Friday Trends and Indexes 12/4 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet


Friday, December 4

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TAMPA BAY (10-8-0-8, 28 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (17-7-0-1, 35 pts.) - 12/4/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 34-72 ATS (+123.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 20-40 ATS (+62.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 16-8 ATS (+25.3 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 16-8 ATS (+6.0 Units) first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 9-1 (+8.2 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 9-1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

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BOSTON (14-8-0-5, 33 pts.) at MONTREAL (12-14-0-2, 26 pts.) - 12/4/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 13-1 ATS (+11.7 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 42-22 ATS (+16.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 25-8 ATS (+16.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 35-13 ATS (+16.1 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 20-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 30-16 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 16-8 ATS (+24.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 53-61 ATS (-35.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 24-27 ATS (-18.9 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 13-20 ATS (-12.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 13-24 ATS (-19.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 14-12-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
14 of 23 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.7 Units)

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ANAHEIM (10-14-0-3, 23 pts.) at MINNESOTA (11-12-0-3, 25 pts.) - 12/4/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 10-17 ATS (-9.4 Units) in all games this season.
ANAHEIM is 10-17 ATS (-9.4 Units) first half of the season this season.
ANAHEIM is 14-23 ATS (-15.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-5 ATS (+14.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 56-30 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 41-51 ATS (-20.9 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-4 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-4-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

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NASHVILLE (15-10-0-2, 32 pts.) at CHICAGO (17-6-0-3, 37 pts.) - 12/4/2009, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 11-2 ATS (+7.9 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 32-17 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 33-16 ATS (+15.1 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 59-48 ATS (+2.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 18-6 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 8-4 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NASHVILLE is 8-4 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
CHICAGO is 35-52 ATS (-32.0 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 10-7 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 10-7-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.4 Units)

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[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Friday, 12/4/2009

TORONTO at WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET
TORONTO: 2-12 ATS after allowing 100+ points in 5 straight
WASHINGTON: 26-13 OVER against Atlantic division

NEW YORK at ATLANTA, 7:30 PM ET
NEW YORK: 23-8 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days
ATLANTA: 9-2 OVER as a home favorite of 12.5+

BOSTON at OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:00 PM ET
BOSTON: 14-3 UNDER AWAY in non-conference games
OKLAHOMA CITY: 12-1 UNDER as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6

CHICAGO at CLEVELAND, 8:00 PM ET ESPN
CHICAGO: 23-11 UNDER after a division game
CLEVELAND: 8-1 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3

DALLAS at MEMPHIS, 8:00 PM ET
DALLAS: 61-38 UNDER as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6
MEMPHIS: 18-6 ATS at home after playing as a road favorite

MILWAUKEE at DETROIT, 8:00 PM ET
MILWAUKEE: 14-3 ATS when the total is between 180 and 189.5
DETROIT: 1-13 ATS off a division loss

MINNESOTA at NEW ORLEANS, 8:00 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 17-7 ATS AWAY when the total is greater than or equal to 200
NEW ORLEANS: 3-12 ATS when the total is 200 to 209.5

CHARLOTTE at NEW JERSEY, 8:00 PM ET
CHARLOTTE: 16-6 ATS after playing as a home underdog
NEW JERSEY: 0-7 ATS revenging a DD loss

INDIANA at UTAH, 9:00 PM ET
INDIANA: 22-11 ATS off a road loss
UTAH: 22-35 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 200

MIAMI at LA LAKERS, 10:30 PM ET ESPN
MIAMI: 6-19 ATS after playing BB games as a road underdog
LA LAKERS: 23-11 ATS when the total is between 190 and 199.5

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


Friday, 12/4/2009

TAMPA BAY at NEW JERSEY, 7:00 PM ET
TAMPA BAY: 0-9 SU revenging BB 1 goal losses
NEW JERSEY: 9-1 SU against Tampa Bay

BOSTON at MONTREAL, 8:00 PM ET
BOSTON: 13-1 SU in December
MONTREAL: 2-9 SU as a home underdog

