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**BettorsChat** · 02-27-2010, 11:16 AM

gl Stardust

**flashypants** · 02-27-2010, 11:31 AM

gl pal

**StarDust Bum** · 02-27-2010, 11:53 AM

Early-Action Tips

**Michigan at Ohio State**

--Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened Ohio State (22-7 straight up, 15-14 against the spread) as a 13-point favorite. As of early this morning, most betting shops had the Buckeyes favored by 12 ½ with a total of 124 ½.

--Thad Matta’s team has won back-to-back games both SU and ATS, including Wednesday’s 75-67 win at Penn St. as a 7 ½-point road favorite. Evan Turner turned in another stellar performance, finishing with 25 points, seven rebounds, seven assists, three steals and a pair of blocked shots. David Lighty added 18 points.

--Michigan (13-14 SU, 11-12 ATS) has lost four of its last six games, going 1-5 ATS. The Wolverines hit the road in this spot following Tuesday’s 51-44 home loss to Illinois as three-point favorites. Manny Harris had 15 points and 11 boards in the losing effort, but he was a shaky 5-of-17 from the field.

--Michigan beat Ohio St. 73-64 as a two-point home favorite back on Jan. 3. However, we must note that Turner wasn’t in the lineup for the Buckeyes as this loss came during a six-game stretch in which he was recovering from two broken bones in his back. DeShawn Sims had 28 points and nine rebounds for the winners, while Harris added 24 points, seven boards, five assists and three steals.

--Although I think Michigan is one of the nation’s most disappointing teams this season, we can’t ignore the production from John Beilein’s squad as an underdog. The Wolverines are 7-1 ATS in eight games as ‘dogs.

--Ohio St. is 15-1 SU and 9-7 ATS at home this year.

--The ‘under’ is on an incredible 12-2 run for Michigan and is 16-7 overall for the Wolverines.

--The ‘under’ is 14-13 overall for Ohio St., 8-6 in its home assignments.

--ESPN will provide television coverage at noon Eastern.

**Kentucky at Tennessee**

--LVSC opened Kentucky (27-1 SU, 15-11 ATS) as a two-point favorite. As of early this morning, most spots had the Wildcats installed as 1 ½-point favorites with a total of 142.

--Tennessee (20-7 SU, 10-13-1 ATS) has lost three of its last five games to fall into fourth in the SEC East with an 8-5 record in league play. Even worse, the Vols are mired in a 2-8 ATS slump.

--Tennessee is looking to bounce back from Tuesday’s 75-62 loss at Florida as a two-point underdog. Scotty Hopson, who was benched for the first time this season, came off the pine to score a team-high 20 points.

--John Calipari’s team avenged its lone loss of the season Thursday night, trouncing South Carolina 82-61 as a 16-point home favorite. Junior power forward Patrick Patterson was the catalyst with 23 points, eight rebounds, four blocked shots and a pair of steals. The West Virginia native made 10-of-12 shots from the field. DeMarcus Cousins added 19 points and 11 boards.

--UT is 13-1 SU and 5-6 ATS at home this season. The only loss for the Vols came against Vandy.

--The ‘over’ is 13-12 overall for UK.

--The ‘under’ is a lucrative 14-6 overall for the Vols, 8-2 in their home outings.

--UK has won three in a row against UT and is 7-1 ATS in the last eight head-to-head meetings. When these teams met at Rupp Arena on Feb. 13, the ‘Cats won a 73-62 decision to hook up their backers as 9 ½-point home favorites. John Wall scored a team-high 24 points in the victory.

--Wayne Chism is “probable” even though he has a hip injury and a sore back thanks to a hard fall in Tuesday’s loss at UF. Chism averages 12.9 points and 6.9 rebounds per game. UT head coach Bruce Pearl had this to say about Chism, according to VolQuest.com, "We'll see, but Wayne will play. We may rest him up but I think in order to be effective he needs to practice. There's a little 'Willis Reed' in Wayne. That's ok as long as it has that kind of an ending." Chism was held out for most of Thursday’s practice for precautionary reasons.

