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The Bum's Super Sunday Best Bets + PODS !

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  • The Bum's Super Sunday Best Bets + PODS !

    Sunday, February 7Game Score Status Pick Amount

    Sacramento - 12:00 PM ET Sacramento +8 300
    Toronto - Over 216 300

    Orlando - 2:30 PM ET Orlando +3 500
    Boston - Under 188.5 500

    ==============================================
    Sunday, February 7Game Score Status Pick Amount

    South Florida - 12:00 PM ET South Florida +8 500
    Notre Dame - Over 147 300

    Iowa - 12:00 PM ET Ohio St. -19.5 300
    Ohio St. - Under 127 300

    Canisius - 12:00 PM ET Canisius +6 200
    St. Peter's - Under 120.5 400

    Northern Arizona - 2:00 PM ET Northern Colorado -11 300
    Northern Colorado -

    Loyola-Maryland - 2:00 PM ET Loyola-Maryland +3 500
    Manhattan - Under 127 500

    North Carolina - 2:00 PM ET North Carolina +6.5 300
    Maryland - Under 156.5 500

    Syracuse - 2:00 PM ET Syracuse -4 500
    Cincinnati - Over 141.5 300

    Iona - 2:00 PM ET Iona -14 500
    Marist - Under 123 300

    Indiana - 2:30 PM ET Indiana +9.5 500
    Northwestern - Under 132.5 300

    Eastern Washington - 4:05 PM ET Sacramento State -2 300
    Sacramento State - Over 136.5 300


    ===============================================
    Sunday, February 7Game Score Status Pick Amount

    Pittsburgh - 12:00 PM ET Washington -180 500
    Washington - Under 6.5 500

    Boston - 3:00 PM ET Montreal -115 500
    Montreal - Over 5 500

    ==============================================

    Final Notes from The Strip

    A 7-6 Colts final in the Super Bowl would suit the Las Vegas Bookmakers just fine as the optimum decision for Sunday’s Super Bowl. The favorite winning, but yet not covering, and the total staying under.
    “We’ve had great action both ways and I’m surprised that we haven’t been forced off of the spread (Colts -5) through the entire Super Bowl weeks because it’s such an easy spread to move off of,” said Station Casino’s Vice-President of Race and Sports Art Manteris.

    At the beginning of the Super Bowl bonanza, the Colts were everyone’s favorite flavor, but as things have settled so has the line.

    “We have seen great two way action, but a concern of mine is the weather, and not necessarily the weather in Florida,” said Manteris.

    “I’m worried about all the flights to Las Vegas that are being cancelled and delayed because of the what’s going on back east.”

    On Saturday, 240 flights were cancelled alone due to weather. What that means to Las Vegas and it’s Super Bowl weekend remains to be seen.

    Last year Nevada sports Books handled $84.5 million on the game, well short of the $94.5 million handled in the record year of 2006 when the Las Vegas economy was booming.

    The fact the game has remained at the dead number of Colts minus-5 is telling because it doesn’t take much to move off the number. All it may take is a half-limit bet one way of another to sway a book’s line, but that hasn’t happened.

    “We’ve a few bets close to limit ($100,000), but not enough to take of us one way or another,” said Manteris.

    The Sports Books have been fortunate that game hasn’t opened or been pushed to any relevant number such as 3, 4 6, or, 7, so they don‘t have to make that tough call when to go to certain key number.

    Jimmy Vaccaro has had the same sentiment through early Saturday action at his Lucky’s operations.

    “We haven’t seen any real big action on the game either way. We’ve had really good action on the props, steady on parlay card play, and overall volume, but nothing that would signify any real move,” said Vaccaro.

    The props have been an increasing more amount of business that many books across town are discussing.

    “Some of the props are weighted, but many are where the player has us “over” and another place “under” for the “middle”, said Vaccaro.

    A new Las Vegas friendly deal for the players is in-progress wagering which will be featured at Station Casino’s properties as well as Lucky’s book’s.

    In between major breaks, bettors will be able to place bets on the Super Bowl as the game is going on at Lucky’s places.

    At Station’s, they’ll have odds open at the end of the first and third quarters, and and the end of regulation if the game goes there.

    Las Vegas is ready for action!

    My FINAL, final score is Saints 37-31!

    Good Luck in the game!

    Sunday, February 7Game Score Status Pick Amount

    New Orleans - 6:25 PM ET New Orleans +5.5 500 (TRIPLE PLAY )
    Indianapolis - Over 56.5 500
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    good luck

    Comment


    • #3
      Super Bowl XLIV: Explaining the Betting Possibilities

      The day has arrived, oh sure there will be a great deal of chatter, heart-warming stories and a blast from the past (which includes The Who), looking at the history of the game itself still to come before kickoff of No. 44, however for the most part, it is window dressing to prepare for party you are hosting or attending. The biggest question on every bettors mind besides the $10 prop bet on the coin toss is who wins and covers? For your reading pleasure, here are the definitive answers to those questions.

