Friday Trends and Indexes 2/19 (NBA,NCAAB, Misc.)

[Udog]

NCAAB
Write-Up


Friday, February 19

Information on Friday's college basketball games........

Princeton is tied for Ivy lead at 5-1; they won 58-45 at Yale (-3) Jan 20, their second straight win vs Bulldogs, after five consecutive losses. Ivy League home favorites of more than 7 points are 8-4 against spread this season. Princeton is 3-1 vs spread as Ivy League favorite. Yale covered six of its last seven games; they're 3-1 as Ivy League road underdog.

Colunbia (-8.5) beat Dartmouth 63-51 Jan 30, making 8-13 from arc and outscoring Big Green 19-8 on charity stripe; Lions are 5-2 in last seven series games, winning two of last three visits here. Columbia is 3-5 so far in Ivy; all five losses are by 10+ points. Dartmouth is 0-8 in Ivy, 0-6 vs spread in last six games, losing at home by 4-2-16 points.

Penn (+6.5) won 55-54 at Brown Jan 30; Quakers won last three series games by 21-10-1 point. Brown lost four of last five visits here, losing in Palestra by 23-17-3-10 points. Underdog won Penn's last five games SU. Brown lost last two road games, by 11-14 points. Ivy League favorites of 7 or less points are 1-7 against the spread at home this season.

Harvard (+8) got pummeled 86-50 at Cornell Jan 30, Crimson star Lin had 8 of Harvard's 25 turnovers- they're 1-4 in last five series games, but did upset Big Red here 71-70 LY. Cornell is tied with Princeton for Ivy lead, but is 0-4 vs spread in last four games- five of their six Ivy wins are by 14+ points. Single digit Ivy home underdogs are 2-5 against spread.

Northern Iowa played faster in first gae without suspended C Elgseder, a 70-52 win over Creighton. Panthers still rank 344th out of 347 teams in pace of play. Old Dominion is 8-4 in non-conference gaes- they won last three games overall by 20-16-11 points. MVC home faves are 12-12 vs spread this year. CAA road underdogs are 25-17 vs spread.

Wm & Mary won last four games, three by 3 or less points; they've got big edge in experience over vastly-improved Iona team that split its last four games and is 1-3-1 vs spread in last five games as a favorite. Tribe beat Manhattan of MAAC 75-70 Nov 21; Iona split pair of games with Jaspers. MAAC hoe favorites are 7-8 vs spread in non-conference gaes.

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


Milwaukee at Detroit
The Bucks look to bounce back from their 127-99 loss to Houston and build on their 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 games following a SU loss. Milwaukee is the pick (Pick) according to Dunkel, which has the Bucks favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee. Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 19

Game 801-802: Denver at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 119.764; Washington 116.256
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 3 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 6; 209
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+6); Under

Game 803-804: Cleveland at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 124.342; Charlotte 121.723
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 2 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 5; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+5); Over

Game 805-806: San Antonio at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 122.520; Philadelphia 118.741
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 195
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 3; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-3); Over

Game 807-808: Milwaukee at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 120.465; Detroit 112.067
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 8 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Pick; 189
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee; Under

Game 809-810: Dallas at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 115.364; Orlando 125.737
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 10 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 6 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-6 1/2); Over

Game 811-812: Indiana at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 116.045; New Orleans 116.086
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 202
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 4; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+4); Under

Game 813-814: Chicago at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 118.170; Minnesota 113.870
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 4 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 205
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-1 1/2); Over

Game 815-816: Toronto at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 119.403; New Jersey 109.240
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 10; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 3 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-3 1/2); Under

Game 817-818: Miami at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 116.022; Memphis 120.509
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 4 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 6; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+6); Over

Game 819-820: Atlanta at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 116.999; Phoenix 126.354
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 9 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 3 1/2; 213 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-3 1/2); Under

Game 821-822: Utah at Golden State
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 126.332; Golden State 114.489
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 12; 227
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 6; 219
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-6); Over

Game 823-824: Boston at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 116.215; Portland 123.331
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 7 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 2; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-2); Under

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel


Old Dominion at Northern Iowa
The Panthers look to take advantage of an ODU team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games as a road underdog between 1 and 6 1/2 points. Northern Iowa is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Panthers favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-3). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 19

