Tuesday Trends and Indexes 3/16 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, March 16

Good Luck on day #75 of 2010!

At this time, the sports menu in this thread consists of the NBA, NCAAB, and NHL until their seasons are played out. Also, general sports news and notes will be posted.

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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Matchup Links

NBA Matchups

NBA Hot and Not

NBA Injuries

NCAAB Matchups

NCAAB Hot and Not

NCAAB Injuries

NHL Matchups

NHL Hot and Not

NASCAR Schedules

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[Udog]

Daily Sports Roundup

Tuesday, March 16

Today in the Daily Sports Roundup: Winthrop meets Arkansas-Pine Bluff in the Play-In Game, while the Lakers face Sacramento, and Miami hosts San Antonio.

Tipping off on the hardwood . . .

The NBA has eight games on its schedule for Tuesday, with Charlotte at Indiana, Cleveland at Detroit, Atlanta at New Jersey, Chicago at Memphis, Washington at Denver, Minnesota at Phoenix, the Lakers at Sacramento, and San Antonio at Miami. The Spurs (39-25 SU, 33-30-1 ATS) are coming off their third straight win, beating the Clippers 118-88 on Saturday with Matt Bonner scoring 21 points off the bench. The Heat (35-32 SU, 35-31-1 ATS) have also won three in a row, topping Philadelphia 104-91 on Sunday. San Antonio trounced Miami at home earlier in the season, rolling to a 108-78 win when the teams met December 31.

As well, all four college basketball postseason tournaments get underway on Tuesday. In the NIT it'll be Northeastern vs. Connecticut, N.C. State vs. South Florida, Coastal Carolina vs. UAB, Texas Tech vs. Seton Hall, William & Mary vs. North Carolina, Jackson State vs. Mississippi State, and Jacksonville vs. Arizona State. Over in the CBI on Tuesday it's Virginia Commonwealth vs. George Washington, and Indiana State vs. Saint Louis. In the CIT it's Fairfield vs. George Mason, Western Carolina vs. Marshall, and South Dakota vs. Creighton. Finally, the NCAA Tournament has its Play-In Game on Tuesday, with Winthrop taking on Arkansas-Pine Bluff for the right to get pummeled by Duke later in the week.

Taking a trip around the rink . . .

There are 11 games on the National Hockey League's Tuesday schedule, including San Jose at Dallas. The 43-15-10 Sharks will be looking to bounce back from their second straight loss, falling 4-2 in Anaheim on Sunday night. Joe Thornton and Jamie McGinn had the San Jose goals in that defeat, while Evgeni Nabokov made 29 saves. The 29-26-13 Stars are 2-1 against the Sharks so far this season, but they head into Tuesday's game riding a three-game losing streak. Dallas fell 5-3 against Colorado Sunday, with Marty Turco getting pulled.

Also on the ice on Tuesday: Boston at Carolina, Buffalo at Atlanta, Washington at Florida, Phoenix at Tampa Bay, Toronto at Ottawa, Montreal at the Rangers, Colorado at St. Louis, Philadelphia at Nashville, Edmonton at Minnesota, and the Islanders at Vancouver. The 43-23-3 Canucks have won two straight games, beating Calgary 3-1 in their last game on Sunday behind 32 saves from Roberto Luongo. The 28-32-9 Islanders have also won two games in a row, beating Toronto 4-1 on Sunday. Blake Comeau had three assists for New York that day.

[Udog]

Bettor's best friend: Tuesday's wagering tips

Lines off the board

Atlanta Hawks at New Jersey Nets – Joe Johnson (Achilles) is not expected to play in the game. Mike Bibby (back) traveled with the team but is questionable. Devin Harris (flu) did not practice Monday and is questionable.

San Antonio Spurs at Miami Heat – Michael Beasley (thigh) missed the team’s last two games and is questionable.

Chicago Bulls at Memphis Grizzlies – Derrick Rose (wrist) missed last game and is doubtful (see injury note and tip below). Marc Gasol (neck) is questionable.

Minnesota Timberwolves at Phoenix Suns – Kevin Love (foot) and Darko Milicic (illness) are both expected to be back on Tuesday. Grant Hill (head) left Sunday’s game with a possible concussion and is questionable.

Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers – Alexander Ovechkin (suspension) will miss the game.

Lines to keep an eye on

The total in the NCAA play-in game between Winthrop and Arkansas-Pine Bluff has plummeted from an opener of 117 to as low as 112.5 at some shops. Both teams have played to two consecutive unders.

Who’s hot

Virginia-Commonwealth is 5-2 SU and ATS in its last seven games.

Montreal is 5-0 in its last five games, winning two of those as underdogs of +150 or more.

