NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (12/10 - 12/14)

[Udog]

NFL Trends and Indexes

Thursday, December 10 – Monday, December 14

Additional trends and information will be added as available.

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

NFL
Long Sheet


Week 14

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Thursday, December 10

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PITTSBURGH (6 - 6) at CLEVELAND (1 - 11) - 12/10/2009, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
PITTSBURGH is 80-51 ATS (+23.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 5-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, December 13

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DENVER (8 - 4) at INDIANAPOLIS (12 - 0) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (9 - 3) at MINNESOTA (10 - 2) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY JETS (6 - 6) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 11) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (4 - 8) at KANSAS CITY (3 - 9) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (7 - 4) at CHICAGO (5 - 7) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (12 - 0) at ATLANTA (6 - 6) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (2 - 10) at BALTIMORE (6 - 5) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIAMI (6 - 6) at JACKSONVILLE (7 - 5) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival since 1992.
MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAROLINA (5 - 7) at NEW ENGLAND (7 - 5) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SEATTLE (5 - 7) at HOUSTON (5 - 7) - 12/13/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
SEATTLE is 46-71 ATS (-32.1 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 18-37 ATS (-22.7 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
HOUSTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
SEATTLE is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ST LOUIS (1 - 11) at TENNESSEE (5 - 7) - 12/13/2009, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 104-136 ATS (-45.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 104-136 ATS (-45.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 48-70 ATS (-29.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WASHINGTON (3 - 9) at OAKLAND (4 - 8) - 12/13/2009, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 45-75 ATS (-37.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 27-54 ATS (-32.4 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
OAKLAND is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points since 1992.
OAKLAND is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 11-30 ATS (-22.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 18-38 ATS (-23.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN DIEGO (9 - 3) at DALLAS (8 - 4) - 12/13/2009, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PHILADELPHIA (8 - 4) at NY GIANTS (7 - 5) - 12/13/2009, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 3-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, December 14

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ARIZONA (8 - 4) at SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 7) - 12/14/2009, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing on Monday night since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NFL
Short Sheet


Week 14

Thursday, 12/10/2009

PITTSBURGH at CLEVELAND, 8:20 PM ET NFL
PITTSBURGH: 80-51 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
CLEVELAND: 6-1 Under last 4wks of the regular season



Sunday, 12/13/2009

DENVER at INDIANAPOLIS, 1:00 PM ET
DENVER: 1-9 ATS after scoring 30+ points
INDIANAPOLIS: 20-7 ATS off BB covers as favorite

CINCINNATI at MINNESOTA, 1:00 PM ET
CINCINNATI: 6-0 ATS as an underdog
MINNESOTA: 16-32 ATS off SU loss as favorite

NY JETS at TAMPA BAY, 1:00 PM ET
NY JETS: 3-0 ATS vs. Tampa Bay
TAMPA BAY: 0-7 ATS off BB Unders

BUFFALO at KANSAS CITY, 1:00 PM ET
BUFFALO: 5-1 Under at Kansas City
KANSAS CITY: 6-15 ATS in home games

GREEN BAY at CHICAGO, 1:00 PM ET
GREEN BAY: 23-10 Over vs. conference
CHICAGO: 2-7 ATS vs. conference

NEW ORLEANS at ATLANTA, 1:00 PM ET
NEW ORLEANS: 9-1 Over in December
ATLANTA: 25-10 Over after scoring 9 points or less

DETROIT at BALTIMORE, 1:00 PM ET
DETROIT: 10-1 Over vs. AFC
BALTIMORE: n/a

MIAMI at JACKSONVILLE, 1:00 PM ET
MIAMI: 8-1 ATS Away off SU win
JACKSONVILLE: 0-9 ATS as home favorite

CAROLINA at NEW ENGLAND, 1:00 PM ET
CAROLINA: 9-0 Over after allowing 450+ total yards
NEW ENGLAND: 7-0 Under off BB road losses

SEATTLE at HOUSTON, 1:00 PM ET
SEATTLE: 0-6 ATS as an underdog
HOUSTON: 6-0 ATS in home December games

ST LOUIS at TENNESSEE, 4:05 PM ET
ST LOUIS: 1-9 ATS off road loss
TENNESSEE: 32-14 ATS vs. NFC

WASHINGTON at OAKLAND, 4:05 PM ET
WASHINGTON: 18-9 Under in all games
OAKLAND: 0-6 ATS vs. team with losing record

SAN DIEGO at DALLAS, 4:15 PM ET
SAN DIEGO: 11-0 ATS Away if 50+ pts were scored BB games
DALLAS: 1-8 ATS in December

PHILADELPHIA at NY GIANTS, 8:20 PM ET NBC
PHILADELPHIA: 11-3 Under after scoring 30+ points
NY GIANTS: 22-8 ATS off SU dog win over division rival



Monday, 12/14/2009

ARIZONA at SAN FRANCISCO, 8:35 PM ET ESPN
ARIZONA: 8-2 Over off SU dog win
SAN FRANCISCO: 21-9 ATS on Monday night

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NFL


Week 14

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Trend Report
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Thursday, December 10

8:20 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CLEVELAND
Pittsburgh is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games



Sunday, December 13

1:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. KANSAS CITYBuffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games
Kansas City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing at home against Buffalo

1:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. NEW ENGLAND
Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. MINNESOTA
Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
DENVER vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Denver is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. BALTIMORE
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

1:00 PM
GREEN BAY vs. CHICAGO
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
MIAMI vs. JACKSONVILLE
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Jacksonville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. ATLANTA
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games

1:00 PM
NY JETS vs. TAMPA BAY
NY Jets are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games
NY Jets are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets

1:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. HOUSTON
Seattle is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
Houston is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

4:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. TENNESSEE
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 1-21 SU in its last 22 games
Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

4:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. OAKLAND
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Oakland is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games at home

4:15 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. DALLAS
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games

8:20 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY GIANTS
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games
NY Giants are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
NY Giants are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia



Monday, December 14

8:30 PM
ARIZONA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
San Francisco is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Arizona


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[Udog]

NFL
Write-Up


Week 14 NFL games

Thursday, December 10

Steelers (6-6) @ Browns (1-11)-- Pittsburgh lost last four games, last three all by three points; they're 2-4 on road, winning 28-10 at Denver (-1), 28-20 at Detroit (-10.5). Steelers are 3-8 vs spread as favorite, 1-4 on road. Cleveland (+14) lost 27-14 at Heinz back in Week 6; Cribbs ran kick back for Brown TD; Steelers averaged 10.6 ypa, Browns 3.8 (completed just 9-26 passes). Browns lost last seven games but covered last three, losing by 1-9-7 points. In twelve games this year, Cleveland scored less than 10 points seven times. AFC North underdogs are 7-2 vs spread in divisional games, 3-1 at home.


Sunday, December 13

Broncos (8-4) @ Colts (12-0)-- Unbeaten Indy is just 2-4 as home favorite so far in '09, with home wins by 2-17-4-3-1-10 points. Broncos scored 70 points in last two games; they're 5-3 vs spread as underdog- all four of their losses are by 10+ points. Way to beat Indy is to possess ball, move chains, keep Colts offense off field; Denver ran ball for average of 154.5 ypg in last four weeks. Denver scored 19 points in only two games on artificial turf this year. Under is 9-3 in Denver games. AFC West road dogs are 5-7 vs spread in non-division games; AFC South home favorites are 4-7.

Bengals (9-3) @ Vikings (10-2)-- Cincy defense forced 13 3/outs in last four games on 45 drives; in their last two games, Bengal opponents started 11 of 22 drives 80+ yards from goal, and they didn't score a point on any of those 11 drives. Bengals are 5-0 vs spread as an underdog in '09. Minnesota is 3-2-1 as home favorite, winning home games by 3-7-2-17-26-16 points- they have 19 TDs on last 54 drives at home. AFC North road dogs are 5-4 vs spread. NFC North home favorites are 3-8. Last four Viking games, four of last five Bengal games stayed under total.

Jets (6-6) @ Buccaneers (1-11)-- Huge trap game for chirpy Jets; Sanchez is expected to go (partially torn knee ligament). Jersey won last couple games, giving up one TD on 23 drives- they're 2-3 in true road games, and 0-5 when they allow more than 17 points (6-1 when they don't). Buccaneers lost last four games; they're 1-4 at home, with losses by 13-24-7-31 points. Jets have three TDs on last 34 drives, but have TDs on defense, special teams in two of last three games. AFC East favorites are 8-4 vs spread. NFC South underdogs are 6-11 vs spread, 1-5 at home. Last three Tampa games stayed under.

Bills (4-8) @ Chiefs (3-9)-- Buffalo lost four of last five games, but covered three of last four on road; they had three extra days to rest/prep for this after Thursday night loss last week. Chiefs lost last two games 43-14/44-13, giving up 11 TDs on last 36 drives- they failed to cover previous game as a favorite, losing to Oakland in Week 2. Buffalo gave up 406 rushing yards last couple of games, but held last three foes under 20 pts. AFC East underdogs are 5-9 vs spread, 5-5 away from home. AFC West favorites are 3-3, 3-1 at home. Six of last eight Buffalo games stayed under total; four of Chiefs' last five went over.

Packers (8-4) @ Bears (5-7)-- Green Bay (-3) beat Bears 21-15 at Lambeau in season opener, picking Cutler off four times, but 17 of Cutler's 20 picks have come on road. Pack is 3-2 on road, but they beat Rams-Lions-Browns, lost to Vikings-Bucs, so Chicago will be second-best team they've visited this season. Pack won last four games, scoring 30-34-27 in last three (nine TDs on last 34 drives). Chicago lost four of last five games (0-5 vs spread); they're 1-5 vs the spread as a dog this year- they're 4-2 at home, losing 41-21 to Arizona, 24-20 to Eagles. NFC North underdogs are 6-2-1 vs spread in division games.

Saints (12-0) @ Falcons (6-6)-- Unbeaten Saints scored 30+ points in seven of last eight games (scored 28 in 8th); they beat rival Falcons 35-27 back in Week 8 (-11.5), despite being outgained 442-437- Atlanta lost three fumbles. Saints have huge issues in secondary, signing guys off street then plugging them right in- they're 4-2 as road favorite. Ryan not expected to play for struggling Birds, who lost three of last four games, scoring two TDs on last 21 drives. Atlanta ran ball for just 226 yards on 78 carries in last three games, and with a backup QB playing, very tough for Atlanta to trade points with high scoring rival.

Lions (2-10) @ Ravens (6-6)-- Short week for Baltimore after Monday's loss at Lambeau; Ravens scored four TDs on last 43 drives in last four games, hard to cover two-TD spread that way. Detroit covered in last minute last week at Cincinnati; they're 1-4-1 as road dog this year, losing away games by 18-24-26-12-17-10 points. NFC North road dogs are 1-6 vs spread this year. AFC North home favorites are 6-9, 5-5 at home. Last five Baltimore games, five of last seven Detroit tilts stayed under the total. Over last six weeks, NFL dogs are 51-34-2 against the spread (60%).

