Thursday Trends and Indexes 4/1 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


St. Louis at Nashville
The Predators look to bounce back from their 2-0 loss to LA and build on their 4-0 record in their last 4 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. Nashville is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Predators favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-140)

Game 1-2: Atlanta at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 10.948; Washington 11.975
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-280); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-280); Under

Game 3-4: Florida at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.324; Boston 10.926
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-220); 5
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+190); Over

Game 5-6: Buffalo at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.573; Toronto 11.869
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 7-8: Philadelphia at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.621; NY Islanders 12.351
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+110); Under

Game 9-10: Carolina at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.398; Ottawa 12.876
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-180); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-180); Over

Game 11-12: Columbus at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 12.618; Detroit 12.370
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-300); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+250); Under

Game 13-14: St. Louis at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 10.923; Nashville 11.867
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-140); Over

Game 15-16: Vancouver at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.153; Los Angeles 12.096
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Thursday, 4/1/2010

ORLANDO at DALLAS, 8:05 PM ET TNT
ORLANDO: 10-0 ATS after a win by 6 or less
DALLAS: 9-27 ATS at home

PORTLAND at DENVER, 10:35 PM ET TNT
PORTLAND: 14-3 ATS when playing on BB days
DENVER: 1-9 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


Thursday, 4/1/2010

ATLANTA at WASHINGTON, 7:05 PM ET VERSUS
ATLANTA: 2-12 SU playing with triple revenge
WASHINGTON: 11-2 SU after 3+ consecutive losses

FLORIDA at BOSTON, 7:05 PM ET
FLORIDA: 8-2 SU revenging 2 straight 1 goal losses
BOSTON: 1-6 SU at home off a road win

BUFFALO at TORONTO, 7:05 PM ET
BUFFALO: N/A
TORONTO: N/A

PHILADELPHIA at NY ISLANDERS, 7:05 PM ET
PHILADELPHIA: 3-11 SU after having lost 4 of their last 5
NY ISLANDERS: 8-2 SU at home off a 1 goal loss

CAROLINA at OTTAWA, 7:35 PM ET
CAROLINA: 10-4 SU after allowing 1 goal or less
OTTAWA: 16-30 SU playing with double revenge

COLUMBUS at DETROIT, 7:35 PM ET
COLUMBUS: 13-11 SU after having won 2 of their last 3
DETROIT: 0-5 SU revenging a shutout loss

ST LOUIS at NASHVILLE, 8:05 PM ET
ST LOUIS: 7-1 SU Away playing with double revenge
NASHVILLE: 4-11 SU after allowing 2 goals or less in 3 straight

VANCOUVER at LOS ANGELES, 10:35 PM ET
VANCOUVER: N/A
LOS ANGELES: N/A

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NBA
Write-Up


Thursday, April 1

Hot Teams
-- Orlando won 13 of its last 15 games. Mavericks won last three games, by 21-16-4 points; they won OT game in Memphis last night.
-- Trailblazers won 12 of their last 14 games. .

Cold Teams
-- Nuggets lost five of last six games, are 0-8-1 vs spread in last nine.

Playing Second of Back-to-Back Nights
-- Dallas is 1-4-1 vs spread at home if it played the night before.
-- Portland is 14-3 against the spread if it played the night before.

Totals
-- Four of last five Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Denver games stayed under the total.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Write-Up


Thursday, April 1

Other tournament games

Dayton beat Ole Miss by 5 in NIT semis despite shooting 33.3% from floor; question is, can they keep a bigger North Carolina (23 offensive boards vs URI) team off boards if they force missed shots? Flyers beat Georgia Tech 63-59 (even) on neutral floor in only game this season vs an ACC opponent. Tar Heels just beat one team from A-14, but needed OT to beat Rhode Island Tuesday- their last three wins are all on road, by combined total of eight points.

[Udog]

NHL
Write-Up


Thursday, April 1

Hot Teams
-- Thrashers won six of their last nine games.
-- Sabres won seven of their last eight games. Toronto won six of its last eight home games, but lost last two overall (5-4ot/3-2).
-- Islanders won three of their last four home games.
-- Senators won last five games, outscoring foes 17-8. Hurricanes won five of their last seven games.
-- Detroit won its last six games, outscoring foes 23-12. Blue Jackets won three of their last four games.
-- Blues won last three games, allowing four goals. Predators are 6-1 in game following their last seven losses.

Cold Teams
-- Washington lost last three games, allowing 13 goals.
-- Florida lost its last four games, outscored 16-7. Bruins are 2-6 in game following their last eight wins.
-- Flyers lost five of their last six games.
-- Canucks lost last three road games: 4-3/3-2/4-2. Kings lost four of their last five games.

Totals
-- Over is 8-3 in Washington's last eleven games. Last six Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine Toronto games stayed under. Six of last nine Buffalo games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Islander games went over the total.
-- Last six Carolina games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of last 15 Columbus games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Nashville games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Los Angeles games stayed under the total.

Playing second of back-to-back nights
-- Florida is 3-9 on road if it played the night before.
-- Buffalo is 4-5 if it won the night before, 3-2 on road.
-- Carolina is 2-6 on road if it played the night before.

Series Records
-- Washington won its last six games against the Thrashers.
-- Bruins won five of last seven games against Florida.
-- Maple Leafs lost their last ten games against Buffalo.
-- Philly won its last seven games against the Islanders.
-- Home side won last nine Carolina-Ottawa games; Hurricanes lost last four visits to Ottawa.
-- Red Wings won seven of last eight games against Columbus.
-- Predators won three of last four games against St Louis; road team has won last five series games.
-- Canucks won last five games against LA, outscoring Kings 14-5.