The Bobcats have won six straight, going 5-1 ATS during that stretch.

Who’s not

San Jose has dropped two straight games and four of their last game, losing 3.83 units on the moneyline.

Seton Hall is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games.

Key stat

0-11 – Record of Arkansas-Pine Bluff to start the 2009-10 season. The Golden Lions lost those tough non-conference road games by an average of 15.4 points per game. UAPB went 17-15 on the season and won the conference tournament in front of a large home crowd just a handful of hours away in Louisiana.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

It doesn’t sound like Bulls point guard Derrick Rose will return for Tuesday night's game against the Grizzlies. When asked if Rose would be ready, coach Vinny Del Negro responded, “Probably not.” Rose missed the team’s last game because of a wrist injury and Chicago was dismantled by Miami 108-95, failing to cover as 11.5-point dogs. Rose could somehow magically appear in the lineup, but check your injuries reports before betting on this one.

Game of the day

Winthrop Eagles at Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (+4, 113.5)

Notable quotable

"I think he has some talent, he’s an athlete. But when it comes down to a half-court set and just being able to play half-court basketball I don’t think he’s that special of a player."

-- Jerry Stackhouse said of Spurs’ forward Richard Jefferson.

Tips and notes

- We’ve already told you that 16 of the last 19 NCAA champs have come from the Big 12, ACC, Big East or SEC. Another juicy tournament betting number points out that eight of the last 12 winners won their conference tourney that season. From those four major conferences, No. 1 seeds Kansas, Kentucky and Duke all won their conference tourneys while West Virginia won the Big East.

- The Bulls have lost seven consecutive games and has allowed 10 straight opponents to post 100 or more points on them. Chicago has no healthy big men right now with Joakim Noah and Luol Deng sidelined while Taj Gibson and Brad Miller aren’t 100 percent. To compound matters, Derrick Rose won’t play on Tuesday and backup point guard Kirk Hinrich got suspended for the game. That leaves Chicago with seven healthy bodies.

- After the Stars last win on March 8, goalie Marty Turco said something wasn’t right about the team’s attitude. He said, “not having strung together any streaks of wins together all season long, our attitude -- as well as we approach things or talk about it -- it's hard [to win].” Dallas hasn’t won a game since (0-3) and face the Sharks Tuesday. Kari Lehtonen is expected to start under the net.

[Udog]

Tuesday six-pack

-- What are the Browns thinking, paying Jake Delhomme $7M in 2010? Did they see him play last year?

-- Boise State will have six football games broadcast on ESPN in 2010.

-- Blue Jays paid $10M for a Cuban shortstop named Echevarria, who they think could be playing in big leagues next season.

-- Spike Lee has a daughter named Satchel. Seriously.

-- 49 of the 65 NCAA tournament teams wear Nike sneakers.

-- John Wall is just 5 for his last 27 from arc; outside shooting could be the one thing that keeps Kentucky from the Final Four.


************************************************** ********

Tuesday's List of 13: Food for thought on the Field of 65.......

13) 15-seed has beaten a 2-seed four times; last time was '91, Hampton's upset of Iowa State. Those four upset winners were underdogs of 20-17-17.5- 9 points, with Richmond (+9) one of only two 15-seeds that were a single digit underdog (Winthrop +7, lost 63-61 to Tennessee in '06).

12) Over the last ten years, only two 14-seeds have upset #3-seed, after five suck upsets had occurred in five years before that; in last three years, #3 seeds are 9-3 vs spread in first round.

11) #4 seeds still upset 13 seeds (nine in last nine years), but if they don't win, they generally get pounded. 4-seeds are 11-5 vs spread the last four years- they got beat SU in four of those five non-covers.

10) Purdue/Vanderbilt are both 4.5-point favorites as 4-seeds, the lowest spreads in a 4-13 game since Dayton (-2.5) lost to Tulsa in 2003. Before that, you go back to 1997 to get a 4-13 game with a spread that low.

9) In 2005, Vermont (+9) upset Syracuse, a 4-13 game; this year, they're a 16-seed, and a 19-point dog against the Orangemen. #1 seed in West is 8-1 vs spread in first round last nine years. #2 seed in West is 2-11 vs spread over the last thirteen years.

8) Last year, 12-seeds were 3-1 SU in first round; over last 16 years, the #12 seed in Midwest is 11-5 SU against the 5-seed. Michigan State is the first 5-seed to be a double digit favorite since Texas in '00 (Indiana State).

7) Cornell (+4.5) gets least points of any Ivy League team since Penn lost to Cal by 7 points as a 3.5-point underdog in 2002.

6) Minnesota-Xavier game is just third time since 1996 that a 6-seed isn't a first-round favorite; Texas (+1) lost to Temple in 2001 and Vanderbilt (even) beat Western Michigan in 2004.