Game 825-826: Yale at Princeton
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 45.504; Princeton 59.825
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Princeton by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (-11 1/2)

Game 827-828: Columbia at Dartmouth
Dunkel Ratings: Columbia 44.058; Dartmouth 41.727
Dunkel Line: Columbia by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Columbia by 1
Dunkel Pick: Columbia (-1)

Game 829-830: Brown at Pennsylvania
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 43.053; Pennsylvania 44.287
Dunkel Line: Pennsylvania by 1
Vegas Line: Pennsylvania by 5
Dunkel Pick: Brown (+5)

Game 831-832: Cornell at Harvard
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 67.333; Harvard 59.937
Dunkel Line: Cornell by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cornell by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cornell (-2 1/2)

Game 833-834: Old Dominion at Northern Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 63.706; Northern Iowa 69.556
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 6
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 3
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-3)

Game 835-836: William & Mary at Iona
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 56.531; Iona 62.114
Dunkel Line: Iona by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Iona by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-3 1/2)

Game 517-518: Portland at Pepperdine
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 65.351; Pepperdine 47.852
Dunkel Line: Portland by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Portland by 10
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-10)

[Udog]

NBA


Friday, February 19

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Tips and Trends
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Dallas Mavericks at Orlando Magic [ESPN | 8:00 PM ET]

Mavericks: Dallas is coming into this contest tonight off a nice double digit SU win over the Suns. Dallas is also excited with the players they acquired in a blockbuster deal just a few days ago. Dallas acquired both F Caron Butler and C Brendan Haywood for the stretch run into the playoffs this year. Butler in particular has played well against the Magic, averaging 27 PTS in 2 games against the Magic as a member of the Wizards. Haywood has also been productive this season against the Magic, averaging 11.5 PPG and 12.5 RPG over 2 games. F Dirk Nowitzki is still the man for Dallas, averaging a team high 24.7 PPG this season. The Mavericks are attempting to become a better defensive team, as they've allowed more than 100 PTS in 8 of their past 10 games. Dallas is 33-21 SU this season, leading the Southwest division. The Mavericks are 17-12 SU and 16-13 ATS on the road this season. The Mavericks are 7-7 ATS as the listed underdog this season.

Mavs are 0-11 ATS last 11 games following an ATS win.

Key Injuries - C Erick Dampier (finger) is out.
F Tim Thomas (personal) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 99 (SIDE of the Day)

Magic (-6, O/U 201): Orlando has alternated SU wins and losses over their past 7 games. Luckily, they are in a position to be able to get away with mediocrity. The Magic have played great overall this season, as they are 37-18 SU on the season. The Magic have the 3rd best record in the NBA and lead the Southeast division. Orlando has struggled though against Dallas of late, losing 5 of their past 6 meetings SU. The Magic are 21-5 SU and 14-12 ATS at home this season. Orlando is 18-17 ATS as a single digit favorite this season, including 7-7 ATS at home in this specific scenario. The Magic are 11-3 SU in their past 14 games, with their offense playing a vital role in their success. The Magic average 101.4 PPG this season, 11th most in the NBA. They have went over that point total in each of their past 4 games. C Dwight Howard is 1 of 4 players averaging double digits in PTS for Orlando this season. Howard averages a team high 18.2 PPG and an NBA high 13.4 RPG this season.

Magic is 5-2 ATS last 7 games as a favorite.
Under is 12-4 last 16 games as a favorite.

Key Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 101



Atlanta Hawks at Phoenix Suns [9:00 PM ET]

Hawks: Atlanta beat Phoenix just over 1 month ago, and they would love a similar ending tonight. Atlanta has struggled playing in Phoenix, as they're 2-14 SU in their past 16 games there. Atlanta is not only trying to break that streak, but they are also looking to win 3 straight road games SU for the 1st time this season. The Hawks are 34-18 SU this season, the 6th best record in the NBA. The Hawks are 13-12 SU and 15-10 ATS on the road this season. Atlanta is 7-5 ATS as the listed underdog this season. The Hawks have been winning with defense of late, not allowing any of their past 5 opponents to score more than 97 PTS. For the season, the Hawks only allow 96.9 PPG, the 11th fewest in the NBA. Offensively, all 5 starters average double digits in PTS for the Hawks. Atlanta averages 101.7 PPG, 8th best in the NBA. G Joe Johnson leads the Hawks in both scoring and assists, averaging 21.5 PPG and 4.6 APG this season. All Star C Al Horford is averaging
13.7 PPG and a team high 9.3 RPG for the year.

