Announcement

**daveyd** · 02-09-2010, 05:37 PM

Good Luck

**StarDust Bum** · 02-09-2010, 06:22 PM

Tuesday Tips

Only three days of action for NBA bettors to get wagers on before the All-Star Break this weekend in Dallas. However, the Tuesday card is loaded with plenty of solid matchups, including several late tip-offs. We'll start in South Florida with the struggling Heat looking to end a five-game skid.

Rockets (27-23 SU, 24-26 ATS) at Heat (24-27 SU, 24-27 ATS)

Miami has fallen apart at the seams recently, dropping five straight and six of seven, returning home to host Houston. The Heat finished up a three-game road trip at 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS at Boston, Cleveland, and Chicago. The Rockets arrive in Miami off a come-from-ahead home loss to the Sixers on Saturday.

The Heat has played just seven home games since the New Year, as opposed to 14 on the highway. Miami is 3-4 SU/ATS, with two of the victories coming over Indiana and Sacramento. The only substantial home victory in this stretch came against the Hawks on January 4 as a two-point underdog, 92-75. The scoring has fallen by the wayside for Erik Spoelstra's squad, tallying less than 100 points in five of the last six games.

The Rockets began the season as a solid road underdog play, starting 7-3 ATS. From December 23 to January 18, Houston went on an 0-6 ATS road 'dog slide. The Rockets are starting to bounce back in that role, compiling outright away 'dog victories at San Antonio and Memphis over the last two weeks. This is the only game all week for Rick Adelman's club, as the Rockets are off until next Tuesday against Utah after the contest in Miami.

The Rockets had owned the Heat prior to the first meeting of the season, winning and covering five of six meetings. Miami got the better of Houston at the Toyota Center on January 15, beating the Rockets, 115-106, as four-point 'dogs. Dwyane Wade put up a game-high 37 points in the victory, while ex-Rocket Rafer Alston added 17.

Hawks (32-17 SU, 31-18 ATS) at Grizzlies (26-24 SU, 27-22-1 ATS)

Memphis has hit the skids as of late, losing each of its last three games, hosting Atlanta at FedEx Forum. The Grizzlies' lone victory in their previous six contests came by two points over the Lakers last Monday, while going 1-5 ATS. The Hawks have been off since beating the Bulls on Friday, as Saturday's game at Washington was postponed due to snow.

Atlanta has not been strong against the number recently, failing to cover four of its last six games. Mike Woodson's team is 1-3 SU/ATS the previous four on the highway, including losses at San Antonio, Orlando, and Oklahoma City. The Hawks took care of the Grizzlies at Philips Arena, 110-97 back on December 16 as 9 ½-point favorites.

The Grizzlies went on a 19-7 SU stretch since the start of December, including 11 straight home victories. It's been a cold span for Memphis since, allowing over 100 points in each of its last six losses, while failing to cover each of its last three games.

Mavericks (32-19 SU, 21-30 ATS) at Nuggets (34-17 SU, 23-25-3 ATS)

Dallas comes into the Pepsi Center with no rest following Monday's win at Golden State. Denver will try to come back to full strength, as both Carmelo Anthony and Chauncey Billups are nursing ankle injuries. Billups sat out Saturday's loss at Utah, while Anthony has been sidelined each of the last eight games (5-3 SU, 4-3-1 ATS).

The Nuggets have two important home contests against Texas opponents prior to the All-Star Break, with the Mavs on Tuesday and the Spurs on Thursday. Denver is 8-1 SU and 3-5-1 ATS the last nine at home, while Anthony missed five of those games. In the eight games without 'Melo, the total hasn't swung one way or the other consistently, going 4-4 to the 'over.'

The Mavs are a dreadful 3-12 ATS their last 15 games, but each cover came on the road in wins at Boston, New York, and Golden State. Dallas picked up a surprising victory at Pepsi Center as 5 ½-point 'dogs, 104-96 on December 27. What was even more impressive about that road triumph was the Mavs playing with no rest, as will be the case on Tuesday.

