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**Tnbreakers** · 02-21-2010, 11:34 AM

Gl Bum!

**StarDust Bum** · 02-21-2010, 11:37 AM

Sunday, February 21Game Score Status Pick Amount

Cleveland - 1:00 PM ET Orlando -2 500 ( POD )
Orlando - Over 195.5 500

Boston - 3:30 PM ET Denver -4.5 500
Denver - Under 198 500 ( TOTAL OF THE DAY )

San Antonio - 6:00 PM ET Detroit +5 500
Detroit - Over 186.5 500

Memphis - 6:00 PM ET New Jersey +5.5 500
New Jersey - Over 194.5 500

Oklahoma City - 7:00 PM ET Oklahoma City -5 500
Minnesota - Under 201.5 500

Houston - 7:00 PM ET New Orleans -1.5 500
New Orleans - Over 200.5 500

Atlanta - 8:00 PM ET Atlanta -5 500 ( POD )
Golden State - Under 213.5 500

Sacramento - 8:00 PM ET Sacramento +10 500
Phoenix - Over 215.5 500

Utah - 10:30 PM ET Portland +1 500
Portland - Over 192 500 ( EVENING TOTAL )

**StarDust Bum** · 02-21-2010, 11:52 AM

Sunday's Slate

Bettors have a pair of outstanding games coming off the board at noon Eastern on Sunday afternoon. For the rest of the afternoon into Duke’s 7:45 p.m. tip against Va. Tech, gamblers have plenty of opportunities to make money. Let’s have a look at what’s on the card.

**Ohio State at Michigan State**

--Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened Michigan St. (21-6 straight up, 10-16 against the spread) as a six-point favorite. However, as of early this morning, most books has the Spartans at four or 4 1/2.

--Ohio St. (20-7 SU, 13-14 ATS) saw its six-game winning streak snapped in Wednesday’s 60-57 loss to Purdue as a 3 ½-point home favorite. Evan Turner had 29 points, seven rebounds, five assists and a pair of steals in the losing effort. After a furious Buckeyes’ rally cut the deficit to three in the waning moments, Turner was denied the ball and Jon Diebler’s last-second trey to tie was off the mark.

--Tom Izzo’s team returns home in this spot after back-to-back road wins. MSU was on a three-game losing streak until it won 65-54 at Penn St. last Saturday as a 6 ½-point road favorite. Next, the Spartans went to Bloomington on Tuesday night and emerged with a 72-58 victory over Indiana as 11 ½-point road ‘chalk.’

--Michigan St. junior guard Kalin Lucas suffered a sprained ankle in a Feb. 2 loss at Wisconsin. The injury forced Lucas to miss a Feb. 6 loss at Illinois, but he returned to the lineup in a Feb. 9 home loss to Purdue. The Big Ten’s Player of the Year last season is averaging 15.4 points and 4.0 assists per game. Back at full speed, Lucas had 13 points and four assists in Tuesday’s triumph over the Hoosiers.

--Although he missed six games earlier in the year, Turner is the leading candidate for Big Ten Player of the Year honors this season. He leads the Buckeyes in scoring (19.5 PPG), rebounding (9.2 RPG), assists (5.8 APG), steals (2.0 SPG) and field-goal percentage (55.4%).

--Michigan St. has won 13 of its 14 games at Breslin Center, but the Spartans have limped to a 4-9 ATS record at home.

--Thad Matta’s squad has been abysmal in underdog spots this year. The Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS in six games as road underdogs and we can also toss in a loss to UNC on a neutral court when catching points.

--Ohio St. has seen the ‘under’ cash in four consecutive games. The ‘under’ is 14-11 overall for the Bucks.

--The ‘under’ is 14-11 overall for the Spartans, but they have watched the ‘over’ go 7-6 in their home assignments.

--Michigan St. won both regular-season meetings against Ohio St. last year, but the Buckeyes sent the Spartans packing from the Big Ten Tournament with an 82-70 upset win as eight-point underdogs in the semifinals. Turner had 18 points, 10 rebounds and five assists in the victory.