Dolphins (6-6) @ Jaguars (7-5)-- Miami won three of last four games; they're 2-4 on road, winning at Jets/Panthers- they're 6-2 when they score 22+ points, 0-4 when they don't. Jags are 7-5 despite being minus-48 in points- they won four of last five games, are 7-0 when they score 18+ points, 0-5 when they do not. AFC South home favorites are 4-7 vs spread in non-division games; AFC East road dogs are 5-5. Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Miami games, but Jags' last three games stayed under. Miami outsacked last four opponents 20-2; Jag QB Garrard has been sacked 10 times in last two games. Big game in playoff race.

Panthers (5-7) @ Patriots (7-5)-- Moore gets another start as Panther QB; in last week's game, Carolina allowed 469 yards to Bucs, but picked Freeman off five times in 16-6 win. If they give Brady 469 yards, Pats will score 35+ pts. In last three games, Panthers scored two TDs on 31 drives, with 12 3/outs. Patriots are 6-0 at home, 4-2 as home favorite, with home wins by 1-16-6-59-10-17 points. Panthers covered three of their last four road games. AFC East home faves are 6-3 vs spread. NFC South road dogs are 5-6 vs spread. Four of last five Carolina games stayed under total.

Seahawks (5-7) @ Texans (5-7)-- Houston lost last four games, all to division foes; they're just 2-4 at home, beating Raiders/49ers (2-3-1 vs spread as fave). Schaub hurt his shoulder last week, returned later in game, is expected to make start here. Seahawks are 5-0 when they allow 20 or less points, 0-7 when they allow more- they're 0-6 vs spread as underdog this year, 0-5 on road, losing on road by 13-17-21-11-26 points. Houston scored 24+ points in four of its last five home games. NFC West road dogs are 10-4 vs spread; AFC South home favorites are 4-7. Four of last five Seattle road games went over the total.

Rams (1-11) @ Titans (5-7)-- Tennessee had five-game win streak snapped in Indy last week; their relentless running game (142+ yards in each of their last seven games) should wear down offensively-challenged St Louis squad that scored 16 first quarter points, least in NFL. A bad team needs to get ahead to gain confidence, but Rams scored three offensive TDs on last 26 drives- they scored four TDs on their 62 road drives this season. Titans are 2-2-1 as a fave this season; they have home wins by 17-24-3 points. Rams are 4-2 as a road dog, losing away games by 28-2-35-3-8 points. Doubt that Jeff Fisher will ever get over losing Super Bowl to Rams 10 years ago.

Redskins (3-9) @ Raiders (4-8)-- Washington covered last four games, losing last three in agonizing fashion, by 1-3-3 points; they're 0-6 on road, dropping five games by six or less points. Oakland won its fourth game last week; in the game following its first three wins, Raiders are 0-3, losing by combined score of 85-10 (0-3 vs spread). Eight of 12 Redskin games were decided by six or less points. Oakland is 2-4 at home, beating Eagles/Bengals, two good teams. Five of last six Washington games went over the total. NFC East road teams are 7-9 vs spread in non-division games. AFC West home teams are 10-4.

Chargers (9-3) @ Cowboys (8-4)-- San Diego won last seven games, covering four of last five; they're 5-1 on road, losing by 10 at Pittsburgh, scoring 30.0 ppg in winning last four on foreign soil. Dallas won last five home games since losing home opener to Giants; four of their last five games stayed under total. Cowboys had allowed 11.5 ppg in last four games before the Giants scored 31 points in last 32:00 last week. Rivers averaged 11.4/14.3 ypa in last two tilts, they scored average of 34 ppg in last four. Bolts are +7 in turnovers their last three games, with only one turnover. AFC road underdogs are 5-7.

Eagles (7-5) @ Giants (7-5)-- Philly (+2) pounded Giants 40-17 in Week 8, as Eagles had great balance (211 yards passing, 180 rushing); Philly scored 28.3 ppg in winning last three games. Winner here has chance to tie for first should San Diego win in Dallas. Giants are 4-2 at home, scoring 24-31 points in last two Swamp games. Eagles are 4-2 on road; they've got to be kicking their own butt for losing in Oakland. Over is 8-4 in both Giant, Eagle games this season; last week was first time in seven games Giants won battle for field position. Underdog is 8-1 vs spread in NFC East games this season.


Monday, December 14

Cardinals (8-4) @ 49ers (5-7)-- Niners (+6.5) beat Arizona 20-16 in season opener, back when they were fashionable choice to make playoffs, but Cards are 7-2 in last nine games, scoring 31-30 points in winning last two home tilts. Redbirds are 1-4 when they score less than 24 points- Warner didn't play in their last loss. 49ers held four of last six opponents under 24; they're 4-2 at home, losing 45-10 to Atlanta, 34-27 to Titans. SF is 0-7 when they allow 17 or more more points, 5-0 when they allow less. When Warner is healthy, the Cardinals are explosive (scored 21+ points in Warner's last eight starts).

[Udog]

NFL


Thursday, December 10

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What bettors need to know: Steelers at Browns
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Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (+10, 33.5)

During the last decade, four Super Bowl champions have failed to reach the playoffs the following season. The Pittsburgh Steelers are in jeopardy of having the dubious distinction of doing it twice.

With a 6-6 record, the Steelers find themselves on the outside of the playoff picture and in a must-win situation on Thursday night against the one-win Cleveland Browns.

Inclement weather

The Cleveland forecast calls for a kickoff temperature of 20 degrees with a 60 percent chance of precipitation that includes snow showers. Howling winds from 25-30 mph throughout the game will complicate passing patterns and create a wind chill temperature of 1 degree.

Line dance

The total in the game has been directly affected by the weather report. An opener of 37.5 has been bet down four points to a low of 33.5 at some markets.

Pittsburgh opened as 9.5-point favorites and backers have pushed the spread up to a current number of 10.

Injury report

Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin said veteran receiver Hines Ward will be a game-time decision with a hamstring injury. Ward leads the Steelers in receptions (72) and touchdowns (6).