5) The 11-seed in Midwest has beaten the 6-seed five years in row; in the other three regions, 6-seeds are 10-5 against the spread during that time.

4) The biggest seed ever for an 8-9 game was 1987, when Auburn (-6) was a 62-61 winner over San Diego. Underdogs of 4+ points are 12-8 against the spread in 8-9 games since '87.

3) The last time a #1 seed didn't survive the first weekend was '04, when Kentucky and Stanford both lost in second round. Over last five years, #1 seeds are 11-8-1 vs spread in second round, 7-3 if laying double digits.

2) There has only been one time where a #2 seed was underdog in second round game; USC (+1) lost 79-78 in OT to Georgia Tech on buzzer beater by James Forrest, way back in 1992. CBS still shows it every year.

1) I'm thinking the committee is making more of an effort in recent years to put top seeds closer to home; for instance, Syracuse is in West region, but they're playing in Buffalo the first weekend, where they're going to be a hell of a lot harder to beat than if they were in the western time zone.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel


When Dunkel adds the other tourneys, we'll post it.

Winthrop vs. AR-Pine Bluff
The Eagles come into the play-in game looking to take advantage of an Arkansas-Pine Bluff team that is coming off a win over Texas Southern in the SWAC final and is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games following a SU win. Winthrop is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Eagles favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Winthrop (-4 1/2).

TUESDAY, MARCH 16

Game 567-568: Winthrop vs. AR-Pine Bluff
Dunkel Ratings: Winthrop 51.690; AR-Pine Bluff 42.757
Dunkel Line: Winthrop by 9
Vegas Line: Winthrop by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winthrop (-4 1/2)

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


We'll post it as soon as these guys add the play-in game.

Tuesday, 3/16/2010

NIT - Opening Round
NORTHEASTERN at CONNECTICUT, 7:00 PM ET ESPN2
NORTHEASTERN: 2-8 ATS against Big East
CONNECTICUT: 10-4 OVER in March

NC STATE at S FLORIDA, 8:00 PM ET ESPNU
NC STATE: 5-1 ATS after 3+ consecutive unders
S FLORIDA: 11-5 OVER after having won 2 of their last 3

COASTAL CAROLINA at UAB, 8:00 PM ET
COASTAL CAROLINA: 6-1 ATS in non-conference games
UAB: 9-22 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days

TEXAS TECH at SETON HALL, 9:00 PM ET ESPN2
TEXAS TECH: 22-8 OVER in road games
SETON HALL: 1-8 ATS after 1+ consecutive unders

WM & MARY at N CAROLINA, 9:30 PM ET ESPN
WM & MARY: 6-1 ATS in non-conference games
N CAROLINA: 1-6 ATS after 3+ consecutive unders

JACKSON ST at MISSISSIPPI ST, 10:00 PM ET ESPNU
JACKSON ST: 7-1 UNDER in all games
MISSISSIPPI ST: 6-1 ATS when playing with one or less days rest

JACKSONVILLE at ARIZONA ST, 11:00 PM ET ESPN2
JACKSONVILLE: 1-5 ATS after a conference game
ARIZONA ST: 7-1 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4

CBI Tournament - Opening Round
VA COMMONWEALTH at GEORGE WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET
VA COMMONWEALTH: 9-1 OVER in road games
GEORGE WASHINGTON: 0-6 ATS in a post-season tournament game

INDIANA ST at SAINT LOUIS, 9:00 PM ET
INDIANA ST: 6-1 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3
SAINT LOUIS: 6-1 UNDER on Tuesday nights

College Insider Tournament - Opening Round
FAIRFIELD at GEORGE MASON, 7:00 PM ET
FAIRFIELD: 10-4 ATS in road games
GEORGE MASON: 9-4 OVER after 3 consecutive conference games

W CAROLINA at MARSHALL, 7:00 PM ET
W CAROLINA: 2-10 ATS in March games
MARSHALL: 6-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days

S DAKOTA at CREIGHTON, 8:00 PM ET
S DAKOTA: N/A
CREIGHTON: N/A


Wednesday, 3/17/2010

NIT - Opening Round
ILLINOIS ST at DAYTON, 7:00 PM ET
ILLINOIS ST: 21-7 OVER after a loss by 6 or less
DAYTON: 2-8 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6

WEBER ST at CINCINNATI, 7:00 PM ET ESPN2
WEBER ST: 9-2 OVER in road games
CINCINNATI: 1-9 ATS in all home games

NORTHWESTERN at RHODE ISLAND, 7:00 PM ET ESPNU
NORTHWESTERN: 10-2 OVER after 3 consecutive conference games
RHODE ISLAND: 2-9 ATS in all home games