--CBS will have regional television coverage at noon Eastern.

**Villanova at Pittsburgh**

--LVSC opened Villanova (22-3 SU, 16-8 ATS) as a two-point favorite. As of early this morning, most books still had ‘Nova at two with a total of 145 ½.

--Pittsburgh (20-6 SU, 13-8-2 ATS) has won four in a row while going 3-0 versus the number. The Panthers beat West Va. 99-96 in triple overtime two Fridays ago, and then followed that up with a 58-51 win Thursday at Marquette. They took the outright victory over the Golden Eagles as 6 ½-point road underdogs. Gary McGhee had 10 points, six blocked shots and five rebounds against Marquette. Jermaine Dixon, Nasir Robinson and Brad Wanamaker also had 10 points apiece.

--Jay Wright’s squad has had nearly a week to prep for this game after losing at home Tuesday to UConn. The Huskies went into Philly and won by a 94-85 count as 9 ½-point road underdogs. Scottie Reynolds had 18 points on 8-of-14 shooting in the losing effort.

--Jamie Dixon’s team has won 14 of 15 home games, posting a 6-4-2 spread record in the process. The Panthers are in their second game as home underdogs, winning in the previous situation as mentioned against West Va.

--The ‘over’ is on a lucrative 15-4 run in ‘Nova games. The Wildcats have watched the ‘over’ go 16-8 overall. They like to press and are aggressive on both ends, and these factors obviously bode well for ‘over’ wagers because it’s nearly a given that you’ll get the up-tempo pace you’re looking for.

--The ‘over’ is 10-9 overall for Pitt, 5-4 in its home games.

--The ‘under’ is 6-1 in the last seven head-to-head meetings between these Big East rivals.

--Tip-off is scheduled for noon Eastern on CBS (regional coverage).

**Virginia Tech at Duke**

--LVSC opened Duke (22-4 SU, 16-8-1 ATS) as a 13-point favorite. As of early this morning, most books still had the Blue Devils at 13 with a total of 137.

--Mike Krzyzewski’s team has won five in a row since losing at Georgetown. The Blue Devils are 3-1-1 ATS over that stretch, including Wednesday’s 81-74 win at Miami as seven-point road favorites. Trailing by 12 at intermission, Duke rallied to garner its backers a push thanks to a game-high 22 points and 11 rebounds from junior forward Kyle Singler. The 155 combined points jumped ‘over’ the 138-point total.

--Virginia Tech (21-4 SU, 10-9 ATS) has five consecutive games to improve to 8-3 in ACC play. The Hokies are coming off Tuesday’s 87-83 win over Wake Forest as 5 ½-point home favorites. They failed to cover the number for the second straight time out. Before fouling out against the Demon Deacons, Malcolm Delaney had 31 points and nine rebounds to lead his team into the win column.

--Delaney leads the ACC in scoring, averaging 20.2 points per game for the Hokies. He also dishes out a team-high 4.1 assists per contest.

--Despite its gaudy record, Seth Greenberg’s team isn’t getting much respect from the RPI with its No. 45 ranking based on a poor strength of schedule in non-conference play. The Hokies are 6-4 against RPI Top 100 teams, 2-2 against RPI Top 50 schools.

--Va. Tech is 3-2 ATS in five true road games as an underdog.

--Duke is unbeaten in 14 home games with a lucrative 10-3 spread record. The Blue Devils have won 13 of 14 home games by 14 points or more. They have won every game by nine points or more, with St. John’s 80-71 loss serving as the closest contest in Durham.

--The ‘under’ is 13-12 overall for Duke, but the ‘over’ is 7-6 in its home games at Cameron Indoor Stadium.

--The ‘over’ is 9-7 overall for Va. Tech, but the ‘under’ has cashed in four of its last five games.

