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**moondog22** · 02-16-2010, 12:33 PM

best of luck Bum

**daveyd** · 02-16-2010, 12:34 PM

Good luck

**StarDust Bum** · 02-16-2010, 06:31 PM

Tuesday Tips

The NBA's second-half tips off on Tuesday night with ten games on the card. Several Western Conference games take center stage, including the new-look Mavs hosting the red-hot Thunder.

Mavs (32-20 SU, 21-31 ATS) at Thunder (30-21 SU, 32-19 ATS)

After the city of Dallas was spotlighted this past weekend with the All-Star Game, the Mavs made headlines by acquiring Caron Butler as part of a seven-player deal from the Wizards. Dallas parted ways with Josh Howard after 5 ½ seasons, looking to shake things up for another NBA Finals run. The Thunder, meanwhile, has won a season-high six straight games.

Oklahoma City has double revenge on its mind, following a pair of losses to Dallas this season. The Mavs downed the Thunder at the Ford Center, 100-86 in mid-December as 2 ½-point road 'chalk.' Oklahoma City fell short in Dallas, 99-98 on January 15, but the Thunder managed a cover as five-point road underdogs.

The Thunder continues to impress not only opponents, but bettors as well. OKC has cashed four straight and seven of its past nine games. Scott Brooks' squad is currently tied with the Hawks for the best ATS mark in the league at 32-19. However, the Thunder is 4-6 ATS the last ten games at the Ford Center.

The Mavs will try to bounce back after suffering a humiliating 127-91 loss at Denver last Tuesday, Dallas' final game before the break. Rick Carlisle's team needs to step up its defense, which has allowed at least 117 points in each of the last three contests.

Suns (31-22 SU, 28-25 ATS) at Grizzlies (26-25 SU, 27-23-1 ATS)

Phoenix and Memphis meet up for the final time this season, as the Grizzlies look for their third win over the Suns. The tables have turned for both this clubs, with Memphis trying to snap a four-game skid, while Phoenix has won five of six.

The Suns captured all four games of their most recent road trip, winning at Houston, New Orleans, Denver, and Sacramento. That mark is in stark contrast to the 0-4 roadie the Suns went on in mid-January, capped off by a seven-point setback at FedEx Forum against the Grizzlies.

Memphis outlasted Phoenix on MLK day, 125-118, cashing as two-point home favorites. However, the home court has not treated the Grizzlies well recently, as Memphis is 1-3 SU/ATS the last four at home. The Grizzlies are struggling to put the ball in basket of late, tallying less than 100 points in eight of the last ten contests.

Phoenix has a crucial stretch over the span of Tuesday and Wednesday, as the Suns travel to Dallas on Wednesday. Also, the Suns may be changing faces soon, with the impending move of center Amar'e Stoudemire coming in the days leading up to the trade deadline.

Jazz (32-19 SU, 30-18-3 ATS) at Rockets (27-24 SU, 24-27 ATS)

Utah hit a bump in the road prior to the break with a home loss to the Lakers, but the Jazz have won 13 of their past 15. Jerry Sloan's club heads to Houston to battle a Rockets team that was embarrassed prior to the break with a 33-point loss at Miami.

The Jazz have played seven of their last nine at home, but both road games resulted in victories, beating the Clippers and Blazers. Utah has turned into a covering machine lately, going 12-2-3 ATS the last 17 games. The Jazz look for revenge after a home setback to the Rockets, 113-96 back in early November, as Houston cashed easily as eight-point road 'dogs.

The Rockets have found a way to be consistently inconsistent over the last two months, putting together a 10-13 SU mark the previous 23 contests. Houston has been a horrible play in this span, covering just six times. At home has been a detriment for Rockets' backers, with Houston going 1-9 ATS the last ten at Toyota Center.

For the exception of the November road victory by the Rockets, the home team has dominated this series, winning seven of the last eight meetings. However, the home squad has compiled a 4-4 ATS mark in this span.

Celtics (32-18 SU, 19-30-1 ATS) at Kings (18-34 SU, 25-24-3 ATS)

Boston resumes a five-game road trip, heading out west to California's capital city to battle Sacramento. The C's concluded the first half with a come-from-ahead loss at New Orleans, while the Kings picked up consecutive road wins at New York and Detroit.

Paul Westphal's squad has had plenty of problems covering at Arco Arena recently, going 2-10-1 ATS the last 13 at home. The role of a home 'dog hasn't been beneficial, with the Kings putting up a 2-9-1 ATS mark since mid-November.

Boston has handled Sacramento the last two seasons, going 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS, with every victory coming by at least 12 points. The Celtics have struggled cashing as favorites for most of the season, but are 4-2 ATS the previous six as road 'chalk.' Facing the Western Conference has turned into a tall task for Doc Rivers' team, compiling a 1-9-1 ATS mark the last 11 games against interconference foes.

