Thursday Trends and Indexes 12/10 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[pm530]

NOTE:
For the initial posting of trends and indexes, we have provided information available up to the time of posting.
Added updates for today’s games will be posted ASAP.
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[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel


Syracuse vs. Florida
The Orange are coming off a 101-55 win over Maine and look to build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games following a SU win by more than 20 points. Syracuse is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Orange favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 10

Game 507-508: DePaul vs. Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 56.966; Mississippi State 70.442
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-10 1/2)

Game 509-510: Northeastern at Rhode Island
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 57.072; Rhode Island 62.758
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Rhode Island by 7
Dunkel Pick: Northeastern (+7)

Game 511-512: Miami (OH) at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 51.526; Cincinnati 69.842
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-14 1/2)

Game 513-514: Syracuse vs. Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 78.722; Florida 72.770
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 6
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-2)

Game 515-516: Colorado at Colorado State
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 57.829; Colorado State 55.329
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado by 2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-2)

Game 517-518: Montana at Loyola Marymount
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 58.917; Loyola Marymount 54.500
Dunkel Line: Montana by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Montana

Game 519-520: Oakland at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 54.357; Michigan State 75.291
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 21
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 22
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+22)

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


Boston at Washington
The Celtics look to take advantage of a Washington team that is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games as an underdog. Boston is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by 11 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 10

Game 501-502: Denver at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 122.562; Detroit 113.023
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 9 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 503-504: Boston at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 125.112; Washington 113.484
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 11 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 7 1/2; 193
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-7 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Orlando at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 124.576; Utah 118.844
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 5 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 3; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-3); Over

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


Phoenix at Los Angeles
The Coyotes are coming off a 2-0 win over Minnesota and look to build on their 5-0 record in their last 5 games after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Phoenix is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Coyotes favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 10

Game 1-2: Ottawa at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 10.703; Philadelphia 10.669
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+160); Under

Game 3-4: Toronto at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.438; Boston 11.904
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-175); 6
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-175); Under

Game 5-6: Pittsburgh at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.376; Montreal 11.681
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+145); Over

Game 7-8: Columbus at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.153; Nashville 11.658
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-160); Under

Game 9-10: Atlanta at Vancouver
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.430; Vancouver 11.366
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-210); 6
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+180); Under

Game 11-12: Phoenix at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 12.336; Los Angeles 12.173
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+120); Under

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet


Thursday, December 10

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DENVER (16 - 6) at DETROIT (9 - 12) - 12/10/2009, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (17 - 4) at WASHINGTON (7 - 12) - 12/10/2009, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 126-97 ATS (+19.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 64-45 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) first half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 105-141 ATS (-50.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (17 - 4) at UTAH (12 - 9) - 12/10/2009, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 61-39 ATS (+18.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 75-52 ATS (+17.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 91-66 ATS (+18.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
ORLANDO is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

NBA
Short Sheet


Thursday, December 10

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DENVER at DETROIT, 7:35 PM ET
DENVER: 1-5 ATS off BB road games
DETROIT: 17-7 ATS vs. Denver

BOSTON at WASHINGTON, 8:05 PM ET TNT
BOSTON: 96-68 ATS off SU win
WASHINGTON: 1-10 ATS if underdog last game

ORLANDO at UTAH, 10:35 PM ET TNT
ORLANDO: 17-3 ATS Away off non-conference
UTAH: 7-18 ATS playing on back-to-back days

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[pm530]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Thursday, December 10

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MISSISSIPPI ST vs. at DEPAUL, 6:30 PM ET (Played at St. Pete Times Forum (Tampa, FL)) ESPN2
MISSISSIPPI ST: 36-17 Under Away off BB SU wins
DEPAUL: 32-14 Under off road loss

NORTHEASTERN at RHODE ISLAND, 7:00 PM ET
NORTHEASTERN: 5-14 ATS off road loss
RHODE ISLAND: 6-0 ATS off BB home wins