The Nuggets are 6-4-1 ATS at home this season against teams playing the second of a back-to-back, while going 10-1 SU (Dallas is the lone blemish to Denver's perfect mark).

Thunder (29-21 SU, 31-19 ATS) at Blazers (30-23 SU, 28-24-1 ATS)

These two Northwest Division rivals meet up for the first time since November, as the Thunder looks for a sixth straight win. Oklahoma City continues a three-game road swing, coming off Saturday's 104-95 victory at Golden State. The Blazers are off a disappointing 99-82 home loss to the Kobe Bryant-less Lakers on Saturday.

Portland is 6-1 ATS and 5-2 SU off a loss since January 8, and 6-2 SU at home off a defeat since December 5. The Blazers have played the last ten games without Brandon Roy, covering six times, despite a 4-6 SU mark. Portland did knock off Oklahoma City at the Ford Center, 83-74 back on November 1, as three-point road 'chalk.'

The Thunder continues to impress, especially on the road. Oklahoma City is 14-3 ATS the last 17 on the highway, including a 4-2 ATS ledger as an away favorite this season. OKC's offense has heated up as well during this hot streak, topping the 100-point mark in each of those wins. The Sonics/Thunder has struggled at the Rose Garden, losing each of its last five road meetings.

**shoeman530** · 02-09-2010, 06:24 PM

Good Luck SDB

**StarDust Bum** · 02-09-2010, 06:38 PM

Trend Report - Tuesday

Wizards at Bobcats – The Bobcats are 6-0 ATS (7.7 ppg) since December 19, 2005 at home with at least one day of rest after a home loss in which they allowed at least 50% from the field. The Bobcats are 0-6 ATS (-8.0 ppg) since February 02, 2009 with two or more days of rest after a loss in which they allowed at least 50% from the field.

Pistons at Bucks – The Pistons are 0-8 ATS (-6.2 ppg) since April 23, 2007 after a home win in which more than 75% of their baskets were assisted. The League is 7-0 ATS (9.3 ppg) since January 17, 2009 on the road with two or more days of rest after a home win in which their opponent shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them. The Bucks are 0-8-1 ATS (-7.4 ppg) since December 17, 2005 when seeking revenge for a loss in which they were out-rebounded by at least fifteen rebounds.

Nets at Cavaliers – The Cavaliers are 10-0-1 ATS (5.9 ppg) since April 10, 2009 and when facing a team they beat in their previous two match-ups of the season. The Cavaliers are 8-0 ATS (6.4 ppg) since December 05, 1997 after a game in which they committed at least 10 fewer fouls than their season-to-date average. The Cavaliers are 8-0 ATS (7.7 ppg) since March 13, 2005 at home off a home win in which they never trailed. The Cavaliers are 0-8 ATS (-6.6 ppg) since February 07, 2008 after a win in which they allowed at least 50% from the field.

Jazz at Clippers – The Jazz are 0-5 ATS (-14.7 ppg) since April 12, 2001 on the road with two or more days of rest after a double digit win in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line. The Clippers are 0-5 ATS (-8.7 ppg) since February 16, 1998 with two or more days of rest after a home loss in which they committed at least twenty turnovers.

Hawks at Grizzlies – The Hawks are 9-0-1 ATS (6.0 ppg) since February 25, 2009 when facing a team they beat in their previous same-season match-up and they have a revenge game next. The Grizzlies are 0-7 ATS (-11.4 ppg) since February 20, 2007 with two or more days of rest after a loss in which their opponent shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them. The Grizzlies are 7-0 ATS (9.4 ppg) since December 30, 1995 at home with at least one day of rest off a road loss in which they led at the end of each of the first three quarters. The Grizzlies are 0-6 ATS (-6.7 ppg) since January 13, 2009 at home when they have lost their last three games SU and ATS.