Hawks are 2-9 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog up to 4.5 points.
Over is 4-0-1 last 5 vs. Western Conference.

Key Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 111

Suns (-3.5, O/U 212.5): Phoenix is 6-2 SU in their past 8 games, scoring at least 109 PTS in each of their wins. Offense is everything to Phoenix, as they lead the entire NBA with 109.6 PPG this season. Phoenix ranks in the top 5 in nearly every offensive statistical category in the NBA this season. The Suns are 32-23 SU this season, placing them 7th in the Western Conference playoff chase. The Suns are 18-7 SU and 13-12 ATS at home this season. Phoenix is 14-15 ATS as a single digit favorite, including 7-9 ATS at home in this specific scenario. The Suns have had the same exact result both SU and ATS over their past 10 games. F Amar'e Stoudemire leads the Suns in scoring with 21.4 PPG this season, thanks to a shooting percentage of 55%. Stoudemire no longer has to deal with constant trade rumors, as the trading deadline has passed. PG Steve Nash is having another MVP caliber season, averaging 17.9 PPG and 11.2 APG this season. All 5 starters average double digits this season for the Suns.

Suns are 5-0 ATS last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-0 last 6 overall.

Key Injuries - G Leandro Barbosa (wrist) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 116 (OVER - Total of the Day)


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[Udog]

Friday five-pack
Odds on what will happen at the Eldrick Woods press gathering Friday morning......

-- Will Mrs Eldrick Woods be present Friday morning?
Yes -$150.......No +$120

-- Over/under on times Eldrick Woods says the word sorry: 5.5

-- Odds on which word Eldrick Woods says the most:
Sorry: 5/4.........Family: 3/2...........Apologize: 5/2.

-- Will Eldrick Woods wipe a tear from his eye?
Yes: +$200..........No: -$260

-- Will Eldrick Woods specifically announce the next tournament he will play in? Yes: even.......No: -$130


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Friday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind.........


13) When Larry Hughes suits up for the Kings, he'll be playing for his 7th NBA team in 12 seasons. Injury-prone Hughes has missed an average of 20.8 games per season in his first 11 NBA seasons, averaging 14.4 ppg.

12) Before this season, Hughes had earned a total of $71,273,677 playing in NBA. The NBA's salary structure needs to be scaled back, for sure, if a non-star like Hughes can get so incredibly wealthy.

11) If//when the Knicks buy Eddy Curry out, they'll be far enough under the cap to pay two free agents the maximum this summer.

10) Arkansas QB Ryan Mallett broke his foot, will miss spring practice, but is expected to be 100% next fall.

9) Good news for San Francisco Giant fans: 2B Freddy Sanchez is said to be ahead of schedule recovering from knee/shoulder surgeries this winter.

8) Purdue has a chance to be a #1 seed in March Madness, despite losing three league games in a row; last team to do that? North Carolina in '97.

7) Bryant (1-26) became the last D-I team to win this season when they beat 4-24 Wagner 53-51.

6) Gonzaga lost at LMU, second bad WCC road loss for Bulldogs, who earlier lost at San Francisco. It was first time Loyola Marymount beat a ranked team since Bo Kimble-led Lions won 3 games in 1990 NCAAs.

5) This is too late for Dereck Whittenberg, but Fordham administration voted to increase its basketball budget, putting it in top third of teams in A-14; Rams have had one winning season in last fifteen years, and play in oldest gym of any Division I team, Rose Hill Gym.

4) Typical Pac-10 Thursday; four games, underdog won all four SU, as one of the strangest years in conference history continues. Cal Bears got smoked by 16 in Corvallis, and they were leading the league.

3) This weekend is 8th year ESPN has had Bracket Buster weekend; the best matchup is Siena at Butler Saturday morning at 11; weird start time for a marquee game, but it should be a good one.

2) Lebron James scored 43 points, with 13 rebounds, 15 assists, but the Cavaliers had their 13-game win streak snapped by the Nuggets.

1) Its a weird day in the NBA where teams trade for guys just because their contracts are expiring. Going to fierce competition for free agents this summer.