MIAMI OHIO at CINCINNATI, 8:30 PM ET ESPN2
MIAMI OHIO: 18-7 ATS as a DD road underdog
CINCINNATI: 9-2 Under after allowing 60 points or less

SYRACUSE vs. at FLORIDA, 9:00 PM ET (Played at St. Pete Times Forum (Tampa, FL)) ESPN
SYRACUSE: 49-29 ATS on neutral court
FLORIDA: 12-3 Under off BB ATS wins

COLORADO at COLORADO ST, 9:30 PM ET MTN
COLORADO: 0-6 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games
COLORADO ST: 20-7 Over after allowing 60 points or less

Added Game

MONTANA at LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT, 10:00 PM ET
MONTANA: 9-0 Over off conference loss as home favorite
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT: 6-18 ATS off road loss

Extra Game

OAKLAND at MICHIGAN ST, 7:00 PM ET Big 10
OAKLAND: 4-0 ATS this season
MICHIGAN ST: 9-19 ATS as DD favorite

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[pm530]

NHL
Short Sheet


Thursday, December 10

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OTTAWA at PHILADELPHIA, 7:05 PM ET
OTTAWA: 6-1 SU revenging a road loss
PHILADELPHIA: 4-9 SU when playing their 3rd game in 5 days

TORONTO at BOSTON, 7:05 PM ET
TORONTO: 6-24 SU after scoring 3+ goals in 2 straight
BOSTON: 12-1 SU at home off a home division win

PITTSBURGH at MONTREAL, 7:35 PM ET
PITTSBURGH: 21-8 SU when playing with 2 days rest
MONTREAL: 60-76 SU at home after 2+ consecutive unders

COLUMBUS at NASHVILLE, 8:05 PM ET
COLUMBUS: 1-3 SU AWAY off a home win by 2+ goals
NASHVILLE: 7-3 SU when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days

ATLANTA at VANCOUVER, 10:05 PM ET
ATLANTA: 11-6 SU after scoring 1 goal or less
VANCOUVER: 4-5 SU off a road loss

PHOENIX at LOS ANGELES, 10:35 PM ET
PHOENIX: 10-5 SU revenging a loss
LOS ANGELES: 20-32 SU as a home favorite of -200 or less

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[pm530]

NBA


Thursday, December 10

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Tips and Trends
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Boston Celtics at Washington Wizards [TNT | 8:00 PM ET]

Celtics (-7.5, O/U 193): Boston has won 8 straight games to make them 17-4 SU on the season, tied for the 2nd best record in the NBA. The Celtics are 9-1 SU away from home this year. They are also 6-4 ATS on the road this year, including winners of 4 straight. Boston is 4-1 ATS this year when favored by single digits on the road. Boston has all 5 starters averaging double digits, led by F Paul Pierce at 18.4 PPG. Kevin Garnett, Kendrick Perkins, and Rajon Rondo average double figures in points while shooting better than 50% from the field. It's no surprise then that the Celtics lead the NBA in shooting percentage at 49.8%, while averaging exactly 100 PPG. The Celtics also lead the NBA in points allowed, allowing only 90.5 PPG. 14 of the 21 opponents the Celtics have faced have scored 90 PTS or fewer.

Celtics are 4-0 ATS last 4 road games.
Under is 8-1 last 9 vs. NBA Southeast.

Key Injuries - F Glen Davis (thumb) is out.
G Marquis Daniels (wrist) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 97 (UNDER - Total of the Day)

Wizards: Washington is 7-12 SU, and 5-14 ATS on the season. Washington has really struggled at home as they are only 2-7 ATS. As poorly as they've played, this will be only the 3rd time all season the Wizards will be a home underdog. They are 1-1 ATS in this home underdog role. Washington finally has a healthy compliment of players, and that's led to this offense getting on track as they've scored 100 points or more in 3 of their past 4 games. Both G Gilbert Arenas and F Antawn Jamison average more than 20 PPG for Washington. 5 other players average 9 PPG or more for the Wizards. The Wizards play uninspiring defense at home, as they've allowed 6 teams to score 100 PTS or more against them. Washington is 1-8 in games they've trailed at the end of the first quarter.

Wizards are 3-8 ATS last 11 games as an underdog.
Under is 7-0 last 7 games as an underdog of 5 to 10.5 points.

Key Injuries - G Mike Miller (calf) is out.
G Mike James (hand) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 86

NOTE: The “Side of the Day” is in the NFL
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[pm530]

Len’s Top Five

Thursday, December 10

Len's Top 5

Happy Thursday everyone, here's my Top 5 for December 10, 2009, from Len Berman.

1. Quick Hits

Pitcher Andy Pettitte reups with the Yankees. 1 year, $11.75-million.

Word is the Red Sox are trading third baseman Mike Lowell to Texas.

Talk about longevity. The Philadelphia Eagles have signed Coach Andy Reid to a 3 year extension. At the end of the contract in 2013 he will have coached the Eagles for 15 seasons.

Forbes Magazine tabs the Los Angeles Lakers as the most valuable NBA team at $607-million.

California Congressman Joe Baca says forget about that legislation that he proposed to honor Tiger Woods with a Congressional Gold Medal. Good call Joe.

Patriots quarterback Tom Brady and his wife, model Gisele Bundchen, are the proud parents of a baby boy.

2. Damn Yankees

So the Yankees pick up an all star center fielder and Yankee haters the world over just roll their eyes. And the Yankees didn't even use their checkbook to just outright buy somebody. They did what other teams do. They "built up" their youngsters, talking up how much a part of the future they are. And when other teams bit, they pounced on a trade.
The truth is, with the gap so huge between the haves and the have nots in baseball, the Yankees are widening the gulf between the haves and the haves!

3. A Piece of the Action

So with all the talk about Tiger Woods' sponsors, bimbos, and future playing ability, what's in it for you and me? Well step right up and buy your Tiger Woods memorabilia. A collectible expert named Daryle Lambert told CNBC's Darren Rovell that "Tiger's stuff is only going to increase in value." What stuff? I guess he's talking about signed pictures, golf flags and other pieces of golf equipment. But in this "TMZ/tabloid" world, what will his driver's license go for? Old hotel room pass keys?

4. Crime and Punishment

Lets get this straight. You put on a sombrero and a poncho after you score a touchdown, as Chad Ochocinco of Cincinnati did, and it costs you a $30-thousand fine from the NFL. The same weekend you take a cheap shot at an opponent which could threaten his career, as Flozell Adams of Dallas did, and it costs you $50-thousand. This outrages subscriber Micah T. He writes that it's a terrible example for kids. "Do whatever you want, then just pay us $50,000 and all your troubles will go away."
Maybe a suspension here or there would be good, then in the skewed world of NFL fines, violence wouldn't be worth just $20-thousand more than clothing violations.

5. I've Got a Horse Right Here

Under the heading of ya' can't make this stuff up, there was a horse entered in the 6th race last Friday at Hollywood Park named Driveliketiger. But before the race the horse got scratched. There was no word on his exact injuries, and he wasn't talking. And no mares wielding golf clubs were seen in the vicinity.
And talk about comebacks. Driveliketiger finished in the money in the 2nd race yesterday. He placed third paying $2.60.

Happy Birthday: New York Jets lineman D'Brickashaw Ferguson. (Is there anyone else out there named D'Brickashaw?) 26.
Bonus Birthday: Everybody's favorite hairdo. The ex-Governor, Rod Blagojevich of Illinois. 53.

Today in Sports: New pitchers can no longer spitballs in the National League. Veterans, feel free to load 'em up. 1919.
Bonus Event: Bunny time! Hugh Hefner publishes the first Playboy Magazine, with Marilyn Monroe on the cover. 1953.

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