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Tomorrow, the Titans travel to Atlanta to face the reeling Falcons. Vick won't play enough to affect the outcome and Doug Johnson is going to get the start. Before last week the Titans scored 30 in 6 straight and the Falcons, well, they just suck this year.
Here's my question............
There are 4 situations that have AT LEAST a 75.6% success rate that favors ATLANTA to cover. They are:
Play On - Home underdogs or pick (ATLANTA) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record.
(32-7 over the last 10 seasons.) (82.1%)
Play On - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ATLANTA) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season.
(32-10 over the last 10 seasons.) (76.2%)
Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ATLANTA) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 27 or more points/game, after a loss by 6 or less points.
(27-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (81.8%)
Play Against - Road favorites (TENNESSEE) - off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season.
(31-10 over the last 10 seasons.) (75.6%)
The question.....how much faith should be put into this??
I took Atlanta 2 weeks ago when they beat the Giants SU because the Giants were not playing well. I'm tempted to take Atlanta in this spot, but, my gut is telling me Tennessee CRUSHES them. What do you think??
The Ham mer
Here's my question............
There are 4 situations that have AT LEAST a 75.6% success rate that favors ATLANTA to cover. They are:
Play On - Home underdogs or pick (ATLANTA) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record.
(32-7 over the last 10 seasons.) (82.1%)
Play On - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ATLANTA) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season.
(32-10 over the last 10 seasons.) (76.2%)
Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ATLANTA) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 27 or more points/game, after a loss by 6 or less points.
(27-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (81.8%)
Play Against - Road favorites (TENNESSEE) - off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season.
(31-10 over the last 10 seasons.) (75.6%)
The question.....how much faith should be put into this??
I took Atlanta 2 weeks ago when they beat the Giants SU because the Giants were not playing well. I'm tempted to take Atlanta in this spot, but, my gut is telling me Tennessee CRUSHES them. What do you think??
The Ham mer
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