"People on this team know that I'm a competitor," Ward said. "I'll try to do all I can to play."

Steelers starting cornerback William Gay is expected to miss the game after sustaining a concussion last Sunday.

For the Browns, defensive end C.J. Mosely broke his ankle last week and will miss the remainder of the season.

Curtain malfunction

The Steelers have dropped four games in a row, marking only the sixth time since 1970 Pittsburgh has experienced a losing streak of at least four games. The Steelers failed to reach the playoffs in any of those previous six seasons.

The Steel Curtain just isn’t the same stalwart of a defense without all-world safety Troy Polamalu, who will miss his fourth straight game. With Polamalu in the lineup this season, Pittsburgh went 4-1 and surrendered an average of 13.8 points per game, but without him the team is 2-5 and the defense has given up an average of 23.1 points per outing.

After Mike Tomlin vowed to “unleash hell” against the Raiders, and did not, the head coach confirmed that lineup changes would occur this week.

Rookie Joe Burnett is expected to start at left cornerback and defensive back Keenan Lewis will see expanded playing time. Tomlin also said he wants to get Steelers’ first round draft pick Ziggy Hood more involved.

"We can't stay status quo in terms of how we're approaching this thing and expect the pattern of behavior or outcome to change," said Tomlin. "I think our guys are of the same mindset, so I don't expect any surprise or discontent in regards to this approach."

Pittsburgh’s defense has given up 99 points in the fourth quarter this season and blown fourth-quarter leads in the last three games.

The Mighty Quinn

While Pittsburgh comes into this game in a must-win situation, the Browns could be in a must-lose scenario.

That tantalizing No. 1 overall pick in the NFL Draft is on the line with Cleveland tied at the bottom of the league standings with the Rams and Buccaneers as the three 1-11 teams. Just imagine… Ndamukong Suh paired alongside Shaun Rogers could create a ferocious defensive line.

But the Browns have looked like anything but a team that is willing to waive the white flag down the stretch. Cleveland has lost by an average 5.7 points over its last three games and scored a total of 67 points during that stretch after registering only 58 during its previous eight games.

Some of that offensive success can be attributed to the recent steady, not outstanding, play of quarterback Brady Quinn. Quinn has thrown for seven touchdowns and no interceptions over his last three games while completing 54.4 percent of his passes.

“I've been happy with [Quinn’s] overall decision making,” said head coach Eric Mangini. “I think his awareness of what the defense is giving us (has been good) and if it's not there, not trying to make something happen but going to the check-down or going to the underneath receiver.”

Cleveland ranks 29th in rushing defense (154.2 ypg) and last in total defense (400.3 ypg).

Trendy solutions

Pittsburgh has defeated the Browns in 13 straight games, including a 27-14 win in Week 6. During that 13-game span, the Steelers have gone 9-3-1 ATS.

Cleveland is 3-0 ATS in its last three games and 3-1 ATS during the last four meetings of this series.

The Steelers have played to the over in seven of their last 10 games while the over is 6-2-1 during the last nine of this series.


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[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel


Week 14

Pittsburgh at Cleveland
The Steelers look to take advantage of a Cleveland team that is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 home games. Pittsburgh is the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Steelers favored by 13 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-10). Here are all of this week's picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 10

Game 101-102: Pittsburgh at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 133.738; Cleveland 120.331
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 13 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 10; 32 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-10); Over


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 13

Game 105-106: Denver at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 133.520; Indianapolis 139.940
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 6 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 7; 44
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+7); Under

Game 107-108: Cincinnati at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 131.952; Minnesota 144.972
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 13; 46
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 6 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-6 1/2); Over

Game 109-110: NY Jets at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 132.646; Tampa Bay 126.885
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 6; 41
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-3); Over

Game 111-112: Buffalo at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 123.994; Kansas City 129.875
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 6; 34
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 1; 37
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+1); Under

Game 113-114: Green Bay at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 137.359; Chicago 128.010
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 9 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3; 41
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-3); Over

Game 115-116: New Orleans at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 145.308; Atlanta 135.690
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 9 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 10 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+10 1/2); Over

Game 117-118: Detroit at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 120.164; Baltimore 131.959
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 12; 41
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 13 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+13 1/2); Over

Game 119-120: Miami at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 128.251; Jacksonville 131.718
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 3 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 2 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-2 1/2); Under

Game 121-122: Carolina at New England
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 132.538; New England 140.808
Dunkel Line: New England by 8 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: New England by 13 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+13 1/2); Over

Game 123-124: Seattle at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 127.006; Houston 134.456
Dunkel Line: Houston by 7 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Houston by 6; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick Houston (-6); Over

Game 125-126: St. Louis at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 124.252; Tennessee 135.831
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 11 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 13; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+13); Under

Game 127-128: Washington at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 131.571; Oakland 125.230
Dunkel Line: Washington by 6 1/2; 34
Vegas Line: Washington by 1; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-1); Under

Game 129-130: San Diego at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 136.610; Dallas 140.398
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 4; 45
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3); Under

Game 131-132: Philadelphia at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 137.306; NY Giants 131.051
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 6; 42
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 1; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+1); Under


MONDAY, DECEMBER 14

Game 133-134: Arizona at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 135.628; San Francisco 134.079
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3 1/2); Under

[pm530]

NFL


Thursday, December 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns [8:20 PM ET]

Steelers (-10, O/U 33): Should Pittsburgh really be 10 point favorites over anyone right now? This team is reeling, which is something you aren't accustomed to seeing this late in the season. Pittsburgh has lost 4 consecutive games SU in route to a 6-6 record on the year. The Steelers are 2-4 on the road this year ATS. Pittsburgh is 0-4 ATS this year when listed as a double digit favorite, with their past 2 being SU losses. Despite his injury concerns, QB Ben Roethlisberger has had a great season (3,100 passing YDS and a QB Rating of 100.) Roethlisberger is one of only 6 QBs with a QB rating over 100. WRs Santonio Holmes and Hines Ward have combined for 1,900 YDS receiving with 9 TDs. This Steelers defense is 1 of only 5 teams that allow less than 300 YPG. They also have the best rushing defense in the NFL, allowing only 77 YPG.

