Saturday Trends and Indexes 3/13 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Saturday, 3/13/2010

ORLANDO at WASHINGTON, 7:05 PM ET NBA
ORLANDO: 57-37 ATS playing with revenge
WASHINGTON: 8-19 ATS vs. division

DETROIT at ATLANTA, 7:05 PM ET
DETROIT: 4-13 ATS playing on back-to-back days
ATLANTA: 13-4 Over as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points

DENVER at MEMPHIS, 8:05 PM ET
DENVER: 0-7 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less
MEMPHIS: 16-3 ATS off home win

LA CLIPPERS at SAN ANTONIO, 8:35 PM ET
LA CLIPPERS: 7-17 ATS at San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO: 5-1 ATS in March

NEW JERSEY at HOUSTON, 8:35 PM ET
NEW JERSEY: 9-0 ATS Away 2nd half of season
HOUSTON: 38-59 ATS as double digit favorite

NEW YORK at DALLAS, 8:35 PM ET
NEW YORK: 31-14 ATS playing their 3rd game in 4 days
DALLAS: 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points

TORONTO at GOLDEN STATE, 10:35 PM ET
TORONTO: 7-19 ATS in non-conf road games
GOLDEN STATE: 26-15 ATS as home underdog

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Saturday, 3/13/2010

Conference USA Tournament - Championship Game - Tulsa, OK
HOUSTON vs. UTEP, 11:30 AM ET CBS
HOUSTON: 1-7 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5
UTEP: 8-2 ATS Away after 2+ consecutive wins

SEC Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Nashville, TN
TENNESSEE vs. KENTUCKY, 1:00 PM ET ABC
TENNESSEE: 17-37 ATS in all tournament games
KENTUCKY: 14-4 ATS after a win by 6 or less

VANDERBILT vs. MISSISSIPPI ST, 3:20 PM ET ABC
VANDERBILT: 10-3 ATS when playing with one or less days rest
MISSISSIPPI ST: 3-11 ATS after a win by 6 or less

Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Atlantic City, NJ
RHODE ISLAND vs. TEMPLE, 1:00 PM ET
RHODE ISLAND: 6-16 ATS after allowing 55 or less
TEMPLE: 12-5 ATS against conference opponents

RICHMOND vs. XAVIER, 3:25 PM ET
RICHMOND: 8-2 ATS after 3+ consecutive wins
XAVIER: 5-1 OVER after a win by 6 or less

ACC Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Greensboro, NC
MIAMI vs. DUKE, 1:30 PM ET ESPN
MIAMI: 24-10 ATS as a DD underdog
DUKE: 10-1 OVER in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5

NC STATE vs. GEORGIA TECH, 3:55 PM ET ESPN
NC STATE: 4-1 ATS in all neutral court games
GEORGIA TECH: 5-1 UNDER when playing only their 3rd game in a week

Big Ten Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Indianapolis, IN
ILLINOIS vs. OHIO ST, 1:40 PM ET CBS
ILLINOIS: 9-21 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3
OHIO ST: 6-1 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 3 days

MINNESOTA vs. PURDUE, 4:05 PM ET CBS
MINNESOTA: 6-1 ATS after 2+ consecutive overs
PURDUE: 2-10 ATS after having won 8+ of their last 10

Big 12 Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Kansas City, MO
KANSAS ST vs. KANSAS, 6:00 PM ET ESPN
KANSAS ST: 12-0 ATS after one or more consecutive overs
KANSAS: 29-12 UNDER after 4 straight wins by DD

PAC-10 Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Cleveland, OH
WASHINGTON vs. CALIFORNIA, 6:00 PM ET CBS
WASHINGTON: 22-8 OVER when playing with one or less days rest
CALIFORNIA: 11-3 ATS when playing only their 3rd game in a week

MAC Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Cleveland, OH
OHIO U vs. AKRON, 6:00 PM ET ESPN2
OHIO U: 9-2 OVER when playing with double revenge
AKRON: 1-6 ATS when playing only their 3rd game in a week

