Sunday Trends and Indexes 2/28 (NBA,NCAAB, Misc.)

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Sunday, 2/28/2010

NORTHWESTERN at PENN ST, 12:00 PM ET Big 10
NORTHWESTERN: 7-0 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
PENN ST: 0-6 ATS playing only their 2nd game in a week

MARQUETTE at SETON HALL, 12:00 PM ET
MARQUETTE: 6-0 ATS Away when the line is +3 to -3
SETON HALL: 2-8 ATS as favorite

RICHMOND at XAVIER, 1:00 PM ET ESPN2
RICHMOND: 18-5 ATS as an underdog
XAVIER: 6-0 Over at home the total is 130 to 139.5

LOUISVILLE at CONNECTICUT, 2:00 PM ET CBS
LOUISVILLE: 7-21 ATS off SU loss as home favorite
CONNECTICUT: 6-0 ATS off conference win

TEMPLE at LASALLE, 2:00 PM ET
TEMPLE: 11-2 Under off 3 straight conf wins
LASALLE: 0-7 ATS in home games

UC-RIVERSIDE at CAL DAVIS, 4:00 PM ET
UC-RIVERSIDE: 0-7 ATS Away off ATS win
CAL DAVIS: 12-2 ATS off conference loss

(TC) INDIANA at IOWA, 6:00 PM ET Big 10
INDIANA: 11-2 Over off DD Home loss
IOWA: 21-10 Under off an Over

CLEMSON at FLORIDA ST, 5:30 PM ET FSN
CLEMSON: 0-6 ATS in conference road games
FLORIDA ST: 17-4 Under at home off BB SU wins

DUKE at VIRGINIA, 7:45 PM ET FSN
DUKE: 105-78 ATS off ATS loss
VIRGINIA: 5-15 ATS off road loss

Added Games

NIAGARA at FAIRFIELD, 12:00 PM ET
NIAGARA: 8-1 Under as road dog or pick
FAIRFIELD: 5-15 ATS in home games

MANHATTAN at LOYOLA-MD, 1:00 PM ET
MANHATTAN: 10-1 Away playing with revenge
LOYOLA-MD: 0-9 ATS in home games

CANISIUS at RIDER, 2:00 PM ET
CANISIUS: 15-5 ATS Away off Away win
RIDER: 10-33 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less

IONA at ST PETERS, 2:00 PM ET
IONA: 15-4 ATS Away playing with revenge
ST PETERS: 0-6 ATS at home off SU win

MARIST at SIENA, 4:00 PM ET
MARIST: 7-17 ATS off home game
SIENA: 14-7 ATS as favorite

WEBER ST at PORTLAND ST, 4:00 PM ET
WEBER ST: 29-9 Over in February
PORTLAND ST: 7-0 Over off home game

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NBA


Sunday, February 28

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Tips and Trends
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Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers [ABC | 3:30 PM ET]

Nuggets: Denver has won 3 consecutive games SU in route to a season record of 39-19 SU. Denver is currently 2nd in the Western Conference playoff chase, and have the 3rd best record overall in the NBA. The Nuggets have been dealing with the emotional stress of dealing with Coach George Karl's health issues. The Nuggets are 14-14 SU and 12-14-2 ATS on the road this season. Denver is a very impressive 8-2 ATS as the listed underdog this season. A big reason for the Nuggets success against the Lakers and the rest of the NBA this season is their ability to get to the foul line. Denver has attempted 14 more free throws than the Lakers in their first 2 matchups combined. Denver attempts nearly 32 free throws per game, easily leading the entire NBA this season. F Carmelo Anthony leads the Nuggets in scoring, averaging 29 PPG this season. Anthony is 3rd in the NBA in scoring, and helps the Nuggets average nearly 108 PPG this season. Denver is averaging 116 PPG over their past 3 contests, allowing the Nuggets to average the 2nd most PTS in the NBA this year.

Nuggets are 5-0-1 ATS last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % greater than .600.
Under is 17-8 last 25 games as a road underdog.