--CBS will have the telecast at noon Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Luke Harangody is “doubtful” for today’s noon Eastern game at Georgetown as he continues to nurse an injured knee. Most books have the Hoyas favored by 11 ½.

--BYU and New Mexico will collide at 4:00 p.m. Eastern. Most spots have the Cougars as eight-point ‘chalk.’ The Lobos haven’t tasted defeat since a Jan. 9 home loss to UNLV. BYU has won four in a row both SU and ATS. When these teams met at The Pit in Albuquerque, Steve Alford’s team collected a 76-72 win as a 1 ½-point home favorite.

--The ‘over’ has hit in eight of the last 11 New Mexico-BYU meetings.

--Most books are listing Kansas as a 5 ½-point favorite for today’s game at Oklahoma St. CBS will have television coverage at 4:00 p.m. Eastern. The Cowboys can give their resume a monster boost with a win here. Bettors can take Travis Ford’s team to win outright for a plus-190 return (risk $100 to win $190).

--Georgia has covered the number at a 14-4 clip in its last 18 games. Coming off Thursday’s gut-wrenching loss at Vandy in overtime, the Dawgs return home to take on Florida. The Gators dealt out woodshed treatment to Mark Fox’s team when these rivals met in Gainesville at the O-Dome. Most books have this SEC showdown as a pick ‘em or with one team or the other favored by one. Billy Donovan’s team has won three in a row to most likely lock up its first at-large berth in the NCAA Tournament since winning back-to-back national titles in 2006 and 2007.

**StarDust Bum** · 02-27-2010, 12:09 PM

Two Early NBA Games:

Saturday, February 27Game Score Status Pick Amount

New Jersey - 1:00 PM ET Boston -10.5 300
Boston - Over 189 400

Milwaukee - 3:30 PM ET Milwaukee + 1.5 500 ( NBA POD )
Miami - Under 183 500

**StarDust Bum** · 02-27-2010, 04:51 PM

UPGRADE:

Florida - 4:00 PM ET Georgia +1 500
Georgia -
( UPGRADED TO A POD )

**StarDust Bum** · 02-27-2010, 05:33 PM

Your Evening 5 unit games:

Providence - 7:00 PM ET South Florida -6 500
South Florida - Over 154 500

Central Florida - 7:00 PM ET
Marshall - Over 137 500

Citadel - 7:00 PM ET Wofford -11 500
Wofford -

Princeton - 7:00 PM ET Princeton -6 500 ( IVY LEAGUE POD )
Columbia - Under 105 500

Yale - 7:00 PM ET Harvard -13.5 500
Harvard -

Duquesne - 8:00 PM ET Saint Louis -4 500
Saint Louis -

Arizona - 8:00 PM ET Stanford -3 500 ( PAC 10 POD )
Stanford -

Colorado St. - 8:30 PM ET Colorado St. +3.5 500
Texas Christian -

Villanova - 9:00 PM ET Syracuse -5 500
Syracuse -

Northern Colorado - 10:05 PM ET Sacramento State +9 500
Sacramento State - Over 135.5 500

Santa Clara - 11:00 PM ET Portland -14.5 500 ( WCC BLOWOUT )
Portland - Over 130 500

-----------------------------------------------------------
The Rest of my opinons and maybe upgrades:

Davidson - 7:00 PM ET Davidson -4.5 300
Elon University -

Central Florida - 7:00 PM ET Central Florida +12.5 300
Marshall -

Drexel - 7:00 PM ET Drexel -2.5 300
James Madison - Over 130 300

Miami (OH) - 7:00 PM ET Miami (OH) +8 300
Kent St. - Under 125.5 300

Massachusetts - 7:00 PM ET Dayton -15 200
Dayton - Over 133.5 400

Ohio - 7:00 PM ET Ohio +5.5 400
Buffalo - Over 151 400

Louisiana-Lafayette - 7:00 PM ET Denver -7 300
Denver - Over 121.5 400

Louisiana State - 7:00 PM ET Louisiana State +8 300
Auburn - Over 138.5 300

Tulsa - 7:00 PM ET Tulsa -10.5 300
East Carolina -

Middle Tennessee St. - 7:00 PM ET Middle Tennessee St. +2.5 300
Florida Atlantic -