Mountain West Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Las Vegas, NV
SAN DIEGO ST at UNLV, 8:00 PM ET VER
SAN DIEGO ST: 6-0 Under off SU dog win
UNLV: 34-14 ATS off home win

Big West Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Anaheim, CA
LONG BEACH ST vs. UC-SANTA BARBARA, 8:00 PM ET ESPN2
LONG BEACH ST: 1-5 ATS off BB ATS wins
UC-SANTA BARBARA: 0-6 ATS after scoring 75+ points BB games

Big East Conference Tournament - Championship Game - New York, NY
GEORGETOWN vs. W VIRGINIA, 9:00 PM ET ESPN
GEORGETOWN: 5-0 ATS on neutral court
W VIRGINIA: 0-8 ATS playing only their 3rd game in a week

WAC Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Reno, NV
NEW MEXICO ST vs. UTAH ST, 12:00 PM ET ESPN2
NEW MEXICO ST: 9-2 Over off BB Unders
UTAH ST: 5-0 ATS off win by 20+ points

America East Conference Tournament - Championship Game
BOSTON U at VERMONT, 12:00 PM ET ESPN2
BOSTON U: 4-0 ATS on Saturday
VERMONT: 9-1 Under in March

MEAC Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Winston-Salem, NC
S CAROLINA ST vs. MORGAN ST, 2:00 PM ET ESPN2
S CAROLINA ST: 5-1 Under vs. conference
MORGAN ST: 4-11 ATS on neutral court

Southland Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Katy, TX
SF AUSTIN ST vs. SAM HOUSTON ST, 4:00 PM ET ESPN2
SF AUSTIN ST: 5-1 ATS on neutral court
SAM HOUSTON ST: 7-1 Over in tournament games

SWAC Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Shreveport, LA
TEXAS SOUTHERN vs. ARK-PINE BLUFF, 8:30 PM ET ESPNU
TEXAS SOUTHERN: n/a
ARK-PINE BLUFF: 0-5 ATS in all games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


Saturday, 3/13/2010

CHICAGO at PHILADELPHIA, 1:05 PM ET
CHICAGO: 16-3 SU off BB home games
PHILADELPHIA: 4-11 SU after scoring 1 goal or less

FLORIDA at SAN JOSE, 4:05 PM ET
FLORIDA: 5-14 SU after scoring 1 goal or less
SAN JOSE: 12-2 SU after allowing 4+ goals

BUFFALO at DETROIT, 7:05 PM ET
BUFFALO: 9-21 SU playing on back-to-back days
DETROIT: 38-9 SU at home off home win

NEW JERSEY at NY ISLANDERS, 7:05 PM ET
NEW JERSEY: n/a
NY ISLANDERS: n/a

BOSTON at MONTREAL, 7:05 PM ET NHL
BOSTON: 7-0 SU playing 6 or more games in 10 days
MONTREAL: 2-9 SU after a 4 game unbeaten streak

ST LOUIS at COLUMBUS, 7:05 PM ET
ST LOUIS: n/a
COLUMBUS: n/a

EDMONTON at TORONTO, 7:05 PM ET
EDMONTON: 1-11 SU if 8+ total goals were scored last game
TORONTO: 5-14 SU as favorite

PHOENIX at CAROLINA, 7:05 PM ET
PHOENIX: 4-15 SU off 2 straight wins
CAROLINA: 17-4 SU at home off home win

OTTAWA at VANCOUVER, 10:05 PM ET
OTTAWA: 32-52 SU after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
VANCOUVER: 7-0 SU in non-conf home games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Write-Up


Saturday, March 13

Information on Saturday's college basketball games........

Conference USA tournament
UTEP won last 16 games; Miners (+3) lost 75-65 at Houston Jan 12, as Cougars made 11-20 from arc, but won rematch 65-58 (-7.5) Feb 3, in game Houston led by 4 at half. Houston is just 12-46 from arc last two games after going 13-26 in first round- they pass ball less than any team I've seen. UTEP won its two tournament games by 22-14 points.

