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Tuesday Trends and Indexes 2/16 (NCAAB, Misc.)

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  • #16
    NCAAB
    Write-Up



    Tuesday, Fbruary 16

    Information on the best of Tuesday's college basketball games........

    George Mason lost three of last four games, covered one of last six; they won last six games and 10 of last 11 vs Wm Mary, winning five of last six played here, with wins by 16-33-23-6-14 points. Patriots are 1-4 as a CAA home favorite. Tribe won last three games; they're 5-2 as a CAA dog. CAA home favorites of less than 4 points are 5-9 vs spread.

    South Florida (+9) lost 78-70 at Cincinnati Jan 20; Bearcats shot 55.6% on night. Bulls won last three home games, by 9-2-9 points; they're 4-1 vs spread at home in Big East, 1-0 as home favorite. Cincinnati is 1-4 in last five road games, losing away games by 7-2-8-18 points. Big East home favorites of less than 7 points are 8-16 vs spread.

    Central Florida (+12) won 78-71 at Houston Jan 20, holding Cougars to 25.4% from floor, 5-24 from arc, offsetting 24 UCF turnovers. Knights are 1-3 in last four home games, 1-2 as C-USA home dog. Houston lost its last two road games, by 15 at Memphis, 7 at UTEP. C-USA home underdogs of less than 5 points are 0-7 vs spread.

    Virginia Tech won five of last six games vs Wake Forest, winning last two in this gym by 3-22 points; Hokies won last four games overall, are 3-2 as ACC home fave, winning at home by 15-1-4-11-6 points. ACC home favorites of 5+ points are 20-15 against the spread. Wake won its last four games; they're 3-2 as ACC road dog, losing by 1-20-21 on road.

    Drexel (even) uncharacteristically made 10-17 from arc in 75-72 win vs VCU Jan 6; Dragons shoot 32.1% from arc for year. Drexel won six of last eight games, are 3-2 as CAA road dog, losing away games by 4-23-3-11 points (3-4 SU). VCU lost last two games, blowing halftime leads of 13-8 pts. Single digit home favorites are 17-21 vs spread in CAA games.

    Home side won seven of last eight Texas Tech-Baylor games; Raiders are 0-4 in last four trips to Waco, losing by 11-3-6-12 points. Tech is 2-3 as Big 12 road underdog, losing away games by 29-26-12-15 points, with a win at Oklahoma. Baylor is 3-2 as home favorite, winning in Waco by 2-31-13-21. Double digit home favorites are 6-8 vs spread in Big 12 games.

    Drake (+12.5) won 70-64 in Carbondale Jan 9, making 15-17 from foul line; Bulldogs lost last four games after a 6-1 run, but they've won four of last five home games, are 1-1 as MVC home favorite. Southern Illinois is 4-0-1 vs spread in last five games, but lost last three on road, by 3-3-5. Home favorites of less than 3 points are 4-9 vs spread in MVC games.

    Northern Iowa C Elgseder, 2nd-leading scorer, is suspended (DUI) here, big blow for UNI squad that had 6-game win streak snapped Saturday at Bradley. Panthers are 4-3 as MVC home favorite. Creighton is 1-4 as an MVC road dog, losing away games by 6-12-9-5-18 pts (2-5 SU). Home favorites of more than 9 points are 7-10 vs spread in MVC games.

    Green Bay (+6.5) lost 64-50 at Cleveland State Jan 22, making just 1-8 on arc; Vikings shot 52%, 7-16 from arc. CSU won six of its last seven, is 2-4 as Horizon home favorite, winning at home by 5-7-14-1-8-9 pts. Green Bay is 2-3-1 as Horizon road underdog, losing on road by 23-20-14-13. Home faves of 3 or less points are 3-8 vs spread in Horizon.

    Michigan (-13) held Iowa to 31% from floor, 4-24 from arc in 60-46 win over Hawkeyes Jan 30; Wolverines are 2-4 on Big 11 road, 2-2 as Big 11 favorite- they didn't play this weekend, Iowa did. Hawkeyes lost five of last six games, are 4-3 as Big 11 home dog, losing home games by 11-12-18-8-8 points. Home dogs of 4 or less are 6-3 vs spread in Big 11 games.

    Rutgers/DePaul split last four meetings; both teams played Sunday, as Knights upset Georgetown, but Rutgers is 0-6 on Big East road, 1-5 as Road dog, losing away games by 34-13-9-25-23-16 points. Blue Demons covered six of last seven games, but lost last six SU, are 1-11 in league. Big East home favorites of less than 7 points are 8-16 vs spread.

    Georgia Tech raced out to 29-9 lead, blew lead, then won 73-71 at North Carolina Jan 16 (+6.5); Jackets lost three of last four games, but won last four home games, by 4-2-21-2 points (1-3 as ACC favorite). ACC home favorites of 5+ points are 20-15 against the spread. Tar Heels lost seven of last nine games, are 0-4 against spread as an ACC underdog.