Mr. Rogers' Neighborhood:

-- Amazingly, the 4-48 Nets have been one of the best teams to back the last two weeks, going 6-2-1 ATS the previous nine contests. New Jersey heads to Charlotte to battle a Bobcats team right in the thick of the Eastern Conference playoff race. This is the first time since March 2009 that the Bobcats are laying double-digits, as Charlotte easily covered as 13 ½-point favorites over Sacramento, 104-88.

-- At one time, the Palace of Auburn Hills was an intimidating place for visitors. But this season, things have changed (as has the roster), as the Pistons are 0-6-1 ATS and 1-6 SU the last seven games at home. Detroit hosts a Minnesota squad that is 11-1 ATS this season when receiving 5 ½ points or less.

-- The Lakers own the lightest schedule this week, playing just two games. Los Angeles hopes to get Kobe Bryant and Andrew Bynum back on Tuesday when the Lakers host the Warriors. The first two meetings this season have each eclipsed the 'over,' with L.A. capturing each contest. Golden State has been money as a road underdog, covering eight of the last ten when getting points away from Oracle Arena.

**StarDust Bum** · 02-16-2010, 06:32 PM

Trend Report - Tuesday

Nets at Bobcats – The Nets are 0-8 ATS (-8.9 ppg) since February 12, 2002 on the road with two or more days of rest after a game at home in which they allowed at least 50% from the field. The Bobcats are 0-5 ATS (-4.6 ppg) since December 26, 2004 with two or more days of rest off a win of four points or fewer in which they held a double digit lead.

Knicks at Bulls – The Knicks are 6-0 ATS (11.0 ppg) since February 23, 2003 on the road with at least one day of rest after a game in which they controlled 40% or less of the available rebounds.

Suns at Grizzlies – The Suns are 8-0 ATS (7.2 ppg) since March 30, 2006 on the road after a game in which they were outshot by at least 10 percent. The Suns are 8-0-2 ATS (6.5 ppg) since February 20, 2007 on the road with at least one day of rest after a loss in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line. The Grizzlies are 0-7 ATS (-5.1 ppg) since February 29, 2008 with two or more days of rest when they have lost and failed to covered their last four games.

Celtics at Kings – The Celtics are 7-0 ATS (5.1 ppg) since February 24, 2006 before playing the Lakers on the road. The Celtics are 6-0 ATS (11.6 ppg) since December 09, 2004 with two or more days of rest after a loss in which they has more than 10 refereed turnovers. The Kings are 0-9 ATS (-9.8 ppg) since November 26, 2002 with at least one day of rest off a win in which they trailed at the end of each of the first three quarters.

Warriors at Lakers – The Warriors are 0-10 ATS (-11.4 ppg) since December 28, 2007 after a home win in which the percentage of their baskets that were assisted was at least ten percentage points higher than their season-to-date average.

Timberwolves at Pistons – The Timberwolves are 0-9-1 ATS (-6.5 ppg) since December 22, 2006 after a game at home in which they had at least five fewer turnovers than their season-to-date average. The Pistons are 0-7-1 ATS (-10.0 ppg) since January 23, 2009 at home after a game at home in which they scored less than 10% of their points from the three-point line.

Jazz at Rockets – The Jazz are 8-0 ATS (13.1 ppg) since March 27, 2006 after a game at home in which they shot less than 60% from the free-throw line. The Rockets are 0-7 ATS (-6.7 ppg) since April 08, 2002 with two or more days of rest after a road loss in which less than 45% of their baskets were assisted. The Rockets are 7-0-1 ATS (7.4 ppg) since December 20, 2007 after a loss in which they shot less than 35% from the field.

Heat at 76ers – The Heat are 7-0 ATS (11.3 ppg) since December 10, 1999 with two or more days of rest after a game on the road in which their DPA was minus 15 points or less. The 76ers are 6-0 ATS (9.3 ppg) since December 16, 2002 at home after a double digit loss in which they had at least five more turnovers than their season-to-date average.

Mavericks at Thunder – The Mavericks are 0-9 ATS (-8.6 ppg) since April 06, 2007 on the road with 2+ days rest after a road game. The Mavericks are 9-0-1 ATS (7.5 ppg) since February 01, 2005 with two or more days of rest after a loss in which their opponent shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them.

Clippers at Trailblazers – The Clippers are 0-7 ATS (-5.7 ppg) since April 12, 2002 with two or more days of rest after a road loss in which they allowed at least 50% from the field.

**StarDust Bum** · 02-16-2010, 06:33 PM

Super Tuesday Action

As we get closer to the conference tournaments, we start to see teams looking to improve their resumes for a chance at the field of 65. We’ll see several of those programs trying to make a case for itself on ESPN’s Super Tuesday. Let’s break down the action.

Michigan State at Indiana – 7:00 p.m. EST

If there is one thing that we can say for Michigan State (20-6 straight up, 9-15 against the spread), it’s that they are happy as can be that Kalin Lucas is back at full strength.