SEC tournament
Kentucky (-10) beat Tennessee 73-62 Feb 13, then got upset 74-65 (-3) in Knoxville two weeks later; Wildcats won 11 of last 12 games, are 4-3 against the spread in its last seven games as the favorite. Tennessee won five in row and seven of last eight games; they're 2-3 as an underdog in SEC games. Vols are playing third day in row, Kentucky second.

Mississippi State jumped out to 10-0 lead last night after trailing 17-0 in regular season finale; they're wildly erratic team that depends on making 3's- they were 10-20 from arc last night. Bulldogs (+5.5) lost 75-72 at Vanderbilt Feb 3 (9-34 from arc). Vanderbilt is 3-7 vs spread in last ten games as a favorite; they've won seven of their last nine games.

Atlantic 14 tournament
Temple beat Rhode Island twice this year, 68-64 in OT on road Jan 10 (+3), then 78-56 in Philly (-4, led by 20 at the half) Feb 13. Owls won their last eight games, covered last five; they are 11-3 vs spread an A-14 favorite this season. Rhode Island is 4-5 in last nine games, 1-2 as A-14 underdog. URI was 9-37 from the arc in the two games vs Temple.

Xavier (-7.5) beat Richmond 78-76 in double OT Feb 28; Musketeers had 20 turnovers (-8), Spiders made 12-29 from arc. Xavier won its last seven games, covering nine of last 11 games as a favorite. Spiders' last five games were all decided by five or less points; they're 11-1 in last 12 games and covered their last five games as an underdog.

ACC tournament
Duke (-7) was down 37-25 at half, rallied to win 81-74 at Miami Feb 17 in south Florida. Blue Devils won 10 of last 11 games since Georgetown upset; they are 7-4-1 vs spread in its last twelve games as an ACC fave. Miami is 3-5 in last eight games, but 5-1-1 vs spread in last seven games as an underdog- they held last two opponents to 35/38% from the floor.

Georgia Tech is 4-5 in last nine games- they're 1-4 vs spread in last five games as favorite; they beat NC State 73-71 (-8.5) Feb 6, shooting 52% in game where both teams had 20+ turnovers. Wolfpack won five of last six games; covering four of their last five games as an underdog. Jackets survived 25 turnovers Friday; they blocked 14 shots the last two days.

Big 11 tournament
Ohio State hammered Illinois twice this year, 72-53 (-1.5) on road Feb 14, then 73-57 (-9.5) at home 10 days ago. Buckeyes won their last five games, pulling out dramatic win yesterday on Turner's buzzer-beater; they're 8-6 as a Big 11 favorite this year. Illinois lost five of their last seven games; they're 6-3 vs spread in last nine games as an underdog.

Purdue won 13 of last 14 games, but they're 0-6 vs spread in last six, scoring 62.8 ppg in four games since Hummel tore his ACL and went out for year. Minnesota is 6-2 in last eight games, 3-3 as a Big 11 underdog; Gophers (+7.5) lost 79-60 at Purdue Jan 5, shooting 31% from the floor, then lost 59-58 at home (+2) to the Boilermakers Feb 24. .

Big 12 tournament
Kansas beat Kansas State twice this season, 81-79 (-4) in OT at K-State Jan 30, then 82-65 (-8) on Senior Day in Lawrence March 3. Jayhawks won last four games by 17-21-12-13 points, after losing at Oklahoma State- they're 4-9 in last 13 games as favorite. Kansas State scored 83-82 points in winning last two days; they're 2-2 as a Big 12 underdog.

Pac-10 tournament
Cal won, covered nine of last ten games; they're 11-4 against the spread in its last 15 games as a favorite- they shot 54-60% from floor last two days, winning by 16-13 points. . Washington won last six road games, after after starting season 0-7 out of Seattle- they split with Cal, winning 84-69 (-2.5) at home Jan 16, losing 93-81 (+4.5) in Berkeley Feb 11.

MAC tournament
Akron won nine of its last ten games; they're 4-3 vs spread in last seven games as the favorite; Zips beat Ohio twice this year, 67-62 (even), then 91-88 (-7.5) at home in double OT Feb 14. Ohio is 10-1 vs spread in last eleven games, covering last three tries as a dog; they held Kent/Miami to 36/34% from floor last two days. Akron is 0-3 in last three as a favorite.