Rockets at Heat – The Rockets are 8-0 ATS (5.8 ppg) since December 10, 1999 after a loss against the Seventysixers. The Heat are 6-0 ATS (11.2 ppg) since January 23, 2004 at home with two or more days of rest after a loss in which they made more baskets than their opponent.

Kings at Knicks – The Kings are 0-8 ATS (-7.8 ppg) since January 15, 2007 when facing a non-conference team they beat as a favorite by double digits in their first match-up of the season. The Knicks are 0-9 ATS (-14.0 ppg) since February 20, 1996 as a home favorite with two or more days of rest after a loss in which they scored more than 30% of their points from the three-point line.

Mavericks at Nuggets – The League is 7-0 ATS (9.3 ppg) since December 30, 2007 as a dog with no rest off a win as an away favorite in which they trailed at the end of each of the first three quarters. The Nuggets are 8-0 ATS (7.0 ppg) since February 05, 2007 with at least one day of rest after a loss in which they committed at least twenty turnovers.

Bulls at Pacers – The Pacers are 0-9-1 ATS (-6.3 ppg) since November 09, 1996 at home with two or more days of rest after a double digit loss in which they had more turnovers than assists. The Pacers are 0-6 ATS (-7.5 ppg) since December 13, 2008 after a road loss in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was less than four.

Timberwolves at 76ers – The Timberwolves are 0-8-1 ATS (-5.6 ppg) since December 22, 2006 after a game at home in which they had at least five fewer turnovers than their season-to-date average. The Timberwolves are 8-0 ATS (9.6 ppg) since December 11, 2001 with two or more days of rest after a win in which they shot at least 55% from the field.

Thunder at Trailblazers – The Thunder are 6-0 ATS (14.6 ppg) since March 31, 2009 when they are playing in at least their third straight road game.

**StarDust Bum** · 02-09-2010, 06:46 PM

Super Tuesday Showdowns

There is no mistaking that we’re coming off of the best Big Monday of the season. But this week’s Super Tuesday card is no slouch either. We have one quality Big Ten matchup that will affect the top of the conference’s standings, while the other is an intrastate rivalry that features two Top 20 squads.

Tennessee at Vanderbilt – 7:00 p.m. EST, ESPN

Tennessee (18-4 straight up, 9-9-1 against the spread) comes into this game riding a three-game win streak. The Vols’ most recent triumph came against South Carolina as 9 ½-point home favorites 79-53. Bruce Pearl’s program was stingy on the defensive side of the court, holding the Gamecocks to just 28 percent shooting from the field.

Wayne Chism pulled in 30 points against South Carolina. The senior forward has picked up his game lately, averaging 22.0 points per game over his last three appearances. This renaissance has helped Chism average 13.0 PPG for the year and leads the team in rebounds with 7.0 boards per game.

Things haven’t been all that great for Vanderbilt (17-5 SU, 12-9 ATS) over the last week, losing two of three. The Commodores went into Athens as 4 ½-point road faves, but wound up losing 72-58 to Georgia. Vandy couldn’t buy a shot on Saturday, connecting on 33 percent of its shots. What makes that number shocking is that the ‘Dores are 14th nationally in field goal percentage at 48.6 for the year.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants have installed Vandy as a slight three-point home favorite with a total of 148. Tennessee can be taken for the outright win at plus-145 (risk $100 to win $145).

The Commodores have enjoyed playing in Nashville this year, as evidenced by an 11-0 SU and 5-4 ATS record at home.

Tennessee has been moderately successful on the road at 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS.

Vandy has watched the ‘over’ go 4-1-1 in its last five games. Meanwhile, the Volunteers have seen the ‘under’ go on an 8-3 run in their last 11 matches. So which total do you take?

Well, the safe play would be the ‘under’ as it is 8-2 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings.

The Commodores are 3-2 SU, but just 2-3 ATS in home tilts against the Vols.

What could be the saving grace is that Vandy already won in Knoxville as a 6 ½-point road pup 85-76 against the Vols on Jan. 27. The Commodores was hitting damn near everything, shooting 51 percent from the field and 57 percent from beyond the arc.