      Indianapolis wins and covers IF Peyton Manning has time to throw the ball. Manning’s work ethic and attention to detail is well documented and given time, will pick apart any defense. Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark were quiet in AFC Championship game, as New York had the best shutdown corner in the NFL in Darrelle Revis and game-planned to take away Clark, forcing Manning to look elsewhere, which he expertly did. Jabari Greer and Tracy Porter are two good corners, just not in the same area code as Revis. With DC Gregg Williams expected to blitz heavily (though don’t be surprised if they rush three and have eight in coverage more than believed with all the posturing), Manning will look to hot receiver and deliver.

      The Colts don’t have to run a great deal, just meet their 23 attempts per game, to give New Orleans something to look at. As long as Indianapolis averages 3.7 or more per carry, that keeps them on balance for all down and distance situations.

      Defensively, the Colts have to play their game. That means rushing Drew Brees to make one read and throw the ball, not allowing him time to survey the field and pick out a receiver for a bigger play. Indianapolis has to be stout in the middle, as this is where the Saints prefer to run. That would mean the names Gary Brackett and Melvin Bullitt are spoken frequently.

      Indianapolis wins, but does not cover IF the Saints cover a few different aspects. Look for New Orleans to use various packages that include five and six defense backs, depending on down and distance. Coach Williams will entrust the underrated Greer can at least prevent Wayne from having big game and will use a corner to cover Clark, to nullify his speed and hope he can get underneath with safety help over the top. DT Sedrick Ellis has to be dynamic to shut down Colts running game to three or less yards a pop (something the Saints have seldom done) and be the key guy in creating pressure into Manning’s face up the gut.

      A big factor will be the health of Dwight Freeney. He is Indy’s one true difference maker on defense and if he is at 50 percent or less or can’t go much beyond the second quarter, a big edge goes to Brees and offense, since they won’t need to double Freeney, putting another receiver out into the pattern or used as safety valve. The Indianapolis corners are beatable and given time, Brees could have big day passing.

      New Orleans is money line play IF they are the more physical team. That starts up front on offense and carries over to front seven on defense. The Saints can create a push with the trio of center Jonathan Goodwin and guards Jahri Evans and Carl Nicks. If this threesome starts punching holes in the Colts middle and Brackett is making tackles five yards down field, head coach Sean Payton will be smiling and working his play sheet feverishly. Pierre Thomas is punishing downhill runner and Reggie Bush has been more physical, still having big play potential. A running game leaves Brees with countless possibilities in the passing game, short and long and if head coach Jim Caldwell wants to dial up blitzes, no problem for Brees to go highly effective screen game. The Saints will not be discouraged if they fall behind, as they have had a number of come from behind victories.

      The Saints defense is maligned and justifiably so, ranking 25th during the regular season and being ripped by Minnesota for 475 yards in NFC title tilt. However, ask Brett Favre and Kurt Warner how much they enjoyed being hit by New Orleans blitzers, enough to where both will likely retire having faced them in last game ever. (OK, overstating the point but a great trivia question in future years) The beauty of a one game finale is coach Williams defense has less pressure, as what their real mission is to give up fewer points than what their team’s offense scores and who cares if Manning passes for 500 yards, as long as they win. As has been the case all year, the defense has to be opportunistic and create turnovers, likely at least three. New Orleans has forced 46 takeaways this season in 18 games and will have a few defensive wrinkles Manning has not seen and has to hope they can keep the Colts in from of them. If this plan is completed, Who Dat will mean Super Bowl champions.

      Which way does the total go? Most experts are figuring a shootout with the two premier quarterbacks this season; each is well-armed with a myriad of weapons and defenses that have as many questions as answers. Nerves and the feeling out process plays a big role in the first quarter, as 10 of the last 11 Super Bowls have seen 10 or fewer points in the opening 15 minutes, with seven of those being 3-0 or no score. Typically, once the players and coaches have made adjustments, the offenses start to sizzle. Given the circumstances and how these offenses can perform, points in the final 45 minutes should add up quickly.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Orlando out to create magic in Boston

        The Magic were playing their best basketball since late Nov/Dec. having won seven of last eight with 5-2-1 ATS record. They were obviously looking ahead to this matchup and were whacked upside the head in losing at home to wallowing Washington Friday night 92-91 as 13-point favorites. The loss to the Bullets, err Wizards was offensive problem (38.6 percent), however their defense continues to be suffocating, permitting just 90.6 points per game in this stretch. Orlando has been battling injuries; however its bench has saved them several times during this stretch.