    Mississippi State won last three games vs Kentucky; dogs covered last four in series. Bulldogs are 5-0 at home in SEC, 2-2 as SEC dog. Wildcats won last five games since 68-62 loss at So Carolina, winning games by 5 at Auburn, 12 at Florida, 26 at LSU. Home underdogs of 3 or less points are 1-4 vs spread in SEC games. Much bigger game for host Bulldogs.

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    • #17
      NCAAB
      Short Sheet



      Tuesday, 2/16/2010

      WM & MARY at GEORGE MASON
      , 7:00 PM ET
      WM & MARY: 10-2 ATS as an underdog
      GEORGE MASON: 5-14 ATS in February

      TOWSON ST at OLD DOMINION, 7:00 PM ET
      TOWSON ST: 8-2 ATS after 3 consecutive conference games
      OLD DOMINION: 2-8 ATS after playing a home game

      HOFSTRA at DELAWARE, 7:00 PM ET
      HOFSTRA: 6-17 ATS after playing a road game
      DELAWARE: 21-6 ATS after 1+ consecutive losses

      JAMES MADISON at GEORGIA ST, 7:00 PM ET
      JAMES MADISON: 8-1 ATS after a win by 6 or less
      GEORGIA ST: 18-8 UNDER after 2+ consecutive losses

      CINCINNATI at S FLORIDA, 7:00 PM ET ESPNU
      CINCINNATI: 0-7 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3
      S FLORIDA: 8-2 ATS after 3 consecutive conference games

      HOUSTON at UCF, 7:00 PM ET
      HOUSTON: 6-0 OVER AWAY when the total is 145 to 149.5
      UCF: 9-1 ATS after a combined score of 125 or less

      PRINCETON at PENNSYLVANIA, 7:00 PM ET
      PRINCETON: 7-1 ATS AWAY when the total is 129.5 or less
      PENNSYLVANIA: 0-6 ATS after playing a home game

      BRADLEY at INDIANA ST, 7:00 PM ET
      BRADLEY: 8-1 UNDER on Tuesday
      INDIANA ST: 8-0 ATS when the line is +3 to -3

      NORTHEASTERN at UNC-WILMINGTON, 7:00 PM ET
      NORTHEASTERN: 8-2 ATS in road games
      UNC-WILMINGTON: 1-8 ATS at home

      WAKE FOREST at VIRGINIA TECH, 7:00 PM ET ESPN2
      WAKE FOREST: 13-29 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5
      VIRGINIA TECH: 9-2 ATS when playing only their 3rd game in a week

      MICHIGAN ST at INDIANA, 7:00 PM ET ESPN
      MICHIGAN ST: 0-6 ATS on Tuesday
      INDIANA: 6-0 ATS after 3+ consecutive ATS losses

      DREXEL at VA COMMONWEALTH, 7:00 PM ET
      DREXEL: 7-0 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12
      VA COMMONWEALTH: 1-7 ATS after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite

      TEXAS TECH at BAYLOR, 8:00 PM ET
      TEXAS TECH: 13-5 OVER in road games
      BAYLOR: 2-9 ATS in February

      SAN DIEGO ST at TCU, 8:00 PM ET MTN
      SAN DIEGO ST: 9-2 ATS after playing a home game
      TCU: 0-6 ATS when playing only their 3rd game in a week

      S ILLINOIS at DRAKE, 8:00 PM ET
      S ILLINOIS: 9-1 ATS on Tuesday
      DRAKE: 3-14 AST at home after 4+ consecutive losses

      CREIGHTON at N IOWA, 8:00 PM ET
      CREIGHTON: 11-2 ATS when the total is 129.5 or less
      N IOWA: 12-26 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12

      CLEVELAND ST at WI-GREEN BAY, 8:00 PM ET
      CLEVELAND ST: 2-9 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
      WI-GREEN BAY: 11-3 ATS when the line is +3 to -3

      MICHIGAN at IOWA, 9:00 PM ET BIG 10
      MICHIGAN: 8-1 UNDER after 2 consecutive conference games
      IOWA: 7-1 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog

      RUTGERS at DEPAUL, 9:00 PM ET ESPNU
      RUTGERS: 5-18 ATS Away off win by 6 pts or less
      DEPAUL: 6-0 Over as favorite

      N CAROLINA at GEORGIA TECH, 9:00 PM ET
      N CAROLINA: 9-1 Under vs. conference
      GEORGIA TECH: 6-0 Under off 2 straight conf games

      KENTUCKY at MISSISSIPPI ST, 9:00 PM ET ESPN
      KENTUCKY: 70-43 Under when the total is 140 to 149.5
      MISSISSIPPI ST: 8-1 ATS after win by 10+ pts

      Added Games

      E ILLINOIS at TENN-MARTIN
      , 8:00 PM ET
      E ILLINOIS: 15-4 ATS off an Over
      TENN-MARTIN: 0-11 ATS off BB SU losses

      SE MISSOURI ST at MURRAY ST, 8:00 PM ET
      SE MISSOURI ST: 25-12 Over off conference loss
      MURRAY ST: 5-15 ATS if road favorite L2 games