Mountain West tournament
San Diego State probably got off bubble by beating New Mexico Friday; they lost 76-66 (+7) at UNLV Jan 13, turning ball over 20 times, then beat Rebels 68-58 (-4) at home. Aztecs won 10 of last 12 games- they're 4-2 as a MWC dog. UNLV won its last six games (4-2 vs spread); they are 8-2 at home, winning by 10-10-14-31-16-18-12-6-4 points.

Big West tournament
Santa Barbara (+5.5) lost 67-47 at Long Beach Jan 14, then beat 49ers 64-62 at home (-3.5) Feb 13; Gauchos won seven of last eight games, are 1-4 in last five games as favorite. Long Beach State won four of last five games- they're 3-1 as an underdog in conference games this year. 49ers played hardest non-league schedule in country, now its paying off.

Big East tournament
Georgetown is 11-3 in this event last 4+ years; Hoyas (+7.5) lost 81-68 at West Virginia March 1, but Freeman missed that game with diabetes issues. Mountaineers won seven of last eight games, with their last three games decided by total of seven points- they're 10-5 in this event last five years. Underdogs are 9-4 vs spread in Big East tourney this week.

WAC tournament
Utah State won its last 17 games (14-3 against the spread); they lost at New Mexico State 55-52 (-6.5) in WAC opener Jan 2, then beat Aggies 81-63 (-13.5) on Senior Day last week. New Mexico State is 2-4 in last six games as underdog- they upset host Nevada last night, while Utah St basically had bye in beating injury-ravaged La Tech by 30 points.

[Udog]

NHL
Write-Up


Saturday, March 13

Hot Teams
-- Blackhawks won six of their last eight games. Flyers won seven of their last ten games.
-- Sharks won last three games, scoring 13 goals. Panthers won three of their last four games.
-- Red Wings won five of their last seven games. Sabres won three of their last four games.
-- St Louis won six of its last seven games. Columbus won six of its last nine home games.
-- Maple Leafs won three of their last four games.
-- Canadiens won last four games, scoring 18 goals. Bruins won seven of their last ten games.
-- Carolina won nine of its last eleven games. Coyotes won three games, allowing total of four goals.
-- Canucks won six of their last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Devils lost eight of their last nine road games. Islanders lost last four games, scoring total of eight goals.
-- Oilers lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Senators lost five of their last six games.

Totals
-- Six of last seven Chicago games went over the total.
-- Last three Florida games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Buffalo games stayed under the total. Detroit's last five games all went over.
-- Five of last seven New Jersey games went over the total. Islanders' last three games all stayed under.
-- Last four Montreal games all went over the total.
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Columbus home games. Six of last eight Blue games went over.
-- Three of last four Edmonton games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Carolina home games went over the total. Five of last seven Phoenix games stayed under.
-- Last seven Vancouver games went over the total. Under is 5-0-1 in last six Ottawa games.

Playing second of back-to-back nights
-- Buffalo is 4-8 if it played the night before, 1-3 if it lost.
-- New Jersey lost last three times they played the night before, scoring a total of four goals.

Series Records
-- Red Wings won three of last four games against Buffalo.
-- Devils won eight of last eleven games against the Islanders.
-- Canadiens won four of last five games against Boston.
-- Blue Jackets won three of last four games against St Louis.

[Udog]

NCAAB


First Post

Saturday, March 13

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Trend Report
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11:35 AM
HOUSTON vs. TEXAS EL PASO
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas El Paso
Texas El Paso is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Texas El Paso is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston

1:00 PM
RHODE ISLAND vs. TEMPLE
Rhode Island is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Temple
Rhode Island is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Temple
Temple is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Temple is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Rhode Island

1:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. KENTUCKY
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kentucky
Kentucky is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
Kentucky is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee

1:30 PM
MIAMI vs. DUKE
Miami is 3-4-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Duke
Miami is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Duke
Duke is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Duke is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami

1:40 PM
ILLINOIS vs. OHIO STATE
Illinois is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Illinois is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Illinois

