Thursday Trends and Indexes 12/17 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[pm530]

NOTE:
For the initial posting of trends and indexes, we have provided information available up to the time of posting.
Added updates for today’s games will be posted ASAP.
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[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel


Auburn at Florida State
The Tigers look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games as a road underdog between 7 and 12 1/2 points. Auburn is the pick (+10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Seminoles favored by only 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+10 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 17

Game 707-708: Auburn at Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 61.015; Florida State 70.594
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida State by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+10 1/2)

Game 709-710: New Orleans at Troy
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 44.942; Troy 56.949
Dunkel Line: Troy by 12
Vegas Line: Troy by 13
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+13)

Game 711-712: Florida International at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 42.376; Denver 57.110
Dunkel Line: Denver by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Denver by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+16 1/2)

Game 713-714: UC Davis at Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 45.418; Fresno State 60.129
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-12 1/2)

Game 715-716: Elon at NC State
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 44.764; NC State 66.549
Dunkel Line: NC State by 22
Vegas Line: NC State by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC State (-20 1/2)

Game 717-718: Georgia Southern at Evansville
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 40.652; Evansville 55.112
Dunkel Line: Evansville by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Evansville by 9
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (-9)

Game 719-720: Weber State at UNLV
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 52.612; UNLV 69.244
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: UNLV by 14
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-14)

Game 721-722: Eastern Washington at Nevada
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 46.421; Nevada 63.218
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 17
Vegas Line: Nevada by 18 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+18 1/2)

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


Los Angeles at Calgary
The Kings look to build on their 6-2 record in their last 8 road games. Los Angeles is the pick (+160) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+160). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 17

Game 51-52: Dallas at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.910; Atlanta 10.793
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta (-130); 6
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+120); Under

Game 53-54: Phoenix at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.604; Columbus 11.703
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (-150); Under

Game 55-56: Minnesota at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 12.026; Montreal 11.906
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-110); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+100); Over

Game 57-58: NY Rangers at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 10.010; NY Islanders 10.251
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (-110); Under
Game 59-60: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia

Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.224; Philadelphia 11.528
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-110); 6
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+100); Over

Game 61-62: Tampa Bay at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.314; Detroit 11.781
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-200); Under

Game 63-64: Nashville at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.892; Edmonton 11.742
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+110); Over

Game 65-66: Los Angeles at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.195; Calgary 11.504
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+160); Under

Game 67-68: Anaheim at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.847; San Jose 12.297
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-215); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-215); Under

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


Phoenix at Portland
The Suns look to take advantage of a Portland team that is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games as a favorite. Phoenix is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Suns favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 17

Game 701-702: New York at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: New York 118.205; Chicago 112.131
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 6; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3; 199
Dunkel Pick: New York (+3); Over

Game 703-704: Orlando at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 121.379; Miami 120.234
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 1; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 4; 201
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+4); Over

Game 705-706: Phoenix at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 121.015; Portland 119.636
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 2 1/2; 201
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+2 1/2); Under

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet


Thursday, December 17

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DALLAS (14-9-0-10, 38 pts.) at ATLANTA (17-12-0-3, 37 pts.) - 12/17/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 42-20 ATS (+19.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 25-17 ATS (+6.6 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 138-79 ATS (+36.0 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 53-44 ATS (+105.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 19-12 ATS (+33.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 1-0-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)




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PHOENIX (20-12-0-2, 42 pts.) at COLUMBUS (14-14-0-6, 34 pts.) - 12/17/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 86-77 ATS (+183.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
PHOENIX is 20-14 ATS (+35.2 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 20-14 ATS (+35.2 Units) first half of the season this season.
PHOENIX is 153-129 ATS (+22.0 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 1-7 ATS (-9.2 Units) in December games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-4 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-4-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.8 Units)




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MINNESOTA (16-14-0-3, 35 pts.) at MONTREAL (15-17-0-3, 33 pts.) - 12/17/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 80-59 ATS (+17.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MONTREAL is 56-65 ATS (-29.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 1-0-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.2 Units)




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NY RANGERS (14-16-0-3, 31 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (13-15-0-6, 32 pts.) - 12/17/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 26-36 ATS (-19.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 86-131 ATS (+251.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 8-8 (+5.9 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 8-8-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.5 Units)




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PITTSBURGH (23-10-0-1, 47 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (15-16-0-1, 31 pts.) - 12/17/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-54 ATS (-59.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 57-62 ATS (-49.6 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-12 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 17-10 (+5.2 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 17-10-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
16 of 25 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.4 Units)




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TAMPA BAY (11-13-0-9, 31 pts.) at DETROIT (17-11-0-5, 39 pts.) - 12/17/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 35-78 ATS (+131.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 60-132 ATS (+239.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 21-46 ATS (+70.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 1-9 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
TAMPA BAY is 9-30 ATS (+54.4 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 19-47 ATS (+84.4 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 15-32 ATS (+48.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 5-25 ATS (+47.0 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 14-40 ATS (+73.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 8-27 ATS (+43.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-0-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)




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NASHVILLE (20-11-0-3, 43 pts.) at EDMONTON (15-14-0-4, 34 pts.) - 12/17/2009, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 19-14 ATS (+34.6 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 19-14 ATS (+34.6 Units) first half of the season this season.
NASHVILLE is 32-23 ATS (+57.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 7-2 (+5.2 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 7-2-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.2 Units)




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LOS ANGELES (22-11-0-3, 47 pts.) at CALGARY (19-10-0-4, 42 pts.) - 12/17/2009, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 22-14 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 12-5 ATS (+17.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
LOS ANGELES is 22-14 ATS (+7.8 Units) first half of the season this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 8-2 (+5.7 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 8-2-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.4 Units)




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ANAHEIM (13-14-0-6, 32 pts.) at SAN JOSE (19-8-0-7, 45 pts.) - 12/17/2009, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 50-60 ATS (-24.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 1-5 ATS (-8.5 Units) in December games this season.
SAN JOSE is 8-12 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 18-21 ATS (-25.2 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 36-38 ATS (-28.6 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 129-100 ATS (-29.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 12-14 ATS (-23.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 11-11 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 11-11-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
13 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+8.1 Units)




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[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Thursday, 12/17/2009

NEW YORK at CHICAGO, 8:05 PM ET
NEW YORK: 17-6 ATS Away off ATS loss
CHICAGO: 2-10 ATS off SU loss

ORLANDO at MIAMI, 8:05 PM ET TNT
ORLANDO: 53-27 ATS playing with revenge
MIAMI: 44-23 Under off home win by 20+ pts

PHOENIX at PORTLAND, 10:35 PM ET TNT
PHOENIX: 21-9 Over off double-digit win
PORTLAND: 32-15 ATS at home off ATS win

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


Thursday, 12/17/2009

DALLAS at ATLANTA, 7:00 PM ET
DALLAS: 8-2 SU off a road loss
ATLANTA: 1-10 SU against Dallas

PHOENIX at COLUMBUS, 7:00 PM ET
PHOENIX: 11-5 SU after playing a road game
COLUMBUS: 4-12 SU after playing a road game

MINNESOTA at MONTREAL, 7:00 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 9-4 SU after playing a home game
MONTREAL: 6-16 SU when playing 6+ games in 10 days

NY RANGERS at NY ISLANDERS, 7:00 PM ET
NY RANGERS: 6-12 SU after 1+ consecutive unders
NY ISLANDERS: 6-1 SU at home after 1+ consecutive unders

PITTSBURGH at PHILADELPHIA, 7:00 PM ET
PITTSBURGH: 105-48 SU as a favorite
PHILADELPHIA: 1-7 SU when playing their 3rd game in 4 days

TAMPA BAY at DETROIT, 7:30 PM ET
TAMPA BAY: 1-9 SU after a non-conference game
DETROIT: 121-55 SU as a home favorite of -200 or less

NASHVILLE at EDMONTON, 9:30 PM ET
NASHVILLE: 5-10 SU after BB wins by 2+ goals
EDMONTON: 5-1 SU in December

LOS ANGELES at CALGARY, 9:30 PM ET
LOS ANGELES: 12-5 SU AWAY when the total is 5.5
CALGARY: 20-31 SU when playing their 4th game in 7 days

ANAHEIM at SAN JOSE, 10:30 PM ET
ANAHEIM: 24-17 SU revenging a same season loss
SAN JOSE: 1-5 SU in December

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Thursday, 12/17/2009

AUBURN at FLORIDA ST, 7:00 PM ET
AUBURN: 9-2 UNDER off an Over
FLORIDA ST: 6-0 UNDER at home after BB wins

NEW ORLEANS at TROY, 8:00 PM ET
NEW ORLEANS: 19-7 ATS AWAY when the total is 130 to 139.5
TROY: 17-4 OVER after a non-conference game

FLA INTERNATIONAL at DENVER, 9:00 PM ET
FLA INTERNATIONAL: 36-63 ATS after a non-conference game
DENVER: 6-0 ATS at home after BB Overs

CAL DAVIS at FRESNO ST, 10:00 PM ET
CAL DAVIS: 8-1 ATS after BB losses
FRESNO ST: 8-21 ATS at home

Added Games

ELON at NC STATE, 7:00 PM ET
ELON: 1-7 ATS as an underdog
NC STATE: 11-3 ATS off a home win

GA SOUTHERN at EVANSVILLE, 8:00 PM ET
GA SOUTHERN: 1-8 ATS off a home loss
EVANSVILLE: 30-14 ATS at home after a non-conference game

WEBER ST at UNLV, 10:00 PM ET
WEBER ST: 17-6 ATS as a road underdog
UNLV: 3-11 ATS after an Under

E WASHINGTON at NEVADA, 10:00 PM ET
E WASHINGTON: 15-6 UNDER in non-conference games
NEVADA: 5-13 ATS as a home favorite or pick

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NBA


Thursday, December 17

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Tips and Trends
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Orlando Magic at Miami Heat [TNT | 8:00 PM ET]

