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New Year's Day Trends and Indexes, Friday 1/1 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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  • #16
    NCAAB
    Dunkel



    West Virginia at Purdue
    The Boilermakers look to take advantage of a West Virginia team that is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 non-conference games. Purdue is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Boilermakers favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-4). Here are all of today's games.

    FRIDAY, JANUARY 1

    Game 707-708: Creighton at Indiana State

    Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 58.934; Indiana State 57.783
    Dunkel Line: Creighton by 1
    Vegas Line: Pick
    Dunkel Pick: Creighton

    Game 709-710: West Virginia at Purdue
    Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 72.629; Purdue 78.570
    Dunkel Line: Purdue by 6
    Vegas Line: Purdue by 4
    Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-4)

    Game 711-712: Southern Illinois at Bradley
    Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 57.331; Bradley 61.244
    Dunkel Line: Bradley by 4
    Vegas Line: Bradley by 2 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-2 1/2)

    Game 713-714: Illinois State at Missouri State
    Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 62.455; Missouri State 65.437
    Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 3
    Vegas Line: Missouri State by 5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (+5 1/2)

    Game 715-716: Drake at Wichita State
    Dunkel Ratings: Drake 50.476; Wichita State 68.487
    Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 18
    Vegas Line: Wichita State by 14
    Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-14)

    Game 717-718: Evansville at Northern Iowa
    Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 51.968; Northern Iowa 69.865
    Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 18
    Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 16
    Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-16)

    Game 719-720: Dayton at New Mexico
    Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 64.157; New Mexico 69.569
    Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 5 1/2
    Vegas Line: New Mexico by 7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Dayton (+7 1/2)

    Comment


    • #17
      NHL
      Dunkel


      Atlanta at Buffalo
      The Sabres look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is 0-5 in its last 5 road games. Buffalo is the pick (-180) according to Dunkel, which has the Sabres favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-180). Here are all of today's picks.

      FRIDAY, JANUARY 1

      Game 1-2: Philadelphia at Boston

      Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.544; Boston 12.286
      Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 4 1/2
      Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-135); 5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Under

      Game 3-4: Atlanta at Buffalo
      Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 10.179; Buffalo 11.691
      Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
      Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-180); 6
      Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-180); Under

      Comment


      • #18
        NBA
        Long Sheet



        Friday, January 1

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        NEW YORK (12 - 20) at ATLANTA (21 - 10) - 1/1/2010, 7:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NEW YORK is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.
        ATLANTA is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games this season.
        ATLANTA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
        ATLANTA is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
        ATLANTA is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW YORK is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW YORK is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW YORK is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NEW YORK is 6-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
        ATLANTA is 6-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        ORLANDO (23 - 8) at MINNESOTA (7 - 26) - 1/1/2010, 8:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ORLANDO is 78-57 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        ORLANDO is 94-71 ATS (+15.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
        ORLANDO is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
        ORLANDO is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
        ORLANDO is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
        ORLANDO is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
        ORLANDO is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 6-24 ATS (-20.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        ORLANDO is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        SACRAMENTO (14 - 17) at LA LAKERS (25 - 6) - 1/1/2010, 10:35 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LA LAKERS is 5-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
        LA LAKERS is 7-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        Comment


        • #19
          NHL
          Long Sheet



          Friday, January 1

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          PHILADELPHIA (19-18-0-2, 40 pts.) at BOSTON (20-12-0-7, 47 pts.) - 1/1/2010, 1:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          PHILADELPHIA is 6-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          PHILADELPHIA is 6-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
          BOSTON is 38-15 ATS (+20.5 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
          BOSTON is 125-114 ATS (-53.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          BOSTON is 5-5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
          6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)

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          ATLANTA (18-17-0-4, 40 pts.) at BUFFALO (24-12-0-3, 51 pts.) - 1/1/2010, 7:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ATLANTA is 116-130 ATS (+289.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
          ATLANTA is 23-21 ATS (+52.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
          BUFFALO is 20-23 ATS (-8.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          ATLANTA is 7-2 (+7.9 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
          ATLANTA is 7-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