ANAHEIM at MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET
ANAHEIM: 2-7 SU as a road underdog of +100 to +200
MINNESOTA: 20-5 SU at home when the total is 5.5

NASHVILLE at CHICAGO, 8:30 PM ET
NASHVILLE: 1-8 SU after playing a game with 9+
CHICAGO: 11-2 SU in December

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Friday, 12/4/2009

KENT ST at XAVIER, 7:30 PM ET
KENT ST: 2-11 ATS Away vs. teams w/ winning record
XAVIER: 13-3 ATS as double-digit favorite

AKRON at TEXAS A&M, 8:00 PM ET
AKRON: 7-0 Over off 4+ SU wins
TEXAS A&M: 37-18 ATS after allowing 65 points or less BB Games

TROY at AUBURN, 8:00 PM ET
TROY: 14-4 Over off non-conference game
AUBURN: 10-2 ATS off BB wins by 20+ points

COLORADO at OREGON ST, 11:00 PM ET
COLORADO: 22-7 Under off ATS win
OREGON ST: 17-29 ATS if underdog last game

SAN DIEGO at UC-RIVERSIDE, 11:00 PM ET
SAN DIEGO: 4-12 ATS off ATS loss
UC-RIVERSIDE: 16-6 ATS in home games

Added Games

WOFFORD at MICHIGAN ST, 7:00 PM ET
WOFFORD: 13-5 ATS as road underdog
MICHIGAN ST: 6-0 ATS off SU loss

MANHATTAN at NIAGARA, 7:00 PM ET
MANHATTAN: 6-16 ATS playing only their 2nd game in 8 days
NIAGARA: 21-8 ATS off non-conference game

ST PETERS at IONA, 7:30 PM ET
ST PETERS: 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points
IONA: 30-50 ATS at home vs. conference

LOYOLA-MD at CANISIUS, 9:00 PM ET
LOYOLA-MD: 70-34 ATS as road underdog
CANISIUS: 19-35 ATS as home favorite

N COLORADO at MONTANA ST, 10:05 PM ET
N COLORADO: 13-4 ATS in road games
MONTANA ST: 2-9 ATS after a combined score of 155+ points

N ARIZONA at MONTANA, 9:00 PM ET
N ARIZONA: 7-0 ATS if underdog L2 games
MONTANA: 2-8 ATS off road ATS win/SU loss

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel


Wofford at Michigan State
The Terriers look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games as a road underdog. Wofford is the pick (+20) according to Dunkel, which has the Spartans favored by only 17. Dunkel Pick: Wofford (+20). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 4

Game 521-522: Kent State at Xavier
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 57.281; Xavier 69.091
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 12
Vegas Line: Xavier by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (+14 1/2)

Game 523-524: Akron at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 55.794; Texas A&M 66.871
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 11
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 12
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+12)

Game 525-526: Troy at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 53.938; Auburn 59.130
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 5
Vegas Line: Auburn by 9
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+9)

Game 527-528: Colorado at Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 54.595; Oregon State 58.190
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-2 1/2)

Game 529-530: San Diego at UC Riverside
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 57.765; UC Riverside 57.373
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: San Diego by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC Riverside (+2 1/2)

Game 531-532: Wofford at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 55.226; Michigan State 72.198
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 17
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 20
Dunkel Pick: Wofford (+20)

Game 533-534: Manhattan at Niagara
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 51.181; Niagara 61.276
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 10
Vegas Line: Niagara by 13
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (+13)

Game 535-536: St. Peter's at Iona
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 49.184; Iona 58.657
Dunkel Line: Iona by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Iona by 8
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-8)

Game 537-538: Loyola-MD at Canisius
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 49.922; Canisius 54.108
Dunkel Line: Canisius by 4
Vegas Line: Canisius by 1
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-1)

Game 539-540: Northern Colorado at Montana State
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 53.078; Montana State 54.477
Dunkel Line: Montana State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Montana State