Steelers are 1-6 ATS last 7 games as a road favorite.
Over is 5-0 last 5 games following a SU loss.

Key Injuries - WR Hines Ward (hamstring) is doubtful.
CB William Gay (head) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24 (Side of the Day)

Browns: Cleveland continues to live a nightmare of a season. The Browns are 1-11 SU, including 0-5 SU at home. Cleveland is 2-3 ATS at home this year. The Browns are playing better, as they've won their past 3 games ATS. This will be the 7th game this season the Browns are a double digit underdog, going 3-3 ATS thus far. Cleveland is playing their best football offensively right now, with much credit to QB Brady Quinn. Quinn has 7 TD passes without an interception over the past 3 games. Quinn has thrown over 270 YDS and 300 YDS in 2 of his past 3 games. Despite the fact that this offense is playing better, they still are only averaging 12 PPG which is 3rd worst in the entire NFL. Defensively, the Browns give up a ton of yards, as they are the only team in the NFL giving up more than 400 YPG. The Browns lost by 13 SU earlier this season to Pittsburgh, but won ATS as 13.5 underdogs.

Browns are 8-0 ATS last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 last 10 vs. AFC.

Key Injuries - CB Eric Wright (hamstring) is doubtful.
DE Kenyon Coleman (knee) is doubtful.

PROJECTED SCORE: 7

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[Udog]

NFL


Week 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NFL poolies' cheat sheet: Week 14
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons (+10.5)

Why Saints cover: They've won six of the last seven meetings and they're 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games. Atlanta struggled without Matt Ryan (toe) and Michael Turner (ankle) last week and could be without them again this week. Robert Meachem has become Drew Brees' big play threat in recent weeks. In four of his last five games he has recorded a touchdown catch for 27 yards or more.

Why Falcons cover: Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. NFC. Atlanta covered on the road against the Saints in early November as 11-point underdogs.

Total (50): Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.

Detroit Lions at Baltimore Ravens (-13)

Why Lions cover: Since the Ravens' Week 8 bye, QB Joe Flacco is averaging just 201 yards passing per game with only three touchdown passes and six interceptions.

Why Ravens cover: They're 9-0 ATS vs. teams with losing records. Lions are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games. QB Matthew Stafford is battling a shoulder injury and will not play. Detroit has lost 18 straight road games.

Total (40): Under is 4-1 in Ravens' last five games and 5-2 in Lions' last seven games.

Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears (+3)

Why Packers cover: They're 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 meetings and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Chicago. With 20 interceptions this season, Jay Cutler continues to struggle. Green Bay picked him off four times in Week 1 and covered as 4.5-point favorites.

Why Bears cover: Expect to get leading receiver Devin Hester back from his calf injury suffered last week. Green Bay has multiple defensive players dealing with injuries that could limit them, especially in a cold weather matchup.

Total (41): Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.

Seattle Seahawks at Houston Texans (-6)

Why Seahawks cover: Texans are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six home games. Houston is reeling, dropping four straight games (1-3 ATS) and are on the verge of playoff elimination. Leading rusher Steve Slaton (shoulder) has been put on injured reserve.

Why Texans cover: Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games. QB Matt Hasselbeck is dealing with a sore shoulder from last week's game. Houston QB Matt Schaub could exploit a Seahawks defense that struggles to stop the passing game.

Total (45): Over is 4-1 in Seahawks' last five road games.

Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts (-7)

Why Broncos cover: They boast the NFL's third best defense and are limiting opponents to 180 passing yards per game. Rookie running back Knowshon Moreno has come to life over his last three games averaging five yards per carry with three touchdowns. The Colts allow 4.23 yards per carry and 111 rushing yards per game.

Why Colts cover: Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Broncos will be without RT Ryan Harris for the rest of the season because of a toe injury.

Total (44): Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings.

Miami Dolphins at Jacksonville Jaguars (-3)

Why Dolphins cover: They're 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games. Jags are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games. They need a win to keep pace with Jacksonville in the playoff race.

Why Jaguars cover: Favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings with the Jags winning three of those game straight up. David Garrard plays much better at home and Jacksonville has won five straight home games. Receivers Mike Sims-Walker and Torry Holt could be too much for Miami's rookie CBs to handle.

Total (44): Under is 8-3 in Dolphins' last 11 road games.

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs (-1)

Why Bills cover: They're 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings. With 409 yards and two TDs in his last four games, Terrell Owens is finally playing like the receiver Buffalo thought they were getting when they signed him in the offseason.

Why Chiefs cover: Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings. QB Matt Cassel is coming off being benched last week and will be out to redeem himself. Jamaal Charles has sparked the Chiefs' running game since replacing Larry Johnson and faces the NFL's worst rush defense.

Total (37.5): Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings and 4-1 in the last five meetings in Kansas City.

Cincinnati Bengals at Minnesota Vikings (-6.5)

Why Bengals cover: They've won two of the past three meetings. They're 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Cincinnati has the league's fourth-best defense, largely due to outstanding play from their cornerbacks. Pro Bowl RB Adrian Peterson has only 183 rushing yards in his last three games.

Why Vikings cover: They're 3-1-1 ATS in their last five home games. Brett Favre and Sidney Rice have developed great chemistry during the second half of the season. Rice is averaging 114.7 receiving yards per game over his last seven.