Purdue at Michigan State – 9:00 p.m. EST, ESPN

It doesn’t seem too long ago that we saw Purdue (19-3 SU, 9-11-1 ATS) slumming in the Big Ten at 2-3 after losing at Northwestern on Jan. 16. The Boilermakers have since reeled off five straight wins to pull within a game in the loss column of first place in the Big Ten. The Boilers’ latest victory was a close call on Feb. 4 as 12 ½-point road favorites against Indiana, 78-75. It was the sixth time that Purdue failed to cover the spread in its last eight contests.

Despite the good run, we should note that the Boilermakers have gone 4-2 SU and 2-4 ATS in six true road tilts this season. The ‘over’ is 5-1 in that stretch.

Michigan State (19-5 SU, 8-14 ATS) looks a lot like the Titanic when they didn’t prepare for every possible problem. The Spartans have fallen into this category after losing two straight games since losing Kalin Lucas to a sprained ankle midway through the game against Wisconsin on Feb. 4. MSU needed Lucas’ shooting skills late in its 78-73 loss to the Fighting Illini as a 1 ½-point road “chalk.” The Spartans went 2-for-4 from the field and committed three fouls in the final 82 after tying the game at 68-68.

Michigan State is a 2 ½-point home favorite with a total of 138 ½.Bettors can back the Boilermakers to win on the money line for a plus-131 return (risk $100 to win $131).

Tom Izzo’s team has mad life hell for the league opposition in East Lansing. The Spartans are 12-2 SU at home against Big Ten foes. Bettors, however, haven’t had a lot of luck as Michigan State was 6-8 ATS in that stretch. The ‘under’ is 10-4 in that time frame.

Purdue has fared well as of late against the Spartans, going 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in the past five head-to-head meetings. The ‘under’ is 4-1 in those tests as well.

**bryce** · 02-09-2010, 06:51 PM

Good luck Stardust!!

**Tnbreakers** · 02-09-2010, 07:26 PM

Gl!

**StarDust Bum** · 02-09-2010, 07:28 PM

UPGRADE: POD ALERT

PURDUE + 3 Now at Bookmaker

**StarDust Bum** · 02-09-2010, 08:14 PM

Utah Jazz (31-18) at Los Angeles Clippers (21-29), 10:30 p.m.

(Sports Network) - The red-hot Utah Jazz shoot for their ninth consecutive win on Wednesday in Los Angeles against a Clippers team that has been faltering lately.

The Jazz finished a four-game homestand in perfect fashion on Saturday when Deron Williams recorded 22 points and nine assists to lead a balanced Utah attack in a 116-106 victory over the short-handed Nuggets in a Northwest Division battle at EnergySolutions Arena.

Andrei Kirilenko scored 22 points as well, while Carlos Boozer returned from a three-game absence (calf) to donate 19 points and 13 rebounds for the Jazz, who moved to within two games of the division-leading Nuggets.

Paul Millsap and C.J. Miles each came off the bench to chip in 16 and 12 points, respectively, for the victors.

Ty Lawson ended with a game-high 25 points in a spot-start for Denver, which was coming off a 126-113 win over the Lakers on Friday. Chauncey Billups had 39 points in that game but sprained his ankle, forcing him to join fellow All- Star Carmelo Anthony on the bench Saturday.

"You look out there and see they don't have Billups, and they don't have Carmelo Anthony, so we should've won real easily probably," Jazz coach Jerry Sloan said. "But they beat us here with those two guys out the last time we played them and that shows you how strong their team is. They've got a terrific team. We got a little selfish, started just taking shots rather than executing. We were all over the place. Once we executed, we at least had a chance."

The Clips, meanwhile, lost for the sixth time in seven games on Saturday in the head coaching debut for Kim Hughes, who replaced Mike Dunleavy on the Clippers' bench after the former coach decided to focus on his role as general manager of the team.