QUINNIPIAC at VIRGINIA TECH, 7:00 PM ET
QUINNIPIAC: N/A
VIRGINIA TECH: 12-4 ATS in March

TULSA at KENT ST, 7:00 PM ET
TULSA: 16-6 ATS in a post-season tournament game
KENT ST: 1-5 ATS after a loss by 15+

NEVADA at WICHITA ST, 8:00 PM ET
NEVADA: 3-8 ATS on Wednesday
WICHITA ST: 12-4 OVER after a DD loss

TROY at OLE MISS, 8:00 PM ET
TROY: 1-5 ATS on Wednesday
OLE MISS: 5-1 ATS on Wednesday

ST JOHNS at MEMPHIS, 9:00 PM ET ESPN2
ST JOHNS: 6-0 UNDER on Wednesday
MEMPHIS: 1-5 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days

STONY BROOK at ILLINOIS, 9:00 PM ET ESPNU
STONY BROOK: N/A
ILLINOIS: 9-0 OVER in non-conference games

CBI Tournament - Opening Round
DUQUESNE at PRINCETON, 7:00 PM ET
DUQUESNE: 1-6 ATS off a road loss
PRINCETON: 11-3 ATS after a conference game

WI-GREEN BAY at AKRON, 7:00 PM ET
WI-GREEN BAY: 5-1 ATS after scoring 55 or less
AKRON: 6-1 OVER in first round tournament games

IUPUI at HOFSTRA, 7:00 PM ET
IUPUI: 1-5 ATS in March
HOFSTRA: 16-3 ATS after a conference game

COLL OF CHARLESTON at E KENTUCKY, 7:00 PM ET
COLL OF CHARLESTON 7-1 ATS in first round tournament games
E KENTUCKY: 0-4 ATS in March

COLORADO ST at MOREHEAD ST, 9:00 PM ET
COLORADO ST: 10-3 ATS in all tournament games
MOREHEAD ST: 20-37 ATS in non-conference games

BOSTON U at OREGON ST, 10:00 PM ET
BOSTON U: 5-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days
OREGON ST: 11-3 UNDER after 3 consecutive conference games

College Insider Tournament - Opening Round
HARVARD at APPALACHIAN ST, 7:00 PM ET
HARVARD: 1-6 ATS in March
APPALACHIAN ST: 14-5 ATS after a conference game

MIDDLE TENN ST at MISSOURI ST, 8:00 PM ET
MIDDLE TENN ST: 6-1 ATS after one or more consecutive overs
MISSOURI ST: 5-14 ATS after a conference game

PORTLAND at N COLORADO, 9:00 PM ET
PORTLAND: 0-5 ATS on Wednesday
N COLORADO: 21-8 ATS in non-conference games

PACIFIC at LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT, 10:30 PM ET
PACIFIC: 10-3 UNDER on Wednesday
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT: 1-5 ATS when playing with 7 or more days rest


Thursday, 3/17/2010

College Insider Tournament - Opening Round
SOUTHERN MISS at LOUISIANA TECH, 8:00 PM ET
SOUTHERN MISS: 8-1 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest
LOUISIANA TECH: 5-1 OVER in non-conference games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Write-Up


Tuesday, March 16

NCAA play-in game

Winthrop can't shoot; they rank 345th out of 347 teams on 3-pointers, making just 26.5%; 323rd on 2-point shots (42.6%) and 314th from the foul line (314th). They finished 3rd in Big South that is ranked 28th out of 31 leagues, but Ark-Pine Bluff plays in SWAC, worst league in the country, by far. Pine Bluff started season 0-11, playing seven games vs teams ranked in top 60; they finished 2nd in SWAC, so they didn't win the worst league in country. Best team they beat is Texas Southern, the 276th-ranked team. Winthrop beat 147th-ranked Coastal Carolina twice.

The other three tournaments also start tonight; I'm going to give shorter writeups on these games

Other tournaments and their games

Jim Calhoun came to UConn from Northeastern; Huskies lost last four games; you have to think this game means more to Northeastern, which went 3-4 in last seven games, a is veteran team that plays in half-court (rank 329th in pace). CAA road underdogs are 25-22 vs spread.

NC State won five of last seven games; they won at Marquette back in December; ACC road underdogs are 10-7 vs spread. South Florida has best player in game (Jones); they won four of last five games, but got waxed by Georgetown in Big East tourney. Big East home faves: 31-37.

Coastal Carolina lost Big South title game on its home floor; best team they beat is #139 Indiana State. UAB was awful down stretch, losing its last three games, scoring just 53 ppg. Blazers are 12-2 outside of CUSA; they only have nine guys, we'll see if they can get momentum back.