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          Comment


          • #20

            HAPPY NEW YEAR

            ENJOY THE WEEKEND NBA POWER TRENDS

            The NBA rings in the New Year with three Friday games, 12 Saturday games, and five Sunday games to make up the first full weekend of 2010. Things are starting to sort themselves out as expected in the league, with the projected frontrunners assuming their positions. The Lakers have control in the Western Conference and will be hosting two games this weekend, while in the East, Cleveland, Boston, and Orlando are all within striking distance of one another for the conference’s top spot. Each of those clubs play over the next three days with the Cavs & Magic in action twice. Read on as we take a look at the top games plus reveal this weekend’s Top Power Trends for you to consider in your wagering.

            On Friday, there are just three games, with Atlanta hosting New York, Orlando visiting Minnesota, and the Lakers closing out the calendar year by welcoming the Kings to L.A. The Hawks remain the league’s best spread covering team at over 70%, 22-9 ATS. They come off a disappointing loss in Cleveland in a game that went under protest due to a late shot clock problem on a key possession for them. The Knicks have been horrible against Southeast Division teams this year, going 2-7 SU & 1-8 ATS. The Magic will be in the first of a back-to-back road scenario and haven’t been out of the state of Florida since December 11th. Minnesota of course, is one of the worst home dogs in the NBA typically, but does boast an 8-7 ATS record in that scenario in ’09. The game in Los Angeles on Friday night will be the 2nd of four straight home contests for the Lakers, as they host the Kings. Sacramento nearly turned back L.A. a couple of weeks ago at home, falling in OT. They have been much better at home than on the road though, going 3-11 in their first 14 away.

            The Saturday lineup is the biggest of the weekend but there isn’t a whole lot of compelling action where playoff contenders are concerned. In fact, there figures to be large number of heavy pointspreads on the wagering card. None of those will be bigger than Cleveland at New Jersey. The Cavs have won 11 of their L12 games to take control of the Central Division. The Nets just won their third game of the entire campaign on Wednesday vs. New York. Cleveland boasts an impressive 13-6 SU & ATS mark on the road. Elsewhere, the Magic play their second road game in as many days when they take on the floundering Bulls in Chicago. The East’s top team Boston will be playing host to Toronto, as the Celtics return home for the first time following an unsuccessful West Coast road trip minus Paul Pierce. Finally, the lone game matching quality foes comes from Utah, where the Nuggets and Jazz will square off.

            On Sunday, the five NBA games are all evening affairs. San Antonio will visit Toronto for the only time this season, while Philly will be doing the same thing in Denver. The best matchup pits Dallas and the Lakers however. Though separated by 3-games in the standings at presstime, these were the top two clubs in the Western Conference. These teams have played a very competitive series in L.A. over the last three seasons, with the Lakers holding a 4-1 SU edge but Dallas having swept the five games against the spread. The Mavericks have been very effective on the road in the early going this season overall.

            Here are those Top Power Trends you’ve been waiting for. Best wishes for the New Year’s holiday!

            Friday, 1/1/2010
            (701) NEW YORK vs. (702) ATLANTA


            NEW YORK is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games vs. good offensive teams scoring 99+ PPG over the L2 seasons. The average score was NEW YORK 107.3, OPPONENT 111 - (Rating = 2*)

            (703) ORLANDO vs. (704) MINNESOTA

            ORLANDO is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) over the last 2 seasons. The average score was ORLANDO 106.6, OPPONENT 92.3 - (Rating = 2*)

            (705) SACRAMENTO vs. (706) LA LAKERS

            SACRAMENTO is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) vs. very good teams outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG over the L2 seasons. The average score was SACRAMENTO 103.3, OPPONENT 116.2 - (Rating = 1*)

            Saturday, 1/2/2010
            (511) HOUSTON vs. (512) NEW ORLEANS

            NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) vs. poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% this season. The average score was NEW ORLEANS 100.5, OPPONENT 106.3 - (Rating = 2*)