3:15 PM
VANDERBILT vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
Vanderbilt is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games
Vanderbilt is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi State
Mississippi State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Mississippi State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt

3:30 PM
RICHMOND vs. XAVIER
Richmond is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Xavier
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Richmond's last 7 games when playing Xavier
Xavier is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Richmond
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Xavier's last 7 games when playing Richmond

4:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. PURDUE
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Purdue
Purdue is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
Purdue is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

4:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. GEORGIA TECH
North Carolina State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Georgia Tech
North Carolina State is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina State
Georgia Tech is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing North Carolina State

6:00 PM
KANSAS STATE vs. KANSAS
Kansas State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Kansas State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
Kansas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas State
Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas State

6:00 PM
OHIO vs. AKRON
Ohio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Ohio is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Akron
Akron is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Ohio
Akron is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ohio

6:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CALIFORNIA
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing California
California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
California is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington

7:00 PM
SAN DIEGO STATE vs. UNLV
San Diego State is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against UNLV
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego State's last 7 games when playing on the road against UNLV
UNLV is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
UNLV is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
LONG BEACH STATE vs. SANTA BARBARA
Long Beach State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Long Beach State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Santa Barbara
Santa Barbara is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Santa Barbara is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Long Beach State

9:00 PM
GEORGETOWN vs. WEST VIRGINIA
Georgetown is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Georgetown is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing West Virginia
West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
West Virginia is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing Georgetown

10:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. UTAH STATE
New Mexico State is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
New Mexico State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Utah State
Utah State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Utah State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New Mexico State


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[Udog]

NBA


Saturday, March 13

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Tips and Trends
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Toronto Raptors at Golden St Warriors [10:30 PM ET]

Raptors (-1.5, O/U 227.5): Quite frankly, Toronto shouldn't be favored over anyone in the NBA right now. The Raptors have lost 8 of their past 9 games SU entering tonight. Despite their inferior opponent, the Raptors haven't won in Golden St. in 6 years. The Raptors are 32-31 SU and 29-34 ATS this season. With their recent SU slide, Toronto is now 8th in the Eastern Conference playoff standings. Every game is crucial at this point of the season, as the Raptors are competing with 3 other teams for the last playoff spot in their conference. The Raptors are 10-21 SU and 13-18 ATS on the road this season. Toronto is only 4-10 ATS in the 2nd half of the season thus far. The Raptors are 3-2 ATS as a road favorite of 3 PTS or less this season. Toronto has also played well against the Pacific Division, as they are 5-2 ATS this season. Toronto has struggled to score of late, as they've been held under 100 PTS in 4 of their past 8 games. Toronto is only 5-13 SU this season when held under 100 PTS this season.

Raptors are 1-8 ATS last 9 games overall.
Under is 11-4 last 15 vs. Western Conference.

Key Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 114

Warriors: Golden St. has lost their past 6 games, yet optimism remains high for this team. With absolutely no expectations on them, the Warriors are remaining very competitive despite the mounting SU losses. In their current 6 game losing streak SU, the Warriors are 4-2 ATS. Golden St. keeps scoring PTS, but simply gives up more PTS in return. In this current losing streak, the Warriors have only allowed 1 team to score fewer than 110 PTS. Golden St. is only 17-47 SU this season, the 3rd worst record in the entire NBA. Despite their SU failures, the Warriors are 36-27-1 ATS. Golden St. is 13-19 SU and 18-14 ATS in home games this season. The Warriors are 28-20 ATS as the listed underdog this season. The Warriors have been the listed underdog in 8 of their past 10 games. The Warriors average 107.2 PPG this season, the 3rd most in the NBA. This is especially impressive considering the amount of injuries this team has battled through. 9 different Warriors players have scored 25 PTS in a game this season, the most in the NBA.

Warriors are 7-3 ATS last 10 games following a SU loss.
Over is 7-3 last 10 games as a home underdog.