Total (43.5): Under is 4-1 in Bengals' last five games and 4-0 in Vikings' last four games.

Carolina Panthers at New England Panthers (-13.5)

Why Panthers cover: Patriots are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games. Will get leading rusher DeAngelo Williams back from his ankle injury. The Patriots are prone to giving up big plays through the air. Carolina's strong running attack could open up some opportunities downfield.

Why Patriots cover: They're 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. Tom Brady called out his teammates after last week's loss and they will have to play well to prove him wrong. Matt Moore (57.3 rating) will start at QB for the Panthers.

Total (44): Under is 4-1-1 in Patriots' last six games and 4-1 in Panthers' last five games.

New York Jets at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3)

Why Jets cover: They've won eight of the last nine meetings. Buccaneers are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Rookie QB Josh Freeman could get rattled by Rex Ryan's blitz-heavy defensive package.

Why Buccaneers cover: Mark Sanchez has been hobbled by a knee injury and won't be able to play. Kellen Clemens will start at quarterback. TB gets top cornerback Aqib Talib back from his hamstring injury.

Total (37): Under is 5-2-1 in Jets' last eight road games.

St. Louis Rams at Tennessee Titans (-13)

Why Rams cover: They've won four of the last five meetings. They're 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. Next to Detroit, Tennessee has the league's worst pass defense, giving up 267 yards through the air per game.

Why Titans cover: They're 9-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Rams will be without starting FS O.J. Atogwe because of a dislocated shoulder. Quarterback Kyle Boller has been terrible in place of Marc Bulger for the Rams.

Total (41.5): Under is 5-1 in Rams' last six road games.

Washington Redskins at Oakland Raiders (+1)

Why Redskins cover: They're 4-0 ATS in their last four games. Quinton Ganther (4.6 yards per carry) will get the nod at running back, with Clinton Portis and Ladell Betts out. Rock Cartwright will return to his special teams duties. Oakland has the league's 30th-ranked rush defense.

Why Raiders cover: They've won four of the past five meetings and are 2-1 SU and ATS since Bruce Gradkowski has taken over as the starting quarterback. Gradkowski has thrown six touchdowns in his three starts compared to two scores by JaMarcus Russell in his nine starts. Washington has blown leads late in the games in three straight contests.

Total (37.5): Over is 5-1 in Redskins' last six games.

San Diego Chargers at Dallas Cowboys (-3)

Why Chargers cover: They're 4-1 ATS in their last five games. In his last four games, Cowboys kicker Nick Folk has only converted two of his seven field goal attempts. San Diego has won a league record 15 straight December games.

Why Cowboys cover: They've won four of the past five meetings. They're 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. QB Tony Romo has been spectacular in his last two games throwing for 701 yards and five touchdowns.

Total (48.5): Under is 4-1 in Cowboys' last five games.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (-1)

Why Eagles cover: They're 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings in New York. Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the underdog is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings. DeSean Jackson will return from his concussion. Philly destroyed New York 40-17 in Week 7 as 1-point underdogs.

Why Giants cover: They need to win to stay in the thick of the playoff race. Big win against the Cowboys last week could provide momentum after recent struggles.

Total (45.5): Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings and 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in New York.

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (+3)

Why Cardinals cover: They've won six of the last nine meetings. They're 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings in San Francisco. Road team is 8-0 ATS in the last eight meetings. Kurt Warner should have no problem dismantling San Francisco's 27th-ranked pass defense.

Why 49ers cover: Underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings. With 769 yards passing and seven touchdowns in his last three games, Alex Smith seems to have finally settled in as the Niners quarterback. RB Frank Gore has six touchdowns in his last five games against the Cardinals.

Total (44.5): Under is 4-1 in Cardinals' last five road games.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NFL


Week 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gone with the wind: Week 14 NFL weather report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Detroit Lions at Baltimore Ravens (-14, 39.5)

At least Joe Flacco will have something to blame his errant throws on this week. The Baltimore forecast on Sunday calls for a 70 percent chance of rain at kickoff with the odds increasing throughout the game to as high as 90 percent. Southeastern winds will range from 10-15 mph and will gust diagonally across the field. Temperatures will be in the low 40s. The total has dropped three points from an opener of 42.5.

Washington Redskins at Oakland Raiders (+1, 37.5)

Californians aren’t use to the type of weather that has bombarded the Bay Area during the last week. Nightly temperatures have been in the upper 20s and periodical showers have drenched the days. While it never really rains hard in Northern California, the Raiders play on a baseball field where conditions can get ugly quick with infield sand creating mud. There is 40 percent chance of rain during the game between these two defensive-minded teams.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (+1, 44)

The total for the game on Monday night between the Steelers and Browns dropped 3.5 points from its opener and the game witnessed 19 total points scored. The same movement has occurred in Sunday night’s matchup with the Eagles-Giants total dropping from an opener of 47.5 to its current number of 44. The forecast in East Rutherford calls for a 100 percent chance of rain leading up to the game and a 70 percent chance at kickoff. The downfall is projected to decrease as the game goes on, but wind will be blowing out of the southwest (sideline to sideline) from 12-14 mph.


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[Udog]

NFL


Sunday, December 13

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What bettors need to know: Eagles at Giants
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (+1, 44)

The Eagles visit the Giants Sunday night for an NFC East clash that is critical to the playoff hopes of both teams, particularly New York.

Philadelphia (8-4) enters the weekend tied with the Cowboys for first place in the division, only one game ahead of the 7-5 Giants. New York also trails the 8-4 Packers in the wild card race and a loss Sunday would drop New York to 5-4 in conference play. Conference record would be the first tiebreaker between the Packers (6-3 in the NFC) and Giants since they don’t play each other this year.