            (517) DENVER vs. (518) UTAH

            UTAH is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games vs. good teams outscoring opponents by 3+ PPG over the L3 seasons. The average score was UTAH 104.6, OPPONENT 95.4 - (Rating = 2*)

            (519) MEMPHIS vs. (520) PHOENIX

            MEMPHIS was 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) in January games over last season. The average score was MEMPHIS 88.9, OPPONENT 99.8 - (Rating = 3*)

            (521) GOLDEN STATE vs. (522) PORTLAND

            PORTLAND is 37-13 UNDER (+22.7 Units) vs. terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ PPG over the last 3 seasons. The average score was PORTLAND 99, OPPONENT 94.8 - (Rating = 3*)

            Sunday, 1/3/2010
            (703) SAN ANTONIO vs. (704) TORONTO

            TORONTO is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) vs. very good shooting teams making >=48% of their shots over the L3 seasons. The average score was TORONTO 98.5, OPPONENT 112.2 - (Rating = 2*)

            (705) CHARLOTTE vs. (706) CLEVELAND

            CLEVELAND is 15-2 UNDER (+12.8 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CLEVELAND 95.9, OPPONENT 86.4 - (Rating = 3*)

            (707) PHILADELPHIA vs. (708) DENVER

            DENVER is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home games vs. poor defensive teams allowing 99+ PPG over the last 2 seasons. The average score was DENVER 116.7, OPPONENT 102.9 - (Rating = 1*)

            Comment


            • #21
              NBA
              Short Sheet



              Friday, 1/1/2010

              NEW YORK at ATLANTA
              , 7:35 PM ET NBA
              NEW YORK: 13-4 ATS as a DD underdog
              ATLANTA: 7-0 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12

              ORLANDO at MINNESOTA, 8:05 PM ET
              ORLANDO: 21-9 UNDER after scoring 110+ points
              MINNESOTA: 10-2 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3

              SACRAMENTO at LA LAKERS, 10:35 PM ET
              SACRAMENTO: 23-10 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4
              LA LAKERS: 1-5 ATS on Friday nights

              ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

              Comment


              • #22
                NCAAB
                Short Sheet



                Friday, 1/1/2010

                CREIGHTON at INDIANA ST
                , 2:00 PM ET
                CREIGHTON: 33-16 Over as favorite
                INDIANA ST: 6-0 ATS off DD road loss

                W VIRGINIA at PURDUE, 2:30 PM ET ESPN
                W VIRGINIA: 7-0 Under if they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better last game
                PURDUE: 7-0 ATS at home off conference road win

                S ILLINOIS at BRADLEY, 8:00 PM ET
                S ILLINOIS: 2-9 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
                BRADLEY: 17-3 ATS off conference win

                ILLINOIS ST at MISSOURI ST, 8:00 PM ET
                ILLINOIS ST: 8-0 Under Away off conference win
                MISSOURI ST: 2-10 ATS off conference win

                DRAKE at WICHITA ST, 8:00 PM ET MTN
                DRAKE: 14-5 ATS as road underdog
                WICHITA ST: 2-9 ATS as home favorite

                EVANSVILLE at N IOWA, 8:00 PM ET
                EVANSVILLE: 10-0 Over on Friday nights
                N IOWA: 16-5 Over at home if the total is 129.5 or less

                DAYTON at NEW MEXICO, 9:00 PM ET MTN
                DAYTON: 30-14 Over as road underdog
                NEW MEXICO: 8-0 ATS at home off BB home games

                ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

                Comment


                • #23
                  NHL
                  Short Sheet



                  Friday, 1/1/2010

                  PHILADELPHIA at BOSTON
                  , 1:05 PM ET (Winter Classic - Played in Fenway Park) NBC
                  PHILADELPHIA: 6-12 SU playing their 4th game in 7 days
                  BOSTON: 7-0 SU at home playing with double revenge

                  ATLANTA at BUFFALO, 7:35 PM ET
                  ATLANTA: 7-2 SU vs. Buffalo
                  BUFFALO: 1-6 SU at home off home win by 1 goal

                  ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    NHL
                    Write-Up



                    Friday, January 1

                    Hot Teams
                    -- Bruins won four of their last five games. Flyers won last four games, scoring 17 goals.
                    -- Sabres won 12 of their last 18 games.

                    Cold Teams
                    -- Thrashers lost last six games, allowing 26 goals.

                    Totals
                    -- Seven of last nine Boston games stayed under the total.
                    -- Six of last eight Atlanta games went over the total.

                    Playing second of back-to-back nights
                    -- None

                    Series Records
                    -- Flyers won four of last five games against Boston.
                    -- Thrashers won their last five games against Buffalo.

                    Boston-Philly game is being played in Fenway Park, outdoors.

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      NCAAB
                      Write-up



                      Friday, January 1

                      Information on Friday's college hoop games........

                      Creighton won seven of last eight games vs Indiana State, but are 3-3 in last six visits here; Bluejays are just 5-7 this year, 0-3 on road, losing by 10 at Dayton, 3 at George Mason, 5 at New Mexico (led by 12 at half). Indiana State is 6-3, 3-1 at home- they lost MVC opener at SIU by 18. Sycamores already played five games decided by six or less points.

                      West Virginia-Purdue matches two unbeaten teams. WV struggled in last four games, winning league games vs Seton Hall, Marquette in last two games. Purdue won Big 11 opener 67-56 at Iowa Tuesday (trailed by 1 at half); they're 6-3 vs spread as a favorite, 3-2 at home. Big East road underdogs are 18-7 vs spread. Big 11 home favorites are 22-13.

                      Southern Illinois won seven of last ten games vs Bradley, but lost three of last four in Peoria; favorites covered four of last five in series. Salukis won last five games overall; they're 1-2 in true road games, winning by 21 at SE Missouri, losing at UNLV/Saint Louis. Bradley lost three of its last four games, is 5-5, 1-3 vs spread when favored.

                      Illinois State won last five games vs Missouri State, winning last two in this gym by combined total of three points, but host Bears are 11-1 this year, 3-2 vs spread as a home favorite- this is first home date in 23 days for Mo State. Redbirds are 10-2, losing by 18 at Ohio, 8 to Niagara; they won MVC opener by 15 over Wichita State Tuesday.

                      Drake won three of last four games vs Wichita State, but lost four of last five visits here, with losses by 11-5-23-16 points (Drake 4-2 vs spread in last six visits here). Bulldogs are 2-8 this year, losing last four games by 2-4-3-8 points; they're 4-1-1 vs spread as an underdog. Shockers had nine-game win streak snapped in MVC opener, losing by 15 at Ill. State.

                      Northern Iowa won last nine games vs Evansville, winning last six here by 13-18-3-11-13-7 points (4-2 vs spread); Panthers won last eight in a row; they're 3-1 as home favorites, winning at home by 7-17-17-18 pts. Evansville is 5-5, 1-3 on road, losing by 24 at Miami OH, 6 at WKU, 3 at Austin Peay (2-1 as road underdog).

                      New Mexico is 13-1, 7-1 vs spread as home favorite; their only loss was by 9 at Oral Roberts. Dayton won its last eight games; they're 2-0 in its true road games, winning by 7 at Miami OH, 1 at George Mason; their two losses came in only two games they were underdogs in, on neutral courts by 6 to Villanova, 8 to K-State. MWC home favorites are 24-16 vs spread in non-league games. Atlantic 14 road underdogs are 18-29.

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        NBA
                        Write-up



                        Friday, January 1

                        Hot Teams
                        -- Magic won six of its last eight games. Minnesota covered three of its last four games.

                        Cold Teams
                        -- Hawks lost three of last four games, dropping two in row to Cavs. Knicks lost three of their last four games.
                        -- Kings lost three of their last four games. Lakers split last four games, are 0-4 vs spread in last four at home.

                        Totals
                        -- Six of last nine Atlanta games went over the total; nine of last 11 New York games stayed under.
                        --Three of last four Minnesota games went over the total.
                        -- Four of last five Laker games went over the total.

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        Comment

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