Game 541-542: Northern Arizona at Montana
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 50.831; Montana 56.630
Dunkel Line: Montana by 6
Vegas Line: Montana by 8
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+8)

[pm530]

NBA
Dunkel Index


Chicago at Cleveland
The Cavaliers look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games as a road underdog. Cleveland is the pick (-12) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 15 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-12). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 4

Game 501-502: Toronto at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 112.309; Washington 114.364
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 3 1/2; 215 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+3 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: New York at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: New York 115.508; Atlanta 122.722
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 7; 218 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 11; 216 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+11); Over

Game 505-506: Boston at Oklahoma City
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 123.908; Oklahoma City 119.052
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 5; 186 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston 4; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-4); Under

Game 507-508: Chicago at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 112.368; Cleveland 127.800
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 15 1/2; 203
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 12; 190
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-12); Over

Game 509-510: Dallas at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 124.833; Memphis 116.622
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 8; 214 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 5 1/2; 206
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-5 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Milwaukee at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 114.517; Detroit 119.168
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 4 1/2; 188 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 3 1/2; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3 1/2); Over

Game 513-514: Minnesota at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 108.418; New Orleans 115.310
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 7; 197
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 9; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+9); Under

Game 515-516: Charlotte at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 116.582; New Jersey 114.081
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 2 1/2; 185 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 3 1/2; 181
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+3 1/2); Over

Game 517-518: Indiana at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 112.732; Utah 119.029
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 6 1/2; 218 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 8; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+8); Over

Game 519-520: Miami at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 116.318; LA Lakers 127.525
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 11; 211 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 12; 199
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+12); Over

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[Udog]

NBA


Friday, December 4

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Tips and Trends
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Miami Heat at Los Angeles Lakers [ESPN | 10:30 PM ET]

Heat: Miami comes into Los Angeles tonight struggling. After starting the season 6-1 SU and ATS, the Heat have lost 6 of 10 games SU. During that same 10 game stretch, they are 2-10 ATS. The Heat are 5-3 ATS as an underdog. This marks the first game this season that the Heat are a double digit underdog. Miami has 5 players averaging double digits in points. G Dwyane Wade is scoring 26.8 PPG, which is 6th in the NBA. F Quentin Richardson has been put back in the starting lineup. The Heat are 7-4 SU this season with Richardson starting. F Michael Beasley is playing his most consistent basketball of his career right now. The Heat are 4th in the NBA in opposing field goal percentage, and only give up 95 PPG.

Miami is 4-0-1 ATS last 5 games as a road underdog of 11 points or more.
Under is 9-2 last 11 games as a road underdog of 11 points or more.

Key Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 91

Lakers (-11, O/U 197): The Lakers have the best record in the NBA at 14-3 SU. Los Angeles is 8-4 ATS over their past 12 games. The Lakers are 3-3 ATS as a double digit favorite. G Kobe Bryant is 2nd in the NBA in scoring at nearly 29 PPG. Bryant has led an offense that has scored 100 PTS or more in 13 of their 14 wins this year. C Andrew Bynum is the 2nd leading scorer for the Lakers, as he averages 18 PPG. Bynum also grabs 10 RPG to lead the Lakers. The Lakers are 7th in the NBA in scoring, at 104 PPG. During their current 7 game winning streak, LA has held their opponents under 100 PTS in each game. The Lakers are the best in the NBA at opposing field goal %, holding their opponents to 42% shooting. F Ron Artest has been a welcome addition defensively to this Lakers team.

Lakers are 7-3 ATS last 10 home games.
Under is 5-1 last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Key Injuries - F Luke Walton (finger) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 98 (UNDER - Total of the Day)


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[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


Boston at Montreal
The Bruins look to build on their 4-0 record in their last 4 road games. Boston is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Bruins favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 4

Game 1-2: Tampa Bay at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.134; New Jersey 11.552
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2;
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-180); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-180);

Game 3-4: Boston at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.008; Montreal 11.138
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Under

Game 5-6: Anaheim at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 10.909; Minnesota 12.307
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-145); Over

Game 7-8: Nashville at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.645; Chicago 12.100
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-210); Over

[Udog]

Len's Top 5

TGIF everyone, here's my Top 5 for December 4, 2009 from Len Berman.