Line movement

The Giants opened as 1-point favorites, but they are now 1-point dogs at several books. The total was posted at 46.5 and has been bet down to 44.

Weather

December night games at Giants Stadium aren't typically balmy, and this one won't be either. Temperatures are expected to drop into the mid-30s and there is a strong chance of rain.

Injury report

Eagles running back Brian Westbrook (concussion) returned to practice this week, but is expected to miss his fourth straight game. Philly wide receiver DeSean Jackson, who also sat out last week with a concussion, is listed as probable for Sunday.

The Giants remain without linebacker Antonio Pierce, who is out for the season with a neck injury. Safety Michael Johnson (groin) missed New York's last game and is questionable this week, as is guard Chris Snee (knee).

Dog days

Underdogs have dominated the rivalry since 2005, covering the spread in each of the last 10 matchups and winning eight of those outright. The Eagles extended that streak this season by pounding the Giants 40-11 as one-point home dogs in Week 8.

Philadelphia also won two of the three games between the clubs last year, including a 23-11 road victory in the second round of the playoffs.

The road team has won four of the last five meetings and seven of the last 10.

Philly hasn't swept the season series from New York since 2004, when the Eagles went to the Super Bowl.

X-factor

The Eagles continue to work Michael Vick into their offense.

The backup quarterback completed both his passes last week for 48 yards and a touchdown, also running for a score in his victorious return to Atlanta.

"Every week is different with him," Philly coach Andy Reid said when asked how many snaps Vick might see Sunday. "It wasn't (more plays last week) because he was in Atlanta, but it worked out that way. We don't have a set number."

Revenge factor

New York hasn't forgotten the 40-17 beatdown the Eagles gave them earlier this year

The Eagles racked up nearly 400 yards of offense in that game and led 30-7 at halftime.

"I think we owe them a good licking," said Giants safety Michael Johnson. "We owe 'em a physical game. We need to be physical with 'em. Because they out-physicaled us last game."

Farewell

Sunday's game will likely be the Eagles' last at Giants Stadium.

The long-time home to the Giants and Jets will be replaced next year by a billion-dollar stadium next door at the Meadowlands.

Philly kicker David Akers won't mind. He has struggled with the unpredictable winds at Giants Stadium, making only 11-of-20 field-goal attempts when facing the Giants.

Philadelphia has won 19 of 35 meetings with the Giants in East Rutherford.

Trends

Philly is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 road games and 4-1 ATS in its last five December games. However, the Eagles are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as road favourites of three points or less.

The Giants are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog and 6-1 ATS in their last seven as dogs of three points or less. But New York is also 1-6 ATS in its last seven overall.

The under has cashed in five of the last seven games between Philly and New York, and in 13 of the past 16 at Giants Stadium.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel - Sun. POD


Green Bay at Chicago
The Packers look to build on their 10-4 ATS record in their 14 games as a road favorite. Green Bay is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Packers favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-3).

[Udog]

NFL


Sunday, December 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

San Diego Chargers at Dallas Cowboys [CBS | 4:15 PM ET]

Chargers: San Diego is streaking, as they've won 7 consecutive games SU to improve their record to 9-3. Like Dallas, the Chargers are 6-6 ATS this year, including a road record of 3-3 ATS. This will be the 3rd game this season the Chargers have been listed as the underdog, going 1-1 ATS in the previous two games. QB Phillip Rivers is having an MVP caliber season, throwing for over 3,300 YDS with 21 TDs against 6 INTs. Rivers has a QB rating of 104.9, which is 3rd best in the league. With Rivers leadership, this Chargers offense averages 28.5 PPG on the season. They've scored 30 or more PTS in 4 straight games. This Charger defense still must improve on stopping the run, as they are allowing an average of 118 YPG on the ground. San Diego has won a league record 15 consecutive games in the month of December.

Chargers are 8-2 ATS last 10 games in December.
Over is 10-4 last 14 games following a SU win.

Key Injuries - LB Shawne Merriman (foot) is questionable.
T Marcus McNeill (ankle) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 27

Cowboys (-3, O/U 48.5): The jury is out on this Cowboys team. They are tied for 1st in the NFC East, yet haven't had a winning December since 2001. Dallas is 8-4 SU and 6-6 ATS this season. The Cowboys are 4-2 ATS at home this season, having won 4 of those games by double digits. Only 1 other time this season have the Cowboys been favored by so little at home, with the last time being an outright loss to the Giants as 3 point favorites. QB Tony Romo has thrown for 3,325 YDS with 20 TDs against 7 INTs. Romo leads an offense that averages 23 PPG with nearly 400 YPG, which is 3rd most in the NFL. WR Miles Austin has been a revelation this year, as he has over 900 YDS receiving with 9 TDs. The Cowboys defense has played well up to last week, where they had held opponents to 17 PTS or fewer in 5 of their last 6 games. For the season, the Cowboys allow 17.8 PPG which is the 5th fewest points in the NFL.

Cowboys are 4-1 ATS last 5 games as a home favorite.
Over is 13-6 last 19 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Key Injuries - TE Jason Witten (foot) is questionablew.
LB Demarcus Ware (wrist) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 28 (OVER - Total of the Day)



Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants [NBC | 8:20 PM ET]

Eagles: Philadelphia is tied with the Cowboys atop the NFC East with a record of 8-4 SU. The Eagles are 7-5 ATS, including a road record of 4-2 ATS. The Eagles have played 3 games as underdogs this year, going 1-2 both SU and ATS. With a win today, the Eagles will have won 4 consecutive games against the Giants, postseason included. QB Donovan McNabb averages nearly 250 passing YPG this year, including 16 TDs. McNabb has had to share the QB position with both Kevin Kolb and Michael Vick this year due to injuries. Even with injury concerns at the skill positions, the Eagles average 27.3 PPG which ranks them 5th in the NFL. Young WRs DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin combine to have nearly 1,400 YDS receiving and 11 TDs. This Eagles defense allows 19 PPG, but has a knack for making the big play. They have 20 INTs and 33 sacks, ranking in the top 6 in the NFL in both categories.