Key Injuries - F Ronny Turiaf (knee) is questionable.
G Raja Bell (wrist) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 121 (SIDE of the Day)


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[Udog]

NCAAB


Saturday, March 13

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Tips and Trends
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Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Ohio St Buckeyes [CBS | 1:40 PM ET]

Fighting Illini: Illinois played one of their best games of their season at the most opportune time. Illinois beat Wisconsin SU yesterday to advance in the Big 10 conference championship. The Illini were 7.5 underdogs, yet won the game 58-54 SU. The Illini are 7-5 ATS as the listed underdog, with 5 of those wins coming SU. The Illini shocked alot of people with this win yesterday, as they had lost 5 of their past 6 games SU entering the tournament. Illinois is now 19-13 SU and 13-18 ATS on the season. The Illini are 7-9 SU and 8-8 ATS away from home this season. After allowing 145 PTS in their past 2 games combined, Illinois finally stepped up to the challenge and played some defense. The Illini will need to defend the same way today, as they allowed Ohio St. to average 72.5 PPG in 2 blowout losses SU this season. The Ilini will hope the 3rd attempt is the charm on the biggest stage of their season. G Demetri McCamey is averaging 15 PPG and 6.8 APG this season in leading the Illini.

Fighting Illini are 1-6 ATS last 7 neutral site games.
Over is 5-1 last 6 neutral site games.

Key Injuries - C Mike Tisdale (Achilles) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 65

Buckeyes (-7, O/U 127): It appears destiny might very well be on the side of Ohio St, as the Buckeyes advanced in the Big 10 tourney thanks to a buzzer beating 3 pointer. All American G Evan Turner provided the fireworks, as he made a 37 footer as time expired to help the Buckeyes win 69-68. The reigning Big 10 player of the year had 18 PTS and 8 assists to go along with his game winning 3 pointer. Ohio St. is now 25-7 SU on the season and ranked #5 in the country. The Buckeyes have won 11 of their past 12 games, shooting up the national rankings in the process. The Buckeyes are 8-6 SU and 6-8 ATS away from home this season. Ohio St. is 7-2 ATS as a single digit favorite this season. Coach Motta has his players buying into his system, as the Buckeyes have won at least 20 games for Motta in every season he's coached them. Turner is the complete package, as he's averaged 19.5 PPG, 9.4 RPG, and 5.8 APG this season.

Buckeyes are 7-3 ATS last 10 neutral site games.
Over is 8-1 last 9 neutral site games as a favorite.

Key Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 71 (OVER - Total of the Day)


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[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Update

Saturday, March 13

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WASHINGTON (23 - 9) vs. CALIFORNIA (23 - 9) - 3/13/2010, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
CALIFORNIA is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 5-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 5-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN DIEGO ST (24 - 8) at UNLV (25 - 7) - 3/13/2010, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
UNLV is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
UNLV is 76-48 ATS (+23.2 Units) on Saturday games since 1997.
UNLV is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
UNLV is 75-48 ATS (+22.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
SAN DIEGO ST is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 4-3 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 4-3 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LONG BEACH ST (17 - 15) vs. UC-SANTA BARBARA (19 - 9) - 3/13/2010, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LONG BEACH ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LONG BEACH ST is 63-42 ATS (+16.8 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LONG BEACH ST is 6-0 against the spread versus UC-SANTA BARBARA over the last 3 seasons
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 4-2 straight up against LONG BEACH ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW MEXICO ST (21 - 11) vs. UTAH ST (27 - 6) - 3/13/2010, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTAH ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.
UTAH ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH ST is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
UTAH ST is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
UTAH ST is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
UTAH ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 5-2 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

Saturday six-pack

-- The national average for making 3-pointers in D-I hoop is 34.2%.

-- I didn't know the drinking age is Toronto is only 19.

-- Over the last six years, Tim Duncan has 901 blocked shots but only one goaltending goal. Thats pretty impressive.

-- Oregon Ducks suspended their starting QB for the whole '10 season after a burglary charge, so that changes their outlook for next season.

-- Larry Johnson signed 3-year deal with Redskins that could be worth $12M if he hits all his incentives.

-- You know you're having a bad week/month if you hire Ari Fleischer as a consultant; the guy specializes in cleaning up toxic messes.