George Hill scored 22 points on 8-of-11 shooting in that one, as the San Antonio Spurs notched their 15th straight win over LA with a 98-81 win at Staples Center.

Chris Kaman, who learned he will be heading to the All-Star game on Monday as an injury replacement for Portland guard Brandon Roy, had 21 points to pace the Clippers, who were coming off a 2-6 road trip.

Eric Gordon contributed 20 points as the only other Los Angeles player to score in double-figures.

"It wasn't a whole lot of fun," Hughes said. "We turned the ball over too many times. We're a work in progress. I liked our rebounding, but we missed a lot of open shots."

Utah has dominated the Clips recently, winning 10 of its last 12 encounters in the series, including a 111-98 win in Salt Lake City earlier this season.

**StarDust Bum** · 02-09-2010, 08:16 PM

6) Purdue (19-3) at (10) Michigan State (19-5)

FACTS & STATS: Mackey Arena (14,123) -- West Lafayette, Indiana. Television: ESPN. Home Record: Purdue 11-1, MSU 13-0. Away Record: Purdue 4-2, MSU 5-4. Neutral Record: Purdue 4-0, MSU 1-1. Conference Record: Purdue 7-3, MSU 9-2. Series Record:

GAME NOTES: The 10th-ranked Michigan State Spartans will try to keep their slim hold on the top spot in the Big Ten tonight, as they host the sixth- ranked Purdue Boilermakers at Mackey Arena.

After opening their Big Ten slate with nine consecutive wins, MSU was in complete control and on its ways to a second straight Big Ten regular-season crown. However, the Spartans were defeated in both of their outings last week, including a 78-73 setback at Illinois on Saturday, and are now only one game up in the standings. MSU is still a healthy 19-5 overall, including a perfect 13-0 at home, but there is no longer any margin for error.

One of the teams nipping at the heels of MSU is Purdue, which is 7-3 in conference play. Since losing three straight, the Boilermakers have run off five wins in a row, including a 78-75 besting of Indiana on Thursday. Purdue is now a hardy 19-3 overall and is on its way to a fourth straight 20-win campaign.

Purdue leads the all-time series with MSU, 62-44, and has taken three of the past five meetings, although the Boilermakers haven't won in East Lansing since 1998.

The Boilermakers knocked down 46.4 percent of their attempts from the floor and 20-of-28 at the foul line, as they slipped past Indiana last week. Robbie Hummel and JaJuan Johnson each scored 21 points in the win and they combined for 16 rebounds and a 16-of-21 showing at the foul line. E'Twaun Moore tacked on 14 points, as he remains the team's leading scorer on the season, averaging 17.2 ppg. Hummel adds 16.5 ppg and a team-best 7.2 rpg to the mix, while Johnson contributes 14.4 ppg and 6.9 rpg.

The Spartans shot a sound 54.7 percent from the floor, but that still wasn't enough to overcome 18 turnovers in an 78-73 loss at Illinois on Saturday. Draymond Green paced the team in defeat with a double-double of 17 points and 16 rebounds, while Chris Allen had 15 points. The Spartans played their second straight game without Kalin Lucas, as he continues to nurse a sprained right ankle. Lucas, the reigning Big Ten Player of the Year, leads the team in both scoring (15.6 ppg) and assists (4.0 apg), but is listed as questionable for tonight. Durrell Summers and Raymar Morgan are both tied for second in scoring at 10.8 ppg and they are also combining for 10.6 rpg. Green, a jack-of-all- trades, adds 10.5 ppg to go along with 3.0 apg and a team-high 8.3 rpg.

MSU has obviously been hurt by the loss of Lucas and if he can't go tonight, that could spell even more trouble for the club. Still, the Spartans are a balanced and deep squad and playing at home should help them emerge with the victory even if Lucas is missing from the lineup.

Announcement

The Bum's Tuesday's Best Bets + PODS !

The Bum's Tuesday's Best Bets + PODS !

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment