I'm on Idaho and it's my biggest bowl play

[TruckeeT]

To keep it simple: Idaho can run the ball, and Bowling Green simply doesn't. Bowling Green gains 81 yards per game rushing (against mostly very weak opponents) and surrenders almost 200 yards/game on defense, but how many one-dimensional offenses have been able to dominate bowls? Three weeks to prepare to cover one single WR should be a huge advantage to Idaho.

A bigger advantage to Idaho is the weather, as snow flurries are expected right around kickoff. A foggy, snowblown game always favors the team that can move the ball on the ground, and BG has been outrushed in 10 out of 12 games this season (one of those was against Troy, when BG rushed for 50 yards, Troy for 42.)

The biggest advantage is that Idaho has essentially a home game, in front of fans that haven't seen their squad in a bowl in more than a decade. BG finished 4th in a conference in which they were as mediocre as possible. Idaho was also middle of the pack, but against Nevada, Fresno, and Boise, that is a much more respectable position.

If the snow blows, and Barnes get double-teamed effectively, I think Bowling Green gets blown out here.

Good luck.

[tech fan]

gl buddy on the other side but think alot of points will be scored

[robby_morini]

Thanks Truckee T, nice write up. Good luck

[libertypl]

On em as well, BOL to ya Truckee.

[Spark]

Good Luck T

[Chado1]

GL with Idaho tonight T!!!

[savage1]

I played the over only but wish you the best with Idaho.
That being said, from what I have seen so far, Idaho has to have one of the worst defenses(and I used the term loosely) I have ever seen in a college football team.

[TruckeeT]

OK, it may not snow white clouds, and it may not be a blowout.

But, you know what?? That does not make this celebration beer taste less sweet. Party all night you Vandals.

[Tnbreakers]

Good Call! What big ones to go for 2!!! Love it!

[MarkLemke]

what a great game!!!

[TruckeeT]

Truly one of the great bowl games you'll ever see. Dammit, I love it when the plan does not come together, but the man at the window counts 'em out for me anyway.

[robby_morini]

Truly one of the great bowl games you'll ever see. Dammit, I love it when the plan does not come together, but the man at the window counts 'em out for me anyway.

Good job Truckee. You still big on over Houston/AF tomorrow?

[TruckeeT]

Hey Robby. Thanks. Yes, I am still big on the OVER in Hou/AF. I got it early and it's gone up a little, but I think that Air Force's numbers against the pass are ridiculously inflated, and this is the prime reason that this game came in some 10 points below other games in which a shootout was expected. Playing tough pass defense against Nicholls State, Army, Colorado State, and UNLV is meaningless when it comes to matching up against the Houston offense.

I expect Houston to set the pace in this game, and that pace should be up and down the field. I think Air Force has a strong enough run game to score some points, but the only time they have seen a passing force anything like Houston was against BYU, who passed for 377 yards against them.

More in the morning if i get a chance.

Good luck.