--FSN will have television coverage at 7:45 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Florida captured a monster victory Saturday afternoon at Ole Miss. Erving Walker hit six straight free throws in the final minute to lift the Gators to a 64-61 win over the Rebels as five-point road underdogs. Gamblers backing UF on the money line brought home a nice plus-180 payout (paid $180 on $100 wagers). Vernon Macklin paced the winners with a career-high 22 points on 8-of-11 shooting from the field and 6-of-6 attempts from the free-throw line. The Gators, who are now 19-8 overall and 8-4 in SEC play, will host Tennessee on Tuesday.

--Ole Miss has lost five of its last six games at the wrong time of year. The Rebels’ remaining slate looks like this: vs. Auburn, at Alabama, vs. LSU and at Arkansas. With a 17-9 overall record and a 5-7 mark in the SEC, the Rebels must win out and make some noise in the SEC Tournament.

--Utah St. has covered the spread in 10 of its last 12 games after beating Wichita St. 68-58 late Saturday night as an eight-point home favorite. The Shockers had a chance to produce a miracle backdoor cover after an Aggie turnover with 7.5 seconds left. However, the 3-point attempt to cover with a few ticks left was the off the mark. Wichita St. has now lost five in a row ATS.

--Saturday’s Biggest Bubble Losers:
1-Ole Miss (at home vs. Florida)
2-Charlotte (at home vs. Xavier)
3-South Florida (at home vs. St. John’s)
4-Siena (at Butler)
5-Northeastern (at home vs. La. Tech)

--Saturday’s Biggest Winners:
1-Florida (at Ole Miss)
2-Mississippi St. (at LSU)
3-UConn (at Rutgers)
4-Oklahoma St. (vs. Baylor)
5-UNLV (vs. Colorado St.)

--My Coach of the Year Candidates:
1-Jamie Dixon (Pittsburgh)
2-Jay Wright (Villanova)
3-Ben Jacobson (Northern Iowa)
4-Steve Alford (New Mexico)
5-Kevin Stallings (Vanderbilt)

**StarDust Bum** · 02-21-2010, 11:57 AM

Sunday's Tips

The Sunday NBA card involves nine games, with four games getting showcased on national television. The two early ABC games spotlight four of the league's elite squads, led off by a rematch of last season's Eastern Conference Finals in central Florida.

Cavs (43-13 SU, 28-27-1 ATS) at Magic (37-19 SU, 28-27-1 ATS)

Cleveland's 13-game winning streak seems like a memory following back-to-back losses to Denver and Charlotte. The Cavs head to Orlando to battle a Magic team that Cleveland knocked off at Quicken Loans Arena prior to the All-Star Break.

The Magic are also coming off a defeat, squandering a second-half lead in Friday's setback to Dallas, 95-85 as seven-point home favorites. Orlando put up 33 points in the first quarter, but tallied just 52 points in the final three quarters combined. The loss dropped Orlando to 7-8 ATS the last 15 at Amway Arena.

Cleveland made one of the biggest splashes at the trade deadline with the acquisition of Antawn Jamison from Washington as part of a three-team deal. Jamison's debut with the Cavs was largely forgettable, scoring just two points on 0-12 shooting from the floor in Friday's defeat at Charlotte.

The Cavs are 2-0 SU/ATS this season against the Magic after falling in six games to Orlando in last season's Eastern Conference Finals. Cleveland outgunned Orlando at the "Q" ten days ago, 115-106 as six-point home 'chalk.' The 'over' has been a profitable play between these two teams, dating back to the conference finals, hitting in seven of the last eight matchups.

Celtics (35-18 SU, 21-31-1 ATS) at Nuggets (36-19 SU, 25-27-3 ATS)

Boston tries to complete a perfect four-game sweep of its post-All Star Break road trip in Denver on Sunday afternoon. The Celtics are slowly clicking after posting back-to-back wins as road underdogs against the Lakers and Blazers. The Nuggets pulled off a huge victory at Cleveland on Thursday in overtime, but fell flat against the new-look Wizards on Friday by ten points.