Magic (-4, O/U 201): This is a revenge game for Orlando, as they lost 98-99 at home to the Heat as -9.5 favorites earlier this season. The Magic have only lost at home twice all season long, so no doubt they will be looking to return the favor tonight. Orlando is 19-6 SU on the season, which is the 3rd best record in the entire NBA. The Magic are also 10-4 SU on the road, with only the Celtics having a better road record in the league. Orlando is 8-6 ATS on the road this season, including 6-5 ATS as a road favorite. With the Magic finally getting healthy, this offense has started to take flight. Orlando has scored 100 PTS or more in 8 of their past 9 games. G Vince Carter leads 5 Magic players averaging double digits in PTS, scoring 19.5 PPG himself. The Magic score the 9th most points in the NBA, at 103 PPG. Orlando is 3-2 both SU and ATS on the back end of back to back games this season.

Magic is 8-2 ATS last 10 vs. NBA Southeast.
Over is 4-0 last 4 vs. a team with a winning SU record.

Key Injuries - G Mickael Pietrus (illness) is questionable.
G Jameer Nelson (knee) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 101 (UNDER - Total of the Day)

Heat: Miami is simply average this season, as they are 12-11 SU including a home record of 7-7 SU. Miami is 11-12 ATS this season, including 5-9 ATS at home. The Heat have played 3 games as a home underdog, going 1-2 both SU and ATS in this specific situation. The Heat have lost 4 of their past 5 games at home SU coming into tonights matchup with the Magic. G Dwyane Wade leads a group of 4 Heat players averaging double digits in scoring this season. Wade is 6th in the NBA in scoring at 26.7 PPG. F Michael Beasley is averaging 15.6 PPG, and is coming off arguably his best game as a pro in his last game. Beasley has scored 20 PTS or more in 7 games this season. Despite the scoring of this duo, the Heat are only averaging 97.8 PPG which is the 10th fewest points in the NBA. Defensively, the Heat have allowed 6 of their past 7 opponents to score 100 PTS or more against them.

Miami is 1-8 ATS last 9 home games.
Over is 5-0 last 5 overall.

Key Injuriews - G Quentin Richardson (hamstring) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 94


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[Udog]

Len's Top 5

Happy Thursday everyone, here's my Top 5 for December 17, 2009, from Len Berman.

1. Quick Hits

Tiger Woods is selected "Athlete of the Decade" by U.S. sports editors. The ballots have yet to be counted for "Husband of the Year."

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Chris Henry was seriously injured when he fell off the back of a pickup truck during a domestic dispute with his fiancee in Charlotte.

Thursday night football. The 13-0 Indianapolis Colts visit Jacksonville tonight.

Ho hum. Kobe Bryant, broken finger and all, hits a jumper at the buzzer to beat Milwaukee in overtime 107-106.

2. Words of Encouragement

Ron Artest of the Lakers has posted an open letter on his web site for Tiger Woods to "keep his chin up." Artest feels the media has been unfair to Tiger and that Woods is a "perfect role model." Of course this comes from a guy who admittedly fathered a child with another woman, while having two kids with his girlfriend (later his wife.) Artest is also the player who went into the stands to fight with fans in Detroit. He also fessed up to drinking booze at halftime of games in Chicago. I think Artest is the perfect individual to be writing an advice column, don't you?

3. Rules of Engagement

My thoughts yesterday about speeding up baseball games certainly got your juices flowing.
D.A. wrote that they should shorten the time between half innings. That would also cut down on the "inane scoreboard games and distractions."
V.I. says "every pitcher should be required to watch a video of Whitey Ford once a year."
But J.M. makes an interesting point: " If you make players step out of the batter's box, how would they rip open their batting gloves 15 times, spit 12 times or grab their crotches 16 times?
And not everyone is in favor of quicker games. J.R. writes: "For what we pay for Yankees tickets, I want the game to last as long as it can. I don't hear anyone saying they should speed up golf."

4. The "Nays of Texas" are Upon You

Some college professors at the University of Texas think that football coach Mack Brown makes too much money. In this era of belt tightening, the Texas Faculty Council passed an unofficial resolution calling Brown's 5-million dollar pay package "unseemly and inappropriate." The flip side is all the money that the Texas football program brings to the school. Lets hope that some of that cash finds its way into academia.

5. Out to Sea

The Persian Gulf has been ruled out as a potential site to hold the America's Cup race. The Persian Gulf? Why not off North Korea? Better yet Somalia. I think having moving targets would make this race infinitely more interesting.

Happy Birthday: The golfer who lost to Tiger Woods in a playoff at the 2008 U.S. Open, Rocco Mediate. 47.
Bonus Birthday: Penthouse founder Bob Guccione. 79.

Today in Sports: Going, going, gone! The Yankees fire one of my heroes, announcer Mel Allen. 1964.
Bonus Event: "But I'm only going one way officer." The NYC traffic department creates the first one-way street. 1791.

I'll be on the Hannity Show tonight on Fox News Channel at 9pm Eastern.