Texas Tech-Seton Hall could be very high scoring; Tech allowed average of 81.7 ppg in its three non-league road games (1-2)- their win in Big 12 tourney vs Colorado ended 7-game losing skid for Raiders. Pirates will have chip on should after going 9-9 in Big East but staying home. Big 12 road underdogs are 14-15 against the spread.

North Carolina has sub-standard guards; they lost 12 of last 16 games, you have to think they'll be relief when this season finally ends, but still, their talent level is way higher than Wm Mary team that gets 39.4% of its scoring behind arc (4th in country). Tribe won at Maryland and Wake Forest in the fall, so they won't be in awe here.

Mississippi State is very unhappy about missing NCAAs; they took Kentucky to OT two days ago, playing three days in row, so that makes this their fourth game in five nights, against Jackson State team that was 17-1 in SWAC but started season 0-10, losing at SEC's Alabama by 17.

Arizona State has senior PG- they went 8-3 in last 11 games, but lost in first round of Pac-10 tourney- they went 10-3 out of conference, with all three losses vs teams in NCAAs. Jacksonville won tiebreaker in a 4-way deadlock in Atlantic Sun- they lost by 32 at Cal back in November.

VCU beat Rhode Island (82-80). Richmond (65-57) of A-14; Rams won four of last six games, won nine of 10 games outside CAA. CAA road favorites are 8-6 out of conference. George Washington lost three games, by 9-13-10 points; they went 3-0 vs lower-level CAA clubs. A-14 home underdogs are 5-7 against the spread.

Saint Louis won its first six games in February, but finished 2-3, losing by 16 to URI in first round of A-14 tourney; they split pair of games vs MVC teams. Billikens don't have any seniors, could be good next year. Indiana State covered nine of its last 11 games. MVC road underdogs are 16-17 against the spread. A-14 home favorites are 22-15.

Fairfield lost MAAC title game in OT on Siena's home floor, ending its six-game win streak; Stags lost by 4 at Hofstra in its only game against a CAA team. MAAC road dogs are 17-14 vs spread. George Mason lost six of its last eight games- they're 5-7 in their non-conference games.

Marshall has a future NBA player in freshman shotblocker Whitehead; they got bad draw in C-USA tourney, having to play Tulsa on its home court (Herd had won seven of eight before that game). Problem for Herd is that well-coached Western Carolina gets 32.6% of its points behind the arc, which somewhat negates the shotblocker inside.

South Dakota won a new league, so they got automatic bid into tourney; they lost to Cornell at home by 6, in game right after Big Red almost got upset win at Kansas- they got crushed by Marquette/K-State. Creighton is 4-5 in last nine games- they beat Houston Baptist by 29, a team that is in South Dakota's conference.

[Udog]

NCAAB


Tuesday and Wednesday

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Trend Report
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Tuesday, March 16

7:00 PM
FAIRFIELD vs. GEORGE MASON
Fairfield is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Fairfield is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
George Mason is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
George Mason is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
NORTHEASTERN vs. CONNECTICUT
Northeastern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
Northeastern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Connecticut is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Connecticut is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH vs. GEORGE WASHINGTON
Virginia Commonwealth is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Virginia Commonwealth is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
George Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of George Washington's last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
WESTERN CAROLINA vs. MARSHALL
Western Carolina is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Western Carolina's last 19 games
Marshall is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
Marshall is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
COASTAL CAROLINA vs. UAB
No trends available
UAB is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of UAB's last 7 games

8:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
North Carolina State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
North Carolina State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
South Florida is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
South Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

8:00 PM
SOUTH DAKOTA vs. CREIGHTON
No trends available
Creighton is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Creighton is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

9:00 PM
INDIANA STATE vs. SAINT LOUIS
Indiana State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana State's last 6 games
Saint Louis is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Saint Louis is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home

9:00 PM
TEXAS TECH vs. SETON HALL
Texas Tech is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Texas Tech is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Seton Hall is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Seton Hall is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

9:30 PM
WILLIAM & MARY vs. NORTH CAROLINA
William & Mary is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of William & Mary's last 15 games
North Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
North Carolina is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home

10:00 PM
JACKSON STATE vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
No trends available
Mississippi State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 6 games at home

11:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. ARIZONA STATE
No trends available
Arizona State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Arizona State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games



Wednesday, March 17

7:00 PM
COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON vs. EASTERN KENTUCKY
College of Charleston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
College of Charleston is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
Eastern Kentucky is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
Eastern Kentucky is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games

7:00 PM
DUQUESNE vs. PRINCETON
Duquesne is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Duquesne's last 8 games
Princeton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Princeton is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