1. Quick Hits

Tiger Woods and his wife have reportedly reworked their prenup so that she gets immediate cash and a bigger buyout if and when she splits. And rumor has it Woods paid off Rachel Uchitel to keep mum. Good thing he's a billion dollar athlete so he can afford all this hush money.
The Jets are undefeated in Canada. They beat Buffalo in Toronto last night 19-13. But quarterback Mark Sanchez hurt his knee. So now both knees are dinged up.
The Red Sox have yet another shortstop. Toronto's Marco Scutaro.
Oregon beat Oregon State 37-33 to earn its first Rose Bowl in 15 years.
Get me rewrite! January's issue of Golf ****** has a cover story, "10 Tips Obama Can Take From Tiger."

2. Crime and Punishment

So here's how the Tiger Woods careless driving ticket will play out according to Top 5 subscriber David R. "I am an attorney in Florida, familiar with traffic court. He will not be pleading guilty, paying $164 or getting 4 points. A junior associate at the firm he retains will enter a not guilty plea and the case will go to trial. Woods will not attend the trial. There will be no witnesses to testify against him and the judge will grant the lawyer's motion to dismiss the ticket for lack of prosecution."
Whew, what a relief. I wouldn't want Tiger to have to actually face any music.

3. End of an Era

There will never be another feel good football story out of Hofstra like wide receiver Wayne Chrebet overcoming all odds to make the Jets. Hofstra has eliminated football just like Northeastern. The economy strikes again. Will there come a day when only players from football powerhouses will make the big time?

4. Friday Mailbag

Clearly Tiger Woods dominated your emails. From S.D. "Just like Kobe and a lot of others, we continue to embrace these people as role models instead of rich immature children... By the time this is through Elin should have enough settlement money to buy Sweden."

Many of you couldn't resist sending jokes. From Bob G. "Woke up this morning feeling pretty good. I realized I can outdrive Tiger."

When I talked about Ari Fleischer helping the BCS to tidy up its image, I joked that "if he could help explain what President Geo. W. was doing, the BCS should be a piece of cake." I received this response: "Hey! I’m a subscriber…Taken with a sense of humor – I always enjoy reading your updates. It’s the best, fastest one minute in sports reporting." Signed, Ari Fleischer."
Editor's Note: Ari likes what W. did, and what I'm doing. Is that a compliment? But seriously, happy to have Ari on board.

As for Charlie Weis making over $1-million per win at Notre Dame, J.M. points out: "Weis was a bargain. For their money, the Yankees paid Carl Pavano $4,438,888.89 per win."

And C.M. wrote: "I went out and bought a Mets ornament for my tree this weekend. It's broken. Go figure......"

5. Health and Fitness

We close things out with our tip of the week. It seems in Britain, some women executives are injecting botox into their heels. For beauty? Nah. Helps them get through the holiday party season wearing high heels. It costs them $400 as opposed to a gel-filled pad which runs $3.30. Hey it's the holiday season..... talk about expensive stocking stuffers!

Happy Birthday: New Jersey Nets part-owner Jay Z. 40.
Bonus Birthday: Supermodel Tyra Banks. 36.

Today in Sports: What a guy! Latrell Sprewell was suspended one year for choking his Golden State Warriors coach P.J. Carlesimo. 1997.
Bonus Event: The beginning of one of the greatest comebacks in history. General George Washington says goodbye to his officers at the end of the Revolutionary War and departs New York to leave public life. 6 years later he's sworn is as the nation's first President. 1783.

I have a book signing for "The Greatest Moments in Sports" (New York Times Best Seller) in Port Washington N.Y. at the Dolphin Bookshop tomorrow at 1pm.
Have a great weekend everyone!