Key Inuries - F Kenyon Martin (knee) is questionable.
F Renaldo Balkman (back) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 97

Lakers (-6, O/U 208.5): It's not often the Lakers lose SU to another team twice in the same season. That is exactly the case today, as the Lakers look to exact some revenge against the team that's beaten them by double digits each time they've played this season. Denver has won both meetings by a combined 39 PTS SU and 43 PTS ATS. The Lakers lead the Western Conference with a record of 44-15 SU, which is also good enough for the 2nd best record in the entire NBA. Los Angeles is 27-5 SU and 14-17-1 ATS in home games this season. The Lakers are 10-6-1 ATS as a single digit home favorite this season. The Lakers have lost 5 consecutive games ATS entering today's contest. Los Angeles has been held under 100 PTS in 5 of their past 6 games. Part of the lack of offense has been the absence of G Kobe Bryant. Bryant averages 27.7 PPG in leading the Lakers in scoring, and also averages a team high 4.7 APG this season. The Lakers have held 12 of their past 14 opponents under 100 PTS. The Lakers only allow 96.2 PPG this season, the 8th lowest in the NBA.

Lakers are 0-5 ATS last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-0 last 4 games as a home favorite.

Key Inuries - G Sasha Vujacic (shoulder) is out.
F Luke Walton (back) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 102 (UNDER - Total of the Day)



New Orleans Hornets at Dallas Mavericks [ESPN | 9:30 PM ET]

Hornets: Very quietly New Orleans has won 7 of their past 9 games SU. Even more quitely, the Hornets are sneaking back into the playoff chase in the Western Conference. The Hornets are currently in 9th place in the playoff chase, sitting 2 games back of Portland for the final playoff spot. PG Darren Collison continues to shine in PG Chris Paul's absence. The former UCLA star is averaging 22.7 PPG and 8.7 APG over his past 9 games. Collison also has the ability to play lockdown defense thanks to his long arms. F David West averages 18.6 PPG this season, and is coming off a 40 point, 10 rebound game in his last start. That was the first time in his last 12 games that West achieved a double double. New Orleans has struggled when playing in Dallas, as they've lost 15 of their past 16 games there SU. The Hornets are 11-19 SU and 16-14 ATS in road games this season. The Hornets are 21-13 ATS as the listed underdog this season. New Orleans has won 7 of their past 8 games ATS as an underdog on the road entering tonight's nationally televised game.

Hornets are 9-1 ATS last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 7-1 last 8 road games.

Key Inuries - C Darius Songaila (ankle) is out.
G Chris Paul (knee) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 97 (SIDE of the Day)

Mavericks (-8.5, O/U 200): Dallas has won 6 consecutive games SU, and appear to be reinvigorated since their mid season trade. Dallas has held their past 7 opponents under 100 PTS in regulation entering tonight's contest. Dallas has completely changed their identity from an offensive team to a much stronger defensive minded club. The Mavericks are 38-21 SU this season, leading the Southwest Division. If the playoffs started today, the Mavericks would be the 3rd seed in the Western Conference. Dallas is 19-9 SU and 7-21 ATS at home this season. That's right, 7-21 ATS at home this season. Dallas has earned a reputation of being able to win games SU, but not by nearly enough to cover the spread. The Mavericks are only 3-7 ATS as a favorite of 6.5 to 9 PTS this season. Dallas will look to win their 7th straight game SU since 2007. F Dirk Nowitzki and PG Jason Kidd have clearly enjoyed the midseason trade and the players they acquired. Nowitzki is averaging nearly 28 PPG since the trade, while Kidd is 2 APG short of averaging a triple double during this same time span.

Mavericks are 6-23 ATS last 29 games as a home favorite.
Over is 9-4 last 13 games as a home favorite.

Key Inuries - Caron Butler (illness) is probable.
C Erick Dampier (finger) is out

PROJECTED SCORE: 99


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[Udog]

thnx udog

NP. Louie! Good luck today!

Sorry I didn't see this sooner! I was in bed before #11 finished posting!

[Udog]

NBA
Write-Up


Early Game

Sunday, February 28

Hot Teams
-- Suns won/covered five in row, 11 of last 13 games.

Cold Teams
-- Spurs lost six of their last nine games.