7:00 PM
HARVARD vs. APPALACHIAN STATE
Harvard is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Harvard's last 9 games
Appalachian State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
ILLINOIS STATE vs. DAYTON
Illinois State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Illinois State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Dayton is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dayton's last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
IUPUI vs. HOFSTRA
No trends available
Hofstra is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Hofstra is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN vs. RHODE ISLAND
Northwestern is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Northwestern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Rhode Island is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Rhode Island is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

7:00 PM
QUINNIPIAC vs. VIRGINIA TECH
No trends available
Virginia Tech is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
Virginia Tech is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
TULSA vs. KENT STATE
Tulsa is 3-13-1 ATS in its last 17 games
Tulsa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Kent State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Kent State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

7:00 PM
WEBER STATE vs. CINCINNATI
Weber State is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Weber State is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
Cincinnati is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home

7:00 PM
WISC-GREEN BAY vs. AKRON
Wisc-Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wisc-Green Bay's last 9 games
Akron is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Akron's last 6 games

8:00 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. MISSOURI STATE
Middle Tennessee is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Middle Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Missouri State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Missouri State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home

8:00 PM
TROY vs. MISSISSIPPI
Troy is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Troy is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Mississippi is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:05 PM
NEVADA vs. WICHITA STATE
Nevada is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Nevada is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Wichita State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Wichita State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

9:00 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. MOREHEAD STATE
Colorado State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Morehead State is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Morehead State's last 6 games

9:00 PM
ILLINOIS vs. STONY BROOK
Illinois is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois's last 7 games on the road
No trends available

9:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. NORTHERN COLORADO
Portland is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Portland's last 11 games on the road
Northern Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Northern Colorado is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games at home

9:00 PM
ST. JOHN'S vs. MEMPHIS
St. John's is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
St. John's is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Memphis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Memphis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

10:00 PM
BOSTON UNIVERSITY vs. OREGON STATE
No trends available
Oregon State is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon State's last 7 games at home

10:30 PM
PACIFIC vs. LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Pacific is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Pacific is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Loyola Marymount is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Loyola Marymount is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home


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[Udog]

NCAAB


Tuesday, March 16

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What Bettors Need to Know: NCAA Tournament play-in game
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Arkanas-Pine Bluff vs. Winthrop (-4.5, 117.5)

Game is being held at Dayton, Ohio and can be seen on ESPN 7:30 p.m. ET, Tuesday night.

The annual NCAA play-in game features a pair of low-scoring teams who’ve both posted upsets in their conference tournaments. It is the first NCAA appearance for Arkansas-Pine Bluff while Winthrop is making its ninth trip to the Big Dance.

The winner faces Duke, the No. 1 seed from the South region, on Friday.

Who are these guys?

Arkansas-Pine Bluff lost its first 11 games of the season. You’d think after that type of start the Golden Lions would have packed things in, but that wasn’t the case.

UAPB coach George Ivory actually took a little positive out of the tough start. The Lions only lost those games by an average of 15 points and they played every one of them on the road. They lost to big-name schools like Oklahoma State, Missouri, Kansas State and Georgia Tech during the winless streak.

UAPB played its first three contests on the road when the conference season began but this time it won two of them and ended finishing 14-4 in the SWAC.

No Bluffing

UAPB earned its first NCAA berth beating Texas Southern 50-38 on Saturday in the Southwestern Athletic Conference championship game.

“This means a lot for our school and our fans,” UAPB coach George Ivory said. “We worked all year to get to the Big Dance and now we can always brag that at least for one year, we got to The Dance.

“We put a lot of pride in our defense and rebounding. We played a tough preseason schedule and it prepared us for playing physical in our league.”

The Golden Lions were seeded second in their conference tourney. They held conference opponents to just 37.3 shooting from the field and were second in the conference in rebounding.

Winthrop, who?

The Eagles are 1-8 in their NCAA Tournament history. They finished the season with an RPI of 162 playing a schedule ranked 242nd in the nation.

The Big South champs knocked off top-seeded Coastal Carolina 64-53 to earn the bid. Guard Reggie Middleton is the lone Eagle averaging double figures (10.3 ppg, 2.9 apg) while center Matt Morgan chips in with 9.6 ppg.

Winthrop defeated Notre Dame 84-74 in the 2007 NCAA tourney and is making its fifth NCAA trip in the last six years. That type of tourney experience led the Eagles to believe they wouldn’t be playing in 64-65 seed game.

“I expected us to go right in and play a No. 1 seed,” freshman guard Robbie Dreher said. “We’ll use this as motivation.”

They’re no shooting stars

Offensively Winthrop is one of the worst teams in the country. It ranks 295th in the nation in scoring (62.4 ppg.). And, if you think they stink at the free throw line (298th in the nation) watch them build a brick house beyond the arc – they’re dead last in the country in 3-point percentage.