Murray St. - 7:00 PM ET Murray St. -5.5 300
Eastern Kentucky - Under 134.5 400

Ball St. - 7:00 PM ET Ball St. -4.5 300
Toledo -

Pennsylvania - 7:00 PM ET Cornell -20.5 300
Cornell -

Brown - 7:00 PM ET Brown -1.5 300
Dartmouth -

Tennessee St. - 7:00 PM ET Tennessee St. +8 400
Eastern Illinois -

Tenn-Martin - 7:30 PM ET Morehead St. -22.5 300
Morehead St. -

Oregon St. - 7:30 PM ET Oregon St. +8 400
Southern California - Under 106.5 400

Western Kentucky - 8:00 PM ET Western Kentucky -8.5 300
Florida International -

William & Mary - 8:00 PM ET William & Mary -4 400
NC-Wilmington -

Southern Mississippi - 8:00 PM ET Southern Mississippi +11.5 400
Memphis -

New Orleans - 8:00 PM ET New Orleans +7.5 400
Arkansas-Little Rock -

Houston - 8:00 PM ET Southern Methodist +0 300
Southern Methodist -

San Francisco - 8:00 PM ET Gonzaga -20 400
Gonzaga - Over 143 400

Missouri - 8:00 PM ET Kansas St. -6 300
Kansas St. -

Idaho - 8:00 PM ET Louisiana Tech -7 400
Louisiana Tech

Illinois St. - 8:05 PM ET Illinois St. +7.5 300
Northern Iowa -

Troy - 8:05 PM ET Arkansas St. -2.5 400
Arkansas St. -

Jacksonville St. - 8:30 PM ET Tennessee Tech -5 400
Tennessee Tech -

Austin Peay - 8:45 PM ET SE Missouri St. +7 300
SE Missouri St. -

Loyola Marymount - 9:00 PM ET Loyola Marymount +14.5 300
St. Mary's -

Boise St. - 9:00 PM ET Boise St. +6.5 300
New Mexico St. -

Montana St. - 9:00 PM ET Montana -10.5 400
Montana -

Pepperdine - 9:00 PM ET San Diego -9.5 300
San Diego -

Rice - 9:05 PM ET Texas-El Paso -20 300
Texas-El Paso -

Washington - 10:00 PM ET Washington -3.5 300
Washington St. -

UC Santa Barbara - 10:00 PM ET Cal Poly SLO +3 300
Cal Poly SLO -

Long Beach St. - 10:00 PM ET Long Beach St. +6.5 400
Pacific -

Fresno St. - 10:00 PM ET San Jose St. -1.5 400
San Jose St. -

Idaho State - 10:05 PM ET Eastern Washington -4.5 300
Eastern Washington - Over 141.5 300

CSU Northridge - 10:05 PM ET UC Irvine -2.5 300
UC Irvine - Over 138 400

Good Luck !

**StarDust Bum** · 02-27-2010, 05:40 PM

NBA Evening Games:

Chicago - 7:00 PM ET Chicago +2.5 500 ( NBA POD )
Indiana - Under 211 300

Memphis - 7:30 PM ET New York +2.5 300
New York - Over 210.5 300

Portland - 8:00 PM ET Portland -3.5 400
Minnesota - Under 195 300

Houston - 9:00 PM ET Houston +9.5 400
Utah - Over 203.5 400

Detroit - 10:30 PM ET Golden State -3.5 500
Golden State - Under 208.5 500

**StarDust Bum** · 02-27-2010, 06:00 PM

Saturday Night Tilts

As we get closer to the NCAA Tournament, every game in conference play gets magnified when you’re on the bubble. One such team will be looking to improve its resume in the Southeastern Conference. Meanwhile, we’ll see Big XII and Big East showdowns that will go a long way to improving seeding for the winners.