Totals
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Phoenix games.
--

[Udog]

NBA
Write-Up


Sunday, February 28

Hot Teams
-- Suns won/covered five in row, 11 of last 13 games.
-- Nuggets won four of their last five games.
-- Milwaukee won six in row, 11 of last 14 games; they're 16-4 against the spread in last 20 games.
-- Magic won nine of their last eleven home games.
-- Thunder won 10 of their last 12 games.
-- Clippers won three of their last four games.
-- Mavericks won their last six games (4-2 vs spread). Hornets are 7-2 vs spread in their last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Spurs lost six of their last nine games.
-- Lakers are 1-6 vs spread in their last seven home games.
-- Hawks are 3-4 in last seven games; they covered one of last five.
-- Nets lost four of their last five games. Wizards lost three of four.
-- Heat lost last three games, by 6-3-23 points.
-- Raptors covered once in their last five games.
-- Sacramento lost five of its last six games.

Totals
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Phoenix games.
-- Seven of last nine Denver games went over the total. Seven of last eight Laker games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Atlanta home games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-3 in Wizards' last 12 games. Last four New Jersey games went over the total.
-- Eight of last nine Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Orlando games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Clipper games.
-- Three of last four Dallas games went over the total.

[Udog]

Sunday six-pack

According to Baseball America, six of the best minor league prospects for the Chicago White Sox.........

6) Trayce Thompson, OF-- Son of former Laker Mychal Thompson, who has two other sons playing Division I basketball.

5) Jordan Danks, OF-- Older brother pitches for big club. Led Arizona Fall League in runs scored, was 5th in on-base percentage.

4) Brent Morel, 3B-- Will start season in AA after leading Arizona Fall League in hitting. Got $440,000 to sign out of Cal Poly.

3) Dan Hudson, P-- Gave up 16 hits in 19 big league innings last year. Was 15-6 overall LY, pitching for five different teams.

2) Tyler Flowers, C-- Could inherit starting catching job in 2011; is said to be major league-ready as a hitter right now.

1) Jared Mitchell, OF-- Hit .296 in pro debut after helping LSU win two national championships in college. Also played football


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Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college basketball Saturday

13) Central Florida scored 115 points Saturday but lost in triple OT at Marshall, after rallying from a 17-point halftime deficit. Marshall wins 121-115, making 43-67 from foul line. Whiteside kid had 13 blocked shots for the vastly improved Thundering Herd.

12) Georgetown lost three games in February when they were favored to win by double digits, but also beat Duke-Louisville-Villanova. Go figure.

11) Tennessee is first team in eight years to beat the #1-2 teams in nation in the same season.

10) Gary Parrish wrote on CBSSports.com "Any coach who doesn't play zone against Kentucky should be fired." Wildcats are 12-73 (16.4%) from arc in their last four games. Even Tennessee played some zone.

9) Texas A&M's Donald Sloan showed promise in amateur boxing before dedicating himself to basketball. He's a very good player, and is leading the Aggies to another berth in the NCAA tournament.

8) Credit to Vanderbilt for easy win at Arkansas on its quick turnaround after their OT win against Georgia Thursday. That was a serious trap for the Commodores, but they beat the Razoebacks easily.

7) New Mexico got an impressive 83-81 win at BYU, but PG Fredette had a stomach ailment and only played a minute in the second half. Kid had mono earlier this season-- he's a difference maker for BYU.

6) Oregon may have saved Ernie Kent's job; they're only Pac-10 team to go 4-0 against USC/UCLA this season. Weird year in the Pac-10.

5) Greivis Vazquez scored 41 points in Maryland's 104-100 double OT win at Virginia Tech, a game that was delayed for three hours or so after a beer truck hit a fire hydrant near the arena, causing water problems before the game. Hokies needed to win this game.

4) Its been a long time since I've team a college hoop team play with lack of energy and effort that Fresno State displayed Saturday in San Jose, in what is a rivalry game. Spartans crushed Fresno and the Bulldogs didn't really seem to mind that much.

3) North Carolina held Wake Forest to 29.7% from floor in upsetting the Deacons in Joel Coliseum. Imagine being 5-7 seed in ACC and playing the first game in ACC tourney, a game you're expected to win, and seeing the Tar Heels on the other bench? That will be a nervous opponent.

2) NFL is thinking of changing the OT rules so that each team gets ball in the extra period; new rule would involve first team scoring 7 points in OT winning, until both teams had a possession. For instance, if Team A kicks a FG on first possession, then Team B gets ball-- if they don't score, the game is over. If they kick a FG, game is sudden death from that point on.

1) Nevada lost 74-63 at Hawai'i late Saturday night, but after spending lot of Saturday holed up on 26th floor of their hotel, waiting out the tsunami, they're probably just glad to get on a plane and get back to Reno.