How did they get in the Big Dance? Well, they played a lot of lousy teams and they suffocated them with a fantastic defensive style.

Winthrop held its opponents to 39 percent shooting from the floor and 29 percent from 3-point range. It ranks 33rd in the nation in scoring defense (61.4 ppg.) Winthrop finished third in the Big South and was 2-2 ATS in the limited games that you could get a line on them. The Eagles will also have a bit of a height advantage up front.

Injury update

Junior point guard Justin Burton was unable to practice on his injured right knee on Sunday. He came down awkwardly on the leg in Big South championship win. Burton had 11 points in 21 minutes of floor time with starter Reggie Middleton on the bench in foul trouble. Burton is questionable for Tuesday’s game.

Trend-setting

Winthrop is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 neutral site games and 0-4-1 ATS in its last five non-conference games.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 1-4 ATS in its five lined games this season.

It’s been all under for Winthrop recently.

Winthrop has gone under in its last four NCAA Tournament games.

The under is 15-3 in Winthrop’s last 18 games following a straight up win.

The under is also 14-3 in Wintrop’s last 17 neutral site games, 4-1 in Winthrop’s last five non-conference games and 20-8 in the team’s last 28 overall.


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[Udog]

NBA
Write-Up


Tuesday, March 16

Hot Teams
-- Bobcats won last six games (5-1 vs spread).
-- Miami won six of last seven games, covered four of last five. Spurs won seven of last eight games, covering last three.
-- Cavaliers won last ten games, covered seven of last nine.
-- New Jersey covered its last six games. Hawks won six of last eight games, covered one of last five.
-- Grizzlies won five of their last seven games.
-- Nuggets won six of their last seven games.
-- Suns won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Lakers won last three games, by 2-6-x points. Sacramento is 8-2 vs spread in its last ten games.

Cold Teams
-- Pacers lost six of last seven games, covered four of last five.
-- Pistons lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Bulls didn't win or cover any of their last seven games.
-- Minnesota lost eight of its last nine games (2-6 vs spread last eight).

Playing Second of Back-to-Back Nights
-- Detroit is 4-13-1 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Denver is 4-5-2 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Lakers lost last three times they played second nite in row on road.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Charlotte games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Miami games went over the total.
-- Over is 13-3 in last sixteen Cleveland games.
-- Eight of last nine Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Chicago games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Denver games went over the total. Seven of last nine Washington games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Under is 3-1 in last four games when Lakers were playing on for the second night in a row.

[Udog]

NBA


Tuesday, March 16

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Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets
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Charlotte Bobcats at Indiana Pacers (+1, 197.5)

Gerald Wallace was Charlotte’s lone All-Star this season but if you ask anyone who watches they’ll tell you the team’s real MVP is Stephen Jackson.

The shooting guard did everything for Charlotte but hand out the Gatorade during his club’s win over the Magic on Sunday. Jackson finished with 28 points, six rebounds and six assists, and didn’t turn the ball over once.

The Bobcats needed an offensive boost with Wallace missing due to injury.

"Stephen made huge plays throughout," Bobcats head coach Larry Brown told the Charlotte Observer, "and without Gerald, I don't know that we could have played any better."

The win was the club’s sixth straight and its fifth cover over the same stretch. The hot spell can be attributed to a recommitment to the defensive end. Charlotte is allowing just 87.5 points per game during the win streak and has played under the total in seven of its last nine games.

Pick: Under


Minnesota Timberwolves at Phoenix Suns

The Timberwolves are in full-out tank mode. Wanna know why? Forget that they’ve lost 15 of their last 16 games; Minnesota is 4-9-1 against the spread in its last 14 games and has lost by double digits in six of its last eight contests.

"Right now, our guys feel when things go bad, it's 'Here we go again,'” T-Wolves coach Kurt Rambis told the Minneapolis Star Tribune following his team’s latest loss. “We don't have the leadership out on the floor to get the guys rallied."

General manager David Kahn is hoping Rambis can squeeze in some time to scout the NCAA Tournament. That doesn’t exactly scream of a team focused on the Suns.

Phoenix backers haven’t cashed the last few times the Suns played on their home court, but getting Leandro Barbosa back should spark Alvin Gentry’s group.