Mississippi State at South Carolina – 6:00 p.m. EST, ESPN

Mississippi State (20-8 straight up, 12-10-1 against the spread) looked like they were NIT-bound as they were mired in a 1-4 slump at the start of February. The Bulldogs have picked themselves right back up with a 4-1 SU and 2-2-1 ATS in their last five tilts. Now they’re sitting atop the SEC’s West Division.

The Bulldogs’ latest victory came as seven-point home favorites against Alabama, 74-66. While we could talk about how Mississippi State won the field goal percentage battle (46-43) or the fact they were better from the charity stripe (68-62 percent), but Jarvis Varnado was the difference in this one. The senior center put in 17 points, grabbed 10 rebounds, but blocked eight Crimson Tide shots.

While there are no guarantees for the ‘Dogs for the NCAA Tournament, ESPN’s Joe Lunardi has them listed as one of his last four teams into the dance.

South Carolina (14-3 SU, 9-15 ATS) might have wins over the Wildcats and the Gators, but that seems like a world away. The Gamecocks have lost five of their last six tests, failing to cover in five of them as well.

The Gamecocks gave back that win over Kentucky last Thursday, failing to cover as 16-point road pups to John Calipari’s club, 82-61. Now Darrin Horn’s team needs to go .500 in its final regular season and conference tourney just to get a shot at the NIT.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants have posted this game as a pick ‘em.

History shows us that the Bulldogs shouldn’t have any worries right now as they’re on a 3-0 SU and ATS against Carolina.

South Carolina has some reason to be hopeful since it is 11-3 SU and 6-5 ATS in 14 home tests this season.

It’s important to note that the ‘under’ has hit in the last three head-to-head meetings. That could come through again here as the ‘under’ is 7-4 for Carolina at home this year and 4-1 in the ‘Dogs last five true road fixtures.

Missouri at Kansas State – 8:00 p.m. EST, ESPNU

Things are going pretty well for Missouri (21-7 SU, 14-8 ATS) right now. The Tigers are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last five contests. Even better is that they have a legitimate shot at getting the No. 2 seed in the Big XII Tournament. All that stands in their way is the Wildcats.

Kansas State (23-4 SU, 15-6-1 ATS) doesn’t have a realistic shot at the top spot in the conference tourney. Yet they’re playing like the top team right now. The Wildcats have reeled off six straight wins, covering the number in four of those tests to make bettors happy.

LVSC has installed K-State as a six-point home favorite.

This is a series dominated by the home team as of late with an 8-2 SU and ATS mark since the 2004-2005 season. The ‘over’ has shown up strong as well by going 8-2 in those meetings.

The Wildcats have been monsters in Manhattan this year, as evidenced by a 13-2 SU and 8-2 ATS mark at home. The totals went 5-5 when a number was posted.

Mizzou has played like kittens in true road games this year with a 3-5 SU and 4-3 ATS record.

Villanova at Syracuse – 9:00 p.m. EST, ESPN

If you’re wanting to be one of the top seeds in the Big Dance, you need to finish the year strong. Villanova (23-4 SU, 17-9 ATS) is hoping to do just that after stopping a two-game slide with a 74-49 killing as a 13-point home “chalk” against the Bulls. The backers of the Wildcats were pleased just by the fact that they finally covered the spread for the first time in four games.

Scottie Reynolds has a Senior Night to remember for ‘Nova, scoring 21 with two rebounds and a pair of helpers. He also helped the ‘Cats keep South Florida to 38 percent shooting from the field.

Syracuse (26-2 SU, 17-7 ATS) needed to get away from home after losing to the Cardinals on Valentine’s Day. The time on the road has certainly done them well as the Orange swept their two-game road trip SU and ATS.

