WHIP of 1.339.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.2 units)

JOEL PINEIRO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
PINEIRO is 2-6 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.42 and a WHIP of 1.517.
His team's record is 4-10 (-7.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-7. (-1.2 units)

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**Udog** · 04-08-2010, 12:47 AM

MLB

Thursday, April 8

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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets
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Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals (-110, 9.5)

Dontrelle Willis is happy to be in the Tigers’ regular rotation. But did the charismatic south paw really earn his spot?

Willis, who has just one win in 15 starts over the last two seasons, was added to the rotation after Detroit dealt left-hander Nate Robertson to the Florida Marlins this March.

He has spent more time on the disabled list or in the minors than on the mound in that span, but put together a solid showing this spring – enough to convince management to take a chance on the former 22-game winner.

"We have a lot of confidence in him coming back," team president and GM Dave Dombrowski told MLB.com. "I think he's done a lot. He's pitched well this spring. I don't know what else (he could do). You keep looking.”

Willis pitched in eight tune-up games this spring, going 2-0 with 3.22 ERA. That’s much better than his 8.44 ERA he’s posted since joining the Tigers. Willis has never faced the Royals in his career.

"I think I put together a great spring," Willis told reporters. "I'm not done though. I'm not content. I want to continue to work hard. I'm just thankful. I'm very thankful."

Pick: Detroit

Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates (+135, 8.5)

The Dodgers have started the season in the complete opposite environment as Chavez Ravine. Los Angeles is on the other side of the country, battling the elements in Pittsburgh.

The forecast for Thursday is calling for light rain and temperatures in the mid 60s. The Dodgers were slowed by the chilly East Coast weather when they opened the season with an 11-5 beating at the hands of the Bucs Monday.

Starter Vicente Padilla struggled with his command and lasted just over four innings, allowing seven runs on six hits including two home runs. Thursday’s starter, Chad Billingsley, may also have a tough time on the bump.

In his last start at PNC Park, the right-hander was rocked for six earned runs on eight hits in just under five innings of action back in September of 2008. Game-time temperatures hovered around the high 60s-low 70s.

Pick: Pittsburgh

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**Udog** · 04-08-2010, 12:48 AM

MLB

Thursday, April 8

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This Day in Baseball
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On April 8 in Baseball History...

1963 - The Tigers claim young pitcher Denny McLain from the White Sox for the $25,000 waiver price.

1968 - Opening Day is postponed because of the pending funderal of Reverend Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. who was assassinated on April 4, 1968.

1969 - Expansion teams Kansas City Royals, Montreal Expos, San Diego Padres, and Seattle Pilots make things look easy by winning their first regular-season games. The Expos win by scoring 11 runs against the Mets to win, 11-10. The Mets have yet to win an opener.

1969 - After a long recovery following a 1967 beaning, Tony Conigliaro starts his first game for Boston. His dramatic two-run 10th-inning home run gives the Red Sox a brief lead, and his 12th-inning run wins it.

1974 - In the fourth inning of the Braves home opener against the Dodgers, Hank Aaron parks an Al Downing pitch in the left-center field stands for career home run No. 715, breaking Ruth's once thought to be unapproachable record. With former teammate Eddie Mathews watching as Braves manager, that makes 1,227 home runs for just two players. The Braves win, 7-4.

1975 - Frank Robinson, making his debut as the Indians player-manager, homers in his first at bat (as a DH) during a 5-3 win over the Yankees. It is Robinson's eighth Opening Day home run, setting a major league record.

1987 - Faced with a storm of public criticism, the Dodgers fire vice president Al Campanis for racially insensitive remarks he made on the April 6 telecast of ABC-TV's Nightline news show. Campanis had said that blacks may lack some of the necessities to be a field manager or general manager.

1989 - One-handed pitcher Jim Abbott makes his major league debut but lasts only 4.2 innings in California's 7-0 loss to Seattle. Abbott, who bypassed the minors completely after starring at the University of Michigan, will finish the season 12-12 with a 3.92 ERA.

1993 - Carlos Baerga is the first player in major league history to homer from both sides of the plate in the same inning. The Cleveland second baseman clouts a two-run shot against Yankee southpaw Steve Howe in the seventh inning and finishes the frame with a home run from the left side of the plate against Steve Farr. He has two other hits in the 15-5 rout by the Indians.

1994 - Braves lefthander Kent Mercker no-hits the Dodgers, 6-0, in his first career complete game.

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**Udog** · 04-08-2010, 12:49 AM

NOTE:
For the initial posting of trends and indexes, we have provided information available up to the time of posting.
Additional updates for today’s games will be posted ASAP.

**Udog** · 04-08-2010, 01:21 PM

MLB
Dunkel

LA Dodgers at Pittsburgh
The Dodgers look to avoid a sweep against a Pittsburgh team that is 3-8 in Paul Maholm's last 11 starts. Los Angeles is the pick (-160) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-160)

Game 951-952: LA Dodgers at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 15.449; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 14.538
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-160); Under

Game 953-954: St. Louis at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Penny) 15.730; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.098
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-120); Over

Game 955-956: Philadelphia at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.871; Washington (Stammen) 14.154
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-155); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-155); Over

Game 957-958: Chicago Cubs at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago Cubs (Wells) 14.563; Atlanta (Hanson) 13.950
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+170); Under

Game 959-960: Florida at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Robertson) 14.961; NY Mets (Niese) 16.297
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-115); Over

Game 961-962: Toronto at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 14.879; Texas (Wilson) 16.162
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Texas (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-150); Over

Game 963-964: Detroit at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Willis) 15.068; Kansas City (Bannister) 14.600
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+100); Under

Game 965-966: Seattle at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Fister) 15.502; Oakland (Anderson) 15.260
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+145); Over

Game 967-968: Baltimore at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Matusz) 15.792; Tampa Bay (Niemann) 14.085
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-180); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+160); Over

Game 969-970: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 14.721; White Sox (Floyd) 13.888
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+125); Over

Game 971-972: Minnesota at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Slowey) 15.613; LA Angels (Pineiro) 17.013
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-130); Under

Announcement

Thursday Trends and Indexes 4/8 (NBA, NHL, MLB, Misc.)

Thursday Trends and Indexes 4/8 (NBA, NHL, MLB, Misc.)

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