[Udog]

NBA


Thursday, April 1

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. DALLAS
Orlando is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Orlando's last 10 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games
Dallas is 1-6-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home

10:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. DENVER
Portland is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Denver
Portland is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing Denver
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home


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[Udog]

NHL


Thursday, April 1

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
Atlanta is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Washington is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. TORONTO
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

7:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. BOSTON
Florida is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
Florida is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Florida
Boston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Florida

7:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY ISLANDERS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Islanders last 6 games at home
NY Islanders are 8-17 SU in their last 25 games

7:30 PM
CAROLINA vs. OTTAWA
Carolina is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina

7:30 PM
COLUMBUS vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games on the road
Columbus is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus
Detroit is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Columbus

8:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. NASHVILLE
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games at home
Nashville is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

10:30 PM
VANCOUVER vs. LOS ANGELES
Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Vancouver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games


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[Udog]

NCAAB


Thursday, April 1

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Tips and Trends
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Dayton Flyers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels [ESPN | 7:00 PM ET]

Flyers (-3, O/U 136): To say that Dayton deserves to play for the NIT Championship tonight would be an understatement. The Flyers have won 3 consecutive games away from home, all against top 75 teams in the country. Dayton beat Mississippi 68-63 to advance to the Championship game tonight. Dayton is looking to win the NIT for the 3rd time in school history, and for the 1st time since 1968. The Flyers love to get out in the open and run a fast paced tempo, which should be accommodate by North Carolina tonight. Dayton is 24-12 SU and 17-15-1 ATS overall this season. The Flyers are 8-10 SU and 8-9-1 ATS away from home this season, including 3-3 SU in neutral court settings. Dayton is 8-5 ATS as a single digit favorite this season. Dayton has excelled in non-conference games this season, going 11-4 ATS in this situation. F Chris Wright leads 2 different Flyers averaging double figures in PTS this season. Wright averages team highs of 13.7 PPG and 7.2 RPG this season. Wright has scored in double figures in 18 of his past 22 games, as well as 6 double doubles this season alone.

Dayton is 8-0 ATS last 8 non-conference games.
Under is 8-2 last 10 non-conference games.

Key Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 73 (Side of the Day)

Tar Heels: In an amazing turn of events, North Carolina has won 20 games SU this season for the 6th consecutive season. A strong surge in the NIT Tournament has enabled them to continue that streak into next season. With their 68-67 win over Rhode Island, North Carolina tied a season high 4 consecutive wins SU. The Tar Heels also won 3 consecutive games ATS for the 1st time this season. The Tar Heels are 20-16 SU and 13-21 ATS overall this season. North Carolina is 6-11 SU and 7-10 ATS away from home this season, including 2-3 SU in neutral court games. The Tar Heels are 5-9 ATS as the listed underdog this season. North Carolina has excelled this season ATS in tournament games, going 5-3 ATS in tournament contests. The Tar Heels struggle against good defensive teams, as they are 3-10 ATS against teams that allow 64 PPG or fewer this year. F Deon Thompson has stared all 36 games for the Tar Heels this season, and is averaging 13.7 PPG and 6.6 RPG this season. F Tyler Zeller has played well of late, and is averaging 9.3 PPG and 4.8 RPG overall this season.

North Carolina is 8-3 ATS last 11 neutral site games.
Under is 7-1 last 8 games following a SU win.

Key Injuries - F Ed Davis (wrist) is out.
F David Wear (hip) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 64


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[Udog]

NBA


Thursday, April 1

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Tips and Trends
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Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets [TNT | 10:30 PM ET]

Trail Blazers: Portland is attempting to stay out of the #8 spot in the Western Conference, and with their current form it's likely they will move up a few spots in the standings. The Blazers have won 9 of their past 11 games SU, and are only a half game behind Oklahoma City for the 6th spot in the West. Portland is 46-29 SU and 41-32-2 ATS overall this season. The Blazers are 21-16 SU and 23-12-2 in road games this seasons. Portland is 15-12 as the listed underdog this season. Portland continues to win with defense, as they've held 7 of their past 8 opponents under 100 PTS. The Blazers enter tonight with revenge on their minds, as they've already lost twice SU to Denver this season. The Blazers are 5th in the NBA in points allowed this season, only giving up 94.8 PPG this season. G Brandon Roy leads 3 current Blazers players averaging double figures in PTS this season, averaging 22.1 PPG. F LaMarcus Aldridge averages 17.5 PPG and a team high 8.1 RPG this season for Portland.

Blazers are 4-0-1 ATS last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 6-1 last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Key Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 95

Nuggets (-4, O/U 201.5): Denver is playing bad basketball right now, there is no getting around it. The Nuggets have lost 5 of their last 6 games SU, and haven't won a game ATS over their past 9 games. Denver has struggled to score of late, as they've been held under 100 PTS in 7 of their past 9 contests. That offensive streak is pronounced considering the Nuggets average 106.9 PPG overall this season, the 3rd most in the NBA. The Nuggets are 48-27 SU and 31-38-6 ATS overall this season. The Nuggets are 30-6 SU and 17-18-1 in home games this season. With their recent SU demise, the Nuggets are now in 5th place in the Western Conference playoff standings. Less than a week ago the Nuggets were in 2nd place, and pushing the Lakers for the top spot in the West. It is becoming increasingly clear that the health of Coach Karl is taking its toll on the entire Nuggets team. 5 different Nuggets average double figures in PTS this season, led by F Carmelo Anthony. Anthony is averaging 28.6 PPG, the 3rd most in the NBA. Defensively, the Nuggets have allowed 6 of their past 9 opponents to score at least 102 PTS.

Nuggets are 6-0 ATS last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 7-1 last 8 overall.

Key Injuries - F Kenyon Martin (knee) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 97 (UNDER - Total of the Day)


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