Eagles are 6-1 ATS last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 22-6 last 28 games as an underdog.

Key Injuries - T Jason Peters (head) is questionable.
RB Brian Westbrook (concussion) is doubtful.

PROJECTED SCORE: 20

Giants (-1, O/U 44.5): The Giants run for 5 consecutive seasons in the playoffs is in serious jeopardy. The Giants come into tonights revenge game at 7-5 SU for the year. The Giants are 5-6-1 ATS this season, including a home record of 2-2-1 ATS. New York has lost 6 of their past 7 games ATS. The Giants lost by 23 to the Eagles in Week 8 of this season as 1 point favorites. QB Eli Manning leads an offense that averages 25.3 PPG, which is 8th best in the NFL. Manning has thrown for over 2,900 YDS with 20 TDs against 11 INTs. WR Steve Smith is 2nd in the NFL in receiving YDS with 979. The Giants are still playing good defense, as they have given up the 6th fewest yards in the NFL. They have allowed points to be scored though, as they give up 23.8 PPG on the season. This defense has allowed 6 of their past 7 opponents to score 24 or more points against them.

Giants are 0-5 ATS last 5 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-0 last 4 vs. NFC East.

Key Injuries - RB Ahmad Bradshaw (ankle) is probable.
G Chris Snee (knee) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 27 (Side of the Day)


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[Udog]

NFL


Week 14

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Total bias: Week 14 over/under predictions
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This time of year the NFL injury reports start filling up faster than beds at the 4077 MASH unit.

But if you know what injuries to look for and can interpret what they mean, you could be sipping more martinis than Hawkeye Pierce and BJ Honeycutt while you count your mountains of cash. And who doesn’t like to see a little extra coin in the coffers this time of year?

Let’s start by looking at some of the most impactful injuries affecting totals across the league this season. Easily, one of the biggest has been a toe injury to Minnesota cornerback Antoine Winfield. Without the defensive back coach Brad Childress calls “the best player in the league,” Vikings games have gone a stunning 0-5 against the total this season, falling short of the number in every game the former Ohio State star has fully missed this fall.

His circumstances also are odd too, considering the defense is allowing nearly three points per game fewer (17.2) without him in the lineup. And who do the Vikings host this week? The Bengals, of course, who have hit the under in four of their past five overall and 10 of their past 11 in December.

And don’t expect to see many points in Massachusetts when the Patriots host the Panthers. Carolina has an 0-3 over/under mark this season without tackle Jordan Gross, who is out for the year with a leg injury. Missing Gross, the Panthers are averaging a miserable 13 points per game and four of the team’s past five games overall have fallen short of the total.

New England, surprisingly, also has had its share of struggles since running back Fred Taylor was shelved with an ankle injury in Week 5. The Patriots are a meager 2-5-1 against the over without Fast Freddy, but Taylor is listed as “questionable” this weekend. Keep an eye glued to this injury report.

Lastly, keep a finger on the pulse of the Redskins this weekend when they travel to play the Raiders in California. With star running back Clinton Portis and tight end Chris Cooley both sidelined with injuries the past month, Washington has been forced to open up its attack and rely on its vertical game. The result is four of the Redskin’s past five games have topped the number, and with a low, 37.5 total for this week, expect an easy cover.

Some bettors are so concerned with matchups and trying to find who has a tactical edge when they use their formulas, they forget to look at one of the most basic aspects: sometimes it’s not who is playing, it’s who isn’t playing.

Cincinnati Bengals at Minnesota Vikings (-6.5, 43.5)

The Bengals defense has emerged as one of the toughest in the league. Cincinnati has allowed 14 or fewer points in five of the team’s past six games and has benefited from a talented offense that loves to run the ball and limit turnovers.

Meantime, the Vikings high-flying offense has forced odds makers to push totals sky-high this season, making the margin for error very small for bettors playing the over. This, however, is the lowest total Minnesota has faced in about two months. But after a sloppy, turnover-heavy loss to Carolina last week, expect the Vikings to be careful in their play calling and play into the hands of a Cincinnati team that is built to contain Minnesota.

Pick: Under


Washington Redskins at Oakland Raiders (+1, 37.5)

Two words: Bruce Gradkowski.

The Raiders offense suddenly has punch again and demonstrated against Pittsburgh that it can hit the long ball and march down the field. The former Toledo star has injected much-needed life into the

Oakland offense and is making players like Louis Murphy absolute fantasy studs.

And he doesn’t have to be perfect two weeks in a row.

The suddenly frisky Redskins offense is attacking opponents vertically and with the way they are putting points on the board, it shouldn’t take more than 17 points by the hosts to push this total sky high.

Pick: Over


Carolina Panthers at New England Patriots (-13.5, 44)

Anybody else remember when Tom Brady was clutch?

New England has been a different team at home and on the road, but expect the Panthers to flex their newfound defensive muscle in this one. Carolina abused rookie quarterback Josh Freeman in a win over Tampa Bay last week and did everything it could to keep the team in the game in a narrow loss at the Jets.

The Patriots also struggle to get any type of a pass rush generated, and even the mediocre Jake Delhomme should be able to make some plays and keep the ball in his offense’s hands and the score low.\

Pick: Under

Last Week: 1-2

Overall: 14-25


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[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel - Mon. POD


Arizona at San Francisco
The 49ers look to build on their 6-0-2 ATS record in their last 8 games as an underdog. San Francisco is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3 1/2).