At least, that’s what he appeared to be at in scoring 24 points with six helpers in the Spartans 65-54 win over Penn State. Even bettor for the gambling public is the fact that MSU covered as a 6 ½-point road “chalk.” That was the first ATS win for the Spartans since a 65-64 win against Minnesota as 1 ½-point road pups on Jan. 23. More importantly, the win snapped a three-game slide that brought them back to the rest of the Big Ten pack.

There is no doubt in my mind that Tom Crean will get the Hoosiers back to the top of the Big Ten. It’s just taking a lot of time for him to get the pieces in place.

You don’t have to be an expert to see that Indiana (9-15 SU, 10-11 ATS) still has a long way to go in Tom Crean's rebuilding project, as evidenced by six straight losses in conference play. The Hoosiers’ most recent setback came in the form of an 83-55 slap down as 17 ½-point road underdogs at the hands of Wisconsin on Feb. 13. A couple of major stinging points from the stats for IU is the fact that its offense not only shot 47 percent from the field, but just six of its 23 rebounds came off of the offensive glass.

Most sportsbooks have installed Michigan State as a 10 ½-point road favorite with a total of 139 ½.

It shouldn’t come as a surprise that the Spartans have dominated this series recently, going 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in the last five head-to-head meetings with Indiana. Gamblers should be quick to note that the Hoosiers are 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against Michigan State.

Michigan State is 6-4 SU and 4-6 ATS in its 10 true road tests this season. The ‘under’ has gone a healthy 7-3 in those games.

The Hoosiers are 7-7 SU and ATS in Bloomington this season. When you filter that record to just Big Ten foes, they are 2-4 SU and 4-2 ATS.

Kentucky at Mississippi State – 9:00 p.m. EST

Kentucky (24-1 SU, 11-11 ATS) is doing damn near everything it can to seal up a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament.

The Wildcats’ latest victory came as 9 ½-point home favorites against Tennessee on Feb. 13, 73-62. John Wall put up more strong numbers against the Vols by scoring 24 points. Yet Eric Bledsoe was the main reason for UK getting its fourth straight win. The freshman out of Birmingham, Alabama missed his two three-point attempts in first half. In the second half, Bledsoe came away hitting three of his four shots from beyond the arc to help Kentucky not only win, but cover the spread.

While the ‘Cats are already prepped for a trip to the big dance, Mississippi State (18-7 SU, 11-8-1 ATS) is in danger of missing out on an invite altogether. ESPN’s Joe Lunardi has the Bulldogs listed in the “Last Four Out” for the NCAA Tournament.

The Bulldogs is doing everything they can to curry favor with the selection committee. Although I’m not sure an 85-75 overtime win as 10-point home favorites against a struggling Auburn side is the way to get noticed. Mississippi State didn’t do much to help themselves on the offensive side of the court. The ‘Dogs hit 41 percent from the field and only nine of their 42 boards were of the offensive variety. Still, that kind of defensive play will give you a reasonable shot at getting the win every time.

Kentucky has been listed as a three-point road “chalk” with a total of 143.

A win against Kentucky would do worlds of good for the Bulldogs. There is a reasonable shot at Mississippi State doing just that as they’re 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in its last five games against the Wildcats. Of course, the majority of those wins came against Billy Gillispie’s product in Lexington.

The Wildcats have posted a 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in their five true road matches this season. The ‘over’ is 3-2 in that stretch as well.

Mississippi State has been great at home this year, as evidenced 12-1 SU and 4-3-1 ATS in 13 dates. The ‘over’ is 6-2 in the eight home tests that had totals attached to them.

**StarDust Bum** · 02-16-2010, 06:39 PM

UPGRADE: TO 5 Units or 500

521 WILLIAM & MARY
522 GEORGE MASON -2½ ( UPGRADE )

539 WAKE FOREST +5½ ( UPGRADE )
540 VIRGINIA TECH

**StarDust Bum** · 02-16-2010, 07:03 PM

Upgrade: 5 unit play

505 minnesota +5½ ( upgrade )
506 detroit

**StarDust Bum** · 02-16-2010, 10:15 PM

GOY is a winner.....

Upgrades go 1 - 2......not good

Waiting on Dallas/Okla City results

**StarDust Bum** · 02-16-2010, 11:29 PM

Dallas - 8:00 PM ET Oklahoma City -3.5 500 ( POD )
Oklahoma City - Under 195 500 ( TOTAL OF THE DAY )
( DOUBLE WINNER GAME AND TOTAL )

Eastern Illinois - 8:00 PM ET Eastern Illinois -4.5 500 ( OHIO VALLEY GOY )
Tenn-Martin - ( BIG WINNER )

539 WAKE FOREST +5½ ( UPGRADE ) ( WINNER )
540 VIRGINIA TECH

Southern Illinois - 8:05 PM ET Southern Illinois +1 500 ( MVC GAME OF THE DAY )
Drake - LOST

521 WILLIAM & MARY
522 GEORGE MASON -2½ ( UPGRADE ) LOST

505 minnesota +5½ ( upgrade ) ( LOST )
506 detroit

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The Bum's Tuesday's GOY + POD'S !

The Bum's Tuesday's GOY + POD'S !

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