Pick: Suns


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[Udog]

NHL
Write-Up


Tuesday, March 16

Hot Teams
-- Hurricanes won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Montreal won last five games, scoring 21 goals. Rangers won last two games, allowing total of three goals.
-- Panthers won four of their last five games. Washington won five of its last seven games.
-- Maple Leafs won three of their last four games.
-- Coyotes won last five games, allowing six goals.
-- Avalanche won three of its last four games.
-- Predators won three of their last four games.
-- Canucks won seven of their last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Bruins lost four of last five games.
-- Thrashers lost last six games, scoring eight goals. Sabres lost nine of their last ten road games.
-- Senators lost six of their last seven games.
-- Lightning lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Edmonton lost last four games, outscored 20-12. Minnesota is 2-7 in its last nine games.
-- Blues lost three of their last four games.
-- Philadelphia lost its last three away games.
-- Dallas Stars lost six of last seven games. San Jose lost three of its last four road games.
-- Islanders lost last eight road games; their last road win was Jan 9.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Montreal games.
-- Last four Florida games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Ottawa games.
-- Seven of last nine Phoenix games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Edmonton games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven St Louis games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Dallas games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Islander games stayed under the total. Eight of last nine Vancouver games went over.

Playing second of back-to-back nights
-- Bruins are 3-7 on road if they played the night before.
-- Oilera are 1-6 if they played the night before.

Series Records
-- Bruins won six of last seven games against Carolina.
-- Thrashers won six of last eight games against Buffalo.
-- Canadiens lost six of last seven visits to Manhattan.
-- Washington is 5-0 vs Florida this year, outscoring them 26-12.
-- Maple Leafs won three in row vs Ottawa by combined score of 10-3.
-- Oilers lost their last twelve visits to Minnesota.
-- Colorado is 3-0 vs St Louis this year: 4-0/5-2/7-3.
-- Sharks are 8-4 in last dozen games against Dallas.
-- Canucks won two of last three games against the Islanders.

[Udog]

NHL


Tuesday, March 16

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Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets
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Montreal Canadiens at New York Rangers (-145, 5.5)

Sean Avery is the Ron Artest of the NHL.

The enigmatic and agitating forward was benched last Friday by his coach, who was looking to spark a reaction from Avery after only registering four points in his previous 11 games.

"I don't know if that worked," John Tortorella said of the benching. "You guys get a little crazy with all that stuff as far as the motivation. Sean concentrated. He deserves the credit in the things he does.

"The thing I liked about his game, he let his play do his talking. That is very important."

Avery did some talking with his stick by scoring a pair of goals on Sunday in a 3-1 win over Philadelphia. Apparently he still dished out some smack talk during the game as he also incurred three penalties.

Montreal goalie Jaroslav Halak has been nails during the team’s current five-game winning streak, but holds a dismal 1-3-0 record at Madison Square Garden with a 4.11 goals-against average.

His counterpart under the net, Henrik Lundqvist, is 6-1-0 in his last seven home starts against the Canadiens with a 1.86 goals-against average. Look for the desperate Rangers to end the Habs’ streak.

Pick: Rangers


Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues (-130, 5.5)

The Blues have been a welcomed opponent this year for the Avalanche. In three games Colorado has destroyed St. Louis, outscoring them 15-7 and covering the puckline in each win.

St. Louis’s goalie, Chris Mason, was pulled in the last two contests that ended in 7-3 and 5-2 victories for the Avs and posted a 7.23 goals-against average in all three outings.

Colorado has played to the over in three of their last four games, averaging 4.75 goals per, and have converted eight of 20 power play opportunities during its last six affairs.

"I think we're shooting and getting more shots through," Paul Stastny said. "You can't get too cute. Sometimes when you get shots off, that's when plays open up."

The over is 8-2 in the Blues’ last 10 games and puck should be flying around on Tuesday in this matchup.

Pick: Over


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[Udog]

NOTE:
For the initial posting of trends and indexes, we have provided information available up to the time of posting.
Additional updates for today’s games will be posted ASAP.

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


Charlotte at Indiana

The Bobcats look to build on their 8-3 ATS record in their last 11 games as a favorite between 1 and 4 1/2 points. Charlotte is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bobcats favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MARCH 16

Game 551-552: Charlotte at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 120.762; Indiana 116.700
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 4; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 1 1/2; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-1 1/2); Under

Game 553-554: San Antonio at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 121.225; Miami 123.001
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 555-556: Cleveland at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 124.659; Detroit 114.293
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 10 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 9 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-9 1/2); Over

Game 557-558: Atlanta at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 122.455; New Jersey 117.730
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 4 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 559-560: Chicago at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 114.797; Memphis 120.567
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 6; 202
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 561-562: Washington at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 111.662; Denver 126.807
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 15; 203
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 13 1/2; 210
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-13 1/2); Under

Game 563-564: Minnesota at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 110.830; Phoenix 124.718
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 14; 220
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 565-566: LA Lakers at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 120.632; Sacramento 116.868
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 4; 209
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 6 1/2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+6 1/2); Over