      CENTENARY at ORAL ROBERTS, 8:00 PM ET
      CENTENARY: 5-1 Under off SU loss
      ORAL ROBERTS: 1-13 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

      ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

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      • #18
        NCAAB


        Tuesday, February 16


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Tips and Trends
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        Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Virginia Tech Hokies [ESPN2 | 7:00 PM ET]

        Demon Deacons: Wake Forest has won 4 straight games, including an impressive double digit SU win against nationally ranked Georgia Tech in their last game. To no surprise, Wake Forest is nationally ranked again, at #23 in the nation. The Demon Deacons will have their work cut out for them today, considering they've lost 5 of the past 6 meetings SU with Virginia Tech. Wake Forest is 6-4 both SU and ATS on the road this season. Wake Forest is 4-3 ATS as the listed underdog this season, including 4-1 ATS as a single digit underdog this season. The Demon Decons have averaged nearly 83 PPG over their past 2 games. That broke a streak of 4 consecutive games under 70 PTS for Wake Forest. The Demon Decons are 8-3 ATS since the start of 2010. F Al-Farouq Aminu is easily one of the best players in the nation as he averages team highs of 16.5 PPG and 10.9 RPG this season. G Ishmael Smith averages 13 PPG and 6.1 APG this season.

        Wake Forest is 4-0 ATS last 4 games vs. a team with a winning SU record.
        Under is 6-1 last 7 road games.

        Key Injuries - G Konner Tucker (personal) is out.

        PROJECTED SCORE: 67 (SIDE of the Day)

        Hokies (-5, O/U 134): Virginia Tech might very well be the best team nobody knows about, as they are 20-4 SU this season. Virginia Tech has won 7 of their past 8 games, including 2 conference road wins SU. The Hokies are a perfect 13-0 SU at home this season. Despite their perfect record at home, the Hokies are only 4-4 ATS this season at home. The Hokies have only played 5 games at home as a single digit favorite, going 3-2 ATS in that scenario. All 5 of those contests have come in their 5 most recent home games in conference play. The Hokies have scored 70 PTS or more in 5 of their past 6 games. G Malcolm Delaney leads 3 different Hokies averaging double digits in PTS this season. Delaney averages 19.7 PPG and a team high 4.2 APG this season. Delaney makes his living at the free throw line, shooting 85% on 8 attempts per game this season. Defensively, the Hokies have limited their past 3 opponents to fewer than 60 PTS.

        Hokies are 8-3 ATS last 11 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
        Under is 4-0 last 4 home games.

        Key Injuries - C Geno Swindle (knee) is out.
        F Allan Chaney (shoulder) is out.

        PROJECTED SCORE: 66



        Kentucky Wildcats at Mississippi St. Bulldogs [ESPN | 9:00 PM ET]

        Wildcats (-3, O/U 143): Kentucky continues to prove their lone loss this season was a fluke, as they've responded with 5 consecutive double digit wins SU since that loss. Kentucky is 24-1 SU this season, and ranked #2 in the nation. The Wildcats are 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS in both true road games and neutral court settings this season. Today's game represents the smallest the Wildcats have been favored by all season. Kentucky is 5-2 ATS as a single digit favorite this season. The Wildcats have alternated ATS wins and losses in every game of 2010 thus far. Kentucky has scored their 2nd lowest back to back point totals over their past 2 contests. F DeMarcus Cousins is likely to bounce back from a season low 5 PTS in his last game. Cousins averages 15.9 PPG and a team high 10.2 RPG this season. PG John Wall leads the Wildcats with 17 PPG and 6.4 APG this season. Kentucky has more turnovers than assists in their past 8 league games.

        Wildcats are 9-4 ATS last 13 games vs. a team with a winning percentage over .600.
        Under is 8-2 last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600.

        Key Injuries - None.

        PROJECTED SCORE: 68 (UNDER - Total of the Day)

        Bulldogs: Mississippi St. will get a stern test tonight at home, battling the #2 team in the country in Kentucky. Luckily this game is at home for the Bulldogs, as they are 12-1 SU at home this season. That lone loss was in their 1st game of the season back in early November. The Bulldogs have only had 3 opponents stay within single digits of them at home. The Bulldogs are 4-3-1 ATS in home games this season, with today marking the 1st time this season the Bulldogs will be the listed home underdog. The Bulldogs are 3-2 ATS as the listed underdog this season. With a SU win tonight, Mississippi St. will have beaten Kentucky 4 consecutive times for the 1st time in school history. The Bulldogs average 73 PPG this season, but have been held under that total in 7 of their past 8 games. G Ravern Johnson leads the Bulldogs with 13.7 PPG this season. C Jarvis Varnardo averages 13.3 PPG, 11.3 RPG, and 5 BPG in an All American type season.

        Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS last 11 games vs. a team with a winning percentage over .600.
        Under is 7-2 last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600.

        Key Injuries - G Ravern Johnson (nose) is probable.
        G Twany Beckham (hip) is out.

        PROJECTED SCORE: 67


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