The Orange needed their best effort to beat Providence last Tuesday as eight-point road faves 99-85. The Friars held a 52-47 lead at the half and looked like they may hold on to pull the upset. Syracuse pushed through by shooting 56 percent from the field and picking up 17 of its 37 rebounds on the offensive glass.

Syracuse has been tapped as a six-point home favorite.

As good as the ‘Cuse might be this year, the Wildcats are who own this series. Villanova is 8-2 SU and 6-4 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head meetings. The ‘over’ has enjoyed a good run recently in hitting in three of the last four games between these clubs.

Syracuse has posted a respectable 12-4 SU and 10-6 ATS over the last two seasons at the Carrier Dome against Big East foes. The ‘over’ holds a slight 9-7 edge for bettors that fancy playing totals.

The Wildcats have been road warriors in the Big East, going 11-5 SU and 10-6 ATS over the last two seasons. However, Villanova has lost two of its last three road tilts SU and ATS. The ‘over’ has shown up strong in this situation, cashing in at a 12-4 clip.

**StarDust Bum** · 02-27-2010, 06:01 PM

Trend Report - Saturday

Nets at Celtics – The Nets are 0-10 ATS (-8.8 ppg) since November 17, 2009 after a loss in which they had fewer than fifteen assists. The Nets are 0-7 ATS (-7.0 ppg) since April 04, 2000 on the road when seeking revenge for a loss as a dog in which they led at the end of the third quarter. The Celtics are 0-8 ATS (-6.2 ppg) since February 07, 1996 at home after a double digit loss against the Cavaliers.

Bucks at Heat – The Bucks are 0-8-1 ATS (-4.2 ppg) since March 01, 2006 on the road with at least one day of rest after a game on the road in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least two. The Heat are 9-0 ATS (8.0 ppg) since January 24, 2009 after a game at home in which their opponent shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them. The Heat are 8-0 ATS (12.7 ppg) since March 09, 2001 at home after a loss in which they had at least 12 steals.

Rockets at Jazz – The Rockets are 0-7 ATS (-10.1 ppg) since January 25, 2010 when facing a team they lost to in their previous same-season match-up. The Jazz are 7-0 ATS (15.4 ppg) since April 03, 2002 at home with no rest after a loss in which more than 75% of their baskets were assisted.

Grizzlies at Knicks – The Grizzlies are 8-0 ATS (11.6 ppg) since January 10, 2008 with at most one day of rest after a home loss in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line. The Knicks are 0-8 ATS (-8.3 ppg) since November 19, 2003 at home off a win in which they trailed at the end of each of the first three quarters. The Knicks are 0-7 ATS (-5.1 ppg) since April 08, 2005 at home with no rest after a game on the road in which they allowed at least 50% from the field.

Bulls at Pacers – The Bulls are 9-0 ATS (9.8 ppg) since January 08, 2005 with at most one day of rest after a home win in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was less than four. The Bulls are 0-7 ATS (-9.4 ppg) since April 30, 2009 off an overtime game. The League is 0-9-1 ATS (-5.7 ppg) since January 24, 2007 at home with at least one day of rest off a loss of four points or fewer as a home dog in which they trailed by 15+ points.

Trailblazers at Timberwolves – The Trailblazers are 6-0 ATS (11.1 ppg) since January 02, 1996 on the road after a loss in which their DPS was at least plus 15 points. The Timberwolves are 6-0 ATS (12.6 ppg) since January 07, 2009 at home when both they and their opponent have no rest.

Pistons at Warriors – The Pistons are 0-6 ATS (-8.9 ppg) since November 22, 2009 after a road loss in which their DPS was positive. The Warriors are 6-0 ATS (13.8 ppg) since January 25, 2009 when playing the last game of at least a three game home stand.

**StarDust Bum** · 02-27-2010, 10:30 PM

UPGRADE:

Long Beach St. - 10:00 PM ET Long Beach St. +6.5 500
Pacific -
( BIG WEST DOG OF THE NIGHT )

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The Bum's Saturday's Best Bets + Pod's !

The Bum's Saturday's Best Bets + Pod's !

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