One of the big knocks on the Celtics this season has been their inability to beat some of the league's elite, going 2-8 SU against the Lakers, Cavs, Magic, and Hawks prior to Thursday's one-point squeaker at Los Angeles. Before the victories over the Lakers and Blazers, the C's weren't treating bettors kindly, compiling a 2-11-1 ATS run.

The Nuggets are a team that finds a way to get up for the league's best, while throwing up stinkers against the league's duds. Denver is 4-0 SU/ATS against the Lakers and Cavs, but has SU losses to the Wizards, Sixers, Bucks, Clippers, Kings, and Timberwolves.

The Celtics have finished 'under' the total in six straight games and seven of the last eight, while allowing 96 points or less in six consecutive contests. The Nuggets, meanwhile, have allowed at least 107 points in seven of the last eight games.

The road team won each meeting last season, as the Nuggets try to avenge a 114-76 thrashing at the hands of the Celtics at the Pepsi Center last February.

Hawks (34-19 SU, 33-20 ATS) at Warriors (15-29 SU, 30-23-1 ATS)

Atlanta continues its four-game West Coast swing in the Bay Area against Golden State. The Hawks were held to 80 points in Friday's road underdog loss at Phoenix, the second time in three games Mike Woodson's team has been limited to 80 or less. The Warriors also struggled from the floor on Friday, falling to the Jazz, 100-89, the least amount of points Golden State has mustered at home all season.

Monta Ellis returned to the Warriors' lineup after missing each of the previous three games with an ankle injury. Ellis was noticeably rusty against Utah, scoring just six points on 4-12 shooting from the floor. Golden State owns a 1-5 ATS mark the last six as a home underdog, with the lone victory coming over the Clippers prior to the break. All five losses came by at least nine points to the Hornets, Bobcats, Thunder, Mavs, and Jazz.

The Hawks have won and covered five of their last seven as a road favorite, while going 13-5 ATS this season following a loss. Atlanta turns on its offense after a SU loss, finishing 'over' the total in ten of the last 11 following a defeat. Also, ex-Warrior Jamal Crawford makes his first appearance at Oracle Arena since being dealt to Atlanta in the offseason.

The Warriors are 3-7 ATS the last ten at home when their opponent comes in with at least one day of rest, while nailing the 'over' in six of the last seven after being held to less than 100 points in their previous contest.

Jazz (35-19, 33-18-3 ATS) at Blazers (32-25 SU, 30-26-1 ATS)

These two Northwest Division rivals meet up for the final time in the regular season as Utah goes for the four-game sweep of Portland. The unusually late starting tip on Sunday night (10:35 PM EST) does provide bettors with a final opportunity to wager before the weekend wraps up.

The Jazz not only look to finish off the Blazers, but also conclude their four-game road trip unbeaten following wins over the Rockets, Hornets, and Warriors. Jerry Sloan's team had normally been a team to 'fade' on the road in previous seasons, but Utah has been a great club to back away from Salt Lake City, going 9-0-1 ATS the last ten on the highway.

The Blazers were tripped up in Marcus Camby's debut, 96-76 against the Celtics on Friday night as three-point home 'chalk.' Portland was held to 33% shooting from the floor, as Brandon Roy is still feeling the effects of a hamstring injury with just nine points in 34 minutes. Portland is 3-5 ATS the last eight at home, while scoring below 82 points in each of its previous three home defeats.

Utah has completely owned Portland this season, winning each meeting by double-digits, including a 106-95 victory at the Rose Garden in January. All three matchups have finished 'over' the total, as Utah has topped the 100-point mark in every victory.

**StarDust Bum** · 02-21-2010, 11:59 AM

Trend Report - Sunday

Rockets at Hornets – The Rockets are 10-0 ATS (10.1 ppg) since November 01, 2002 on the road after playing the Pacers. The Hornets are 10-0 ATS (7.5 ppg) since March 02, 2005 at home with at most one day of rest after a game in which they has more than 10 refereed turnovers.