        Point guard Jameer Nelson has been bothered by his surgically repaired knee and Mickael Pietrus has been fighting a bad ankle. Both players returned to play against Washington. Vince Carter is in the worst slump of his career, not being able to hit water if he fell out of boat in nearby Lake Eola. This has led to “Vin-sanity” grabbing some bench in the fourth quarter and sub J.J. Redick playing in the finisher role. “J.J. has played very, very well lately," said Magic coach Stan Van Gundy. "I can trust him to be in the game at any point, both offensively and defensively."

        Orlando (33-17, 23-23-4 ATS) has not nearly as effective on the road this season (14-12, 11-12-3 ATS) as their defense has not been as effective in helping out and funneling things toward Dwight Howard, allowing 97.4 points per contest. The Magic are only 2-7-1 ATS facing a club with a winning home record.

        Not much bragging going on either in the Boston locker room. The Celtics (33-16, 19-28-1 ATS) have had a number of injuries, which is a real possibility with an older, veteran team. Boston recently lost to the Magic, Atlanta and the Lakers in successive games before bouncing back to win last three contests. Since beating the Magic on Christmas Day, the Celtics are 9-11 and 6-13-1 ATS.

        What concerns coach Doc Rivers the most is what has been the most reliable part of Boston the last few years. “We haven't been able to get timely stops to end games," said coach Doc Rivers, "and if anything bothers me over the turnovers and the offensive part ... we've been able in the past to lean on our defense when we go cold offensively."

        Boston won but did not cover against New Jersey on Friday and is just 1-6 ATS off a win. After losing all of nine games, including the postseason, at home last year, the C’s are 15-8 and 6-16-1 ATS at TD Banknorth Garden this season.

        Sportsbook.com has Boston as 2.5-point favorite with total of 187.5, but they are 0-5-1 ATS of late against teams with a winning road record and 6-1 UNDER if they own a positive season mark. Orlando has a gloomy 4-9-1 ATS record in last 14 road encounters and is 9-2 UNDER on Sunday’s.

        ABC Sports has this Eastern showcase at 2:30 Eastern with the underdog on 4-0 ATS run and the total falling below the number six straight times.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Good luck
          jt4545


          Fat Tuesday's - Home

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          • #6
            GL Bum!

            Comment


            • #7
              Props:

              FIRST-HALF TOTAL
              OVER 28 (-115)
              UNDER 28 (-105) ( YES )

              WILL EITHER TEAM SCORE IN THE FIRST 5-1/2 MINUTES OF THE GAME
              YES (+105)
              NO (-135) NO

              SHORTEST TOUCHDOWN OF THE GAME
              OVER 1.5 (+125) YES
              UNDER 1.5 (-155)

              LONGEST TOUCHDOWN OF THE GAME
              OVER 49.5 (-115)
              UNDER 49.5 (-115) YES

              TOTAL TOUCHDOWNS SCORED IN THE GAME
              OVER 6.5 (-170) YES
              UNDER 6.5 (+135)

              TOTAL INTERCEPTIONS THROWN BY BOTH TEAMS
              OVER 2.5 (+170) ( YES )
              UNDER 2.5 (-220)

              SAINTS - WILL THEY EVER HAVE A 2ND HALF LEAD VS THE COLTS?
              YES (-170) ( YES )
              NO (+135)

              Peyton Manning - TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES THROWN
              OVER 2.5 (+115) ( YES )
              UNDER 2.5 (-145)

              Pierre Thomas - WILL HE SCORE A TOUCHDOWN
              YES (+130) ( YES )
              NO (-170)

              Marques Colston – WILL HE SCORE A TOUCHDOWN
              YES (+135) ( YES )
              NO (-170)

              NEW ORLEANS - ADJUSTED LINES
              -14.5 (+1200)
              -10.5 (+700)
              -7.5 (+450)
              -3.5 (+260) ( YES )
              +10.5 (-210)
              +14.5 (-380)
              +17.5 (-550)
              +21.5 (-1000)
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #8
                First-half total
                over 28 (-115)
                under 28 (-105) ( yes )[b( winner )[/b]


                will either team score in the first 5-1/2 minutes of the game
                yes (+105)
                no (-135) no ( winner )
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #9
                  NFL - 2ND HALFS Second Half Lines - Feb 07

                  2101 2H NEW ORLEANS +½

                  2102 2H INDIANAPOLIS u28
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment

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