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Saturday's List of 13: What I've learned so far this week........

13) No team has ever lost its first conference tournament game and gone on to win the national title. Bad news for Syracuse-Villanova-Maryland.

12) If BYU's Jimmer Fredette played for Duke, Dick Vitale would never, ever shut up about him; the kid is an NBA player. BYU lost tough game at UNLV-- can they end their NCAA win drought next week? Last time Cougars won an NCAA game was 1993, when they beat SMU.

11) Montana's Anthony Johnson scored 34 of his team's 42 second half points in Big Sky title game at Weber State Wednesday; just tremendous by Johnson, bringing his team back from 40-18 deficit to win on road.

10) Rumors are strong that Oregon is firing Ernie Kent, but they should fire their uniform designers before they can alumnus Kent, who has been coaching the Ducks with reasonable success for thirteen years.

9) Rough night for 35-second clocks that don't have loud enough buzzers games in both ACC/Mountain West were marred by blown non-calls that involved the shot clock expiring before baskets were made. Have to get louder buzzers for the shot clocks.

8) Louisiana Tech's Jamel Guyton had 31 points, 11 rebounds in Tech's win Thursday; the kid is only 6-foot-3, very tough guy, good player.

7) Clemson has played in 57 ACC tournaments, and lost its first game in 43 of them, without ever winning a title; of course, the tournament hasn't been played in South Carolina yet, either.

6) I'm thinking Michigan coach Beilein will second-guess how his team defended Ohio State on the last play Friday for the rest of his life; have to make the dribbler change direction at least once. Turner got too good a look, but he still made a very difficult shot to beat the Wolverines.

5) Minnesots got back on the bubble by beating erratic Michigan State, in game Spartans played without starting guard Allen (suspended).

4) Duke was the only favorite to win in ACC tournament Friday. We're looking at the 7-11-12 seeds in the ACC's Final Four Saturday.

3) Double digit favorites are 16-14 vs spread in conference tournament games; overall, favorites are 77-84 vs spread in tournament play.

2) Its sad when coaches get fired; we forget this involves people's kids and wives and its real life. Boise State, Cal-Irvine, Auburn, St John's are all looking for new coaches this week, as schools try to hire the Genius of the Week to get their school into a national spotlight of March Madness.

1) Over 14 hours of hoop Friday, after 13:52 Thursday, so my eyes are a little tired; we're down to 16 games Saturday, then a handful on Sunday, before we see the brackets Sunday night. There are four tournaments in postseason-- NIT, CBI and CIT, in addition to the NCAAs.

[Udog]

NBA
Write-Up


Saturday, March 13

Hot Teams
-- Magic won their last seven games (6-1 vs spread).
-- Hawks won five of last seven games (0-4 vs spread in last four).
-- Nuggets won their last five games (3-1-1 vs spread). Grizzlies are 5-1 in their last six games.
-- Nets stink, but they covered their last five games.
-- Mavericks won last 13 games (6-3-1 vs spread in last ten).

Cold Teams
-- Wizards lost last six games (2-4 vs spread).
-- Pistons lost seven of last nine games, covered three of last four.
-- Clippers lost last six games (1-5 vs spread). Spurs won six of their last seven games, but are 5-11 vs spread in last 16 games as a favorite.
-- Rockets are 1-7 vs spread in game following their last eight wins.
-- Knicks lost six of their last eight games.
-- Warriors lost last six games, but covered four of the six. Raptors lost seven of their last eight games.

Playing Second of Back-to-Back Nights
-- Wizards are playing third night in row, due to makeup game against the Hawks Thursday.
-- Detroit is 5-10-1 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Memphis is 3-1 vs spread at home if they won the night before.
-- Spurs are 2-4 vs spread if they won the night before.
-- Nets are 2-1-1 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Knicks are 2-6 vs spread on road if they played the night before.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Orlando games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Last four Denver road games stayed under the total. Six of last eight Memphis games went over.
-- Five of last seven Clipper games went over the total. Four of last five San Antonio games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Houston home games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Dallas games went over the total. Four of Knicks' last five games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Golden State home games stayed under the total