Cavaliers at Magic – The Cavaliers are 8-0 ATS (10.2 ppg) since November 17, 1995 with at least one day of rest after a double digit road loss in which they scored more than 30% of their points from the three-point line. The Magic are 0-8 ATS (-10.8 ppg) since April 18, 2001 with at least one day of rest after a double digit home loss in which their DPS was minus 15 points or less.

Grizzlies at Nets – The League is 0-8 ATS (-6.6 ppg) since March 07, 2007 on the road with at most one day of rest off an overtime game double digit loss. The Nets are 6-0-1 ATS (5.3 ppg) since December 20, 2006 after a game at home in which their opponent shot less than 60% from the free-throw line.

Celtics at Nuggets – The League is 10-0 ATS (7.0 ppg) since January 02, 2008 on the road after a road win in which they shot less than 60% from the free-throw line. The Celtics are 0-7 ATS (-7.9 ppg) since December 10, 2009 with at most one day of rest after a win in which they shot at least 50% from the field. The Nuggets are 0-7 ATS (-10.4 ppg) since March 08, 2009 with at most one day of rest after a loss in which they had fewer than fifteen assists.

Spurs at Pistons – The Pistons are 0-8 ATS (-6.8 ppg) since February 27, 1998 at home when they have a non-conference revenge game on the road next. The Pistons are 0-9 ATS (-5.3 ppg) since January 02, 2009 with at most one day of rest after a game in which they allowed less than 40% from the field.

Kings at Suns – The Suns are 0-7 ATS (-11.8 ppg) since February 03, 2003 at home after a win in which less than 45% of their baskets were assisted. The Suns are 6-0 ATS (9.6 ppg) since March 11, 2008 after a win in which they scored less than 10% of their points from the three-point line.

Thunder at Timberwolves – The League is 0-9 ATS (-10.8 ppg) since April 08, 2008 as a home dog after a loss as a home dog when their opponent is off an overtime game. The Timberwolves are 8-0 ATS (7.0 ppg) since December 13, 1996 after a loss against the Bulls.

Jazz at Trailblazers – The Jazz are 0-6-1 ATS (-11.9 ppg) since April 08, 2003 when facing a team they beat in their previous same-season match-up and they have a revenge game at home tomorrow. The Trailblazers are 8-0 ATS (14.0 ppg) since March 25, 2008 when their DPS was minus 15 points or less in their previous game. The Trailblazers are 8-0 ATS (12.4 ppg) since April 12, 2006 with at most one day of rest after a loss in which they had at least five more turnovers than their season-to-date average.

Hawks at Warriors – The Hawks are 9-0 ATS (13.1 ppg) since February 25, 2009 after a loss in which they had fewer than fifteen assists. The Warriors are 8-0 ATS (11.8 ppg) since March 24, 2009 when they scored at least 25 fewer points in their previous game than in the game before. The Warriors are 7-0 ATS (10.9 ppg) since February 09, 2007 at home with at least one day of rest after a loss in which they shot less than 40% from the field.

**StarDust Bum** · 02-21-2010, 04:50 PM

Sunday, 02/21/2010
(805) SAN ANTONIO vs. (806) DETROIT

DETROIT is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. The average score was DETROIT 89.4, OPPONENT 95 - (Rating = 2*)

(809) HOUSTON vs. (810) NEW ORLEANS

NEW ORLEANS is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% this season. The average score was NEW ORLEANS 101.9, OPPONENT 104.5 - (Rating = 3*)

(813) ATLANTA vs. (814) GOLDEN STATE

ATLANTA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% this season. The average score was ATLANTA 111.6, OPPONENT 98.2 - (Rating = 2*)

(817) UTAH vs. (818) PORTLAND

UTAH is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season. The average score was UTAH 104.7, OPPONENT 96.1 - (Rating = 3*)

**videoman** · 02-21-2010, 07:53 PM

thanks for all the info Star dust, it really helps!!

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